The Lincoln Project is made up of former Tea Partiers, who have clearly decided that their political project has nothing to fear from a Biden presidency.
I wonder if in four years the GOP will be running somebody who's even more of a maniac than Trump and people like Mike will be celebrating ads by "principled" Trump supporters saying that this next candidate is a bridge too far.
That's a far more interesting question.
How do "populist" parties respond when they are no longer popular?
Normally, when a Party loses power after a longer or shorter period in office, it has two options, either, to maintain its position and hope the electorate comes back to it or to change its position to move to where the electorate now is (or where the Party thinks it is).
You'd think that process would be easy but it isn't and it can take parties out of power a long time to realise a) they aren't in power any more and b) how they are going to get back into power.
The problem the Republican Party has is that its more moderate supporters - the people who register as Republicans and then vote in primaries - have left them. It's not inconceivable that (if Trump wins again this year) that less than a quarter of voters will be registered Republicans by the end of 2024. And the smaller in number (and more fanatical and intellectually pure) the supporter base, the harder it is to tack away from extreme positions.
Can you explain why Republican (closed) primaries have seen healthy turnout despite it being essentially uncontested this year?
For exactly that reason: you have 80% of Registered Republicans being enthused with President Trump. And I mean, genuinely enthused. For the first time, they haven't had to compromise with the left of their party, and they have their man.
But you just claimed "moderate" Republicans, "the people who register as Republicans and then vote in primaries", have left them. So that doesn't explain how Trump has been getting contested-election level turnout unless you're claiming Trump supporters have registered R. Do registrations indicate this?
Many people who have left the Republicans over the years to become Independents are not "moderates", hence why they swung to Trump in 2016.
So, your contention is that the number of Republicans dropped because the Republican Party was insufficiently Trumpian.
Well, that should be easy enough to confirm. If it's true, then the number of Registered Republicans should have risen since Trump became President and/or Trump's standing with Independents should be better than his standing with the population as a whole.
No, my contention is that Republican registration has been dropping over the years for a variety of reasons, but the idea that it mainly due to neocon "moderates" is clearly false otherwise Independents wouldn't have gone for Trump. Ardent Trump supporters are usually not fans of the Republican party machine anymore than they are of the Democrats, and have little reason to register R. "Independents" are quite heterogeneous, some are Trumpian social conservatives but some are very progressive left. Independents are largely those disaffected by Washington politics in general, they are not in general people who are happy with Washington politics. There are many reasons why they are not happy with Trump, not being a "moderate" isn't necessarily one of them.
"Ardent Trump supporters are usually not fans of the Republican party".
If that is the case, why does Trump have such high ratings with the Republicans that remain?
You seem to be picturing this elite group of Trump supporters, who are not registered Republicans. Where is the evidence for this group? His approval is only 33% among Independents, and of this 33%, fewer than half "strongly approve", so, we're talking about -what- 15% of Independents, who are 30% of the electorate. That's a hardcore 4.5% of the electorate who aren't Republicans and love President Trump.
Also, why did you use the word "neocon"? Do you think that moderates are particularly keen on invading other countries? Is that something you have polling evidence for?
You also need to address the question of why the Democrats have lost far fewer of their registered supporters. (Granted, some of this is the natural tendency of parties in power to become narrower churches.)
No, I'm explaining why there are plenty of non-Republicans who vote Trump but who don't register Republican. There is a reason Trump is generally leading R senators in polling. The point is actual Republican "moderates" in the party are not as anti-Trump as you think.
Not only would I be sceptical of Independents sub-samples right now, but you also need to factor in disapproving of Trump now is not the same as will not vote for Trump in November.
I used the word Neocon because it is the accurate term for the people you are describing as Republican moderates. The Never-Trumpers/Lincoln Project/etc are all tied to the Neocon faction. W Bush, Bolton, Bill Kristol, formerly McCain etc. Those are the people now being described as the "moderate" Republican old guard, often by the same people who used to call them racists, murderers etc.
I don't need to address why the Democrats have lost fewer because we are talking about the Republicans/Trump, the issues they face are not directly related.
If Biden wins and the Dems retake the Senate and hold the House the GOP will almost certainly take at least the House in 2022 as they did in 2010 and as the Dems did in 2018
You're working on the "normal" assumption of things and you'd be right on that basis as was the case when the Dems captured the WH in 1992 and Gingrich's Republicans swept the House in 1994.
Is Trump's GOP the same Party as before or something different? Is it in effect little more than a cult of personality around the President and what happens to that once he is defeated and gone? Will the pro-Trump State and local leaders stay with the Party or will they be replaced by more "establishment" individuals who will revert the GOP to what it was pre-2016?
