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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Time to be betting on Biden in Texas where new poll has him 3%

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  • Meanwhile, a once-great newspaper thinks that, of all the serious things in the world to report on, this is the most important story of the day:

    https://twitter.com/guardian/status/1301988408122777600
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 19,598

    @Alistair I was referring more to the uproar from UK university lecturers on Twitter generally about the upcoming term.

    Indeed. How many of those infected have significant symptoms? I’d hazard a guess that few of them do.

    It’s now becoming more of an issue of morality and philosophy: to what extent should we ruin the youth of the young to protect the age of the old?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 91,392
    Sure, it might seem an easy political stance to take, to stand up to such crass offensiveness, but you still need to make people feel it, to have your reaction be accepted as clearly sincere and heartfelt, and Biden manages it.

    Lots of time for Trump to come back, no one fights dirtier, but fingers crossed.
  • LadyGLadyG Posts: 2,221

    I hesitate to comment on US politics, but it feels like today may be quite a significant day in the presidential race ...
    https://twitter.com/mollyjongfast/status/1301930689084952577?s=21

    Trump is a horrible piece of work but I thought his disgraceful abandonment of the Kurds would kill him with patriotic, veteran-loving America. It didn’t.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 19,598
    Cough.

    I said last night that the cemetery stuff could be toxic for Trumpton.

    Even though I’m not a he said she said fan...
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 91,392
    Scott_xP said:
    What about Trump's favourite team at OAN?
  • LadyG said:

    I hesitate to comment on US politics, but it feels like today may be quite a significant day in the presidential race ...
    https://twitter.com/mollyjongfast/status/1301930689084952577?s=21

    Trump is a horrible piece of work but I thought his disgraceful abandonment of the Kurds would kill him with patriotic, veteran-loving America. It didn’t.
    Of course, it's perfectly possible that despite his disgraceful and disgusting comments that people still vote for him.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 91,392
    edited September 2020
    LadyG said:

    I hesitate to comment on US politics, but it feels like today may be quite a significant day in the presidential race ...
    https://twitter.com/mollyjongfast/status/1301930689084952577?s=21

    Trump is a horrible piece of work but I thought his disgraceful abandonment of the Kurds would kill him with patriotic, veteran-loving America. It didn’t.
    It can be odd sometimes what finally causes people to abandon a political figure or cause, when things that might be much worse went uncondemned or supported even in the past. Maybe this time the circumstances and timing have perfectly combined and for once it is shaking those people who have been with him up to now.

    But of course people can get unshaken pretty fast too, especially since there were presumably reasons they looked past everything else so far. If those reasons still exist then that could easily see it be merely a blip of outrage.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 53,766
    He sounds sick and out of breath.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Cough.

    I said last night that the cemetery stuff could be toxic for Trumpton.

    Even though I’m not a he said she said fan...

    Not shifted betfair odds yet. Just laid him in my biggest ever bet (but let's not exaggerate, this is sub 4 figures).
  • LadyGLadyG Posts: 2,221
    edited September 2020

    LadyG said:

    I hesitate to comment on US politics, but it feels like today may be quite a significant day in the presidential race ...
    https://twitter.com/mollyjongfast/status/1301930689084952577?s=21

    Trump is a horrible piece of work but I thought his disgraceful abandonment of the Kurds would kill him with patriotic, veteran-loving America. It didn’t.
    Of course, it's perfectly possible that despite his disgraceful and disgusting comments that people still vote for him.
    Trump is also, ironically, quite right about Vietnam. A stupid war and the poor grunts that went there were “the suckers” who couldn’t evade service. This was because they were generally poor, often black.

    Trump has a gift for saying audaciously true things in the most obnoxious way possible.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,049
    edited September 2020

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    The best thing for America is a Biden blowout that sees him sweep Texas, Florida, Arizona and leaves Trump under 200 EC votes. That way the courts won't need to settle this and hopefully the sane Republicans left in the party can take back over from the nutters who currently run it.
    lt
    Just as before the last election I said the best thing would be a major Tory landslide, not just because I wanted the Tories to win but because it would release the grasp Corbyn had on the party. Look at Labour nine months later and Corbyn is history and there is very clear "new management". A narrow Corbyn defeat may have left RLB or Laura Pidcock to pick up the baton on a "one more heave" basis, but the hammering made that impossible.

    Corbyn never won though unlike Trump in 2016.

    If Trump loses he can also constitutionally run again in 2024 and who would bet against him failing to win the nomination unless he is absolutely trounced in November. In 1888 President Cleveland lost his re election battle but ran again in 1892 and won to complete a second term.

    Corbyn came within a whisker of winning in 2017 and Trump only won by a whisker in 2016. Both results could have very easily gone the other way, if the Tories hadn't gained so many Scottish seats or if Hillary hadn't ignored the warnings about the Midwest and campaigned there then PM Corbyn could have been meeting President Hillary.

    In the popular vote the Tories lead over Labour in 2017 was almost identical to Hillary's lead over Trump in 2016 too.

    If he loses this time then I'd happily bet against him not getting the nomination next time. Not only would he be 78 but he's got terrible approval ratings and Americans in general do not like retreads. This is not the 19th Century either.
    No Corbyn did not come within a whisker in 2017. Labour won 262 seats and 326 are needed for a majority, so he was 64 seats short of even a nominal majority.

    To say he was close is as delusional for a Tory as for a Trotskyite. An unstable Rainbow coalition might have been close, but that would assume that SNP, LibDems, PC and DUP would all back Corbyns manifesto, and that is obvious nonsense.
    Corbyn was a long way from winning outright, but he was very close indeed to power.

    Forget the Lib Dems: Labour + SNP + Plaid + Green = 302 in 2017. Allowing for the absence of Sinn Fein, if Labour and the SNP had relieved the Tories of ten more seats between them, Corbyn would've been in Downing Street and that's virtually certain. Plaid and the Greens both run to the left of Labour and the SNP would sell their own grannies to the glue factory if it meant getting a second referendum.
    A nominal Premiership, but not only an extremely unstable coalition that would have required extreme political nous to negotiate with other parties, but also one without the backing of much of his own parliamentary party.

    The idea that we were just a few thousand votes and 10 seats away from Socialism red in tooth and claw is as delusional from the Tories as it is from the Trots.

    I never said that though, I said "winning".

    In that instance I would indeed define Corbyn becoming Prime Minister as "winning". Indeed I followed up that sentence with the line "... if the Tories hadn't gained so many Scottish seats or if Hillary hadn't ignored the warnings about the Midwest and campaigned there then PM Corbyn could have been meeting President Hillary."

    I never said "socialism red in tooth and claw", that is your words not mine, I said "PM Corbyn".

    If the SNP had held on to all their seats that they lost to the Tories then Lab+SNP+PC+Green would have been 313 and Con+DUP would have been 316 with Farron's LD 12 as kingmakers.
    Do you think Farron or Sturgeon would have found Corbyn acceptable as PM, or indeed Corbyn find them acceptable as coalition partners?

    Completely delusional.
    To get rid of PM May? Yes absolutely.

    Not only that but they would have been incredibly powerful and able to write their own price for supporting Corbyn - and Corbyn may have been prepared to pay those prices.

    Sturgeon would definitely have supported Corbyn, but would have also demanded an independence referendum most likely. Corbyn didn't care if the UK broke up and would agree to that if it made he became PM.

    As for Farron - he was to the left of the Lib Dems anyway, but what issues did the Lib Dems care for? The EU and electoral reform. Farron could have demanded something like this for his support.

    Would they have gone in like Clegg did in 2010? No of course not. But DUP style confidence and supply, with heavy prices extracted is entirely plausible.
    No it isn't. Neither May nor Corbyn would have been PM. After a couple of weeks discussions, there would have been no agreement and a further GE.

    Who would have blocked agreement?

    The SNP? With a chance to have a weakened government desperate for their votes and willing to give a second independence referendum?

    Or the Lib Dems? With a chance to have a weakened government desperate for their votes and willing to give a second EU/Electoral Reform referendum?

    Both of those parties would have struck the electoral jackpot, as the DUP had until they overplayed their hand..
    No, to pass either a second indyref and/or a Brexit referendum should not have been possible by that coalition.

    The reason that people are LD, PC, SNP, Green etc is because they have deep and significant objections to lots of other parties policies. I am continually surprised that neither Labour nor Tory posters seem to be able to understand that simple fact.

    Lib Dems wouldn't have supported another Sindy ref, A significant part of the Labour party would have refused another Brexit referendum.

    Other parties are not tin soldiers to be deployed as the red or blue teams decide, they have agency and autonomy.

  • LadyG said:


    Trump is a horrible piece of work but I thought his disgraceful abandonment of the Kurds would kill him with patriotic, veteran-loving America. It didn’t.

    That was a disgraceful abandonment of people in a far away country, of whom Americans know nothing. Very different from disgraceful comments on the sons and daughters, or grandfathers, fathers and brothers, of often staunch Republican voters.
  • MrEdMrEd Posts: 5,578
    Scott_xP said:
    Politico - not a fan of Trump - has an article suggesting back up for Trump’s denial (despite the headline)

    https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.politico.com/amp/news/2020/09/04/esper-defends-trump-fallen-troops-409121

    Interesting point re Biden saying “if”. As many have said, this should be gold dust for Biden so, if he thought it was true, there would have been no “if”. The Biden campaign probably thinks job done anyway even if it does prove to be false
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 91,392
    edited September 2020

    Meanwhile, a once-great newspaper thinks that, of all the serious things in the world to report on, this is the most important story of the day:

    https://twitter.com/guardian/status/1301988408122777600

    Maybe I'm a horrible person, but I'd still care more if the criticism was focused on whether he would be any good in the role rather than his being a mysogynist, which is terrible but from that headline perhaps he's a brilliant trade adviser and a mysogynist. People have said he would be no good at the role as well, so I'd lead with that. They could even combine the two in the headline, by saying something like 'incompetent mysogynist' Abbott.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 113,956
    edited September 2020
    Trump admitted to sexually assaulting women with his 'grab 'em by the pussy' comments and didn't harm him, are we sure these sucker comments will have any impact on his support?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,706
    edited September 2020
    LadyG said:

    LadyG said:

    I hesitate to comment on US politics, but it feels like today may be quite a significant day in the presidential race ...
    https://twitter.com/mollyjongfast/status/1301930689084952577?s=21

    Trump is a horrible piece of work but I thought his disgraceful abandonment of the Kurds would kill him with patriotic, veteran-loving America. It didn’t.
    Of course, it's perfectly possible that despite his disgraceful and disgusting comments that people still vote for him.
    Trump is also, ironically, quite right about Vietnam. A stupid war and the poor grunts that went there were “the suckers” who couldn’t evade service. This was because they were generally poor, often black.

