It is worth noting, however, that Rasmussen has a strong Republican tilt. They even forecast the Republicans would win the Congressional ballot last time around. (Actual result: D + 9)
The Classical music aficianados are back slapping, only to be chin scratching when the X factor winners prove to be more popular
The sun don’t even have a voodoo poll to back their bias up.
And hulk v spider woman is a better headline.
What will it take for leavers to come to their senses? What is it you really want? Boris tears throat out of young babies to ensure brexit, and here’s a poll supporting him doing it?
There’s more to this world and country than brexit.
Let the result stand then and get on with the other stuff
Let it stand, but it’s still not for ever. For how long? Remain or leave now and it could be completely the other way round in 8 years as new ways explored and don’t prove better and the electorate changes.
You leavers are becoming obsessed and consumed by brexit, but what will it really bring you? Something of more value than everything being trashed getting there?
And what is honouring the cherished 2016 result anyway, leave with no deal, full clean break, or only with the promised easy deal, sunlit uplands, brexit dividend to spray around?
You are lost.
Its not Leavers going on marches to try and get the result overturned/organising second referendums etc. If it's no big deal, just accept we won.
The main issue with Laura is not her bias. It’s that she’s just a bit shit. Probably the most ordinary, mediocre journalist ever to get that job. Just crap.
That is ridiculous. She is one of the BBC's best journalists. Far better than Peston ever was.
LOL.
She hasn’t broken a decent story in living memory.
Laura has been effectively acting as government PR on this. Unattributed quote criticising the judges and judge positive reporting on can do spirit and attitude.
This is more shameless than Nick Robinson's post election performance in 2010
She just parrots the government (or, less occasionally, the opposition) line.
She is a lazy non-journalist, who couldn’t find a story in a Beatrix Potter compendium.
This really is a energetic campaign against her by Labour isn’t it ?
🤔I’m nothing to do with the Labour Party. Laura is just, well, a bit crap.
Laura has been effectively acting as government PR on this. Unattributed quote criticising the judges and judge positive reporting on can do spirit and attitude.
This is more shameless than Nick Robinson's post election performance in 2010
She just parrots the government (or, less occasionally, the opposition) line.
She is a lazy non-journalist, who couldn’t find a story in a Beatrix Potter compendium.
This really is a energetic campaign against her by Labour isn’t it ?
TGOHF2 the sequel???
Who would buy a ticket after enduring the original?
Laura has been effectively acting as government PR on this. Unattributed quote criticising the judges and judge positive reporting on can do spirit and attitude.
This is more shameless than Nick Robinson's post election performance in 2010
She just parrots the government (or, less occasionally, the opposition) line.
She is a lazy non-journalist, who couldn’t find a story in a Beatrix Potter compendium.
Yes, I think she means well and isn't (intentionally) biased, but she's hopelessly out of her depth. She completely misunderstands what the role of a political journalist is supposed to be.
The contrast between her analysis and Katya Adler's, when they put the two of them on back-to-back, is so obvious.
She is effectively a newsreader, with Tory and Labour HQs providing the script, via their press offices.
Laura has been effectively acting as government PR on this. Unattributed quote criticising the judges and judge positive reporting on can do spirit and attitude.
This is more shameless than Nick Robinson's post election performance in 2010
She just parrots the government (or, less occasionally, the opposition) line.
She is a lazy non-journalist, who couldn’t find a story in a Beatrix Potter compendium.
This really is a energetic campaign against her by Labour isn’t it ?
TGOHF2 the sequel???
Who would buy a ticket after enduring the original?
How many "sequels" have we had to endure from you over the years?
Well done, @Tissue_Price ! And should you ever need a researcher, I hope I may advance my humble self - I am a statistician with considerable knowledge of the political milieu, security clearance (although now expired) and a fine singing voice...
Laura has been effectively acting as government PR on this. Unattributed quote criticising the judges and judge positive reporting on can do spirit and attitude.
This is more shameless than Nick Robinson's post election performance in 2010
She just parrots the government (or, less occasionally, the opposition) line.
She is a lazy non-journalist, who couldn’t find a story in a Beatrix Potter compendium.
This really is a energetic campaign against her by Labour isn’t it ?
TGOHF2 the sequel???
Who would buy a ticket after enduring the original?
How many "sequels" have we had to endure from you over the years?
On topic This is brilliant news. The coverage this will generate about Trump's crimes will be extremely valuable in bringing down the worst president in US history. Do I think the senate will convict? No. It's not impossible but it's pretty close. Will it make a difference? Absolutely. There's a shit-tonne of stuff that is in the public domain that the US public is not paying attention to. This is the start of all that cutting through.
Off topic Congratulations Tissue_Price. Don't take it personally -- because it's about your scumbag party, not you -- when I say I hope you lose your deposit.
It is September 2019, fourteen months before November 2020 Trump's popularity with registered voters is 44.3% in September 2019 Trump's popularity with registered voters on election day 2020 will be Z%
It is September 2015, fourteen months before November 2016 Trump's popularity with registered voters was Y% in September 2015 Trump's popularity with registered voters on election day 2016 was 46.1%
In order to estimate Z%, I need to know what Y% is.
It is September 2019, fourteen months before November 2020 Trump's popularity with registered voters is 44.3% in September 2019 Trump's popularity with registered voters on election day 2020 will be Z%
It is September 2015, fourteen months before November 2016 Trump's popularity with registered voters was Y% in September 2015 Trump's popularity with registered voters on election day 2016 was 46.1%
In order to estimate Z%, I need to know what Y% is.