This is the question I've been posed - what happens to a populist party once it stops being popular? What is its raison d'etre?
Trump is not the sole leader of the Republican party, just its candidate for President.
If he loses the House and Senate GOP leaders effectively become the party leaders and lead the opposition to the Biden White House and Democratic Congress
Poland 2020 - Dud is winning eastern Poland (except I'm guess for City of Warsaw) while Mayor T is winning in western Poland,
Note that most of the latter was part of Germany and mostly occupied by ethnic Germans before WWII. Also that this east-west split is typical Polish post-Communist political pattern,
Though paradoxically, Western Poland is mostly populated with the decesndents of Poles who left Soviet Ukraine and Belarus because of the post war borders. So West is East, and East is West...
Poland 2020 - Dud is winning eastern Poland (except I'm guess for City of Warsaw) while Mayor T is winning in western Poland,
Note that most of the latter was part of Germany and mostly occupied by ethnic Germans before WWII. Also that this east-west split is typical Polish post-Communist political pattern,
There is practically no trace of anything German left in that part of Poland.
True. Most of population in former German East Prussia, Pomerania, Silesia consists of Poles whose kinfolk were re-located from parts of former Poland transferred to Soviet Union (now in Belarus & Ukraine) after WWII.
There's a surprising lack of great songs about Paris, or maybe they just don't pierce the Anglophone consciousness
Ghost Town is a good one, about Cov I think
It's a great track
I remember coming back from a cycling holiday in France to the news of the riots, with Ghost Town at number 1. Really the most perfect song for its time. Thatchers Britain at its trough.
One of the most politically important British pop songs ever written. More potent than 10,000 speeches by anyone
Joe le taxi - Vanessa Paradis J’me voyais déjà - Charles Aznavour Paris en colère - Mireille Mathieu Lobo-hombre en Paris - La uniòn Les nuits parisiennes - Louise attaque
Those are all a bit shit, no offence mon cher
It it weird how the French never really grasped the art of popular song. Despite their mastery in so many other forms
One of the things that used to happen up to the 80's was that, about once a year, a Euro-foreign song would break through into the British pop consciousness, like Joe le Taxi. And then, it stopped happening. Wonder why.
Poland 2020 - Dud is winning eastern Poland (except I'm guess for City of Warsaw) while Mayor T is winning in western Poland,
Note that most of the latter was part of Germany and mostly occupied by ethnic Germans before WWII. Also that this east-west split is typical Polish post-Communist political pattern,
Though paradoxically, Western Poland is mostly populated with the decesndents of Poles who left Soviet Ukraine and Belarus because of the post war borders. So West is East, and East is West...
Yep. The west part is dynamic/mover society, the east is traditional/stayer society.
Let's have a PB contest about the best songs about towns!
My top 5
Baker Street: London White Boy With a Feather: New York Molly Malone: Dublin Chelsea Morning: New York Babylon: London
Which tells me all the best songs are about London or New York. But I may be biassed
Galveston. That's immense.
EDIT - it's about Galveston in Texas.
EDIT again - "I can hear your sea wings blowing"
Cracking song, by my favourite US reactionary muso. I believe Jimmy Webb was of a different politacal viewpoint from Glen, but there was a real synergy in their musical relationship. By the Time I get to Phoenix is another cracker.
Yes, love lots of their songs. Webb wrote G as a downbeat protest song but Glayun turned it into a feelgood romantic ballad. And one has to say it works better like that.
Tijuana: JJ Cale Jackson: Johnny Cash and June Carter London Calling: The Clash (New Orleans) Born on the Bayou: CCR
Let's have a PB contest about the best songs about towns!
My top 5
Baker Street: London White Boy With a Feather: New York Molly Malone: Dublin Chelsea Morning: New York Babylon: London
Which tells me all the best songs are about London or New York. But I may be biassed
Galveston. That's immense.
EDIT - it's about Galveston in Texas.
EDIT again - "I can hear your sea wings blowing"
Cracking song, by my favourite US reactionary muso. I believe Jimmy Webb was of a different politacal viewpoint from Glen, but there was a real synergy in their musical relationship. By the Time I get to Phoenix is another cracker.
Yes, love lots of their songs. Webb wrote G as a downbeat protest song but Glayun turned it into a feelgood romantic ballad. And one has to say it works better like that.
Tijuana: JJ Cale Jackson: Johnny Cash and June Carter London Calling: The Clash (New Orleans) Born on the Bayou: CCR
Hate to correct YOU, TimT, but songs about "the bayou" are NOT about New Orleans. Unless you think songs about the Romney marshes or Norfolk broads are about London!