    Trump has a gift for saying audaciously true things in the most obnoxious way possible.
    Trump has also said the Iraq War was wrong, he seems to be losing the military vote but increasing his vote with blacks and hispanics surprisingly relative to 2016
  • LadyGLadyG Posts: 2,221
    rcs1000 said:

    He sounds sick and out of breath.
    He also says “deplorable”, his tears look a bit fake, and he says “backbown” rather than “backbone”.

    I’m going out on a limb: I reckon Trump survives this.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 19,598

    LadyG said:


    Trump is a horrible piece of work but I thought his disgraceful abandonment of the Kurds would kill him with patriotic, veteran-loving America. It didn’t.

    That was a disgraceful abandonment of people in a far away country, of whom Americans know nothing. Very different from disgraceful comments on the sons and daughters, or grandfathers, fathers and brothers, of often staunch Republican voters.
    Yes, quite.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,706
    LadyG said:

    I hesitate to comment on US politics, but it feels like today may be quite a significant day in the presidential race ...
    https://twitter.com/mollyjongfast/status/1301930689084952577?s=21

    Trump is a horrible piece of work but I thought his disgraceful abandonment of the Kurds would kill him with patriotic, veteran-loving America. It didn’t.
    Ironically the greatest protector of the Kurds is now President Assad against Turkey and the remnants of ISIS
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,049
    LadyG said:

    LadyG said:

    I hesitate to comment on US politics, but it feels like today may be quite a significant day in the presidential race ...
    https://twitter.com/mollyjongfast/status/1301930689084952577?s=21

    Trump is a horrible piece of work but I thought his disgraceful abandonment of the Kurds would kill him with patriotic, veteran-loving America. It didn’t.
    Of course, it's perfectly possible that despite his disgraceful and disgusting comments that people still vote for him.
    Trump is also, ironically, quite right about Vietnam. A stupid war and the poor grunts that went there were “the suckers” who couldn’t evade service. This was because they were generally poor, often black.

    Trump has a gift for saying audaciously true things in the most obnoxious way possible.
    True. Both Trump and Biden managed 5 draft deferrals on medical grounds. Though John Kerry did serve, and delivered this electrifying speech to Congress when he returned. It was the truth.

    https://youtu.be/yixdveuf0GQ



  • Powerful, patriotic and presidential from America's next President.

    If Americans care about one thing it is patriotism and the military. This is a Ratner moment for Trump. With the polls as they were Biden should have already been heavy odds-on favourite, after today the betting market should have him 1/10 or more on.
  • kle4 said:

    Meanwhile, a once-great newspaper thinks that, of all the serious things in the world to report on, this is the most important story of the day:

    https://twitter.com/guardian/status/1301988408122777600

    Maybe I'm a horrible person, but I'd still care more if the criticism was focused on whether he would be any good in the role rather than his being a mysogynist, which is terrible but from that headline perhaps he's a brilliant trade adviser and a mysogynist. People have said he would be no good at the role as well, so I'd lead with that. They could even combine the two in the headline, by saying something like 'incompetent mysogynist' Abbott.
    It's trivial anyway, but if you really wanted to lead on minor appointments to a powerless advisory board, the one to criticise would be the appointment of Dan Hannan, whose ignorance of the subject knows no bounds. At least Tony Abbott - an ex-PM, for heavens's sake! - has high-level experience of politics in a potentially important region, and no doubt lots of contacts.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 19,598
    MrEd said:

    Scott_xP said:
    Politico - not a fan of Trump - has an article suggesting back up for Trump’s denial (despite the headline)

    https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.politico.com/amp/news/2020/09/04/esper-defends-trump-fallen-troops-409121

    Interesting point re Biden saying “if”. As many have said, this should be gold dust for Biden so, if he thought it was true, there would have been no “if”. The Biden campaign probably thinks job done anyway even if it does prove to be false
    Crikey.

    That’s a wafer thin rebuttal.

    I’m not even sure it’s a rebuttal!
  • MrEdMrEd Posts: 5,578
    LadyG said:

    LadyG said:

    I hesitate to comment on US politics, but it feels like today may be quite a significant day in the presidential race ...
    https://twitter.com/mollyjongfast/status/1301930689084952577?s=21

    Trump is a horrible piece of work but I thought his disgraceful abandonment of the Kurds would kill him with patriotic, veteran-loving America. It didn’t.
    Of course, it's perfectly possible that despite his disgraceful and disgusting comments that people still vote for him.
    Trump is also, ironically, quite right about Vietnam. A stupid war and the poor grunts that went there were “the suckers” who couldn’t evade service. This was because they were generally poor, often black.

    Trump has a gift for saying audaciously true things in the most obnoxious way possible.
    I was going to mention that. His first sentence on Vietnam was right. The second part wasn’t because many of the people enlisted didn’t have a choice and weren’t as clued up as the middle and upper class draft dodgers (including a certain George W Bush)
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 91,392

    Trump admitted to sexually assaulting women with his 'grab 'em by the pussy' comments and didn't harm him, are we sure these sucker comments will have any impact on his support?

    There's plenty of reason to think it won't in any meaningful way, given the plethora of other things he has said and done. Maybe Biden gets lucky and it snowballs, new revelations about things Trump has said day after day. After all, one of Trump's peverse strengths is saying something else that stirs up a hornets next every day, so there's no time to focus on any of it.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 19,598

    Powerful, patriotic and presidential from America's next President.

    If Americans care about one thing it is patriotism and the military. This is a Ratner moment for Trump. With the polls as they were Biden should have already been heavy odds-on favourite, after today the betting market should have him 1/10 or more on.
    Biden looks fucking angry in that clip.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 19,598
    Good god.

    Those are dire numbers for Trumpton.
  • MrEdMrEd Posts: 5,578

    MrEd said:

    Scott_xP said:
    Politico - not a fan of Trump - has an article suggesting back up for Trump’s denial (despite the headline)

    https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.politico.com/amp/news/2020/09/04/esper-defends-trump-fallen-troops-409121

    Interesting point re Biden saying “if”. As many have said, this should be gold dust for Biden so, if he thought it was true, there would have been no “if”. The Biden campaign probably thinks job done anyway even if it does prove to be false
    Crikey.

    That’s a wafer thin rebuttal.

    I’m not even sure it’s a rebuttal!
    I don’t think you read the whole article.

    Esper’s isn’t a full blown denial.

    The comments from defence official speaking anonymously are fairly forthright
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    edited September 2020

    Powerful, patriotic and presidential from America's next President.

    If Americans care about one thing it is patriotism and the military. This is a Ratner moment for Trump. With the polls as they were Biden should have already been heavy odds-on favourite, after today the betting market should have him 1/10 or more on.
    Biden looks fucking angry in that clip.
    I thought that too. Genuine emotion, you can't fake that.

    Americans respect their military. This feeds into the narrative of Trump turning a blind eye to Putin putting bounties on their heads. Republican voters against Trump is going to cannonball after this.
  • Trump admitted to sexually assaulting women with his 'grab 'em by the pussy' comments and didn't harm him, are we sure these sucker comments will have any impact on his support?

    Yes, I'd have thought so. The difference is this is a direct hit on the values of his supporters.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 91,392
    Foxy said:

    LadyG said:

    LadyG said:

    I hesitate to comment on US politics, but it feels like today may be quite a significant day in the presidential race ...
    https://twitter.com/mollyjongfast/status/1301930689084952577?s=21

    Trump is a horrible piece of work but I thought his disgraceful abandonment of the Kurds would kill him with patriotic, veteran-loving America. It didn’t.
    Of course, it's perfectly possible that despite his disgraceful and disgusting comments that people still vote for him.
    Trump is also, ironically, quite right about Vietnam. A stupid war and the poor grunts that went there were “the suckers” who couldn’t evade service. This was because they were generally poor, often black.

    Trump has a gift for saying audaciously true things in the most obnoxious way possible.
    True. Both Trump and Biden managed 5 draft deferrals on medical grounds. Though John Kerry did serve, and delivered this electrifying speech to Congress when he returned. It was the truth.

    https://youtu.be/yixdveuf0GQ

    Very powerful stuff.
  • LadyGLadyG Posts: 2,221
    MrEd said:

    LadyG said:

    LadyG said:

    I hesitate to comment on US politics, but it feels like today may be quite a significant day in the presidential race ...
    https://twitter.com/mollyjongfast/status/1301930689084952577?s=21

    Trump is a horrible piece of work but I thought his disgraceful abandonment of the Kurds would kill him with patriotic, veteran-loving America. It didn’t.
    Of course, it's perfectly possible that despite his disgraceful and disgusting comments that people still vote for him.
    Trump is also, ironically, quite right about Vietnam. A stupid war and the poor grunts that went there were “the suckers” who couldn’t evade service. This was because they were generally poor, often black.

    Trump has a gift for saying audaciously true things in the most obnoxious way possible.
    I was going to mention that. His first sentence on Vietnam was right. The second part wasn’t because many of the people enlisted didn’t have a choice and weren’t as clued up as the middle and upper class draft dodgers (including a certain George W Bush)
    But in Trump’s worldview, if you’re poor and uneducated you’re already a ‘sucker’. You should be born with a rich Father, like him.

    So in Trumpland the Vietnam dead are indeed suckers. Especially as that stupid war was lost. America loves a winner!

