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And for election day – The Uncultured Mr Maslow – politicalbetting.com

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  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,174
    Mortimer said:

    Chameleon said:

    Chameleon said:

    Var. Tory canvasser and media reports that it's not even close in Hartlepool.

    Labour nailed on like usual?
    Very much a weighing the vote type of result.
    Boris must think it's in the bag:

    "@BorisJohnson

    I'm urging everyone in Hartlepool to get out and vote for Jill Mortimer today.

    She's got a fantastic plan for change to take Hartlepool forward.

    So vote Conservative in Hartlepool today."


    https://twitter.com/BorisJohnson/status/1390266752148328453
    Don't regulations prevent this ?
    Which regulations?
    Campaigning on election day, as I understood it.
    Campaigning on election day is absolutely allowed.
    Yes its just broadcasters that can't transmit it
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559

    If a majority of The Public are in favour of the death penalty, and are opposed to litter louts, HOW COME no major party is proposing bringing back the Rope?

    HOW did you get your comment to appear in green?

    Also, how do PBers type a word on here, then cross it out? (I'm a techno peasant!)
  • Time_to_LeaveTime_to_Leave Posts: 2,547

    Chameleon said:

    Didn't Ms Cooper use to post on this site, or am I mis-remembering?

    Hopeless and shouty. All she has ever done is HIPS which was a fecking disaster.
    The Labour front bench merry go round does feel a bit Tory Party c. 2003 “what shall we do with Michael Ancram”. It’s not exactly bold new talent.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,544
  • WhisperingOracleWhisperingOracle Posts: 9,128
    edited May 2021
    Mortimer said:

    Chameleon said:

    Chameleon said:

    Var. Tory canvasser and media reports that it's not even close in Hartlepool.

    Labour nailed on like usual?
    Very much a weighing the vote type of result.
    Boris must think it's in the bag:

    "@BorisJohnson

    I'm urging everyone in Hartlepool to get out and vote for Jill Mortimer today.

    She's got a fantastic plan for change to take Hartlepool forward.

    So vote Conservative in Hartlepool today."


    https://twitter.com/BorisJohnson/status/1390266752148328453
    Don't regulations prevent this ?
    Which regulations?
    Campaigning on election day, as I understood it.
    Campaigning on election day is absolutely allowed.
    Yes, it seems that only media rules are applied in regulation. There does seem to have been a change in the way the substance of election day campaigning, rather than estimates of votes / turnout, is nationally reported in the media, though.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,544
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,859

    Chameleon said:

    Chameleon said:

    Var. Tory canvasser and media reports that it's not even close in Hartlepool.

    Labour nailed on like usual?
    Very much a weighing the vote type of result.
    Boris must think it's in the bag:

    "@BorisJohnson

    I'm urging everyone in Hartlepool to get out and vote for Jill Mortimer today.

    She's got a fantastic plan for change to take Hartlepool forward.

    So vote Conservative in Hartlepool today."


    https://twitter.com/BorisJohnson/status/1390266752148328453
    What fantastic plan for change could Conservative Jill Mortimer possibly have? What does she think is wrong with what Boris's government is doing?
    That she has a plan would put her well ahead. But the government saying she has a plan isn’t reassuring given that we were supposed to have seen the plan for solving the social care crisis way back.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,974
    murali_s said:

    nico679 said:

    Bozos gun boat willy waving might go down well south of the border but is likely to go down badly with the vast majority north of the border .

    The Bozo stunt just reminds those who think he’s a detestable waste of space of the need to get out and vote and make sure the fat oaf won’t be able to crow about the results in Scotland .

    Bozo is a disingenuous racist overweight fornicator - nothing more, more less.

    Loved by the pea-brained fanbois who live on this right-wing blog!
    I'll put you don't as a maybe shall I?
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,814

    If a majority of The Public are in favour of the death penalty, and are opposed to litter louts, HOW COME no major party is proposing bringing back the Rope?

    For littering, no less?
  • Time_to_LeaveTime_to_Leave Posts: 2,547
    Andy_JS said:
    Actual knowledge? Or the heard watching this site. I’m a bit tempted in Labour. Hmmm.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,027
    nico679 said:

    Bozos gun boat willy waving might go down well south of the border but is likely to go down badly with the vast majority north of the border .

    The Bozo stunt just reminds those who think he’s a detestable waste of space of the need to get out and vote and make sure the fat oaf won’t be able to crow about the results in Scotland .

    He was responding to a direct request from the Jersey States executive to assist in the invasion of St Helier harbour by angry French fishermen (who are always angry) and following the threat from France to cut of the electricity supply to Jersey which in any civilised negotiation is wholly unacceptable

    Strange you do not refer to the provocation of France towards the States of Jersey

  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,098

    eek said:

    Chameleon said:

    Var. Tory canvasser and media reports that it's not even close in Hartlepool.

    And? Rochdale and myself said that from the very beginning of this by-election
    I love this "look at how much of a f-ing hero I was" stuff!

    Ok, ok, we all do it, but @kinabalu said it too and I've bet on the Tories throughout too, I just wasn't sure if it was going to be a narrow margin or a big margin.

    I decided 4 days ago it'd be big, and bet accordingly.
    3500 is my prediction of the margin.
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    Mortimer said:

    Chameleon said:

    Chameleon said:

    Var. Tory canvasser and media reports that it's not even close in Hartlepool.

    Labour nailed on like usual?
    Very much a weighing the vote type of result.
    Boris must think it's in the bag:

    "@BorisJohnson

    I'm urging everyone in Hartlepool to get out and vote for Jill Mortimer today.

    She's got a fantastic plan for change to take Hartlepool forward.

    So vote Conservative in Hartlepool today."


    https://twitter.com/BorisJohnson/status/1390266752148328453
    Don't regulations prevent this ?
    Which regulations?
    Campaigning on election day, as I understood it.
    Campaigning on election day is absolutely allowed.
    Except as prohibited within a certain distance from poll sites. A pesky detail that (it appears) is news to that keen campaigner and original Albanian, Alex Salmond?
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,213
    tlg86 said:

    Rumours from a source that Yvette Cooper is the next SC, all but confirmed

    God help them.
    To be honest, she's got to be better than - WHO? Ken Dodd? - who's never said anything or done anything ever.

