Oh yes. That is all that needs to be done. Just a minor detail for the next 7 to 10 years....
I was, of course, talking of the perception rather than the practicalities.
The Tories will be delighted with ongoing challenging negotiations with the EU because there will be zero electoral mileage for political parties offering anything other than a muscular response to the EU.
'Vote for us and we will sell you out to the EU' isn't going to be a popular election slogan in 2024, 2029 or any other year for that matter.
Putting the latest four polls into my model gives:
Con 325 Lab 221 LD 36 SNP 48
Sporting Index
Con 325-333 Lab 207-215 LD 46-49 SNP 42-47
325 would be perfect in one respect - Boris will have enough votes to see a decision made on this phase of Brexit, but he cannot officially be able to claim he, like Cameron, won a majority.
SF would still officially boycott Parliament?
Why would they change tack now?
Point being Boris would only need 322 for a majority. Assuming SF win 7 seats.
Putting the latest four polls into my model gives:
Con 325 Lab 221 LD 36 SNP 48
Sporting Index
Con 325-333 Lab 207-215 LD 46-49 SNP 42-47
325 would be perfect in one respect - Boris will have enough votes to see a decision made on this phase of Brexit, but he cannot officially be able to claim he, like Cameron, won a majority.
If Boris Johnson fails to win a majority I will become (even more) unbearable as I will repeatedly point out that in the last 27 years David Cameron (pbuh) is the only Tory to win a majority.
Cameron failed first time despite facing an open goal. No doubt you would be in favour of giving Mr Johnson another chance in that circumstance,
Apparently the sun have asked the bbc bods that tweet the front pages not to do include their paper from now on. Interesting decision / timing.
Not within the power of the Sun to “decide”. They put filth in the public domain, then anybody has the right to show them up. Journalists need to be scrutinised
If Boris wins a general election we should have an online petition to send Gina Miller to Brussels, receive Belgian citizenship and send her there for good. The woman is a bloody menace.
If it makes you feel any better, she regularly gets death threats and needs bodyguards when she appears at public gatherings.
I don't wish her any physical harm. I would just throw her out of the country and revoke her citizenship since she is clearly so desperate to be an EU citizen.
Well I think about half the country wanted to keep their EU citizenship (including me).
Yes been a very disappointing evening for polls considering there's an election campaign going on as we speak!
Polls cost money and in recent years the polls have been as accurate as an American war film.
The Deer Hunter- the whole Russian roulette stuff was just made up....
Oh wow. I thought that film was a documentary on the Vietnam War.
Actually, re-watching the Deer Hunter now, the depiction of the VietCong was completely fabricated. Possibly you can justify this kind of narrative on occasion for cinematic effect, but when millions of Vietnamese died pointlessly in this terrible venture, it is hard to justify.
Morally, the Deer Hunter is one of the most dubious films I have ever seen- it presents itself as an anti war movie, but when you watch it you are desperate to see the Yanks kick the inhuman Gook butts....
Anne - If Boris gets a majority it may solve the current Brexit problem, but as I used to tell people when I was in the consulting business, when you solve your number one problem, you promote your number two problem.
Once we are technically "out" we still be in until at least 2021 and I am not sure how many Leavers have realised that. Freedom of Movement will still apply. It will at that point that many will go "They can still come here even though we are out?" and there will be more political drama.
I am unsure if Johnson's govt will actually last very long.
Leaver angst is driven by the possibility of remainers overturning the referendum result.
Once the answer to the question "Can Brexit be stopped?" is an unequivocal "No" then that will be considered the battle won with just the administrative loose ends to be tied up.
"... just the administrative loose ends to be tied up"
Oh yes. That is all that needs to be done. Just a minor detail for the next 7 to 10 years....
It's not worth it. Brexiteers are all completely clueless on the details of how Brexit actually works. You'd have more luck discussing the finer points of nineteenth century Russian literature with your dog.
Yes been a very disappointing evening for polls considering there's an election campaign going on as we speak!
Polls cost money and in recent years the polls have been as accurate as an American war film.
The Deer Hunter- the whole Russian roulette stuff was just made up.... You watch the film again, and you think what a pile of shit....despite the first hour being one of the most most brilliant pieces of cinema.....
Worth reading 'Final Cut' by Steven Bach if you are interested in Deer Hunter. About the Making of Cimino's Heaven's Gate. One of the best and funniest film books I've read.
