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New US poll finds that if Trump decides to set up a new party 64% of Republicans would back it – pol
New US poll finds that if Trump decides to set up a new party 64% of Republicans would back it – politicalbetting.com
Scary Stat of the Day:In a new @thehill poll 64% of registered Republicans say they would be likely to join a new political party started by Donald Trump.https://t.co/hS4qiTPWpb pic.twitter.com/CAoMdtBgTV
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Cheerio, Republican Party....
https://youtu.be/3DcWJrzK0wU?t=2305
[referring to the English troops]
Duchess of Richmond: They're the salt of England, Arthur.
Duke of Wellington: Scum. Nothing but beggars and scoundrels, all of them. Gin is the spirit of their patriotism.
Duchess of Richmond: Yet you expect them to die for you?
Duke of Wellington: Um-hum.
Duchess of Richmond: Out of duty?
Duke of Wellington: Um-hum.
Duchess of Richmond: I doubt if even Bonaparte could draw men to him by duty.
Duke of Wellington: Oh, Boney's not a gentleman.
Duchess of Richmond: Arthur! What an Englishman you are.
Duke of Wellington: On the field of battle his hat is worth fifty thousand men; but he is not a gentleman.
Like it or not, the GOP has to get the shit of its shoes or the smell will never go.
It puts the whole electoral map in play. 60 seats in the Senate would go from impossible to possible. Maybe even likely. A Democrat presidency with the House and Senate would be a juggenaught.
https://twitter.com/thoughtland/status/1357760699439669250?s=20
RIP Christopher Plummer is a sentiment that I echo though.
According to the polls how popular was a new pro Remain party going to be? Until it launched and the TIGgers found they'd bounced themselves out of a job.
The only parallel even approaching this was 1912 when former President Theodore Roosevelt set up the Progressive party and polled 27% in the election with Taft for the GOP on 23%. Woodrow Wilson took back the WH for the Democrats with 41% in a landslide.
Looking back at last November, Republicans voted 94-6 for Trump and Democrats 94-5 for Biden. The former were 36% of those who voted and the latter 37%. The key swing group were the 26% of Independents who backed Biden 54-41.
Crunching those numbers gives the Trump Party 35% of the vote with the Democrats on 47% leaving the GOP on just 17%. That looks like Democrat landslide territory to this observer.
To be fair to the Republicans, just eight years after the 1912 debacle, they regained the White House and controlled it for 12 years until Hoover was smashed in the first of FDR's four landslides.
But Democrats have the same issue with Bernieites.
But being President is less important than who wins seats in the Congress.
In the internet age, its less important to have 15 minutes of fame but more to see 15 consonants published.
It is in the Senate that I'd expect a disaster for the right - MAGA could be expected to win in the truly deep red South and Appalachia. For the rump GOP, it could be a near wipe out in the Senate.
Trump isn't a single issue - he's a network of beliefs and ideas. I'd argue apart from wishing to Remain in the EU, the TIG group had very little in common.
It's more akin to the SDP schism from Labour in 1981 but even that comparison is flawed. The only equivalent would have been if, having been ousted in November 1990, Margaret Thatcher had left the Conservative Party and formed her own political movement.
If they had shown some actual courage...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iv55nWACoCM
They cannot afford to vote to acquit him and see him set up his own party when 90% of Republican voters want to acquit him.
https://twitter.com/ByronYork/status/1356317630320279553?s=20
So most likely the vote will go on party lines, a majority will vote to convict him but not by the 2/3 majority required
We got so close to a disaster.
And of course the same has to be said for many of their followers.
When May failed to deliver Brexit in 2019 however, the Brexit Party took most of the Tory vote until Boris replaced her.
https://twitter.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/1357723321601826816?s=20
https://youtu.be/rmZbCwmOC6I
All perfectly orderly and safe.
But it was Cheltenham. Civilised sorts.
Not to mention the other vaccines on the way.
Beyond that I can't comment from personal experience: I'll be waiting a long time for my turn.
https://twitter.com/PermSecScot/status/1357364018676191235?s=20
tinyurl.com/10wh5b22
I know there's a big Kevin Hague fan on PB.
'“Some unionists feel like they are fighting a losing battle,” conceded Kevin Hague, a Scotland-based entrepreneur, pro-UK campaigner and chairman of These Islands, a pro-union think-tank.'
It should surprise no one that Kevin is taking the standard Unionist coward's way out of avoiding that losing battle by refusing to let it take place.
'“It’s absolutely true that those campaigning for separation have got more momentum and a greater sense of readiness for a referendum than those who would defend the union,” he said.
But, he added, even if the SNP were to gain majority control of the Scottish Parliament, and manage to legislate for a second independence poll, “there isn’t going to be an independence referendum anytime soon”.'
People have been sent to ConHome for less, Lucky.
https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1356836849533284352?s=20
However Hawley clearly presenting himself as the dream candidate for the MAGA crowd, he is also far brighter than most of the Trumpites, educated at Stanford and Yale law school and a former associate professor and lawyer.
https://twitter.com/HawleyMO/status/1357719042677764098?s=20
I'm impressed that you thought of linking the scene.
"Patriot -
"We have the RINO Establishment in panic mode.
"Hundreds of patriots stood with me at the Wyoming Capitol to call out Liz Cheney and her America-Last policies that serve the interests of her corporate warlords and not the American people.
"We need to send a clear message → President Trump’s America First movement is the guiding doctrine of the real Republican Party - not the corporate crony vision of Liz Cheney, Mitt Romney, and the rest of the RINOs in Washington."
2. Might not stop the rest of them if they're sufficiently desperate
3. Oxford/AZ was developed in Satanic Brexitland, hence the regulatory misgivings. Sputnik V, on the other hand, comes from Putin's Russia. So that's OK.
There definitely isn't a rule that they shouldn't take place because it's inconvenient electorally for the No side, except in the heads of the No side.
You are right (from your multiple previous posts) that a military engagement is Johnson's last resort option over Scotland. Your troops by then might be otherwise engaged in Jeffrey Donaldson's wet dream of removing the border in the North Channel and having no physical land borders. Surely that means annexing the South by force.