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How the Government’s handling of the pandemic has impacted on confidence about Brexit – politicalbet
How the Government’s handling of the pandemic has impacted on confidence about Brexit – politicalbetting.com
New polling from the FT shows the impact the government's handling of COVID has had on confidence about Brexit. https://t.co/YaiyuqkiT7 pic.twitter.com/QPkicplnEL
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Pollsters are fairly united now, slim or no Tory lead. We will see crossover soon.
Going to catch up on Keir's speech, apparently it's fantastic.
https://twitter.com/Prof_Marciniak/status/1308294010486681601
Mind you, I am struggling with the thought process where most Leavers think the government's (brilliant/not so brilliant?) handling of Covid makes them MORE confident about them delivering a wonderful Brexit.
https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/12732344/labour-frontbencher-kate-green-calls-coronavirus-good-crisis/
While expanding Supreme Court numbers is entirely constitutional, it is perhaps not the smartest political response, as it invites retaliation. You wouldn't want your opponents to do the same.
Conversely, it's much harder to see how utterly cynical Republicans would retaliate in kind to these proposals;
Introduction of term limits:
https://www.scotusblog.com/2020/08/experts-tout-proposals-for-supreme-court-term-limits/
Legislating to strip the jurisdiction of federal courts from particular legislation:
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3669954
It is what it is. Control the controllables. Brexit is not in our power and we have a rather immediate crisis to deal with. I'm more than happy to distract myself laughing at the clicktivists who insist they are right and the industry experts are wrong. But it doesn't matter one way or another.
This is the kind of stuff we've needed for a while, a bit of flag waving
The fact the LDs are the only ones to not have a singificant percentage to agree with the statement is probably down to their being a party of remainers.
If a group of 6 are non socially distanced within a household, how is a pub enviroment any safer ?
The household risk is pari passu with the pub and marginally safer even if the groups of 6 are apart in the pub.
The Forces of Woke are winning the culture war; we shouldn't be lifting our collective foot off the neck of the reactionary scum now.
The Democrats if they act will be acting in retaliation to what the GOP did to Obama's nominee and their hypocrisy now in replacing RBG.
Sir Keir says he can "see in my mind’s eye the country I want us to be".
He lists his goals, including "properly funded" universal public services, a "world-class" education system and a strong economy.
He also calls for a "country committed to a greener, cleaner and fairer society, where every policy is judged not just by how much it costs today but also by what it does for the planet tomorrow".
And a country which would be "an active force for good in the world, once again admired and respected".
Sir Keir says: "I can see it. I can describe it. But it’s all just a dream unless we win back the trust of the people.
"And we’ve got a long road ahead of us. We’re not going to win back those we’ve lost with a single speech or a clever policy offer. Trust takes time".
A lot of motherhood and apple pie there but what's wrong with that? What I think we can see is a strategic overall vision capable of giving a plan for government.
He's right about trust, the damage done by Corbyn to the Labour brand is profound, and he needs a stronger team than he seems to have right now but already he and his party are a much, much more credible alternative government than Labour have been since Brown resigned. The Tories need to lift their game. Thank god for that. Crap government because the alternative is even worse does none of us any good.
NATO
The Supreme Court has jurisdiction over all legislation - it would need a constitutional amendment to change that.
There’s a trial test going on in my part of the world, of a blood drop analysed by a laser that’s cheap and fast (£10, 10 minutes), but it’s not yet as accurate as the nasal swap.
https://gulfnews.com/uae/how-it-works-faster-cheaper-covid-test-using-laser-in-abu-dhabi-1.1597239122278?slide=1
COVID is a much bigger challenge than Brexit and the country and the Government have been able to surmount those challenges. Brexit will be a piece of cake after this.
https://www.archives.gov/federal-register/constitution
However yes in pubs you can theoretically have 100 people in a big pub garden as long as they sit on tables of 6, with those 6 sitting as close together as they would in a household
https://twitter.com/UKLabour/status/1308316287123292165?s=20
Keir Starmer, the next David Cameron
I wouldn't reject court packing out of hand (and as I've said, it would be entirely constitutional); I'm merely suggesting that it the long run it might not be the most effective retaliation/remedy.
