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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It appears Sir Keir Starmer has made a great first impression
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It appears Sir Keir Starmer has made a great first impression
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That must be why Jeremy Corbyn won the subsequent election and is now Prime Minister...
Monuments still unscathed so these guys are doing a great job.
https://twitter.com/SunScotNational/status/1272142241180467202
Political authority and capital is lot like virginity, once it’s gone, it is bloody difficult to get back. Boris Johnson expending his political capital on Dominic Cummings with a loyalty he’s not previously shown to his wives is one of the great mysteries of life.
Or did Theresa May fight the subsequent election?
We had one of the softest lockdowns in Europe.
TSEs still sulking that Cameron flounced off
Blair only has the 3rd highest approval rating of an opposition leader but won a landslide to become PM in 1997. That goes to show that having a popular leader is not enough if you are not also seen as having taken your party far enough to the centre if you want to ensure you win a majority for your party. Blair had clearly reformed his party with New Labour, Cameron was not seen to have gone as far in reforming the Tories, the verdict is still out on how far Starmer will reform Labour.
For the moment the Tories have one figure who also polls better than Starmer and Boris, Rishi Sunak, if the Tories do fall behind in the polls as Thatcher did in 1990 after the poll tax it is possible Sunak could be Major to Starmer's Kinnock
NHS England numbers out - 27. Yes, 27
Extremely low even for weekend reporting
Not really. For some reason he’s able to pull like you can’t believe it, so he can still get a screw without his wives.
But without Cummings he would allegedly be epically screwed.
Free university tuition for Scottish students may have to end as a result of the financial crisis gripping the sector, a leading educationalist has warned.
Universities in Scotland face a £500m black hole, with the number of lucrative fee-paying students from overseas expected to fall steeply following the Covid-19 pandemic.
The financial position could become even worse as a result of UK government plans to limit the number of fee-paying English students allowed to study in Scotland.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/scotland/scottish-students-face-an-end-to-free-university-education-rcft5jscm
This is the best bit though...
The Scottish government said it is working with universities and colleges to address current challenges and pressing the UK government for assistance.
Are we talking John C. Holmes here?
I'm still in mourning.
On the other hand, the first more or less openly gay senior army officer.
Must cause a bit of a headache in the diversity stakes.
I doubt that bloke knew where he was peeing. It looked like the closest thing to a corner he could find.
I have seen plenty of footage of football firms and ex-military types congregating around Westminster yesterday. I suppose if not overly bright people look at the coverage of the previous week's demonstrations they might think to themselves I'll have some of that. And all in a good cause.
Not sure how much responsibility he bears for white deaths in the British Army, esp. the Great War (I leave that to others who know more).
But what would people prefer - a softer but longer lockdown or a harder but shorter lockdown ?
The andrex vs old fashioned bog roll so to speak.
Given the number of lockdown headbangers around, or at least their loudness, then I imagine soft and long would be preferred.
Though the more authoritarian would prefer hard and long.
https://www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Even by weekend standards that's very low.
https://twitter.com/robfordmancs/status/1272157214652973059
Plus a massacre in Omdurman in 1898 after recapturing the city - strangely not mentioned by Corporal Jones.
Not really fair to blame him for the First World War though as his strategy was ultimately effective, albeit very costly.
https://twitter.com/keiranpedley/status/1271379756991332355?s=20
https://twitter.com/keiranpedley/status/1271379766411747329?s=20
"Vorwärts, und nicht vergessen!"
Two London Mayoralties
Brexit (arguably)
Tory Leadership
GE 2019
https://twitter.com/TelePolitics/status/1272159865272762368
Where did it all go wrong Mr Best?
Much magical thinking here.
If only the moron had had a clue what was going to happen more than about three days ahead in March!
colon left bracket
The big picture is that the election was won by persuading the Red Wallers that "Boris" shared their values and that he and his "Brexit" would improve their lives - but of course he doesn't and it won't. The opposite, in fact, in both cases.
To win again next time, therefore, the Cons must hope that the Who were talking out of their backsides. I do not believe they were - so I think Starmer is on his way to Downing St. It's more of a 'when' than an 'if'.
The 100 Days Campaign in 1918 was the result.
Masks were initially meh - unproven and on balance not worth it
Masks are now meh - a bit more evidence in favour and on balance worth it in certain situations.
They were never really bad and according to current govt advice are not really good.
