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  • Neighbourhood Asians are celebrating Guy Fawkes a full 9 days early :lol:
  • They are counting the ballots in Poplar/Limehouse Labour selection.

    Police has been called back.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,468
    edited October 2019

    MaxPB said:

    RobD said:

    Gabs2 said:

    AndyJS said:

    Labour had 13 years to introduce proportional representation. For some bizarre reason they didn't do so. (There was no need for a referendum IMO).

    I think any major constitutional change should have a referendum.
    I don’t think so. This country has proven its not politically mature enough to deal with referendums.
    Because it gave the wrong answer?
    The referendum itself was not the problem. The aftermath however...
    The aftermath has been the MPs doing their best to defy the leave vote without looking like they are. Boris just got a deal after they said he wouldn't, he tried to pass it and now they won't.

    Pity the voters who have given the instruction, not the establishment who won't listen to it.
    Yeah you’re just proving my point.
    Its OK Max Gallowgate if voting for Tory Swinson in order to ensure a hard Johnson BREXIT wins
    If that’s what happens then so be it.
    If you’re worried maybe Labour should stand aside for the Lib Dems?
    Every LD seat is a vote for

    Johnson as PM (Hard BREXIT Trump trade Deal with Chlorinated Chicken and US owned /run NHS)

    Why would LAB stand aside for a party that is going to side with the Tories after a GE?
    Why would I vote for a party lead by Jeremy Corbyn?
    2nd Referendum (Remains best chance)

    NHS safe from Trump and returned to not for profit

    Council Housing Returns giving the young the best chance of an affordable house

    Only Anti Austerity Party.

    YOU CAN BE CERTAIN THEY WONT GO INTO COALITION WITH Johnson
    2nd referendum is also Lib Dem policy.

    Lib Dems are in favour of evidence driven policy for the NHS not pure ideology.

    Why would I want more council housing? I’d rather more people owned their own houses.

    Tories are anti austerity these days. Its in vogue.

    Lib Dems are not going to go into coalition with Johnson.

    Any more?
  • nunuone said:

    Ordinary scene earlier this evening at Poplar and Limehouse Labour selection meeting

    At one point the police was called.

    https://twitter.com/AdamAllnutt/status/1188494894966431744?s=20

    Is that the Labour party of Bangladesh?
    Nah, they have a BNP.

  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    nunuone said:

    Ordinary scene earlier this evening at Poplar and Limehouse Labour selection meeting

    At one point the police was called.

    https://twitter.com/AdamAllnutt/status/1188494894966431744?s=20

    Is that the Labour party of Bangladesh?
    Anyone say block vote?
  • Chris said:

    kinabalu said:

    The only way Brexit happens is with a Tory majority government.

    The best way to get a Tory majority government is a Dec election.

    The only party resisting a Dec election is Labour.

    Ergo Labour are the only Remain party. All others have given up.

    QED. Algebra.

    Unsurprising to anyone that knows them, that the Lib Dems put the prospect of gaining a dozen seats or two above their declared number one priority of stopping Brexit.
    I actually believe it is their best and possibly only chance of stopping brexit

    Unlike some conservatives I am not 'gung ho' on a conservative majority though of course they will be the largest party. In those circumstances, the opposition will be 100% remain and have the best chance to secure a referendum

    I have said this for days, and am pleased the lib dems have woken up to it and a pre Xmas election could result in Brexit on the 1st January 2020 or a delay to mid summer for a second referendum.

    I am content on either outcome as this bankrupt parliament, with 51 mps clinging onto seats they won for different parties, now lacks any legitimacy and a December 2020 HOC will reflect the democratic choice taking into account the known options.
  • nunuonenunuone Posts: 1,138

    They are counting the ballots in Poplar/Limehouse Labour selection.

    Police has been called back.

    The perfect place to trial voter I.d.
  • MaxPB said:

    RobD said:

    Gabs2 said:

    AndyJS said:

    Labour had 13 years to introduce proportional representation. For some bizarre reason they didn't do so. (There was no need for a referendum IMO).

    I think any major constitutional change should have a referendum.
    I don’t think so. This country has proven its not politically mature enough to deal with referendums.
    Because it gave the wrong answer?
    The referendum itself was not the problem. The aftermath however...
    The aftermath has been the MPs doing their best to defy the leave vote without looking like they are. Boris just got a deal after they said he wouldn't, he tried to pass it and now they won't.

    Pity the voters who have given the instruction, not the establishment who won't listen to it.
    Yeah you’re just proving my point.
    Its OK Max Gallowgate if voting for Tory Swinson in order to ensure a hard Johnson BREXIT wins
    If that’s what happens then so be it.
    If you’re worried maybe Labour should stand aside for the Lib Dems?
    Every LD seat is a vote for

    Johnson as PM (Hard BREXIT Trump trade Deal with Chlorinated Chicken and US owned /run NHS)

    Why would LAB stand aside for a party that is going to side with the Tories after a GE?
    Why would I vote for a party lead by Jeremy Corbyn?
    2nd Referendum (Remains best chance)

    NHS safe from Trump and returned to not for profit

    Council Housing Returns giving the young the best chance of an affordable house

    Only Anti Austerity Party.

    YOU CAN BE CERTAIN THEY WONT GO INTO COALITION WITH Johnson
    Why are you shouting BJO
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    edited October 2019
    Ah, they have ID check in Labour selections.
    nunuone said:

    They are counting the ballots in Poplar/Limehouse Labour selection.

    Police has been called back.

    The perfect place to trial voter I.d.
  • nunuonenunuone Posts: 1,138

    MaxPB said:

    RobD said:

    Gabs2 said:

    AndyJS said:

    Labour had 13 years to introduce proportional representation. For some bizarre reason they didn't do so. (There was no need for a referendum IMO).

    I think any major constitutional change should have a referendum.
    I don’t think so. This country has proven its not politically mature enough to deal with referendums.
    Because it gave the wrong answer?
    The referendum itself was not the problem. The aftermath however...
    The aftermath has been the MPs doing their best to defy the leave vote without looking like they are. Boris just got a deal after they said he wouldn't, he tried to pass it and now they won't.

    Pity the voters who have given the instruction, not the establishment who won't listen to it.
    Yeah you’re just proving my point.
    Its OK Max Gallowgate if voting for Tory Swinson in order to ensure a hard Johnson BREXIT wins
    If that’s what happens then so be it.
    If you’re worried maybe Labour should stand aside for the Lib Dems?
    Every LD seat is a vote for

    Johnson as PM (Hard BREXIT Trump trade Deal with Chlorinated Chicken and US owned /run NHS)

    Why would LAB stand aside for a party that is going to side with the Tories after a GE?
    Why would I vote for a party lead by Jeremy Corbyn?
    2nd Referendum (Remains best chance)

    NHS safe from Trump and returned to not for profit

    Council Housing Returns giving the young the best chance of an affordable house

    Only Anti Austerity Party.

    YOU CAN BE CERTAIN THEY WONT GO INTO COALITION WITH Johnson
    2nd referendum is also Lib Dem policy.

    Lib Dems are in favour of evidence driven policy for the NHS not pure ideology.

    Why would I want more council housing? I’d rather more people owned their own houses.

    Tories are anti austerity these days. Its in vogue.

    Lib Dems are not going to go into coalition with Johnson.

    Any more?
    I think a lot of Corbyn fans make a big mistake thinking people who want to to vote libdem are all socialists.
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 4,502
    It would be bizarre for EU ambassadors to meet before the Commons vote on an election unless they wanted to influence events and this seems like it’s been designed to pull the rug from under Corbyn .

  • nunuonenunuone Posts: 1,138
    TudorRose said:

    Thüringen projections at 19:24

    Linke 28 seats
    AfD 22 seats
    CDU 21 seats
    SDP 7 seats
    Greens 5 seats
    FDP 5 seats

    Good luck getting a majority out that lot.
    Would FDP join the Linke?
  • kinabalu said:

    The only way Brexit happens is with a Tory majority government.

    The best way to get a Tory majority government is a Dec election.

    The only party resisting a Dec election is Labour.

    Ergo Labour are the only Remain party. All others have given up.

    QED. Algebra.

    The only way Remain happens is with a Remain majority government.

    The best way to get a Remain majority government is a Dec election.

    The only party resisting a Dec election is Labour.

    The only opposition party with whip holders voting for Brexit is Labour.

    Ergo Labour are not a Remain party. They have given up.

    QED. Algebra.
  • nunuonenunuone Posts: 1,138

    Ah, they have ID check in Labour selections.


    nunuone said:

    They are counting the ballots in Poplar/Limehouse Labour selection.

    Police has been called back.

    The perfect place to trial voter I.d.
    Lol.

    They why oppose it for the General?
  • OblitusSumMeOblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143
    Gabs2 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Gabs2 said:

    If Remainers had accepted the referendum result with good grace

    I find categorising the world into the groups of "Remainers" and "Leavers" to be extremely unhelpful.

    But let's step back for a moment.

    In the immediate aftermath of the election, there was a genuine acceptance of the result. The polling evidence at the time showed 80+% of people believed the result should be implemented.

    What happened? Why did that change?

    Well, I think there were three major missteps:

    Firstly, was Mrs May's "red lines".
    Secondly, there was the election.
    Thirdly, there was the trashing of Mrs May's deal as "not real Brexit".

    The first alienated a chunk of the "well we lost, but we're all in this together" bunch. The second lost the Conservatives their majority, and resulted in a more Remain-y parliament. The third appeared to be more about BJ getting into Number Ten than getting Brexit done.
    Oh come on. Remainers did not want to accept the result from the get-go. We could have easily countered May's red lines with a clearly backed proposal for soft Brexit. But Remain MPs from the start wanted to overturn it so us pushing for a soft Brexit found we didn't have the numbers. We instead got deliberate sabotage and delaying tactics until there was the opportunity to block it entirely.
    Some Remain MPs, certainly, but not all. Remain MPs have been split into many different splinters. And it's worth remembering that Labour MPs tried and failed to defenestrate Corbyn which drove a wedge between some of those splinters within the Labour Party.

    If the country were only split between Remain and Leave we wouldn't be in this trouble, but we're split at least six or seven ways, maybe twelve, and so we are.

