I was passing our local (not very good, and definitely overpriced) sushi restaurant, and there was a Lamborghini Avantador parked outside with the license "SNAP CEO".
'twas a bit naff, tbh.
I'm tempted to book a first class return LHR LAX just to key that.
The useless nonentity has picked a fight, having picked the fight he needed to win it, and badly misjudged the mood.with even the most right wing led Unions failing to support him
All wings of Party smell blood.
He is even rumoured to be preparing a joke if "oh Jeremy Corbyn" chant starts during his speech on Wednesday.
Bet that will be a side splitter.
Anyone who thinks he has any chance of ever leading Lab to victory is kidding themselves.
If he sticks the course, while having below 5% chance of a Labour government, he has a 40%+ chance of being PM in a rainbow alliance. Tory losses of 50 seats, or perhaps a bit fewer, will see it.
Is there another person, who could get elected, (Jess Phillips couldn't get elected) who has a better chance of avoiding Tories getting 320 seats? Most of the alternatives (including Rayner) would shore up the Tory vote.
I was passing our local (not very good, and definitely overpriced) sushi restaurant, and there was a Lamborghini Avantador parked outside with the license "SNAP CEO".
The useless nonentity has picked a fight, having picked the fight he needed to win it, and badly misjudged the mood.with even the most right wing led Unions failing to support him
All wings of Party smell blood.
He is even rumoured to be preparing a joke if "oh Jeremy Corbyn" chant starts during his speech on Wednesday.
Bet that will be a side splitter.
Anyone who thinks he has any chance of ever leading Lab to victory is kidding themselves.
Maybe it is not widely known, but Drakeford is a Corbynista and very much pro Corbyn
"causing extreme disarticulation and skeletal fragmentation in nearby humans." eww
The physical evidence from TeH suggests that ground temperatures briefly rose above 1850 °C, setting flammable materials on fire. These temperatures are far above ~150 °C that is considered lethal for humans hahahaha
School age kids and parents of school age kids are seeing more cases, everyone else isn't. The hospitalisation rate should continue to drop even as cases rise over the next couple of weeks due to kids and uni students getting the Rona.
Genuinely riveting, both the overall theory and the detail, and the match with the biblical account. And brilliant that Nature is free to air like that.
I presume only some papers - if the authors can drum up the grant moneys (which some funding agencies to provide for that purpose). But it's great such a fascinating paper can be made fully available.
Genuinely riveting, both the overall theory and the detail, and the match with the biblical account. And brilliant that Nature is free to air like that.
PS Some of the evidence is very much along the lines of that used for the Chicxulub impact crater that did in the (terrestrial) dinosaurs.
Starmer has already lost far too much authority to seriously contemplate pushing through such rule changes - particularly with little consultation in advance. Much of the goodwill felt towards him a year ago has evaporated.
"causing extreme disarticulation and skeletal fragmentation in nearby humans." eww
I don't think I've seen any photo of remains like that outside a Great War archaeological excavation.
My wife is a coroner's officer, and she's seen pretty close. There's a reason they describe the effect on a human body hit by a train at speed as 'disruption'
The apparent fiasco re-leadership rule changes confirms Starmer's disastrous timing of the by elections a few months back. He is seriously lacking in 'nous' and the political antennare required of a political leader. Very little sign of a political brain.
Terrible for a politician. Quite fitting for the Labour Party though.
The useless nonentity has picked a fight, having picked the fight he needed to win it, and badly misjudged the mood.with even the most right wing led Unions failing to support him
All wings of Party smell blood.
He is even rumoured to be preparing a joke if "oh Jeremy Corbyn" chant starts during his speech on Wednesday.
Bet that will be a side splitter.
Anyone who thinks he has any chance of ever leading Lab to victory is kidding themselves.
Maybe it is not widely known, but Drakeford is a Corbynista and very much pro Corbyn
The Scottish leader isnt nor is Khan or many of the Unions at the NEC today
"causing extreme disarticulation and skeletal fragmentation in nearby humans." eww
I don't think I've seen any photo of remains like that outside a Great War archaeological excavation.
My wife is a coroner's officer, and she's seen pretty close. There's a reason they describe the effect on a human body hit by a train at speed as 'disruption'
Quite so. I was thinking specifically of now-skeletal remains in archaeological digs but the descriptions of traumatic disruption by collisions, bombs, etc., are very much of the same ilk.
The useless nonentity has picked a fight, having picked the fight he needed to win it, and badly misjudged the mood.with even the most right wing led Unions failing to support him
All wings of Party smell blood.
He is even rumoured to be preparing a joke if "oh Jeremy Corbyn" chant starts during his speech on Wednesday.
Bet that will be a side splitter.
Anyone who thinks he has any chance of ever leading Lab to victory is kidding themselves.
Maybe it is not widely known, but Drakeford is a Corbynista and very much pro Corbyn
Drakeford should get his own ideas. He's done quite well in all of this. Shackling himself to the arch-nutter won't help him.
Imagine Drakeford's vs Corbyn's CVs.. "Once tied shoelaces"..
In a big article highlighted in the Guardian about the fact that Brexit is the cause of food and petrol shortages Freedland bravely points out that no-one on the entire planet in brave enough to say that Brexit is the cause of food and petrol shortages:
"The cause of our food and petrol shortages is Brexit – yet no one dares name it" Jonathan Freedland
Not sure i agree with the premise its all snapchat fault, but there is a serious.problem that is getting worse.
OMG.
I just feel grateful I am not living in London with teenage children.
That article lacks any kind of evidence about teenage murder rates in general, and about the prevalence of SnapChat (or other social media) in driving the murders that did happen.
