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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Back in the world of political betting Biden confirms that his
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Back in the world of political betting Biden confirms that his VP pick will be a woman
Given that 77 year old ex-VP, Joe Biden, is increasingly looking like a certainty for the Democratic nomination the main WH2020 betting market of interest has become who he will choose as his VP nominee.
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- Normally you'd want to keep maximum flexibility, especially if there's a lot of unprecedented stuff going on
- Biden doesn't need to say this to win, he's on a gentle descent to victory
- So he's probably already promised it to someone back when he needed people's support to win
So who did he make a promise to?
1) Amy KLOBUCHAR. It would make sense, he needed her to clear the field for him and she seemed exceedingly perky right after she dropped out and endorsed him.
2) Jim Clyburn, whose endorsement gave him his huge win in SC. He says the VP should be a black woman, is reported as specifically mentioning Kamala Harris and Stacey Abrams.
Don't know where they got this info as not up on the official twitter account yet.
So that's 4000 more tests since yesterday and only rise of 171 cases.
Every small lucky victory like this buys us time.
Wouldn't read too much into the lower number of positive test results today, though, as you'd expect some random variation in the numbers. Better than the alternative of course.
Edit to add link to the fecking spreadsheet.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1eTKeK9vRxgw0KhvKxPCaDrfaHnxQP-n9TsLzsEymviY/htmlview?sle=true
Surely a way for you betting types to make a quick 6% through one of those whatdoyoucallit lay things?
I know there is probably back cases, but I can't believe 4000 people have rolled into hospital on Friday or Saturday all with coronavirus symptoms and only 171 have it.
https://special.croi.capitalreach.com
15,000 before 25,000?
https://www.cunard.com/en-gb/contact-us/travel-health-advisories
A few days?
Two other letters have also been issued, one from the British Society for Immunology and another from more than 400 scientists. The models will reportedly be released within the coming days, although no firm time frame has been disclosed.
In a similar letter, more than 500 behavioral scientists called on the government to disclose the evidence behind its contention that the public will experience “behavioral fatigue” if restrictions are put in place too early.
https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/03/coronavirus-pandemic-herd-immunity-uk-boris-johnson/608065/?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=share
Not sure if it is a great idea to have all those people popping down Boots to get a test done.
A week or so ago a change in the weather across Europe, the day I had a 'hunch' about something slightly changing in Italy, seemed to coincide with the Italian curve flattening and slowing.
All anecdotal and subjective at this stage ofcourse, but let's hope.
One was joking "I'm gonna self-isolate"
The second said something like "He's saying it's a government plan to cull the population".
Fake News at 50% penetration, n = 2
From reports they were really concerned about Brighton, but really went hard with the contract tracing and managed to dampen down the fire.
I think the response to Covid 19 could be seen as the biggest overreaction in human history
Lets not forget that thousands of people die each day of hunger. The world did not close down for them, yet it is closing down to try and prolong the lives of mainly very old and ill people. The average age of the people who have died with Vovid 19 in Italy is 81.
If these closedowns continue the world economy could be finished for a generation.
The downside is we don't have the emergency capacity of the likes of Germany. Old Dyson better start pumping out these ventilators morning, noon and night.
Far more under 60s will die this year on the roads than will ever, ever die of Corona. Ever. Under 60 road deaths has got Corona completely totally licked.
Shall we ban driving? stopping vehicle production? are we sending the world economy into a coma over those road deaths?
Our governments are insane.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R13BD8qKeTg
Like my daughter.
It is definitely not clear cut the other way.
Why not just bloody scrap usual QT format entirely and instead use it as opportunity for the public to pose questions (via email / skype) to one of the egg-head team.
Your antipathy to the EU is affecting your logical thinking.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-48687744
We didn't have the hotspots of Italy. We've encouraged a bit of social distancing. There's naturally going to be a bit of randomness. And we're not picking up people from random testing.
I doubt we've seen an actual peak in numbers testing positive, but I doubt the government is lying about the numbers.
Given how the government are very big on being data driven, to completely cut off any community sampling doesn't seem wise.
Maybe if people see that, something will have come from this sorry episode.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1968_flu_pandemic
https://www.eveningexpress.co.uk/news/uk/history-of-major-virus-outbreaks-in-the-uk-in-recent-times/
The Salmond trial, whatever its outcome, is providing fascinating, if grisly, reading about how the Scottish Government conducted itself during the run-up to the 2014 referendum, judging by the testimony so far. The public inquiry which will surely follow will be equally interesting. This will not be going away for a long time, even if the trial is being overshadowed in the media at the moment.
A typical quote from the trial:
Woman B tells the court she never saw a single member of the Scottish Government challenge Salmond about his behaviour
https://www.pressandjournal.co.uk/fp/news/politics/scottish-politics/2076982/live-the-alex-salmond-trial-day-6/
I guess you could wait...
I~'m staying away from the office due to recent contact with them
then you'd be given a funny hat or something so that when the audience participation bit came along the TV cameras could find you.
Or something like that.
Still, I take the Hubei chart as my guide, and am increasingly confident that the real peak in new infections is behind us now, while we will see another two weeks or so of rising (albeit less quickly) recorded new infections.
I think there is a lot more social distancing that there was, and a lot more hand washing.
I would expect Italy to start seeing its new cases number drop next week, with the rest of Europe a week or so behind.