    If we had a leader worth a brass farthing they would be able to bring these different groups together, enough of them to form a majority. Johnson seems to be doing a better job of this than May, but it remains to be seen if it's good enough.
  • nunuone said:

    Ah, they have ID check in Labour selections.


    nunuone said:

    They are counting the ballots in Poplar/Limehouse Labour selection.

    Police has been called back.

    The perfect place to trial voter I.d.
    Lol.

    They why oppose it for the General?
    BS grandstanding.
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,533
    nunuone said:

    TudorRose said:

    Thüringen projections at 19:24

    Linke 28 seats
    AfD 22 seats
    CDU 21 seats
    SDP 7 seats
    Greens 5 seats
    FDP 5 seats

    Good luck getting a majority out that lot.
    Would FDP join the Linke?
    Doubt it - they are solidly pro-business and for all their moderation the Left isn't really. Two thirds of CDU voters say they'd like to see them join with the Linke, but I can't see that either. Minority government, I think.
  • nico67 said:

    It would be bizarre for EU ambassadors to meet before the Commons vote on an election unless they wanted to influence events and this seems like it’s been designed to pull the rug from under Corbyn .

    I believe the joint Lib Dem - SNP letter to them has provided the reason they needed and I see no benefit in delaying their obvious decision.

    Does anyone think labour can stop a december election now.

    They are checkmated and if they had any political sense they would confidently vote for the GE saying they have the policies and will win
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,237
    Chris said:

    Unsurprising to anyone that knows them, that the Lib Dems put the prospect of gaining a dozen seats or two above their declared number one priority of stopping Brexit.

    I don’t blame them TBF but let's at least see reality. All the key players are driven above all else by electoral prospects. Brexit means little other than how it impacts that.

    I'm not usually Mr Cynical but I think it's appropriate here. Johnson in particular is about absolutely NOTHING bar himself. He's a void.
  • TudorRoseTudorRose Posts: 1,683
    edited October 2019

    Gabs2 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Gabs2 said:

    If Remainers had accepted the referendum result with good grace

    I find categorising the world into the groups of "Remainers" and "Leavers" to be extremely unhelpful.

    But let's step back for a moment.

    In the immediate aftermath of the election, there was a genuine acceptance of the result. The polling evidence at the time showed 80+% of people believed the result should be implemented.

    What happened? Why did that change?

    Well, I think there were three major missteps:

    Firstly, was Mrs May's "red lines".
    Secondly, there was the election.
    Thirdly, there was the trashing of Mrs May's deal as "not real Brexit".

    The first alienated a chunk of the "well we lost, but we're all in this together" bunch. The second lost the Conservatives their majority, and resulted in a more Remain-y parliament. The third appeared to be more about BJ getting into Number Ten than getting Brexit done.
    Oh come on. Remainers did not want to accept the result from the get-go. We could have easily countered May's red lines with a clearly backed proposal for soft Brexit. But Remain MPs from the start wanted to overturn it so us pushing for a soft Brexit found we didn't have the numbers. We instead got deliberate sabotage and delaying tactics until there was the opportunity to block it entirely.
    Some Remain MPs, certainly, but not all. Remain MPs have been split into many different splinters. And it's worth remembering that Labour MPs tried and failed to defenestrate Corbyn which drove a wedge between some of those splinters within the Labour Party.

    If the country were only split between Remain and Leave we wouldn't be in this trouble, but we're split at least six or seven ways, maybe twelve, and so we are.

    If we had a leader worth a brass farthing they would be able to bring these different groups together, enough of them to form a majority. Johnson seems to be doing a better job of this than May, but it remains to be seen if it's good enough.
    Things that might bring the country together;
    War
    Meteor strike
    Alien invasion
    Tragic plotline in soap
    Death of a minor royal
    Argentina winning the World Cup
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    edited October 2019
    Labour candidate at next GE in Poplar and Limehouse is Apsana Begum

    Momentum National Coordinating Group member. And P&L CLP Vice-Chair (Membership)
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,213
    nico67 said:

    It would be bizarre for EU ambassadors to meet before the Commons vote on an election unless they wanted to influence events and this seems like it’s been designed to pull the rug from under Corbyn .

    I'm not surprised, they've obviously noted how preposterous his positioning is.
  • There is no doubt labour and others will be making a big play that the UK-EU treaty on offer could result in no deal, which is possible but unlikely

    The problem for Boris's opponents is that that is music to the ears of TBP, and very possibly drives more votes to Boris
  • The UK-EU treaty can only result in no deal in more than a years time if they lose the election, it can't result in it imminently.
  • Wulfrun_PhilWulfrun_Phil Posts: 4,780
    TudorRose said:

    Thüringen projections at 19:24

    Linke 28 seats
    AfD 22 seats
    CDU 21 seats
    SDP 7 seats
    Greens 5 seats
    FDP 5 seats

    Good luck getting a majority out that lot.
    Not dissimilar to the latter days of the Weimar Republic.
  • StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092

    Labour candidate at next GE in Poplar and Limehouse is Apsana Begum

    Momentum National Coordinating Group member. And P&L CLP Vice-Chair (Membership)

    I was just there
  • TudorRose said:

    Thüringen projections at 19:24

    Linke 28 seats
    AfD 22 seats
    CDU 21 seats
    SDP 7 seats
    Greens 5 seats
    FDP 5 seats

    Good luck getting a majority out that lot.
    Not dissimilar to the latter days of the Weimar Republic.
    What could possibly go wrong?
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,038

    Labour candidate at next GE in Poplar and Limehouse is Apsana Begum

    Momentum National Coordinating Group member. And P&L CLP Vice-Chair (Membership)

    I'm sure that each member of the CLP made up their own mind on which candidate to vote for l
  • Do you know the votes tally?

    Labour candidate at next GE in Poplar and Limehouse is Apsana Begum

    Momentum National Coordinating Group member. And P&L CLP Vice-Chair (Membership)

    I was just there
  • I hope Johnson does accept the SNP/LD challenge and we have the December election.

    But I must admit I am still confused as to why the LDs want this. The SNP I understand as they see themselves making significant gains in Scotland and providing a springboard for another Indy referendum.

    But short of gaining a few seats I don't see what the Lib Dems have to gain from this. I can't believe they are daft enough to think they will actually win so it looks as if they are finally surrendering on Brexit.

    Genuine question, what am I missing here?
  • Labour candidate at next GE in Poplar and Limehouse is Apsana Begum

    Momentum National Coordinating Group member. And P&L CLP Vice-Chair (Membership)

    I'm sure that each member of the CLP made up their own mind on which candidate to vote for l
    Were all the candidates called "Begum"? it does seem to be a popular surname in that neck of the woods. Perhaps all the members were, too.
  • Gabs2Gabs2 Posts: 1,268

    The UK-EU treaty can only result in no deal in more than a years time if they lose the election, it can't result in it imminently.

    And it can't be No Deal given the WA will cover most of the scary stuff.
  • I hope Johnson does accept the SNP/LD challenge and we have the December election.

    But I must admit I am still confused as to why the LDs want this. The SNP I understand as they see themselves making significant gains in Scotland and providing a springboard for another Indy referendum.

    But short of gaining a few seats I don't see what the Lib Dems have to gain from this. I can't believe they are daft enough to think they will actually win so it looks as if they are finally surrendering on Brexit.

    Genuine question, what am I missing here?

    See my post at 7.56 on this thread
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,488
    rcs1000 said:

    Gabs2 said:

    If Remainers had accepted the referendum result with good grace

    I find categorising the world into the groups of "Remainers" and "Leavers" to be extremely unhelpful.

    But let's step back for a moment.

    In the immediate aftermath of the election, there was a genuine acceptance of the result. The polling evidence at the time showed 80+% of people believed the result should be implemented.

    What happened? Why did that change?

    Well, I think there were three major missteps:

    Firstly, was Mrs May's "red lines".
    Secondly, there was the election.
    Thirdly, there was the trashing of Mrs May's deal as "not real Brexit".

    The first alienated a chunk of the "well we lost, but we're all in this together" bunch. The second lost the Conservatives their majority, and resulted in a more Remain-y parliament. The third appeared to be more about BJ getting into Number Ten than getting Brexit done.
    Nothing to do with years of non-stop briefings, leaks, and media stories on how chaotic and disastrous it all was then.
  • StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092

    Do you know the votes tally?

    Labour candidate at next GE in Poplar and Limehouse is Apsana Begum

    Momentum National Coordinating Group member. And P&L CLP Vice-Chair (Membership)

    I was just there
    No, I left after voting. Was wondering that myself. There were more leaflets and placards for Apsana but Amina was getting more cheers
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,936
    TudorRose said:

    Thüringen projections at 19:24

    Linke 28 seats
    AfD 22 seats
    CDU 21 seats
    SDP 7 seats
    Greens 5 seats
    FDP 5 seats

    Good luck getting a majority out that lot.
    PR.. not even once. :D
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,541
    edited October 2019

    I hope Johnson does accept the SNP/LD challenge and we have the December election.

    But I must admit I am still confused as to why the LDs want this. The SNP I understand as they see themselves making significant gains in Scotland and providing a springboard for another Indy referendum.

    But short of gaining a few seats I don't see what the Lib Dems have to gain from this. I can't believe they are daft enough to think they will actually win so it looks as if they are finally surrendering on Brexit.

    Genuine question, what am I missing here?

    Picking up a good number of seats is best case scenario realistically. We're intelligent enought to realise that going from 19 seats to 320 or so may not be possible - to put it mildly. You can say that you want to win, who wouldn't, but people do look hard headedly at what is achievable and what is not. Which is why all the pearl rattling about the revoke policy is so silly. If the LDs won a majority at the next election, which is what would be required to straight revoke, that would be an earthquake that would put even 2016 in the shade. And I say that as a member.

