Jeremy Corbyn's conspiracy theorist brother, 73, leads his third anti-lockdown protest after claiming Covid is being used by the 'new world order' to inject Britons with MICROCHIPS
Oxford University students have voted against “ableist, classist and misogynistic” reading lists, claiming that they should not be forced to engage with any “hateful material”. Students should not be required to attend any lectures, tutorials or seminars, nor should they have to sit exams, which involve “hate speech” against a particular group, according to a new policy that the university’s student union has adopted.
What makes me laugh more isn't the idea of Hilldog being parachuted in, its the DNC holding a virtual convention where delegate after delegate avows and affirms that Biden is the Best Person to be the candidate. Against any other GOP candidate Biden would not be anywhere near the ticket for all the obvious reasons. Are the DNC still delusional enough to think that because Trump is So Hated they can run a geriatric dodgepot who falls asleep on TV sets whilst they interview him about his sexual abuse of power allegations?
The thing is if there was some suggestion that Gove was antisemitic and regularly promoted the sort of opinions espoused in the Bell Curve, all these people might have a point. The fact is he has a long record of the absolute opposite...
One further point about the Wuhan lab conspiracy is that epidemiology suggests the epidemic didn't necessarily originate in Hubei province. The only connection to the lab is the circumstantial evidence that the lab is very close to the meat market where the Chinese government originally said the outbreak originated. We now know for sure that the epidemic started a month or so earlier than the Wuhan market outbreak, making the lab connection moot.
6th-8th March looks very significant - from 3 to pretty much 1.
What happened there?
This graph seems to show that lockdown has not made much difference
Not necessarily.
Its helped drive the R below 1 and made it stay at below 1, that is critical. If handwash advice left it only at 1 then numbers would plateau but not fall.
Plus if people eased off on the handwashing advice R could have started to rise again.
How do you think will respond I’ve got some leaflets/booklets by Nick Griffin and John Tyndall and the rest of the BNP mob?
Have you got any black shorts?
Quite a few years ago, I was walking through the centre of Oxford after doing some horse riding. I was getting some looks. I realised that black riding jeans, with black riding boots and a black shirt was probably being misunderstood...
Just been for my walk and met a (once upon a time) drinking friend ...... well, stood 2-3 m away from and conducted a quite load conversation. Told me he'd just seen another frequenter of of our town's pubs who has actually had, and recovered from, coronavirus, although he had been, apparently, very ill. Chap's a regular attender at hospital.... lot's of quite nasty things wrong with him and actually attending outpatients was blamed for him catching the virus. A second case was then quoted, a work colleague of my friend, who's acquired the virus the same way.
I'm due to have a cancer check-up shortly..........
How do you think will respond I’ve got some leaflets/booklets by Nick Griffin and John Tyndall and the rest of the BNP mob?
Have you got any black shorts?
Quite a few years ago, I was walking through the centre of Oxford after doing some horse riding. I was getting some looks. I realised that black riding jeans, with black riding boots and a black shirt was probably being misunderstood...
I’ve got black shorts and shirts.
My default colour for suits is brown, replete with brown shirts.
6th-8th March looks very significant - from 3 to pretty much 1.
What happened there?
This graph seems to show that lockdown has not made much difference
Not necessarily.
Its helped drive the R below 1 and made it stay at below 1, that is critical. If handwash advice left it only at 1 then numbers would plateau but not fall.
Plus if people eased off on the handwashing advice R could have started to rise again.
Realistically we won't know for a while if ever.
According to this graph the handwashing thing made a massive difference. This might give a clue into how this virus is spread. Hardly anyone wore a mask in that period, so touching hands must be a bigger spreader of it than via oral ways.
How do you think will respond I’ve got some leaflets/booklets by Nick Griffin and John Tyndall and the rest of the BNP mob?
Have you got any black shorts?
Quite a few years ago, I was walking through the centre of Oxford after doing some horse riding. I was getting some looks. I realised that black riding jeans, with black riding boots and a black shirt was probably being misunderstood...
I’ve got black shorts and shirts.