    It’s vile but that’s his logic and I’m not yet convinced it will turn away droves of Supporters.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 61,544
    .
    LadyG said:

    I hesitate to comment on US politics, but it feels like today may be quite a significant day in the presidential race ...
    https://twitter.com/mollyjongfast/status/1301930689084952577?s=21

    Trump is a horrible piece of work but I thought his disgraceful abandonment of the Kurds would kill him with patriotic, veteran-loving America. It didn’t.
    Did that lead to Fox News reporters calling the President a liar ?
    Disgraceful though that episode was, it simply did not cut through to the average voter.

    The biggest divide in politics is arguably not left v. right - it's "follows politics" v. "doesn't follow politics".
    Partly because it’s so close to the election, this will likely reach a fair number of those who don’t follow politics.
  • Trump admitted to sexually assaulting women with his 'grab 'em by the pussy' comments and didn't harm him, are we sure these sucker comments will have any impact on his support?

    Yes, I'd have thought so. The difference is this is a direct hit on the values of his supporters.
    Indeed. That's why I said this is a real Ratner moment.

    Many may have thought "grab 'em by the pussy" was locker-room banter from a "real man" and not a slick or stiff politician.

    Mocking the military? That's a whole different ball game.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,049

    Trump admitted to sexually assaulting women with his 'grab 'em by the pussy' comments and didn't harm him, are we sure these sucker comments will have any impact on his support?

    Yes, I'd have thought so. The difference is this is a direct hit on the values of his supporters.
    They don't really care for those values. Why else would Evangelicals line up to vote for an adulterous pussy grabber who has never opened a Bible.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,706
    edited September 2020
    LadyG said:

    MrEd said:

    LadyG said:

    LadyG said:

    I hesitate to comment on US politics, but it feels like today may be quite a significant day in the presidential race ...
    https://twitter.com/mollyjongfast/status/1301930689084952577?s=21

    Trump is a horrible piece of work but I thought his disgraceful abandonment of the Kurds would kill him with patriotic, veteran-loving America. It didn’t.
    Of course, it's perfectly possible that despite his disgraceful and disgusting comments that people still vote for him.
    Trump is also, ironically, quite right about Vietnam. A stupid war and the poor grunts that went there were “the suckers” who couldn’t evade service. This was because they were generally poor, often black.

    Trump has a gift for saying audaciously true things in the most obnoxious way possible.
    I was going to mention that. His first sentence on Vietnam was right. The second part wasn’t because many of the people enlisted didn’t have a choice and weren’t as clued up as the middle and upper class draft dodgers (including a certain George W Bush)
    But in Trump’s worldview, if you’re poor and uneducated you’re already a ‘sucker’. You should be born with a rich Father, like him.

    So in Trumpland the Vietnam dead are indeed suckers. Especially as that stupid war was lost. America loves a winner!

    It’s vile but that’s his logic and I’m not yet convinced it will turn away droves of Supporters.
    Indeed Trump voters are voting against China, too many Mexican immigrants and globalisation, violence from a few BLM protestors and what they see as attacks on their culture and guns and an excessive lockdown. Plus if they are evangelicals against abortion.

    They may find Trump's comments distasteful but they know he makes stupid comments all the time too, indeed polling shows Biden already ahead with the military anyway but Trump will promise more military funds and no prosecutions for vets to counter that
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,706
    Foxy said:

    LadyG said:

    LadyG said:

    I hesitate to comment on US politics, but it feels like today may be quite a significant day in the presidential race ...
    https://twitter.com/mollyjongfast/status/1301930689084952577?s=21

    Trump is a horrible piece of work but I thought his disgraceful abandonment of the Kurds would kill him with patriotic, veteran-loving America. It didn’t.
    Of course, it's perfectly possible that despite his disgraceful and disgusting comments that people still vote for him.
    Trump is also, ironically, quite right about Vietnam. A stupid war and the poor grunts that went there were “the suckers” who couldn’t evade service. This was because they were generally poor, often black.

    Trump has a gift for saying audaciously true things in the most obnoxious way possible.
    True. Both Trump and Biden managed 5 draft deferrals on medical grounds. Though John Kerry did serve, and delivered this electrifying speech to Congress when he returned. It was the truth.

    https://youtu.be/yixdveuf0GQ



    Had the Vietnam war ended up like the Korean war with the South still free from Communist invasion then it would not have been a mistake, the US just lost the will to fight it
  • Trump admitted to sexually assaulting women with his 'grab 'em by the pussy' comments and didn't harm him, are we sure these sucker comments will have any impact on his support?

    Yes, I'd have thought so. The difference is this is a direct hit on the values of his supporters.
    Indeed. That's why I said this is a real Ratner moment.

    Many may have thought "grab 'em by the pussy" was locker-room banter from a "real man" and not a slick or stiff politician.

    Mocking the military? That's a whole different ball game.
    Not just the military in general, but those who gave their lives. My political judgement might be way out, but to me that is something that will cut through.
  • Foxy said:

    Trump admitted to sexually assaulting women with his 'grab 'em by the pussy' comments and didn't harm him, are we sure these sucker comments will have any impact on his support?

    Yes, I'd have thought so. The difference is this is a direct hit on the values of his supporters.
    They don't really care for those values. Why else would Evangelicals line up to vote for an adulterous pussy grabber who has never opened a Bible.
    Evangelicals like all Christians are very selective about what values they care about. There isn't a single Christian in the world who follows every value in the Bible, there can't be since a great many of them are contradictory. The Evangelicals more than many others are entirely selective. Respecting women's rights? Not top of their concerns.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 61,544
    MrEd said:

    Scott_xP said:
    Politico - not a fan of Trump - has an article suggesting back up for Trump’s denial (despite the headline)

    https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.politico.com/amp/news/2020/09/04/esper-defends-trump-fallen-troops-409121

    Interesting point re Biden saying “if”. As many have said, this should be gold dust for Biden so, if he thought it was true, there would have been no “if”. The Biden campaign probably thinks job done anyway even if it does prove to be false
    Any sensible politician doesn’t assume a story is confirmed until it’s absolutely certain - and no one has yet gone on the record.
    It’s very clear that Biden believes it true, and it is to his credit that he leaves some room for doubt (and that sets another contrast with Trump, who is prepared to believe the worst of his opponents on no evidence at all).
    I don’t think his statement loses any of its power because of that.
  • MrEdMrEd Posts: 5,578

    Good god.

    Those are dire numbers for Trumpton.
    And one pollster.

    Each camp will pick the polls they like and disparage what doesn’t fit their vote.
  • I think it could be less what Trump said, but more how Biden has responded that may make a difference here.
  • Trump admitted to sexually assaulting women with his 'grab 'em by the pussy' comments and didn't harm him, are we sure these sucker comments will have any impact on his support?

    Yes, I'd have thought so. The difference is this is a direct hit on the values of his supporters.
    Indeed. That's why I said this is a real Ratner moment.

    Many may have thought "grab 'em by the pussy" was locker-room banter from a "real man" and not a slick or stiff politician.

    Mocking the military? That's a whole different ball game.
    Not just the military in general, but those who gave their lives. My political judgement might be way out, but to me that is something that will cut through.
    I entirely agree with you.

    To anyone who's ever lost a loved one or a friend, this is a punch in the stomach. To anyone who cares about "flag and country", this is . . . Biden won't be the only one angry about these remarks.
  • LadyGLadyG Posts: 2,221
    HYUFD said:

    LadyG said:

    MrEd said:

    LadyG said:

    LadyG said:

    I hesitate to comment on US politics, but it feels like today may be quite a significant day in the presidential race ...
    https://twitter.com/mollyjongfast/status/1301930689084952577?s=21

    Trump is a horrible piece of work but I thought his disgraceful abandonment of the Kurds would kill him with patriotic, veteran-loving America. It didn’t.
    Of course, it's perfectly possible that despite his disgraceful and disgusting comments that people still vote for him.
    Trump is also, ironically, quite right about Vietnam. A stupid war and the poor grunts that went there were “the suckers” who couldn’t evade service. This was because they were generally poor, often black.

    Trump has a gift for saying audaciously true things in the most obnoxious way possible.
    I was going to mention that. His first sentence on Vietnam was right. The second part wasn’t because many of the people enlisted didn’t have a choice and weren’t as clued up as the middle and upper class draft dodgers (including a certain George W Bush)
    But in Trump’s worldview, if you’re poor and uneducated you’re already a ‘sucker’. You should be born with a rich Father, like him.

    So in Trumpland the Vietnam dead are indeed suckers. Especially as that stupid war was lost. America loves a winner!

    It’s vile but that’s his logic and I’m not yet convinced it will turn away droves of Supporters.
    Indeed Trump voters are voting against China, too many Mexican immigrants and globalisation and an excessive lockdown.

    They may find Trump's comments distasteful but they know he makes stupid comments all the time too, indeed polling shows Biden already ahead with the military anyway but Trump will promise more military funds and no prosecutions for vets to counter that
    Trump is possibly (unwittingly?) tapping into an anti-military, isolationist mood in America. Which is why his Kurdish debacle didn’t hurt him. Americans are tired of fighting. They don’t want to police the world. Let China run Asia. And yes, Vietnam was stupid and costly and so was Iraq.

    A lot of poorer Americans will eagerly agree with this. Not enough to win him the election but maybe enough to prevent humiliation?

  • Foxy said:

    Trump admitted to sexually assaulting women with his 'grab 'em by the pussy' comments and didn't harm him, are we sure these sucker comments will have any impact on his support?

    Yes, I'd have thought so. The difference is this is a direct hit on the values of his supporters.
    They don't really care for those values. Why else would Evangelicals line up to vote for an adulterous pussy grabber who has never opened a Bible.
    Ah, that's a different matter. You might not be best placed to get into the mindset of said Evangelicals. Nor am I, for that matter, but I can have a go. I don't think they are under any illusions about whether he'd be safe to leave alone with their daughters, but I do think they believe, probably rightly, that from their point of view he's a better bet on abortion and homosexuality than Hillary Clinton or Joe Biden.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 91,392

    Powerful, patriotic and presidential from America's next President.