Putting the latest four polls into my model gives:
Con 325 Lab 221 LD 36 SNP 48
Sporting Index
Con 325-333 Lab 207-215 LD 46-49 SNP 42-47
325 would be perfect in one respect - Boris will have enough votes to see a decision made on this phase of Brexit, but he cannot officially be able to claim he, like Cameron, won a majority.
If Boris Johnson fails to win a majority I will become (even more) unbearable as I will repeatedly point out that in the last 27 years David Cameron (pbuh) is the only Tory to win a majority.
Cameron failed first time despite facing an open goal. No doubt you would be in favour of giving Mr Johnson another chance in that circumstance,
Not really, David Cameron started from a much lower base, fewer than 200 MPs, he gained more Tory MPs in one go in the last century than anyone else.
Putting the latest four polls into my model gives:
Con 325 Lab 221 LD 36 SNP 48
Sporting Index
Con 325-333 Lab 207-215 LD 46-49 SNP 42-47
325 would be perfect in one respect - Boris will have enough votes to see a decision made on this phase of Brexit, but he cannot officially be able to claim he, like Cameron, won a majority.
SF would still officially boycott Parliament?
Why would they change tack now?
Point being Boris would only need 322 for a majority. Assuming SF win 7 seats.
Point being he could pass things, as I stated, but you cannot claim an official parliamentary majority without a majority of the seats, you won't find bookies paying out on 323 seats.
After all, with SF and Speaker and Deputy Speakers the bar was even lower than 322 for an effective majority, but that doesn't make an official parliamentary majority change from 326.
It's an ego thing. Boris would be incredibly annoyed to not achieve a majority, even if he could still pass things.
Putting the latest four polls into my model gives:
Con 325 Lab 221 LD 36 SNP 48
Sporting Index
Con 325-333 Lab 207-215 LD 46-49 SNP 42-47
325 would be perfect in one respect - Boris will have enough votes to see a decision made on this phase of Brexit, but he cannot officially be able to claim he, like Cameron, won a majority.
If Boris Johnson fails to win a majority I will become (even more) unbearable as I will repeatedly point out that in the last 27 years David Cameron (pbuh) is the only Tory to win a majority.
Cameron failed first time despite facing an open goal. No doubt you would be in favour of giving Mr Johnson another chance in that circumstance,
Not really, David Cameron started from a much lower base, fewer than 200 MPs, he gained more Tory MPs in one go in the last century than anyone else.
Failure is failure. To take an apposite example, Liverpool FC did quite well in the Premier League last year. They were still second,
The scandal over Boris Johnson’s friendship with technology entrepreneur Jennifer Arcuri was reignited on Saturday after the Observer revealed that the independent police watchdog has delayed its announcement on whether the PM should face an investigation into possible criminal misconduct until after the election.
The decision prompted fury from Westminster politicians and London assembly members who said it appeared that a ruling had been “suppressed” in order to protect Johnson from potentially damaging headlines at a crucial stage of the election campaign.
In a private meeting held before parliament was dissolved last week, the Independent Office for Police Conduct (IOPC) officials agreed not to announce whether they were going to investigate “possible criminality” over allegations about a conflict of interest in Johnson’s dealings while mayor of London with US businesswoman Jennifer Arcuri until after the election.
Sources close to the IOPC investigation said the watchdog was on the verge of announcing its decision on whether it was proceeding with a criminal investigation.
The IOPC was tasked by the Greater London Authority with assessing whether criminal charges should be brought because of the then-mayor’s responsibility for London’s policing.
It is alleged Arcuri received favourable treatment due to her friendship with Johnson, including receiving large sums of public money for her technology firms.
The offence of misconduct in public office carries a maximum term of life imprisonment. Johnson has denied any impropriety.
Jon Trickett, shadow Cabinet Office minister, said: “This is incredible. It’s a suppression of information which the public is entitled to have. Given the fact we’re in a general election there should be maximum transparency.”
He added. “This decision must be reversed immediately.”
Caroline Pidgeon, a Lib Dem member of the London assembly’s oversight committee, said the delay raised the possibility of Downing Street contact with the IOPC before its decision. “It raises questions over how independent the IOPC really is and whether the prime minister’s lawyers have been exerting undue pressure,” she said.
Apparently the sun have asked the bbc bods that tweet the front pages not to do include their paper from now on. Interesting decision / timing.