    Anyone still breathing would be better than that.
    Let’s be honest, Dodds got the job because she wouldn’t be a threat to Starmer. Cooper might be.
    Plus the left wants Dodds. McDonnell rated here. So do I TBH though I'm among a minority I know.
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,275
    It’s laughable to see some deride the pool of talent available to Starmer given the only qualification needed to be in the cabinet is to be a Bozo lap dog and have total belief in the Brexit Unicorn .

  • If a majority of The Public are in favour of the death penalty, and are opposed to litter louts, HOW COME no major party is proposing bringing back the Rope?

    HOW did you get your comment to appear in green?

    Also, how do PBers type a word on here, then cross it out? (I'm a techno peasant!)
    http://htmlguide.drgrog.com/cheatsheet.php
  • OldBasingOldBasing Posts: 173
    A little anecdata on postal votes. Partner works for a Hampshire council - 4000 postal votes were returned over last two days.
  • solarflaresolarflare Posts: 3,705
    edited May 2021
    Boring hypothetical question for those following the Scottish election.

    Would it be a better or worse system if parties had to stand for both constituency and list ballots? In pure choice terms there is an absolute glut of list parties but in constituency terms the choice is much more limited (some might say pathetically so).

    I can't quite work out if it would be better, or if it would just kill a lot of the variety on the list.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 22,812
    Cookie said:

    Cookie said:

    Cookie said:

    felix said:

    eek said:

    Chameleon said:

    Var. Tory canvasser and media reports that it's not even close in Hartlepool.

    And? Rochdale and myself said that from the very beginning of this by-election
    And I said narrow labour hold from the start. Have to say I'm starting to wonder............. :blush:
    I'm the same. This really ought to have been a Lab hold, but the campaign has been shocking. From the candidate picked, to the national campaigning ... It's like they're conspiring to throw the election.

    I bet with Kinabalu at evens on a Lab hold. I wouldn't today based on what's happened since, I think I'll lose that bet.
    I thought Labour were value here at Evens.

    I never bought that ALL Brexit Party votes transferred to the Conservatives - but even starting from the guess that two thirds of them would, that would give a notional result from 2007 of 45% Con, 37% Labour. That is the sort of territory that governments normally lose from in a by election.
    Why think that in the middle of a pandemic, with a world leading vaccination campaign and during a generational shift in politics from economy to culture, things can be predicted by what happens normally?
    Because, as with regular government, many people seem quite cross about the way the pandemic has progressed. And while I agree with the 'shift in politics from economy to culture', this isn't a sudden thing.
    Neither of these should take away from the general rule that those angry about the government are generally more motivated to vote than those content with them.
    But what this feels like to me (from the vantage point of 100 miles away, so what do I know) is that people are more motivated by voting against Labour. I can't remember when the Tories were in opposition there being the same desire to vote against the Tories at by-elections. A lack of enthusiasm to vote for them, certainly; but the desire to give the Tories a kicking didn't seem to feature in by-elections of the 1997-2010 period.
    Well lets see if its national or local. I'd say mostly local so mostly Brexit/culture driven.

    And will culture voters switch between blue and red in mid terms/by elections in the same way economic voters did? It seems pretty unlikely to me that they would - they will cheer on their team.
    Yes, but even in the heyday of government by-election losses, there were relatively few switchers - more a case of the opposition parties being better able to get their vote out and the government's finding it hard to muster the enthusiasm. You would have thought the same rules would apply whatever the nature of the split - it's just the nature of being on government that you have to disappoint people, whether economically or culturally.

    So I still find a government gain in a by-election remarkable, even allowing for large scale transferability between BXP and CON.
    You dont have to disappoint voters culturally. It is trivial to find some obscure thing to be offended at and get others to share your offence. Even easier if the voters are older and think life should be as it was when they were growing up.
  • murali_smurali_s Posts: 3,067
    Andy_JS said:
    Labour surely worth a flutter at these odds?
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,859
    edited May 2021

    If a majority of The Public are in favour of the death penalty, and are opposed to litter louts, HOW COME no major party is proposing bringing back the Rope?

    HOW did you get your comment to appear in green?

    Also, how do PBers type a word on here, then cross it out? (I'm a techno peasant!)
    http://htmlguide.drgrog.com/cheatsheet.php
    very interesting

    worth a second read

    or indeed a third
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    My own view of Alex Salmond is the same as my take on Al Franken.

    No problem with either (am NOT a Scottish Nationalist, though I am an American Democrat) UNTIL they become a liability to their party and cause.

    In that case, the sooner they jump into the dustbin of history, the better.

    "You don't need a leader / to know which way the wind blows"

    Best thing for Scotland in general, and Scottish nationalism in particular, would be for Alba to end up with 0 seats. IMHO. B

    But then don't have a vote, so am just the overseas peanut gallery. Throwing the shells across the Atlantic (and the Pacific)!
  • Time_to_LeaveTime_to_Leave Posts: 2,547
    nico679 said:

    It’s laughable to see some deride the pool of talent available to Starmer given the only qualification needed to be in the cabinet is to be a Bozo lap dog and have total belief in the Brexit Unicorn .

    The relevant comparison is Blair in 94 or Cameron in 07.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,098
    Cookie said:

    Cookie said:

    Cookie said:

    felix said:

    eek said:

    Chameleon said:

    Var. Tory canvasser and media reports that it's not even close in Hartlepool.

    And? Rochdale and myself said that from the very beginning of this by-election
    And I said narrow labour hold from the start. Have to say I'm starting to wonder............. :blush:
    I'm the same. This really ought to have been a Lab hold, but the campaign has been shocking. From the candidate picked, to the national campaigning ... It's like they're conspiring to throw the election.

    I bet with Kinabalu at evens on a Lab hold. I wouldn't today based on what's happened since, I think I'll lose that bet.
    I thought Labour were value here at Evens.

    I never bought that ALL Brexit Party votes transferred to the Conservatives - but even starting from the guess that two thirds of them would, that would give a notional result from 2007 of 45% Con, 37% Labour. That is the sort of territory that governments normally lose from in a by election.
    Why think that in the middle of a pandemic, with a world leading vaccination campaign and during a generational shift in politics from economy to culture, things can be predicted by what happens normally?
    Because, as with regular government, many people seem quite cross about the way the pandemic has progressed. And while I agree with the 'shift in politics from economy to culture', this isn't a sudden thing.
    Neither of these should take away from the general rule that those angry about the government are generally more motivated to vote than those content with them.
    But what this feels like to me (from the vantage point of 100 miles away, so what do I know) is that people are more motivated by voting against Labour. I can't remember when the Tories were in opposition there being the same desire to vote against the Tories at by-elections. A lack of enthusiasm to vote for them, certainly; but the desire to give the Tories a kicking didn't seem to feature in by-elections of the 1997-2010 period.
    Well lets see if its national or local. I'd say mostly local so mostly Brexit/culture driven.