    But it's hardly a surrender. We may be in a position to force another referendum.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,696
    RobD said:

    TudorRose said:

    Thüringen projections at 19:24

    Linke 28 seats
    AfD 22 seats
    CDU 21 seats
    SDP 7 seats
    Greens 5 seats
    FDP 5 seats

    Good luck getting a majority out that lot.
    PR.. not even once. :D
    Yeah, just look at the chaos Germany is in compared with the strong and stable government we have here! :wink:
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,936

    RobD said:

    TudorRose said:

    Thüringen projections at 19:24

    Linke 28 seats
    AfD 22 seats
    CDU 21 seats
    SDP 7 seats
    Greens 5 seats
    FDP 5 seats

    Good luck getting a majority out that lot.
    PR.. not even once. :D
    Yeah, just look at the chaos Germany is in compared with the strong and stable government we have here! :wink:
    Think how much worse it would have been with PR. :p
  • justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527
    edited October 2019
    DougSeal said:

    I hope Johnson does accept the SNP/LD challenge and we have the December election.

    But I must admit I am still confused as to why the LDs want this. The SNP I understand as they see themselves making significant gains in Scotland and providing a springboard for another Indy referendum.

    But short of gaining a few seats I don't see what the Lib Dems have to gain from this. I can't believe they are daft enough to think they will actually win so it looks as if they are finally surrendering on Brexit.

    Genuine question, what am I missing here?

    Picking up a good number of seats is best case scenario realistically. We're intelligent enought to realise that going from 19 seats to 320 or so may not be possible - to put it mildly. You can say that you want to win, who wouldn't, but people do look hard headedly at what is achievable and what is not. Which is why all the pearl rattling about the revoke policy is so silly. If the LDs won a majority at the next election, which is what would be required to straight revoke, that would be an earthquake that would put even 2016 in the shade. And I say that as a member.
    But why are they so keen on December rather than - say - February? Johnson's failings might be a fair bit more obvious by that time and potential LD gains at their expense somewhat more extensive.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,696
    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    TudorRose said:

    Thüringen projections at 19:24

    Linke 28 seats
    AfD 22 seats
    CDU 21 seats
    SDP 7 seats
    Greens 5 seats
    FDP 5 seats

    Good luck getting a majority out that lot.
    PR.. not even once. :D
    Yeah, just look at the chaos Germany is in compared with the strong and stable government we have here! :wink:
    Think how much worse it would have been with PR. :p
    I actually think we'd do better if parties had to compromise more.
  • Hamilton wins Mexico
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,541
    justin124 said:

    DougSeal said:

    I hope Johnson does accept the SNP/LD challenge and we have the December election.

    But I must admit I am still confused as to why the LDs want this. The SNP I understand as they see themselves making significant gains in Scotland and providing a springboard for another Indy referendum.

    But short of gaining a few seats I don't see what the Lib Dems have to gain from this. I can't believe they are daft enough to think they will actually win so it looks as if they are finally surrendering on Brexit.

    Genuine question, what am I missing here?

    Picking up a good number of seats is best case scenario realistically. We're intelligent enought to realise that going from 19 seats to 320 or so may not be possible - to put it mildly. You can say that you want to win, who wouldn't, but people do look hard headedly at what is achievable and what is not. Which is why all the pearl rattling about the revoke policy is so silly. If the LDs won a majority at the next election, which is what would be required to straight revoke, that would be an earthquake that would put even 2016 in the shade. And I say that as a member.
    But why are they so keen on December rather than - say - February? Johnson's failings might be a fair bit more obvious by that time and potential LD gains at their expense somewhat more extensive.
    I can't with any honesty answer that one but I'm guessing the key word in your post is "might". By February Johnson might be in an even stronger position. Labour might have a new leader (which is what I worry about). I'm not really privy to any inside intel as my membership extends little beyond being a passive financial supporter.
  • I hope Johnson does accept the SNP/LD challenge and we have the December election.

    But I must admit I am still confused as to why the LDs want this. The SNP I understand as they see themselves making significant gains in Scotland and providing a springboard for another Indy referendum.

    But short of gaining a few seats I don't see what the Lib Dems have to gain from this. I can't believe they are daft enough to think they will actually win so it looks as if they are finally surrendering on Brexit.

    Genuine question, what am I missing here?

    LDs don't have the numbers to stop Brexit as the Second Reading showed.

    At least if it goes to an election they have a chance. If the Tories fail to get a majority then there's a mandate for a second referendum.
  • NeilVWNeilVW Posts: 732
    justin124 said:

    DougSeal said:

    I hope Johnson does accept the SNP/LD challenge and we have the December election.

    But I must admit I am still confused as to why the LDs want this. The SNP I understand as they see themselves making significant gains in Scotland and providing a springboard for another Indy referendum.

    But short of gaining a few seats I don't see what the Lib Dems have to gain from this. I can't believe they are daft enough to think they will actually win so it looks as if they are finally surrendering on Brexit.

    Genuine question, what am I missing here?

    Picking up a good number of seats is best case scenario realistically. We're intelligent enought to realise that going from 19 seats to 320 or so may not be possible - to put it mildly. You can say that you want to win, who wouldn't, but people do look hard headedly at what is achievable and what is not. Which is why all the pearl rattling about the revoke policy is so silly. If the LDs won a majority at the next election, which is what would be required to straight revoke, that would be an earthquake that would put even 2016 in the shade. And I say that as a member.
    But why are they so keen on December rather than - say - February? Johnson's failings might be a fair bit more obvious by that time and potential LD gains at their expense somewhat more extensive.
    They want a GE before the Brexit deal has a chance to go through Parliament.
  • justin124 said:

    DougSeal said:

    I hope Johnson does accept the SNP/LD challenge and we have the December election.

    But I must admit I am still confused as to why the LDs want this. The SNP I understand as they see themselves making significant gains in Scotland and providing a springboard for another Indy referendum.

    But short of gaining a few seats I don't see what the Lib Dems have to gain from this. I can't believe they are daft enough to think they will actually win so it looks as if they are finally surrendering on Brexit.

    Genuine question, what am I missing here?

    Picking up a good number of seats is best case scenario realistically. We're intelligent enought to realise that going from 19 seats to 320 or so may not be possible - to put it mildly. You can say that you want to win, who wouldn't, but people do look hard headedly at what is achievable and what is not. Which is why all the pearl rattling about the revoke policy is so silly. If the LDs won a majority at the next election, which is what would be required to straight revoke, that would be an earthquake that would put even 2016 in the shade. And I say that as a member.
    But why are they so keen on December rather than - say - February? Johnson's failings might be a fair bit more obvious by that time and potential LD gains at their expense somewhat more extensive.
    Dragging it out since September has already increased Johnson's lead. How much more do you want to increase it by?
  • PeterCPeterC Posts: 1,275
    justin124 said:

    DougSeal said:

    I hope Johnson does accept the SNP/LD challenge and we have the December election.

    But I must admit I am still confused as to why the LDs want this. The SNP I understand as they see themselves making significant gains in Scotland and providing a springboard for another Indy referendum.

    But short of gaining a few seats I don't see what the Lib Dems have to gain from this. I can't believe they are daft enough to think they will actually win so it looks as if they are finally surrendering on Brexit.

    Genuine question, what am I missing here?

    Picking up a good number of seats is best case scenario realistically. We're intelligent enought to realise that going from 19 seats to 320 or so may not be possible - to put it mildly. You can say that you want to win, who wouldn't, but people do look hard headedly at what is achievable and what is not. Which is why all the pearl rattling about the revoke policy is so silly. If the LDs won a majority at the next election, which is what would be required to straight revoke, that would be an earthquake that would put even 2016 in the shade. And I say that as a member.
    But why are they so keen on December rather than - say - February? Johnson's failings might be a fair bit more obvious by that time and potential LD gains at their expense somewhat more extensive.
    By February the putative A50 extension would have expired. If the present parliament is allowed to run Brexit will probably be ratified. This is why the LibDems have become so keen on a GE - it at least gives them a fighting chance of halting Brexit.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,038

    Do you know the votes tally?

    Labour candidate at next GE in Poplar and Limehouse is Apsana Begum

    Momentum National Coordinating Group member. And P&L CLP Vice-Chair (Membership)

    I was just there
    No, I left after voting. Was wondering that myself. There were more leaflets and placards for Apsana but Amina was getting more cheers
    It's not about what happens in the room on the night when the result is decided on the previous Friday.
  • kamskikamski Posts: 5,191
    HYUFD said:

    If Boris Johnson's Deal passes it will likely be due to a Tory majority after the next general election and Boris would then likely extend the transition period to December 2022 if negotiations needed to continue on a FTA

    unlikely to extend, I'd say. There will be Farage + the hard men of Brexit in his own party complaining about the fact the UK hasn't really left yet, still paying money. He will be forced into another "do or die" pledge, and if there is a Tory majority then parliament won't save him from his own stupid promises next time around.

    Apart from which I believe Johnson himself is ideologically quite happy with No Deal - he'll only avoid it if he's convinced it would make him unpopular.
  • justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527
    DougSeal said:

    justin124 said:

    DougSeal said:

    I hope Johnson does accept the SNP/LD challenge and we have the December election.

    But I must admit I am still confused as to why the LDs want this. The SNP I understand as they see themselves making significant gains in Scotland and providing a springboard for another Indy referendum.

    But short of gaining a few seats I don't see what the Lib Dems have to gain from this. I can't believe they are daft enough to think they will actually win so it looks as if they are finally surrendering on Brexit.

    Genuine question, what am I missing here?

    Picking up a good number of seats is best case scenario realistically. We're intelligent enought to realise that going from 19 seats to 320 or so may not be possible - to put it mildly. You can say that you want to win, who wouldn't, but people do look hard headedly at what is achievable and what is not. Which is why all the pearl rattling about the revoke policy is so silly. If the LDs won a majority at the next election, which is what would be required to straight revoke, that would be an earthquake that would put even 2016 in the shade. And I say that as a member.
    But why are they so keen on December rather than - say - February? Johnson's failings might be a fair bit more obvious by that time and potential LD gains at their expense somewhat more extensive.
    I can't with any honesty answer that one but I'm guessing the key word in your post is "might". By February Johnson might be in an even stronger position. Labour might have a new leader (which is what I worry about). I'm not really privy to any inside intel as my membership extends little beyond being a passive financial supporter.
    A December election would make it easier for Labour to revive the Tory Little Helper label and be likely to discourage Labour tactical voting.
  • philiphphiliph Posts: 4,704
    edited October 2019
    DougSeal said:

    justin124 said:

    DougSeal said:

    I hope Johnson does accept the SNP/LD challenge and we have the December election.

