Very sad - but with a 100 year old hardly unexpected. Overall, deaths are starting to fall a little more rapidly:
Cases and admissions dropping like a stone now.
The sustained steep case drop has to be a feature of the new variant, infect quickly, decline quickly.
It's hard to tell if this is a biological or psychological effect. The steeper increase is scarier, and therefore you would expect it to lead to a stronger collective response.
Speaking of the Daily Mail (eg @FrancisUrquhart's link) their web site is getting harder and harder to read with all the pop-up videos and adverts. Guido's is even worse. I guess in the short term it brings in the moolah but, well, perhaps they follow Keynes on the long term.
Along with the Express, the Mail's website has joined the list of sites I don't bother going to. Partly what you said, partly the content is rarely worth the effort.
Out of interest, have you replaced them with others, or just narrowed the field?
Frankly, I find this site, when it is lively, provides me with as much diversity of opinions (and sources) as I can handle. I don't think cutting back on those particular sites actually diminishes the breadth of opinions to which I am exposed.
I am more interested in primary sources of information of data, and well thought out opinion (even if it conflicts with mine). I do think journalism in general is in a tough spot now - reduced print and ad revenues means that they neither have the quality nor number of journalists to do most stories justice at any more than a superficial level. Consequently, yes, I do rely less on journalism for both my information and exposure to other opinions and analysis.
Sainsbury's -- council handing out free masks outside. Running out of Coke, cat food and fish. Fruit and veg hit and miss, possibly Brexit related as British, South African and Chilean goods were there.
Vaccinations of friends:- Person A, AZ/Oxford -- no queue; jabbed on arrival an hour early; no side-effects. Person B, AZ/Oxford -- long but fast-moving queue; jabbed after 15 mins; 2 days of side-effects. Person C, Sputnik -- walk-in centre in Moscow (not rationed by age or occupation).
Two family members got AZ today from centres that appear to have been exclusively doing Pfizer up to then.
Shortages? Or government going safety first just in case the EU decide to throw another Cartman tantrum?
So far from people I know of vaccinated, all the ones in London got Pfizer and all the ones elsewhere got Oxford.
That's a funny coincidence given the vaccines have been distributed nationwide consistently.
For what it's worth most of my relatives who've got it got Pfizer. That is in the Northwest.
Very sad - but with a 100 year old hardly unexpected. Overall, deaths are starting to fall a little more rapidly:
Cases and admissions dropping like a stone now.
The sustained steep case drop has to be a feature of the new variant, infect quickly, decline quickly.
Not like anything else might be contributing... (e.g. vaccination of frontline NHS, so fewer hospital acquired infections, vaccination ~ 20% of the adult population, being in lockdown for four weeks). We don't really get to see how the cases fell in April/May, as the testing wasn't available. I'd love to be able to compare.
South Africa has shown a similar precipitous drop without vaccine and a lockdown that, while strict, is also places where social distancing is quite impossible.
Scotland's move to control the border is good, hopefully it will put pressure on the whole UK government to do it and approach Ireland over a two island solution. I think we should offer Ireland access to our vaccine scheme as part of them becoming part of the same travel restriction bubble. What we have now isn't good enough.
Very sad - but with a 100 year old hardly unexpected. Overall, deaths are starting to fall a little more rapidly:
Cases and admissions dropping like a stone now.
The sustained steep case drop has to be a feature of the new variant, infect quickly, decline quickly.
It's hard to tell if this is a biological or psychological effect. The steeper increase is scarier, and therefore you would expect it to lead to a stronger collective response.
Farr's law. It's a law based on empirical evidence rather than on theory, so provides no explanation as to why.
Very sad - but with a 100 year old hardly unexpected. Overall, deaths are starting to fall a little more rapidly:
Cases and admissions dropping like a stone now.
The sustained steep case drop has to be a feature of the new variant, infect quickly, decline quickly.
Not like anything else might be contributing... (e.g. vaccination of frontline NHS, so fewer hospital acquired infections, vaccination ~ 20% of the adult population, being in lockdown for four weeks). We don't really get to see how the cases fell in April/May, as the testing wasn't available. I'd love to be able to compare.
South Africa has shown a similar precipitous drop without vaccine and a lockdown that, while strict, is also places where social distancing is quite impossible.
Even after nearly a year, there is still so much mystery around COVID.
Sainsbury's -- council handing out free masks outside. Running out of Coke, cat food and fish. Fruit and veg hit and miss, possibly Brexit related as British, South African and Chilean goods were there.
Vaccinations of friends:- Person A, AZ/Oxford -- no queue; jabbed on arrival an hour early; no side-effects. Person B, AZ/Oxford -- long but fast-moving queue; jabbed after 15 mins; 2 days of side-effects. Person C, Sputnik -- walk-in centre in Moscow (not rationed by age or occupation).