And in the short run it might not be politically expedient.
Its now 6 months at least of restrictions.
Are groups of six all two (Or even one) metre apart in the pubs within the group itself ?!
Don't get me wrong, a pub is vastly safer for 3 groups of six rather than a household gathering of say 18 people. But it can only ever be as safe as 3 households of 6 people meeting up
Dido has proven to be as clueless as she was originally caricatured.
Getting worse and worse
Consitutions aren't of no use; they are simply on their own insufficient to guarantee anything.
https://twitter.com/andreajenkyns/status/1308145610034380806?s=20
COVID19 shows the countries ability to rise to a challenge. Take testing for instance, after a sluggish start given we didn't have the capacity we now are in a position where this country is testing more per capita than any other large country on the entire planet. We are literally world beating. But we don't rest on our laurels and be satisfied with that, as a country we identify where there are issues and demand more.
That is why we will be a successful independent country.
There is a reason why authoritarian / totalitarian states change laws, destroy independent judges, control law enforcement etc, why they pay lip service to laws and constitutions even while denuding them of any meaning.
If both stick to the rules, you are correct.
But too many households don't.
And its not the case that it couldn't happen today. It does.
But caution is required - because it's undeniable that xenophobic attitudes were a factor in taking some of these erstwhile Labour voters down the Brexit and UKIP-to-Tory path and Starmer should not imo be chasing this constituency. For 2 reasons. (i) Such attitudes are at odds with the core values of the party. (ii) It would backfire. The support picked up by pandering to xenophobic variety "patriotism" would be outweighed by the support lost in the party's new metropolitan base.
I don't think anyone is suggesting that everyone who has been able to operate in a secure socially distanced manner should suddenly need to start doing this. I think the idea is this is an alternative to social distancing for those venues you yourself called the socially undistanceables: https://www7.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2020/06/09/the-social-undistanceables-a-plan/
Apart from carping from the sidelines here and there, labour are on very board with what the tories are doing. And that means they own the coming catastrophe.
When this carnage is eventually over, voters will be looking for new parties to support. Ed Davey sort of realises this. So does Nigel Farage. Not sure about Starmer.
That is rather naughty sleight of hand.
I know why they did it, but as scientists they shouldn't he doing it.
They are turning people like you off but you will still vote for anyone with a red rosette - you are the Lab equivalent of @HYUFD - plus they are likely to pick up centrists, such as @MaxPB as well.
I am going to back a Lab govt right now!
On flag waving, it's not my thing either, but since Labour is a patriotic party there is no harm in expressing it in ways that people understand and that don't create openings for our opponents.
First time was bad, this time terminal.
There must be thousands of stories like this.
When this is over and when we have left the EU, I reckon a new politics is going to emerge. And that is not going to be good for the tories or a labour party that has effectively given them Carte Blanche.
On flag waving, it's not my thing either, but since Labour is a patriotic party there is no harm in expressing it in ways that people understand and that don't create openings for our opponents.
Alito, Thomas - Absolute Trump toadies, Thomas in particular might be the most partisan justice ever.
Kavanaugh - Very conservative, not as much of a Trump toady as Trump hoped.
Gorsuch - Strict constitutionalist, literal textual interpretation. (Lends itself to conservatism)
Roberts - Leans GOP, acknowledges his kingmaker role (That he had previously)
Breyer, Kagan, Sotomayor - Liberal justices, obviously in the minority so none has to consider a conservative kingmaker role.
Maybe COVID has changed everything, but leaders of the opposition who the public find this in charismatic, especially compared to the PM, don’t get the top job,
He also keeps using date of announcement and 7 day average on that, not actual date of death or test.
My further point was that even in the most extreme of states (Nazi Germany was an example) laws and constitutions, however perverted, are not entirely without meaning.
Places where there is neither state nor law (Nazi occupied Polish territories, for example) are more perilous places still than those where the state still exists.