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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Keiran Pedley’s Ipsos-MORI Podcast: How does Starmer make it t
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Keiran Pedley’s Ipsos-MORI Podcast: How does Starmer make it to Number 10?
On the inaugural Ipsos MORI Politics & Society podcast, Keiran Pedley is joined by Ayesha Hazarika, Alastair Campbell and the Ipsos-MORI Chief Executive Ben Page to discuss historic poll ratings for the new Labour leader and where the Labour Party go from here after a historic defeat in December. You can listen to the podcast below:
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Meanwhile:
https://twitter.com/ruskin147/status/1273592249755021314
Last I read there were discussions with Apple to let non-germans download it from the app store.
https://web.archive.org/web/20150911143220/http://dictionary.cambridge.org/dictionary/english/u-turn
All - 62
Seven days - 54
Looks like we are below 50 per day now
No doubt we will see a lot more as Brexit takes hold.
Hence tanks with rifled guns and British radar manufacturers still trying to push the twin-radar-aew design.
Whitehall will surely goldplate it first
And good goldplating can't be done in a rush.
https://twitter.com/stephenkb/status/1273599620426465280
The former set up the health service, the latter was foreign sec.
It's what he would want on his epitaph.
Are all left-of-centre Welshmen the same to the racist hard right?
I am not looking to it as a solution, just commenting that it used to be a feature of politics.
We all have our blind spots. For the longest time I thought that Boris Johnson wasn't a fat cowardly lying sack of shit. Still, you live and learn.
Now, should we have them do some colourful dogfighting over East Anglia, that's a very different question!
Both giants of Labour.
Labour seem more aged now
* China (Trump sought help for re-election; backed Uighur camps);
* Turkey-Iran (offered to help Erdogan in US investigation into possible breach of Iran sanctions);
* NATO (wanted to withdraw).
To win a majority he would need to gain over 100 seats, more than any opposition leader since Blair in 1997 has achieved
I remember linking to SK's websites in February showing the journeys taken by those found to have been infected with times and modes of transport so that people could work out if they had been exposed. All of that was done using phone data. It is just unbelievable that in mid June we are nowhere near achieving something similar.
Did no one apply their minds to the question of what was going to be needed to get out of lockdown relatively safely before we went into it? It's just depressing.
Ireland has had some success with citizens assemblies, and I think the House of Lords could be replaced by the House of Random People.
But yes, I've been one to give governments the benefit of the doubt for the events of the past few months - but this is a complete and unavoidable screw-up by NHSX.
However, the app, FFS, absolutely no excuse. None. Nadda... Governments and IT always end in disaster. The two companies with the best software engineers and who write the OS that the app will run on have done all the heavy lifting and we say nah its ok, we have a better idea. Just nuts.
You are right that by elections seem to have become much less frequent.
Aneurin (Nye) Bevan was a former miner, who, having left school at 13 to go down the pit, educated himself and worked his way up through the South Wales Miners Federation to become the Minister of Health who brought in the NHS.
Ernie Bevin was a West Country man, again a 13yrs old school leaver who came up through the Transport Workers Union and became Minister of Labour during the War, subsequently Foreign Secretary.
There are 31 MPs in HofC continuously elected before 97. 18 Tories and 13 Labour. That isn't the impression I got.
That's amazing, really, when you think about it. 80 seat landslide won just 7 months ago. Must be a lay, logically, but something stops me doing that.
The places that did make apps work, did so by forcing location data and making the apps compulsory. Not something that can work in Western democracies. I think a lot of governments thought they could get away with it, didn't expect a massive backlash from the tech and privacy communities!
The UK is poised to announce it has abandoned its attempt to built a centralised coronavirus contact-tracing app and will instead switch to the model preferred by the technology firms Apple and Google.
The embarrassing U-turn comes after British officials concluded it was technically impossible to create an effective app that does not conform to the Google and Apple model
Fair cop.
I hang my head and slink away. To return (I hope) a new and improved man.
The only logical alternative to trusting the majority via some form of democracy is to seek to set oneself up as dictator.
I mean, its not impossible but its not likely.
Corbyn really screwed the pooch for Labour.
We move on.
The A/G solution is the *only* way it's possible to get it to work, any other method simply can't work. (unless you make a battery-killing location aware app that's illegal not to use, as they do in China).
This kind of data hoarding is common in government IT projects.
For example, the late, un-lamented UK ID card project had a flock of databases associated with it that added up to gigantic privacy problem. So much so, that "important" people would have had their data specially segregated.
Another perennial problem in government projects is requirements. Adding requirements without any estimation of cost/benefit is standard. Removing requirements is often impossible.
Labour would need even fewer than that if the LDs pick up more Tory seats in London and the South
Errors galore on this thread already.
All previous government IT projects were staggering successes, weren't they?
And it would have been a triumph if Corbyn were in charge instead?
I bet the app is the same, yes minister of cause we can make our own that is better and is centralised so we can collect more data.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/our-new-polling-averages-show-biden-leads-trump-by-9-points-nationally/
A moment that should be celebrated every bit as much as the end of slavery, though I appreciate the million or more Indians who died in the Partition Wars might not be quite so happy.
Far more important than a trivial comment about natural resources.
And the other end of the spectrum total and utter shit shows.
I want to know who was behind the different schemes.
https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1273264544710787073