    And will culture voters switch between blue and red in mid terms/by elections in the same way economic voters did? It seems pretty unlikely to me that they would - they will cheer on their team.
    Yes, but even in the heyday of government by-election losses, there were relatively few switchers - more a case of the opposition parties being better able to get their vote out and the government's finding it hard to muster the enthusiasm. You would have thought the same rules would apply whatever the nature of the split - it's just the nature of being on government that you have to disappoint people, whether economically or culturally.

    So I still find a government gain in a by-election remarkable, even allowing for large scale transferability between BXP and CON.
    But on top of the special BXP circumstances you have special pandemic circumstances - opposition blotted out and the government vaccine triumph. So this is exceptional times two. Double special. A Labour hold would have been a great result for them. As it is - meh.
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,275

    nico679 said:

    Bozos gun boat willy waving might go down well south of the border but is likely to go down badly with the vast majority north of the border .

    The Bozo stunt just reminds those who think he’s a detestable waste of space of the need to get out and vote and make sure the fat oaf won’t be able to crow about the results in Scotland .

    He was responding to a direct request from the Jersey States executive to assist in the invasion of St Helier harbour by angry French fishermen (who are always angry) and following the threat from France to cut of the electricity supply to Jersey which in any civilised negotiation is wholly unacceptable

    Strange you do not refer to the provocation of France towards the States of Jersey

    The French minister who made the electricity threat is clearly stupid but the Jersey government messed up as Guernsey hasn’t had this problem . As for Bozo he remains a waste of space and no 10 is a cesspit of corruption and cronyism .
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    murali_s said:

    Andy_JS said:
    Labour surely worth a flutter at these odds?
    All mood music is that it's not going to be close.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,071
    edited May 2021

    If a majority of The Public are in favour of the death penalty, and are opposed to litter louts, HOW COME no major party is proposing bringing back the Rope?

    HOW did you get your comment to appear in green?

    Also, how do PBers type a word on here, then cross it out? (I'm a techno peasant!)
    You should have a number of basic font options above the type box - it's the strikethrough option


    The green text thing is basic HTML stuff as in this image

    Let's see
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,212
    OldBasing said:

    A little anecdata on postal votes. Partner works for a Hampshire council - 4000 postal votes were returned over last two days.

    What percentage of the registered vote was that?
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    IanB2 said:

    If a majority of The Public are in favour of the death penalty, and are opposed to litter louts, HOW COME no major party is proposing bringing back the Rope?

    HOW did you get your comment to appear in green?

    Also, how do PBers type a word on here, then cross it out? (I'm a techno peasant!)
    http://htmlguide.drgrog.com/cheatsheet.php
    very interesting

    worth a second read

    or indeed a third
    Show off!
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,354

    ydoethur said:

    Pulpstar said:

    UK reports 13 more coronavirus deaths and 2,613 new cases

    I wonder if ~2000 cases a day is the floor until we have vaccinated the plague spreaders otherwise known as children.
    My other half hasn't been offered it yet, she is 34 - neither has Max of this parish or his other half I believe. So there's a large number of 20s and 30s still unvaxxed.
    Nor me.
    Haven’t been offered it either, and the website is still saying 40+.
    I know it will give you all comfort to know that at 37, I’ve had one and my second is booked. So it’s all going swimmingly.
    It’s good to hear lots of people are being vaccinated, but it is a bit frustrating for those of us still unable to book.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,298
    tlg86 said:

    Rumours from a source that Yvette Cooper is the next SC, all but confirmed

    God help them.
    To be honest, she's got to be better than - WHO? Ken Dodd? - who's never said anything or done anything ever.

    Anyone still breathing would be better than that.
    Let’s be honest, Dodds got the job because she wouldn’t be a threat to Starmer. Cooper might be.
    What a bizarre theory.
    Almost LOL’d.
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,275

    nico679 said:

    It’s laughable to see some deride the pool of talent available to Starmer given the only qualification needed to be in the cabinet is to be a Bozo lap dog and have total belief in the Brexit Unicorn .

    The relevant comparison is Blair in 94 or Cameron in 07.
    At least Blair was upto the job . Bozo is useless and surrounded by even worse barring Sunak.
  • squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 6,723
    nico679 said:

    It’s laughable to see some deride the pool of talent available to Starmer given the only qualification needed to be in the cabinet is to be a Bozo lap dog and have total belief in the Brexit Unicorn .

    What pool of talent? Pray be precise as to detail....
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Pulpstar said:

    UK reports 13 more coronavirus deaths and 2,613 new cases

    I wonder if ~2000 cases a day is the floor until we have vaccinated the plague spreaders otherwise known as children.
    My other half hasn't been offered it yet, she is 34 - neither has Max of this parish or his other half I believe. So there's a large number of 20s and 30s still unvaxxed.
    Nor me.
    Haven’t been offered it either, and the website is still saying 40+.
    I know it will give you all comfort to know that at 37, I’ve had one and my second is booked. So it’s all going swimmingly.
    It’s good to hear lots of people are being vaccinated, but it is a bit frustrating for those of us still unable to book.
    You shouldn't have much longer to wait. Certainly hope that's the case, for you & all the Great UnVaxed.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,071
    nico679 said:

    It’s laughable to see some deride the pool of talent available to Starmer given the only qualification needed to be in the cabinet is to be a Bozo lap dog and have total belief in the Brexit Unicorn .

    That's not laughable, it's unfortunate - opposition front bench have to work harder to appear competent, as they don't have the weight of office and the civil service (flawed though both are) to make them look good.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,407
    murali_s said:

    nico679 said:

    Bozos gun boat willy waving might go down well south of the border but is likely to go down badly with the vast majority north of the border .

    The Bozo stunt just reminds those who think he’s a detestable waste of space of the need to get out and vote and make sure the fat oaf won’t be able to crow about the results in Scotland .

    Bozo is a disingenuous racist overweight fornicator - nothing more, more less.

    Loved by the pea-brained fanbois who live on this right-wing blog!
    Are you and @Mango the same person?