It's a great story, but it may simply be completely inaccurate. It may be that 13 year olds on SnapChat are less likely to commit murders than their peers. We just don't know, because it's a piece of journalism that sets out to tell a story.
And, likely, the author had decided the conclusion and went looking for supporting evidence. (Not unlike certain posters.)
It pretty much to be expected from VICE, unfortunately.
Katherine Birbalsingh may be right though; just ban teenagers from having phones. Problem solved!
The apparent fiasco re-leadership rule changes confirms Starmer's disastrous timing of the by elections a few months back. He is seriously lacking in 'nous' and the political antennare required of a political leader. Very little sign of a political brain.
Terrible for a politician. Quite fitting for the Labour Party though.
I don’t find her particularly likeable - quite adversarial. Who knows - maybe the electorate will prefer that to Boris
Though I think Johnson would find her difficult to handle, the basic problem for Labour is they need to realise that in order to win an election they have to offer something to appeal to moderate middle-Englanders who vote Tory (with some reluctance presently). Rayner doesn’t offer that appeal - Nandy possibly does, and Creasy certainly does. But the party as whole has to change its approach - otherwise, it’s doomed to perpetual opposition.
In a big article highlighted in the Guardian about the fact that Brexit is the cause of food and petrol shortages Freedland bravely points out that no-one on the entire planet in brave enough to say that Brexit is the cause of food and petrol shortages:
"The cause of our food and petrol shortages is Brexit – yet no one dares name it" Jonathan Freedland
PS Obviously no-one at all on PB is that brave.
Or on Facebook or twitter or social media.
Brexit residing rent free in many peoples heads.
It’s a contributory factor, no more. Brexit is effing tedious. Diehard remainers blame everything bad on it and diehard leavers everything good.
Poll from the GE Lab 37 (-4) Con 31 (-5) Plaid 15 (+5) Rfm 6 (+1) Grn 5 (+4) LDem 4 (-2)
Lab probably gains Delyn and Bridgend, perhaps Clywd South - maybe the Tories lose Ynys Mon to Plaid. Beyond that not much doing. The Tories would be very happy with that at the next GE
Genuinely riveting, both the overall theory and the detail, and the match with the biblical account. And brilliant that Nature is free to air like that.
PS Some of the evidence is very much along the lines of that used for the Chicxulub impact crater that did in the (terrestrial) dinosaurs.
Gonna have to stop you there, pre-KT avian dinosaurs aren't particularly thought to have flown. Feathers were their most distinctive link with birds (though other flavours of dinosaur probably had them too).
And while I'm on about it, dinosaurs are divided into saurischian, lizard-hipped, and ornithischian, bird-hipped. Guess what? Birds are descended from the saurischians.
I don’t find her particularly likeable - quite adversarial. Who knows - maybe the electorate will prefer that to Boris
Depends what you mean better.
Is she less divisive in Labour - Yes
Does she have more passion - Yes
Does she have more political nouse - Yes
Does she have more personality - Yes
More charisma - Yes
More conviction - Yes,
More ability to lead, more likely to develop policies,more vision, more of an alternative to the Tories, more hope for Labour.
Do i particularly rate her compared to Boris probably not, compared to the current useless nonentity definitely
Labour polled 3.5 million votes less than the Tories in 2019. They need a couple of million Tory voters to switch. SKS is much more likely to achieve this than Rayner.
Genuinely riveting, both the overall theory and the detail, and the match with the biblical account. And brilliant that Nature is free to air like that.
I presume only some papers - if the authors can drum up the grant moneys (which some funding agencies to provide for that purpose). But it's great such a fascinating paper can be made fully available.
I'm not sure whether nature is all open access, but I haven't published a non open access article for at least five years. The research councils expect publication fees in the proposal now and even our charity funders are happy - a low few thousand to get the results out there is not big in most research grants.
Big change, for the good, in science. Although it has led to a proliferation of junk journals too (there are always people willing to pay to publish, even if no one would pay to read)
There are 8,384 petrol stations in the UK with around 100 experiencing problems
Thanks Scott
Pye Green petrol station was down to two pumps and a long queue for them when I came past, which is annoying from a personal as I wanted to refuel (like normal on a Friday night after a week’s driving).
Thanks, national newspapers.
It is said that most languages do not have a word for "smug." Even English does not have a word for the "filled up at 8.30 a.m. and halfway through my second martini" feeling overwhelming me now.
I don’t find her particularly likeable - quite adversarial. Who knows - maybe the electorate will prefer that to Boris
Though I think Johnson would find her difficult to handle, the basic problem for Labour is they need to realise that in order to win an election they have to offer something to appeal to moderate middle-Englanders who vote Tory (with some reluctance presently). Rayner doesn’t offer that appeal - Nandy possibly does, and Creasy certainly does. But the party as whole has to change its approach - otherwise, it’s doomed to perpetual opposition.
This is absolutely the point. Corbin and his ilk seemed to think enough people would be Marxists. Never going to happen. Labour gains power by moving to the centre. Tony Blair did that. Middle class Torres saw him as one of them. I think Starmer could do similar, but his party doesn’t want to move.
If it's youngsters getting infected, and they're not passing it on to oldies....hospital rates will continue to fall - and in a largely vaccinated population, the hospitalisation rate is what we should be paying attention to.
I'm sorry, but @Chris told me very emphatically that case-to-hospitalization rates had not dropped.
I did notice, looking back, that he'd responded to my graph by challenging the reliability of the ONS daily incidence figures and saying we could really only rely on the prevalence ones.
So I've gone and compared the ONS prevalence numbers for England to the number in hospital in England (lagged to coincide peaks and normalised to equalise the height of the peaks).
After all - number infected at any one time compared to number seriously ill in hospital at any one time should be the comparable metrics.
