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Next week’s Trump impeachment vote: Which way will McConnell vote? – politicalbetting.com
Next week’s Trump impeachment vote: Which way will McConnell vote? – politicalbetting.com
The above clip of Senate minority leader, Mitch McConnell, speaking to the Senate on the last day of the Trump presidency is a possible good pointer to a new market that Smarkets have up on what he specifically is going to do in the vote next week.
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The EU will be a net exporter of vaccines - I would reckon - by early in Q2.
He'll vote to acquit. Because he doesn't want to lose his role as Senate Minority Leader.
Not sure but he is a fantastic actor so I'm with him all the way.
Edit: O'Connell
That's my zinger out of the window.
But Jack O'Connell is still a great actor.
Part of the problem is that the Dems have rushed this. They should have held off while investigations continued.
Another part is that they shouldn't have impeached Trump last time, on frankly pretty tenuous grounds.
If the Dems were smart they would have found a way to force the Supreme Court to rule on the question one way or another.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9214339/Coronavirus-vaccines-tweaked-spark-immunity-against-new-variants-just-three-weeks.html
I suspect there will be a nontrivial amount of people who confound your view. I mean, lots of people never go to pubs and restaurants in normal times, so might well be agitating their continued closure.
My childless brother has been endlessly lobbying for schools to be closed, since well, this thing started. Which I found annoying, but I bit my tongue.
Strictly true right now - they need all of their own for their own people, me included. Q2 is some way off unless you think it makes sense to forecast a vaccine war in April. I suppose we could thank him for the early warning. Not sure what Clausewitz would make of it as a strategy.
rcs1000 said:
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"Do that.
By the way the Australians got rid of their lockdown after they got rid of CV19 (as did the Chinese and the New Zealanders and Hong Kong). What is it you think is different about the UK that makes the politicians uniquely desperate to do something incredibly unpopular?"
I think that my concern is based on the prevailing notion that lockdown = good, freedoms = bad.
I`m worried that a few dynamics will remain in play to bolster the prevailing view for longer than people think.
For example: opposition parties making political capital out of every relaxation that the government suggests; devolved parliaments doing similarly; the government itself being populists and not leaders; Sunak extending financial support again (perhaps even broadening it); the media`s constant presentation of statistics either wrongly or in the worst light; stories like "he had the vaccine and still caught Covid" do the rounds; and "she can`t have a vaccine for x reason and we still have to protect her"; "the sun is shining now so lockdown is not so bad again and I`m off work being paid" etc etc.
As I say, I hope you are right but I think my concern is justified.
https://www.theguardian.com/football/2021/feb/02/french-football-crisis-deepens-tv-rights-offers-fail-to-reach-reserve-price-ligue-1-2
"UK compromising safety over Covid-19 vaccine, says Ursula von der Leyen
Britain failed its “gigantic responsibility” to ensure the proper safety of vaccines and the European Union should be proud of its strategy, Ursula von der Leyen said today."
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/uk-compromising-safety-over-covid-19-vaccine-says-ursula-von-der-leyen-lbk60pzlf
Very sad....especially the unfortunate series of events that meant that he didn't / couldn't get vaccinated. Although he got his bucket list wish which is great.
Sainsbury's -- council handing out free masks outside. Running out of Coke, cat food and fish. Fruit and veg hit and miss, possibly Brexit related as British, South African and Chilean goods were there.
Vaccinations of friends:-
Person A, AZ/Oxford -- no queue; jabbed on arrival an hour early; no side-effects.
Person B, AZ/Oxford -- long but fast-moving queue; jabbed after 15 mins; 2 days of side-effects.
Person C, Sputnik -- walk-in centre in Moscow (not rationed by age or occupation).
I did not know that -- I thought the argument was (unlike the other exempt islands) Ynys Mon was connected to the mainland by a bridge and so the exemption did not apply.
If so, that is good news for the Tories & PC in Ynys Mon -- as the Labour stronghold of Bangor cannot be joined with Ynys Mon to make a reasonably safe Labour seat.
Though the current Tory MP richly deserves the boot, the seat will stay a 3 way marginal.
The decision is ultimately political, more investigative time would not have helped - most Republicans have already decided it's wrong on a process level.
Lesson - commit crimes in your lame duck period, and no one will care.
Time for another new target then. Do they have a target date for all nine of the JCVI priority groups?
Shortages? Or government going safety first just in case the EU decide to throw another Cartman tantrum?
https://twitter.com/DaveKeating/status/1356632025395056642?s=20
Of course the UK has not put "all its eggs" in the AZ basket.....
If you ignore the test rise and believe the rate of case decline has stalled, that matches with ZOE stall last week, but has since accelerated significantly over the weekend so should see the case fall pick up again shortly in the official stats
Plus ca change etc...
Logic:
Trump was obviously conspiring to take down Biden with the Hunter Biden nonsense.
This conspiracy was revealed and Trumps corruption in dealing with Ukraine was revealed.
By doing impeachment this story was aired to everyone.
Then during the election the Trumpists "revealed" the Hunter Biden allegations, the dodgy laptop and all that other nonsense.
But much to Trumps obvious chargrin the Hunter story refused to take off.
After the impeachment it was an old story done to death.
Had it not been for impeachment this story might have taken off. Been like "her emails".
It wouldn't have taken a dramatic swing for Trump to have won re-election.
Nearly all jabs going forward in over 70s too methinks.
I guess there's going to be one hell of a final collection.
100 years old and a hero to the end. That's made me sad but it was a very good innings; it won't be much comfort but his family should be so very proud of him.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RJhyrkkL-cU&feature=emb_logo
If cases are subsequently steady or increasing then that will provide a breeding ground for bad variants.
We need to be in a position where children are at school AND cases are still falling.
That might need a few more vaccinations (especially in Scotland).
We don't want any more lockdowns after this one.
Although I know for certain one of the centres, it has been Pfizer basically every day since it opened, because one of my family members, all their friends message each other about when they were getting it, what they got, and of course all the local gossip.
Has there been any independent monitoring or verification of the data like there is with western trials?
We don't really get to see how the cases fell in April/May, as the testing wasn't available. I'd love to be able to compare.
https://twitter.com/BritainElects/status/1356641023506661377?s=20
From case data
From hospitalisations
I partly want them to be found and left in an underground, sound-proofed room with a bunch of pissed-up squaddies.....whose grannies they scammed.
RIP