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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » One of the reasons I’m not entirely confident on calling the Presidential election, because the people in this video have the vote
Like David Herdson I’m leaning towards thinking November’s Presidential election will be a comfortable Biden win, certainly that’s what the polling and Trump’s demeanour indicates, a lot of this has been driven by Covid-19 and the administration’s handling of it.
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Any links to good opinion poll surveys of beliefs in US politics?
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8467959/Trump-posts-video-supporter-yelling-white-power-claims-stopped-statue-vandalism.html
The question is, who gets blamed? Trump, or state governors?
Not that that would make a practical difference in say, Georgia.
https://twitter.com/alexa_kantor/status/1276830616001155072?s=21
https://thefederalist.com/2020/06/27/trump-calls-for-tougher-republican-response-political-war/
These comments around 3/4 down caught my eye
"Despite facing serious political headwinds as well as some cautionary recent polling data, Trump’s mood was confident and relaxed. Acknowledging the challenge of proving he can lead the country out of a global pandemic and an economic funk, he said that re-election looked easy “as recently as three, four months ago” before the coronavirus pandemic hit.
“We proved what we could do, cutting taxes, cutting regulations, job numbers like nothing before,” Trump said. The key, he acknowledged, was to convince voters he can repeat that success."
Sounds like the man has a plan....
https://twitter.com/oxfordblm/status/1276866943153250306
Admittedly it’s not perhaps the most convincing of statements (if they thought that wasn’t anti-Semitic they’re idiots) but the right thing was done - it was deleted and an apology made.
They can’t help it. They’re obsessed.
I like the spirited old bird repeatedly shouting 'Fucking Nazis' at them.
More Americans are very or somewhat scared about catching the virus (55% v 45%), while only 40% say the situation is improving compared with 76% in the UK. Support levels are similar for various named measures to control the virus.
It's easy to highlight an eye-catching bit of video of idiots. But that doesn't make it representative, and the data suggests it isn't.
https://www.pewsocialtrends.org/2020/06/12/amid-protests-majorities-across-racial-and-ethnic-groups-express-support-for-the-black-lives-matter-movement/
At
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/coronavirus-polls/
82% of Republicans approve of Trumps response to COVID19...
Clearly Democrats are going to be blaming the White House, and Republicans the Democrat mayors and governors, many of whom are also up for re-election in November.
I still think the Presidential election is too close to call, once again the two parties in the USA have produced the two most unsuitable candidates.
And if you do an image search for that on google, all you see the world "antisemitic" around it. You can't miss that it is problematic.
There are people who believe so strongly that because of their moral rightness it is impossible that they could be wrong, that it is impossible, for instance, for someone who perceives themselves to be an anti racist campaigner to themselves be a racist. But it is not at all impossible.
I read one of Tim Marshall's books earlier (Divided: Why we're living in an age of walls) and he makes reference to how it is possible that people and groups can be a reaction to societal white discrimination, but nevertheless adopt a racist ideology (his example was Louis Farrakhan of the Nation of Islam, neither of which I'm much familiar with).
The interesting thing is that such racists can't help themselves.
Yeah......how many gay people did they stab to death in Reading again?
I don't want to stand up for Trump, and wouldn't be in the group approving of his response or indeed much about his Presidency. But his position isn't total denial that there is a crisis, or a refusal to countenance ANY drastic measures to address it. Rather, he's been towards the side of more limited interventions and reasonably fast reopening for economic reasons. You can agree or disagree with that but (verbal diarrhea about bleach aside) it isn't utterly crazy.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/mar/23/corbyn-criticised-after-backing-artist-behind-antisemitic-mural
There's no way anyone running a social media account wouldn't be aware of it in that context.
And why would you then USE the image, to advertise some event? That seems to be plain old, dog-whistling anti-Semitism. The apology is bullshit.
I expect the total at https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/ announced today to be little more than the hospital numbers - the reporting for other settings doesn't seem to happen much on the weekend.
One could add the caveat that some people in the above predicament might see Trump, ironically, as the man best equipped to dig them out.
hmmn.
https://twitter.com/ProjectLincoln/status/1277226145193381888
I couldn't have voted for either candidate on offer in 2016. I couldn't cast a positive vote for either in 2020.
https://skeptics.stackexchange.com/questions/48008/did-one-sherry-michaels-lose-her-daughter-to-covid-19-and-then-use-it-to-make-an
It must be fake right?????????
