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The Martingale system – politicalbetting.com
The Martingale system – politicalbetting.com
How it started How it's going pic.twitter.com/gx0lkFGYR1
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How it started How it's going pic.twitter.com/gx0lkFGYR1
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https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9047499/BBC-presenter-James-Wong-criticised-claiming-British-gardening-culture-racist.html
...this guy was taking the piss, but it appears people seem to think it was a manual to be followed.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JrK_HVGOnUo
https://twitter.com/marketwarbles/status/1337989228802629633
Fortunately that was reversed three years later; it is to be hoped that this will be.
.....and as for Johnson himself.....his legacy will be his name. 'Boris' will enter the world's dictionaries.
BORIS (noun/adjective) A vain leader who destroys their country.
If history is any guide the next event will be Charles Sumner style caning on the floor of the Senate. Let's hope it's Cocaine Mitch that gets thrashed to within an inch of his life.
Remortgage the house (again), max the credit cards, another pay day loan, sell the kids into indentured servitude, with a bit of luck we'll get back all that we've lost. We'll still be stuck with the corrosive division and hatred, BUT IT'LL HAVE ALL BEEN WORTH IT!
https://www.gamcare.org.uk
Ah, Martingale. The system that massively increases your chance of a modest win and makes every loss catastrophic.
Mr. Urquhart, Wong blocked me as a Twitter follower after I (politely) disagreed with his use of the term 'white privilege'. Only a couple of others have done likewise (one when I pointed out Irene wasn't necessarily a feminine role model given she usurped the throne and mutilated her son so badly he died of his wounds, and the other a contributor to the Guardian with whom I'd had a number of polite and civil back-and-forths, which does make me wonder if it was a list matter).
Anyway, on to more pleasant thoughts: perusing the F1 markets.
He will then insist everyone eat them...
As a journalist, Gove has imagined all the headlines he doesn't want to see then dreamt up a solution, but the solutions don't appear to have included asking anyone if they might work or not.
And fairly obviously there is a long and extensive history of voter suppression. Is it dehumanising to state this fact?
The problem is, as a disciple of Cummings he genuinely doesn’t think experts are anything other than corrupt vested interests (or ‘blobs’). The possibility that they might be experts because they are intelligent and knowledgeable, and might disagree because they are more intelligent and more knowledgeable than him, simply doesn’t cross his mind.
I'd believe the spokesperson, except that nothing whatsoever has leaked out. And I return to my Singapore analogy; plans had been drawn up for everything except what actually happened.
On the eve of disaster, here are the two seasoned, experienced, press hacks, Johnson and Gove, knowing exactly which lines to feed to organs like the Mail on Sunday, then gratefully received, and whose website is currently almost besieged by supporters ready to take to the Channel to defend the fishermen.
This is a reality you'll almost never see written up in the British press, including the Guardian or Mirror, who closed ranks to prevent anything further after Leveson.
Father and son both voted to leave the European Union, disillusioned with what John describes as a “restrictive bureaucracy”. However, they feel that the government is now “going back on its word”.
Richard said: “A lot of rules and regulations, they’re from the EU, and this country seems to follow them to the letter of the law. It was promised, before Brexit, before the referendum, that these rules would be lifted. I think things are going to get more complicated.”
The Pedleys fear that a no-deal Brexit could also see British farmers being priced out by cheaper imports from abroad.
They believed BoZo, and now they are going to get their reward...
There's a problem of how big the conspiracy has to be before it's no longer credible, but that's more a matter of people not being able to keep a really big conspiracy secret and not being able to avoid including defectors, rather than there not being able to find enough conspirators.
Betting PostF1: last in-season tip of the year. I found it hard to find anything that really appealed but the best of what I saw was Verstappen at 2.58 for the win (Betfair Exchange):
https://enormo-haddock.blogspot.com/2020/12/abu-dhabi-pre-race-2020.html
Whatever the result, the 2020 total will be marginally better than 2019, if more lopsided towards the first half (possibly due to some significant luck). That discounts the Perez/Hamilton-related profits of Sakhir, which were not tipped in a blog, of course.
..I'm just not convinced we know the longer term implications of Brexit with any certainity just yet. Who knows where we'll be in 40 years time looking back.
Johnson had reluctantly sided with the scientists and was preparing for a quick lockdown in the week of Monday, September 21, backed by his then chief adviser, Dominic Cummings. Two key members of his cabinet — Matt Hancock, the health secretary, and Michael Gove, the Cabinet Office minister — were also supporting tougher restrictions.
But Sunak wanted a different strategy. Faced with dire predictions that half a million people could be made redundant in the autumn, he strongly opposed a second lockdown, which some economists were saying would wreak further havoc on Britain’s already limping economy.
Why Sunak and the others couldn’t see that I do not know.
All the agreements we have will focus on particular markets and segments
...and still lost by a huge margin to a weak candidate who’s older than he is.
To that extent, I can see why he’s struggling to understand that it’s not fraud that led to Biden winning, just that Trump himself is a shite candidate.
A bit like Mugabe losing to the MDC despite all the fraud he committed, and having to seize power by violence.