    If Americans care about one thing it is patriotism and the military. This is a Ratner moment for Trump. With the polls as they were Biden should have already been heavy odds-on favourite, after today the betting market should have him 1/10 or more on.
    Biden looks fucking angry in that clip.
    For all his flaws as a candidate, it does seem to me that one thing Biden has when he gets it right, and which you cannot teach, is gravitas. There's any number of people who could enumerate at length all the reasons Trump is terrible, and do so with greater eloquence, more visceral emotion, more coherent vision for solutions. And it is odd that no one else on offer was able to beat a candidate who has plenty of flaws.

    But for all that, Biden is not a ranter in some entertaining comedic tirade, he's not some hot blooded progressive who gets fired up to the same level of righteous indignation about every little thing that's wrong with the country, regardless of proportion. He has stature that lends weight to when he does go hard.

    Will it be enough? We shall see.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 19,598
    MrEd said:

    MrEd said:

    Scott_xP said:
    Politico - not a fan of Trump - has an article suggesting back up for Trump’s denial (despite the headline)

    https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.politico.com/amp/news/2020/09/04/esper-defends-trump-fallen-troops-409121

    Interesting point re Biden saying “if”. As many have said, this should be gold dust for Biden so, if he thought it was true, there would have been no “if”. The Biden campaign probably thinks job done anyway even if it does prove to be false
    Crikey.

    That’s a wafer thin rebuttal.

    I’m not even sure it’s a rebuttal!
    I don’t think you read the whole article.

    Esper’s isn’t a full blown denial.

    The comments from defence official speaking anonymously are fairly forthright
    Nope. I did read the whole article.

    It’s wafer thin.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,049
    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    LadyG said:

    LadyG said:

    I hesitate to comment on US politics, but it feels like today may be quite a significant day in the presidential race ...
    https://twitter.com/mollyjongfast/status/1301930689084952577?s=21

    Trump is a horrible piece of work but I thought his disgraceful abandonment of the Kurds would kill him with patriotic, veteran-loving America. It didn’t.
    Of course, it's perfectly possible that despite his disgraceful and disgusting comments that people still vote for him.
    Trump is also, ironically, quite right about Vietnam. A stupid war and the poor grunts that went there were “the suckers” who couldn’t evade service. This was because they were generally poor, often black.

    Trump has a gift for saying audaciously true things in the most obnoxious way possible.
    True. Both Trump and Biden managed 5 draft deferrals on medical grounds. Though John Kerry did serve, and delivered this electrifying speech to Congress when he returned. It was the truth.

    https://youtu.be/yixdveuf0GQ



    Had the Vietnam war ended up like the Korean war with the South still free from Communist invasion then it would not have been a mistake, the US just lost the will to fight it
    It was not a winnable war. MacNamara recognised that himself in 1968.



  • LadyG said:

    HYUFD said:

    LadyG said:

    MrEd said:

    LadyG said:

    LadyG said:

    I hesitate to comment on US politics, but it feels like today may be quite a significant day in the presidential race ...
    https://twitter.com/mollyjongfast/status/1301930689084952577?s=21

    Trump is a horrible piece of work but I thought his disgraceful abandonment of the Kurds would kill him with patriotic, veteran-loving America. It didn’t.
    Of course, it's perfectly possible that despite his disgraceful and disgusting comments that people still vote for him.
    Trump is also, ironically, quite right about Vietnam. A stupid war and the poor grunts that went there were “the suckers” who couldn’t evade service. This was because they were generally poor, often black.

    Trump has a gift for saying audaciously true things in the most obnoxious way possible.
    I was going to mention that. His first sentence on Vietnam was right. The second part wasn’t because many of the people enlisted didn’t have a choice and weren’t as clued up as the middle and upper class draft dodgers (including a certain George W Bush)
    But in Trump’s worldview, if you’re poor and uneducated you’re already a ‘sucker’. You should be born with a rich Father, like him.

    So in Trumpland the Vietnam dead are indeed suckers. Especially as that stupid war was lost. America loves a winner!

    It’s vile but that’s his logic and I’m not yet convinced it will turn away droves of Supporters.
    Indeed Trump voters are voting against China, too many Mexican immigrants and globalisation and an excessive lockdown.

    They may find Trump's comments distasteful but they know he makes stupid comments all the time too, indeed polling shows Biden already ahead with the military anyway but Trump will promise more military funds and no prosecutions for vets to counter that
    Trump is possibly (unwittingly?) tapping into an anti-military, isolationist mood in America. Which is why his Kurdish debacle didn’t hurt him. Americans are tired of fighting. They don’t want to police the world. Let China run Asia. And yes, Vietnam was stupid and costly and so was Iraq.

    A lot of poorer Americans will eagerly agree with this. Not enough to win him the election but maybe enough to prevent humiliation?

    Bullshit sorry.

    Trump calling gold star families lost ones "suckers" is Hillary calling people a "basket of deplorables" but on steroids.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 91,392
    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    LadyG said:

    LadyG said:

    I hesitate to comment on US politics, but it feels like today may be quite a significant day in the presidential race ...
    https://twitter.com/mollyjongfast/status/1301930689084952577?s=21

    Trump is a horrible piece of work but I thought his disgraceful abandonment of the Kurds would kill him with patriotic, veteran-loving America. It didn’t.
    Of course, it's perfectly possible that despite his disgraceful and disgusting comments that people still vote for him.
    Trump is also, ironically, quite right about Vietnam. A stupid war and the poor grunts that went there were “the suckers” who couldn’t evade service. This was because they were generally poor, often black.

    Trump has a gift for saying audaciously true things in the most obnoxious way possible.
    True. Both Trump and Biden managed 5 draft deferrals on medical grounds. Though John Kerry did serve, and delivered this electrifying speech to Congress when he returned. It was the truth.

    https://youtu.be/yixdveuf0GQ

    Had the Vietnam war ended up like the Korean war with the South still free from Communist invasion then it would not have been a mistake, the US just lost the will to fight it
    So what you're saying is if it were not for all the mistakes, then it would not have been a mistake? That if the facts had been different then things would have been different?
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 19,598
    edited September 2020

    Trump admitted to sexually assaulting women with his 'grab 'em by the pussy' comments and didn't harm him, are we sure these sucker comments will have any impact on his support?

    Yes, I'd have thought so. The difference is this is a direct hit on the values of his supporters.
    That’s exactly why I called it last night on here.

    I’m not normally moved by he said she said stuff but this seems rather different, for the reasons you state above.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,614
    Foxy said:

    Trump admitted to sexually assaulting women with his 'grab 'em by the pussy' comments and didn't harm him, are we sure these sucker comments will have any impact on his support?

    Yes, I'd have thought so. The difference is this is a direct hit on the values of his supporters.
    They don't really care for those values. Why else would Evangelicals line up to vote for an adulterous pussy grabber who has never opened a Bible.
    Because a couple more Supreme Court judges appointed by a Republican might be enough to overturn Roe v Wade?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,706
    LadyG said:

    HYUFD said:

    LadyG said:

    MrEd said:

    LadyG said:

    LadyG said:

    I hesitate to comment on US politics, but it feels like today may be quite a significant day in the presidential race ...
    https://twitter.com/mollyjongfast/status/1301930689084952577?s=21

    Trump is a horrible piece of work but I thought his disgraceful abandonment of the Kurds would kill him with patriotic, veteran-loving America. It didn’t.
    Of course, it's perfectly possible that despite his disgraceful and disgusting comments that people still vote for him.
    Trump is also, ironically, quite right about Vietnam. A stupid war and the poor grunts that went there were “the suckers” who couldn’t evade service. This was because they were generally poor, often black.

    Trump has a gift for saying audaciously true things in the most obnoxious way possible.
    I was going to mention that. His first sentence on Vietnam was right. The second part wasn’t because many of the people enlisted didn’t have a choice and weren’t as clued up as the middle and upper class draft dodgers (including a certain George W Bush)
    But in Trump’s worldview, if you’re poor and uneducated you’re already a ‘sucker’. You should be born with a rich Father, like him.

    So in Trumpland the Vietnam dead are indeed suckers. Especially as that stupid war was lost. America loves a winner!

    It’s vile but that’s his logic and I’m not yet convinced it will turn away droves of Supporters.
    Indeed Trump voters are voting against China, too many Mexican immigrants and globalisation and an excessive lockdown.

    They may find Trump's comments distasteful but they know he makes stupid comments all the time too, indeed polling shows Biden already ahead with the military anyway but Trump will promise more military funds and no prosecutions for vets to counter that
    Trump is possibly (unwittingly?) tapping into an anti-military, isolationist mood in America. Which is why his Kurdish debacle didn’t hurt him. Americans are tired of fighting. They don’t want to police the world. Let China run Asia. And yes, Vietnam was stupid and costly and so was Iraq.

    A lot of poorer Americans will eagerly agree with this. Not enough to win him the election but maybe enough to prevent humiliation?

    Yes, as I have said before Trump is the most isolationist US President since Carter, when he says 'America First' he means it, not just in economics and withdrawing from global free trade but in foreign policy too and withdrawing from being the world's policeman. If Europe wants to protect itself against Putin it should pay, plus Biden is far more likely to invade or bomb the Middle East than Trump is, just as Hillary would have been, after Sanders Trump was the least willing candidate this year to intervene militarily abroad
  • LadyG said:

    LadyG said:

    I hesitate to comment on US politics, but it feels like today may be quite a significant day in the presidential race ...
    https://twitter.com/mollyjongfast/status/1301930689084952577?s=21

    Trump is a horrible piece of work but I thought his disgraceful abandonment of the Kurds would kill him with patriotic, veteran-loving America. It didn’t.
    Of course, it's perfectly possible that despite his disgraceful and disgusting comments that people still vote for him.
    Trump is also, ironically, quite right about Vietnam. A stupid war and the poor grunts that went there were “the suckers” who couldn’t evade service. This was because they were generally poor, often black.

