In the first evidence of unrest against the Sturgeon dictatorship her nominee, Colin Beattie, was defeated 4 years ago for the position of treasurer on the votes of the membership by Douglas Chapman. Chapman resigned because as Treasurer Nicola's husband, party chief officer, was not allowing him access to the books. This left Nicola and Murrell as the only registered officers of the SNP which was a bit cozy even for her. So a solution has been found, a new Treasurer has been appointed. Step forward...Colin Beattie, her candidate who was rejected by the membership.
Fantastic. Or fantastical. Or farce. Something like that.
They had to find a replacement fall guy as being the being the only remaining officers having responsibility for the finances could prove awkard...
Ladbrokes' prices on Chesham & Amersham (apart from the obvious one: who wins?):-
To come third:- Greens 4/7 Labour 11/8 Liberal Democrats 16/1 Reform UK 33/1 Breakthrough Party 100/1 Conservatives 100/1 Freedom Alliance 100/1 Rejoin EU 100/1
LibDem vote share:- Under 25% 50/1 25-30% 25/1 30-35% 3/1 35-40% 6/4 40-45% 7/4 45-50% 12/1 Over 50% 40/1
Is it worth looking at the third place market? Is Labour value, given the party came third in 2019 and second in 2017? Other bookmakers are available. In the absence of any polling data, I'm reluctant to get involved.
If this is the two horse race we think, with the LibDems performing a squeeze on the non-Tory vote, then 45-50% band at 12-1 looks cracking value. They could get that - and still come second....
Now 6/4 favourite - and a bet there would have filled the gap between my other selections...
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replacementfall guy as being the being the only remaining officers having responsibility for the finances could prove awkard...We could then get the Headline.
Hancock Off; Socks On.