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The big issue in Chesham and Amersham wasn’t HS2 – but Boris Johnson – politicalbetting.com
The big issue in Chesham and Amersham wasn’t HS2 – but Boris Johnson – politicalbetting.com
There’s an interesting feature just published by the Guardian about the C&A by-election just a fortnight ago which makes the interesting point that HS2 is being used by the Tories to explain the shock result rather that was the big issue with many former Tory voters there, the PM Boris Johnson.
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The mortuaries of British politics are littered with the corpses of those who have called peak Boris.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9745875/Macron-Woke-leftist-culture-racialising-France-causing-splits-society.html
I certainly hope we have seen Peak Boris. He needs his Falklands War. Maybe that’s why he was mucking about in Crimea last week.
I suspect your typical Tory won't care unless they are the representative of one of those no longer safe seats (see for instance Steve Baker in High Wycombe).
Even before Covid, Boris promised: an end to austerity; state intervention in industry; large-scale public sector investment. (Oh, and oven-ready Brexit.)
This is one reason Labour finds it hard to land a blow on policy grounds. Labour would by-and-large be doing the same sorts of things, and the managerialist argument that "we would do them better" is unpersuasive. Starmer would do better to attack Boris for sleaze and corruption. Instead Labour too often becomes embroiled in unwinnable culture wars and foreign policy irrelevancies.
I did find it slightly disconcerting that 2k a day doubled jabbed people are catching COVID. I think it is wise to take some personal responsibility and remain a little cautious.
The same arguments rage in Germany, where the Eastern Lander have progressed economically (and are now wealthier than most regions in the UK), but the burden for regeneration has fallen on the West.
A plurality of voters believe Keir Starmer should resign as Labour Party leader if he loses the Batley and Spen by-election which is taking place today, exclusive polling for Left Foot Forward can reveal.
Of those surveyed, 35% of voters think Keir Starmer should quit as Labour leader, compared to 28% who think he should stay on.
The survey, conducted by Savanta for Left Foot Forward consisted of 2,191 voters.
Voters of all age groups, except those aged between 25-34, say Starmer should go if Labour were to lose the by-election, though 37% answered ‘Don’t Know’. The party has held the seat for nearly a quarter of a century.
Calls for Starmer to go were highest in the North-East of the country, with 47% saying the Labour leader should resign if he loses the by-election today.
Support for Starmer to remain however, was highest in the North-West, with 34% of those asked saying he should stay on as leader even if he loses the crucial by-election.
Among those who voted Labour in 2019, 33% believe Starmer should resign if he loses compared to 42% who think he should stay. Of those who had voted Conservative, 46% believe Starmer should quit.
It comes as talk of a leadership challenge grows as voters in Batley and Spen go to the polls.
Scotland Daily Coronavirus (COVID-19) Report · Thursday 1st July.
4,234 new cases (people positive) reported, giving a total of 285,456.
6 new deaths reported, giving a total of 7,722.
https://twitter.com/UKCovid19Stats/status/1410587251449516042?s=20
We'll still go running and do most of the stuff we normally do - except for being inside places with lots of other people.
Brexit is now firmly embedded in BritNat mythology. England is stuck with it for the foreseeable. The other three have an escape route, although the Welsh path to victory looks long.
In what way is a Japanese car company “totemic”? Is it just because they’re not European?
Secondly, without disputing the tractor stat you reeled off, as a lone wolf better than a political party’s rebut unit, where did that money come from, as it wasn’t the Brexit dividend. To what extent was NHS and NHS pay starved whilst ring fenced in austerity years before that rise? Has it come from adding to government debt, or from cuts and sneaky tax rises? Is it just NHS you refer to, or was that swallowed by Social Care.
The better in economic argument, supported by big majority of world economists , we won’t become frantically worse off straight away, but poorer over years with less to spend on Nissan Bungs and NHS.
Yesterday, Boris just mumbled and could not think on his feet
To me, he looked exhausted and he may have some residual issues with covid and even deafness
Yet we're asking loads of people to take tests, to isolate, to wear masks, to not dance at weddings, in a pretend attempt to control the spread which we're not really seriously trying to control.
Personally, I will be cautious until two weeks after my second dose, but as a society is the hassle, and the legal restrictions on trade, really worth it? If it was worth it, then I think it would be worth reimposing some restrictions to actually reverse the increase in cases.
The muddled middle doesn't make sense to me in this case.