    But I must admit I am still confused as to why the LDs want this. The SNP I understand as they see themselves making significant gains in Scotland and providing a springboard for another Indy referendum.

    But short of gaining a few seats I don't see what the Lib Dems have to gain from this. I can't believe they are daft enough to think they will actually win so it looks as if they are finally surrendering on Brexit.

    Genuine question, what am I missing here?

    Picking up a good number of seats is best case scenario realistically. We're intelligent enought to realise that going from 19 seats to 320 or so may not be possible - to put it mildly. You can say that you want to win, who wouldn't, but people do look hard headedly at what is achievable and what is not. Which is why all the pearl rattling about the revoke policy is so silly. If the LDs won a majority at the next election, which is what would be required to straight revoke, that would be an earthquake that would put even 2016 in the shade. And I say that as a member.
    But why are they so keen on December rather than - say - February? Johnson's failings might be a fair bit more obvious by that time and potential LD gains at their expense somewhat more extensive.
    I can't with any honesty answer that one but I'm guessing the key word in your post is "might". By February Johnson might be in an even stronger position. Labour might have a new leader (which is what I worry about). I'm not really privy to any inside intel as my membership extends little beyond being a passive financial supporter.
    Because it would need another extension. We would have used the one to to 31st January for nothing.
    Happy EU!
  • justin124 said:

    DougSeal said:

    I hope Johnson does accept the SNP/LD challenge and we have the December election.

    But I must admit I am still confused as to why the LDs want this. The SNP I understand as they see themselves making significant gains in Scotland and providing a springboard for another Indy referendum.

    But short of gaining a few seats I don't see what the Lib Dems have to gain from this. I can't believe they are daft enough to think they will actually win so it looks as if they are finally surrendering on Brexit.

    Genuine question, what am I missing here?

    Picking up a good number of seats is best case scenario realistically. We're intelligent enought to realise that going from 19 seats to 320 or so may not be possible - to put it mildly. You can say that you want to win, who wouldn't, but people do look hard headedly at what is achievable and what is not. Which is why all the pearl rattling about the revoke policy is so silly. If the LDs won a majority at the next election, which is what would be required to straight revoke, that would be an earthquake that would put even 2016 in the shade. And I say that as a member.
    But why are they so keen on December rather than - say - February? Johnson's failings might be a fair bit more obvious by that time and potential LD gains at their expense somewhat more extensive.
    Embarrassing Labour?
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,122
    edited October 2019
    justin124 said:

    DougSeal said:

    I hope Johnson does accept the SNP/LD challenge and we have the December election.

    But I must admit I am still confused as to why the LDs want this. The SNP I understand as they see themselves making significant gains in Scotland and providing a springboard for another Indy referendum.

    But short of gaining a few seats I don't see what the Lib Dems have to gain from this. I can't believe they are daft enough to think they will actually win so it looks as if they are finally surrendering on Brexit.

    Genuine question, what am I missing here?

    Picking up a good number of seats is best case scenario realistically. We're intelligent enought to realise that going from 19 seats to 320 or so may not be possible - to put it mildly. You can say that you want to win, who wouldn't, but people do look hard headedly at what is achievable and what is not. Which is why all the pearl rattling about the revoke policy is so silly. If the LDs won a majority at the next election, which is what would be required to straight revoke, that would be an earthquake that would put even 2016 in the shade. And I say that as a member.
    But why are they so keen on December rather than - say - February? Johnson's failings might be a fair bit more obvious by that time and potential LD gains at their expense somewhat more extensive.
    You do not have the choice of February or are you ignoring the EU giving the extension to 31st January, almost certainly assisted by the joint Lib Dem - SNP letter to them confirming their desire for a december election, as they have the best chance of a remain supporting HOC post the GE

    It is not certain Boris will gain a majority but labour will lose seats to the conseratives, lib dems, and yes the SNP (yes they will)
  • justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527

    justin124 said:

    DougSeal said:

    I hope Johnson does accept the SNP/LD challenge and we have the December election.

    But I must admit I am still confused as to why the LDs want this. The SNP I understand as they see themselves making significant gains in Scotland and providing a springboard for another Indy referendum.

    But short of gaining a few seats I don't see what the Lib Dems have to gain from this. I can't believe they are daft enough to think they will actually win so it looks as if they are finally surrendering on Brexit.

    Genuine question, what am I missing here?

    Picking up a good number of seats is best case scenario realistically. We're intelligent enought to realise that going from 19 seats to 320 or so may not be possible - to put it mildly. You can say that you want to win, who wouldn't, but people do look hard headedly at what is achievable and what is not. Which is why all the pearl rattling about the revoke policy is so silly. If the LDs won a majority at the next election, which is what would be required to straight revoke, that would be an earthquake that would put even 2016 in the shade. And I say that as a member.
    But why are they so keen on December rather than - say - February? Johnson's failings might be a fair bit more obvious by that time and potential LD gains at their expense somewhat more extensive.
    Dragging it out since September has already increased Johnson's lead. How much more do you want to increase it by?
    Unlikely that time will be to his advantage - Honeymoon wearing off - Winter flu epidemic & NHS problems could cause him real problems..
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,541
    justin124 said:

    DougSeal said:

    justin124 said:

    DougSeal said:

    I hope Johnson does accept the SNP/LD challenge and we have the December election.

    But I must admit I am still confused as to why the LDs want this. The SNP I understand as they see themselves making significant gains in Scotland and providing a springboard for another Indy referendum.

    But short of gaining a few seats I don't see what the Lib Dems have to gain from this. I can't believe they are daft enough to think they will actually win so it looks as if they are finally surrendering on Brexit.

    Genuine question, what am I missing here?

    Picking up a good number of seats is best case scenario realistically. We're intelligent enought to realise that going from 19 seats to 320 or so may not be possible - to put it mildly. You can say that you want to win, who wouldn't, but people do look hard headedly at what is achievable and what is not. Which is why all the pearl rattling about the revoke policy is so silly. If the LDs won a majority at the next election, which is what would be required to straight revoke, that would be an earthquake that would put even 2016 in the shade. And I say that as a member.
    But why are they so keen on December rather than - say - February? Johnson's failings might be a fair bit more obvious by that time and potential LD gains at their expense somewhat more extensive.
    I can't with any honesty answer that one but I'm guessing the key word in your post is "might". By February Johnson might be in an even stronger position. Labour might have a new leader (which is what I worry about). I'm not really privy to any inside intel as my membership extends little beyond being a passive financial supporter.
    A December election would make it easier for Labour to revive the Tory Little Helper label and be likely to discourage Labour tactical voting.
    Not sure I follow that. But whatevs. We're going to get the Tory Lite goading whenever the election is and the public seem to want one so I don't see a downside in that respect.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,149
    edited October 2019
    Opinium subsamples now out

    Tories ahead on 49% in the South, 46% in Wales and 40% in the Midlands and holding steady on 29% in Scotland.

    Labour ahead on 39% in the North and 38% in London, the SNP ahead in Scotland on 45%.

    Tories holding onto 75% of their 2017 vote but Labour only holding onto 63% of their 2017 vote.

    Tories now ahead with 35-44s unlike 2017 on 34% to 30% for Labour. Labour only lead with 18-34s.

    61% of Leavers are voting Tory with the Brexit Party next favoured on 19% but only 39% of Remainers are voting Labour with 29% now voting LD.

    https://www.opinium.co.uk/political-polling-25th-october-2019/
  • nunuonenunuone Posts: 1,138

    Do you know the votes tally?

    Labour candidate at next GE in Poplar and Limehouse is Apsana Begum

    Momentum National Coordinating Group member. And P&L CLP Vice-Chair (Membership)

    I was just there
    No, I left after voting. Was wondering that myself. There were more leaflets and placards for Apsana but Amina was getting more cheers
    It's not about what happens in the room on the night when the result is decided on the previous Friday.
    At the local mosque?
  • justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527
    edited October 2019
    PeterC said:

    justin124 said:

    DougSeal said:

    I hope Johnson does accept the SNP/LD challenge and we have the December election.

    But I must admit I am still confused as to why the LDs want this. The SNP I understand as they see themselves making significant gains in Scotland and providing a springboard for another Indy referendum.

    But short of gaining a few seats I don't see what the Lib Dems have to gain from this. I can't believe they are daft enough to think they will actually win so it looks as if they are finally surrendering on Brexit.

    Genuine question, what am I missing here?

    Picking up a good number of seats is best case scenario realistically. We're intelligent enought to realise that going from 19 seats to 320 or so may not be possible - to put it mildly. You can say that you want to win, who wouldn't, but people do look hard headedly at what is achievable and what is not. Which is why all the pearl rattling about the revoke policy is so silly. If the LDs won a majority at the next election, which is what would be required to straight revoke, that would be an earthquake that would put even 2016 in the shade. And I say that as a member.
    But why are they so keen on December rather than - say - February? Johnson's failings might be a fair bit more obvious by that time and potential LD gains at their expense somewhat more extensive.
    By February the putative A50 extension would have expired. If the present parliament is allowed to run Brexit will probably be ratified. This is why the LibDems have become so keen on a GE - it at least gives them a fighting chance of halting Brexit.
    Not if Johnson pulls the WAIB in response to unwelcome amendments etc. A mid-January Dissolution for a late February Polling Day would probably result in a further extension to - say - 31st March.
  • justin124 said:

    justin124 said:

    DougSeal said:

    I hope Johnson does accept the SNP/LD challenge and we have the December election.

    But I must admit I am still confused as to why the LDs want this. The SNP I understand as they see themselves making significant gains in Scotland and providing a springboard for another Indy referendum.

    But short of gaining a few seats I don't see what the Lib Dems have to gain from this. I can't believe they are daft enough to think they will actually win so it looks as if they are finally surrendering on Brexit.

    Genuine question, what am I missing here?

