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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Chuka Umunna’s political journey: From 2015 favourite for the

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  • maaarshmaaarsh Posts: 3,590
    Brom said:

    BannedinnParis said:

    maaarsh said:

    CorrectHorseBattery said:

    Andrew Neil going virtual already, 100K views

    update every 15 minutes please, this is important
    At least that would slow down his posting rate
    You’ll get one every 2 minutes I’m afraid. The video will definitely lead to a 10 point Tory to Lab swing in Workington.
    I wonder if it'll get as many views as the revoke petition got signatures. You know, the one which presaged the Lib Dem wave.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,038
    Most read story on BBC News website - Neil.

    Quick Tories - find another deceased feline.
  • nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483
    RobinWiggs said:

    The Andrew Neil thing will have zero potency, especially after the head to head tomorrow.

    The undemocratic closed shop one you mean?
  • nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483
    edited December 2019
    SandyRentool said:

    Most read story on BBC News website - Neil.

    Quick Tories - find another deceased feline.

    I thought they were led by one
  • CorrectHorseBatteryCorrectHorseBattery Posts: 21,436
    edited December 2019
    Brom said:

    BannedinnParis said:

    maaarsh said:

    CorrectHorseBattery said:

    Andrew Neil going virtual already, 100K views

    update every 15 minutes please, this is important
    At least that would slow down his posting rate
    You’ll get one every 2 minutes I’m afraid. The video will definitely lead to a 10 point Tory to Lab swing in Workington.
    A new target for me to aim for thanks
  • BromBrom Posts: 3,760
    SandyRentool said:

    Most read story on BBC News website - Neil.

    Quick Tories - find another deceased feline.

    I think one problem is the public know all they need to know about Boris and have seen him do a million interviews. Theresa was around for a long time but people knew very little about her and hadn’t seen her on the frontline doing debates and interviews even in her 9 months as PM. There was certainly an element of what has she got to hide, whereas now it’s mainly those who hate the Tories that want to see a Boris gotcha moment and watch him flail because Corbyn did.
  • nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483
    Let’s hope anyone who hasn’t had their children vaccinated with MMR is watching the news from Samoa ignorance can lead to many unforseen consequences.
  • squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 6,729
    Jonathan said:

    That AN clip is utterly damning, who in their right mind can give that man the keys to no 10.

    People here may hate Corbyn, but clearly any Tory majority is not a risk worth taking and those that can't stomach either have to find a way to force a hung parliament.

    The reason Boris will win is because Labour have a leader who is unelectable. Think on that.
  • roserees64roserees64 Posts: 251
    RobinWiggs said:

    Wulfrun_Phil said:

    OnlyLivingBoy said:

    This is so boring without polls.

    New constituency poll. Tories 15% ahead in Wrexham.

    https://www.economist.com/britain/2019/12/05/the-tories-are-well-ahead-in-wrexham-part-of-labours-red-wall

    I’d love that poll to be true. Was one of my first bets. But it’s a telephone poll, 27-30th Nov, sample size 405, don;t know and refused removed.


    Yn Gymraeg neu Saesneg,dim ond 405! Was it a poll conducted in Welsh or English and why only 450, very sketchy indeed.
  • squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 6,729
    roserees64 said:

    RobinWiggs said:

    Wulfrun_Phil said:

    OnlyLivingBoy said:

    This is so boring without polls.

    New constituency poll. Tories 15% ahead in Wrexham.

    https://www.economist.com/britain/2019/12/05/the-tories-are-well-ahead-in-wrexham-part-of-labours-red-wall

    I’d love that poll to be true. Was one of my first bets. But it’s a telephone poll, 27-30th Nov, sample size 405, don;t know and refused removed.


    Yn Gymraeg neu Saesneg,dim ond 405! Was it a poll conducted in Welsh or English and why only 450, very sketchy indeed.
    A poll you do.not like so you slag it off . Lol
  • roserees64roserees64 Posts: 251
    MarqueeMark said:

    Wulfrun_Phil said:

    OnlyLivingBoy said:

    This is so boring without polls.

    New constituency poll. Tories 15% ahead in Wrexham.

    https://www.economist.com/britain/2019/12/05/the-tories-are-well-ahead-in-wrexham-part-of-labours-red-wall

    Latest Flavible has them only 9% ahead. You know, the one that already has Labour down to 190 seats.

    EDIT Nearby seats: Flavible has Labour winning Chester by 1% - gone
    Wirral South by 3% - gone
    Ellesmere Port and Neston by 5% - gone.......
    Wrexham poll is surely a mistake because the sample is ridiculously small.
  • RobinWiggsRobinWiggs Posts: 621
    edited December 2019
    nichomar said:

    RobinWiggs said:

    The Andrew Neil thing will have zero potency, especially after the head to head tomorrow.