Have they given a reason?
Tony Gallagher's wanted to be able to direct traffic to The Sun's website.
Gallagher has a fascinating career arc. Editor of the Telegraph, then dep ed of the Mail, then editor of the Sun. I'm presuming the Sunday Sport is next in line.
Putting the latest four polls into my model gives:
Con 325 Lab 221 LD 36 SNP 48
Sporting Index
Con 325-333 Lab 207-215 LD 46-49 SNP 42-47
325 would be perfect in one respect - Boris will have enough votes to see a decision made on this phase of Brexit, but he cannot officially be able to claim he, like Cameron, won a majority.
If Boris Johnson fails to win a majority I will become (even more) unbearable as I will repeatedly point out that in the last 27 years David Cameron (pbuh) is the only Tory to win a majority.
Cameron failed first time despite facing an open goal. No doubt you would be in favour of giving Mr Johnson another chance in that circumstance,
Not really, David Cameron started from a much lower base, fewer than 200 MPs, he gained more Tory MPs in one go in the last century than anyone else.
Failure is failure. To take an apposite example, Liverpool FC did quite well in the Premier League last year. They were still second,
Yes, but there are levels of failure. Everyone else also failed to win league, but for some it was more of a failure, and for others failing to do so was less of a failure than others, because it would have been so much harder for them to succeed.
Putting the latest four polls into my model gives:
Con 325 Lab 221 LD 36 SNP 48
Sporting Index
Con 325-333 Lab 207-215 LD 46-49 SNP 42-47
325 would be perfect in one respect - Boris will have enough votes to see a decision made on this phase of Brexit, but he cannot officially be able to claim he, like Cameron, won a majority.
If Boris Johnson fails to win a majority I will become (even more) unbearable as I will repeatedly point out that in the last 27 years David Cameron (pbuh) is the only Tory to win a majority.
Cameron failed first time despite facing an open goal. No doubt you would be in favour of giving Mr Johnson another chance in that circumstance,
Not really, David Cameron started from a much lower base, fewer than 200 MPs, he gained more Tory MPs in one go in the last century than anyone else.
Failure is failure. To take an apposite example, Liverpool FC did quite well in the Premier League last year. They were still second,
David Cameron took the Conservatives from Opposition into Government, do you honestly think the Tories finished second in 2010?
Also you analogy is pretty crap, Liverpool became the Champions of Europe last season, for the sixth time.
Putting the latest four polls into my model gives:
Con 325 Lab 221 LD 36 SNP 48
Sporting Index
Con 325-333 Lab 207-215 LD 46-49 SNP 42-47
325 would be perfect in one respect - Boris will have enough votes to see a decision made on this phase of Brexit, but he cannot officially be able to claim he, like Cameron, won a majority.
If Boris Johnson fails to win a majority I will become (even more) unbearable as I will repeatedly point out that in the last 27 years David Cameron (pbuh) is the only Tory to win a majority.
Cameron failed first time despite facing an open goal. No doubt you would be in favour of giving Mr Johnson another chance in that circumstance,
Not really, David Cameron started from a much lower base, fewer than 200 MPs, he gained more Tory MPs in one go in the last century than anyone else.
Failure is failure. To take an apposite example, Liverpool FC did quite well in the Premier League last year. They were still second,
Yeah but he did end up becoming PM and forming a government, so he didn't end up second did he? He won the PL, just some of the minor players were loaned from another club.
An interesting result in the Panelbase . It showed Labour now ahead of the Tories on the NHS by 7 points . Regardless of whether there’s any real concern regarding the NHS and a US trade deal the fear alone could help Labour.
Pah...Labour should be 25 pts ahead on the NHS.. and its only one issue.
Putting the latest four polls into my model gives:
Con 325 Lab 221 LD 36 SNP 48
Sporting Index
Con 325-333 Lab 207-215 LD 46-49 SNP 42-47
325 would be perfect in one respect - Boris will have enough votes to see a decision made on this phase of Brexit, but he cannot officially be able to claim he, like Cameron, won a majority.
If Boris Johnson fails to win a majority I will become (even more) unbearable as I will repeatedly point out that in the last 27 years David Cameron (pbuh) is the only Tory to win a majority.
Cameron failed first time despite facing an open goal. No doubt you would be in favour of giving Mr Johnson another chance in that circumstance,
Not really, David Cameron started from a much lower base, fewer than 200 MPs, he gained more Tory MPs in one go in the last century than anyone else.
