Categories
Options
The money’s still goes on the Republicans winning at least one of the Georgia runoff Senate election
The money’s still goes on the Republicans winning at least one of the Georgia runoff Senate elections – politicalbetting.com
Chart of Betfair market from Btdata.io
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
https://twitter.com/faisalislam/status/1344648236053762049
But the very next day, we gave it away
Source?
https://twitter.com/anandMenon1/status/1344638744197013505?s=20
As one operative said, no-one knows who will turn out to vote in an historic fight for the Senate in a post-Trumpian world.
A long read on this was shared here last night, I think by FrancisUrquhart from memory.
GA Special
GOP 2,426,120 49.37%
Dem 2,378,312 48.40%
Ind 59,205 1.20%
Lib 35,431 0.72%
Green 15,293 0.31%
4,914,361
GA Regular
GOP David Perdue (incumbent) 2,462,617 49.73%
Dem Jon Ossoff 2,374,519 47.95%
Lib Shane T. Hazel 115,039 2.32%
4,952,175
Which PBer is Jonathan Miller playing? He's captured the mannerisms and debating style of my opponents perfectly. Could be any of half a dozen
https://youtu.be/MEPtyb9OHP8
As others have pointed out previously the EU and national leaders are tough, hard nosed operators. They wont treat us more or less generously depending on their views of our leaders, only their policies.
And no one should ever care if the general public elsewhere dont like the leaders of a different country. We can worry about our crap leaders without feeling embarrassed about it, everyone gets them eventually.
Should be easily enough to allow the democrats to win Georgia handily.
After that, well, all bets are off. America is wide open to the radical left. Green deals, mass immigration, huge tax hikes, identity politics with a vengeance, lockdowns, reparations,
I suggest bitcoin. Touched 29,000 a little while ago. Still in the foothills. Still at the beginning.
I mean, we all know national borders are a fudge, can they really think that slice of land is theres by divine right or something? No, like the UKs own positions in these matters it surely has to be politics and interests, and is it that big a deal in reality for them?
https://youtu.be/VsC6GBw9zew
But that was well before the 2000 dollar cheque fiasco.
It is fundamentally worthless. The technology is interesting but this application of it is not.
Edit: If you're worried about fiat currency then buy gold, not magic beans.
It is real commitment to the bit (pun intended)
https://twitter.com/DavidHerdson/status/1344659204280356865?s=20
Unless you are suggesting that the split in the Republican party will cause one side or the other to back the Democrats or abstain - the former idea being actually insane, and the latter being rather unlikely with control of the Senate at stake - any splits within the party will not therefore be relevant to who wins.
As for the delicious irony that you, one of the comparatively few genuinely nasty and abusive posters on here and one who has never yet posted a valid argument, has 'had enough of insults...'
Straight from the pages of a comic book. Or Twitter as it is also known as.
Whether it responds the right way, and what that is, may be another matter, but impacted by it they are.
Indeed, people often point to how it was impacted by suggesting the killing of of euroscepticism and brexit encouraging the process of cooperation.
Considering its advocates rage against fiat currency, fiat currency is far more stable, secure and predicable in value. Bitcoin may serve a purpose in allowing drug dealers to move money, but I'm not convinced there's a stable future in it.
The very soaring nature of it "$29,000 and just in the foothills" is precisely why it is nothing but one of the most technically elaborate Ponzi schemes ever.
Don't make the mistake of assuming that Twitter is representative. It represents mostly ill-informed and not very bright lunatic fringe, like Toby Young and the Department for Education.
As it happens, I think differential turnout will be key, but advertising and the weather are likely to be more important than nuts with keyboards.
I have written 52 headers this year. Thanks for reading and your comments.
Thanks above all to OGH for publishing my stuff.
Best wishes for this evening, whatever you're doing.
Till next year .... xxx
And that's all it is really, a hedge, and the only way I would suggest anybody takes a look at it, as one among a wide range of investments.
Now why would the world's major currencies devalue? well, they have been printing money like its going out of fashion and will continue to do so, and the rates offered for some investments in theses currencies are zero or in some cases negative.
1. I believe there was not such a big drop off in the uk
2. There are a lot of extra people celebrating New Year unaware that they have coronavirus, or have been in contact with someone with coronavirus.
P.S. Would your believe that such "skins" - basically decorative patterns for virtual weapons - can sell for over £1,000?! Sometimes the world seems a crazy place!
Its also worth reflecting on how Texas was supposedly going purple. It wasn't. Not even close.
Gold is a rational hedge, it is inversely linked to the value of what you are hedging against. . Bitcoin isn't linked to anything other that the confidence in Bitcoin. It is a Ponzi.
Christ, I don’t think I’ve ever held anyone is quite as much contempt as that deluded, dishonest shitweazle. Yet he continues to get support from the marching morons of the usual suspects, who continue to prate mindlessly about False Positives, and Lockdowns Don’t Work, and Masks Are Muzzles.
Toby, fuck off to an ICU for a day or so, for God’s sake, and then shut up for a while. Like a century; that’ll do to start with.
You would have to have a heart of stone........
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/dec/31/the-left-brexit-economic-uk
The Religious Right, who wanted Trump to put Conservative judges on the Supreme Court* to help overturn Roe v Wade, and to stop (and ideally reverse) the Courts in areas such as LBGT rights. This group - as Pat Robertson articulated on TV last week - has never really liked Trump, and saw his Presidency as a trade.
The Nativists, where it's largely about immigration.
The Left Behinds, where it's about economic performance in great flyover.
The Deregulators and the Low Taxers.
And then there are some who see Trump himself as a hero.
There are at least two of those groups who aren't actually that keen on Trump himself.
* The first of those he put on, Neil Goresuch, wrote the majority opinion which led to sexual discrimination law being extended LBGT people, so that's not worked out too well yet.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mard9WrYn2I
Australian comfort woman Jan Ruff-O'Herne
We are in a world where western governments are running their economies like Corbynites. Whatever the reasons, that is the truth. And they intend to go on and on. You allow your investments to be destroyed by the corollary of what follows if you wish. Others might like to try to take at least small precautions.
The way it is architected allows it to only process about 5 to 7 transactions a second.
And another smaller one...
It typically takes 15 to 30 minutes to get confirmation of a transaction having been completed, during which the sender could (in theory) walk back the transaction.
Together, these don't matter, if everyone is just buying it and sitting on it, but it doesn't really allow for it to be used for regular purchases, or indeed to replace "fiat" money or payment networks like Western Union, PayPal or Visa.
I know a handful of people who have tested positive, who have then taken isolation very seriously (AFAIK) and lots of people who isolated as a result of being told they had been exposed to someone who tested positive.
So I know from my own experience that testing is more than "expensive monitoring of virus trends". What a strange thing to say.
https://twitter.com/JujuliaGrace/status/1344655733187612672?s=20
https://twitter.com/JujuliaGrace/status/1344661661051969536?s=20
Certain options have been closed for the short to medium term, and gloominess may well be warranted, especially with this government.
But in uncharacteristic optimism, tomorrow is a brand new year and the future is rarely as bad as we imagine, in the modern era anyway.
Its a bit like urging someone to make a bet on something you believe is fixed.
A friend used to work in the IT end of pharma - there was some interesting maths on the sampling methodology IIRC. The history of production sampling is surprisingly interesting......
Deleted all the data on Monday and did some real work.