My default colour for suits is brown, replete with brown shirts.
Fascist Authors - check Black Shorts - check
You are Roderick Spode and I claim my 5 Reichmarks in Mefo bills
6th-8th March looks very significant - from 3 to pretty much 1.
What happened there?
Handwashing advice.
Wasn't there some graph doing the rounds even before lockdown showing people admitted to hospital with gastroenteritis had fallen off a cliff because people were actually washing their hands?
Basically, if everyone practised more rigorous handwashing - I'm sure there's a high proportion of people out there even know who hardly wash their hands - we wouldn't be in this level of shit.
Loons + guns + militia mentality(*) = sh&t will happen
*It's not just the batshit amount of guns in America. Its the batshit culture around them - the pseudo-militia thing. After all, Israel has tons of people wandering around in public with actual military weapons... while bad stuff happens it seems to be far rarer.
Loons + guns + militia mentality(*) = sh&t will happen
*It's not just the batshit amount of guns in America. Its the batshit culture around them - the pseudo-militia thing. After all, Israel has tons of people wandering around in public with actual military weapons... while bad stuff happens it seems to be far rarer.
Lots of the US problems come down to education...its piss poor.
More than 10 times as many people in Germany have likely been infected with the coronavirus than the number of confirmed cases, researchers from the University of Bonn have concluded from a field trial in one of the worst hit towns.
That's quite some iceberg!
My guess is that it is the same here. I think its been here since November/December
I very, very much doubt it. But I think that there are simply many more asymptomatic carriers.
Says PB's resident eminent virologist.
I make no pretensions to be a virologist but Occam's Razor makes it very, very unlikely to me.
Given how contagious this disease is and how quickly it spreads and how quickly it can lead to a spike in deaths and hospital admissions then if this was here back in November then even if we didn't realise that is why people were sick why didn't we a spike in hospital admissions? Why didn't we see a spike in deaths? Why did early testing have over 95% test negative for so long? Why did we only see a spike in deaths a couple of weeks ago when the outbreak was known to happen?
The idea that it was here in November but people weren't dying from it until March just seems illogical. Why were death rates unmoved from average (or ever down from average) over the whole winter until March?
I'm no virologist and don't claim to be but I can read statistics and that just makes zero sense.
Indeed, the strongest evidence that the pandemic started in China in November is precisely because the Influenza-Like Illness warning system started parting from the norm in about the 2nd week of November, and went haywire thereafter. Absent similar evidence in the UK, I'd doubt it arrived much sooner than we knew.
Is a former two terms president ineligible to be elected to Congress?
No. Only VP needs to be eligible to become President (I think).
So Obama can still become president again then.
Nope. Even if he got into the order of succession by reason of being elected to Congress, he would be eliminated from the said order of succession by his being elected president twice.
Is a former two terms president ineligible to be elected to Congress?
No. Only VP needs to be eligible to become President (I think).
So Obama can still become president again then.
No. You must be eligible to become President to become President.
If President and VP died simultaneously and Obama was Speaker of the House then my understanding is that the President pro tempore of the Senate as 3rd in the line of succession would become President.
One further point about the Wuhan lab conspiracy is that epidemiology suggests the epidemic didn't necessarily originate in Hubei province. The only connection to the lab is the circumstantial evidence that the lab is very close to the meat market where the Chinese government originally said the outbreak originated. We now know for sure that the epidemic started a month or so earlier than the Wuhan market outbreak, making the lab connection moot.
Loons + guns + militia mentality(*) = sh&t will happen
*It's not just the batshit amount of guns in America. Its the batshit culture around them - the pseudo-militia thing. After all, Israel has tons of people wandering around in public with actual military weapons... while bad stuff happens it seems to be far rarer.
Lots of the US problems come down to education...its piss poor.
Maybe there is something there, but there is more to it than just that.
Loons + guns + militia mentality(*) = sh&t will happen
*It's not just the batshit amount of guns in America. Its the batshit culture around them - the pseudo-militia thing. After all, Israel has tons of people wandering around in public with actual military weapons... while bad stuff happens it seems to be far rarer.