    Trump has a gift for saying audaciously true things in the most obnoxious way possible.
    One of Trump's strongest moments when he was running for the Republican party nomination was when he attacked George W. Bush over 9/11 and the war on terror in South Carolina. Received Republican wisdom was that it would sink his chances but it strengthened him.
  • LadyGLadyG Posts: 2,221
    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    LadyG said:

    LadyG said:

    I hesitate to comment on US politics, but it feels like today may be quite a significant day in the presidential race ...
    https://twitter.com/mollyjongfast/status/1301930689084952577?s=21

    Trump is a horrible piece of work but I thought his disgraceful abandonment of the Kurds would kill him with patriotic, veteran-loving America. It didn’t.
    Of course, it's perfectly possible that despite his disgraceful and disgusting comments that people still vote for him.
    Trump is also, ironically, quite right about Vietnam. A stupid war and the poor grunts that went there were “the suckers” who couldn’t evade service. This was because they were generally poor, often black.

    Trump has a gift for saying audaciously true things in the most obnoxious way possible.
    True. Both Trump and Biden managed 5 draft deferrals on medical grounds. Though John Kerry did serve, and delivered this electrifying speech to Congress when he returned. It was the truth.

    https://youtu.be/yixdveuf0GQ



    Had the Vietnam war ended up like the Korean war with the South still free from Communist invasion then it would not have been a mistake, the US just lost the will to fight it
    The US lost the will to fight it because they lost the war. They were defeated. The Tet Offensive (albeit a disaster for the Viet Cong, militarily) showed that the North would never give up, they could not be defeated (because China, USSR), the only choice was to pour endless American men into the mincing machine for the rest of time. That’s a defeat.

    Same way the Soviet Union was defeated in Afghanistan.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,706

    Foxy said:

    Trump admitted to sexually assaulting women with his 'grab 'em by the pussy' comments and didn't harm him, are we sure these sucker comments will have any impact on his support?

    Yes, I'd have thought so. The difference is this is a direct hit on the values of his supporters.
    They don't really care for those values. Why else would Evangelicals line up to vote for an adulterous pussy grabber who has never opened a Bible.
    Evangelicals like all Christians are very selective about what values they care about. There isn't a single Christian in the world who follows every value in the Bible, there can't be since a great many of them are contradictory. The Evangelicals more than many others are entirely selective. Respecting women's rights? Not top of their concerns.
    Of course there are, the Pope and Archbishop of Canterbury for a start, what a ridiculous statement, plus in any case Christianity recognises we are all sinners but you repent of your sins you do not celebrate them
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    edited September 2020
    LadyG said:

    HYUFD said:

    LadyG said:

    MrEd said:

    LadyG said:

    LadyG said:

    I hesitate to comment on US politics, but it feels like today may be quite a significant day in the presidential race ...
    https://twitter.com/mollyjongfast/status/1301930689084952577?s=21

    Trump is a horrible piece of work but I thought his disgraceful abandonment of the Kurds would kill him with patriotic, veteran-loving America. It didn’t.
    Of course, it's perfectly possible that despite his disgraceful and disgusting comments that people still vote for him.
    Trump is also, ironically, quite right about Vietnam. A stupid war and the poor grunts that went there were “the suckers” who couldn’t evade service. This was because they were generally poor, often black.

    Trump has a gift for saying audaciously true things in the most obnoxious way possible.
    I was going to mention that. His first sentence on Vietnam was right. The second part wasn’t because many of the people enlisted didn’t have a choice and weren’t as clued up as the middle and upper class draft dodgers (including a certain George W Bush)
    But in Trump’s worldview, if you’re poor and uneducated you’re already a ‘sucker’. You should be born with a rich Father, like him.

    So in Trumpland the Vietnam dead are indeed suckers. Especially as that stupid war was lost. America loves a winner!

    It’s vile but that’s his logic and I’m not yet convinced it will turn away droves of Supporters.
    Indeed Trump voters are voting against China, too many Mexican immigrants and globalisation and an excessive lockdown.

    They may find Trump's comments distasteful but they know he makes stupid comments all the time too, indeed polling shows Biden already ahead with the military anyway but Trump will promise more military funds and no prosecutions for vets to counter that
    Trump is possibly (unwittingly?) tapping into an anti-military, isolationist mood in America. Which is why his Kurdish debacle didn’t hurt him. Americans are tired of fighting. They don’t want to police the world. Let China run Asia. And yes, Vietnam was stupid and costly and so was Iraq.

    A lot of poorer Americans will eagerly agree with this. Not enough to win him the election but maybe enough to prevent humiliation?

    Nah. Or rather, yes, as a US politician you can make that argument, and it would be popular - but you need to direct your ire at the presidents and Congress and the generals, the Establishment in general, who took the US into costly and deadly and often pointless wars in far-off countries. Not contempt at the foot-soldiers who lost their lives in them.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 53,766

    @Alistair I was referring more to the uproar from UK university lecturers on Twitter generally about the upcoming term.

    Indeed. How many of those infected have significant symptoms? I’d hazard a guess that few of them do.

    It’s now becoming more of an issue of morality and philosophy: to what extent should we ruin the youth of the young to protect the age of the old?
    https://arstechnica.com/science/2020/09/evidence-slowly-building-for-long-term-heart-problems-post-covid-19/
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 53,766
    kle4 said:

    Scott_xP said:

    IanB2 said:

    BTW heard Villiers ont’radio lunchtime conceding somewhat sheepishly that the French appear to be a lot more ready for Brexit than we are.

    They didn't elect a Clown to lead them
    What did the Spaniards do wrong then? They seem to be doing as badly as us and if their leader is a clown they've kept that quiet.
    Nightclubs
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,706
    edited September 2020

    LadyG said:

    LadyG said:

    I hesitate to comment on US politics, but it feels like today may be quite a significant day in the presidential race ...
    https://twitter.com/mollyjongfast/status/1301930689084952577?s=21

    Trump is a horrible piece of work but I thought his disgraceful abandonment of the Kurds would kill him with patriotic, veteran-loving America. It didn’t.
    Of course, it's perfectly possible that despite his disgraceful and disgusting comments that people still vote for him.
    Trump is also, ironically, quite right about Vietnam. A stupid war and the poor grunts that went there were “the suckers” who couldn’t evade service. This was because they were generally poor, often black.

    Trump has a gift for saying audaciously true things in the most obnoxious way possible.
    One of Trump's strongest moments when he was running for the Republican party nomination was when he attacked George W. Bush over 9/11 and the war on terror in South Carolina. Received Republican wisdom was that it would sink his chances but it strengthened him.
    McCain and the Bushes both hated Trump in part because he was not a neocon.

    Clinton and Biden are closer to neocons than Trump is, hence even John Bolton, the King of neocons who hardly sees a country he does not want to bomb or invade, has refused to endorse Trump this year
  • LadyGLadyG Posts: 2,221

    LadyG said:

    HYUFD said:

    LadyG said:

    MrEd said:

    LadyG said:

    LadyG said:

    I hesitate to comment on US politics, but it feels like today may be quite a significant day in the presidential race ...
    https://twitter.com/mollyjongfast/status/1301930689084952577?s=21

    Trump is a horrible piece of work but I thought his disgraceful abandonment of the Kurds would kill him with patriotic, veteran-loving America. It didn’t.
    Of course, it's perfectly possible that despite his disgraceful and disgusting comments that people still vote for him.
    Trump is also, ironically, quite right about Vietnam. A stupid war and the poor grunts that went there were “the suckers” who couldn’t evade service. This was because they were generally poor, often black.

    Trump has a gift for saying audaciously true things in the most obnoxious way possible.
    I was going to mention that. His first sentence on Vietnam was right. The second part wasn’t because many of the people enlisted didn’t have a choice and weren’t as clued up as the middle and upper class draft dodgers (including a certain George W Bush)
    But in Trump’s worldview, if you’re poor and uneducated you’re already a ‘sucker’. You should be born with a rich Father, like him.

    So in Trumpland the Vietnam dead are indeed suckers. Especially as that stupid war was lost. America loves a winner!

    It’s vile but that’s his logic and I’m not yet convinced it will turn away droves of Supporters.
    Indeed Trump voters are voting against China, too many Mexican immigrants and globalisation and an excessive lockdown.

    They may find Trump's comments distasteful but they know he makes stupid comments all the time too, indeed polling shows Biden already ahead with the military anyway but Trump will promise more military funds and no prosecutions for vets to counter that
    Trump is possibly (unwittingly?) tapping into an anti-military, isolationist mood in America. Which is why his Kurdish debacle didn’t hurt him. Americans are tired of fighting. They don’t want to police the world. Let China run Asia. And yes, Vietnam was stupid and costly and so was Iraq.

    A lot of poorer Americans will eagerly agree with this. Not enough to win him the election but maybe enough to prevent humiliation?

    Bullshit sorry.

    Trump calling gold star families lost ones "suckers" is Hillary calling people a "basket of deplorables" but on steroids.
    We’ll see. You may be right. But Trump says outrageous shit all the time and I’ve given up expecting it to finish him off.

    It’s his USP.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 61,544
    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    LadyG said:

    LadyG said:

    I hesitate to comment on US politics, but it feels like today may be quite a significant day in the presidential race ...
    https://twitter.com/mollyjongfast/status/1301930689084952577?s=21

    Trump is a horrible piece of work but I thought his disgraceful abandonment of the Kurds would kill him with patriotic, veteran-loving America. It didn’t.
    Of course, it's perfectly possible that despite his disgraceful and disgusting comments that people still vote for him.
    Trump is also, ironically, quite right about Vietnam. A stupid war and the poor grunts that went there were “the suckers” who couldn’t evade service. This was because they were generally poor, often black.