    Picking up a good number of seats is best case scenario realistically. We're intelligent enought to realise that going from 19 seats to 320 or so may not be possible - to put it mildly. You can say that you want to win, who wouldn't, but people do look hard headedly at what is achievable and what is not. Which is why all the pearl rattling about the revoke policy is so silly. If the LDs won a majority at the next election, which is what would be required to straight revoke, that would be an earthquake that would put even 2016 in the shade. And I say that as a member.
    But why are they so keen on December rather than - say - February? Johnson's failings might be a fair bit more obvious by that time and potential LD gains at their expense somewhat more extensive.
    Dragging it out since September has already increased Johnson's lead. How much more do you want to increase it by?
    Unlikely that time will be to his advantage - Honeymoon wearing off - Winter flu epidemic & NHS problems could cause him real problems..
    Not something you can guarantee at all. In the meantime he'd be able to humiliate the "zombie Parliament" and the opposition who are too scared of an election and are the reason nothing is able to proceed.
  • I hope Johnson does accept the SNP/LD challenge and we have the December election.

    But I must admit I am still confused as to why the LDs want this. The SNP I understand as they see themselves making significant gains in Scotland and providing a springboard for another Indy referendum.

    But short of gaining a few seats I don't see what the Lib Dems have to gain from this. I can't believe they are daft enough to think they will actually win so it looks as if they are finally surrendering on Brexit.

    Genuine question, what am I missing here?

    Do they suspect they have a chance of being the new DUP in a hung Parliament?
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 12,564
    edited October 2019

    There is no doubt labour and others will be making a big play that the UK-EU treaty on offer could result in no deal, which is possible but unlikely

    The problem for Boris's opponents is that that is music to the ears of TBP, and very possibly drives more votes to Boris

    Because of the nature of Article 50, the nature of reality and the laws of logic it isn't possible to exclude the possibility of 'no deal' between the UK and the EU at some point. Article 50 deliberately builds in the possibility; any transitional deal can come to an end at some point without a further one, and no single side can make any binding undertaking about a future which is dependent on two sides agreeing. Mr Corbyn and co are asking something of others which reality requires they themselves are equally unable to deliver. This boring but important point is being overlooked.

  • OblitusSumMeOblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143

    In hindsight, I increasingly think I was wrong to have backed LEAVE.

    Back from Barcelona last night. ...

    Ubergeekery-wise, I didn't do as much of the Barcelona Metro as I would have liked, as I was with my mum (holiday was her birthday present!), but I did do line L9 from the Airport to Collblanc...

    I was wondering whether you had taken the train across France to make it there, but I see not. Glad you had fun.
  • DougSeal said:

    justin124 said:

    DougSeal said:

    justin124 said:

    DougSeal said:

    I hope Johnson does accept the SNP/LD challenge and we have the December election.

    But I must admit I am still confused as to why the LDs want this. The SNP I understand as they see themselves making significant gains in Scotland and providing a springboard for another Indy referendum.

    But short of gaining a few seats I don't see what the Lib Dems have to gain from this. I can't believe they are daft enough to think they will actually win so it looks as if they are finally surrendering on Brexit.

    Genuine question, what am I missing here?

    Picking up a good number of seats is best case scenario realistically. We're intelligent enought to realise that going from 19 seats to 320 or so may not be possible - to put it mildly. You can say that you want to win, who wouldn't, but people do look hard headedly at what is achievable and what is not. Which is why all the pearl rattling about the revoke policy is so silly. If the LDs won a majority at the next election, which is what would be required to straight revoke, that would be an earthquake that would put even 2016 in the shade. And I say that as a member.
    But why are they so keen on December rather than - say - February? Johnson's failings might be a fair bit more obvious by that time and potential LD gains at their expense somewhat more extensive.
    I can't with any honesty answer that one but I'm guessing the key word in your post is "might". By February Johnson might be in an even stronger position. Labour might have a new leader (which is what I worry about). I'm not really privy to any inside intel as my membership extends little beyond being a passive financial supporter.
    A December election would make it easier for Labour to revive the Tory Little Helper label and be likely to discourage Labour tactical voting.
    Not sure I follow that. But whatevs. We're going to get the Tory Lite goading whenever the election is and the public seem to want one so I don't see a downside in that respect.
    I actually think the lib dems strategy is spot on and they could just hold the balance of power
  • TudorRoseTudorRose Posts: 1,683
    Any betting that Labour will announce that they are only in favour of a GE if it's held on December 10th?
  • PeterCPeterC Posts: 1,275

    justin124 said:

    DougSeal said:

    I hope Johnson does accept the SNP/LD challenge and we have the December election.

    But I must admit I am still confused as to why the LDs want this. The SNP I understand as they see themselves making significant gains in Scotland and providing a springboard for another Indy referendum.

    But short of gaining a few seats I don't see what the Lib Dems have to gain from this. I can't believe they are daft enough to think they will actually win so it looks as if they are finally surrendering on Brexit.

    Genuine question, what am I missing here?

    Picking up a good number of seats is best case scenario realistically. We're intelligent enought to realise that going from 19 seats to 320 or so may not be possible - to put it mildly. You can say that you want to win, who wouldn't, but people do look hard headedly at what is achievable and what is not. Which is why all the pearl rattling about the revoke policy is so silly. If the LDs won a majority at the next election, which is what would be required to straight revoke, that would be an earthquake that would put even 2016 in the shade. And I say that as a member.
    But why are they so keen on December rather than - say - February? Johnson's failings might be a fair bit more obvious by that time and potential LD gains at their expense somewhat more extensive.
    You do not have the choice of February or are you ignoring the EU giving the extension to 31st January, almost certainly assisted by the joint Lib Dem - SNP letter to them confirming their desire for a december election, as they have the best chance of a remain supporting HOC post the GE

    It is not certain Boris will gain a majority but labour will lose seats to the conseratives, lib dems, and yes the SNP (yes they will)
    There is an interesting alternative scenario in which there is no GE. Boris decides to knuckle down and try to ratify Brexit. But the ratification fails, and as 31st January approaches so does the inevitability of a shoot out between Revoke and No Deal,
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,722
    nunuone said:

    As Mr. Buttigieg increasingly presents himself to Democrats as a younger, moderate alternative to former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr., he is struggling badly to compete against one of Mr. Biden’s strengths: deep connections to black voters. Nowhere is that problem greater than in South Carolina, which votes fourth in the Democratic nomination

    https://www.nytimes.com/2019/10/27/us/politics/pete-buttigieg-south-carolina.html

    Black voters even those in the Democratic primary are highly socially conservative.

    I doubt more than a few will vote for him.
    When you say "socially conservative" do you mean homophobic?
  • justin124 said:

    PeterC said:

    justin124 said:

    DougSeal said:

    I hope Johnson does accept the SNP/LD challenge and we have the December election.

    But I must admit I am still confused as to why the LDs want this. The SNP I understand as they see themselves making significant gains in Scotland and providing a springboard for another Indy referendum.

    But short of gaining a few seats I don't see what the Lib Dems have to gain from this. I can't believe they are daft enough to think they will actually win so it looks as if they are finally surrendering on Brexit.

    Genuine question, what am I missing here?

    Picking up a good number of seats is best case scenario realistically. We're intelligent enought to realise that going from 19 seats to 320 or so may not be possible - to put it mildly. You can say that you want to win, who wouldn't, but people do look hard headedly at what is achievable and what is not. Which is why all the pearl rattling about the revoke policy is so silly. If the LDs won a majority at the next election, which is what would be required to straight revoke, that would be an earthquake that would put even 2016 in the shade. And I say that as a member.
    But why are they so keen on December rather than - say - February? Johnson's failings might be a fair bit more obvious by that time and potential LD gains at their expense somewhat more extensive.
    By February the putative A50 extension would have expired. If the present parliament is allowed to run Brexit will probably be ratified. This is why the LibDems have become so keen on a GE - it at least gives them a fighting chance of halting Brexit.
    Not if Johnson pulls the WAIB in response to unwelcome amendments etc. A mid-January Dissolution for a late February Polling Day would probably result in a further extension to - say - 31st March.
    You know Justin, the Scots have a great word for most of your posts

    You are 'havering'
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 12,564
    edited October 2019
    PeterC said:

    justin124 said:

    DougSeal said:

    I hope Johnson does accept the SNP/LD challenge and we have the December election.

    But I must admit I am still confused as to why the LDs want this. The SNP I understand as they see themselves making significant gains in Scotland and providing a springboard for another Indy referendum.

    But short of gaining a few seats I don't see what the Lib Dems have to gain from this. I can't believe they are daft enough to think they will actually win so it looks as if they are finally surrendering on Brexit.

    Genuine question, what am I missing here?

    Picking up a good number of seats is best case scenario realistically. We're intelligent enought to realise that going from 19 seats to 320 or so may not be possible - to put it mildly. You can say that you want to win, who wouldn't, but people do look hard headedly at what is achievable and what is not. Which is why all the pearl rattling about the revoke policy is so silly. If the LDs won a majority at the next election, which is what would be required to straight revoke, that would be an earthquake that would put even 2016 in the shade. And I say that as a member.
    But why are they so keen on December rather than - say - February? Johnson's failings might be a fair bit more obvious by that time and potential LD gains at their expense somewhat more extensive.
    You do not have the choice of February or are you ignoring the EU giving the extension to 31st January, almost certainly assisted by the joint Lib Dem - SNP letter to them confirming their desire for a december election, as they have the best chance of a remain supporting HOC post the GE

    It is not certain Boris will gain a majority but labour will lose seats to the conseratives, lib dems, and yes the SNP (yes they will)
    There is an interesting alternative scenario in which there is no GE. Boris decides to knuckle down and try to ratify Brexit. But the ratification fails, and as 31st January approaches so does the inevitability of a shoot out between Revoke and No Deal,
    EU should allow an extension without limit and with no conditions and wait, and think about something else.

  • tysontyson Posts: 6,117

    DougSeal said:

    justin124 said:

    DougSeal said:

    justin124 said:

    DougSeal said:

    I hope Johnson does accept the SNP/LD challenge and we have the December election.

    But I must admit I am still confused as to why the LDs want this. The SNP I understand as they see themselves making significant gains in Scotland and providing a springboard for another Indy referendum.

    But short of gaining a few seats I don't see what the Lib Dems have to gain from this. I can't believe they are daft enough to think they will actually win so it looks as if they are finally surrendering on Brexit.

    Genuine question, what am I missing here?