People genuinely seem to believe that having guns protects them from the government, but it doesn't stop the USA incarcerating so many of its citizens.
In addition to the claim Germany has 10x as many cases as officially confirmed..The study also found that more than one in five people infected showed no symptoms.
How do you think will respond when I tell them I’ve got some leaflets/booklets by Nick Griffin and John Tyndall and the rest of the BNP mob?
I think I’ve got some EDL pamphlets as well.
How do you think who will respond?
I’ll be denounced as an Islamophobe and the person that complained to Mike years ago that I was an Islamphobe because I said that I really wouldn’t want devout Muslims as neighbours.
Not really sure that I see the point in this article. There are 2 issues: was this China's fault and have we dealt with this as well as we could have done? Even if the answer to the first is yes governments are accountable for the second.
So far as China is concerned it is extremely unlikely that there is anything deliberate about this at all. Incompetence may well have played a part but exogenous viruses have caused enough problems for them to be a legitimate matter for study. At the end of the day I am not sure negligence or incompetence would be a particular game changer here.
More than 10 times as many people in Germany have likely been infected with the coronavirus than the number of confirmed cases, researchers from the University of Bonn have concluded from a field trial in one of the worst hit towns.
That's quite some iceberg!
It's not really, it's in line with the data from New York. They also seem to have roughly 10 undetected cases for every detected case. My hunch is that the UK will prove to be about the same level.
The idea that there is a vast asymptomatic iceberg which means we can go back to normal without a huge number of deaths is increasingly implausible. Even for Germany these current figures give an IFR around 0.4%. Let the virus run through the population and a hell of a lot of Germans would die.
You would need the undetected cases to be something like 100 x the current known cases for that idea to have any merit. i.e. To get to a bad seasonal flu type of scenario.
There are simply far to many people who could still catch the virus and die to do anything other than maintain quite strict measures.
The provisional wing of SAGE has performed one valuable service if it prompted the disclosure of the identity of (most of) the original SAGE’s committee members.
On topic, it’s possible that Covid-19 is manmade. It’s even possible that it was deliberately released. The evidence for such serious claims, however, is thin. Western governments have sexed up evidence for political purposes before and the time when they can be trusted to be essentially honest is long past, if it ever existed.
Is a former two terms president ineligible to be elected to Congress?
No. Only VP needs to be eligible to become President (I think).
So Obama can still become president again then.
Nope. Even if he got into the order of succession by reason of being elected to Congress, he would be eliminated from the said order of succession by his being elected president twice.
Surely that cannot count as being elected president?
In addition to the claim Germany has 10x as many cases as officially confirmed..The study also found that more than one in five people infected showed no symptoms.
One-in-five to one-in-three seem to be where most estimates for asymptotic cases are heading. That suggests no "iceberg", but also that fatality rates are 0.5-0.8%.
Just been for my walk and met a (once upon a time) drinking friend ...... well, stood 2-3 m away from and conducted a quite load conversation. Told me he'd just seen another frequenter of of our town's pubs who has actually had, and recovered from, coronavirus, although he had been, apparently, very ill. Chap's a regular attender at hospital.... lot's of quite nasty things wrong with him and actually attending outpatients was blamed for him catching the virus. A second case was then quoted, a work colleague of my friend, who's acquired the virus the same way.
I'm due to have a cancer check-up shortly..........
I don't know how verifiable theses numbers are, but it looks like:
Good advice on hand washing, combined with i'f you wouldn't mind please don't go down the pub' was all that was needed to bring this horrible deseise to an R of less than 1. (probably also TV images of hospitals in Italy as well)
Ripping away all our freedoms with the lock-down vertaualy no change.
I am going to sound like a broken record, sorry about that, but when this is all over and more complete data comes out I don't want people saying nobody advocated against a lock-down.
P.S. the more resent drop of in R, will be at leset in part because start of the 'herd immunity' effect and possible also the wormier weather and more sun-lite having a small influence.