Leicester look awful. Looks highly unlikely they will qualify for the CL.
We may scrape it, but don't deserve it. We had great first half of the season, but have been crap since Christmas. Its only other teams also being crap or very inconsistent that has kept us in the top 4
Leicester look awful. Looks highly unlikely they will qualify for the CL.
We may scrape it, but don't deserve it. We had great first half of the season, but have been crap since Christmas. Its only other teams also being crap or very inconsistent that has kept us in the top 4
I've had a nibble on Trzaskowski at 5.9 on Betfair. You'd fancy Duda to win, but factoring in the diaspora vote the exit poll seems to give him literally a 50.1% or so vote share. Now factor in his outperforming the 1st round exit poll and I agree he's favourite, but 5/1 seems a bit long.
Poland 2020 - Dud is winning eastern Poland (except I'm guess for City of Warsaw) while Mayor T is winning in western Poland,
Note that most of the latter was part of Germany and mostly occupied by ethnic Germans before WWII. Also that this east-west split is typical Polish post-Communist political pattern,
There is practically no trace of anything German left in that part of Poland.
True. Most of population in former German East Prussia, Pomerania, Silesia consists of Poles whose kinfolk were re-located from parts of former Poland transferred to Soviet Union (now in Belarus & Ukraine) after WWII.
It is quite weird how thoroughly Prussia was removed from the map.
When visiting Poland, you find very small, odd traces from time to time.
There are lots of songs about London, which is unsurprising given it is by far the world’s greatest city.
Waterloo Sunset is a cliche but it’s as complete a love letter to London as you could find.
I suppose there are songs that mention towns and cities in the title and those which are more about the places themselves. As you say, Waterloo Sunset is brilliant on the latter level.
Ghost Town, like That's Entertainment, is so evocative of its time (the old zeitgeist again) but could be anywhere.
I'll offer my personal favourite and one I can listen to all day:
Poland 2020 - Dud is winning eastern Poland (except I'm guess for City of Warsaw) while Mayor T is winning in western Poland,
Note that most of the latter was part of Germany and mostly occupied by ethnic Germans before WWII. Also that this east-west split is typical Polish post-Communist political pattern,
There is practically no trace of anything German left in that part of Poland.
True. Most of population in former German East Prussia, Pomerania, Silesia consists of Poles whose kinfolk were re-located from parts of former Poland transferred to Soviet Union (now in Belarus & Ukraine) after WWII.
Except that most folks in the area annexed by the Soviets were either Belarussian or Ukrainian.
Let's have a PB contest about the best songs about towns!
My top 5
Baker Street: London White Boy With a Feather: New York Molly Malone: Dublin Chelsea Morning: New York Babylon: London
Which tells me all the best songs are about London or New York. But I may be biassed
Galveston. That's immense.
EDIT - it's about Galveston in Texas.
EDIT again - "I can hear your sea wings blowing"
Cracking song, by my favourite US reactionary muso. I believe Jimmy Webb was of a different politacal viewpoint from Glen, but there was a real synergy in their musical relationship. By the Time I get to Phoenix is another cracker.
Yes, love lots of their songs. Webb wrote G as a downbeat protest song but Glayun turned it into a feelgood romantic ballad. And one has to say it works better like that.
Tijuana: JJ Cale Jackson: Johnny Cash and June Carter London Calling: The Clash (New Orleans) Born on the Bayou: CCR
Hate to correct YOU, TimT, but songs about "the bayou" are NOT about New Orleans. Unless you think songs about the Romney marshes or Norfolk broads are about London!
Let's have a PB contest about the best songs about towns!
My top 5
Baker Street: London White Boy With a Feather: New York Molly Malone: Dublin Chelsea Morning: New York Babylon: London
Which tells me all the best songs are about London or New York. But I may be biassed
Galveston. That's immense.
EDIT - it's about Galveston in Texas.
EDIT again - "I can hear your sea wings blowing"
Cracking song, by my favourite US reactionary muso. I believe Jimmy Webb was of a different politacal viewpoint from Glen, but there was a real synergy in their musical relationship. By the Time I get to Phoenix is another cracker.
Yes, love lots of their songs. Webb wrote G as a downbeat protest song but Glayun turned it into a feelgood romantic ballad. And one has to say it works better like that.
Tijuana: JJ Cale Jackson: Johnny Cash and June Carter London Calling: The Clash (New Orleans) Born on the Bayou: CCR
Hate to correct YOU, TimT, but songs about "the bayou" are NOT about New Orleans. Unless you think songs about the Romney marshes or Norfolk broads are about London!