    Trump has a gift for saying audaciously true things in the most obnoxious way possible.
    True. Both Trump and Biden managed 5 draft deferrals on medical grounds. Though John Kerry did serve, and delivered this electrifying speech to Congress when he returned. It was the truth.

    https://youtu.be/yixdveuf0GQ

    Had the Vietnam war ended up like the Korean war with the South still free from Communist invasion then it would not have been a mistake, the US just lost the will to fight it
    No, that was the South Vietnamese.
    The US made two fundamental mistakes - first trying to prop up a (brutal) French colonial occupation for the best part of a decade, and then backing a leader who had no interest in the welfare of the majority of his people.

    Sure, they could have won the war, but there would have been nothing left of Vietnam had they done so.

    Korea was fundamentally different; there the US both had a long history of engagement, and were seen as long term allies against the (Japanese) colonial occupier, not allies of the colonial occupier.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 53,766
    LadyG said:

    rcs1000 said:

    He sounds sick and out of breath.
    He also says “deplorable”, his tears look a bit fake, and he says “backbown” rather than “backbone”.

    I’m going out on a limb: I reckon Trump survives this.
    Of course he survives this.

    However, what it does is make it that tiny bit harder for Trump to close the gap.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 61,544
    MrEd said:

    Good god.

    Those are dire numbers for Trumpton.
    And one pollster.

    Each camp will pick the polls they like and disparage what doesn’t fit their vote.
    The Biden camp have a lot more choice....
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 53,766
    If Peters doesn't win the Michigan Senate race, I would be staggered.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,706
    kle4 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    LadyG said:

    LadyG said:

    I hesitate to comment on US politics, but it feels like today may be quite a significant day in the presidential race ...
    https://twitter.com/mollyjongfast/status/1301930689084952577?s=21

    Trump is a horrible piece of work but I thought his disgraceful abandonment of the Kurds would kill him with patriotic, veteran-loving America. It didn’t.
    Of course, it's perfectly possible that despite his disgraceful and disgusting comments that people still vote for him.
    Trump is also, ironically, quite right about Vietnam. A stupid war and the poor grunts that went there were “the suckers” who couldn’t evade service. This was because they were generally poor, often black.

    Trump has a gift for saying audaciously true things in the most obnoxious way possible.
    True. Both Trump and Biden managed 5 draft deferrals on medical grounds. Though John Kerry did serve, and delivered this electrifying speech to Congress when he returned. It was the truth.

    https://youtu.be/yixdveuf0GQ

    Had the Vietnam war ended up like the Korean war with the South still free from Communist invasion then it would not have been a mistake, the US just lost the will to fight it
    So what you're saying is if it were not for all the mistakes, then it would not have been a mistake? That if the facts had been different then things would have been different?
    Had they had the military will to keep the Vietcong out of South Vietnam they could have done, it was the Democrats in Congress who refused to fund the war that lost it for the US and forced Ford to pull out
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,706
    LadyG said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    LadyG said:

    LadyG said:

    I hesitate to comment on US politics, but it feels like today may be quite a significant day in the presidential race ...
    https://twitter.com/mollyjongfast/status/1301930689084952577?s=21

    Trump is a horrible piece of work but I thought his disgraceful abandonment of the Kurds would kill him with patriotic, veteran-loving America. It didn’t.
    Of course, it's perfectly possible that despite his disgraceful and disgusting comments that people still vote for him.
    Trump is also, ironically, quite right about Vietnam. A stupid war and the poor grunts that went there were “the suckers” who couldn’t evade service. This was because they were generally poor, often black.

    Trump has a gift for saying audaciously true things in the most obnoxious way possible.
    True. Both Trump and Biden managed 5 draft deferrals on medical grounds. Though John Kerry did serve, and delivered this electrifying speech to Congress when he returned. It was the truth.

    https://youtu.be/yixdveuf0GQ



    Had the Vietnam war ended up like the Korean war with the South still free from Communist invasion then it would not have been a mistake, the US just lost the will to fight it
    The US lost the will to fight it because they lost the war. They were defeated. The Tet Offensive (albeit a disaster for the Viet Cong, militarily) showed that the North would never give up, they could not be defeated (because China, USSR), the only choice was to pour endless American men into the mincing machine for the rest of time. That’s a defeat.

    Same way the Soviet Union was defeated in Afghanistan.
    North Vietnam may not have been captured but neither was North Korea, however South Vietnam like South Korea could have been kept free
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670

    Trump admitted to sexually assaulting women with his 'grab 'em by the pussy' comments and didn't harm him, are we sure these sucker comments will have any impact on his support?

    Fun fact: Trump initially denied to his campaign team that it was him on the tape.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 61,544

    I think it could be less what Trump said, but more how Biden has responded that may make a difference here.

    So much for ‘Hiden Biden’.
    Another flub from Trump.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 53,766
    LadyG said:

    LadyG said:

    HYUFD said:

    LadyG said:

    MrEd said:

    LadyG said:

    LadyG said:

    I hesitate to comment on US politics, but it feels like today may be quite a significant day in the presidential race ...
    https://twitter.com/mollyjongfast/status/1301930689084952577?s=21

    Trump is a horrible piece of work but I thought his disgraceful abandonment of the Kurds would kill him with patriotic, veteran-loving America. It didn’t.
    Of course, it's perfectly possible that despite his disgraceful and disgusting comments that people still vote for him.
    Trump is also, ironically, quite right about Vietnam. A stupid war and the poor grunts that went there were “the suckers” who couldn’t evade service. This was because they were generally poor, often black.

    Trump has a gift for saying audaciously true things in the most obnoxious way possible.
    I was going to mention that. His first sentence on Vietnam was right. The second part wasn’t because many of the people enlisted didn’t have a choice and weren’t as clued up as the middle and upper class draft dodgers (including a certain George W Bush)
    But in Trump’s worldview, if you’re poor and uneducated you’re already a ‘sucker’. You should be born with a rich Father, like him.

    So in Trumpland the Vietnam dead are indeed suckers. Especially as that stupid war was lost. America loves a winner!

    It’s vile but that’s his logic and I’m not yet convinced it will turn away droves of Supporters.
    Indeed Trump voters are voting against China, too many Mexican immigrants and globalisation and an excessive lockdown.

    They may find Trump's comments distasteful but they know he makes stupid comments all the time too, indeed polling shows Biden already ahead with the military anyway but Trump will promise more military funds and no prosecutions for vets to counter that
    Trump is possibly (unwittingly?) tapping into an anti-military, isolationist mood in America. Which is why his Kurdish debacle didn’t hurt him. Americans are tired of fighting. They don’t want to police the world. Let China run Asia. And yes, Vietnam was stupid and costly and so was Iraq.

    A lot of poorer Americans will eagerly agree with this. Not enough to win him the election but maybe enough to prevent humiliation?

    Bullshit sorry.

    Trump calling gold star families lost ones "suckers" is Hillary calling people a "basket of deplorables" but on steroids.
    We’ll see. You may be right. But Trump says outrageous shit all the time and I’ve given up expecting it to finish him off.

    It’s his USP.
    Hillary calling people deplorables didn't lose her the election. It's just storytelling by people who should know better.

    Hillary lost the election because she was a terrible candidate with extremely high negatives and who motivated people to come out and vote against her.
  • LadyG said:

    LadyG said:

    I hesitate to comment on US politics, but it feels like today may be quite a significant day in the presidential race ...
    https://twitter.com/mollyjongfast/status/1301930689084952577?s=21

    Trump is a horrible piece of work but I thought his disgraceful abandonment of the Kurds would kill him with patriotic, veteran-loving America. It didn’t.
    Of course, it's perfectly possible that despite his disgraceful and disgusting comments that people still vote for him.
    Trump is also, ironically, quite right about Vietnam. A stupid war and the poor grunts that went there were “the suckers” who couldn’t evade service. This was because they were generally poor, often black.

    Trump has a gift for saying audaciously true things in the most obnoxious way possible.
    Do you agree with his stance on face-masks?
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 39,742
    edited September 2020
    LadyG said:

    HYUFD said:

    LadyG said:

    MrEd said:

    LadyG said:

    LadyG said:

    I hesitate to comment on US politics, but it feels like today may be quite a significant day in the presidential race ...
    https://twitter.com/mollyjongfast/status/1301930689084952577?s=21

    Trump is a horrible piece of work but I thought his disgraceful abandonment of the Kurds would kill him with patriotic, veteran-loving America. It didn’t.
    Of course, it's perfectly possible that despite his disgraceful and disgusting comments that people still vote for him.
    Trump is also, ironically, quite right about Vietnam. A stupid war and the poor grunts that went there were “the suckers” who couldn’t evade service. This was because they were generally poor, often black.

    Trump has a gift for saying audaciously true things in the most obnoxious way possible.
    I was going to mention that. His first sentence on Vietnam was right. The second part wasn’t because many of the people enlisted didn’t have a choice and weren’t as clued up as the middle and upper class draft dodgers (including a certain George W Bush)
    But in Trump’s worldview, if you’re poor and uneducated you’re already a ‘sucker’. You should be born with a rich Father, like him.

    So in Trumpland the Vietnam dead are indeed suckers. Especially as that stupid war was lost. America loves a winner!

    It’s vile but that’s his logic and I’m not yet convinced it will turn away droves of Supporters.
    Indeed Trump voters are voting against China, too many Mexican immigrants and globalisation and an excessive lockdown.

    They may find Trump's comments distasteful but they know he makes stupid comments all the time too, indeed polling shows Biden already ahead with the military anyway but Trump will promise more military funds and no prosecutions for vets to counter that
    Trump is possibly (unwittingly?) tapping into an anti-military, isolationist mood in America. Which is why his Kurdish debacle didn’t hurt him. Americans are tired of fighting. They don’t want to police the world. Let China run Asia. And yes, Vietnam was stupid and costly and so was Iraq.

    A lot of poorer Americans will eagerly agree with this. Not enough to win him the election but maybe enough to prevent humiliation?