Guess what:
"A picture is worth a thousand words" Well done Andy_Cooke!
PM overrules Home Sec and Transport Sec to allow in foreign lorry drivers to help fill the shortage despite Grant Shapps saying being out of the EU was helping the situation https://bit.ly/2XLOe3K
Bad decision. Employers should increase pay to the market rate to fill the vacancies.
Not necessarily- depends if it is temporary or permanent.
If permanent you are right / wages need to shift to the market clearing price
If it’s a temporary shortage due to self-isolation or the limited number of licenses last year then may be you allow in addition labour for a short period. If you gave exhausted the available supply of HGV drivers, for example, you wouldn’t want REMEies quitting the army because they can make 3 years salary quickly
I don’t find her particularly likeable - quite adversarial. Who knows - maybe the electorate will prefer that to Boris
Though I think Johnson would find her difficult to handle, the basic problem for Labour is they need to realise that in order to win an election they have to offer something to appeal to moderate middle-Englanders who vote Tory (with some reluctance presently). Rayner doesn’t offer that appeal - Nandy possibly does, and Creasy certainly does. But the party as whole has to change its approach - otherwise, it’s doomed to perpetual opposition.
This is absolutely the point. Corbin and his ilk seemed to think enough people would be Marxists. Never going to happen. Labour gains power by moving to the centre. Tony Blair did that. Middle class Torres saw him as one of them. I think Starmer could do similar, but his party doesn’t want to move.
The problem for Labour is it hasn't developed the intellectual apparatus to face in all the directions it needs to, and which isn't actually as impossible as it sounds to be. The market for baldly pro-globalisation technocracy, mainly distinguished by higher public spending than the Cameroonian Tories' version, has markedly shrunk since the 1990's, and Mandelson's tunes aren't going to cut it any more. Neither is an approach that sometimes consciously revels in alienating parts of business, without always a constructive end goal, as some Corbynites were apt to. It needs an entirely new, or neo-Wilsonian vocabulary, that can embrace both left and right, or both material and moral aspiration.
Poll from the GE Lab 37 (-4) Con 31 (-5) Plaid 15 (+5) Rfm 6 (+1) Grn 5 (+4) LDem 4 (-2)
Lab probably gains Delyn and Bridgend, perhaps Clywd South - maybe the Tories lose Ynys Mon to Plaid. Beyond that not much doing. The Tories would be very happy with that at the next GE
The poll actually implies no Labour gains at all in Wales - though the local circumstances in Delyn might give them that seat. As it happens, I suspect this poll is off - as are the GB Yougov polls - and that Labour enjoys a more substantial lead in Wales. As it stands, it suggests a GB Tory lead of 10.5%.
GMB replace a Starmer ally with a Corbynite on Labour NEC with immediate effect
Sibthorpe, who is replacing Warnett on the NEC, is a GMB political officer who used to work for Jeremy Corbyn as head of events when he was Labour leader.
Warnett unfortunately has pancreatic cancer and a poor prognosis.
I don’t find her particularly likeable - quite adversarial. Who knows - maybe the electorate will prefer that to Boris
Though I think Johnson would find her difficult to handle, the basic problem for Labour is they need to realise that in order to win an election they have to offer something to appeal to moderate middle-Englanders who vote Tory (with some reluctance presently). Rayner doesn’t offer that appeal - Nandy possibly does, and Creasy certainly does. But the party as whole has to change its approach - otherwise, it’s doomed to perpetual opposition.
This is absolutely the point. Corbin and his ilk seemed to think enough people would be Marxists. Never going to happen. Labour gains power by moving to the centre. Tony Blair did that. Middle class Torres saw him as one of them. I think Starmer could do similar, but his party doesn’t want to move.
The problem for Labour is it hasn't developed the intellectual apparatus to face in all the directions it needs to, and which isn't actually as impossible as it sounds to be. The market for baldly pro-globalisation technocracy, mainly distinguished by higher public spending than the Cameroonian Tories' version, has markedly shrunk since the 1990's, and Mandelson's tunes aren't going to cut it any more. Neither is an approach that sometimes consciously revels in alienating parts of business, without always a constructive end goal, as some Corbynites were apt to. It needs an entirely new, or neo-Wilsonian vocabulary.
“We are redefining and we are restarting our socialism in terms of the Green revolution”. Good old Harold.
I don’t find her particularly likeable - quite adversarial. Who knows - maybe the electorate will prefer that to Boris
Depends what you mean better.
Is she less divisive in Labour - Yes
Does she have more passion - Yes
Does she have more political nouse - Yes
Does she have more personality - Yes
More charisma - Yes
More conviction - Yes,
More ability to lead, more likely to develop policies,more vision, more of an alternative to the Tories, more hope for Labour.
Do i particularly rate her compared to Boris probably not, compared to the current useless nonentity definitely
Labour polled 3.5 million votes less than the Tories in 2019. They need a couple of million Tory voters to switch. SKS is much more likely to achieve this than Rayner.
Tory to Labour switchers currently being outnumbered by Lab to Green and Lab to LD switchers and Lab to stay at home.
2019 was a BREXIT election SKS has zero chance or replicating 2017 Labour performance.
Burnham could. Rayner might get slightly fewer Con to Lab but would shore up other 3 categories
McLeish close to picking out that last splinter in his arse from the Scottish Indy fence he's been sitting on for years. Fear not though Yoons, he may yet be tempted back and his indy support would be conditional on the Union being unable to reform itself. Whadda ya think lads, what are the chance sthe the Union will reform itself?
I don’t find her particularly likeable - quite adversarial. Who knows - maybe the electorate will prefer that to Boris
Depends what you mean better.