Two family members got AZ today from centres that appear to have been exclusively doing Pfizer up to then.
Shortages? Or government going safety first just in case the EU decide to throw another Cartman tantrum?
So far from people I know of vaccinated, all the ones in London got Pfizer and all the ones elsewhere got Oxford.
The two AZ/Oxford jabees I mentioned earlier were both 70+ and in two different London boroughs last week.
Very sad - but with a 100 year old hardly unexpected. Overall, deaths are starting to fall a little more rapidly:
Cases and admissions dropping like a stone now.
The sustained steep case drop has to be a feature of the new variant, infect quickly, decline quickly.
Not like anything else might be contributing... (e.g. vaccination of frontline NHS, so fewer hospital acquired infections, vaccination ~ 20% of the adult population, being in lockdown for four weeks). We don't really get to see how the cases fell in April/May, as the testing wasn't available. I'd love to be able to compare.
South Africa has shown a similar precipitous drop without vaccine and a lockdown that, while strict, is also places where social distancing is quite impossible.
Even after nearly a year, there is still so much mystery around COVID.
3.7 billion years of life, and it's still a mystery.
I did not know that -- I thought the argument was (unlike the other exempt islands) Ynys Mon was connected to the mainland by a bridge and so the exemption did not apply.
If so, that is good news for the Tories & PC in Ynys Mon -- as the Labour stronghold of Bangor cannot be joined with Ynys Mon to make a reasonably safe Labour seat.
Though the current Tory MP richly deserves the boot, the seat will stay a 3 way marginal.
All the island exemptions should be scrapped now we don't need to conciliate the LDs.
And yet. We've gone from 2 protected Island constituencies to 5. Maybe the "all constituencies should be equal" is a slogan not a policy? And, yes, they should be scrapped.
I hope McConnell votes to convict but I doubt it. GOP politicians have little trouble in uncoupling what is politically expedient today from what they said yesterday.
Richard Nixon must be wondering why he had to resign. Mitch McConnell must also be wondering why Nixon resigned.
Aaron Burr must be wondering - "What did I do wrong again?"
Aaron Burr was acquitted at HIS trial, with Chief Justice John Marshall as judge.
Trump's going to be so lucky - the only president to be declared super duper innocent TWICE.
Any future racketeering and money laundering trial might not go so well. Looking forward to seeing him in a fetching orange jumpsuit- to match the tan.
Conservatives on 90% plus after secondary polling?
I wonder if 3% really knew what the Reform Party was, or whether they said/selected “Brexit Party”. Changing the name like that must be risky because the nature of what it is isn’t in the name now, and Farage hasn’t had a lot of airtime. Will matter in real elections.
Very sad - but with a 100 year old hardly unexpected. Overall, deaths are starting to fall a little more rapidly:
Cases and admissions dropping like a stone now.
The sustained steep case drop has to be a feature of the new variant, infect quickly, decline quickly.
Not like anything else might be contributing... (e.g. vaccination of frontline NHS, so fewer hospital acquired infections, vaccination ~ 20% of the adult population, being in lockdown for four weeks). We don't really get to see how the cases fell in April/May, as the testing wasn't available. I'd love to be able to compare.
South Africa has shown a similar precipitous drop without vaccine and a lockdown that, while strict, is also places where social distancing is quite impossible.
Even after nearly a year, there is still so much mystery around COVID.
3.7 billion years of life, and it's still a mystery.
Nah that's all solved isn't it....the alien lizard people were sent here and they colonized the planet.
Conservatives on 90% plus after secondary polling?
I wonder if 3% really knew what the Reform Party was, or whether they said/selected “Brexit Party”. Changing the name like that must be risky because the nature of what it is isn’t in the name now, and Farage hasn’t had a lot of airtime. Will matter in real elections.
In real elections Farage is a joke anyway.
It was only Proportional Representation and the joke European Parliament that led to him having any success.
Sainsbury's -- council handing out free masks outside. Running out of Coke, cat food and fish. Fruit and veg hit and miss, possibly Brexit related as British, South African and Chilean goods were there.
Vaccinations of friends:- Person A, AZ/Oxford -- no queue; jabbed on arrival an hour early; no side-effects. Person B, AZ/Oxford -- long but fast-moving queue; jabbed after 15 mins; 2 days of side-effects. Person C, Sputnik -- walk-in centre in Moscow (not rationed by age or occupation).
Two family members got AZ today from centres that appear to have been exclusively doing Pfizer up to then.
Shortages? Or government going safety first just in case the EU decide to throw another Cartman tantrum?
So far from people I know of vaccinated, all the ones in London got Pfizer and all the ones elsewhere got Oxford.