Obama was at 42.6% approval on that chart at this stage of his presidency, a year later he was re elected with 51% to 47% for Romney
It is September 2019, fourteen months before November 2020 Trump's popularity with registered voters is 44.3% in September 2019 Trump's popularity with registered voters on election day 2020 will be Z%
It is September 2015, fourteen months before November 2016 Trump's popularity with registered voters was Y% in September 2015 Trump's popularity with registered voters on election day 2016 was 46.1%
In order to estimate Z%, I need to know what Y% is.
It is September 2019, fourteen months before November 2020 Trump's popularity with registered voters is 44.3% in September 2019 Trump's popularity with registered voters on election day 2020 will be Z%
It is September 2015, fourteen months before November 2016 Trump's popularity with registered voters was Y% in September 2015 Trump's popularity with registered voters on election day 2016 was 46.1%
In order to estimate Z%, I need to know what Y% is.
Obama was at 42.6% approval on that chart at this stage of his presidency, a year later he was re elected with 51% to 47% for Romney
I don't think it's meaningful to talk solely of gross approval. You need to look at net.
It is September 2019, fourteen months before November 2020 Trump's popularity with registered voters is 44.3% in September 2019 Trump's popularity with registered voters on election day 2020 will be Z%
It is September 2015, fourteen months before November 2016 Trump's popularity with registered voters was Y% in September 2015 Trump's popularity with registered voters on election day 2016 was 46.1%
In order to estimate Z%, I need to know what Y% is.
It is September 2019, fourteen months before November 2020 * Trump's popularity with registered voters is 44.3% in September 2019 * Trump's popularity with registered voters will be Z1% on Nov 7th 2016 * Trump's vote on election day 2016 will be Z2%
It is September 2015, fourteen months before November 2016 * Trump's popularity with registered voters was 38.6% in September 27th 2015 * Trump's popularity with registered voters was 40.9% on Nov 7th 2016 * Trump's vote on election day 2016 was 46.1%
It is September 2011, fourteen months before November 2012 * Obama's popularity with registered voters is 47.2% in September 25th 2011 * Obama's popularity with registered voters was 44.2 on Oct 30th 2012 (couldn't find one for Nov) * Obama's vote on election day 2016 was 51.1%
There was recently some discussion about employment changes in individual US states and someone (Foxy ??) wondered what the corresponding UK situation would be.
Well after looking at more than enough ONS data these are the changes in employment and unemployment rates in the three years since the Referendum:
With the overall UK employment rate increasing by 1.6% and unemployment rate decreasing by 1.1%.
Which means that the West Midlands, South West and Northern Ireland have done better than average on both employment and unemployment rates while East Midlands, East, South East, Wales and Scotland have done worse than average on both measures.
This doesn't give any indication as to variations within each region.
It was me, but I was more interested in shorter term changes, perhaps quarterly, as a leading indicator of recession and where it is hitting. Inspired by this:
The problem is that the ONS regional data is a bit erratic and I suspect that the USA will have similar problems.
For what its worth the change in employment rate from the last quarter is:
West Mids +0.7% Norn Ire +0.7% South West +0.6% East Mids +0.5% North East +0.4% South East +0.4% Yorkshire +0.2% East -0.0% North West -0.3% London -0.6% Wales -0.8% Scotland -1.0%
Not much of a pattern I'm afraid.
That’s not good for London, sadly.
Presumably you will be happy about that?
London's unemployment rate has been higher than the national average since at least 1992 and possibly many years earlier:
Comments
She hasn’t broken a decent story in living memory.
Today’s SC ruling will reinforce the narrative that he can’t be trusted and is a liar.
If Bozo can lie to the Queen , lie to MPs and lie to the public why on earth would you trust him on the NHS and any other promises he might make .
Laura is just, well, a bit crap.
Voters want what they voted for implemented and they couldn't give a **** if they have to elect a proven lier to do it.
Nite all.
This is brilliant news. The coverage this will generate about Trump's crimes will be extremely valuable in bringing down the worst president in US history.
Do I think the senate will convict? No. It's not impossible but it's pretty close. Will it make a difference? Absolutely. There's a shit-tonne of stuff that is in the public domain that the US public is not paying attention to. This is the start of all that cutting through.
Off topic
Congratulations Tissue_Price. Don't take it personally -- because it's about your scumbag party, not you -- when I say I hope you lose your deposit.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/voters/
Trump's popularity with registered voters is 44.3% in September 2019
Trump's popularity with registered voters on election day 2020 will be Z%
It is September 2015, fourteen months before November 2016
Trump's popularity with registered voters was Y% in September 2015
Trump's popularity with registered voters on election day 2016 was 46.1%
In order to estimate Z%, I need to know what Y% is.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-49819686
https://twitter.com/grantstern/status/1176652637472776197
It is September 2019, fourteen months before November 2020
* Trump's popularity with registered voters is 44.3% in September 2019
* Trump's popularity with registered voters will be Z1% on Nov 7th 2016
* Trump's vote on election day 2016 will be Z2%
It is September 2015, fourteen months before November 2016
* Trump's popularity with registered voters was 38.6% in September 27th 2015
* Trump's popularity with registered voters was 40.9% on Nov 7th 2016
* Trump's vote on election day 2016 was 46.1%
It is September 2011, fourteen months before November 2012
* Obama's popularity with registered voters is 47.2% in September 25th 2011
* Obama's popularity with registered voters was 44.2 on Oct 30th 2012 (couldn't find one for Nov)
* Obama's vote on election day 2016 was 51.1%
See https://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/donald-trump-favorable-rating and https://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/obama-favorable-rating
https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peoplenotinwork/unemployment/timeseries/ycni/lms
https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peoplenotinwork/unemployment/timeseries/mgsx/lms
Why that is would be a better question for you to ask.