Categories
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Another leading Republican declares for Biden
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Another leading Republican declares for Biden
The former Republican Governor of the ultra marginal swing state of Michigan says he'll vote for Biden https://t.co/pdOfdG20fJ
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
Presumably Andrew Neil will be stopped from Tweeting too, or does it only apply to lefties? Would PB Tories support Andrew Neil also being stopped from Tweeting?
Unfortunately, I fear that we are no different to France and Spain, just a few weeks behind.
I know who has been tagging CBH posts as Off Topic.
Don't do it anymore or I will unmask you.
Before Harding took over positive test results were running at 0.6 % currently they are running at 0.6% so all you can actually claim is Harding hasn't made things worse yet but then she has only been doing it since the first week of august and she has plenty of time to fuck it up still. What you cant claim from that graph even if we didn't think it bollocks and not comparing like with like is she has made a positive difference because since she took over the rates haven't changed. At best you could claim the previous leader did all the hard work and now she is coming in and trying to claim the credit
Doesn't he realise they'll be deciding whether or not to frogmarch his sorry ass out of the White House?
He has no place in any public office far less POTUS
Oh to see the nation’s streets bustling with school jumpers and blazers this morning was enough to make the soul sing. Cursed be they this winter who dare try and reverse this. You will not be forgiven.
I hope it is just a blip, but I fear not.
https://twitter.com/MattHancock/status/1258448905555099649
Republicans lose Arizona, Colorado and Maine in the Senate, but gain Alabama.
Result 51 - 49 Republicans to Democrats.
But there's also Iowa, Georgia (x2), Kentucky, Montana, and North Carolina. Now, will the Dems win all of these? Probably not. But I could easily see the Special election in Georgia in January resulting in a Democratic pickup. And Joni Ernst looks vulnerable in Iowa.
or politics home
https://www.politicshome.com/news/article/coronavirus-test-and-trace-boss-dido-harding-to-head-up-new-pandemic-response-body-as-public-health-england-faces-the-chop
It's 269-269 on the night.
So, Trump is President, but the Senate chooses the VP.
The Dems make three pickups net, but the Georgia Special is a Jungle Primary type affair, which won't be resolved until January.
Does Kelly Loeffler (the current appointed Senator) get to vote, or do they wait until the results for her State's special election are known?
The revamped app began new public trials on August 13 after months of setbacks. The app will be based on Apple and Google’s decentralised model. NHSX has been working with the tech giants to develop a new version of the app after abandoning its original model in June.
This is the app you claim drove it all....quite an achievement in two weeks isnt it
When they had the daily press briefings she frequently appeared with Matt Hancock.
Who do you think was heading up Test and Trace in June?
I even gave links, not to an app, but to testing numbers. The clue might be in the name Test and Trace.
https://twitter.com/CDCDirector/status/1301645653471354885?s=09
Though by the end of August the UK had done 13.5 million tests and Spain 6.5 million. Quite a difference there.
UK tests running at a daily positivity rate of 0.6% - Spanish tests running at a daily positivity rate of 8.8%. Quite a difference there.
I think its a shame people feel so bent out of shape they can't give credit where its due, people are prepared so easily to attack others - but to be running a system which has ran literally more than double the number of tests of Spain - and to have a positive rate that is down by over 90% of Spain's rate . . . if that isn't a success then what is?
Who do you think was heading Test and Trace when the rate went down? Give a name for that person you think deserves credit.
Enlighten us as to her supposed failure please? I gave evidence as to her success, clear unambiguous evidence that our positivity rate is just 0.6% currently which is a fraction of what it was in May when she took over and a fraction of other nations rates. That is a remarkably low positivity rate and is a great success.
This is the ONS infection survey. This means that the infection rate in the community is stable. The increasing cases -
Are from finding a larger and larger percentage of the cases occurring.
Given that the ONS estimate to 2200 cases per day in England and Wales, we are already seeing the testing program finding half the cases. And that appears to be steadily increasing.
America desperately needs a viable third party to break the current 50.5 - 49.5 democratic stalemate.
Edit: I'd go so far as to say the handringedness of banging on about the exceptionalism is, itself, an example of exceptionalism, in insisting we must be doing it more than other places.
Your chart on the top-right "Percentage testing positive for Covid-19" is the one I linked to which I referred to as the "Positivity rate" at 0.6% - and it is remarkable how that has not just come down but stayed steady.
https://www.imdb.com/title/tt8235296/
https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0387808/
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/sep/02/race-to-track-200-people-on-flight-after-officials-fail-to-tell-airline-of-covid-cases
Six weeks ago Spain's positivity rate was 4.4% - ours is 0.6%
Six weeks ago Spain had done 4.4m tests versus our then 8.4m or now 14m
Well, this is going to be interesting
If they say now they want another referendum and if the voters vote for them, that is democracy. Plain and simple.