The two AZ/Oxford jabees I mentioned earlier were both 70+ and in two different London boroughs last week.
Richard Nixon must be wondering why he had to resign. Mitch McConnell must also be wondering why Nixon resigned.
Aaron Burr must be wondering - "What did I do wrong again?"
Aaron Burr was acquitted at HIS trial, with Chief Justice John Marshall as judge.
Trump's going to be so lucky - the only president to be declared super duper innocent TWICE.
In impeachment trials (in US anyway) there is no such thing as an innocent or not guilty verdict.
Just convicted versus not convicted. So calling You-Know-Who "innocent" after his (first) trial (or Andrew Johnson or Bill Clinton) is rhetoric NOT law.
Surely few with all their marbles would consider ANY of the impeached POTUS trio to be "innocents"!
Very sad - but with a 100 year old hardly unexpected. Overall, deaths are starting to fall a little more rapidly:
Cases and admissions dropping like a stone now.
The sustained steep case drop has to be a feature of the new variant, infect quickly, decline quickly.
Not like anything else might be contributing... (e.g. vaccination of frontline NHS, so fewer hospital acquired infections, vaccination ~ 20% of the adult population, being in lockdown for four weeks). We don't really get to see how the cases fell in April/May, as the testing wasn't available. I'd love to be able to compare.
South Africa has shown a similar precipitous drop without vaccine and a lockdown that, while strict, is also places where social distancing is quite impossible.
Even after nearly a year, there is still so much mystery around COVID.
3.7 billion years of life, and it's still a mystery.
Nah that's all solved isn't it....the alien lizard people were sent here and they colonized the planet.
How much will you charge me to get to that level of understanding in your church?
Richard Nixon must be wondering why he had to resign. Mitch McConnell must also be wondering why Nixon resigned.
Aaron Burr must be wondering - "What did I do wrong again?"
Aaron Burr was acquitted at HIS trial, with Chief Justice John Marshall as judge.
Trump's going to be so lucky - the only president to be declared super duper innocent TWICE.
In impeachment trials (in US anyway) there is no such thing as an innocent or not guilty verdict.
Just convicted versus not convicted. So calling You-Know-Who "innocent" after his (first) trial (or Andrew Johnson or Bill Clinton) is rhetoric NOT law.
Surely few with all their marbles would consider ANY of the impeached POTUS trio to be "innocents"!
Also true of all English criminal trials, and probably US ones.
Very sad - but with a 100 year old hardly unexpected. Overall, deaths are starting to fall a little more rapidly:
Cases and admissions dropping like a stone now.
The sustained steep case drop has to be a feature of the new variant, infect quickly, decline quickly.
It's hard to tell if this is a biological or psychological effect. The steeper increase is scarier, and therefore you would expect it to lead to a stronger collective response.
Farr's law. It's a law based on empirical evidence rather than on theory, so provides no explanation as to why.
If Farr's law is correct on a global scale then based on the many and varied charts I have been obsessively poring over the global pandemic should be at an end on October. I know it is not as easy as that but global deaths have started to fall this month and if, big if, Farr's Law holds up and on such a scale we will have had roughly a 18-24 month pandemic. About the same as the 1918-20 flu pandemic.
Very sad - but with a 100 year old hardly unexpected. Overall, deaths are starting to fall a little more rapidly:
Cases and admissions dropping like a stone now.
The sustained steep case drop has to be a feature of the new variant, infect quickly, decline quickly.
Not like anything else might be contributing... (e.g. vaccination of frontline NHS, so fewer hospital acquired infections, vaccination ~ 20% of the adult population, being in lockdown for four weeks). We don't really get to see how the cases fell in April/May, as the testing wasn't available. I'd love to be able to compare.
South Africa has shown a similar precipitous drop without vaccine and a lockdown that, while strict, is also places where social distancing is quite impossible.
Even after nearly a year, there is still so much mystery around COVID.
3.7 billion years of life, and it's still a mystery.
Nah that's all solved isn't it....the alien lizard people were sent here and they colonized the planet.
How much will you charge me to get to that level of understanding in your church?
Very sad - but with a 100 year old hardly unexpected. Overall, deaths are starting to fall a little more rapidly:
Cases and admissions dropping like a stone now.
The sustained steep case drop has to be a feature of the new variant, infect quickly, decline quickly.
Not like anything else might be contributing... (e.g. vaccination of frontline NHS, so fewer hospital acquired infections, vaccination ~ 20% of the adult population, being in lockdown for four weeks). We don't really get to see how the cases fell in April/May, as the testing wasn't available. I'd love to be able to compare.
South Africa has shown a similar precipitous drop without vaccine and a lockdown that, while strict, is also places where social distancing is quite impossible.
