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Two things we don’t yet know – politicalbetting.com
Two things we don’t yet know – politicalbetting.com
Donald Rumsfeld once famously said:
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Donald Rumsfeld once famously said:
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Question: are we due another countup before the next boundary review?
And if so, what impact will these movements have?
Leaving aside the fact the SNP take a very broad interpretation of ‘matters affecting Scotland,’ don’t you think they would vote to actively support a Labour government in that scenario because (a) it would otherwise see the return of a Tory government which they would not regard as being in Scotland’s interests and (b) there would be no better way of pissing off the one remaining major unionist party, thereby making independence more likely?
IanB2 said:
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There are no countries outside Europe that are any worse. So what you are really saying is that we have the sixth highest death rate in the entire world. Which doesn’t justify your commentary.
Boris worshippers will never admit that.
Being outside the EU means that it will always be in our news, as it is in Norway. My guess is that people will slowly come to see the harm that the Tories’ anti-EU prejudice has inflicted upon the rest of us.
If London takes a relative knock compared to the rest of the UK, in the long run that could prove to be a benefit, including also to those (other than the super-rich and ‘investors’ in London property) who live there.
Here's a theory for you, the GOP win the House back in 2022, the GOP make Trump the Speaker of the House (you don't need to be a member of the House to be Speaker.)
Next, Trump supporters kill Biden and Harris, and guess who becomes President? Trump.
Normally I'd chastise myself for spouting whatif bollocks like this, but it does look scarily plausible.
Are any of them Stanley Johnson?
It wouldn’t look good in England - so Starmer might think twice about it - but strategically it would be smart tactics for the SNP.
And no party which includes Ian Blackford in its leadership or indeed pulls stunts like this can claim to have principles on the subject:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-51378669
Whether that is fewer vaccinations or a delay in reporting we'll see.
Still it could be worse.
France went from 70k on Friday to 24k yesterday:
https://covidtracker.fr/vaccintracker/
Significant reductions in Italy and Denmark as well:
https://ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
(You know I love you really, despite all the rampant xenophobia.)
There's just too many distractions, particularly if you have (young) kids.
The most stressed employee who has been working from home is the one who has broadband speed of circa 5 Mbps and has to share that.
Before the plague I used to do compressed working, I think that might become more popular.
Angela Rayner
Tory MPs have been told to abstain on our motion tomorrow to stop their £1,000 cut to Universal Credit for 6 million families.
Hopefully Tory MPs will do the right thing and vote with us to protect hard-pressed families. Their constituents won't forget.
I must say, however, I hadn't thought about changing Mr Cameron's EVEL rules. Interesting point. But it doesn't sound likely, for one other very good reason: too many Labour MPs would be worried about their own seats.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9156849/Lord-Sumption-tells-Stage-4-cancer-sufferer-life-valuable-others.html
Former Supreme Court judge Lord Sumption today told a Stage 4 bowel cancer sufferer that her life was 'less valuable' than others.
I used to do 6am to 6/7pm Mondays and Tuesday, 'normal hours' on Wednesday & Thursday, and finish early on a Friday.
During the winter I wouldn’t want to. As an honorary Cardi, I’m too much of a skinflint to pay for the extra heating.
FWIW, I don't agree with the central point of the author. I think Brexit will increasingly decrease in salience as a dividing issue over time, although other things might take its place, and the effect of the great radicalising madrassa that is London can be exaggerated.
Firstly, the seats affected are relatively few in number, and those moving out into the shires are rather dispersed, and secondly, just as London may have affected their politics on the way in so might living in the countryside do so on the way out. One chief difference being far more reliant on a car.
Mary_Batty said:
' A more careful reading of what went down in 1978-79 would help you realise it's not an episode that Labour ought to be keen to relive.
Besides, what do you think would have happened across that summer of 79 that would have saved Labour from the thumping it got in May? There would have had to be an election before five more months were up.'