6th-8th March looks very significant - from 3 to pretty much 1.
What happened there?
This graph seems to show that lockdown has not made much difference
I'd want to know the methodology behind this chart before coming to that conclusion.
The caption says it was calculated from "NHS England hospital deaths data." How in f*ck's name do they think they could calculate all that intricate up-and-down of Rt before 8 March, when the first death was reported on 7 March and the second on 8 March?
Vlad hates everything to do with the EU, so does Trump, so does Farage. I wonder what the connection is? If the EU could find an absolute cure for cancer then Trump and his equivalent nutters on this side of the pond would convince themselves not to trust it and Russian bots would try and discredit it.
Is a former two terms president ineligible to be elected to Congress?
No. Only VP needs to be eligible to become President (I think).
So Obama can still become president again then.
Nope. Even if he got into the order of succession by reason of being elected to Congress, he would be eliminated from the said order of succession by his being elected president twice.
Surely that cannot count as being elected president?
Becoming President doesn't require election, it does require eligibility.
Just been for my walk and met a (once upon a time) drinking friend ...... well, stood 2-3 m away from and conducted a quite load conversation. Told me he'd just seen another frequenter of of our town's pubs who has actually had, and recovered from, coronavirus, although he had been, apparently, very ill. Chap's a regular attender at hospital.... lot's of quite nasty things wrong with him and actually attending outpatients was blamed for him catching the virus. A second case was then quoted, a work colleague of my friend, who's acquired the virus the same way.
I'm due to have a cancer check-up shortly..........
In one post the very reason why for non COVID issues hospitals are quiet summed up.
Vlad hates everything to do with the EU, so does Trump, so does Farage. I wonder what the connection is? If the EU could find an absolute cure for cancer then Trump and his equivalent nutters on this side of the pond would convince themselves not to trust it and Russian bots would try and discredit it.
I don't know how verifiable theses numbers are, but it looks like:
Good advice on hand washing, combined with i'f you wouldn't mind please don't go down the pub' was all that was needed to bring this horrible deseise to an R of less than 1. (probably also TV images of hospitals in Italy as well)
Ripping away all our freedoms with the lock-down vertaualy no change.
I am going to sound like a broken record, sorry about that, but when this is all over and more complete data comes out I don't want people saying nobody advocated against a lock-down.
P.S. the more resent drop of in R, will be at leset in part because start of the 'herd immunity' effect and possible also the wormier weather and more sun-lite having a small influence.
Keep running with the pseudoscience. Do you know, according to the current POTUS, (a man who claims to have an unverified IQ of over 200), you might be able to inject yourself with disinfectant? (Actually, please don't do this, it really is a bad idea, and will probably kill you)
On topic, it’s possible that Covid-19 is manmade. It’s even possible that it was deliberately released. The evidence for such serious claims, however, is thin. Western governments have sexed up evidence for political purposes before and the time when they can be trusted to be essentially honest is long past, if it ever existed.
The probability of it being manmade are so infinitesimally small as to be effectively zero. The probability of it being man-isolated from the natural reservoir of wild types is, however, well within the bounds of possibility.
The probability of it being deliberately released are, IMO, close to zero also. But, if the virus had been isolated and propogated in the lab without staff realizing that it was capable of the zoonotic leap (and hence were not necessarily treating it as a human pathogen), given its high R0 absent containment efforts, I think the probability of accidental laboratory acquired infection and subsequent human to human transmission outside of the lab would be quite high.
I don't know how verifiable theses numbers are, but it looks like:
Good advice on hand washing, combined with i'f you wouldn't mind please don't go down the pub' was all that was needed to bring this horrible deseise to an R of less than 1. (probably also TV images of hospitals in Italy as well)
Ripping away all our freedoms with the lock-down vertaualy no change.
I am going to sound like a broken record, sorry about that, but when this is all over and more complete data comes out I don't want people saying nobody advocated against a lock-down.
P.S. the more resent drop of in R, will be at leset in part because start of the 'herd immunity' effect and possible also the wormier weather and more sun-lite having a small influence.