Even after nearly a year, there is still so much mystery around COVID.
3.7 billion years of life, and it's still a mystery.
Nah that's all solved isn't it....the alien lizard people were sent here and they colonized the planet.
How much will you charge me to get to that level of understanding in your church?
Very sad - but with a 100 year old hardly unexpected. Overall, deaths are starting to fall a little more rapidly:
Cases and admissions dropping like a stone now.
The sustained steep case drop has to be a feature of the new variant, infect quickly, decline quickly.
Not like anything else might be contributing... (e.g. vaccination of frontline NHS, so fewer hospital acquired infections, vaccination ~ 20% of the adult population, being in lockdown for four weeks). We don't really get to see how the cases fell in April/May, as the testing wasn't available. I'd love to be able to compare.
South Africa has shown a similar precipitous drop without vaccine and a lockdown that, while strict, is also places where social distancing is quite impossible.
Yep - I accept that. The great rule for science, and especially biology, is it is complex. There are multiple factors at play. I think we are all desperate to see evidence of the the success of the vaccination programme coming through in the cases/deaths/admissions, but we need to be patient. The danger of the argument that cases are falling as so many have had it, is that that's been espoused before (London last year for instance) and shown not to be true (London late last year and into this year).
Pretty sure that for some parts of the world, this explanation may be the bulk of the reason, and that could include SA.
Richard Nixon must be wondering why he had to resign. Mitch McConnell must also be wondering why Nixon resigned.
Aaron Burr must be wondering - "What did I do wrong again?"
Aaron Burr was acquitted at HIS trial, with Chief Justice John Marshall as judge.
Trump's going to be so lucky - the only president to be declared super duper innocent TWICE.
In impeachment trials (in US anyway) there is no such thing as an innocent or not guilty verdict.
Just convicted versus not convicted. So calling You-Know-Who "innocent" after his (first) trial (or Andrew Johnson or Bill Clinton) is rhetoric NOT law.
Surely few with all their marbles would consider ANY of the impeached POTUS trio to be "innocents"!
I know, but I also know what Trump is going to claim afterwards.
I think the EU commission has had a shocking week, but I understand countries only using the AZ vaccine on their under 65's for now. Its not wrong to be cautious. If we generate good data in our Phase III+ trial (mass vaccination) then they can of course switch policy,
A lot of European regulators and politicians are about to look very, very stupid and the only people paying the price for the anti-vaxx nonsense will be the European people.
Very sad - but with a 100 year old hardly unexpected. Overall, deaths are starting to fall a little more rapidly:
Cases and admissions dropping like a stone now.
The sustained steep case drop has to be a feature of the new variant, infect quickly, decline quickly.
Not like anything else might be contributing... (e.g. vaccination of frontline NHS, so fewer hospital acquired infections, vaccination ~ 20% of the adult population, being in lockdown for four weeks). We don't really get to see how the cases fell in April/May, as the testing wasn't available. I'd love to be able to compare.
South Africa has shown a similar precipitous drop without vaccine and a lockdown that, while strict, is also places where social distancing is quite impossible.
Yep - I accept that. The great rule for science, and especially biology, is its is complex. There are multiple factors at play. I think we are all desperate to see evidence of the the success of the vaccination programme coming through in the cases/deaths/admissions, but we need to be patient. The danger of the argument that cases are falling as so many have had it, is that that's been espoused before (London last year for instance) and shown not to be true (London late last year and into this year).
Pretty sure that for some parts of the world, this explanation may be the bulk of the reason, and that could include SA.
Mini-Trump is going to have a fun time trying to get his anti-vaxxer population onboard after his nonsense in the past few days....yes everybody, you must have your vaccination....but you said it didn't work...
We need to build a wall and make them pay for it, to make sure we don't import their plague.
I think the EU commission has had a shocking week, but I understand countries only using the AZ vaccine on their under 65's for now. Its not wrong to be cautious. If we generate good data in our Phase III+ trial (mass vaccination) then they can of course switch policy,
I'd agree if the EU had the luxury of choice of what they offered. But that have a massive shortage of doses, and people are dying now.
It is a judgment call, but in my view, a wrong one.
I think the EU commission has had a shocking week, but I understand countries only using the AZ vaccine on their under 65's for now. Its not wrong to be cautious. If we generate good data in our Phase III+ trial (mass vaccination) then they can of course switch policy,
I’d be worried about the take up rate in the 50+ bracket...
Very sad - but with a 100 year old hardly unexpected. Overall, deaths are starting to fall a little more rapidly:
Cases and admissions dropping like a stone now.
The sustained steep case drop has to be a feature of the new variant, infect quickly, decline quickly.