    You both pop up from time to time to shout deluded hyperbolic ultra-partisan nonsense.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,354

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Pulpstar said:

    UK reports 13 more coronavirus deaths and 2,613 new cases

    I wonder if ~2000 cases a day is the floor until we have vaccinated the plague spreaders otherwise known as children.
    My other half hasn't been offered it yet, she is 34 - neither has Max of this parish or his other half I believe. So there's a large number of 20s and 30s still unvaxxed.
    Nor me.
    Haven’t been offered it either, and the website is still saying 40+.
    I know it will give you all comfort to know that at 37, I’ve had one and my second is booked. So it’s all going swimmingly.
    It’s good to hear lots of people are being vaccinated, but it is a bit frustrating for those of us still unable to book.
    You shouldn't have much longer to wait. Certainly hope that's the case, for you & all the Great UnVaxed.
    I am haunting the relevant NHS website. They probably think I’m a Russian cyberbot looking for weaknesses.
  • OldBasingOldBasing Posts: 173

    OldBasing said:

    A little anecdata on postal votes. Partner works for a Hampshire council - 4000 postal votes were returned over last two days.

    What percentage of the registered vote was that?
    c.30,000 voted in the last round of district elections in total.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,814
    edited May 2021

    Boring hypothetical question for those following the Scottish election.

    Would it be a better or worse system if parties had to stand for both constituency and list ballots? In pure choice terms there is an absolute glut of list parties but in constituency terms the choice is much more limited (some might say pathetically so).

    I can't quite work out if it would be better, or if it would just kill a lot of the variety on the list.

    Not sure how that works for independent candidates or very very small parties (ie one of them only). Would mean standing in every constdituency in a region, which is senseless if X is the sole candidate for the Larkhill Orange Lodge Party or Orkney Fisherfolk's Party? And also that raises issues if X wins more than one, not only in which seat gets X, but also probably messes up the already buggered up d'Hondt arithmetic. The sole reason for the Scottish system was to keep Alex Salmond out of power - ironically enough it might just be doing that now.
  • Peter_the_PunterPeter_the_Punter Posts: 14,321
    Surprisingly busy at my polling station in Winchcombe. Had to wait all of five minutes to assert my opinion.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,098
    Stocky said:

    tlg86 said:

    Rumours from a source that Yvette Cooper is the next SC, all but confirmed

    God help them.
    To be honest, she's got to be better than - WHO? Ken Dodd? - who's never said anything or done anything ever.

    Anyone still breathing would be better than that.
    Let’s be honest, Dodds got the job because she wouldn’t be a threat to Starmer. Cooper might be.
    Plus the left wants Dodds. McDonnell rated here. So do I TBH though I'm among a minority I know.
    I like Dodds. I get the sense she'd be an excellent chancellor.
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,213
    kinabalu said:

    Cookie said:

    Cookie said:

    Cookie said:

    felix said:

    eek said:

    Chameleon said:

    Var. Tory canvasser and media reports that it's not even close in Hartlepool.

    And? Rochdale and myself said that from the very beginning of this by-election
    And I said narrow labour hold from the start. Have to say I'm starting to wonder............. :blush:
    I'm the same. This really ought to have been a Lab hold, but the campaign has been shocking. From the candidate picked, to the national campaigning ... It's like they're conspiring to throw the election.

    I bet with Kinabalu at evens on a Lab hold. I wouldn't today based on what's happened since, I think I'll lose that bet.
    I thought Labour were value here at Evens.

    I never bought that ALL Brexit Party votes transferred to the Conservatives - but even starting from the guess that two thirds of them would, that would give a notional result from 2007 of 45% Con, 37% Labour. That is the sort of territory that governments normally lose from in a by election.
    Why think that in the middle of a pandemic, with a world leading vaccination campaign and during a generational shift in politics from economy to culture, things can be predicted by what happens normally?
    Because, as with regular government, many people seem quite cross about the way the pandemic has progressed. And while I agree with the 'shift in politics from economy to culture', this isn't a sudden thing.
    Neither of these should take away from the general rule that those angry about the government are generally more motivated to vote than those content with them.
    But what this feels like to me (from the vantage point of 100 miles away, so what do I know) is that people are more motivated by voting against Labour. I can't remember when the Tories were in opposition there being the same desire to vote against the Tories at by-elections. A lack of enthusiasm to vote for them, certainly; but the desire to give the Tories a kicking didn't seem to feature in by-elections of the 1997-2010 period.
    Well lets see if its national or local. I'd say mostly local so mostly Brexit/culture driven.

    And will culture voters switch between blue and red in mid terms/by elections in the same way economic voters did? It seems pretty unlikely to me that they would - they will cheer on their team.
    Yes, but even in the heyday of government by-election losses, there were relatively few switchers - more a case of the opposition parties being better able to get their vote out and the government's finding it hard to muster the enthusiasm. You would have thought the same rules would apply whatever the nature of the split - it's just the nature of being on government that you have to disappoint people, whether economically or culturally.

    So I still find a government gain in a by-election remarkable, even allowing for large scale transferability between BXP and CON.
    But on top of the special BXP circumstances you have special pandemic circumstances - opposition blotted out and the government vaccine triumph. So this is exceptional times two. Double special. A Labour hold would have been a great result for them. As it is - meh.
    Re Hartlepool - are you going to be giving it that superforecaster stuff again tomorrow? Can't wait.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,071
    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Pulpstar said:

    UK reports 13 more coronavirus deaths and 2,613 new cases

    I wonder if ~2000 cases a day is the floor until we have vaccinated the plague spreaders otherwise known as children.
    My other half hasn't been offered it yet, she is 34 - neither has Max of this parish or his other half I believe. So there's a large number of 20s and 30s still unvaxxed.
    Nor me.
    Haven’t been offered it either, and the website is still saying 40+.
    I know it will give you all comfort to know that at 37, I’ve had one and my second is booked. So it’s all going swimmingly.
    It’s good to hear lots of people are being vaccinated, but it is a bit frustrating for those of us still unable to book.
    You shouldn't have much longer to wait. Certainly hope that's the case, for you & all the Great UnVaxed.
    I am haunting the relevant NHS website. They probably think I’m a Russian cyberbot looking for weaknesses.
    I notice you don't say that they would be wrong to think that...доктор.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,859
    edited May 2021

    IanB2 said:

    If a majority of The Public are in favour of the death penalty, and are opposed to litter louts, HOW COME no major party is proposing bringing back the Rope?