I thought you were an anti-Brexit kinda guy?
In which case you celebrating Cameron's majority is like a turkey saying "I cannot get over the wondrous beauty of that event in a Bethlehem stable all those centuries ago..."
The Panelbase poll this evening is producing very similar seat numbers as the YouGov regional poll yesterday when you put it through the seat calculators. (In fact it's putting the Tories slightly higher at 391 seats compared to 374 with the YouGov regional poll).
Yes been a very disappointing evening for polls considering there's an election campaign going on as we speak!
Polls cost money and in recent years the polls have been as accurate as an American war film.
The Deer Hunter- the whole Russian roulette stuff was just made up....
Oh wow. I thought that film was a documentary on the Vietnam War.
Actually, re-watching the Deer Hunter now, the depiction of the VietCong was completely fabricated. Possibly you can justify this kind of narrative on occasion for cinematic effect, but when millions of Vietnamese died pointlessly in this terrible venture, it is hard to justify.
Morally, the Deer Hunter is one of the most dubious films I have ever seen- it presents itself as an anti war movie, but when you watch it you are desperate to see the Yanks kick the inhuman Gook butts....
I think you're taking it and yourself a little too seriously. It's a film. It's rather good at portraying the human cost in 4 ordinary American lives. At the time it came out, 1978, that was probably a message worth telling.
But, yeah, if you want a great version of what the American War (as it's called over there) was all about then the Ken Burns and Lynn Novick 18-hour ten episode series is a masterpiece.
The scandal over Boris Johnson’s friendship with technology entrepreneur Jennifer Arcuri was reignited on Saturday after the Observer revealed that the independent police watchdog has delayed its announcement on whether the PM should face an investigation into possible criminal misconduct until after the election.
People only believe the watchdog is independent when it does what they want or delivers the outcome they want, shocker. I bet Boris's people were saying the same things as those outraged by the watchdog's decision when it was suggested it had a role at all.
Putting the latest four polls into my model gives:
Con 325 Lab 221 LD 36 SNP 48
Sporting Index
Con 325-333 Lab 207-215 LD 46-49 SNP 42-47
325 would be perfect in one respect - Boris will have enough votes to see a decision made on this phase of Brexit, but he cannot officially be able to claim he, like Cameron, won a majority.
If Boris Johnson fails to win a majority I will become (even more) unbearable as I will repeatedly point out that in the last 27 years David Cameron (pbuh) is the only Tory to win a majority.
Cameron failed first time despite facing an open goal. No doubt you would be in favour of giving Mr Johnson another chance in that circumstance,
Not really, David Cameron started from a much lower base, fewer than 200 MPs, he gained more Tory MPs in one go in the last century than anyone else.
Failure is failure. To take an apposite example, Liverpool FC did quite well in the Premier League last year. They were still second,
I've just had a look at the quote and comments....what are all these Jezziah's going to do when they find that they are shellaxed, and looking at the worst Labour seat tally since the 1930's.....
I've just had a look at the quote and comments....what are all these Jezziah's going to do when they find that they are shellaxed, and looking at the worst Labour seat tally since the 1930's.....
It will be the wrong type of electorate, they will never accept that they are wrong. At least Foot got ousted post 83, I fear that the Labour Party as we knew it has probably gone.
Well, I thought Labour would be averaging 30% this weekend, and so far we've had two 29s which isn't too wide of the mark (I'm not counting the 30% from Panelbase yesterday, since that might be regarded as cheating, but it's satisfying nonetheless.) So, let's see if there are any more polls tonight before making a formal prediction, but I reckon the Labour mean will be up another couple of points or so by next weekend. They're only headed one way from now on...
I've just had a look at the quote and comments....what are all these Jezziah's going to do when they find that they are shellaxed, and looking at the worst Labour seat tally since the 1930's.....
It will be the wrong type of electorate, they will never accept that they are wrong. At least Foot got ousted post 83, I fear that the Labour Party as we knew it has probably gone.
I don't think it would be missed frankly if Johnson were not the alternative.
That's looking like a LOT of Brexit Party lost deposits.....
What do they care? They're trying to achieve the prevention of fake Brexit...by achieving Remain instead. Deposits lost won't be the concern. More power to them, it works for me.