Is she less divisive in Labour - Yes
Does she have more passion - Yes
Does she have more political nouse - Yes
Does she have more personality - Yes
More charisma - Yes
More conviction - Yes,
More ability to lead, more likely to develop policies,more vision, more of an alternative to the Tories, more hope for Labour.
Do i particularly rate her compared to Boris probably not, compared to the current useless nonentity definitely
Labour polled 3.5 million votes less than the Tories in 2019. They need a couple of million Tory voters to switch. SKS is much more likely to achieve this than Rayner.
Tory to Labour switchers currently being outnumbered by Lab to Green and Lab to LD switchers and Lab to stay at home.
2019 was a BREXIT election SKS has zero chance or replicating 2017 Labour performance.
Burnham could. Rayner might get slightly fewer Con to Lab but would shore up other 3 categories
I think that is too pessimistic in that we see polls currently giving Labour 35%/36% even with the Greens polling 6% - 9%.In a GE the Greens would fall back to circa 3% with most switching to Labour. I can see Labour getting 38%/39% next time.
Poll from the GE Lab 37 (-4) Con 31 (-5) Plaid 15 (+5) Rfm 6 (+1) Grn 5 (+4) LDem 4 (-2)
Lab probably gains Delyn and Bridgend, perhaps Clywd South - maybe the Tories lose Ynys Mon to Plaid. Beyond that not much doing. The Tories would be very happy with that at the next GE
The poll actually implies no Labour gains at all in Wales - though the local circumstances in Delyn might give them that seat. As it happens, I suspect this poll is off - as are the GB Yougov polls - and that Labour enjoys a more substantial lead in Wales. As it stands, it suggests a GB Tory lead of 10.5%.
Ye,I think Labour would relatively outperform this in Wales at a GE, that's why I gave a few more seats than the headline to Lab. Wrexham, Bridgend and Vale of Clwyd all in tight scraps but can't see Labour getting the 8 or so gains they ought to get from Wales if they're heading to any sort of power.
I don’t find her particularly likeable - quite adversarial. Who knows - maybe the electorate will prefer that to Boris
Depends what you mean better.
Is she less divisive in Labour - Yes
Does she have more passion - Yes
Does she have more political nouse - Yes
Does she have more personality - Yes
More charisma - Yes
More conviction - Yes,
More ability to lead, more likely to develop policies,more vision, more of an alternative to the Tories, more hope for Labour.
Do i particularly rate her compared to Boris probably not, compared to the current useless nonentity definitely
Labour polled 3.5 million votes less than the Tories in 2019. They need a couple of million Tory voters to switch. SKS is much more likely to achieve this than Rayner.
Tory to LD or Tory to Green will do just fine.
As long as Lab can get close to 2017 levels of enthusiasm from its natural vote
F**king useless nonentity. Bring on a leadership challenge
Michael Savage @michaelsavage More than one union leader has “gone for” Starmer at a key meeting tonight. Sounds pretty brutal. Row over party rules now clearly threatening to overshadow a conference he himself has talked up as key to his leadership.
And replace him with who exactly?
Quite.
Starmer isn't great as a leader, although he has some really good traits that will help him.
Labour will split sooner or later, and to be fair to the left it really is the moderates that are betraying the cause. However the cause is some daft c19 manifesto written by a layabout.
What Starmer needs to do is get the split done with - off goes Corbyn, off goes McDonald, and then I think it stops. No sensible Labour politician will throw themselves over the cliff. Maybe Abbot, Dawn whatever, Long-Bailey, and Burgeon.
PS. whatever=Butler.
Ken Loach....on Starmer, Jezza and "proper Labour".
Let me guess "proper Labour" are antisemites like him?
careful, I like reading your posts and I don't want you booted
Why would I get booted for asking if the antisemite Ken Loach who was "against the witch-hunt" until he got expelled out of the Labour Party like other antisemites prefers other antisemites like himself? 🤔
Antisemites like Loach have a tendency to stick together.
Poll from the GE Lab 37 (-4) Con 31 (-5) Plaid 15 (+5) Rfm 6 (+1) Grn 5 (+4) LDem 4 (-2)
Lab probably gains Delyn and Bridgend, perhaps Clywd South - maybe the Tories lose Ynys Mon to Plaid. Beyond that not much doing. The Tories would be very happy with that at the next GE
The poll actually implies no Labour gains at all in Wales - though the local circumstances in Delyn might give them that seat. As it happens, I suspect this poll is off - as are the GB Yougov polls - and that Labour enjoys a more substantial lead in Wales. As it stands, it suggests a GB Tory lead of 10.5%.
Ye,I think Labour would relatively outperform this in Wales at a GE, that's why I gave a few more seats than the headline to Lab. Wrexham, Bridgend and Vale of Clwyd all in tight scraps but can't see Labour getting the 8 or so gains they ought to get from Wales if they're heading to any sort of power.
Setting aside the new boundaries for now, I believe Labour has the potential to win back all the seats lost in Wales in 2019 - and to go beyond that to take Aberconway, Vale of Glamorgan and - possibly Preseli Pembrokeshire. Anglesey I am more doubtful of - in that personal votes there really seem to matter.
A private equity-backed haulage firm specialising in chilled food deliveries to Asda and Sainsbury’s has gone bust, adding to concerns about gaps on shelves as Britain heads for a 'winter of discontent'.
EVCL Chill, a subsidiary of EV Cargo, filed for administration, adding to speculation that the two supermarkets will need to take-over the business to safeguard deliveries.
The company had a number of major contracts for supermarkets and employed around 1,000 workers in warehousing and HGV driving roles.
It comes amid worry that Britain will be faced with severe food shortages this winter due to a lack of lorry drivers and an ongoing energy crisis.