    HOW did you get your comment to appear in green?

    Also, how do PBers type a word on here, then cross it out? (I'm a techno peasant!)
    http://htmlguide.drgrog.com/cheatsheet.php
    very interesting

    worth a second read

    or indeed a third
    Show off!
    Ha! I can bat away your unwarranted abuse simply by quoting it turned into white text.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,354
    kle4 said:

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Pulpstar said:

    UK reports 13 more coronavirus deaths and 2,613 new cases

    I wonder if ~2000 cases a day is the floor until we have vaccinated the plague spreaders otherwise known as children.
    My other half hasn't been offered it yet, she is 34 - neither has Max of this parish or his other half I believe. So there's a large number of 20s and 30s still unvaxxed.
    Nor me.
    Haven’t been offered it either, and the website is still saying 40+.
    I know it will give you all comfort to know that at 37, I’ve had one and my second is booked. So it’s all going swimmingly.
    It’s good to hear lots of people are being vaccinated, but it is a bit frustrating for those of us still unable to book.
    You shouldn't have much longer to wait. Certainly hope that's the case, for you & all the Great UnVaxed.
    I am haunting the relevant NHS website. They probably think I’m a Russian cyberbot looking for weaknesses.
    I notice you don't say that they would be wrong to think that...доктор.
    Which part of ‘deep cover’ didn’t you get, tovarisch?
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,213
    kinabalu said:

    Stocky said:

    tlg86 said:

    Rumours from a source that Yvette Cooper is the next SC, all but confirmed

    God help them.
    To be honest, she's got to be better than - WHO? Ken Dodd? - who's never said anything or done anything ever.

    Anyone still breathing would be better than that.
    Let’s be honest, Dodds got the job because she wouldn’t be a threat to Starmer. Cooper might be.
    Plus the left wants Dodds. McDonnell rated here. So do I TBH though I'm among a minority I know.
    I like Dodds. I get the sense she'd be an excellent chancellor.
    Yes, Cooper or Reeves would too though.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,354

    Surprisingly busy at my polling station in Winchcombe. Had to wait all of five minutes to assert my opinion.

    I had to wait all of thirty seconds for an elderly gentleman to walk down the narrow path to the gate, giving him room.

    Then, the polling station was emptier than Gavin Williamson’s skull.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,298

    murali_s said:

    nico679 said:

    Bozos gun boat willy waving might go down well south of the border but is likely to go down badly with the vast majority north of the border .

    The Bozo stunt just reminds those who think he’s a detestable waste of space of the need to get out and vote and make sure the fat oaf won’t be able to crow about the results in Scotland .

    Bozo is a disingenuous racist overweight fornicator - nothing more, more less.

    Loved by the pea-brained fanbois who live on this right-wing blog!
    Are you and @Mango the same person?

    You both pop up from time to time to shout deluded hyperbolic ultra-partisan nonsense.
    Thank goodness they do!
    It’s about the only counter argument to the relentless Boris love poetry we get on this site.

    (Plus asides about how the problem with anyone else is that they are too woke or vegan for the northern working class - often typed up by contributors from Devon or even abroad).
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,174

    tlg86 said:

    Rumours from a source that Yvette Cooper is the next SC, all but confirmed

    God help them.
    To be honest, she's got to be better than - WHO? Ken Dodd? - who's never said anything or done anything ever.

    Anyone still breathing would be better than that.
    Let’s be honest, Dodds got the job because she wouldn’t be a threat to Starmer. Cooper might be.
    What a bizarre theory.
    Almost LOL’d.
    The first bit, the second bit, or both?

    Dodds always seemed an odd choice given no one knew who she was and we know even less about her now.

    Cooper, on the other hand, is an experienced performer who would give the government a harder time.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,354
    Oh, Dent, Dent, Dent. What were you thinking?
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,212
    ydoethur said:

    kle4 said:

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Pulpstar said:

    UK reports 13 more coronavirus deaths and 2,613 new cases

    I wonder if ~2000 cases a day is the floor until we have vaccinated the plague spreaders otherwise known as children.
    My other half hasn't been offered it yet, she is 34 - neither has Max of this parish or his other half I believe. So there's a large number of 20s and 30s still unvaxxed.
    Nor me.
    Haven’t been offered it either, and the website is still saying 40+.
    I know it will give you all comfort to know that at 37, I’ve had one and my second is booked. So it’s all going swimmingly.
    It’s good to hear lots of people are being vaccinated, but it is a bit frustrating for those of us still unable to book.
    You shouldn't have much longer to wait. Certainly hope that's the case, for you & all the Great UnVaxed.
    I am haunting the relevant NHS website. They probably think I’m a Russian cyberbot looking for weaknesses.
    I notice you don't say that they would be wrong to think that...доктор.
    Which part of ‘deep cover’ didn’t you get, tovarisch?
    Komrades.....

    The long sobs
    Of violins
    Of autumn
    Wound my heart
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,298
    tlg86 said:

    tlg86 said:

    Rumours from a source that Yvette Cooper is the next SC, all but confirmed

    God help them.
    To be honest, she's got to be better than - WHO? Ken Dodd? - who's never said anything or done anything ever.

    Anyone still breathing would be better than that.
    Let’s be honest, Dodds got the job because she wouldn’t be a threat to Starmer. Cooper might be.
    What a bizarre theory.
    Almost LOL’d.
    The first bit, the second bit, or both?

    Dodds always seemed an odd choice given no one knew who she was and we know even less about her now.

    Cooper, on the other hand, is an experienced performer who would give the government a harder time.
    It seems pretty obvious to me that in assembling his first shadow cabinet, Keir was at pains to avoid alienating a still-powerful leftist cadre.

    Yvette etc were too indelibly Brownite.

    But that was before. He’s managed to rout some of the nutters, and he has a freer hand now.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,479
    The extreme partisan wing of the PB Tories is clearly rattled by the prospect of Yvette as Shadchan. They have raised HIPS - a scheme launched some 14 years ago.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,601
    kinabalu said:

    Stocky said:

    tlg86 said:

    Rumours from a source that Yvette Cooper is the next SC, all but confirmed

    God help them.
    To be honest, she's got to be better than - WHO? Ken Dodd? - who's never said anything or done anything ever.