    Picking up a good number of seats is best case scenario realistically. We're intelligent enought to realise that going from 19 seats to 320 or so may not be possible - to put it mildly. You can say that you want to win, who wouldn't, but people do look hard headedly at what is achievable and what is not. Which is why all the pearl rattling about the revoke policy is so silly. If the LDs won a majority at the next election, which is what would be required to straight revoke, that would be an earthquake that would put even 2016 in the shade. And I say that as a member.
    But why are they so keen on December rather than - say - February? Johnson's failings might be a fair bit more obvious by that time and potential LD gains at their expense somewhat more extensive.
    I can't with any honesty answer that one but I'm guessing the key word in your post is "might". By February Johnson might be in an even stronger position. Labour might have a new leader (which is what I worry about). I'm not really privy to any inside intel as my membership extends little beyond being a passive financial supporter.
    A December election would make it easier for Labour to revive the Tory Little Helper label and be likely to discourage Labour tactical voting.
    Not sure I follow that. But whatevs. We're going to get the Tory Lite goading whenever the election is and the public seem to want one so I don't see a downside in that respect.
    I actually think the lib dems strategy is spot on and they could just hold the balance of power
    Thats's what most of us want here right? Do you want Boris Johnson to win a majority? I certainly don't want Corbyn to win one and bring in the headcases....
  • algarkirk said:

    There is no doubt labour and others will be making a big play that the UK-EU treaty on offer could result in no deal, which is possible but unlikely

    The problem for Boris's opponents is that that is music to the ears of TBP, and very possibly drives more votes to Boris

    Because of the nature of Article 50, the nature of reality and the laws of logic it isn't possible to exclude the possibility of 'no deal' between the UK and the EU at some point. Article 50 deliberately builds in the possibility; any transitional deal can come to an end at some point without a further one, and no single side can make any binding undertaking about a future which is dependent on two sides agreeing. Mr Corbyn and co are asking something of others which reality requires they themselves are equally unable to deliver. This boring but important point is being overlooked.

    Agreed 100%
  • sirclive said:

    I hope Johnson does accept the SNP/LD challenge and we have the December election.

    But I must admit I am still confused as to why the LDs want this. The SNP I understand as they see themselves making significant gains in Scotland and providing a springboard for another Indy referendum.

    But short of gaining a few seats I don't see what the Lib Dems have to gain from this. I can't believe they are daft enough to think they will actually win so it looks as if they are finally surrendering on Brexit.

    Genuine question, what am I missing here?

    Do they suspect they have a chance of being the new DUP in a hung Parliament?
    What i mean by that is they will call the shots on any Coalition/Confidence and Supply arrangements with whosoever.
  • PeterC said:

    justin124 said:

    DougSeal said:

    I hope Johnson does accept the SNP/LD challenge and we have the December election.

    But I must admit I am still confused as to why the LDs want this. The SNP I understand as they see themselves making significant gains in Scotland and providing a springboard for another Indy referendum.

    But short of gaining a few seats I don't see what the Lib Dems have to gain from this. I can't believe they are daft enough to think they will actually win so it looks as if they are finally surrendering on Brexit.

    Genuine question, what am I missing here?

    Picking up a good number of seats is best case scenario realistically. We're intelligent enought to realise that going from 19 seats to 320 or so may not be possible - to put it mildly. You can say that you want to win, who wouldn't, but people do look hard headedly at what is achievable and what is not. Which is why all the pearl rattling about the revoke policy is so silly. If the LDs won a majority at the next election, which is what would be required to straight revoke, that would be an earthquake that would put even 2016 in the shade. And I say that as a member.
    But why are they so keen on December rather than - say - February? Johnson's failings might be a fair bit more obvious by that time and potential LD gains at their expense somewhat more extensive.
    You do not have the choice of February or are you ignoring the EU giving the extension to 31st January, almost certainly assisted by the joint Lib Dem - SNP letter to them confirming their desire for a december election, as they have the best chance of a remain supporting HOC post the GE

    It is not certain Boris will gain a majority but labour will lose seats to the conseratives, lib dems, and yes the SNP (yes they will)
    There is an interesting alternative scenario in which there is no GE. Boris decides to knuckle down and try to ratify Brexit. But the ratification fails, and as 31st January approaches so does the inevitability of a shoot out between Revoke and No Deal,
    I hope not.

    We need this zombie Parliament gone and now is not soon enough
  • justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527

    justin124 said:

    PeterC said:

    justin124 said:

    DougSeal said:

    I hope Johnson does accept the SNP/LD challenge and we have the December election.

    But I must admit I am still confused as to why the LDs want this. The SNP I understand as they see themselves making significant gains in Scotland and providing a springboard for another Indy referendum.

    But short of gaining a few seats I don't see what the Lib Dems have to gain from this. I can't believe they are daft enough to think they will actually win so it looks as if they are finally surrendering on Brexit.

    Genuine question, what am I missing here?

    Picking up a good number of seats is best case scenario realistically. We're intelligent enought to realise that going from 19 seats to 320 or so may not be possible - to put it mildly. You can say that you want to win, who wouldn't, but people do look hard headedly at what is achievable and what is not. Which is why all the pearl rattling about the revoke policy is so silly. If the LDs won a majority at the next election, which is what would be required to straight revoke, that would be an earthquake that would put even 2016 in the shade. And I say that as a member.
    But why are they so keen on December rather than - say - February? Johnson's failings might be a fair bit more obvious by that time and potential LD gains at their expense somewhat more extensive.
    By February the putative A50 extension would have expired. If the present parliament is allowed to run Brexit will probably be ratified. This is why the LibDems have become so keen on a GE - it at least gives them a fighting chance of halting Brexit.
    Not if Johnson pulls the WAIB in response to unwelcome amendments etc. A mid-January Dissolution for a late February Polling Day would probably result in a further extension to - say - 31st March.
    You know Justin, the Scots have a great word for most of your posts

    You are 'havering'
    I would be very surprised that they would decline such an extension in the event of an election being announced in mid- January - despite their feelings of exasperation.
  • PeterCPeterC Posts: 1,275
    edited October 2019
    justin124 said:

    PeterC said:

    justin124 said:

    DougSeal said:

    I hope Johnson does accept the SNP/LD challenge and we have the December election.

    But I must admit I am still confused as to why the LDs want this. The SNP I understand as they see themselves making significant gains in Scotland and providing a springboard for another Indy referendum.

    But short of gaining a few seats I don't see what the Lib Dems have to gain from this. I can't believe they are daft enough to think they will actually win so it looks as if they are finally surrendering on Brexit.

    Genuine question, what am I missing here?

    Picking up a good number of seats is best case scenario realistically. We're intelligent enought to realise that going from 19 seats to 320 or so may not be possible - to put it mildly. You can say that you want to win, who wouldn't, but people do look hard headedly at what is achievable and what is not. Which is why all the pearl rattling about the revoke policy is so silly. If the LDs won a majority at the next election, which is what would be required to straight revoke, that would be an earthquake that would put even 2016 in the shade. And I say that as a member.
    But why are they so keen on December rather than - say - February? Johnson's failings might be a fair bit more obvious by that time and potential LD gains at their expense somewhat more extensive.
    By February the putative A50 extension would have expired. If the present parliament is allowed to run Brexit will probably be ratified. This is why the LibDems have become so keen on a GE - it at least gives them a fighting chance of halting Brexit.
    Not if Johnson pulls the WAIB in response to unwelcome amendments etc. A mid-January Dissolution for a late February Polling Day would probably result in a further extension to - say - 31st March.
    Yes. If all extensions are in reality soft then anything is possible. But that would create a game without end, with frustration and anger going off the scale. A truly hard deadline is the sine qua non of a definitive solution, imo.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,468
    justin124 said:

    justin124 said:

    PeterC said:

    justin124 said:

    DougSeal said:

    I hope Johnson does accept the SNP/LD challenge and we have the December election.

    But I must admit I am still confused as to why the LDs want this. The SNP I understand as they see themselves making significant gains in Scotland and providing a springboard for another Indy referendum.

    But short of gaining a few seats I don't see what the Lib Dems have to gain from this. I can't believe they are daft enough to think they will actually win so it looks as if they are finally surrendering on Brexit.

    Genuine question, what am I missing here?

    Picking up a good number of seats is best case scenario realistically. We're intelligent enought to realise that going from 19 seats to 320 or so may not be possible - to put it mildly. You can say that you want to win, who wouldn't, but people do look hard headedly at what is achievable and what is not. Which is why all the pearl rattling about the revoke policy is so silly. If the LDs won a majority at the next election, which is what would be required to straight revoke, that would be an earthquake that would put even 2016 in the shade. And I say that as a member.
    But why are they so keen on December rather than - say - February? Johnson's failings might be a fair bit more obvious by that time and potential LD gains at their expense somewhat more extensive.
    By February the putative A50 extension would have expired. If the present parliament is allowed to run Brexit will probably be ratified. This is why the LibDems have become so keen on a GE - it at least gives them a fighting chance of halting Brexit.
    Not if Johnson pulls the WAIB in response to unwelcome amendments etc. A mid-January Dissolution for a late February Polling Day would probably result in a further extension to - say - 31st March.
    You know Justin, the Scots have a great word for most of your posts

    You are 'havering'
    I would be very surprised that they would decline such an extension in the event of an election being announced in mid- January - despite their feelings of exasperation.
    There’s no point waiting any longer.
  • "There will also be a commitment that the Withdrawal Agreement cannot be renegotiated in future."

    Well thats labour brexit policy down the tubes.
  • justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527
    PeterC said:

    justin124 said:

    PeterC said:

    justin124 said:

    DougSeal said:

    I hope Johnson does accept the SNP/LD challenge and we have the December election.

    But I must admit I am still confused as to why the LDs want this. The SNP I understand as they see themselves making significant gains in Scotland and providing a springboard for another Indy referendum.

    But short of gaining a few seats I don't see what the Lib Dems have to gain from this. I can't believe they are daft enough to think they will actually win so it looks as if they are finally surrendering on Brexit.

    Genuine question, what am I missing here?