Poland 2020 - Dud is winning eastern Poland (except I'm guess for City of Warsaw) while Mayor T is winning in western Poland,
Note that most of the latter was part of Germany and mostly occupied by ethnic Germans before WWII. Also that this east-west split is typical Polish post-Communist political pattern,
There is practically no trace of anything German left in that part of Poland.
True. Most of population in former German East Prussia, Pomerania, Silesia consists of Poles whose kinfolk were re-located from parts of former Poland transferred to Soviet Union (now in Belarus & Ukraine) after WWII.
Except that most folks in the area annexed by the Soviets were either Belarussian or Ukrainian.
The way in which new boundaries were invented, and then the various ethnic groups were shoved into place is quite staggering, when we look on it now. Creating "Truth On The Ground" indeed.
Trump is not the sole leader of the Republican party, just its candidate for President.
If he loses the House and Senate GOP leaders effectively become the party leaders and lead the opposition to the Biden White House and Democratic Congress
The question isn't a mechanistic one - I know how it would work.
IF Trump is defeated, what happens to the GOP? How does it re-group and re-organise when it has been effectively the vehicle of one man's personal ambition since mid 2016?
There are Republicans who have remained with the Party but who will no doubt be glad to see the back of Donald J Trump and will want to "get their Party back". There are others, much like yourself with the Conservatives, who support the Party first and will do so irrespective of who is leader.
There may be conservatives who could join or re-join a post-Trump GOP but the key State and local organisations are now run by pro-Trump enthusiasts. Will these "go quietly" if their man is beaten or will they fight for his legacy or for Mike Pence in 2024?
Leicester look awful. Looks highly unlikely they will qualify for the CL.
We may scrape it, but don't deserve it. We had great first half of the season, but have been crap since Christmas. Its only other teams also being crap or very inconsistent that has kept us in the top 4
Leicester v United just became a very big game
On current trajectories, it might be a dead rubber.
"Except that most folks in the area annexed by the Soviets were either Belarussian or Ukrainian."
True. However, east of Curzon Line there was a subtantial Polish minority, which was local majority in many cities such as Vilnius (Wilno in Polish); most of these folks survived the war (unlike Jewish neighbors) and were relocated to lands vacated by expelled Germans.
From European Council on Foreign Relations post-election note:
Most of the country’s institutions have, over the past 5 years, become highly politicised and subordinated to the ruling party. This includes the Supreme Court, which will announce the final result of the election.
If the final results confirm Andrzej Duda winning by a very narrow margin, it is hard to imagine that PiS would let the power slip out of their hands. Electoral protests by Trzaskowski and his candidates may either be ignored or considered insufficient to impact the final result.
In turn, if it’s Trzaskowski who turns out to win by a very narrow margin, we can be sure that PiS will invest all its means to avoid Duda’s defeat: with electoral protests, recount of the vote, up to a nuclear option of repeating the election.
Contention that New York and London dominate songs about cities is only correct IF you have severe tunnel vision. As in Holland, Lincoln, Rotherhithe - that kind of tunnel.
From European Council on Foreign Relations post-election note:
Most of the country’s institutions have, over the past 5 years, become highly politicised and subordinated to the ruling party. This includes the Supreme Court, which will announce the final result of the election.
If the final results confirm Andrzej Duda winning by a very narrow margin, it is hard to imagine that PiS would let the power slip out of their hands. Electoral protests by Trzaskowski and his candidates may either be ignored or considered insufficient to impact the final result.
In turn, if it’s Trzaskowski who turns out to win by a very narrow margin, we can be sure that PiS will invest all its means to avoid Duda’s defeat: with electoral protests, recount of the vote, up to a nuclear option of repeating the election.
Sounds like the sort of thing Erdogan tried after losing a few down ballot races.
"Except that most folks in the area annexed by the Soviets were either Belarussian or Ukrainian."
True. However, east of Curzon Line there was a subtantial Polish minority, which was local majority in many cities such as Vilnius (Wilno in Polish); most of these folks survived the war (unlike Jewish neighbors) and were relocated to lands vacated by expelled Germans.
Last Polish census for the areas annexed by Soviets in 1939:
Trump is not the sole leader of the Republican party, just its candidate for President.
If he loses the House and Senate GOP leaders effectively become the party leaders and lead the opposition to the Biden White House and Democratic Congress
The question isn't a mechanistic one - I know how it would work.
IF Trump is defeated, what happens to the GOP? How does it re-group and re-organise when it has been effectively the vehicle of one man's personal ambition since mid 2016?
There are Republicans who have remained with the Party but who will no doubt be glad to see the back of Donald J Trump and will want to "get their Party back". There are others, much like yourself with the Conservatives, who support the Party first and will do so irrespective of who is leader.