    Anyone still breathing would be better than that.
    Let’s be honest, Dodds got the job because she wouldn’t be a threat to Starmer. Cooper might be.
    Plus the left wants Dodds. McDonnell rated here. So do I TBH though I'm among a minority I know.
    I like Dodds. I get the sense she'd be an excellent chancellor.
    I get the sense she'd be the Estelle Morris of Chancellors.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    murali_s said:

    nico679 said:

    Bozos gun boat willy waving might go down well south of the border but is likely to go down badly with the vast majority north of the border .

    The Bozo stunt just reminds those who think he’s a detestable waste of space of the need to get out and vote and make sure the fat oaf won’t be able to crow about the results in Scotland .

    Bozo is a disingenuous racist overweight fornicator - nothing more, more less.

    Loved by the pea-brained fanbois who live on this right-wing blog!
    Are you and @Mango the same person?

    You both pop up from time to time to shout deluded hyperbolic ultra-partisan nonsense.
    Thank goodness they do!
    It’s about the only counter argument to the relentless Boris love poetry we get on this site.

    (Plus asides about how the problem with anyone else is that they are too woke or vegan for the northern working class - often typed up by contributors from Devon or even abroad).
    Relentless love poetry like calling him constantly such imaginative names as BoZo, Clown, Shagger, Liar or even "Boris"?
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,693
    kinabalu said:

    Stocky said:

    tlg86 said:

    Rumours from a source that Yvette Cooper is the next SC, all but confirmed

    God help them.
    To be honest, she's got to be better than - WHO? Ken Dodd? - who's never said anything or done anything ever.

    Anyone still breathing would be better than that.
    Let’s be honest, Dodds got the job because she wouldn’t be a threat to Starmer. Cooper might be.
    Plus the left wants Dodds. McDonnell rated here. So do I TBH though I'm among a minority I know.
    I like Dodds. I get the sense she'd be an excellent chancellor.
    Sadly for you (and of course her) it's not going to happen.

    Not convinced by the Cooper rumours to be honest. She has supposedly indicated she would rather stay as a Select Committee chair iirc.
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    Re: electioneering within prohibited distance of poll sites, am personally VERY opposed to this. By anyone, but especially by my OWN side!

    Have ZERO problem taking down campaign signs in clear violation. And as an election worker, have (politely) requested voters wearing campaign buttons inside polling places. In concord with workers from other parties.

    Back in 2008 general election, when there were LONG lines of eager voters at King County Elections, waiting to cast their votes (or return their ballots) some entrepreneurs were working the line (which was disproportionately voters of color) selling Obama memorabilia.

    Which of course was a no-no. And they were told they could NOT do it - quite rightly.

    They were not electioneering per se, instead trying to make a buck. BUT the rule is the rule. That's small-d democracy.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,298

    The extreme partisan wing of the PB Tories is clearly rattled by the prospect of Yvette as Shadchan. They have raised HIPS - a scheme launched some 14 years ago.

    For a year we’ve heard the PB Tories whinge that “Yvette Cooper would have been better”, and at the first rumour she might be back it’s, “oh but what about HIPS?”
  • CursingStoneCursingStone Posts: 421

    Chameleon said:

    Didn't Ms Cooper use to post on this site, or am I mis-remembering?

    Hopeless and shouty. All she has ever done is HIPS which was a fecking disaster.
    Was it Snowflake?
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,354

    kinabalu said:

    Stocky said:

    tlg86 said:

    Rumours from a source that Yvette Cooper is the next SC, all but confirmed

    God help them.
    To be honest, she's got to be better than - WHO? Ken Dodd? - who's never said anything or done anything ever.

    Anyone still breathing would be better than that.
    Let’s be honest, Dodds got the job because she wouldn’t be a threat to Starmer. Cooper might be.
    Plus the left wants Dodds. McDonnell rated here. So do I TBH though I'm among a minority I know.
    I like Dodds. I get the sense she'd be an excellent chancellor.
    I get the sense she'd be the Estelle Morris of Chancellors.
    It is strange that of all education secretaries of the last 40 years, only one - Morris - has been a teacher and only two - MacGregor and Greening - have shown any understanding of education.

    You wonder if it’s any coincidence that they’re also among the five shortest serving. There seems to be a highly toxic anti-educational culture at the DfE, which has been on view and not in a good way over the last year.
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    If a majority of The Public are in favour of the death penalty, and are opposed to litter louts, HOW COME no major party is proposing bringing back the Rope?

    HOW did you get your comment to appear in green?

    Also, how do PBers type a word on here, then cross it out? (I'm a techno peasant!)
    http://htmlguide.drgrog.com/cheatsheet.php
    very interesting

    worth a second read

    or indeed a third
    Show off!
    Ha! I can bat away your unwarranted abuse simply by quoting it turned into white text.
    Can still see it . . . barely!
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,974
    Germany say nein....to waiving patent rights on vaccines.

    https://twitter.com/BNODesk/status/1390355044340572160?s=19
  • ThomasNasheThomasNashe Posts: 5,331

    kinabalu said:

    Stocky said:

    tlg86 said:

    Rumours from a source that Yvette Cooper is the next SC, all but confirmed

    God help them.
    To be honest, she's got to be better than - WHO? Ken Dodd? - who's never said anything or done anything ever.

    Anyone still breathing would be better than that.
    Let’s be honest, Dodds got the job because she wouldn’t be a threat to Starmer. Cooper might be.
    Plus the left wants Dodds. McDonnell rated here. So do I TBH though I'm among a minority I know.
    I like Dodds. I get the sense she'd be an excellent chancellor.
    I get the sense she'd be the Estelle Morris of Chancellors.
    Much cleverer than Estelle. Her problem is that she lacks the human touch that Estelle in fact had.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,027
    Hartlepool is not won until the declaration

    However the following pointers are interesting

    A pollster gave a 17% conservative lead in the most recent constituency poll

    Private labour polling indicated they were retaining just 40% of their 2019 vote

    The pollster who established the 17% conservative lead said he will never do another constituency poll if Labour win it

    Canvassers and the media suggesting today the votes need weighing for the conservatives

    Smarkets have just jumped to 92.59% conservative win

    Surely a Labour hold would be extraordinary
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    IIRC Correctly the Brexit party got as low a 1.15 for Peterborough.

