We are now just six and a half weeks off the first big event in WH2020 – the Iowa caucuses on February 3rd when those seeking the Democratic nomination will face their first electoral test with real voters. The crowded field has slimmed back a bit with former favourite Kamala Harris pulling out but there are a lot of contenders still there.
Is it caucusii?
From where I'm standing, we've got to give these young people a chance.
I don't think it's realistic to win when you skip the first 4 contests.
The top (And most realistic 4) are happy valley in my book anyway.
The reasons he's being bet against are the sort of fluff that caused twitter to think Labour were going to win last week.
But if Julian Castro, Klobuchar or Booker can somehow get back into it...
Probably too soon, and theres ERGers to reward
I think Mrs May is the ideal person to explain why putting a border in the Irish Sea is a brilliant idea.
If her and Burnham hadn't been so vanilla in 2015 Jezza wouldn't have had a look-in.
The Bloomberg, Clinton and Yang candidacies, by contrast, all look clear lays.
Paul Hilder, chief executive of the polling firm Datapraxis, said: “According to our analysis, there are at least 20 Labour-held seats where the Brexit Party likely cost the Tories victory. One of the things that happened through the campaign was that some of the Labour to Brexit Party switchers came back to Labour, a few went tactically to the Tories and some ended up staying home.” He added: “In seats such as Hartlepool, Rotherham and Barnsley Central and East, between 70 and 90 per cent of Brexit Party voters said they would vote Conservative if it was a two-horse race, with a maximum of 6.5 per cent choosing Labour instead.”
Emily Thornberry has declared she is entering the race to succeed Jeremy Corbyn, revealing she warned the Labour leadership that backing a Brexit election would be an “act of catastrophic political folly”.
[poster failed to declare a financial interest in this outcome].
Backers must have lost faith.
Finally I will have a leader that shares my worldview on the Brexiteers/Working Class voters.
Managed to pick up £11 at 38.78 just now so she's actually my best realistic result now.
Also just read her pitch, rubbish compared to Starmer's. Reads like an I told you so note. I don't think she actually has much chance tbh.
The previous few years have shown that perceived party advantage was ALL that mattered to the opposition - particularly in opposing May's moderate deal.
I say perceived because it actually was losing them votes hand over fist in the labour leave heartlands.
They'd rather see the country reduced to ash than help Johnson out
To me, she epitomises what has gone wrong with the Labour Party. She'll be below RLB on my ballot - if she gets that far.
Any comparison between Ken Clarke and the enemy of white van man is doomed to failure.
(As Greta might say)
I reckon Craig McKinley when we sell Gibraltar off to Spain.
The ERG are fanatics and they are not Conservatives either. They definitely got Brexit but not the one, if we are to believe their support for the Conservative Party, that they wanted. They got it at the expense of the sanctity of the Union, which they have placed in peril.
Great, I hear you and maybe others say, but then again you and others aren't and weren't representatives of the Conservative and Unionist Party.
So they vanquished the windmill but lost a whole lot more, on their own terms.
Why would you want to be part of this shitshow in any case? She hardly distinguished herself as Shadow FS.
Dive is a new strong verb, Americans say dove not dived
Fabian Picardo has been crystal clear he’d prefer No Deal to any form of sovereignty compromise with Spain.
Rotherham, 14376 Labour votes. Even with a sub Foot leader that's scarcely believable.
Union : our members won't accept less than 5%. Cost of living, you made lots of profit last year, etc
Employer:we can't go above 3%. Trading conditions not good etc
So when they agree on 4% do we berate both sides for lying? I think not.
Boris has simply made an opening gambit that he wants out by 31 Dec. That can be changed in if necessary (simply by passing another act of Parliament).
It simply is not possible to conduct a negotiation without lying.
Gibraltar is also over 90% pro UK unlike Northern Ireland which is 50 50 at best