Well the graph would have to be very wrong for your analysis to be incorrect.
Is a former two terms president ineligible to be elected to Congress?
No. Only VP needs to be eligible to become President (I think).
So Obama can still become president again then.
Nope. Even if he got into the order of succession by reason of being elected to Congress, he would be eliminated from the said order of succession by his being elected president twice.
Surely that cannot count as being elected president?
Becoming President doesn't require election, it does require eligibility.
But the 22nd only prohibits being elected president.
On topic, it’s possible that Covid-19 is manmade. It’s even possible that it was deliberately released. The evidence for such serious claims, however, is thin. Western governments have sexed up evidence for political purposes before and the time when they can be trusted to be essentially honest is long past, if it ever existed.
Is a former two terms president ineligible to be elected to Congress?
No. Only VP needs to be eligible to become President (I think).
So Obama can still become president again then.
Nope. Even if he got into the order of succession by reason of being elected to Congress, he would be eliminated from the said order of succession by his being elected president twice.
Surely that cannot count as being elected president?
?
The question was about Congress.
- Yes, Obama could get elected to Congress. - Yes, the speaker of the House of Representatives is in the line of succession - Yes, in theory the House could elect Congressman Obama as the Speaker of the House - No, he wouldn't be eligible to become president, so the succession list would go round him, as it were.
6th-8th March looks very significant - from 3 to pretty much 1.
What happened there?
This graph seems to show that lockdown has not made much difference
Assuming that the graph is accurate in portraying those impacts, lockdown could still have saved countless lives.
If the infection period is deemed to last about a week, then if R had stayed at 0.9 the number of new cases at the end of 8 weeks would still be about 43% of the level at the start. By contrast if R were consistently 0.7 it means that new cases would be reduced to about 6% of the original level. R was 0.9 when lockdown started and has declined to about 0.7 since then, although the decline has been gradual not immediate.
"Method: NHS England #covid deaths data, backdating 23 days from deaths (5 days infection => symptoms + 18 days symptoms => death), and assuming a serial interval of 5 days."
Tweak those parameters even a tiny bit and you get Rt going under 1 coinciding with Lockdown instead of hand washing.
I'd argue that was more true of the G. W. Bush USA.
If they want to go round shooting each other, that's their business.
There is certainly a case that Trump is the foreseeable even if unintended consequence of changes to the GOP under GW Bush, especially extreme partisanship and the idea the facts do not matter -- remember truthiness? But let us not pretend American politics was clean before then: Reagan's Iran-Contra affair; Watergate under Nixon, of course; Vietnam; Iran; Central America.
On topic, it’s possible that Covid-19 is manmade. It’s even possible that it was deliberately released. The evidence for such serious claims, however, is thin. Western governments have sexed up evidence for political purposes before and the time when they can be trusted to be essentially honest is long past, if it ever existed.
yes the CCP should not be scrutinised
I’m rereading what I wrote and wondering how on earth you extracted that from my words. Since I don’t believe any such thing, and have avoided visiting China to date in part because I so strongly disapprove of that regime, I can only deduce that it comes from within the reader than from the written words.
6th-8th March looks very significant - from 3 to pretty much 1.
What happened there?
This graph seems to show that lockdown has not made much difference
I'd want to know the methodology behind this chart before coming to that conclusion.
The caption says it was calculated from "NHS England hospital deaths data." How in f*ck's name do they think they could calculate all that intricate up-and-down of Rt before 8 March, when the first death was reported on 7 March and the second on 8 March?
Pure unadulterated bullshit.
Method: NHS England #covid deaths data, backdating 23 days from deaths (5 days infection => symptoms + 18 days symptoms => death), and assuming a serial interval of 5 days.
Rock solid methodology definitely not designed to produce the outcome he wanted.
The provisional wing of SAGE has performed one valuable service if it prompted the disclosure of the identity of (most of) the original SAGE’s committee members.
Is that disclosure necessarily a good thing? It may be that they have to/what to recommend unpopular things, I don't know if this will help at a subconscious leave in making purely rational recommendations.