Not like anything else might be contributing... (e.g. vaccination of frontline NHS, so fewer hospital acquired infections, vaccination ~ 20% of the adult population, being in lockdown for four weeks). We don't really get to see how the cases fell in April/May, as the testing wasn't available. I'd love to be able to compare.
South Africa has shown a similar precipitous drop without vaccine and a lockdown that, while strict, is also places where social distancing is quite impossible.
Yep - I accept that. The great rule for science, and especially biology, is its is complex. There are multiple factors at play. I think we are all desperate to see evidence of the the success of the vaccination programme coming through in the cases/deaths/admissions, but we need to be patient. The danger of the argument that cases are falling as so many have had it, is that that's been espoused before (London last year for instance) and shown not to be true (London late last year and into this year).
Pretty sure that for some parts of the world, this explanation may be the bulk of the reason, and that could include SA.
I think the EU commission has had a shocking week, but I understand countries only using the AZ vaccine on their under 65's for now. Its not wrong to be cautious. If we generate good data in our Phase III+ trial (mass vaccination) then they can of course switch policy,
I'd agree if the EU had the luxury of choice of what they offered. But that have a massive shortage of doses, and people are dying now.
It is a judgment call, but in my view, a wrong one.
Yep - me too. I think they are wrong, but I understand the thought process.
Very sad - but with a 100 year old hardly unexpected. Overall, deaths are starting to fall a little more rapidly:
Cases and admissions dropping like a stone now.
The sustained steep case drop has to be a feature of the new variant, infect quickly, decline quickly.
Not like anything else might be contributing... (e.g. vaccination of frontline NHS, so fewer hospital acquired infections, vaccination ~ 20% of the adult population, being in lockdown for four weeks). We don't really get to see how the cases fell in April/May, as the testing wasn't available. I'd love to be able to compare.
Yep loads of good reasons for a steepening of the fall - NHS superspreaders vaccinated, most of the worst social distancers will already have copped it by now so we can assume the people catching it now are better behaved than earlier in the piece. And we're definitely at the stage where the 3rd Jan vaccine push will start to have an impact which will only grow.
The South African curve is the same as ours, huge increase followed by huge decrease. I imagine its quite hard to socially distance in some of their poorer areas.
Target 15,000,000 Thru 10,143,511 Remaining 4,865,489 Yesterday's total 352,935 Days to target 13
Required rate/day 373,576
If it looks like we might just miss the target, will putting self-administered doses to cover the shortfall in the post count?
We're going to smash through the target, our two weekend days were close to the required rate, weekdays are going to be at least 150k over it everyday.
Target 15,000,000 Thru 10,143,511 Remaining 4,865,489 Yesterday's total 352,935 Days to target 13
Required rate/day 373,576
If it looks like we might just miss the target, will putting self-administered doses to cover the shortfall in the post count?
England is comfortably ahead of target, should hit well before Valentine's day. No wonder you're starting to get stories of everyon vaccinated by May coming out.
A total of 10,143,511 coronavirus jabs have been given in the UK so far, of which 9,646,715 were first doses, government figures show.
The seven-day rolling average of first doses given in the UK is now 399,055.
Based on the latest figures, an average of 411,791 first doses of vaccine would be needed each day in order to meet the Government's target of 15 million first doses by February 15.
I don't think the "reduction in transmission" mentioned means reduction in passing the virus to another. That wasn't studied (and could hardly be). In fact the study doesn't show significant reduction in asymptomatic infections, which is less good news for reducing R.
But overall my thoughts after reading the paper is that the study is horribly underpowered for more than a simple overall vaccine effectiveness calculation. All this peering into dosage, interval between does, age stratification, symptomatic vs asymptomatic, could easily be looking at noise.
Target 15,000,000 Thru 10,143,511 Remaining 4,865,489 Yesterday's total 352,935 Days to target 13
Required rate/day 373,576
If it looks like we might just miss the target, will putting self-administered doses to cover the shortfall in the post count?
We're going to smash through the target, our two weekend days were close to the required rate, weekdays are going to be at least 150k over it everyday.
I came I saw, I upset two Boris enthusiasts with an attempt at light humour in a depressing Covid world. Time to exit again.
I think the EU commission has had a shocking week, but I understand countries only using the AZ vaccine on their under 65's for now. Its not wrong to be cautious. If we generate good data in our Phase III+ trial (mass vaccination) then they can of course switch policy,
I'd agree if the EU had the luxury of choice of what they offered. But that have a massive shortage of doses, and people are dying now.
It is a judgment call, but in my view, a wrong one.
Yep - me too. I think they are wrong, but I understand the thought process.
If only I could shake the suspicion that they were just being spiteful arses
Target 15,000,000 Thru 10,143,511 Remaining 4,865,489 Yesterday's total 352,935 Days to target 13
Required rate/day 373,576
If it looks like we might just miss the target, will putting self-administered doses to cover the shortfall in the post count?