Well, I thought Labour would be averaging 30% this weekend, and so far we've had two 29s which isn't too wide of the mark (I'm not counting the 30% from Panelbase yesterday, since that might be regarded as cheating, but it's satisfying nonetheless.) So, let's see if there are any more polls tonight before making a formal prediction, but I reckon the Labour mean will be up another couple of points or so by next weekend. They're only headed one way from now on...
The Tories are also headed in an upward direction. I think they may be averaging 40% now for the first time in a long time.
Well, I thought Labour would be averaging 30% this weekend, and so far we've had two 29s which isn't too wide of the mark (I'm not counting the 30% from Panelbase yesterday, since that might be regarded as cheating, but it's satisfying nonetheless.) So, let's see if there are any more polls tonight before making a formal prediction, but I reckon the Labour mean will be up another couple of points or so by next weekend. They're only headed one way from now on...
Prince Philip once met a Brazilian general in Rio on a state visit. He expressed curiosity about the large number of medals said general was wearing, and got the answer, 'I won them in the war.'
'I didn't know Brazil was in the war that long,' joked Philip.
'Well, at least I didn't get them for marrying my wife,' snapped the General.
Bit harsh on Phil, some of his medals are for almost-getting-killed-by-the-enemy stuff. Tbf Edward may have run some almost-getting-killed-by-your-own-side risks.
Putting the latest four polls into my model gives:
Con 325 Lab 221 LD 36 SNP 48
Sporting Index
Con 325-333 Lab 207-215 LD 46-49 SNP 42-47
325 would be perfect in one respect - Boris will have enough votes to see a decision made on this phase of Brexit, but he cannot officially be able to claim he, like Cameron, won a majority.
If Boris Johnson fails to win a majority I will become (even more) unbearable as I will repeatedly point out that in the last 27 years David Cameron (pbuh) is the only Tory to win a majority.
Cameron failed first time despite facing an open goal. No doubt you would be in favour of giving Mr Johnson another chance in that circumstance,
Not really, David Cameron started from a much lower base, fewer than 200 MPs, he gained more Tory MPs in one go in the last century than anyone else.
Failure is failure. To take an apposite example, Liverpool FC did quite well in the Premier League last year. They were still second,
Yes, but there are levels of failure. Everyone else also failed to win league, but for some it was more of a failure, and for others failing to do so was less of a failure than others, because it would have been so much harder for them to succeed.
I've just had a look at the quote and comments....what are all these Jezziah's going to do when they find that they are shellaxed, and looking at the worst Labour seat tally since the 1930's.....
Putting the latest four polls into my model gives:
Con 325 Lab 221 LD 36 SNP 48
Sporting Index
Con 325-333 Lab 207-215 LD 46-49 SNP 42-47
325 would be perfect in one respect - Boris will have enough votes to see a decision made on this phase of Brexit, but he cannot officially be able to claim he, like Cameron, won a majority.
If Boris Johnson fails to win a majority I will become (even more) unbearable as I will repeatedly point out that in the last 27 years David Cameron (pbuh) is the only Tory to win a majority.
Cameron failed first time despite facing an open goal. No doubt you would be in favour of giving Mr Johnson another chance in that circumstance,
Not really, David Cameron started from a much lower base, fewer than 200 MPs, he gained more Tory MPs in one go in the last century than anyone else.
Failure is failure. To take an apposite example, Liverpool FC did quite well in the Premier League last year. They were still second,
Yes, but there are levels of failure. Everyone else also failed to win league, but for some it was more of a failure, and for others failing to do so was less of a failure than others, because it would have been so much harder for them to succeed.
Man City didn't fail to win the league.
Pedantry at its finest. I actually considered putting 'Everyone else bar City' also failed, but thought I'd leave it unspoken, more fool me.
Well, I thought Labour would be averaging 30% this weekend, and so far we've had two 29s which isn't too wide of the mark (I'm not counting the 30% from Panelbase yesterday, since that might be regarded as cheating, but it's satisfying nonetheless.) So, let's see if there are any more polls tonight before making a formal prediction, but I reckon the Labour mean will be up another couple of points or so by next weekend. They're only headed one way from now on...
I think they're stuck at 30% or so.
No way, the homeward procession of the robo...brand loyalty vote continues.
To clarify, if you were to be proven right then nothing would delight me more. Except for the Labour numbers starting to head downwards again, of course.
Yes been a very disappointing evening for polls considering there's an election campaign going on as we speak!