On topic, it’s possible that Covid-19 is manmade. It’s even possible that it was deliberately released. The evidence for such serious claims, however, is thin. Western governments have sexed up evidence for political purposes before and the time when they can be trusted to be essentially honest is long past, if it ever existed.
yes the CCP should not be scrutinised
I’m rereading what I wrote and wondering how on earth you extracted that from my words. Since I don’t believe any such thing, and have avoided visiting China to date in part because I so strongly disapprove of that regime, I can only deduce that it comes from within the reader than from the written words.
I'd argue that was more true of the G. W. Bush USA.
If they want to go round shooting each other, that's their business.
There is certainly a case that Trump is the foreseeable even if unintended consequence of changes to the GOP under GW Bush, especially extreme partisanship and the idea the facts do not matter -- remember truthiness? But let us not pretend American politics was clean before then: Reagan's Iran-Contra affair; Watergate under Nixon, of course; Vietnam; Iran; Central America.
I was thinking more foreign policy, especially Iraq. I actually think Trump's done alright on that front. What limited interventions he has made in the Middle East have not been too bad. Perhaps more luck than judgement, mind.
I thought that actual legal opinion was that a VP has to be eligible to be president, in order to be elected to the position of VP?
I think that technically he could be VP.
The 12th Amendment says:
"No person constitutionally ineligible to the office of President shall be eligible to that of Vice-President of the United States."
The 22nd Amendment says:
"No person shall be elected to the office of the President more than twice, and no person who has held the office of President, or acted as President, for more than two years of a term to which some other person was elected President shall be elected to the office of the President more than once."
The 25th Amendment says:
"In case of the removal of the President from office or of his death or resignation, the Vice President shall become President."
Note the difference in wording. The 22nd Amendment prevents Obama from being ELECTED to the office of President for a third time. But it doesn't make him "constitutionally ineligible to the office" in the words of the 12th Amendment (noting they could have said "constitutionally ineligible for election to the office" but didn't). And the 25th Amendment confirms there is no election for President (either popular or in the Senate) if the President is removed, dies or resigns - the VP just takes office.
So, in theory, he could be Clinton's (or anyone else's) VP and serve to the end of the term if Clinton died or resigned.
6th-8th March looks very significant - from 3 to pretty much 1.
What happened there?
This graph seems to show that lockdown has not made much difference
Assuming that the graph is accurate in portraying those impacts, lockdown could still have saved countless lives.
If the infection period is deemed to last about a week, then if R had stayed at 0.9 the number of new cases at the end of 8 weeks would still be about 43% of the level at the start. By contrast if R were consistently 0.7 it means that new cases would be reduced to about 6% of the original level. R was 0.9 when lockdown started and has declined to about 0.7 since then, although the decline has been gradual not immediate.
I just find it amazing the difference hand washing made to the R number.
6th-8th March looks very significant - from 3 to pretty much 1.
What happened there?
This graph seems to show that lockdown has not made much difference
Not necessarily.
Its helped drive the R below 1 and made it stay at below 1, that is critical. If handwash advice left it only at 1 then numbers would plateau but not fall.
Plus if people eased off on the handwashing advice R could have started to rise again.
Realistically we won't know for a while if ever.
According to this graph the handwashing thing made a massive difference. This might give a clue into how this virus is spread. Hardly anyone wore a mask in that period, so touching hands must be a bigger spreader of it than via oral ways.
Surface to hand to mouth is definitely a massive issue that we've frankly got decadent about in recent years, and that kind of boring low glamour hygiene is easy to fix.
However, it looks like that low hanging fruit wasn't quite enough. There's a Mickawber principle here, R=0.99 is eventually contentment, R = 1.01 is misery, albeit delayed.
What the R graph may show is that there's quite a lot of unlocking that can be safely done. Not all of it (fast food restaurants without cutlery look pretty unattractive, and some organisations began taking lockdown into their own hands in early March) but more than we might fear.
Which is not to say we should rush into anything yet. Certainly not on the basis of 1 internet graph.