We're going to smash through the target, our two weekend days were close to the required rate, weekdays are going to be at least 150k over it everyday.
I came I saw, I upset two Boris enthusiasts with an attempt at light humour in a depressing Covid world. Time to exit again.
Sorry.
Not so much a Boris fan than a fan of some of the things the UK has done pretty well in the COVID crisis, and a fan of highlighting the good things when overall things are depressing, rather than tearing down hope.
Target 15,000,000 Thru 10,143,511 Remaining 4,865,489 Yesterday's total 352,935 Days to target 13
Required rate/day 373,576
If it looks like we might just miss the target, will putting self-administered doses to cover the shortfall in the post count?
England is comfortably ahead of target, should hit well before Valentine's day. No wonder you're starting to get stories of everyon vaccinated by May coming out.
The entire UK vaccine cohort is 52,000,000 by my maths... so...
One jab for all by May Day Bank Holiday
All doses, all four nations
Target 52,000,000 Thru 10,143,511 Remaining 41,856,489 Yesterday's total 352,935 Days to target 91
Required rate/day 459,962
That's quite a bit tougher to do, but you have to say it's possible...
If anyone is still interested in the London mayorals, I understand CCHQ has once again demonstrated their confidence in Shaun Bailey today by laying off all the local campaign managers in London they were funding.
MexicanPete said "I came I saw, I upset two Boris enthusiasts"
I wonder how you could put that in the Latin of J. Caesar. Reginald Foster could have done it ll. Time to get out my school Latin texts and dictionary.
Target 15,000,000 Thru 10,143,511 Remaining 4,865,489 Yesterday's total 352,935 Days to target 13
Required rate/day 373,576
If it looks like we might just miss the target, will putting self-administered doses to cover the shortfall in the post count?
We're going to smash through the target, our two weekend days were close to the required rate, weekdays are going to be at least 150k over it everyday.
I came I saw, I upset two Boris enthusiasts with an attempt at light humour in a depressing Covid world. Time to exit again.
Sorry.
Not so much a Boris fan than a fan of some of the things the UK has done pretty well in the COVID crisis, and a fan of highlighting the good things when overall things are depressing, rather than tearing down hope.
I have previously confirmed how impressed I am by vaccine provision. It really has been a triumph for those who have implemented the provision. The Government too, requires credit for overseeing procurement.
If anyone is still interested in the London mayorals, I understand CCHQ has once again demonstrated their confidence in Shaun Bailey today by laying off all the local campaign managers in London they were funding.
I'm very interested. It's always fun to see a tight contest for second place.
There is, presumably, an established emergency use authorisation option for approving medicines because it is recognised that there are sometimes emergencies that require a different approach.
It's bizarre that the EMA/EU didn't consider this pandemic a sufficient emergency to use emergency procedures, and incorrect to call it cutting corners.
A total of 10,143,511 coronavirus jabs have been given in the UK so far, of which 9,646,715 were first doses, government figures show.
The seven-day rolling average of first doses given in the UK is now 399,055.
Based on the latest figures, an average of 411,791 first doses of vaccine would be needed each day in order to meet the Government's target of 15 million first doses by February 15.
I think they have succumbed to the Fence Post Error.
There are 13 count-days remaining I think not 12 (we count 14 Feb's on 15 Feb).
Target 15,000,000 Thru 10,143,511 Remaining 4,865,489 Yesterday's total 352,935 Days to target 13
Required rate/day 373,576
If it looks like we might just miss the target, will putting self-administered doses to cover the shortfall in the post count?
England is comfortably ahead of target, should hit well before Valentine's day. No wonder you're starting to get stories of everyon vaccinated by May coming out.
The entire UK vaccine cohort is 52,000,000 by my maths... so...
One jab for all by May Day Bank Holiday
All doses, all four nations
Target 52,000,000 Thru 10,143,511 Remaining 41,856,489 Yesterday's total 352,935 Days to target 91
Required rate/day 459,962
That's quite a bit tougher to do, but you have to say it's possible...
That's first jab capacity, we also need to factor in the need from April to do a significant number of second doses at the same time so overall capacity from the middle of March onwards will have to be doubled for a bit.
There is, presumably, an established emergency use authorisation option for approving medicines because it is recognised that there are sometimes emergencies that require a different approach.
It's bizarre that the EMA/EU didn't consider this pandemic a sufficient emergency to use emergency procedures, and incorrect to call it cutting corners.
I don't begrudge, in principle, a regulator deciding to take a more cautious approach on things with the available data, even if the urgency of the situation might call for a more bold approach.