There may be conservatives who could join or re-join a post-Trump GOP but the key State and local organisations are now run by pro-Trump enthusiasts. Will these "go quietly" if their man is beaten or will they fight for his legacy or for Mike Pence in 2024?
If Trump loses, the GOP will be a game of 52 card pickup.
Trump is not the sole leader of the Republican party, just its candidate for President.
If he loses the House and Senate GOP leaders effectively become the party leaders and lead the opposition to the Biden White House and Democratic Congress
The question isn't a mechanistic one - I know how it would work.
IF Trump is defeated, what happens to the GOP? How does it re-group and re-organise when it has been effectively the vehicle of one man's personal ambition since mid 2016?
There are Republicans who have remained with the Party but who will no doubt be glad to see the back of Donald J Trump and will want to "get their Party back". There are others, much like yourself with the Conservatives, who support the Party first and will do so irrespective of who is leader.
There may be conservatives who could join or re-join a post-Trump GOP but the key State and local organisations are now run by pro-Trump enthusiasts. Will these "go quietly" if their man is beaten or will they fight for his legacy or for Mike Pence in 2024?
If Trump loses, the GOP will be a game of 52 card pickup.
There are lots of songs about London, which is unsurprising given it is by far the world’s greatest city.
Waterloo Sunset is a cliche but it’s as complete a love letter to London as you could find.
I suppose there are songs that mention towns and cities in the title and those which are more about the places themselves. As you say, Waterloo Sunset is brilliant on the latter level.
Ghost Town, like That's Entertainment, is so evocative of its time (the old zeitgeist again) but could be anywhere.
I'll offer my personal favourite and one I can listen to all day:
Duda campaign threw everything including kitchen sink into this election. Including anti-semitic, anti-German, anti-gay, anti-whatever messages ad infinitum they think will appeal to the worst aspects of Polish politics, culture, society, mentality.
Methinksswing voters MAY have had enough of this constant stream of pigshit.
From European Council on Foreign Relations post-election note:
Most of the country’s institutions have, over the past 5 years, become highly politicised and subordinated to the ruling party. This includes the Supreme Court, which will announce the final result of the election.
If the final results confirm Andrzej Duda winning by a very narrow margin, it is hard to imagine that PiS would let the power slip out of their hands. Electoral protests by Trzaskowski and his candidates may either be ignored or considered insufficient to impact the final result.
In turn, if it’s Trzaskowski who turns out to win by a very narrow margin, we can be sure that PiS will invest all its means to avoid Duda’s defeat: with electoral protests, recount of the vote, up to a nuclear option of repeating the election.
Repeating the election ?
Isn't that what happens when the EU doesn't like a result ?
Trump is not the sole leader of the Republican party, just its candidate for President.
If he loses the House and Senate GOP leaders effectively become the party leaders and lead the opposition to the Biden White House and Democratic Congress
The question isn't a mechanistic one - I know how it would work.
IF Trump is defeated, what happens to the GOP? How does it re-group and re-organise when it has been effectively the vehicle of one man's personal ambition since mid 2016?
There are Republicans who have remained with the Party but who will no doubt be glad to see the back of Donald J Trump and will want to "get their Party back". There are others, much like yourself with the Conservatives, who support the Party first and will do so irrespective of who is leader.
There may be conservatives who could join or re-join a post-Trump GOP but the key State and local organisations are now run by pro-Trump enthusiasts. Will these "go quietly" if their man is beaten or will they fight for his legacy or for Mike Pence in 2024?
If Trump loses, the GOP will be a game of 52 card pickup.
Trump is not the sole leader of the Republican party, just its candidate for President.
If he loses the House and Senate GOP leaders effectively become the party leaders and lead the opposition to the Biden White House and Democratic Congress
The question isn't a mechanistic one - I know how it would work.
IF Trump is defeated, what happens to the GOP? How does it re-group and re-organise when it has been effectively the vehicle of one man's personal ambition since mid 2016?
There are Republicans who have remained with the Party but who will no doubt be glad to see the back of Donald J Trump and will want to "get their Party back". There are others, much like yourself with the Conservatives, who support the Party first and will do so irrespective of who is leader.
There may be conservatives who could join or re-join a post-Trump GOP but the key State and local organisations are now run by pro-Trump enthusiasts. Will these "go quietly" if their man is beaten or will they fight for his legacy or for Mike Pence in 2024?
If Trump loses, the GOP will be a game of 52 card pickup.
Re Waterloo Sunset - I think a cover by Cathy Dennis is actually better than the Kinks version. Just as 10000 maniacs did a better version of Because the Night than Patti Smith/Springsteen
"Except that most folks in the area annexed by the Soviets were either Belarussian or Ukrainian."