Polls cost money and in recent years the polls have been as accurate as an American war film.
The Deer Hunter- the whole Russian roulette stuff was just made up....
Oh wow. I thought that film was a documentary on the Vietnam War.
Actually, re-watching the Deer Hunter now, the depiction of the VietCong was completely fabricated. Possibly you can justify this kind of narrative on occasion for cinematic effect, but when millions of Vietnamese died pointlessly in this terrible venture, it is hard to justify.
Morally, the Deer Hunter is one of the most dubious films I have ever seen- it presents itself as an anti war movie, but when you watch it you are desperate to see the Yanks kick the inhuman Gook butts....
I think you're taking it and yourself a little too seriously. It's a film. It's rather good at portraying the human cost in 4 ordinary American lives. At the time it came out, 1978, that was probably a message worth telling.
But, yeah, if you want a great version of what the American War (as it's called over there) was all about then the Ken Burns and Lynn Novick 18-hour ten episode series is a masterpiece.
It is v. good. I'm all aquiver to see Burns' series on Country & Western.
Well, I thought Labour would be averaging 30% this weekend, and so far we've had two 29s which isn't too wide of the mark (I'm not counting the 30% from Panelbase yesterday, since that might be regarded as cheating, but it's satisfying nonetheless.) So, let's see if there are any more polls tonight before making a formal prediction, but I reckon the Labour mean will be up another couple of points or so by next weekend. They're only headed one way from now on...
I think they're stuck at 30% or so.
No way, the homeward procession of the robo...brand loyalty vote continues.
To clarify, if you were to be proven right then nothing would delight me more. Except for the Labour numbers starting to head downwards again, of course.
Yes been a very disappointing evening for polls considering there's an election campaign going on as we speak!
Polls cost money and in recent years the polls have been as accurate as an American war film.
The Deer Hunter- the whole Russian roulette stuff was just made up....
Oh wow. I thought that film was a documentary on the Vietnam War.
Actually, re-watching the Deer Hunter now, the depiction of the VietCong was completely fabricated. Possibly you can justify this kind of narrative on occasion for cinematic effect, but when millions of Vietnamese died pointlessly in this terrible venture, it is hard to justify.
Morally, the Deer Hunter is one of the most dubious films I have ever seen- it presents itself as an anti war movie, but when you watch it you are desperate to see the Yanks kick the inhuman Gook butts....
I think you're taking it and yourself a little too seriously. It's a film. It's rather good at portraying the human cost in 4 ordinary American lives. At the time it came out, 1978, that was probably a message worth telling.
But, yeah, if you want a great version of what the American War (as it's called over there) was all about then the Ken Burns and Lynn Novick 18-hour ten episode series is a masterpiece.
Agreed about the American War series.... The Deer Hunter- the film that dehumanised the Viet Cong was followed by Apocalypse Now which was probably even more morally ambiguous by depicting the Americans as too soft to fight the war. The point of Apocalypse Now wasn't the fact that the US shouldn't have been there, but they were not brutal enough.
And then we had terrible films like Back Hawk Down, American Sniper and Hacksaw Ridge.....
The greatest 3 American War films I have ever seen have all been made by Stanley Kubrick- one about the first world war, one about Vietnam and one about WW3.
Here's a hypothetical to chew over. Say the Tories do fall short, maybe around 310, and Labour pick up 240 odd seats and combine with the SNP and the Limp Dims to make form an anti Brexit majority. Would it be possibly conceivable to elevate a leader of a party to the position of PM when their party has 60 or 70 seats fewer than another?
I genuinely do not know how the law stands with this, if there even is one. Gawd, what a fucking mess it would be.
Here's a hypothetical to chew over. Say the Tories do fall short, maybe around 310, and Labour pick up 240 odd seats and combine with the SNP and the Limp Dims to make form an anti Brexit majority. Would it be possibly conceivable to elevate a leader of a party to the position of PM when their party has 60 or 70 seats fewer than another?
I genuinely do not know how the law stands with this, if there even is one. Gawd, what a fucking mess it would be.
Yes, anyone can be PM if the other MPs agree to it. Even someone who isn't in the House of Commons or Lords.
Not quite the same thing, but in 1964 Harold Wilson appointed Patrick Gordon Walker as Foreign Secretary even though he'd just lost his seat in Smethwick.