But politicians and officials spreading outright misinformation about efficacy and procedures for no reason other than it is politically convenient for them is not merely incorrect, it is abhorrent.
Target 15,000,000 Thru 10,143,511 Remaining 4,865,489 Yesterday's total 352,935 Days to target 13
Required rate/day 373,576
If it looks like we might just miss the target, will putting self-administered doses to cover the shortfall in the post count?
England is comfortably ahead of target, should hit well before Valentine's day. No wonder you're starting to get stories of everyon vaccinated by May coming out.
The entire UK vaccine cohort is 52,000,000 by my maths... so...
One jab for all by May Day Bank Holiday
All doses, all four nations
Target 52,000,000 Thru 10,143,511 Remaining 41,856,489 Yesterday's total 352,935 Days to target 91
Required rate/day 459,962
That's quite a bit tougher to do, but you have to say it's possible...
It feels to me like the 22 Feb “plan to get out of lock down” we’ve been promised will include a new series of linked targets so people can see a countdown. A countdown that miraculously finishes in time for polling day.
“Beat the virus. Build back better”? Something like that, building on the known slogans, I suspect. Plus an announcement of something for NHS and care staff.
Where’s a value proxy for “Tories do so well they could have won London with a decent candidate”?
Target 15,000,000 Thru 10,143,511 Remaining 4,865,489 Yesterday's total 352,935 Days to target 13
Required rate/day 373,576
If it looks like we might just miss the target, will putting self-administered doses to cover the shortfall in the post count?
England is comfortably ahead of target, should hit well before Valentine's day. No wonder you're starting to get stories of everyon vaccinated by May coming out.
The entire UK vaccine cohort is 52,000,000 by my maths... so...
One jab for all by May Day Bank Holiday
All doses, all four nations
Target 52,000,000 Thru 10,143,511 Remaining 41,856,489 Yesterday's total 352,935 Days to target 91
Required rate/day 459,962
That's quite a bit tougher to do, but you have to say it's possible...
If the supply is available, I think we'll do that easily. Vaccine centres are _still_ being built.
I reckon there will be a 1m day in the next fortnight.
2nd jabs will start April but will only have to match earlier capacity.
Richard Nixon must be wondering why he had to resign. Mitch McConnell must also be wondering why Nixon resigned.
Aaron Burr must be wondering - "What did I do wrong again?"
Aaron Burr was acquitted at HIS trial, with Chief Justice John Marshall as judge.
Trump's going to be so lucky - the only president to be declared super duper innocent TWICE.
In impeachment trials (in US anyway) there is no such thing as an innocent or not guilty verdict.
Just convicted versus not convicted. So calling You-Know-Who "innocent" after his (first) trial (or Andrew Johnson or Bill Clinton) is rhetoric NOT law.
Surely few with all their marbles would consider ANY of the impeached POTUS trio to be "innocents"!
Also true of all English criminal trials, and probably US ones.
Well we have the Woolmington principle which is more than just mere rhetoric in the common law.
Target 15,000,000 Thru 10,143,511 Remaining 4,865,489 Yesterday's total 352,935 Days to target 13
Required rate/day 373,576
If it looks like we might just miss the target, will putting self-administered doses to cover the shortfall in the post count?
England is comfortably ahead of target, should hit well before Valentine's day. No wonder you're starting to get stories of everyon vaccinated by May coming out.
The entire UK vaccine cohort is 52,000,000 by my maths... so...
One jab for all by May Day Bank Holiday
All doses, all four nations
Target 52,000,000 Thru 10,143,511 Remaining 41,856,489 Yesterday's total 352,935 Days to target 91
Required rate/day 459,962
That's quite a bit tougher to do, but you have to say it's possible...
That's first jab capacity, we also need to factor in the need from April to do a significant number of second doses at the same time so overall capacity from the middle of March onwards will have to be doubled for a bit.
There is, presumably, an established emergency use authorisation option for approving medicines because it is recognised that there are sometimes emergencies that require a different approach.
It's bizarre that the EMA/EU didn't consider this pandemic a sufficient emergency to use emergency procedures, and incorrect to call it cutting corners.
I don't begrudge, in principle, a regulator deciding to take a more cautious approach on things with the available data, even if the urgency of the situation might call for a more bold approach.
But politicians and officials spreading outright misinformation about efficacy and procedures for no reason other than it is politically convenient for them is not merely incorrect, it is abhorrent.
The question in my mind is did the EMA consider additional information not available to the MHRA? If not, the charge of cutting corners is even more bizarre.
Target 15,000,000 Thru 10,143,511 Remaining 4,865,489 Yesterday's total 352,935 Days to target 13
Required rate/day 373,576
If it looks like we might just miss the target, will putting self-administered doses to cover the shortfall in the post count?