I am not going to be building the barricades just yet, but not in a rush to stand indoors with 100/1000s of people. It going to be another couple of months for this wave to work its way through.
... and if Boris is no longer seen as a winner he becomes quite vulnerable.
But as I said earlier, my wife had severe lung issues in 2019, and we'd rather avoid her getting anything that might cause her lungs problems - especially as the cause was never 100% nailed down. And we're in a fortunate position where we can practically and financially take a little more care.
Philipsen and Merlier have to decide who is top dog. Philipsen looks like a whiner to me.
That French sprinter Bouhanni is looking great.
Eddy Merckx will have to get in training again
Even if its the full 15k, that is an incredibly small number.
https://twitter.com/PaulWilliamsLAB/status/1410550609820925953
"Happy to be out in the sun this morning campaigning for
@kimleadbeater
in #BatleyAndSpenByelection #labour"
Greece GDP per capita
2001 - $12,500
2019 - $19,500
Italy
2001 - $20,400
2019 - $33,200
Whatever we call him, he's an absolute wazzock.
Remember Hague regularly beat Blair at PMQs with his questions -- & much good did it do Hague. He went down to a thumping defeat.
Boris is far happier mouthing optimistic banalities at photo-ops like visiting the new Nissan plant -- and more to the point, they are just much more effective for his purposes.
My guess is Boris probably thinks : why waste the energy boning up on a lot of dull detail for Sir Forensics ?
It is like Man City playing Forest Green Rovers Reserve Team. We are not going to see de Bruijne & Co puffing about the pitch, exerting themselves.
Maybe if Sir Forensics were a bit closer in the polls, lazy Boris might have to exert himself.
But, of course, Sir Fornesics is struggling to hold on to seats that Corbyn won rather easily.
Whether it will be enough I somewhat doubt but morale seems surprisingly good. We'll know in, uh, 12 hours or so.
Was anyone else in the British Museum Reading Room at the appointed hour?
I suspect #FBPE may be trending on Friday - Failed Batley, Pick Evertonian
Charles Pooter in The Diary of a Nobody
Perhaps not, Pooter is a bit too lively
https://timesofisrael.com/israel-said-negotiating-covid-vaccine-swap-deal-with-uk/
The answer to any question now appears to be a derivative of "Labour jabber, Conservatives jab", even if the question to which he is answering relates to a totally unconnected subject like a decline in rape convictions.
The lengths that his fanbois will go to to try and excuse his shitness really is quite funny.
Well done to Teller.
Are you a fellow Catholic Diabolist?
https://twitter.com/theipaper/status/1410626268253523971?s=19
Boris's trouble is that he can never apologise when things go wrong. He will always try to relax the tension with a joke, even when it's totally the wrong thing to do. For someone who I think has a superpower of reading individuals to make them feel good, he's surprisingly awful at reading the room.
And all of that will be much harder for him to fix... because that's kind of who he is.
What is the line about high office being an X-ray of the officeholder's soul?
A couple of weeks maybe?
A much better response would be that that hides an almighty boom in the early 2000s, and that Greek GDP per capita is still nowhere near the peak of 2008.
One of these days he may well make light of the wrong thing.
Last date is 25th
Is you look at the raw numbers chart, you can see what happens -
PB Tories seem to be as desperate to see the back of Starmer as do Corbynistas. I guess both PB Tories and Corbynistas have a similar aim, namely to return Conservative Prime Minister after Conservative Prime Minister
Your other point is valid, though again needs to be made with data in real terms to be proved.
Firstly exchange rates $1=0.90€ in 2001, $1=1.12€ in 2019
so
Greece
2001 - €13888
2019 - €17410
Italy
2001 - €22666
2019 - €29642
Then look at inflation - for which let's use the Italy rate which says €100 in 2001 is €134.74 in 2019 https://www.inflationtool.com/euro-italy?amount=100&year1=2001&year2=2019
which gives me at 2019 prices
Greece
2001 - €18713
2019 - €17410
Italy
2001 - €30541
2019 - €29642
So I think all you've shown there is that there are lies, damn lies and statistics. And anecdotally my Euro figures feel correct...
a) there’s no evidence any government is willing to fund the levelling up required to bring the “non South” up to, say, the EU average for GDP per capita.
b) the DDR is something like 20% of overall German population, the “Not-South” is something like 50% of the U.K. population.
The U.K. “Not-South” is falling behind East Germany, old Central Europe (Czech etc) and the Baltics in terms of living standards.