Gary Smith, the new leader of the GMB trade union who was widely expected to be supportive of Starmer’s leadership, asked Starmer whether he was “embarrassed” by Labour’s position on energy
GMB general secretary also asked whether Starmer knew “how embarrassing it is” for Labour to be pushing for a £10-an-hour minimum wage.
I reckon if SKS caved on those 2 issues GMB might yet deal on Electoral College
Unison although against today could yet be persuaded as well.
I think SKS needs a 3rd union USDAW to support it as well to have a chance.
Not impossible knowing Mandelsons hold over SKS that he offers all sorts of policy change to yet get this through
If it's youngsters getting infected, and they're not passing it on to oldies....hospital rates will continue to fall - and in a largely vaccinated population, the hospitalisation rate is what we should be paying attention to.
I'm sorry, but @Chris told me very emphatically that case-to-hospitalization rates had not dropped.
I did notice, looking back, that he'd responded to my graph by challenging the reliability of the ONS daily incidence figures and saying we could really only rely on the prevalence ones.
So I've gone and compared the ONS prevalence numbers for England to the number in hospital in England (lagged to coincide peaks and normalised to equalise the height of the peaks).
After all - number infected at any one time compared to number seriously ill in hospital at any one time should be the comparable metrics.
Guess what:
That's a caricature of what I actually wrote.
But in any case if you put the graphs of ONS modelled incidence and ONS prevalence side by side, you can see that there are large variations in the ratio between the two (compare last Autumn with this Summer, for example). So what I actually wrote - that looking at prevalence instead of incidence "would seem like a more appropriate comparison" is amply borne out by what you've done.
However, for some reason you've now switched from daily hospitalisation rates before (which was appropriate to the REACT study) to total number in hospital. I've certainly heard it said that people are now spending less time in hospital. If that's true, the two won't be equivalent.
It looks to me as though there is a real difference between the ONS and REACT figures, but obviously you would need to compare like with like to be sure about it.
A private equity-backed haulage firm specialising in chilled food deliveries to Asda and Sainsbury’s has gone bust, adding to concerns about gaps on shelves as Britain heads for a 'winter of discontent'.
EVCL Chill, a subsidiary of EV Cargo, filed for administration, adding to speculation that the two supermarkets will need to take-over the business to safeguard deliveries.
The company had a number of major contracts for supermarkets and employed around 1,000 workers in warehousing and HGV driving roles.
It comes amid worry that Britain will be faced with severe food shortages this winter due to a lack of lorry drivers and an ongoing energy crisis.
A private equity-backed haulage firm specialising in chilled food deliveries to Asda and Sainsbury’s has gone bust, adding to concerns about gaps on shelves as Britain heads for a 'winter of discontent'.
EVCL Chill, a subsidiary of EV Cargo, filed for administration, adding to speculation that the two supermarkets will need to take-over the business to safeguard deliveries.
The company had a number of major contracts for supermarkets and employed around 1,000 workers in warehousing and HGV driving roles.
It comes amid worry that Britain will be faced with severe food shortages this winter due to a lack of lorry drivers and an ongoing energy crisis.
The problem for Labour is it hasn't developed the intellectual apparatus to face in all the directions it needs to, and which isn't actually as impossible as it sounds to be. The market for baldly pro-globalisation technocracy, mainly distinguished by higher public spending than the Cameroonian Tories' version, has markedly shrunk since the 1990's, and Mandelson's tunes aren't going to cut it any more. Neither is an approach that sometimes consciously revels in alienating parts of business, without always a constructive end goal, as some Corbynites were apt to. It needs an entirely new, or neo-Wilsonian vocabulary, that can embrace both left and right, or both material and moral aspiration.
One thing of which I'm convinced is the solutions of the past aren't the solutions of the future.
Labour has to do the hard thinking about what 2030s Britain looks like - that's the 2029 Manifesto, new ideas, something quite radical which after nearly two decades of Conservative-led Government may not be wholly unwelcome.
Trying to imagine the Britain of the 2030s isn't easy - it requires a lot of time and thought and that's the luxury of opposition - the time to formulate new ideas and do that radical thinking which the party of government can't really manage.
The problem for Labour is it hasn't developed the intellectual apparatus to face in all the directions it needs to, and which isn't actually as impossible as it sounds to be. The market for baldly pro-globalisation technocracy, mainly distinguished by higher public spending than the Cameroonian Tories' version, has markedly shrunk since the 1990's, and Mandelson's tunes aren't going to cut it any more. Neither is an approach that sometimes consciously revels in alienating parts of business, without always a constructive end goal, as some Corbynites were apt to. It needs an entirely new, or neo-Wilsonian vocabulary, that can embrace both left and right, or both material and moral aspiration.
One thing of which I'm convinced is the solutions of the past aren't the solutions of the future.
Labour has to do the hard thinking about what 2030s Britain looks like - that's the 2029 Manifesto, new ideas, something quite radical which after nearly two decades of Conservative-led Government may not be wholly unwelcome.
Trying to imagine the Britain of the 2030s isn't easy - it requires a lot of time and thought and that's the luxury of opposition - the time to formulate new ideas and do that radical thinking which the party of government can't really manage.
Good new ideas are severely lacking across the political spectrum and have been for a long time.
A private equity-backed haulage firm specialising in chilled food deliveries to Asda and Sainsbury’s has gone bust, adding to concerns about gaps on shelves as Britain heads for a 'winter of discontent'.
EVCL Chill, a subsidiary of EV Cargo, filed for administration, adding to speculation that the two supermarkets will need to take-over the business to safeguard deliveries.
The company had a number of major contracts for supermarkets and employed around 1,000 workers in warehousing and HGV driving roles.
It comes amid worry that Britain will be faced with severe food shortages this winter due to a lack of lorry drivers and an ongoing energy crisis.