England is comfortably ahead of target, should hit well before Valentine's day. No wonder you're starting to get stories of everyon vaccinated by May coming out.
The entire UK vaccine cohort is 52,000,000 by my maths... so...
One jab for all by May Day Bank Holiday
All doses, all four nations
Target 52,000,000 Thru 10,143,511 Remaining 41,856,489 Yesterday's total 352,935 Days to target 91
Required rate/day 459,962
That's quite a bit tougher to do, but you have to say it's possible...
If the supply is available, I think we'll do that easily. Vaccine centres are _still_ being built.
I reckon there will be a 1m day in the next fortnight.
The 3 main issues for the UK program are
1) Supply 2) Supply 3) Supply
While no formal data has been presented, all the information I have come across is that vaccination centres are running at less than full capacity, due to the amount of vaccine they have.
Comments
18 Jan looks like being the peak (842). (A few short of April peak 900.)
Under 700 and falling now.
https://twitter.com/cricketwyvern/status/1356246325315203073/photo/1
I am more interested in primary sources of information of data, and well thought out opinion (even if it conflicts with mine). I do think journalism in general is in a tough spot now - reduced print and ad revenues means that they neither have the quality nor number of journalists to do most stories justice at any more than a superficial level. Consequently, yes, I do rely less on journalism for both my information and exposure to other opinions and analysis.
For what it's worth most of my relatives who've got it got Pfizer. That is in the Northwest.
We've gone from 2 protected Island constituencies to 5.
Maybe the "all constituencies should be equal" is a slogan not a policy?
And, yes, they should be scrapped.
It was only Proportional Representation and the joke European Parliament that led to him having any success.
Just convicted versus not convicted. So calling You-Know-Who "innocent" after his (first) trial (or Andrew Johnson or Bill Clinton) is rhetoric NOT law.
Surely few with all their marbles would consider ANY of the impeached POTUS trio to be "innocents"!
https://twitter.com/Coronavirusgoo1/status/1356632557325062146
All doses, all four nations
Target 15,000,000
Thru 10,143,511
Remaining 4,865,489
Yesterday's total 352,935
Days to target 13
Required rate/day 373,576
https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1382778/Angela-Merkel-news-Donald-Trump-twitter-ban-Capitol-protests-EU-Seibert-defends-ont
Pretty sure that for some parts of the world, this explanation may be the bulk of the reason, and that could include SA.
https://twitter.com/going4golds/status/1356243874835001345
https://www.theregister.com/2021/02/01/ukri_ransomware_ukro_brussels/
We need to build a wall and make them pay for it, to make sure we don't import their plague.
It is a judgment call, but in my view, a wrong one.
All very calm, efficient and orderly. The Brits really do some things rather well.
Dare I ask, is this something else our scientists and government have got right.
A total of 10,143,511 coronavirus jabs have been given in the UK so far, of which 9,646,715 were first doses, government figures show.
The seven-day rolling average of first doses given in the UK is now 399,055.
Based on the latest figures, an average of 411,791 first doses of vaccine would be needed each day in order to meet the Government's target of 15 million first doses by February 15.
But overall my thoughts after reading the paper is that the study is horribly underpowered for more than a simple overall vaccine effectiveness calculation. All this peering into dosage, interval between does, age stratification, symptomatic vs asymptomatic, could easily be looking at noise.
--AS
Sorry.
https://twitter.com/AndrewYang/status/1356636303929053187?s=20
One jab for all by May Day Bank Holiday
All doses, all four nations
Target 52,000,000
Thru 10,143,511
Remaining 41,856,489
Yesterday's total 352,935
Days to target 91
Required rate/day 459,962
That's quite a bit tougher to do, but you have to say it's possible...
I wonder how you could put that in the Latin of J. Caesar. Reginald Foster could have done it ll. Time to get out my school Latin texts and dictionary.
It's bizarre that the EMA/EU didn't consider this pandemic a sufficient emergency to use emergency procedures, and incorrect to call it cutting corners.
There are 13 count-days remaining I think not 12 (we count 14 Feb's on 15 Feb).
ALL - is that so Mutti?
Not sure of the ethics of that....
But politicians and officials spreading outright misinformation about efficacy and procedures for no reason other than it is politically convenient for them is not merely incorrect, it is abhorrent.
“Beat the virus. Build back better”? Something like that, building on the known slogans, I suspect. Plus an announcement of something for NHS and care staff.
Where’s a value proxy for “Tories do so well they could have won London with a decent candidate”?
I reckon there will be a 1m day in the next fortnight.
2nd jabs will start April but will only have to match earlier capacity.
1) Supply
2) Supply
3) Supply
While no formal data has been presented, all the information I have come across is that vaccination centres are running at less than full capacity, due to the amount of vaccine they have.