And other countries that have eased lockdowns have not seen the second waves.
https://twitter.com/cricketwyvern/status/1272163992203558912
Though if Starmer did reach Downing Street he'd have the joys of implementing 'export or starve' because you can be sure Boris and Sunak will have spent every penny which is available and then a whole load more.
Poor circulation?
Arthritis?
The classrooms are too small. So you need smaller class sizes. But there aren't enough teachers. Or extra classrooms. There aren't enough toilets or washing facilities. The corridors are too narrow for kids to distance. Etc, etc.
All of these still apply whether one or two metres.
None of these are the fault of Unions who are pointing out these issues. Nor are they insurmountable.
But the solutions all necessitate that they will not "return to normal" until there is a vaccine.
I voted against him when he ran for London Mayor, and bet against him because I thought he was a buffoon. I voted Tory in December at the last minute because they were the only ones who were going to respect the referendum result, it is ridiculous to call them "my party", it turned my stomach to do it. I am just capable of being able to judge people on their record, and electorally he has a fantastic one.
It is you who cannot see things without bias. The things I stated that he is good at are demonstrably true, whether you like him or not.
Blackadder: Three o’clock in the afternoon, Your Highness.
Prince George: Oh, thank God for that; I thought I’d overslept.
It is why I disagree with the view that it is leadership ratings that will determine the outcome of a General Election. That only works if people believe the party is in line with the leader and their views. It is clear people are sceptical. Unless Starmer shows he is willing to go to town against MPs like Dawn Butler, Naz Shah and the rest of them who like to proclaim how racism is the #1 defining issue in the country and antifa are saints vs those nasty right wing thugs etc etc, many Red Wall voters will not come back to Labour.
As for the Tories, I think Boris is gone next year. He's tired, he's got a new kid, he is falling behind in the ratings and the UK will have cut its ties with the EU, which will give him an opportunity to go out on a "high". Most importantly, though, I don't think he has the heart for fighting a culture war, which will be the defining feature of politics for the next few years, and being a posh, white bloke, he is at a slight disadvantage. When the penny drops for him (if it hasn't) as to the political mood of the next few years, he will be out.
I'm also sceptical, in this scenario, Rishi Sunak is the front-runner. Yes, he's nice and done a good job so far with the economy but, as someone said to me the only day, he comes across as a bit wet and lacking steel. I think who the Conservatives (MPs and activists) will decide they will need to fight back in the culture wars is someone aggressive and willing to take the fight to the left. So - actionable idea - I'm going for Priti Patel as the next PM (35/1 last time I looked on Ladbrokes). Her statement at the dispatch box and how she handled the letter from the Labour MPs on race shows she is not afraid of a fight and that is likely to appeal.
That is the other alternative. However, the government seems to want it both ways.
2. You have no idea whether Brexit will make anyone's life worse. I appreciate you'll have read a thousand editorials confidently predicting economic armageddon, but it's always a mistake believing one's own publicity.
This is no great loss, people could do with using their phones less IMO.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/strip-out-huawei-kit-and-face-mobile-phone-blackouts-ch82gz737
"Greater Manchester illegal raves: Man dies, woman raped and three stabbed"
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-manchester-53040827
Their mobile is a fundamental part of their identity and life.
Would you want to play cards with a Conservative?
Alongside the blame culture and the compensation culture.
There is no shortage of people who would rather destroy the economy and the education of a million kids than have the right boxes unticked.
My friend’s health depends on having a robust mobile signal.
For those shielding/lockdown being able to connect with other people has been great.
Remember not everyone has access to (fast) home broadband.
See the last thread with its 'teachers will need a pay rise' talk.
Football summer-school, handball summercamp, sailing, the usual. The only deviation from the normal is no foreign trips, but the wife seems determined to drag me to Greece or Italy at the end of July, so we’ll see. I’m looking forward to my three domestic Swedish trips.
However while Sunak would win back some Remainers from Starmer and Labour he would lose some Leavers to Farage and the Brexit Party
Without even paying attention I know that nearly all of those protesting fall in to two categories - daft as a brush, or out for trouble. All in the latter category are also in the first, by definition.
No-one forcibly locked up
7 deaths per million
vs Sweden >300
or UK >600.
The real SeanT was well aware of my residency. You sir are an imposter.
Bugger pale imitations, we want the real thing. Sex, drugs and rock n roll.
This is also the core reason why I am close to certain that Trump is doomed this year.
As for Brexit not helping them materially - this seems a given to me. I just cannot see how it can possibly be otherwise.