If it's youngsters getting infected, and they're not passing it on to oldies....hospital rates will continue to fall - and in a largely vaccinated population, the hospitalisation rate is what we should be paying attention to.
I'm sorry, but @Chris told me very emphatically that case-to-hospitalization rates had not dropped.
I did notice, looking back, that he'd responded to my graph by challenging the reliability of the ONS daily incidence figures and saying we could really only rely on the prevalence ones.
So I've gone and compared the ONS prevalence numbers for England to the number in hospital in England (lagged to coincide peaks and normalised to equalise the height of the peaks).
After all - number infected at any one time compared to number seriously ill in hospital at any one time should be the comparable metrics.
Guess what:
That's a caricature of what I actually wrote.
But in any case if you put the graphs of ONS modelled incidence and ONS prevalence side by side, you can see that there are large variations in the ratio between the two (compare last Autumn with this Summer, for example). So what I actually wrote - that looking at prevalence instead of incidence "would seem like a more appropriate comparison" is amply borne out by what you've done.
However, for some reason you've now switched from daily hospitalisation rates before (which was appropriate to the REACT study) to total number in hospital. I've certainly heard it said that people are now spending less time in hospital. If that's true, the two won't be equivalent.
It looks to me as though there is a real difference between the ONS and REACT figures, but obviously you would need to compare like with like to be sure about it.
Maybe, just maybe, the REACT study was wrong? Maybe they incorrectly modelled the population. Their sample size was quite small iirc. Much smaller than the weekly ONS survey. Even their own people were casting doubt on some of the R values when they released REACT-2.
You have become obsessed with this one study that has been done irregularly but ignored the weekly ONS survey based on PCR testing of what the ONS (the actual experts in the field) say is a demographically representative sample of the UK.
What you're saying just doesn't make sense anyway, the implication of cases still resulting in the same proportion being hospitalised means that efficacy is zero. We know that isn't true, especially with delta where efficacy against any infection has gone down to ~60% for AZ and Pfizer.
It's the story which is nonsense. It is indeed piecework; it then says that this equates to a max 30 an hour, but nobody could actually luck enough to earn that much. Wtf.
A private equity-backed haulage firm specialising in chilled food deliveries to Asda and Sainsbury’s has gone bust, adding to concerns about gaps on shelves as Britain heads for a 'winter of discontent'.
EVCL Chill, a subsidiary of EV Cargo, filed for administration, adding to speculation that the two supermarkets will need to take-over the business to safeguard deliveries.
The company had a number of major contracts for supermarkets and employed around 1,000 workers in warehousing and HGV driving roles.
It comes amid worry that Britain will be faced with severe food shortages this winter due to a lack of lorry drivers and an ongoing energy crisis.
It's the story which is nonsense. It is indeed piecework; it then says that this equates to a max 30 an hour, but nobody could actually luck enough to earn that much. Wtf.
I don’t find her particularly likeable - quite adversarial. Who knows - maybe the electorate will prefer that to Boris
Depends what you mean better.
Is she less divisive in Labour - Yes
Does she have more passion - Yes
Does she have more political nouse - Yes
Does she have more personality - Yes
More charisma - Yes
More conviction - Yes,
More ability to lead, more likely to develop policies,more vision, more of an alternative to the Tories, more hope for Labour.
Do i particularly rate her compared to Boris probably not, compared to the current useless nonentity definitely
Labour polled 3.5 million votes less than the Tories in 2019. They need a couple of million Tory voters to switch. SKS is much more likely to achieve this than Rayner.
Tory to LD or Tory to Green will do just fine.
As long as Lab can get close to 2017 levels of enthusiasm from its natural vote
The classic " up to £30-an-hour" piece work....that £30/hr, if you have 10 arms and you can move like the Flash and be able to keep that rate up for 50 hrs / week.
I have done one of these jobs as a student, in reality you are normally more worried about the lower threshold, trying to keep up the minimum rate to a) make ok money and b) not get the heave-ho for going too slow and holding up the whole pick.
A private equity-backed haulage firm specialising in chilled food deliveries to Asda and Sainsbury’s has gone bust, adding to concerns about gaps on shelves as Britain heads for a 'winter of discontent'.
EVCL Chill, a subsidiary of EV Cargo, filed for administration, adding to speculation that the two supermarkets will need to take-over the business to safeguard deliveries.
The company had a number of major contracts for supermarkets and employed around 1,000 workers in warehousing and HGV driving roles.
It comes amid worry that Britain will be faced with severe food shortages this winter due to a lack of lorry drivers and an ongoing energy crisis.
A private equity-backed haulage firm specialising in chilled food deliveries to Asda and Sainsbury’s has gone bust, adding to concerns about gaps on shelves as Britain heads for a 'winter of discontent'.
EVCL Chill, a subsidiary of EV Cargo, filed for administration, adding to speculation that the two supermarkets will need to take-over the business to safeguard deliveries.
The company had a number of major contracts for supermarkets and employed around 1,000 workers in warehousing and HGV driving roles.
It comes amid worry that Britain will be faced with severe food shortages this winter due to a lack of lorry drivers and an ongoing energy crisis.
A private equity-backed haulage firm specialising in chilled food deliveries to Asda and Sainsbury’s has gone bust, adding to concerns about gaps on shelves as Britain heads for a 'winter of discontent'.
EVCL Chill, a subsidiary of EV Cargo, filed for administration, adding to speculation that the two supermarkets will need to take-over the business to safeguard deliveries.
The company had a number of major contracts for supermarkets and employed around 1,000 workers in warehousing and HGV driving roles.
It comes amid worry that Britain will be faced with severe food shortages this winter due to a lack of lorry drivers and an ongoing energy crisis.