Here's a hypothetical to chew over. Say the Tories do fall short, maybe around 310, and Labour pick up 240 odd seats and combine with the SNP and the Limp Dims to make form an anti Brexit majority. Would it be possibly conceivable to elevate a leader of a party to the position of PM when their party has 60 or 70 seats fewer than another?
I genuinely do not know how the law stands with this, if there even is one. Gawd, what a fucking mess it would be.
I've just had a look at the quote and comments....what are all these Jezziah's going to do when they find that they are shellaxed, and looking at the worst Labour seat tally since the 1930's.....
While I don't think that is going to happen, I imagine there will be a great outcry about legitimacy of Boris winning from sudden converts to PR and that, in spirit, Labour did much better.
Pidcock has some qualities, but is also a raging Trot. Are there enough votes in the PLP to get another hard leftie on the ballot?
This time? Yes. The others have been beaten down, or are actually happy with Corbyn and co, and the same reason applies now with even more reasoning - the base would go nuts if there was not a hard lefty. Same reason we saw Boris outriders whinging that the rules should be changed to have 4 put to the membership when they feared he might not make the final 2, and why some called for a coronation once they saw he would win, despite previously insisting there needed to be a vote.
Prince Philip once met a Brazilian general in Rio on a state visit. He expressed curiosity about the large number of medals said general was wearing, and got the answer, 'I won them in the war.'
'I didn't know Brazil was in the war that long,' joked Philip.
'Well, at least I didn't get them for marrying my wife,' snapped the General.
Bit harsh on Phil, some of his medals are for almost-getting-killed-by-the-enemy stuff. Tbf Edward may have run some almost-getting-killed-by-your-own-side risks.
Was looking for mention of Prince Philip's career on HMS Valiant, but found this reference to his service in HMS Wallace.
Here's a hypothetical to chew over. Say the Tories do fall short, maybe around 310, and Labour pick up 240 odd seats and combine with the SNP and the Limp Dims to make form an anti Brexit majority. Would it be possibly conceivable to elevate a leader of a party to the position of PM when their party has 60 or 70 seats fewer than another?
I genuinely do not know how the law stands with this, if there even is one. Gawd, what a fucking mess it would be.
The PM is whoever can command a majority in the House of Commons. The Queen would normally invite the leader of the largest party to first have a go.
Under your scenario Johnson would get first go and would probably spend a few days trying to cobble something together. SNP could be bought possibly?
Here's a hypothetical to chew over. Say the Tories do fall short, maybe around 310, and Labour pick up 240 odd seats and combine with the SNP and the Limp Dims to make form an anti Brexit majority. Would it be possibly conceivable to elevate a leader of a party to the position of PM when their party has 60 or 70 seats fewer than another?
I genuinely do not know how the law stands with this, if there even is one. Gawd, what a fucking mess it would be.
All a PM has to do is secure the confidence of the Commons. If enough parties were willing to rally around Caroline Lucas they could put her into bat.
Though this, of course, is playing with pure hypotheticals. If the other parties won't back the Tories under such circumstances then they must install Corbyn. The man won't step aside and not would his supporters tolerate the suggestion.
I've just had a look at the quote and comments....what are all these Jezziah's going to do when they find that they are shellaxed, and looking at the worst Labour seat tally since the 1930's.....
While I don't think that is going to happen, I imagine there will be a great outcry about legitimacy of Boris winning from sudden converts to PR and that, in spirit, Labour did much better.
And like the first cuckoo in Spring, it will be time for Poly Toynbee's annual reminder to the Labour Party that PR is a good idea.
Comments
The Tories will be delighted with ongoing challenging negotiations with the EU because there will be zero electoral mileage for political parties offering anything other than a muscular response to the EU.
'Vote for us and we will sell you out to the EU' isn't going to be a popular election slogan in 2024, 2029 or any other year for that matter.
Brexit party squeeze as well.
Actually, re-watching the Deer Hunter now, the depiction of the VietCong was completely fabricated. Possibly you can justify this kind of narrative on occasion for cinematic effect, but when millions of Vietnamese died pointlessly in this terrible venture, it is hard to justify.
Morally, the Deer Hunter is one of the most dubious films I have ever seen- it presents itself as an anti war movie, but when you watch it you are desperate to see the Yanks kick the inhuman Gook butts....
After all, with SF and Speaker and Deputy Speakers the bar was even lower than 322 for an effective majority, but that doesn't make an official parliamentary majority change from 326.
