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The states that will decide WH2020 – polling averages from the key battlegrounds – politicalbetting.
The states that will decide WH2020 – polling averages from the key battlegrounds – politicalbetting.com
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A nice dive into the polling numbers and what they mean for the viability of Trump's reelection strategy by Amy from the Cook Report. In short, Trump only meeting 1 of the 4 conditions for his strategy to succeed:
https://cookpolitical.com/analysis/national/national-politics/gamble
Packed crowd, high fives followed by the good ol' hand to nose wipe at the end
U Florida is currently all Online.
Bonkers.
Rubbish. Millions more Democrat voters will be voting on the day than in advance.
If you mean proportionately then say so.
Not being antagonistic, just interested in your assessment/opinion.
We had a lockdown because we were not wearing masks, social distancing, were not working from home in great numbers and we did not have a tracing app and expanded testing, we do now and the economic devastation it would cause is not worth it
It was Labour and the LDs who voted to block trade deals and block farmers exports
Would that be popular? Not with the Tory Party, but with the population at large?
Take back control...
Absolutely appalling from the Tories.
I'd want medical cover to be offered though.
'Dr. David Nabarro from the WHO appealed to world leaders yesterday, telling them to stop “using lockdowns as your primary control method” of the coronavirus.
He also claimed that the only thing lockdowns achieved was poverty – with no mention of the potential lives saved.
“Lockdowns just have one consequence that you must never ever belittle, and that is making poor people an awful lot poorer,” he said.
“We in the World Health Organisation do not advocate lockdowns as the primary means of control of this virus,” Dr Nabarro told the Spectator.
“The only time we believe a lockdown is justified is to buy you time to reorganise, regroup, rebalance your resources, protect your health workers who are exhausted, but by and large, we’d rather not do it.”
Dr Nabarro’s main criticism of lockdowns involved the global impact, explaining how poorer economies that had been indirectly affected.
“Just look at what’s happened to the tourism industry in the Caribbean, for example, or in the Pacific because people aren’t taking their holidays,” he said.
“Look what’s happened to smallholder farmers all over the world. … Look what’s happening to poverty levels. It seems that we may well have a doubling of world poverty by next year. We may well have at least a doubling of child malnutrition.” '
https://lockdownsceptics.org/#has-the-who-changed-its-mind-about-lockdowns
Ditto for school pupils and their teachers and parents.
Refusing to protect food standards and leading us to USA-style chlorinated chicken, don't tell me Brexiteers voted for that too?
It is like saying we pack Wembley or Twickenham.
The college stadia are bigger than those in the NFL.
Of these, fewer than 30 million will be "mail in" votes.
Chlorinated chicken and drug packed pork are going to be tough sells on the doorsteps.
It is a gift for Lib Dems wanting to retake rural seats .
And I doubt that purchase would be compulsory.
MInnesota (Biden +9.2%) was also for some time touted as a potential Trump pickup that could offset Democrat gains elsewhere, so its absent by virtue presumably of Biden's margin shows how much Trump's options are narrowing. Trump loses unless he picks up at least one of the three states in the chart where Biden is ahead by between 7.3% and 8.1% plus all of the rest of the states shown.
What US imports will be subject to will be for the government to negotiate
https://twitter.com/BNODesk/status/1315776679630036994?s=19
At least that's the impression I get.
Personally think it will be fascinating to see where the balance between mail vs early in-person vs EDay in-person will fall nationally.
One factor to keep in mind is that millions of Trumpsky voters will vote by mail (incuding all in all-vote-by-mail states such as WA). Real question is HOW many. But certainly less absolutely and proportionately than will be cast for Uncle Joe.
https://twitter.com/GuidoFawkes/status/1314598522919022593?s=20
You have to give Trump one thing, his energy is back. For a man who lives such an unhealthy life, does no exercise and just had the plague, his energy levels are quite amazing.
That is, what kind of delectable victuals are prepared by fans out in the park lot, on or in proximity to their truck tailgates (in the down position).
Unless you are invested in a particular team OR its geographical area, the actual football at big-league universities is pretty much the same from where-ever to where-ever.
BUT the food can be quite different. SO try to find out what's cooking, and proceed according to taste and/or curiosity.
BTW can just about guarantee that a modicum of fan interest combined with an English accent will earn you at least a nibble from approx 99.46% of tailgaters anywhere from Boise to Gainesville.
Wisconsin
Biden 51% (+1)
Trump 44%
Pennsylvania
Biden 51% (+1)
Trump 44% (-1)
https://twitter.com/MrHarryCole/status/1315791876797140992?s=20
However, Biden and Pelosi are rather good at it. SO stop frothing at the mouth, throw you present clown college overboard, and find you some semi-competent negotiators.
I'd be pretty fuming if I get locked down without local cases being high (I'm not at all convinced that it's the answer anyway, given all the various local lockdowns to date don't appear to be making a blind bit of difference). This particularly applies as I've a young lady I'm quite fond of who lives about 150 miles away (also in an area with very few cases), and I'll be very grumpy if I don't get to see her for months again...
Out of interest, anyone know what the rules are (if any) for social bubbles which run across the boundaries of the tiered areas?
US confirms its first case of COVID-19 reinfection: Healthy Nevada man, 25, contracted coronavirus twice in 48 days and had to be put on oxygen after getting SICKER during his second bout with the virus
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-8832541/Nevada-man-25-contracted-coronavirus-twice-48-days-SICKER-second-bout.html
All it means is the vaccine won't be 100% effective.
Bet that POTUS has got a medicine chest that would make Rod Stewart green with envy!
You're certainly right that it's not (yet) massive numbers but it feels a bit closer to home when you know someone it's happened to.
https://twitter.com/atrupar/status/1315802425488478208