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In the betting Sturgeon’s chances of being First Minister at the end of the year tighten to 9/4 – po
In the betting Sturgeon’s chances of being First Minister at the end of the year tighten to 9/4 – politicalbetting.com
Odds of Nicola Sturgeon being replaced as FM this year cut from 11/4 to 9/4. ???????https://t.co/A3HtDGiqMG pic.twitter.com/gMiewyG936
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I presume if it's a tie the Presiding officer would side with the SNP.
Even if a VoNC passes, what does that mean given there's an election in just a few weeks? I also wonder if the electorate will think it a good idea so close to the election.
Does it in any way signal a pro-Union Coalition ready to form an alternative administration? I'm far from convinced.
Whether he has actually been wronged or not he thinks he has been wronged by Sturgeon and her husband, that makes a second indyref even more interesting.
If the three unionist parties can get this result then enough people will sit at home on election day and that gives them a shot at a unionist majority in the Scottish parliament.
https://twitter.com/BBCWalesNews/status/1372811601364070404
The alternative is an unsteady coalition where Conservatives might have to support a Labour FM. Would Johnson prefer that?
I welcome the control of a shadowy cabal of the elite on Thursday.
Afterwards 50% of your posts will be about praising Bill Gates.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-coventry-warwickshire-56459217
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-dorset-56454792
Otherwise we could fall into a bozartige Spirale of never ending linguistic harrumphing.
He says "modest quotation in foreign languages is permissible" and "some [members] occasionally use Latin quips, and that is perfectly allowable" and "Welsh quips and Scots quotations are allowed, but not full speeches" going on to go into the cost of translation of full speeches.
I read that as three separate but related points about foreign languages, dead/classical languages, and UK languages other than English. I don't actually think it's correct that he was referring to Welsh or Scots as "foreign languages".
When not being downright nasty.
When the hard core of Sindy supporters that make up 40% of Scotland’s population desert the party, then the value is in laying them. That moment hasn’t come yet and probably won’t over this.
Actively removing it is a change. Speaker doesn't do that.
I’d still expect her to be FM at the end of the year.
However the Speaker was the one who had said not to make opening remarks in Welsh and JRM was defending their right to do so ... so that's really an unfortunate way it's been phrased in the report.
The key to speeches in debate is that everyone needs to be able to understand them or they are a complete waste of time.
I believe the three surviving Celtic languages *should* be permitted to be used in the Commons, but the fact is at this moment they are not and unless a democratic decision is taken to change and enable that, speeches should be in English.
'Sure Salmond was found not guilty but no smoke without fire, nudge nudge, wink wink'.
I'm seldom lost for words but Sturgeon's intervention managed it.
Have to say the Scots are testing this to destruction right now, but...
So really it doesn't matter if nobody understands what you've said.
How could simultaneous translation be provided in a chamber built in the 1940s to a design of the 1830s?
I’m thinking Bluetooth headphones, hooked up either to a phone app or a central computer, might be feasible.
But I’ve no idea what signal is like in the chamber. Any info?
Your suggestion seems fairly viable to me once the refurb is done, as apparently one of the aims is to improve connectivity across the estate. Of course it would depend on the authorities being willing to support additional languages with clerks and translators, which might be politically fraught.
https://twitter.com/AFP/status/1372972798054907918
It was perfectly sensible. People are just trying to make something out of absolutely nothing.
I make no comment on everything else he says, in English, Welsh or Latin.
https://twitter.com/Wera_Hobhouse/status/1372998921694412809?s=19
AFAIU, Rees-Mogg was trying to defend Ms Saville-Roberts use of language, but he referred to Welsh as a "foreign language" because he was arguing that it was analogous to occasional use of Latin or Greek, which is permitted.
The Moggster said: "I know that some honourable and right honourable members occasionally use Latin quips, and that is perfectly allowable and Welsh quips and Scots quotations are allowed, but not full speeches."
So, the Moggster is a bit of a wanker, but we knew that. Anyhow, he is not as big a wanker as Lindsay Hoyle.
I mean, what kind of person responds to "Lá Fhéile Pádraig sona daoibh go léir!" with "Stop that. You can't do that here"
Not will?
Kinabalu said:
'This is the traditional analysis but it's no longer applicable in the new politics forged by the 2016 EU Referendum and its aftermath. If the Tories can't win here, a triumphant Brexit just pocketed, they are losing their grip on what won them their GE majority - their consolidation and ownership of the Leave political identity, transcending class. Which means big trouble for them, since they offer little else except the "Boris" act. If Labour win this seat in May, Starmer will not quite be measuring up the curtains for number 10, but he will be immensely heartened, trust me. '
I really fail to see the psephological logic here. Is there any serious evidence that voters today in Hartlepool - or anywhere else - are more obsessed with Brexit - and Corbyn - than was the case in December 2019? The Tories failed by some margin to win the seat at a time when both those factors were at their most salient. Why should they be so much more likely to win the seat now - particularly when the national polling evidence shows a more modest Tory lead compared with 16 months ago?
13th for daily deaths
Ms Merkel said she had hoped lockdown measures would not need to be reintroduced so soon after easing restrictions, but that "sadly" developments meant that it was looking unavoidable.
"We agreed that, should the seven-day incidence rate exceed 100 per 100,000 people in a region or state, we will go back to the restrictions which were in place until 7 March - we called it the emergency brake."
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-56460696
Also on the subject of screw-ups, and tacked on to the end of the article about Germany...
Some 21 million people in 16 areas of France, including the capital Paris, will be placed under Covid lockdown measures from midnight on Friday as the country fears a third wave.
Trains leaving Paris for parts of the country where lockdown restrictions do not apply, such as Brittany and Lyon, were reportedly fully booked hours before the measures were due to come into effect. Traffic jams were reported on several roads leaving the capital.
That, as was predicted the nanosecond after the French Government decided to lock down parts of the country but not others, is the Plague spread to all the places where it wasn't already starting to burn out of control. They've learned nothing.
She's 66.
I'd say 20% Labour, 60% Tory, 20% not voting. That's about enough of the vote going Tory to win.