Having made the disastrous - and unforgiveable - miscalculation not to hold an election in Autumn 1978, Callaghan should have called the GE for 7th June 1979 - which was five weeks later than the actual date 3rd May. That would have coincided with the first direct elections to the European Parliament , and made it a fair bit more likely that the Common Market would have featured prominently in the campaign. At the time Labour was the more Eurosceptic of the main parties - as was the SNP. People such as John Silkin - the Agriculture & Fisheries Minister - would have shifted a few votes back to Labour . Beyond that, it would have given Callaghan a further five weeks to help memories of the Winter of Discontent to fade. As a party leader , he was hopeless. Had this happened, I suspect the Tory lead on Polling Day would have been in the 2% - 3% range - rather than the 7% margin achieved on 3rd May. Thatcher would then have had to deal with a Hung Parliament - assuming the Unionists had been able to put her into No 10.
Sure, it would infuriate Tory voters, but ultimately Starmer has his base to shore up as well. Getting rid of the blues probably trumps principles for them. In fact, we know it does because although they twice voted for that nutter Corbyn they have since rejected Long Bailey.
But then, trying to teach in schools under the dafter restrictions the DfE dreamed up to show willing was bloody difficult too.
You mean you are being treated the same as everybody else that Australia has let in....
"We gambled away £11.8 million: it’s time to make the betting industry pay
A group of 30 people, from all walks of life, want tougher regulation to save others from the same fate" (£)
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/we-gambled-away-11-8-million-its-time-to-make-the-betting-industry-pay-0zln9xfv8
https://twitter.com/AdamWagner1/status/1350795675517263875?s=20
https://twitter.com/TelePolitics/status/1350808441514766336
London +2 seats.
What I would say I disagree with Alastair over is the nature of the emigration from London. My understanding was that this was mostly in the form of European ex-pats leaving both London and the UK to return to their countries of origin. As such I don't see how this exodus helps Labour at the national level and it only hinders them at the local level where EU citizens had the vote in local elections.
Mind you, as the piece points out, the whole thing is in such turmoil at the moment I am not sure it is possible to draw any definite conclusions about the possible after effects
My work is very stop start (I rely on other people to refer cases to me for consideration) so frankly it's wonderful to not have to pretend to be busy when my workload is light. When it's heavy I'm just as productive.
Of course if my employer wants me back in the office I'll go but I don't see it as the business of the government to encourage me to support the megalopolis by going back to the commute
We really won't know for a while..
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/daily-covid-vaccination-doses-per-capita?tab=chart&stackMode=absolute&time=earliest..latest®ion=World
Note that the data is 7 day averaged, so the fall is sustained.
For the UK, to give some idea of where we are on that chart -
300K per day = 0.45% per day
500K per day = 0.75% per day
670K per day = 1% per day
Since the data is averaged, the recent rises in the UK are not fully represented.
I'm waking up an hour later than normal, and spending two and a half hours a day commuting.
That's a bigger benefit for me than the £5k I've saved in the last year on train tickets.
Known to self and others = arena.
Known to self not to others = facade.
Known to others not to self = blind spot.
Known to neither = unknown.
One aim can be to explore ways of expanding the amount of "stuff" in the arena.
HMS Britain is Sinking – Launch Scottish Independence Lifeboat Urgently
https://sputniknews.com/columnists/202101151081771607-hms-britain-is-sinking--launch-scottish-independence-lifeboat-urgently/
Another Known Unknown which we really should be taking more seriously is another Carrington event. It is only a matter of time - and judging from the historic record probably short time - before we get another full on blast from the sun and the consequences if we are not prepared will make this virus look like a sniffle in terms of its economic, political and social impacts. We need our governments to take these things far more seriously and be far more prepared than we are at the moment for global crisis.
Those of us in the desolate North have to deal with really bad performance from the train companies.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=quwB5eAKh4s
I can see the apologia scratched onto walls now - "Who could possibly have foreseen that this might happen?" - Lots of people, but you didn't listen to them...
Or do no journalists even bother to look at sites such as ourworldindata let alone the primary sources?
I agree with the consensus over Rumsfeld, it was a very good quote that summed it up well. COVID was a classic "known unknown", we knew another pandemic would happen eventually but no idea when, how or what. No, the SNP are agents of chaos. A dysfunctional Westminster suits them perfectly.
If the SNP don't vote on English matters that's perfect for them - Westminster is broken with an impotent government. Plus if Labour desperately need the SNP to vote for them then the SNP can rinse them for all they're worth to get it through.
It has hired smaller, cheaper premises for meetings
My employer has dropped pretty strong hints to its workforce that things will never go back to the way they were.
This is change that myself and my team willingly embrace but London and other towns with substantial office presence are going to take a hit even after this is over.