It's an ego thing. Boris would be incredibly annoyed to not achieve a majority, even if he could still pass things.
https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1193285239327641601?s=20
There you are, even shorter statement.
The decision prompted fury from Westminster politicians and London assembly members who said it appeared that a ruling had been “suppressed” in order to protect Johnson from potentially damaging headlines at a crucial stage of the election campaign.
In a private meeting held before parliament was dissolved last week, the Independent Office for Police Conduct (IOPC) officials agreed not to announce whether they were going to investigate “possible criminality” over allegations about a conflict of interest in Johnson’s dealings while mayor of London with US businesswoman Jennifer Arcuri until after the election.
Sources close to the IOPC investigation said the watchdog was on the verge of announcing its decision on whether it was proceeding with a criminal investigation.
The IOPC was tasked by the Greater London Authority with assessing whether criminal charges should be brought because of the then-mayor’s responsibility for London’s policing.
It is alleged Arcuri received favourable treatment due to her friendship with Johnson, including receiving large sums of public money for her technology firms.
The offence of misconduct in public office carries a maximum term of life imprisonment. Johnson has denied any impropriety.
Jon Trickett, shadow Cabinet Office minister, said: “This is incredible. It’s a suppression of information which the public is entitled to have. Given the fact we’re in a general election there should be maximum transparency.”
He added. “This decision must be reversed immediately.”
Caroline Pidgeon, a Lib Dem member of the London assembly’s oversight committee, said the delay raised the possibility of Downing Street contact with the IOPC before its decision. “It raises questions over how independent the IOPC really is and whether the prime minister’s lawyers have been exerting undue pressure,” she said.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/nov/09/boris-johnson-jennifer-arcuri-iopc-delay-announcement-investigation?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter
He's a Remainer!
Also you analogy is pretty crap, Liverpool became the Champions of Europe last season, for the sixth time.
In which case you celebrating Cameron's majority is like a turkey saying "I cannot get over the wondrous beauty of that event in a Bethlehem stable all those centuries ago..."
But, yeah, if you want a great version of what the American War (as it's called over there) was all about then the Ken Burns and Lynn Novick 18-hour ten episode series is a masterpiece.
https://twitter.com/flaviblePolitic/status/1193285878212415495?s=20
Makes you wonder if Farage may do an about face
I shall go to bed and hope it passes me by.
Good night.
https://twitter.com/wallaceme/status/1193283094993932289
Lay Pidcock, she is losing her seat.
Though Eastleigh went pretty darn safe looking in 2017 despite its LD past.
https://twitter.com/lucyallan/status/1193283749934489601
To clarify, if you were to be proven right then nothing would delight me more. Except for the Labour numbers starting to head downwards again, of course.
The Deer Hunter- the film that dehumanised the Viet Cong was followed by Apocalypse Now which was probably even more morally ambiguous by depicting the Americans as too soft to fight the war. The point of Apocalypse Now wasn't the fact that the US shouldn't have been there, but they were not brutal enough.
And then we had terrible films like Back Hawk Down, American Sniper and Hacksaw Ridge.....
The greatest 3 American War films I have ever seen have all been made by Stanley Kubrick- one about the first world war, one about Vietnam and one about WW3.
I genuinely do not know how the law stands with this, if there even is one. Gawd, what a fucking mess it would be.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_1983_United_Kingdom_general_election
Not quite the same thing, but in 1964 Harold Wilson appointed Patrick Gordon Walker as Foreign Secretary even though he'd just lost his seat in Smethwick.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Patrick_Gordon_Walker
And it will be the first time we have voted for Boris !!!!!
CON: 39% (+3)
LAB: 26% (+1)
LDM: 17% (=)
BXP: 10% (-1)
Via @YouGov, 7-8 Nov.
Changes w/ 5-6 Nov.
2 Brunei jubilee medals
Canadian Forces Decoration
NZ Commemoration Medal
Medals aren’t just awarded for gallantry
https://www.theguardian.com/uk/2003/dec/28/monarchy.davidsmith
Under your scenario Johnson would get first go and would probably spend a few days trying to cobble something together. SNP could be bought possibly?
Though this, of course, is playing with pure hypotheticals. If the other parties won't back the Tories under such circumstances then they must install Corbyn. The man won't step aside and not would his supporters tolerate the suggestion.