    Not going to happen this time. Nailed on Con gain.
  • Time_to_LeaveTime_to_Leave Posts: 2,547
    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Pulpstar said:

    UK reports 13 more coronavirus deaths and 2,613 new cases

    I wonder if ~2000 cases a day is the floor until we have vaccinated the plague spreaders otherwise known as children.
    My other half hasn't been offered it yet, she is 34 - neither has Max of this parish or his other half I believe. So there's a large number of 20s and 30s still unvaxxed.
    Nor me.
    Haven’t been offered it either, and the website is still saying 40+.
    I know it will give you all comfort to know that at 37, I’ve had one and my second is booked. So it’s all going swimmingly.
    It’s good to hear lots of people are being vaccinated, but it is a bit frustrating for those of us still unable to book.
    Yeah I get that. Soon though, hopefully.
  • CursingStoneCursingStone Posts: 421

    Chameleon said:

    Chameleon said:

    Var. Tory canvasser and media reports that it's not even close in Hartlepool.

    Labour nailed on like usual?
    Very much a weighing the vote type of result.
    Boris must think it's in the bag:

    "@BorisJohnson

    I'm urging everyone in Hartlepool to get out and vote for Jill Mortimer today.

    She's got a fantastic plan for change to take Hartlepool forward.

    So vote Conservative in Hartlepool today."


    https://twitter.com/BorisJohnson/status/1390266752148328453
    Don't regulations prevent this ?
    Which regulations?
    Campaigning on election day, as I understood it.
    You might be confusing with purdah rules that are there to stop taxpayers money been used to promote a candidate or party. This doesnt stop any individual or candidate from acting as they wish to promote themselves (within the rules for an election).
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,544

    Surprisingly busy at my polling station in Winchcombe. Had to wait all of five minutes to assert my opinion.

    I thought you lived in Putney.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,544
    murali_s said:

    Andy_JS said:
    Labour surely worth a flutter at these odds?
    Maybe.
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    Andy_JS said:

    Surprisingly busy at my polling station in Winchcombe. Had to wait all of five minutes to assert my opinion.

    I thought you lived in Putney.
    That's the other Peter IIRC. They get mixed up all the time. Like the Tims.
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,747

    Hartlepool is not won until the declaration

    However the following pointers are interesting

    A pollster gave a 17% conservative lead in the most recent constituency poll

    Private labour polling indicated they were retaining just 40% of their 2019 vote

    The pollster who established the 17% conservative lead said he will never do another constituency poll if Labour win it

    Canvassers and the media suggesting today the votes need weighing for the conservatives

    Smarkets have just jumped to 92.59% conservative win

    Surely a Labour hold would be extraordinary

    All setup for a Hillary in New Hampshire event then. Not that it did her any good in the end.
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 12,496

    If a majority of The Public are in favour of the death penalty, and are opposed to litter louts, HOW COME no major party is proposing bringing back the Rope?

    Several reasons. Among them are that some opinions, while held by lots of people, are regarded by a significant number of people as 'tainting' any other opinions they might hold.

    These include opinions which are widely held but not particularly thoughtfully held. On the left the abolition of property rights or eliminating policing. On the right, the death penalty, criminalising some sexual preferences and some racist opinions come to mind.

    By and large parties have decided that the death penalty is both not a vote winner and is not coherently capable of implementation in the modern world.

    Some things don't work in theory but do in practice. The death penalty works fine in theory - we can all think of people who richly deserve it - but would be catastrophic in practice.

  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,311

    malcolmg said:

    Leon said:

    WAR

    You really are a pillock of the first order.
    Takes one to know one
    You SNP'ing or Alba-ing today malc ?

    Held my nose and went SNP constituency and Alba List, independence is my first concern. Hoping Sturgeon gets dumped quick mind you.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,620
    Alistair said:

    IIRC Correctly the Brexit party got as low a 1.15 for Peterborough.

    Not going to happen this time. Nailed on Con gain.

    IIRC Labour were as low as 1.02 minutes before the Dunfermline and West Fife by-election declaration in 2006.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,354
    Alistair said:

    IIRC Correctly the Brexit party got as low a 1.15 for Peterborough.

    Not going to happen this time. Nailed on Con gain.

    Which in itself would be pretty extraordinary. A governing party has only gained a seat at a by-election twice since 1970, and only five times since 1945 - one of those being Bristol South 1959, where the Labour candidate won but was declared ineligible.

    Even seats like Peterborough in 2019 - which should under the circumstances have been an easy gain - stayed with the Opposition.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,311

    Another leg of the Tories’ Scotland strategy will be the timing of the next British general election. Although insiders insist no substantive discussion about the date has taken place, there are signs that Johnson is keen to keep open the option of holding the contest in 2023 rather than 2024, when his term would run out.

    This would require him to repeal the Fixed-terms Parliament Act, but the thinking goes that year difference would make it easier to hold off calls for a second Scottish referendum. Johnson will be hoping that the SNP loses seats in a general election and that the Tories sweep back to power on a manifesto pledging to retain the union — allowing him to claim a fresher mandate than that provided to the SNP by today’s vote.


    https://www.politico.eu/article/boris-johnson-scotland-headache-independence-referendum-elections/

    Unionist desperation setting in, retreat from Stalingrad is well under way.
  • contrariancontrarian Posts: 5,818

    The extreme partisan wing of the PB Tories is clearly rattled by the prospect of Yvette as Shadchan. They have raised HIPS - a scheme launched some 14 years ago.

    Except on current trends Yvette is unlikely even to be in parliament in 2024.

    1,200 majority with 8,000 UKIP votes last time out. In the North.

    And two and a half years of Cooper curling her lip about Boris's curtains.

    Game over.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,601
    Ursula von der Leyen is calling on all countries to avoid measures that disrupt supply chains for vaccines.

    https://twitter.com/vonderleyen/status/1390315328580825088
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,974
    At least 25 people including a police officer have been killed in a shoot-out in Rio de Janeiro, according to local media.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,071
    malcolmg said:

    malcolmg said:

    Leon said:

    WAR

    You really are a pillock of the first order.
    Takes one to know one
    You SNP'ing or Alba-ing today malc ?

    Held my nose and went SNP constituency and Alba List, independence is my first concern. Hoping Sturgeon gets dumped quick mind you.
    Not really the time to be switching leaders of the movement right after winning a majority at Holyrood is it?
  • squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 6,723

    The extreme partisan wing of the PB Tories is clearly rattled by the prospect of Yvette as Shadchan. They have raised HIPS - a scheme launched some 14 years ago.