    Picking up a good number of seats is best case scenario realistically. We're intelligent enought to realise that going from 19 seats to 320 or so may not be possible - to put it mildly. You can say that you want to win, who wouldn't, but people do look hard headedly at what is achievable and what is not. Which is why all the pearl rattling about the revoke policy is so silly. If the LDs won a majority at the next election, which is what would be required to straight revoke, that would be an earthquake that would put even 2016 in the shade. And I say that as a member.
    But why are they so keen on December rather than - say - February? Johnson's failings might be a fair bit more obvious by that time and potential LD gains at their expense somewhat more extensive.
    By February the putative A50 extension would have expired. If the present parliament is allowed to run Brexit will probably be ratified. This is why the LibDems have become so keen on a GE - it at least gives them a fighting chance of halting Brexit.
    Not if Johnson pulls the WAIB in response to unwelcome amendments etc. A mid-January Dissolution for a late February Polling Day would probably result in a further extension to - say - 31st March.
    Yes. If all extensions are in reality soft then anything is possible. But that would create a game without end, with frustration and anger going off the scale. A truly hard deadline is the sine qua non of a definitive solution imo.
    The EU would certainly wish to see the shape of the Government which emerged from such an election.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,038
    nunuone said:

    Do you know the votes tally?

    Labour candidate at next GE in Poplar and Limehouse is Apsana Begum

    Momentum National Coordinating Group member. And P&L CLP Vice-Chair (Membership)

    I was just there
    No, I left after voting. Was wondering that myself. There were more leaflets and placards for Apsana but Amina was getting more cheers
    It's not about what happens in the room on the night when the result is decided on the previous Friday.
    At the local mosque?
    You might very well think that; I couldn't possibly comment
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,936

    "There will also be a commitment that the Withdrawal Agreement cannot be renegotiated in future."

    Well thats labour brexit policy down the tubes.

    Labour has a brexit policy?
  • justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527

    "There will also be a commitment that the Withdrawal Agreement cannot be renegotiated in future."

    Well thats labour brexit policy down the tubes.

    But that was included in Theresa May's extension to 31st October!
  • PeterCPeterC Posts: 1,275

    PeterC said:

    justin124 said:

    DougSeal said:

    I hope Johnson does accept the SNP/LD challenge and we have the December election.

    But I must admit I am still confused as to why the LDs want this. The SNP I understand as they see themselves making significant gains in Scotland and providing a springboard for another Indy referendum.

    But short of gaining a few seats I don't see what the Lib Dems have to gain from this. I can't believe they are daft enough to think they will actually win so it looks as if they are finally surrendering on Brexit.

    Genuine question, what am I missing here?

    Picking up a good number of seats is best case scenario realistically. We're intelligent enought to realise that going from 19 seats to 320 or so may not be possible - to put it mildly. You can say that you want to win, who wouldn't, but people do look hard headedly at what is achievable and what is not. Which is why all the pearl rattling about the revoke policy is so silly. If the LDs won a majority at the next election, which is what would be required to straight revoke, that would be an earthquake that would put even 2016 in the shade. And I say that as a member.
    But why are they so keen on December rather than - say - February? Johnson's failings might be a fair bit more obvious by that time and potential LD gains at their expense somewhat more extensive.
    You do not have the choice of February or are you ignoring the EU giving the extension to 31st January, almost certainly assisted by the joint Lib Dem - SNP letter to them confirming their desire for a december election, as they have the best chance of a remain supporting HOC post the GE

    It is not certain Boris will gain a majority but labour will lose seats to the conseratives, lib dems, and yes the SNP (yes they will)
    There is an interesting alternative scenario in which there is no GE. Boris decides to knuckle down and try to ratify Brexit. But the ratification fails, and as 31st January approaches so does the inevitability of a shoot out between Revoke and No Deal,
    I hope not.

    We need this zombie Parliament gone and now is not soon enough
    This parliament is truly wretched. But Boris does risk losing everything by seeking an early dissolution. I wonder which would be left standing in a shoot out between Revoke and No Deal.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,722

    Labour candidate at next GE in Poplar and Limehouse is Apsana Begum

    Momentum National Coordinating Group member. And P&L CLP Vice-Chair (Membership)

    I'm sure that each member of the CLP made up their own mind on which candidate to vote for l
    Were all the candidates called "Begum"? it does seem to be a popular surname in that neck of the woods. Perhaps all the members were, too.
    Begum means "Mrs" so a very large number of Bengalis have it as a name. Like Singh or Kaur, it is really an extra name.
  • In hindsight, I increasingly think I was wrong to have backed LEAVE.

    Back from Barcelona last night. ...

    Ubergeekery-wise, I didn't do as much of the Barcelona Metro as I would have liked, as I was with my mum (holiday was her birthday present!), but I did do line L9 from the Airport to Collblanc...

    I was wondering whether you had taken the train across France to make it there, but I see not. Glad you had fun.
    Thanks, maybe take the train next time! Was so disappointed the funicular up to the Tibidabo Cgurch was out of action, and will be out of action "for a year or so" according to local tourist board. I saw the trackbed from just below the church, just bare - no tracks at the moment!
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,293
    TudorRose said:

    Any betting that Labour will announce that they are only in favour of a GE if it's held on December 10th?

    Im still hoping for 5th December. :D
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,722
    edited October 2019

    PeterC said:

    justin124 said:

    DougSeal said:

    I hope Johnson does accept the SNP/LD challenge and we have the December election.

    But I must admit I am still confused as to why the LDs want this. The SNP I understand as they see themselves making significant gains in Scotland and providing a springboard for another Indy referendum.

    But short of gaining a few seats I don't see what the Lib Dems have to gain from this. I can't believe they are daft enough to think they will actually win so it looks as if they are finally surrendering on Brexit.

    Genuine question, what am I missing here?

    Picking up a good number of seats is best case scenario realistically. We're intelligent enought to realise that going from 19 seats to 320 or so may not be possible - to put it mildly. You can say that you want to win, who wouldn't, but people do look hard headedly at what is achievable and what is not. Which is why all the pearl rattling about the revoke policy is so silly. If the LDs won a majority at the next election, which is what would be required to straight revoke, that would be an earthquake that would put even 2016 in the shade. And I say that as a member.
    But why are they so keen on December rather than - say - February? Johnson's failings might be a fair bit more obvious by that time and potential LD gains at their expense somewhat more extensive.
    You do not have the choice of February or are you ignoring the EU giving the extension to 31st January, almost certainly assisted by the joint Lib Dem - SNP letter to them confirming their desire for a december election, as they have the best chance of a remain supporting HOC post the GE

    It is not certain Boris will gain a majority but labour will lose seats to the conseratives, lib dems, and yes the SNP (yes they will)
    There is an interesting alternative scenario in which there is no GE. Boris decides to knuckle down and try to ratify Brexit. But the ratification fails, and as 31st January approaches so does the inevitability of a shoot out between Revoke and No Deal,
    I hope not.

    We need this zombie Parliament gone and now is not soon enough
    "Zombie Parliament" is just the latest spin from Cummings. Bozo had a majority of 3 in August. It has been demolished by his actions.

    Basically, a PM needs to be able to cajole and finesse his members, not ride roughshod over them.
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    RobD said:

    "There will also be a commitment that the Withdrawal Agreement cannot be renegotiated in future."

    Well thats labour brexit policy down the tubes.

    Labour has a brexit policy?
    Remind me what day it is and I will tell you which one it is today
  • justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527
    From The Guardian -
    'Britain has no need of an early general election. It needs to get this phase of Brexit sorted first. This parliament was elected to do that. It is the fault of the May and Johnson governments, not of parliament, that it has been so difficult. Mr Johnson’s intemperate goading undoubtedly make things worse. But it is the point of parliament to keep him in check. MPs are making a good job of that. If the ghost of parliaments past could join Monday’s debate it might even say to them: In the name of God, stay, and finish the job.'
  • rcs1000 said:

    Gabs2 said:

    If Remainers had accepted the referendum result with good grace

    I find categorising the world into the groups of "Remainers" and "Leavers" to be extremely unhelpful.
    To paraphrase Albert Camus:

    "One does not decide the truth of a thought according to whether it is Leave or Remain."
  • Foxy said:

    PeterC said:

    justin124 said:

    DougSeal said:

    I hope Johnson does accept the SNP/LD challenge and we have the December election.

    But I must admit I am still confused as to why the LDs want this. The SNP I understand as they see themselves making significant gains in Scotland and providing a springboard for another Indy referendum.

    But short of gaining a few seats I don't see what the Lib Dems have to gain from this. I can't believe they are daft enough to think they will actually win so it looks as if they are finally surrendering on Brexit.

    Genuine question, what am I missing here?

    Picking up a good number of seats is best case scenario realistically. We're intelligent enought to realise that going from 19 seats to 320 or so may not be possible - to put it mildly. You can say that you want to win, who wouldn't, but people do look hard headedly at what is achievable and what is not. Which is why all the pearl rattling about the revoke policy is so silly. If the LDs won a majority at the next election, which is what would be required to straight revoke, that would be an earthquake that would put even 2016 in the shade. And I say that as a member.
    But why are they so keen on December rather than - say - February? Johnson's failings might be a fair bit more obvious by that time and potential LD gains at their expense somewhat more extensive.
    You do not have the choice of February or are you ignoring the EU giving the extension to 31st January, almost certainly assisted by the joint Lib Dem - SNP letter to them confirming their desire for a december election, as they have the best chance of a remain supporting HOC post the GE

    It is not certain Boris will gain a majority but labour will lose seats to the conseratives, lib dems, and yes the SNP (yes they will)
    There is an interesting alternative scenario in which there is no GE. Boris decides to knuckle down and try to ratify Brexit. But the ratification fails, and as 31st January approaches so does the inevitability of a shoot out between Revoke and No Deal,
    I hope not.

    We need this zombie Parliament gone and now is not soon enough
    "Zombie Parliament" is just the latest spin from Cummings. Bozo had a majority of 3 in August. It has been demolished by his actions.

    Basically, a PM needs to be able to cajole and finesse his members, not ride roughshod over them.
    Could you tell us how you would 'cajole and finesse' Dominic Grieve, Steve Baker and the DUP into simultaneously voting for a WDA ?
  • justin124 said:

    From The Guardian -
    'Britain has no need of an early general election. It needs to get this phase of Brexit sorted first. This parliament was elected to do that. It is the fault of the May and Johnson governments, not of parliament, that it has been so difficult. Mr Johnson’s intemperate goading undoubtedly make things worse. But it is the point of parliament to keep him in check. MPs are making a good job of that. If the ghost of parliaments past could join Monday’s debate it might even say to them: In the name of God, stay, and finish the job.'