It's the story which is nonsense. It is indeed piecework; it then says that this equates to a max 30 an hour, but nobody could actually luck enough to earn that much. Wtf.
A private equity-backed haulage firm specialising in chilled food deliveries to Asda and Sainsbury’s has gone bust, adding to concerns about gaps on shelves as Britain heads for a 'winter of discontent'.
EVCL Chill, a subsidiary of EV Cargo, filed for administration, adding to speculation that the two supermarkets will need to take-over the business to safeguard deliveries.
The company had a number of major contracts for supermarkets and employed around 1,000 workers in warehousing and HGV driving roles.
It comes amid worry that Britain will be faced with severe food shortages this winter due to a lack of lorry drivers and an ongoing energy crisis.
A private equity-backed haulage firm specialising in chilled food deliveries to Asda and Sainsbury’s has gone bust, adding to concerns about gaps on shelves as Britain heads for a 'winter of discontent'.
EVCL Chill, a subsidiary of EV Cargo, filed for administration, adding to speculation that the two supermarkets will need to take-over the business to safeguard deliveries.
The company had a number of major contracts for supermarkets and employed around 1,000 workers in warehousing and HGV driving roles.
It comes amid worry that Britain will be faced with severe food shortages this winter due to a lack of lorry drivers and an ongoing energy crisis.
A private equity-backed haulage firm specialising in chilled food deliveries to Asda and Sainsbury’s has gone bust, adding to concerns about gaps on shelves as Britain heads for a 'winter of discontent'.
EVCL Chill, a subsidiary of EV Cargo, filed for administration, adding to speculation that the two supermarkets will need to take-over the business to safeguard deliveries.
The company had a number of major contracts for supermarkets and employed around 1,000 workers in warehousing and HGV driving roles.
It comes amid worry that Britain will be faced with severe food shortages this winter due to a lack of lorry drivers and an ongoing energy crisis.
Sounds wrong, that sort of business should be nowhere near administration in the present circs
Asda and Sainsburys pay £x a delivery, costs rise 40% and the supermarkets say not our problem, you agreed that we pay £x and we aren’t paying more.
In which case Asda and Sainsbury's don't get their deliveries.
Contract says they do
Contract isn't worth the paper its printed on if the supplier goes into administration.
Which is why its sensible to renegotiate if need be before then.
Exactly right. Continuity of supply in times of supply chain constraints has to be more important than trying to force someone to keep supplying at a loss that is only increasing. It’s private capital too so they won’t stand the loss.
One thing of which I'm convinced is the solutions of the past aren't the solutions of the future.
Labour has to do the hard thinking about what 2030s Britain looks like - that's the 2029 Manifesto, new ideas, something quite radical which after nearly two decades of Conservative-led Government may not be wholly unwelcome.
Trying to imagine the Britain of the 2030s isn't easy - it requires a lot of time and thought and that's the luxury of opposition - the time to formulate new ideas and do that radical thinking which the party of government can't really manage.
Good new ideas are severely lacking across the political spectrum and have been for a long time.
Fine - I'd be starting with three broad areas - environmental/sustainability, artificial intelligence and demographics. The first implies or suggests the impacts of climate change will be becoming greater across the planet, the second is the most fundamental - the replacement of large parts of administrative and transactional work by the AI and the impact of that and third, the demographics will continue to mean a declining working age population supporting a growing older population.
There are many other key points and areas - that's just your starter for three, plenty of conferring.
A private equity-backed haulage firm specialising in chilled food deliveries to Asda and Sainsbury’s has gone bust, adding to concerns about gaps on shelves as Britain heads for a 'winter of discontent'.
EVCL Chill, a subsidiary of EV Cargo, filed for administration, adding to speculation that the two supermarkets will need to take-over the business to safeguard deliveries.
The company had a number of major contracts for supermarkets and employed around 1,000 workers in warehousing and HGV driving roles.
It comes amid worry that Britain will be faced with severe food shortages this winter due to a lack of lorry drivers and an ongoing energy crisis.
So SKS wants to give more power to the PLP and Unions? Who don't want it. Nice man. Very bright high flyer. Hit the very top of his career ladder. Unfortunately, that wasn't politics. He's crap at that.
Comments
Is there another person, who could get elected, (Jess Phillips couldn't get elected) who has a better chance of avoiding Tories getting 320 seats? Most of the alternatives (including Rayner) would shore up the Tory vote.
hahahaha
Is she less divisive in Labour - Yes
Does she have more passion - Yes
Does she have more political nouse - Yes
Does she have more personality - Yes
More charisma - Yes
More conviction - Yes,
More ability to lead, more likely to develop policies,more vision, more of an alternative to the Tories, more hope for Labour.
Do i particularly rate her compared to Boris probably not, compared to the current useless nonentity definitely
SKS has unbelievably united all wings against him
Imagine Drakeford's vs Corbyn's CVs.. "Once tied shoelaces"..
"The cause of our food and petrol shortages is Brexit – yet no one dares name it"
Jonathan Freedland
PS Obviously no-one at all on PB is that brave.
Katherine Birbalsingh may be right though; just ban teenagers from having phones. Problem solved!
He passed up one of my mussels tonight, and really needs to make more effort to fit in.
Brexit residing rent free in many peoples heads.
It’s a contributory factor, no more. Brexit is effing tedious. Diehard remainers blame everything bad on it and diehard leavers everything good.
Beyond that not much doing.
The Tories would be very happy with that at the next GE
And while I'm on about it, dinosaurs are divided into saurischian, lizard-hipped, and ornithischian, bird-hipped. Guess what? Birds are descended from the saurischians.
"Doing a Scotland" i think it is called.