The three cars ahead of him have a substantial pace advantage over the McLaren.
https://twitter.com/iscalledbrian/status/1337570044642013185
Given how little postal vote spoilage there seems to be it really feels like Trump could have won it fair and square if he'd done normal, shameless get-people-to-vote-for-you things like sending people a cheque with his signature on it, and normal electoral things like trying to get them to vote by post to make the GOTV easier.
And you do have to admire the ability of a government with a majority of 80 to convince its supporters that anything they do is someone else’s fault. I wonder how long that might last.
This is one key reason that I was so keen on a Deal, as I knew how insufferable they'd be with a No Deal, which they secretly all want as they think it suits their long-term political goals the best. In truth, it's a step into the unknown with a variety of (unpredictable) political outcomes.
I get nothing from engaging in that other than irritation so I will be taking a break from this site to leave them to their feverish and euphoric mutual masturbation.
You don’t see things that you don’t want to see.
Incidentally, my wife’s school has been told that it is responsible for conducting contact tracing in students’ families after term ends. Is this something you’ve heard of ?
I think that perhaps we in the NHS are now increasingly part of the problem. 20% of hosputal inpatients with Covid-19 have now caught it in hospital.
https://twitter.com/foxinsoxuk/status/1337925337003470849?s=19
Perhaps he thought, as I did until wiser heads on here put me right, that it would affect the Dems more.
But as they made the announcement too late, it didn’t help. And therefore some staff will have to be working on Christmas Day telling families to isolate.
There are so many mistakes that have been made...but this is among the most ridiculous and unnecessary.
Edit - and of course, schools are not safe to reopen. They have become what they were always going to be - major transmission vectors.
The problem is not that they reopened - that was the right thing to do - but that simple and obvious steps to mitigate that transmission vector have been wilfully ignored.
Current Betfair prices:-
Biden 1.02
Democrats 1.02
Biden PV 1.02
Biden PV 49-51.9% 1.03
Trump PV 46-48.9% 1.03
Trump ECV 210-239 1.04
Biden ECV 300-329 1.04
Biden ECV Hcap -48.5 1.03
Biden ECV Hcap -63.5 1.03
Trump ECV Hcap +81.5 1.01
AZ Dem 1.03
GA Dem 1.03
MI Dem 1.02
NV Dem 1.03
PA Dem 1.03
WI Dem 1.03
Trump to leave before end of term NO 1.06
Trump exit date 2021 1.06
Once again, Johnson's triumph will come back to bite him. How very classical.
Personally I'm quite content with how Brexit is going. The EU are being scelerotic and unreasonable, so we have two choices: to give in to them or walk away. If I got a vote I would say walk away.
A lot of people are hyperventilating about the impact of a clean Brexit but I think it will be ultimately much ado about nothing, albeit with some disruption. People living in Kent may notice it more but they also voted for it more.
And if there's some disruption I think people can live with that so long as they think it's all a part of a plan.
I wonder if they will be prepared to take similar risks and put the economy on the line over other policies, say climate change.
Most of us agree with you, I think, and have repeatedly stated as much.
If you read Casino’s contributions from last night, his rant this morning was relatively restrained.
https://youtu.be/G0AXgaFqEas
We may have significant economic turbulence in the near future, but a potentially greater risk is the exacerbation of already alarmingly high political polarisation (both within the UK and between the UK and EU).
The Conservatives should be prepared to dispatch the buffoon they so stupidly put into Downing Street.
So no deal Brexit will be fine, but if it isn't, it will be the fault of the EU/Remainers/ the French/ Blair, delete as appropriate.
But if we are to have a proper Brexit, then WTO is fine, though it would have been sensible to prepare for it.
Since 2016, I have advocated WTO Brexit. We need to disentangle completely before we regain our senses and develop a more mature relationship with the rest of our continent.
No deal is not an action is the default. People who don't accept that we left the EU seem to struggle to understand that but Parliament has already voted to be on WTO terms by default from 23:00 31/12/20. That's already the law.
A deal should have a vote as it would be a change. No deal is the status quo we've already voted to occur.
This is why those claiming that the EU and UK were negotiating to move further apart are wrong. They simply haven't internalised WTO rather than EU membership is our forthcoming baseline to be measured from.
Pro-Trump Protesters Chant “Destroy the GOP,” Boo Georgia Senate Candidates at Rally
https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2020/12/pro-trump-protesters-chant-destroy-gop-rally-washington.html
The Georgia senate elections will be an interesting test.
Will we have a deal today?
Will there be a call for extra time or a partial deal?
Or will the no deal be confirmed?
I’m guessing the middle fudge.
I t’s an interesting question. Clearly forged ballots are beyond the pale, but why are TV adverts ok in the US but not the UK? What about (forged) social media? Or parties that intentionally have popular policies to try and get people to vote for them
It won't be long before Thompson is the last man standing.
But the long-term effect is that Trump can now tax any GOP candidate who doesn't want to either get primaried or shed enough of the right to lose to the Dems. Call it $10 per voter represented per race, so for Georgia Senate they'd have to pay him $100 million each?
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/dec/13/boris-johnson-wont-be-able-escape-responsibility-for-a-crash-out-brexit
Says it's a bodge but I do expect the EU to so forget it based on Rabb's comment above