    They.. this isn't some sort of relative pronoun. HIPS IS THE ONLY THING she had ever achieved in office and as I said, it was a fecking disaster. Bring it on. Let her be shadow Chancellor with Ed working her from behind. Out will trip neoendogeonous growth theory before you can say HIPS.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,354

    Ursula von der Leyen is calling on all countries to avoid measures that disrupt supply chains for vaccines.

    https://twitter.com/vonderleyen/status/1390315328580825088

    Good news.

    As long as she applies it to the EU as well.
  • CursingStoneCursingStone Posts: 421
    edited May 2021

    The extreme partisan wing of the PB Tories is clearly rattled by the prospect of Yvette as Shadchan. They have raised HIPS - a scheme launched some 14 years ago.

    That was her main experience in government, its not unreasonable to draw attention to it. Thatcher still gets called Milk Snatcher from a policy 48 years ago, and despite her also been dead.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,974

    Ursula von der Leyen is calling on all countries to avoid measures that disrupt supply chains for vaccines.

    https://twitter.com/vonderleyen/status/1390315328580825088

    Openness and fairness....having a laugh.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,298
    Isn’t Yvette effectively the female Keir?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,071
    ydoethur said:

    Ursula von der Leyen is calling on all countries to avoid measures that disrupt supply chains for vaccines.

    https://twitter.com/vonderleyen/status/1390315328580825088

    Good news.

    As long as she applies it to the EU as well.
    Oh, I'm sure she is no fan of 'Do as I say, not as I do'.
  • algarkirk said:

    If a majority of The Public are in favour of the death penalty, and are opposed to litter louts, HOW COME no major party is proposing bringing back the Rope?

    Several reasons. Among them are that some opinions, while held by lots of people, are regarded by a significant number of people as 'tainting' any other opinions they might hold.

    These include opinions which are widely held but not particularly thoughtfully held. On the left the abolition of property rights or eliminating policing. On the right, the death penalty, criminalising some sexual preferences and some racist opinions come to mind.

    By and large parties have decided that the death penalty is both not a vote winner and is not coherently capable of implementation in the modern world.

    Some things don't work in theory but do in practice. The death penalty works fine in theory - we can all think of people who richly deserve it - but would be catastrophic in practice.

    Maybe they could be elected to the House of Lords instead?:

    https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/blogs/ec_referendumpoll_20210407.html
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,656
    Labour been working the more marginal seats locally very hard today

    The 3 defensive marginals seem to have been prioritised. There is only one attacking marginal though

    Make of that what you will.

    Someone told me yesterday they were hopeful of cutting the Tory majority on DCC and BOP may be with the 3 LD's

  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,311
    Cicero said:

    malcolmg said:

    Leon said:

    WAR

    You really are a pillock of the first order.
    Takes one to know one
    How old are you? This is just ridiculous.
    Not old enough Dad. What planet are you on supporting that absolute cretinous slug Foremain. He is the lowest of the low.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,071
    Well, Yvette seems to have the first name factor based on responses here, which some people persist in pretending is like how people think Boris is their best mate or some such rubbish, so she is clearly the candidate to go for based on that alone.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,354
    kle4 said:

    ydoethur said:

    Ursula von der Leyen is calling on all countries to avoid measures that disrupt supply chains for vaccines.

    https://twitter.com/vonderleyen/status/1390315328580825088

    Good news.

    As long as she applies it to the EU as well.
    Oh, I'm sure she is no fan of 'Do as I say, not as I do'.
    Surely, ‘do as EU say, not do as EU do?’
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,620

    Isn’t Yvette effectively the female Keir?

    No.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,354

    Isn’t Yvette effectively the female Keir?

    No.
    Even if she were, surely we can all see Keir Starmer would be a brilliant Chancellor of the Exchequer? Reasonable, sensible, highly intelligent, hard working and meticulous.

    The snag is, he hasn’t shown much imagination so far, and you need imagination to be a leader.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,656

    Isn’t Yvette effectively the female Keir?

    Keir - Shall we have Coffee or Tea Yvette

    Yvette - Well Keir they both have their merits what do you think

    Keir - I am fine with either you pick Yvette

    Half an hour later........
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,693
    Andy_JS said:

    murali_s said:

    Andy_JS said:
    Labour surely worth a flutter at these odds?
    Maybe.
    I'm tempted. It would be extraordinary now for Labour to pull this out of the fire, but at those odds maybe worth a nibble.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,311

    Boring hypothetical question for those following the Scottish election.

    Would it be a better or worse system if parties had to stand for both constituency and list ballots? In pure choice terms there is an absolute glut of list parties but in constituency terms the choice is much more limited (some might say pathetically so).

    I can't quite work out if it would be better, or if it would just kill a lot of the variety on the list.

    Might get rid of the dross the parties have on their list backup system, all the chumocracy and deadwood careerists and arse lickers are on there. List is full of dross, mind you much of constituency is also dross so would it really matter that much.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,974
    edited May 2021
    So Von Der Disaster has said EU willing to discuss waiving patent rights on vaccines, Germany has said no.

    Left hand doesn't know what the right hand is doing Wherr's the UNNNNITTTYYYYY?
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,311
    kle4 said:

    malcolmg said:

    malcolmg said:

    Leon said:

    WAR

    You really are a pillock of the first order.
    Takes one to know one
    You SNP'ing or Alba-ing today malc ?

    Held my nose and went SNP constituency and Alba List, independence is my first concern. Hoping Sturgeon gets dumped quick mind you.
    Not really the time to be switching leaders of the movement right after winning a majority at Holyrood is it?
    One can only hope, unfortunately it would be likely Macbeth would be the replacement
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 12,496

    The extreme partisan wing of the PB Tories is clearly rattled by the prospect of Yvette as Shadchan. They have raised HIPS - a scheme launched some 14 years ago.

    For a year we’ve heard the PB Tories whinge that “Yvette Cooper would have been better”, and at the first rumour she might be back it’s, “oh but what about HIPS?”
    Very pro Yvette Cooper. However she isn't going to be chancellor unless something very odd happens. Her seat is a Hartlepool, whose result she will watch with interest. YC has a majority of 1300 and the Brexit party got 8000 votes.

    Labour is more likely to form a government without YC than to form one with her. Plus should they form a rainbow alliance - their only option - someone droning on SNP bore will have a claim to be SC. And most likely of course is none of these. At the moment there are loads of Tory seats they look more like winning than holding NP and C.

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