True. However, east of Curzon Line there was a subtantial Polish minority, which was local majority in many cities such as Vilnius (Wilno in Polish); most of these folks survived the war (unlike Jewish neighbors) and were relocated to lands vacated by expelled Germans.
Last Polish census for the areas annexed by Soviets in 1939:
I remember from previous elections that Poland (and also Chile) does a "dump" of results at intervals, but obviously a live count available from all precincts has to be the gold standard.
I would have thought that the Polish model allows far more room for fixing the result?
Joe le taxi - Vanessa Paradis J’me voyais déjà - Charles Aznavour Paris en colère - Mireille Mathieu Lobo-hombre en Paris - La uniòn Les nuits parisiennes - Louise attaque
Those are all a bit shit, no offence mon cher
It it weird how the French never really grasped the art of popular song. Despite their mastery in so many other forms
Have you heard Zaz? This knocks every version of "Dirty Old Town" I've ever heard into a cocked hat:
Then there's the version from when Paris really lit up and came into its own (bonus points for recognising the singer, and double points for naming who wrote the words):
Yesterday's daily figure for deaths with Covid-19 for the whole country (731) was nearly treble the figure for a week before (265). And weekends are at troughs in the reporting cycle too. No wonder Trump has started wearing a mask.
What with the injunction against Mary Trump being considered in court tomorrow (it surely won't survive the publication of her book, against which there is no injunction, the next day, so we can expect a TV interview), who on earth is buying Trump at 2.8?
The Wreck of the Edmund Fitzgerald Gordon Lightfoot
The legend lives on from the Chippewa on down Of the big lake they called Gitche Gumee The lake, it is said, never gives up her dead When the skies of November turn gloomy
With a load of iron ore twenty-six thousand tons more Than the Edmund Fitzgerald weighed empty That good ship and true was a bone to be chewed When the gales of November came early
The ship was the pride of the American side Coming back from some mill in Wisconsin As the big freighters go, it was bigger than most With a crew and good captain well seasoned
Concluding some terms with a couple of steel firms When they left fully loaded for Cleveland And later that night when the ship's bell rang Could it be the north wind they'd been feelin'?
The wind in the wires made a tattle-tale sound And a wave broke over the railing And every man knew, as the captain did too, T'was the witch of November come stealin'
The dawn came late and the breakfast had to wait When the gales of November came slashin' When afternoon came it was freezin' rain In the face of a hurricane west wind
When suppertime came, the old cook came on deck sayin' Fellas, it's too rough to feed ya At seven p.m., a main hatchway caved in, he said Fellas, it's been good to know ya
The captain wired in he had water comin' in And the good ship and crew was in peril And later that night when 'is lights went outta sight Came the wreck of the Edmund Fitzgerald
Does any one know where the love of God goes When the waves turn the minutes to hours? The searchers all say they'd have made Whitefish Bay If they'd put fifteen more miles behind 'er
They might have split up or they might have capsized They may have broke deep and took water And all that remains is the faces and the names Of the wives and the sons and the daughters
Lake Huron rolls, Superior sings In the rooms of her ice-water mansion Old Michigan steams like a young man's dreams The islands and bays are for sportsmen
And farther below Lake Ontario Takes in what Lake Erie can send her And the iron boats go as the mariners all know With the gales of November remembered
In a musty old hall in Detroit they prayed, In the maritime sailors' cathedral The church bell chimed till it rang twenty-nine times For each man on the Edmund Fitzgerald
The legend lives on from the Chippewa on down Of the big lake they called Gitche Gumee Superior, they said, never gives up her dead When the gales of November come early
How did Wisco-sin She stole a New-bras-key She stole a new brass key Pity that Arkansas And so did Tennessee It made poor Flori-die She died in Missouri
Su simmer all he hin jekumme, mir sprechen hück all die selve Sproch. Mir han dodurch su vill jewonne. Mir sin wie mer sin, mir Jecke am Rhing, dat is jet wo mer stolz drop sin
I know this fun fact, because when I was a kid, we used to drive through Cannonsburg on the way to grandmother's house, and the city had put up large billboards announcing this at the city limits.
You can certainly say that could be a second wave.
Though I do wonder if most countries are going to end up with a 20% infection rate in the end and the only choices are the circumstances in which that happens.
You can certainly say that could be a second wave.
Though I do wonder if most countries are going to end up with a 20% infection rate in the end and the only choices are the circumstances in which that happens.
I suspect that without a vaccine most countries will end up with a much higher infection rate than 20%. But if you can keep the infection rate low for as long as possible you can avoid overloading health services and keep deaths low until a vaccine does arrive.
