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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Sunak (tipped on PB when he was 200/1) now betting favourite t
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Sunak (tipped on PB when he was 200/1) now betting favourite to succeed Johnson as PM
One person who is having a good coronavirus crisis is the Chancellor, Rishi Sunak who is now 5/2 favourite to become the next Prime Minister with SportingIndex leapfrogging LAB leader hopeful Kier Starmer in the betting.
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FPT - what you said about emails. SNAP.
I live on an incessant hamster wheel, where my emails are non-stop. They've dried up and like you, I'm less concerned by my phone.
I am looking forward to the mental break. If I survive the virus this break will add years to my life!
1945 Leader of the Opposition (previously Deputy Prime Minister and LEader of the House)
1951 Leader of the Opposition
1955 Foreign Secretary
1957 Chancellor
1963 Foreign Secretary
1964 Leader of the Opposition
1970 Leader of the Opposition
1974 Leader of the Opposition
1976 Foreign Secretary
1979 Leader of the Opposition
1990 Chancellor
1997 Leader of the Opposition
2007 Chancellor
2010 Leader of the Opposition
2016 Home Secretary
2019 Backbencher.
Of course, that does say something about how stable governments have been once taking office in the last 60 years.
Interesting article. Sadly when push came to shove the members said shove off to Italy.
https://www.facebook.com/100009478702901/videos/2580421988950399/?t=160
I love where I live!
Also, that been said, I would be well pissed off if I lived in London and with all those fancy hotels being made available and instead all I got was a bed in a giant dormitory in a conference centre :-)
I did put a tiny sum on, but my concern is that he has to take over as Conservative leader whilst they're still in government.
It could be just like Gordon Brown in that case.
There are other possibilities like Arcurigate or even exhaustion or Boris's bank balance, since the choices exercised to repair Churchill's finances would now be considered scandalous if not illegal. But I shan't be betting on it soon.
PB stats freaks may be interested in this little map by the HSJ, click on the link to see the map.
https://twitter.com/foxinsoxuk/status/1242416467783622656?s=19
Numbers of confirmed inpatients are going up quickly here, from 3 on Friday, to 18 yesterday and 26 today. We are still on a steep bit of the curve.
The fines will initially be set at £30, but the level could increase “significantly” if there is widespread evidence of people refusing to comply with the rules, the spokesman said.
£30....it needs to be at least x10 that at least. Some guy in Taiwan has just been given $30k fine
https://www.rivm.nl/nieuws/actuele-informatie-over-coronavirus
It seems to me that what we need is at least one of a vaccine, some effective treatment or treatments, or a test that shows who has had it with mild or no symptoms and is no longer infectious.
A vaccine obviously should end the crisis, but is a long way off. Effective treatment(s) should reduce the impact on health services enough that some relaxation may become possible, and hopefully we may have some soon.
A test of those who've had it should mean those that have had it can, for some values of normal, return to normal activity subject to precautions to not passively spread the virus through contact. (I'm not a virologist or epidemiologist obviously, but it seems logical to me that passive spread through post-infected people carrying it on their skin say due to not washing hands is going to be orders of magnitude less risky than a- or pre-symptomatic people spreading it, happy to be corrected by one of our medical members). It seems such tests may be available soon, but who knows how scalable they'll be.
https://twitter.com/FinancialTimes/status/1242452688069185536?s=20
https://twitter.com/foxinsoxuk/status/1242446527005679617?s=19
At 25k a day reduce that to 36 days. We really need the 250k a day Boris mentioned ages ago.
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1242455267603877894?s=20
Where did he say 250k a day? I have never heard him say that ever and was it a slip of the tongue. And the egg-heads definitely haven't, they have always talked about wanting to get to 25k a day.
Until there is an instant test, there is a limit to what you can do. And most of the fast tests that have been demo'ed so far aren't anywhere near accurate enough.
If you are a key worker and your journey is absolutely essential, please travel later in the day if you can and avoid the early morning.
If you do travel, follow the expert advice on hand washing and other health measures. We are operating reduced services so that we can keep things running for critical workers.
Stay safe, stay at home.
Yours sincerely,
Vernon Everitt
Managing Director, Customers, Communication & Technology
Realistically, it is nearly impossible to react swiftly when you have 27 different nations of different size with massively different economies and political outlooks.
https://twitter.com/CommissionerHR/status/1242036471508414464
My advice would be to lay Sunak at present.
I simply pointing out what the EU itself said about the state of the institution and what they feel is the way forward.
Sssh....you’ll wake Big G.
BUT...they had a quote from some German official or academic, basically saying we have been lucky, when the dust settles we don't expect to be that much different from most countries.
Obviously with their much bigger ICU capacity and good healthcare system they will do better, but when most countries are talking about 60-70-80% of the population will get it and we are comparing stats based on a 1000-10000s of cases.
I had to go outside and practically kick it down before it would budge.
The amount of swelling due to the winter's rain has not improved it one iota.
Trump has had a popularity bump despite anyone with at least one functioning brain cell knowing that his handling of this crisis id beyond appalling.
Few people did, whatever their feelings toward the EU.
https://www.ft.com/content/dacc0712-6ce1-11ea-9bca-bf503995cd6f
The Federation of Wholesale Distributors points out that despite the deadline announcements there isn' any government money yet available and when it is a business that has just lost the majority of its customer base and has burned its cash reserves won't be in a position to qualify for the business interruption loans.
They aren't talking about the gold standard test to see if you are currently positive. The aim has always been 25k (other than when they had a weird few days where they decided no we won't, before U-Turning, I think after the WHO had a go at them).
I keep thinking I'm going to be really productive and get loads done, but I need to pull myself away from the news first!!
Don’t attack, it’s just a passing thought!
That's from the BBC underneath the almost incredible statement that 'India will go into full lockdown" from midnight.
India in lockdown...... the mind boggles. As it does at the idea of the population keeping 2m apart.
This is denied but it would be one explanation.
I wonder how we'd have been managing this now. With no Brexit I mean. Two months away from a required GE. With Osborne in charge......
Or am I getting you mixed up with Byronic?
https://twitter.com/stephenkb/status/1241702863530799104?s=21
Boris Johnson says the Government is "ramping up testing" to attempt to treat a quarter of a million people a day, as he said the UK could "turn the tide" on coronavirus in 12 weeks.
The Prime Minister said the first UK patient had entered a clinical trial for treatment of coronavirus, and the Government was hoping to invest in a new "antibody test" for the disease that would allow it to test more people.
"We're massively increasing the testing to see whether you have it now and ramping up daily testing from 5,000 a day, to 10,000 to 25,000 and then up at 250,000," he said.
Link behind paywall but here goes
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2020/03/19/boris-johnson-news-latest-schools-coronavirus-emergency-bill/
I start writing around 9 to 10 am depending on my mojo and halt a-Stephen King-esque 2000 words later, which is usually early afternoon. Then I siesta and read until it's time for a brisk walk or spinning workout.
After my dinner I settle down to watch something and go to bed 10pm ish.
The only variation is that once a week I'll trundle to my local M&S and buy a week's supply of food.
For me, nothing inside my home has altered.
That won't help test the whole of the NHS staff every day to see who is positive, only identify ones that have had it in the past. And it appears like the UK are leading on going for this approach, nobody else has it (although I think a US company say they might have something).
South Korea, 15k test a day, Germany, 10-15k tests a day, UK, 10k test a day at present, 25k in a couple of weeks. Nobody in the world can screen all their healthcare professional day in day out, the tech doesn't exist.
You have gone from he didnt say it to he meant something else.
You were wrong about the former probably right about the latter but symptomatic of the Communications strategy dont you think.