Here is another site talking about it
https://celebritiesdeaths.com/sherry-michaels-death-dead-obituary-sherry-michaels-of-colleyville-tx-may-have-died/
They know who they are
As his cousin, the honourable member for Edinburgh South ought to be able to send him our best wishes.
If he had done nothing as President from the start the Pandemic Response Team would still have been in place.
Trump is part of the problem.
https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/trump-fire-pandemic-team/
When you add in the belief that non-white cultures are not to be questioned or challenged in any way...
So this wasn’t an intern with a Sunday hangover, this was a planned and prepared argument. They thought it through and pressed Send anyway. Hard to believe they wouldn’t know how it might be received. Most odd.
https://twitter.com/icecube/status/1269277079914209282
Twitter will delete your account for saying "Men aren't women tho", or hide tweets in case they "cause offense", but is totally fine with this.
This for me rings enormous alarm bells about where things are going.
Cummins discovered this - and closed it down. Now we leave on 31st December 2020.
The peeved reaction was the release of the long known about story of Cummins' trip to Durham....
I guess they Sed-he-will, so no big surprise...
and get promoted for saying "white lives don't matter"
Strange old world...........
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/06/28/orwellian-double-think-woke-elite-blinds-ridiculousness/
Tres said:
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Sounds to me like the witterings of an old dinosaur who can't cope with their world view being challenged.
go blow it out your arse, come back when your pimples have disappeared and you know the first thing about life you obnoxious little creep.
https://www.jacobinmag.com/2020/06/keir-starmer-rebecca-long-bailey-sacked-labour
Mr Starmer might have a bit of a job on his hands
For some "anti-racists" on the Left, Israel is an obsession and this leads them into antisemitism. By contrast for some white supremacist types on the Right, Israel is also an obsession but is close to a love object.
So you have anti-racists on the Left being racist because they hate Israel and hardcore racists on the Right loving Israel because they are racists.
Starmer has put the fire out and is starting to rebuild the foundations. The old man's solicitor threw in a Molatov cocktail earlier this week which Starmer threw back at her.
And as for "promoted for saying white lives don't matter", I must have missed that one. Are you making it up?
He is distinctive with his ... dots ... between sentences.
So, why? One reason might be that it is inhabited by Jews. Therefore the leftwing obsession with Israel is actually an obsession with Jews. Look at Ken Livingstone for an example.
That suggests anti-Semitism is the root, not a mere by-product.
Same goes for right wing Israel obsessives, too, but these days they are smaller in number.
Personally I'm immune - more he tickles the more I squirm - but many aren't.
On the other hand those on the left are keen to push "Jews are white" to imply Jews are the ultimate cause of "white supremecy", hence simply defending the right of Israel to exist is white supremecy.
How about not trying to racialise everything?
And now, coffee
As long as the successor is more interesting/qualified than the left alternative (which they are now that Corbyn has gone, the left has Burgon and RLB left), the centrist will keep winning.
I can tell you for a certainty, the majority of Labour members will not be voting in a left winger again.
If Starmer manages to get a majority on the NEC, he'll hopefully change the membership rules as well.
Beautiful.
Genuinely I'd have him in my top team any day, I find post-leadership Ed incredibly likeable.
If you have the misfortune to read what actual white supremacists say they are very much anti and sound little different to the hard left.
Man City 2.16
Liverpool 2.66
Man Utd 16
Chelsea 17
(Spurs and Arsenal not yet listed)
So despite Liverpool losing just two games in two seasons and Man City being 23 points behind this season, Man City are favourites!
Maybe reflects fact Man City expected to spend more this summer, though that may depend on CAS. CAS could go either way so seems unpredictable.
The common sense conclusion is that Jewish people must have some generally very good features and that the state of Israel must have something to be said for it.
As this seems to be the opinion of nearly all centrists in politics, perhaps we should pay as much attention, if not more, to other political failings in the Middle East apart from Israel; and be grateful for the Jewish contribution to our society.