Is that the same Metro which told us that 36 areas were to be put into a second lockdown within a few days ?
The pattern is almost too precise by now - moot it, scotch it on the Sunday shows, announce it shortly after.
I'm waiting for the indignation in Ilkley when we get a borough-wide lockdown in Bradford.
It's already started with the Yorkshire Live correspondents here. "We all know the outbreak is in NORTH Kirklees". I think any Huddersfield lockdown will be met with much agitation.
We don't know for sure that is the case, but I tend to agree though - I won't be too happy being locked down for an outbreak which does appear to be localised 10 miles away. In fact, judging by the Observer saying the mobile unit is to be deployed in S. Bradford, the Bradford/Kirklees issues look to be a joint outbreak on the border. The Kirklees meat plant from which 164 cases have been confirmed is pretty much on the Bradford M62 turn off, in postcode BD19.
Comments
Not only would I be sceptical of Independents sub-samples right now, but you also need to factor in disapproving of Trump now is not the same as will not vote for Trump in November.
I used the word Neocon because it is the accurate term for the people you are describing as Republican moderates. The Never-Trumpers/Lincoln Project/etc are all tied to the Neocon faction. W Bush, Bolton, Bill Kristol, formerly McCain etc. Those are the people now being described as the "moderate" Republican old guard, often by the same people who used to call them racists, murderers etc.
I don't need to address why the Democrats have lost fewer because we are talking about the Republicans/Trump, the issues they face are not directly related.
Waterfront - Belfast or Glasgow??
If he loses the House and Senate GOP leaders effectively become the party leaders and lead the opposition to the Biden White House and Democratic Congress
Jackson: Johnny Cash and June Carter
London Calling: The Clash
(New Orleans) Born on the Bayou: CCR
Wrexham, Drugs and Rock 'n Roll.
Help Me Rhondda.
Waterloo Sunset is a cliche but it’s as complete a love letter to London as you could find.
Black Velvet Band (Belfast)
https://twitter.com/hendopolis/status/1282412343486550018
When visiting Poland, you find very small, odd traces from time to time.
Ghost Town, like That's Entertainment, is so evocative of its time (the old zeitgeist again) but could be anywhere.
I'll offer my personal favourite and one I can listen to all day:
Sittin' On The Dock of the Bay - Otis Redding.
Angel from Montgomery - As in Montgomery, Alabama last resting place of Hank Williams Sr,
I Can Still Make Cheyenne
Rose of San Antone
Moon Over Miami - or the less-know Western WA version, "Moon Over Mukilteo"
Anchorage - "Anchored down in Anchorage"
Walkin' in Memphis
IF Trump is defeated, what happens to the GOP? How does it re-group and re-organise when it has been effectively the vehicle of one man's personal ambition since mid 2016?
There are Republicans who have remained with the Party but who will no doubt be glad to see the back of Donald J Trump and will want to "get their Party back". There are others, much like yourself with the Conservatives, who support the Party first and will do so irrespective of who is leader.
There may be conservatives who could join or re-join a post-Trump GOP but the key State and local organisations are now run by pro-Trump enthusiasts. Will these "go quietly" if their man is beaten or will they fight for his legacy or for Mike Pence in 2024?
True. However, east of Curzon Line there was a subtantial Polish minority, which was local majority in many cities such as Vilnius (Wilno in Polish); most of these folks survived the war (unlike Jewish neighbors) and were relocated to lands vacated by expelled Germans.
if you use Google Chrome, the translate system does a pretty good job.
I understand that for actual results, we are looking at Monday, or even Tuesday.
I have heard it suggested that investing in election lawyers in Poland will be remunarative - there will be lots of challenges in the courts.
Most of the country’s institutions have, over the past 5 years, become highly politicised and subordinated to the ruling party. This includes the Supreme Court, which will announce the final result of the election.
If the final results confirm Andrzej Duda winning by a very narrow margin, it is hard to imagine that PiS would let the power slip out of their hands. Electoral protests by Trzaskowski and his candidates may either be ignored or considered insufficient to impact the final result.
In turn, if it’s Trzaskowski who turns out to win by a very narrow margin, we can be sure that PiS will invest all its means to avoid Duda’s defeat: with electoral protests, recount of the vote, up to a nuclear option of repeating the election.
Luton Airport - Cats UK
Devil went down to Georgia
37% Ukrainian
36% Polish
15% Belarusian
10% Jewish
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fCsNg6XB3dg
Methinksswing voters MAY have had enough of this constant stream of pigshit.
Isn't that what happens when the EU doesn't like a result ?
Just as 10000 maniacs did a better version of Because the Night than Patti Smith/Springsteen
Which is obviously unlike the situation in most countries....