The provisional wing of SAGE has performed one valuable service if it prompted the disclosure of the identity of (most of) the original SAGE’s committee members.
Is that disclosure necessarily a good thing? It may be that they have to/what to recommend unpopular things, I don't know if this will help at a subconscious leave in making purely rational recommendations.
I’m in two minds. For decision makers I think there’s very very rarely an excuse for any level of anonymity, such as some people floated during difficult Brexit votes on the basis MPs might find it easier to come to a resolution, to which I’d say they need to toughen up. Advisory bodies I can see more justification for doing so particularly when they may need to consider recommending very unpopular things and not be swayed by a mass of uninformed opinion. However, SAGE has been so prominent in how much the political decision makers claim to be guided by their scientific advisors, that I think on balance it is reasonable to know who sits on it.
The provisional wing of SAGE has performed one valuable service if it prompted the disclosure of the identity of (most of) the original SAGE’s committee members.
Is that disclosure necessarily a good thing? It may be that they have to/what to recommend unpopular things, I don't know if this will help at a subconscious leave in making purely rational recommendations.
I wonder when we get data on the number of death threats to members of SAGE - we can plot a graph, with x days of averaging on the trend line.
Comments
My first fee alone is well in excess of the £1,000 so I will simply write to HMRC and ask them about going the SA system.
Thanks again everyone.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_in_the_United_Kingdom
Deaths on 19/4 = 19,051
Deaths on 20/4 = 20,223
20,223 - 19,051 = 1,172.
https://twitter.com/alistairhaimes/status/1257303355199635456?s=21
Oxford University students have voted against “ableist, classist and misogynistic” reading lists, claiming that they should not be forced to engage with any “hateful material”. Students should not be required to attend any lectures, tutorials or seminars, nor should they have to sit exams, which involve “hate speech” against a particular group, according to a new policy that the university’s student union has adopted.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/05/03/oxford-university-students-vote-block-ableist-classist-misogynistic/
No I will no educate myself about any of history, because they were all racist, xenophobic, homophobic, trans-phobic, sexist, classist bigots.
The coffee brand intended for the drive-thrus to be open to key workers
https://www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk/whats-on/food-drink-news/costa-close-manchester-drive-thru-18193968
What happened there?
I think I’ve got some EDL pamphlets as well.
Personally, I always had you down as a secret BNP member. Its the thinking Die Hard isn't a Christmas movie that gives it away.
There is some evidence that the epidemic may have started further south in China. See https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/may/01/could-covid-19-be-manmade-what-we-know-about-origins-trump-chinese-lab-coronavirus
Its helped drive the R below 1 and made it stay at below 1, that is critical. If handwash advice left it only at 1 then numbers would plateau but not fall.
Plus if people eased off on the handwashing advice R could have started to rise again.
Realistically we won't know for a while if ever.
Quite a few years ago, I was walking through the centre of Oxford after doing some horse riding. I was getting some looks. I realised that black riding jeans, with black riding boots and a black shirt was probably being misunderstood...
A second case was then quoted, a work colleague of my friend, who's acquired the virus the same way.
I'm due to have a cancer check-up shortly..........
My default colour for suits is brown, replete with brown shirts.
Black Shorts - check
You are Roderick Spode and I claim my 5 Reichmarks in Mefo bills
Basically, if everyone practised more rigorous handwashing - I'm sure there's a high proportion of people out there even know who hardly wash their hands - we wouldn't be in this level of shit.
*It's not just the batshit amount of guns in America. Its the batshit culture around them - the pseudo-militia thing. After all, Israel has tons of people wandering around in public with actual military weapons... while bad stuff happens it seems to be far rarer.
If President and VP died simultaneously and Obama was Speaker of the House then my understanding is that the President pro tempore of the Senate as 3rd in the line of succession would become President.
Frances O'Grady, who leads the group representing UK unions, said it cannot back the advice in its "current form".
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-52533375
The clue is in the name, draft...