    Have the ebbs and flows of US isolationism been noted for anti-militarism?
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 53,766
    HYUFD said:

    kle4 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    LadyG said:

    LadyG said:

    I hesitate to comment on US politics, but it feels like today may be quite a significant day in the presidential race ...
    https://twitter.com/mollyjongfast/status/1301930689084952577?s=21

    Trump is a horrible piece of work but I thought his disgraceful abandonment of the Kurds would kill him with patriotic, veteran-loving America. It didn’t.
    Of course, it's perfectly possible that despite his disgraceful and disgusting comments that people still vote for him.
    Trump is also, ironically, quite right about Vietnam. A stupid war and the poor grunts that went there were “the suckers” who couldn’t evade service. This was because they were generally poor, often black.

    Trump has a gift for saying audaciously true things in the most obnoxious way possible.
    True. Both Trump and Biden managed 5 draft deferrals on medical grounds. Though John Kerry did serve, and delivered this electrifying speech to Congress when he returned. It was the truth.

    https://youtu.be/yixdveuf0GQ

    Had the Vietnam war ended up like the Korean war with the South still free from Communist invasion then it would not have been a mistake, the US just lost the will to fight it
    So what you're saying is if it were not for all the mistakes, then it would not have been a mistake? That if the facts had been different then things would have been different?
    Had they had the military will to keep the Vietcong out of South Vietnam they could have done, it was the Democrats in Congress who refused to fund the war that lost it for the US and forced Ford to pull out
    The fact that the South Vietnamese government repeatedly lied to the US didn't help.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 61,544
    BTW, Mike is already in the green on his Texas bet.
  • HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    Trump admitted to sexually assaulting women with his 'grab 'em by the pussy' comments and didn't harm him, are we sure these sucker comments will have any impact on his support?

    Yes, I'd have thought so. The difference is this is a direct hit on the values of his supporters.
    They don't really care for those values. Why else would Evangelicals line up to vote for an adulterous pussy grabber who has never opened a Bible.
    Evangelicals like all Christians are very selective about what values they care about. There isn't a single Christian in the world who follows every value in the Bible, there can't be since a great many of them are contradictory. The Evangelicals more than many others are entirely selective. Respecting women's rights? Not top of their concerns.
    Of course there are, the Pope and Archbishop of Canterbury for a start, what a ridiculous statement, plus in any case Christianity recognises we are all sinners but you repent of your sins you do not celebrate them
    Its not a ridiculous statement and if you actually knew what the Bible says or had ever read it and not just cherrypicked passages then you would know that.

    But if you cherrypick Bible passages like you cherrypick polls then you'll be fine.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 91,392
    HYUFD said:

    kle4 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    LadyG said:

    LadyG said:

    I hesitate to comment on US politics, but it feels like today may be quite a significant day in the presidential race ...
    https://twitter.com/mollyjongfast/status/1301930689084952577?s=21

    Trump is a horrible piece of work but I thought his disgraceful abandonment of the Kurds would kill him with patriotic, veteran-loving America. It didn’t.
    Of course, it's perfectly possible that despite his disgraceful and disgusting comments that people still vote for him.
    Trump is also, ironically, quite right about Vietnam. A stupid war and the poor grunts that went there were “the suckers” who couldn’t evade service. This was because they were generally poor, often black.

    Trump has a gift for saying audaciously true things in the most obnoxious way possible.
    True. Both Trump and Biden managed 5 draft deferrals on medical grounds. Though John Kerry did serve, and delivered this electrifying speech to Congress when he returned. It was the truth.

    https://youtu.be/yixdveuf0GQ

    Had the Vietnam war ended up like the Korean war with the South still free from Communist invasion then it would not have been a mistake, the US just lost the will to fight it
    So what you're saying is if it were not for all the mistakes, then it would not have been a mistake? That if the facts had been different then things would have been different?
    Had they had the military will to keep the Vietcong out of South Vietnam they could have done, it was the Democrats in Congress who refused to fund the war that lost it for the US and forced Ford to pull out
    And if Xerxes had stayed in Greece after the Battle of Salamis maybe the Achaemenid Empire would still be with us today.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 53,766
    Sandpit said:

    Foxy said:

    Trump admitted to sexually assaulting women with his 'grab 'em by the pussy' comments and didn't harm him, are we sure these sucker comments will have any impact on his support?

    Yes, I'd have thought so. The difference is this is a direct hit on the values of his supporters.
    They don't really care for those values. Why else would Evangelicals line up to vote for an adulterous pussy grabber who has never opened a Bible.
    Because a couple more Supreme Court judges appointed by a Republican might be enough to overturn Roe v Wade?
    Overturning Roe v Wade would be a disaster for the Republican Party.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 19,598

    Foxy said:

    Trump admitted to sexually assaulting women with his 'grab 'em by the pussy' comments and didn't harm him, are we sure these sucker comments will have any impact on his support?

    Yes, I'd have thought so. The difference is this is a direct hit on the values of his supporters.
    They don't really care for those values. Why else would Evangelicals line up to vote for an adulterous pussy grabber who has never opened a Bible.
    Evangelicals like all Christians are very selective about what values they care about. There isn't a single Christian in the world who follows every value in the Bible, there can't be since a great many of them are contradictory. The Evangelicals more than many others are entirely selective. Respecting women's rights? Not top of their concerns.
    Indeed.

    A typical conversation with a Christian* runs thus:

    “I believe in the word of the bible,”

    “What about that bit?”

    “Oh, not that bit!”


    (*in fairness this is probably true of all religions, I just haven’t had that many similar conversations with Muslims, Hindus etc)
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 19,598
    MrEd said:

    Good god.

    Those are dire numbers for Trumpton.
    And one pollster.

    Each camp will pick the polls they like and disparage what doesn’t fit their vote.
    Yes, I have noticed you only seem to comment on the very few polls that fit your narrative.

    It’s gracious of you to admit it.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 91,392
    Foxy said:

    LadyG said:

    HYUFD said:

    LadyG said:

    MrEd said:

    LadyG said:

    LadyG said:

    I hesitate to comment on US politics, but it feels like today may be quite a significant day in the presidential race ...
    https://twitter.com/mollyjongfast/status/1301930689084952577?s=21

    Trump is a horrible piece of work but I thought his disgraceful abandonment of the Kurds would kill him with patriotic, veteran-loving America. It didn’t.
    Of course, it's perfectly possible that despite his disgraceful and disgusting comments that people still vote for him.
    Trump is also, ironically, quite right about Vietnam. A stupid war and the poor grunts that went there were “the suckers” who couldn’t evade service. This was because they were generally poor, often black.

    Trump has a gift for saying audaciously true things in the most obnoxious way possible.
    I was going to mention that. His first sentence on Vietnam was right. The second part wasn’t because many of the people enlisted didn’t have a choice and weren’t as clued up as the middle and upper class draft dodgers (including a certain George W Bush)
    But in Trump’s worldview, if you’re poor and uneducated you’re already a ‘sucker’. You should be born with a rich Father, like him.

    So in Trumpland the Vietnam dead are indeed suckers. Especially as that stupid war was lost. America loves a winner!

    It’s vile but that’s his logic and I’m not yet convinced it will turn away droves of Supporters.
    Indeed Trump voters are voting against China, too many Mexican immigrants and globalisation and an excessive lockdown.

    They may find Trump's comments distasteful but they know he makes stupid comments all the time too, indeed polling shows Biden already ahead with the military anyway but Trump will promise more military funds and no prosecutions for vets to counter that
    Trump is possibly (unwittingly?) tapping into an anti-military, isolationist mood in America. Which is why his Kurdish debacle didn’t hurt him. Americans are tired of fighting. They don’t want to police the world. Let China run Asia. And yes, Vietnam was stupid and costly and so was Iraq.

    A lot of poorer Americans will eagerly agree with this. Not enough to win him the election but maybe enough to prevent humiliation?

    Nah. Or rather, yes, as a US politician you can make that argument, and it would be popular - but you need to direct your ire at the presidents and Congress and the generals, the Establishment in general, who took the US into costly and deadly and often pointless wars in far-off countries. Not at the foot-soldiers who lost their lives in them.
    The same is true here. Plenty of Britons see wars from Gulf and Afghanisran, back to WW1 and the Boer War as tragic and destructive mistakes, but still turn out on Remembrance Sunday. Despising war and honouring the dead are not incompatible.
    Quite so. It's one reason there is the annual argument about Remembrance day and whether it celebrates things.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,706

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    Trump admitted to sexually assaulting women with his 'grab 'em by the pussy' comments and didn't harm him, are we sure these sucker comments will have any impact on his support?

    Yes, I'd have thought so. The difference is this is a direct hit on the values of his supporters.
    They don't really care for those values. Why else would Evangelicals line up to vote for an adulterous pussy grabber who has never opened a Bible.
    Evangelicals like all Christians are very selective about what values they care about. There isn't a single Christian in the world who follows every value in the Bible, there can't be since a great many of them are contradictory. The Evangelicals more than many others are entirely selective. Respecting women's rights? Not top of their concerns.
    Of course there are, the Pope and Archbishop of Canterbury for a start, what a ridiculous statement, plus in any case Christianity recognises we are all sinners but you repent of your sins you do not celebrate them
    Its not a ridiculous statement and if you actually knew what the Bible says or had ever read it and not just cherrypicked passages then you would know that.

    But if you cherrypick Bible passages like you cherrypick polls then you'll be fine.
    Oh it absolutely is a ridiculous statement, please show me all the bible passages which directly contradict each other then
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670

    Good god.

    Those are dire numbers for Trumpton.
    Comissioned by a Republican PAC as well. I wonder what their motivation is for releasing them
  • rcs1000 said:

    LadyG said:

    rcs1000 said:

    He sounds sick and out of breath.
    He also says “deplorable”, his tears look a bit fake, and he says “backbown” rather than “backbone”.

    I’m going out on a limb: I reckon Trump survives this.
    Of course he survives this.

    However, what it does is make it that tiny bit harder for Trump to close the gap.
    Unless it allows Trump to frame the election as a referendum on US military interventions.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,706
    rcs1000 said:

    Sandpit said:

    Foxy said:

    Trump admitted to sexually assaulting women with his 'grab 'em by the pussy' comments and didn't harm him, are we sure these sucker comments will have any impact on his support?