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2020/07/12/local-lockdowns-running-hundred-per-week-matt-hancock-reveals/
Pardon me French, should have said "pigPiS".
I would have thought that the Polish model allows far more room for fixing the result?
Blaydon races
Luton Airport
To be more provincial!
Given close results AND government manipulations, independent election monitoring including by foreign observers may prove critical.
Does anyone know where Jimmy Carter is tonight? Or anything concrete about current status re: independent election monitoring across Poland?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w0rElAf8Qf0
Then there's the version from when Paris really lit up and came into its own (bonus points for recognising the singer, and double points for naming who wrote the words):
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j4nMeQRfrN0
Hotter than a pepper sprout.
If you go to San Francisio
or
Is this the way to Amarillo?
Here's one NOT about a city, rather a state, but one of my favs:
Me - oh, my - oh
I'm sooooooo hi - oh!
BTW "Sohio" is gas-station chain found only in Ohio, rest of US has "Exxon" (formerly "Esso") stations; this result of breakup of Standard Oil trust.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/usa/florida/
Whats happened to Soho? By the Correspondents
https://youtu.be/MZukiRrYROA
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/israel/
What with the injunction against Mary Trump being considered in court tomorrow (it surely won't survive the publication of her book, against which there is no injunction, the next day, so we can expect a TV interview), who on earth is buying Trump at 2.8?
The Wreck of the Edmund Fitzgerald
Gordon Lightfoot
The legend lives on from the Chippewa on down
Of the big lake they called Gitche Gumee
The lake, it is said, never gives up her dead
When the skies of November turn gloomy
With a load of iron ore twenty-six thousand tons more
Than the Edmund Fitzgerald weighed empty
That good ship and true was a bone to be chewed
When the gales of November came early
The ship was the pride of the American side
Coming back from some mill in Wisconsin
As the big freighters go, it was bigger than most
With a crew and good captain well seasoned
Concluding some terms with a couple of steel firms
When they left fully loaded for Cleveland
And later that night when the ship's bell rang
Could it be the north wind they'd been feelin'?
The wind in the wires made a tattle-tale sound
And a wave broke over the railing
And every man knew, as the captain did too,
T'was the witch of November come stealin'
The dawn came late and the breakfast had to wait
When the gales of November came slashin'
When afternoon came it was freezin' rain
In the face of a hurricane west wind
When suppertime came, the old cook came on deck sayin'
Fellas, it's too rough to feed ya
At seven p.m., a main hatchway caved in, he said
Fellas, it's been good to know ya
The captain wired in he had water comin' in
And the good ship and crew was in peril
And later that night when 'is lights went outta sight
Came the wreck of the Edmund Fitzgerald
Does any one know where the love of God goes
When the waves turn the minutes to hours?
The searchers all say they'd have made Whitefish Bay
If they'd put fifteen more miles behind 'er
They might have split up or they might have capsized
They may have broke deep and took water
And all that remains is the faces and the names
Of the wives and the sons and the daughters
Lake Huron rolls, Superior sings
In the rooms of her ice-water mansion
Old Michigan steams like a young man's dreams
The islands and bays are for sportsmen
And farther below Lake Ontario
Takes in what Lake Erie can send her
And the iron boats go as the mariners all know
With the gales of November remembered
In a musty old hall in Detroit they prayed,
In the maritime sailors' cathedral
The church bell chimed till it rang twenty-nine times
For each man on the Edmund Fitzgerald
The legend lives on from the Chippewa on down
Of the big lake they called Gitche Gumee
Superior, they said, never gives up her dead
When the gales of November come early
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=NztfOSyCCFM
I mean
How did Wisco-sin
She stole a New-bras-key
She stole a new brass key
Pity that Arkansas
And so did Tennessee
It made poor Flori-die
She died in Missouri
Mir han dodurch su vill jewonne.
Mir sin wie mer sin, mir Jecke am Rhing, dat is jet wo mer stolz drop sin
Or Pleasant Valley Sunday
I know this fun fact, because when I was a kid, we used to drive through Cannonsburg on the way to grandmother's house, and the city had put up large billboards announcing this at the city limits.
Though I do wonder if most countries are going to end up with a 20% infection rate in the end and the only choices are the circumstances in which that happens.
We don't know for sure that is the case, but I tend to agree though - I won't be too happy being locked down for an outbreak which does appear to be localised 10 miles away. In fact, judging by the Observer saying the mobile unit is to be deployed in S. Bradford, the Bradford/Kirklees issues look to be a joint outbreak on the border. The Kirklees meat plant from which 164 cases have been confirmed is pretty much on the Bradford M62 turn off, in postcode BD19.