I believe in democracy and democracy trumps all - even prior commitments.
If the SNP win next year, I think they are entitled to their referendum. I won't take a position on that but I hope they stay. But I can totally see why they would vote to go.
But that makes the chance of Labour getting back into office quite challenging - and living in England it's then more Tory rule.
We really need to not be relying on the SNP, it seems very risky.
A third party US version of the LDs really would not make any difference
Watching from afar, neither side seem to have any actual policies - Biden's main selling point is that he isn't Trump, whilst Trump's is that he's not Biden.
Of course this is partly because of the way American politics is centred on getting "your guys" onto the Supreme Court. For a lot of voters on both sides, it's not really about who gets to sit in the oval office, but about appointments to the SC which may get you the judgements you want. This is particularly relevant given the current culture wars, where most contraversial decisions end up being fought through the SC, rather than decided by elected politicians. The practical outworking (for both sides) is that your guy being a dribbling idiot doesn't matter that much, provided he wins...
Both have a basic question, but Augur has a "terms and conditions" section where you can put a lot of detail about how a market is defined. Omen doesn't do this - they just have a question title, and leave it to common sense (or ultimately, the Kleros decentralized court system) to work out what it means.
It generally feels like common sense that you'd want to define the terms, but this can often end up resulting in non-common-sense results, and it also creates scope for people to make a market that doesn't at all mean what it seems like it means, and you have to think like a lawyer to work it out.
I have never respected the DUP and seeing Tweets like that just make me think even more than I will never shed a crocodile tear about Boris screwing over the DUP with the Brexit deal.
I hope the SNP get independence not out of any anger with Scotland or desire to see Scotland go, but simply because I think its in Scotland's best interests. If I was a Scot I would vote SNP/Yes despite being a right winger.
I hope that NI goes in part because I want rid of NI. I despise the IRA and loathe its sympathisers at the time, I would never have backed Irish unification pre-peace process but now? I want rid of its troubles, I want rid of its fanaticism and religion, the DUP and Sinn Fein and . . . let them be Ireland's problem, we've dealt with them long enough.
In the words of someone who probably shouldn't be brought up in discussions about Ireland: "You have sat too long for any good you have been doing lately... Depart, I say; and let us have done with you. In the name of God, go!"
Ripping the country in two with border posts and tariffs on exports to and from Scotland, inevitable after a No Deal Brexit or even a basic FTA with the EU would not do us any good, Scotland would effectively be an EU colony in the British Isles.
It would also be the end of the United Kingdom, we would become simply England and Wales overnight and as for Northern Ireland I would happily give away the Catholic and Sinn Fein, Remain voting counties on the Irish border like Fermanagh and Tyrone to the Republic of Ireland but in Protestant County Antrim every MP is DUP and every local authority voted Leave and it wants to remain with us.
England, Wales and Antrim would be fine with me, but the UK staying together best of all and that requires unity between the Kingdoms of England and Scotland
If Starmer wishes to rejoin the single market then call indyref2 if he becomes PM that is up to him
In the event NI goes so will Antrim just like how London left the EU.
https://twitter.com/JGForsyth/status/1301503843704897540
That makes Wisconsin and Pennsylvania the key swing states Biden needs to win to get to 270 votes or more and an EC majority
That currently gets you to the same conclusion, but with an opposite view as to whether Michigan is surplus to requirements or in the bag.
Antrim will not go, the dominant party in Antrim, the DUP, wants to stay part of the UK and not join the Republic of Ireland, the dominant party in London, Labour, does not want to rejoin the EU and leave the UK
Tbh I'm not really sure voters care anyway. Americans elected Trump; we elected Boris; in both cases knowing about their libidos. I'm not even sure we care about drugs.
The controversy over Adele’s Bantu hairstyle confirmed that woke Americans don’t understand the UK.
Inaya Folarin Iman"
https://www.spiked-online.com/2020/09/03/dont-import-americas-race-wars-into-the-uk/
If he does, and it's three points or more, then I would be very surprised if he lost. Simply, Trump's vote efficiency was amazing last time, and you just need to add a tiny bit of randomness to the results (plus maybe 0.5% to Hillary's vote), and he's in the White House. Indeed, it's far from impossible that Biden gets a smaller lead than Hillary and still wins.
This means IBD/TIPP (Clinton +1) and USC (Trump +3) both overestimated Trump and under-estimated Clinton.
Also pretty accurate were Bloomberg (Clinton +3) and the Washington Post (ditto).
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/live/tennis/50974511
https://twitter.com/PaulBrandITV/status/1301651110923468803
The prime minister, Boris Johnson, was expected to attend a ceremonial launch of the first shovels in the ground on Friday for the main civil engineering contracts