    More bullshit than their article on why thomas the tank engine is every -ist under the sun.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,936
    justin124 said:

    From The Guardian -
    'Britain has no need of an early general election. It needs to get this phase of Brexit sorted first. This parliament was elected to do that. It is the fault of the May and Johnson governments, not of parliament, that it has been so difficult. Mr Johnson’s intemperate goading undoubtedly make things worse. But it is the point of parliament to keep him in check. MPs are making a good job of that. If the ghost of parliaments past could join Monday’s debate it might even say to them: In the name of God, stay, and finish the job.'

    I wonder if their editorial would have been the same if remain parties were riding high in the polls?
  • Foxy said:

    PeterC said:

    justin124 said:

    DougSeal said:

    I hope Johnson does accept the SNP/LD challenge and we have the December election.

    But I must admit I am still confused as to why the LDs want this. The SNP I understand as they see themselves making significant gains in Scotland and providing a springboard for another Indy referendum.

    But short of gaining a few seats I don't see what the Lib Dems have to gain from this. I can't believe they are daft enough to think they will actually win so it looks as if they are finally surrendering on Brexit.

    Genuine question, what am I missing here?

    Picking up a good number of seats is best case scenario realistically. We're intelligent enought to realise that going from 19 seats to 320 or so may not be possible - to put it mildly. You can say that you want to win, who wouldn't, but people do look hard headedly at what is achievable and what is not. Which is why all the pearl rattling about the revoke policy is so silly. If the LDs won a majority at the next election, which is what would be required to straight revoke, that would be an earthquake that would put even 2016 in the shade. And I say that as a member.
    But why are they so keen on December rather than - say - February? Johnson's failings might be a fair bit more obvious by that time and potential LD gains at their expense somewhat more extensive.
    You do not have the choice of February or are you ignoring the EU giving the extension to 31st January, almost certainly assisted by the joint Lib Dem - SNP letter to them confirming their desire for a december election, as they have the best chance of a remain supporting HOC post the GE

    It is not certain Boris will gain a majority but labour will lose seats to the conseratives, lib dems, and yes the SNP (yes they will)
    There is an interesting alternative scenario in which there is no GE. Boris decides to knuckle down and try to ratify Brexit. But the ratification fails, and as 31st January approaches so does the inevitability of a shoot out between Revoke and No Deal,
    I hope not.

    We need this zombie Parliament gone and now is not soon enough
    "Zombie Parliament" is just the latest spin from Cummings. Bozo had a majority of 3 in August. It has been demolished by his actions.

    Basically, a PM needs to be able to cajole and finesse his members, not ride roughshod over them.
    Boris never had a majority.

    May never had a majority from MV1 onwards.

    Pretending there's a majority doesn't mean there was one.
  • SunnyJimSunnyJim Posts: 1,106
    edited October 2019
    Foxy said:


    "Zombie Parliament" is just the latest spin from Cummings. Bozo had a majority of 3 in August. It has been demolished by his actions.

    Basically, a PM needs to be able to cajole and finesse his members, not ride roughshod over them.

    There is no amount of cajoling or finessing that would persuade this parliament to vote for the treaty agreed with the EU.

    This parliament has decided that the three realistic options for moving forward are:

    1. Voting through the treaty agreed by the EU.

    2. Voting for a GE

    3. Opposition deciding to exit on WTO terms.

    Since 1 appears unacceptable and Revoke/R2 have been given up on by even the ultra-remainers in parliament it leaves 2 or 3.
  • tysontyson Posts: 6,117


    "Zombie Parliament" is just the latest spin from Cummings. Bozo had a majority of 3 in August. It has been demolished by his actions.

    Basically, a PM needs to be able to cajole and finesse his members, not ride roughshod over them.


    "We need this zombie Parliament gone".... -hmmm--- heard of something like this...."get Brett done"


    I was surprised too that one of our more sensible posters has resorted to mimicking Cummings inspired, anti democratic and quite dangerous populist slogans.....
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,722

    Foxy said:

    PeterC said:

    justin124 said:

    DougSeal said:

    I hope Johnson does accept the SNP/LD challenge and we have the December election.

    But I must admit I am still confused as to why the LDs want this. The SNP I understand as they see themselves making significant gains in Scotland and providing a springboard for another Indy referendum.

    But short of gaining a few seats I don't see what the Lib Dems have to gain from this. I can't believe they are daft enough to think they will actually win so it looks as if they are finally surrendering on Brexit.

    Genuine question, what am I missing here?

    Picking up a good number of seats is best case scenario realistically. We're intelligent enought to realise that going from 19 seats to 320 or so may not be possible - to put it mildly. You can say that you want to win, who wouldn't, but people do look hard headedly at what is achievable and what is not. Which is why all the pearl rattling about the revoke policy is so silly. If the LDs won a majority at the next election, which is what would be required to straight revoke, that would be an earthquake that would put even 2016 in the shade. And I say that as a member.
    But why are they so keen on December rather than - say - February? Johnson's failings might be a fair bit more obvious by that time and potential LD gains at their expense somewhat more extensive.
    You do not have the choice of February or are you ignoring the EU giving the extension to 31st January, almost certainly assisted by the joint Lib Dem - SNP letter to them confirming their desire for a december election, as they have the best chance of a remain supporting HOC post the GE

    It is not certain Boris will gain a majority but labour will lose seats to the conseratives, lib dems, and yes the SNP (yes they will)
    There is an interesting alternative scenario in which there is no GE. Boris decides to knuckle down and try to ratify Brexit. But the ratification fails, and as 31st January approaches so does the inevitability of a shoot out between Revoke and No Deal,
    I hope not.

    We need this zombie Parliament gone and now is not soon enough
    "Zombie Parliament" is just the latest spin from Cummings. Bozo had a majority of 3 in August. It has been demolished by his actions.

    Basically, a PM needs to be able to cajole and finesse his members, not ride roughshod over them.
    Could you tell us how you would 'cajole and finesse' Dominic Grieve, Steve Baker and the DUP into simultaneously voting for a WDA ?
    Those are the MPs that were chosen by the people.
  • Foxy said:

    PeterC said:

    justin124 said:

    DougSeal said:

    I hope Johnson does accept the SNP/LD challenge and we have the December election.



    Genuine question, what am I missing here?

    Picking up a good number of seats is best case scenario realistically. We're intelligent enought to realise that going from 19 seats to 320 or so may not be possible - to put it mildly. You can say that you want to win, who wouldn't, but people do look hard headedly at what is achievable and what is not. Which is why all the pearl rattling about the revoke policy is so silly. If the LDs won a majority at the next election, which is what would be required to straight revoke, that would be an earthquake that would put even 2016 in the shade. And I say that as a member.
    But why are they so keen on December rather than - say - February? Johnson's failings might be a fair bit more obvious by that time and potential LD gains at their expense somewhat more extensive.
    You do not have the choice of February or are you ignoring the EU giving the extension to 31st January, almost certainly assisted by the joint Lib Dem - SNP letter to them confirming their desire for a december election, as they have the best chance of a remain supporting HOC post the GE

    It is not certain Boris will gain a majority but labour will lose seats to the conseratives, lib dems, and yes the SNP (yes they will)
    There is an interesting alternative scenario in which there is no GE. Boris decides to knuckle down and try to ratify Brexit. But the ratification fails, and as 31st January approaches so does the inevitability of a shoot out between Revoke and No Deal,
    I hope not.

    We need this zombie Parliament gone and now is not soon enough
    "Zombie Parliament" is just the latest spin from Cummings. Bozo had a majority of 3 in August. It has been demolished by his actions.

    Basically, a PM needs to be able to cajole and finesse his members, not ride roughshod over them.
    Boris never had a majority.

    May never had a majority from MV1 onwards.

    Pretending there's a majority doesn't mean there was one.
    Theresa won 317 MPs in 2017.

    Boris now has only 288.
  • justin124 said:

    From The Guardian -
    'Britain has no need of an early general election. It needs to get this phase of Brexit sorted first. This parliament was elected to do that. It is the fault of the May and Johnson governments, not of parliament, that it has been so difficult. Mr Johnson’s intemperate goading undoubtedly make things worse. But it is the point of parliament to keep him in check. MPs are making a good job of that. If the ghost of parliaments past could join Monday’s debate it might even say to them: In the name of God, stay, and finish the job.'

    They have a way to finish the job: Ratify the deal. If they genuinely wanted to do that there'd be no need for an extension.

    Is that what you and the Guardian want? Or do you want more delay and dither in the hope that something may turn up down the road that makes Boris and Brexit unpopular before the job is finished?
  • NooNoo Posts: 2,380
    tyson said:

    I was surprised too that one of our more sensible posters has resorted to mimicking Cummings inspired, anti democratic and quite dangerous populist slogans.....

    If you mean "Big G", then "sensible" no longer applies. He went away on a cruise and must have picked up some kind of brain parasite from an undercooked prawn because he's been utterly bonkers since he came back.
  • justin124 said:

    From The Guardian -
    'Britain has no need of an early general election. It needs to get this phase of Brexit sorted first. This parliament was elected to do that. It is the fault of the May and Johnson governments, not of parliament, that it has been so difficult. Mr Johnson’s intemperate goading undoubtedly make things worse. But it is the point of parliament to keep him in check. MPs are making a good job of that. If the ghost of parliaments past could join Monday’s debate it might even say to them: In the name of God, stay, and finish the job.'

    More bullshit than their article on why thomas the tank engine is every -ist under the sun.
    Steam trains emit greenhouse gases!
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,622
    edited October 2019
    Foxy said:



    Foxy said:



    "Zombie Parliament" is just the latest spin from Cummings. Bozo had a majority of 3 in August. It has been demolished by his actions.

    Basically, a PM needs to be able to cajole and finesse his members, not ride roughshod over them.

    Could you tell us how you would 'cajole and finesse' Dominic Grieve, Steve Baker and the DUP into simultaneously voting for a WDA ?
    Those are the MPs that were chosen by the people.
    So you can't provide an answer.

    Not surprisingly because there isn't one.

    Boris has never had a majority when it comes to votes in parliament.
This discussion has been closed.