So far as China is concerned it is extremely unlikely that there is anything deliberate about this at all. Incompetence may well have played a part but exogenous viruses have caused enough problems for them to be a legitimate matter for study. At the end of the day I am not sure negligence or incompetence would be a particular game changer here.
The idea that there is a vast asymptomatic iceberg which means we can go back to normal without a huge number of deaths is increasingly implausible. Even for Germany these current figures give an IFR around 0.4%. Let the virus run through the population and a hell of a lot of Germans would die.
You would need the undetected cases to be something like 100 x the current known cases for that idea to have any merit. i.e. To get to a bad seasonal flu type of scenario.
There are simply far to many people who could still catch the virus and die to do anything other than maintain quite strict measures.
https://www.sage.com/en-gb/
The US under Trump has become a rogue state
If they want to go round shooting each other, that's their business.
Good advice on hand washing, combined with i'f you wouldn't mind please don't go down the pub' was all that was needed to bring this horrible deseise to an R of less than 1. (probably also TV images of hospitals in Italy as well)
Ripping away all our freedoms with the lock-down vertaualy no change.
I am going to sound like a broken record, sorry about that, but when this is all over and more complete data comes out I don't want people saying nobody advocated against a lock-down.
P.S. the more resent drop of in R, will be at leset in part because start of the 'herd immunity' effect and possible also the wormier weather and more sun-lite having a small influence.
Pure unadulterated bullshit.
The probability of it being deliberately released are, IMO, close to zero also. But, if the virus had been isolated and propogated in the lab without staff realizing that it was capable of the zoonotic leap (and hence were not necessarily treating it as a human pathogen), given its high R0 absent containment efforts, I think the probability of accidental laboratory acquired infection and subsequent human to human transmission outside of the lab would be quite high.
The question was about Congress.
- Yes, Obama could get elected to Congress.
- Yes, the speaker of the House of Representatives is in the line of succession
- Yes, in theory the House could elect Congressman Obama as the Speaker of the House
- No, he wouldn't be eligible to become president, so the succession list would go round him, as it were.
If the infection period is deemed to last about a week, then if R had stayed at 0.9 the number of new cases at the end of 8 weeks would still be about 43% of the level at the start. By contrast if R were consistently 0.7 it means that new cases would be reduced to about 6% of the original level. R was 0.9 when lockdown started and has declined to about 0.7 since then, although the decline has been gradual not immediate.
Tweak those parameters even a tiny bit and you get Rt going under 1 coinciding with Lockdown instead of hand washing.
Rock solid methodology definitely not designed to produce the outcome he wanted.
The 12th Amendment says:
"No person constitutionally ineligible to the office of President shall be eligible to that of Vice-President of the United States."
The 22nd Amendment says:
"No person shall be elected to the office of the President more than twice, and no person who has held the office of President, or acted as President, for more than two years of a term to which some other person was elected President shall be elected to the office of the President more than once."
The 25th Amendment says:
"In case of the removal of the President from office or of his death or resignation, the Vice President shall become President."
Note the difference in wording. The 22nd Amendment prevents Obama from being ELECTED to the office of President for a third time. But it doesn't make him "constitutionally ineligible to the office" in the words of the 12th Amendment (noting they could have said "constitutionally ineligible for election to the office" but didn't). And the 25th Amendment confirms there is no election for President (either popular or in the Senate) if the President is removed, dies or resigns - the VP just takes office.
So, in theory, he could be Clinton's (or anyone else's) VP and serve to the end of the term if Clinton died or resigned.
Won't happen though.
However, it looks like that low hanging fruit wasn't quite enough. There's a Mickawber principle here, R=0.99 is eventually contentment, R = 1.01 is misery, albeit delayed.
What the R graph may show is that there's quite a lot of unlocking that can be safely done. Not all of it (fast food restaurants without cutlery look pretty unattractive, and some organisations began taking lockdown into their own hands in early March) but more than we might fear.
Which is not to say we should rush into anything yet. Certainly not on the basis of 1 internet graph.
Not sure where I heard that but I heard it somewhere. Certainly it was the impression I was under.