    The undemocratic closed shop one you mean?
    No, the one with the only two possible Prime Ministers on December 13th.

    The also-rans have already had their multiple trots round the paddock.

  • AndrewAndrew Posts: 2,900
    roserees64 said:


    Wrexham poll is surely a mistake because the sample is ridiculously small.

    That's about the norm for constituency polls. It doesn't make it suddenly invalid, as long as you take into account the confidence intervals (about 5%) - and they showed those on the chart pretty clearly.
  • RobinWiggsRobinWiggs Posts: 621
    edited December 2019
    roserees64 said:

    RobinWiggs said:

    Wulfrun_Phil said:

    OnlyLivingBoy said:

    This is so boring without polls.

    New constituency poll. Tories 15% ahead in Wrexham.

    https://www.economist.com/britain/2019/12/05/the-tories-are-well-ahead-in-wrexham-part-of-labours-red-wall

    I’d love that poll to be true. Was one of my first bets. But it’s a telephone poll, 27-30th Nov, sample size 405, don;t know and refused removed.


    Yn Gymraeg neu Saesneg,dim ond 405! Was it a poll conducted in Welsh or English and why only 450, very sketchy indeed.
    I imagine either it’s a sub sample of a GB/Wales-only poll, or they only phoned Marford ward!

  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,675
    squareroot2 said:

    Jonathan said:

    That AN clip is utterly damning, who in their right mind can give that man the keys to no 10.

    People here may hate Corbyn, but clearly any Tory majority is not a risk worth taking and those that can't stomach either have to find a way to force a hung parliament.

    The reason Boris will win is because Labour have a leader who is unelectable. Think on that.
    Eh?
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,127
    RobinWiggs said:

    Wulfrun_Phil said:

    OnlyLivingBoy said:

    This is so boring without polls.

    New constituency poll. Tories 15% ahead in Wrexham.

    https://www.economist.com/britain/2019/12/05/the-tories-are-well-ahead-in-wrexham-part-of-labours-red-wall

    I’d love that poll to be true. Was one of my first bets. But it’s a telephone poll, 27-30th Nov, sample size 405, don;t know and refused removed.


    "I hate these new underpants! I bought them in a shop in a town in North-East Wales"
    "Wrexham?"
    "Well, they are a bit tight"

    (I thank you... :) )
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,868
    https://twitter.com/DavidHerdson/status/1202672749614907400
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,675
    IanB2 said:

    https://twitter.com/DavidHerdson/status/1202672749614907400

    Blimey.
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,300
    Some stags are on the park, they think it's all over.

    https://twitter.com/FortWilliamFC/status/1202696136483627008
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,149
    squareroot2 said:

    Jonathan said:

    That AN clip is utterly damning, who in their right mind can give that man the keys to no 10.

    People here may hate Corbyn, but clearly any Tory majority is not a risk worth taking and those that can't stomach either have to find a way to force a hung parliament.

    The reason Boris will win is because Labour have a leader who is unelectable. Think on that.
    That and people want Brexit done
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,149
    edited December 2019
    Wulfrun_Phil said:

    OnlyLivingBoy said:

    This is so boring without polls.

    New constituency poll. Tories 15% ahead in Wrexham.

    https://www.economist.com/britain/2019/12/05/the-tories-are-well-ahead-in-wrexham-part-of-labours-red-wall

    Tories unchanged on 2017 but Brexit Party on 8% at Labour's expense helps turn the seat blue
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,149
    Andrew said:

    https://twitter.com/PaulBrandITV/status/1202663703948251137

    Yes, they cannot bring themselves to say they will vote Tory so they say they will vote for Boris instead.

    Like him or loathe it is undeniable Boris has a Trump like appeal to the white working class
  • MangoMango Posts: 1,019
    speedy2 said:


    I believe Corbyn's replacement would be a London Socialist with good relations with muslim tribal leaders.
    The reasons for that is that the majority of Labour members are Socialist Londoners and the majority of London members are muslims.

    Starmer wont get it, he is a Londoner but not a Socialist and muslims don't like him for his Blairite foreign policy.
    Khan wont get it, he is a muslim Londoner but not a Socialist.
    Thornberry might get it if Brexit is no longer an issue.
    Bailey and Pidcock wont get it because their are non-Londoners.
    McDonnell can get it, he like Corbyn checks all the boxes.

    So you reckon more than one in four Labour members are Muslim?

    I suspect bad faith. In more ways than one.
This discussion has been closed.