    Yes, I'd have thought so. The difference is this is a direct hit on the values of his supporters.
    They don't really care for those values. Why else would Evangelicals line up to vote for an adulterous pussy grabber who has never opened a Bible.
    Because a couple more Supreme Court judges appointed by a Republican might be enough to overturn Roe v Wade?
    Overturning Roe v Wade would be a disaster for the Republican Party.
    Maybe but polling shows voters want restrictions on abortion, even here to ensure it only occurs within time limits before life is judged to begin.

    Voters may be accepting of gay marriage now, they are less supportive of abortion on demand, partial birth abortion etc
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 61,544
    LadyG said:

    HYUFD said:

    LadyG said:

    MrEd said:

    LadyG said:

    LadyG said:

    I hesitate to comment on US politics, but it feels like today may be quite a significant day in the presidential race ...
    https://twitter.com/mollyjongfast/status/1301930689084952577?s=21

    Trump is a horrible piece of work but I thought his disgraceful abandonment of the Kurds would kill him with patriotic, veteran-loving America. It didn’t.
    Of course, it's perfectly possible that despite his disgraceful and disgusting comments that people still vote for him.
    Trump is also, ironically, quite right about Vietnam. A stupid war and the poor grunts that went there were “the suckers” who couldn’t evade service. This was because they were generally poor, often black.

    Trump has a gift for saying audaciously true things in the most obnoxious way possible.
    I was going to mention that. His first sentence on Vietnam was right. The second part wasn’t because many of the people enlisted didn’t have a choice and weren’t as clued up as the middle and upper class draft dodgers (including a certain George W Bush)
    But in Trump’s worldview, if you’re poor and uneducated you’re already a ‘sucker’. You should be born with a rich Father, like him.

    So in Trumpland the Vietnam dead are indeed suckers. Especially as that stupid war was lost. America loves a winner!

    It’s vile but that’s his logic and I’m not yet convinced it will turn away droves of Supporters.
    Indeed Trump voters are voting against China, too many Mexican immigrants and globalisation and an excessive lockdown.

    They may find Trump's comments distasteful but they know he makes stupid comments all the time too, indeed polling shows Biden already ahead with the military anyway but Trump will promise more military funds and no prosecutions for vets to counter that
    Trump is possibly (unwittingly?) tapping into an anti-military, isolationist mood in America. Which is why his Kurdish debacle didn’t hurt him. Americans are tired of fighting. They don’t want to police the world. Let China run Asia. And yes, Vietnam was stupid and costly and so was Iraq.

    A lot of poorer Americans will eagerly agree with this. Not enough to win him the election but maybe enough to prevent humiliation?

    Isolationist social conservatives tend also to be strong admirers of the military. I don’t think they’ll be at all pleased by Trump’s comments.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 19,598
    kle4 said:

    Powerful, patriotic and presidential from America's next President.

    If Americans care about one thing it is patriotism and the military. This is a Ratner moment for Trump. With the polls as they were Biden should have already been heavy odds-on favourite, after today the betting market should have him 1/10 or more on.
    Biden looks fucking angry in that clip.
    For all his flaws as a candidate, it does seem to me that one thing Biden has when he gets it right, and which you cannot teach, is gravitas. There's any number of people who could enumerate at length all the reasons Trump is terrible, and do so with greater eloquence, more visceral emotion, more coherent vision for solutions. And it is odd that no one else on offer was able to beat a candidate who has plenty of flaws.

    But for all that, Biden is not a ranter in some entertaining comedic tirade, he's not some hot blooded progressive who gets fired up to the same level of righteous indignation about every little thing that's wrong with the country, regardless of proportion. He has stature that lends weight to when he does go hard.

    Will it be enough? We shall see.
    Eloquent analysis.
  • LadyGLadyG Posts: 2,221
    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    kle4 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    LadyG said:

    LadyG said:

    I hesitate to comment on US politics, but it feels like today may be quite a significant day in the presidential race ...
    https://twitter.com/mollyjongfast/status/1301930689084952577?s=21

    Trump is a horrible piece of work but I thought his disgraceful abandonment of the Kurds would kill him with patriotic, veteran-loving America. It didn’t.
    Of course, it's perfectly possible that despite his disgraceful and disgusting comments that people still vote for him.
    Trump is also, ironically, quite right about Vietnam. A stupid war and the poor grunts that went there were “the suckers” who couldn’t evade service. This was because they were generally poor, often black.

    Trump has a gift for saying audaciously true things in the most obnoxious way possible.
    True. Both Trump and Biden managed 5 draft deferrals on medical grounds. Though John Kerry did serve, and delivered this electrifying speech to Congress when he returned. It was the truth.

    https://youtu.be/yixdveuf0GQ

    Had the Vietnam war ended up like the Korean war with the South still free from Communist invasion then it would not have been a mistake, the US just lost the will to fight it
    So what you're saying is if it were not for all the mistakes, then it would not have been a mistake? That if the facts had been different then things would have been different?
    Had they had the military will to keep the Vietcong out of South Vietnam they could have done, it was the Democrats in Congress who refused to fund the war that lost it for the US and forced Ford to pull out
    The fact that the South Vietnamese government repeatedly lied to the US didn't help.
    Also, the Vietnam War was morally sapping. It eroded America’s self Regard. To simply avoid losing, America had to carpet bomb Cambodia and Laos (neutral countries), thus creating Pol Pot, they had to use Agent Orange to defoliate entire forests (creating 1000s of deformed kids). It was a disgusting war and even the most powerful nation in the world will, in the end, wince at its own depravity. America lost the war on American TV screens.

  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,706
    edited September 2020
    Alistair said:

    Good god.

    Those are dire numbers for Trumpton.
    Comissioned by a Republican PAC as well. I wonder what their motivation is for releasing them
    On the other hand

    https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1302003334191210498?s=20
  • HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    Trump admitted to sexually assaulting women with his 'grab 'em by the pussy' comments and didn't harm him, are we sure these sucker comments will have any impact on his support?

    Yes, I'd have thought so. The difference is this is a direct hit on the values of his supporters.
    They don't really care for those values. Why else would Evangelicals line up to vote for an adulterous pussy grabber who has never opened a Bible.
    Evangelicals like all Christians are very selective about what values they care about. There isn't a single Christian in the world who follows every value in the Bible, there can't be since a great many of them are contradictory. The Evangelicals more than many others are entirely selective. Respecting women's rights? Not top of their concerns.
    Of course there are, the Pope and Archbishop of Canterbury for a start, what a ridiculous statement, plus in any case Christianity recognises we are all sinners but you repent of your sins you do not celebrate them
    As an Evangelical, I would vote for Trump over Biden were I a Yank. Not because I think Trump is more moral than Biden, but because he's much more likely to allow religious freedom to continue, much more likely to be pro-life, much more likely to appoint SC justices who won't support anti-christian discrimination laws etc. That's the calculation if you're an Evangelical - you might think Biden is the nicer guy, but that's not what the election is about.
  • HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    Trump admitted to sexually assaulting women with his 'grab 'em by the pussy' comments and didn't harm him, are we sure these sucker comments will have any impact on his support?

    Yes, I'd have thought so. The difference is this is a direct hit on the values of his supporters.
    They don't really care for those values. Why else would Evangelicals line up to vote for an adulterous pussy grabber who has never opened a Bible.
    Evangelicals like all Christians are very selective about what values they care about. There isn't a single Christian in the world who follows every value in the Bible, there can't be since a great many of them are contradictory. The Evangelicals more than many others are entirely selective. Respecting women's rights? Not top of their concerns.
    Of course there are, the Pope and Archbishop of Canterbury for a start, what a ridiculous statement, plus in any case Christianity recognises we are all sinners but you repent of your sins you do not celebrate them
    Its not a ridiculous statement and if you actually knew what the Bible says or had ever read it and not just cherrypicked passages then you would know that.

    But if you cherrypick Bible passages like you cherrypick polls then you'll be fine.
    Oh it absolutely is a ridiculous statement, please show me all the bible passages which directly contradict each other then
    All? I don't have the time to do all all of them, that would take a very long time.

    You claimed the Archbishop of Canterbury and the Pope have followed "all" values in the Bible so lets pick one out, Exodus 31:15 "Six days may work be done; but in the seventh is the sabbath of rest, holy to the LORD: whosoever doeth any work in the sabbath day, he shall surely be put to death."

    Whom has the Pope or the Archbishop of Canterbury put to death for working on the Sabbath?
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,049
    HYUFD said:

    kle4 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Foxy said:

    LadyG said:

    LadyG said:

    I hesitate to comment on US politics, but it feels like today may be quite a significant day in the presidential race ...
    https://twitter.com/mollyjongfast/status/1301930689084952577?s=21

    Trump is a horrible piece of work but I thought his disgraceful abandonment of the Kurds would kill him with patriotic, veteran-loving America. It didn’t.
    Of course, it's perfectly possible that despite his disgraceful and disgusting comments that people still vote for him.
    Trump is also, ironically, quite right about Vietnam. A stupid war and the poor grunts that went there were “the suckers” who couldn’t evade service. This was because they were generally poor, often black.

    Trump has a gift for saying audaciously true things in the most obnoxious way possible.
    True. Both Trump and Biden managed 5 draft deferrals on medical grounds. Though John Kerry did serve, and delivered this electrifying speech to Congress when he returned. It was the truth.

    https://youtu.be/yixdveuf0GQ

    Had the Vietnam war ended up like the Korean war with the South still free from Communist invasion then it would not have been a mistake, the US just lost the will to fight it
    So what you're saying is if it were not for all the mistakes, then it would not have been a mistake? That if the facts had been different then things would have been different?
    Had they had the military will to keep the Vietcong out of South Vietnam they could have done, it was the Democrats in Congress who refused to fund the war that lost it for the US and forced Ford to pull out
    The USA had no military presence in Vietnam by the time Ford became President.

    The ARVN were a rotten shell by then. No amount of further aid could have saved them after Nixon had pulled the troops out.

    The war was totally lost by then, and indeed was probably always unwinnable.
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