Big change, for the good, in science. Although it has led to a proliferation of junk journals too (there are always people willing to pay to publish, even if no one would pay to read)
Well done Andy_Cooke!
https://twitter.com/shippersunbound/status/1441424733011066880?s=21
Brexit was always about the right to bugger things up ourselves...
If permanent you are right / wages need to shift to the market clearing price
If it’s a temporary shortage due to self-isolation or the limited number of licenses last year then may be you allow in addition labour for a short period. If you gave exhausted the available supply of HGV drivers, for example, you wouldn’t want REMEies quitting the army because they can make 3 years salary quickly
Sibthorpe, who is replacing Warnett on the NEC, is a GMB political officer who used to work for Jeremy Corbyn as head of events when he was Labour leader.
Warnett unfortunately has pancreatic cancer and a poor prognosis.
2019 was a BREXIT election SKS has zero chance or replicating 2017 Labour performance.
Burnham could. Rayner might get slightly fewer Con to Lab but would shore up other 3 categories
Ann Black for Labour NEC
@AnnBlackLabour
·
4h
The calm before the storm ... NEC meets in 3 hours, still no papers
What was the super spreader event that finally triggered it?
Os there something that we can learn so that events can be planned to avoid mass spreading events.
https://twitter.com/paulhutcheon/status/1441414202996842502?s=20
Wrexham, Bridgend and Vale of Clwyd all in tight scraps but can't see Labour getting the 8 or so gains they ought to get from Wales if they're heading to any sort of power.
Pembrokeshire County council are advertising for a Minute Clerk. Do you think 5ft9 is too tall?
“Very good forehand” sounds like fanning with faint praise
Sounds pretty good actually.
https://youtu.be/QUcTsFe1PVs
On theories, I'd guess at a mix of schools, students and end of summer events.
As long as Lab can get close to 2017 levels of enthusiasm from its natural vote
Antisemites like Loach have a tendency to stick together.
EVCL Chill, a subsidiary of EV Cargo, filed for administration, adding to speculation that the two supermarkets will need to take-over the business to safeguard deliveries.
The company had a number of major contracts for supermarkets and employed around 1,000 workers in warehousing and HGV driving roles.
It comes amid worry that Britain will be faced with severe food shortages this winter due to a lack of lorry drivers and an ongoing energy crisis.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10026195/Supermarket-food-distributor-goes-BUST-leaving-1-000-workers-unemployed-amid-HGV-driver-chaos.html
GMB general secretary also asked whether Starmer knew “how embarrassing it is” for Labour to be pushing for a £10-an-hour minimum wage.
I reckon if SKS caved on those 2 issues GMB might yet deal on Electoral College
Unison although against today could yet be persuaded as well.
I think SKS needs a 3rd union USDAW to support it as well to have a chance.
Not impossible knowing Mandelsons hold over SKS that he offers all sorts of policy change to yet get this through
https://metro.co.uk/2021/09/24/cabbage-pickers-offered-62000-salary-by-veg-firm-amid-uk-staff-shortage-15311969/
But in any case if you put the graphs of ONS modelled incidence and ONS prevalence side by side, you can see that there are large variations in the ratio between the two (compare last Autumn with this Summer, for example). So what I actually wrote - that looking at prevalence instead of incidence "would seem like a more appropriate comparison" is amply borne out by what you've done.
However, for some reason you've now switched from daily hospitalisation rates before (which was appropriate to the REACT study) to total number in hospital. I've certainly heard it said that people are now spending less time in hospital. If that's true, the two won't be equivalent.
It looks to me as though there is a real difference between the ONS and REACT figures, but obviously you would need to compare like with like to be sure about it.
The state epidemiologist told Freddie Sayers he was right on the key questions"
https://unherd.com/thepost/anders-tegnell-sweden-won-the-argument-on-covid/
Labour has to do the hard thinking about what 2030s Britain looks like - that's the 2029 Manifesto, new ideas, something quite radical which after nearly two decades of Conservative-led Government may not be wholly unwelcome.
Trying to imagine the Britain of the 2030s isn't easy - it requires a lot of time and thought and that's the luxury of opposition - the time to formulate new ideas and do that radical thinking which the party of government can't really manage.
You have become obsessed with this one study that has been done irregularly but ignored the weekly ONS survey based on PCR testing of what the ONS (the actual experts in the field) say is a demographically representative sample of the UK.
What you're saying just doesn't make sense anyway, the implication of cases still resulting in the same proportion being hospitalised means that efficacy is zero. We know that isn't true, especially with delta where efficacy against any infection has gone down to ~60% for AZ and Pfizer.
I have done one of these jobs as a student, in reality you are normally more worried about the lower threshold, trying to keep up the minimum rate to a) make ok money and b) not get the heave-ho for going too slow and holding up the whole pick.
Which is why its sensible to renegotiate if need be before then.
There are many other key points and areas - that's just your starter for three, plenty of conferring.
EG Group, which has 389 petrol stations, is imposing a £30 limit on fuel because of ‘unprecedented customer demand’
It says this will give ensure ‘all our customers have a fair chance to refuel
It asks customers to treat staff with respect during challenging times
https://twitter.com/Steven_Swinford/status/1441483020398043137
https://twitter.com/SiobhanBenita/status/1441292903272357893
Who don't want it.
Nice man. Very bright high flyer. Hit the very top of his career ladder.
Unfortunately, that wasn't politics.
He's crap at that.
https://www.electograph.com/2021/09/iceland-maskina-poll-210924.html
The current Government would win 32 out of 63 in the Althing but a majority would also be possible with Reform.
Could be quite a nailbiter in downtown Reykjavik tomorrow evening.
@MrKennethClarke
·
6h
Reports are coming in that the Brexit Bus has run out of fuel.