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  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,237

    Corbyns position is support GE once Benn has royal assent

    Indeed, but things could get well messy. Nov looks too long and Oct too short to me. But not so much that my wallet is coming out. It stays right where it is - up in the attic under (as I recall) a pile of old school reports.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,733

    ydoethur said:

    Morning all and quite clear that if the Remoaners pass their Surrender Bill today, Boris has to make clear he will not ask for an extension, law or no law. Lots of safe Tory seats now up for grabs to aspiring anti-EU candidates as we see the party axe those who think their opinions matter more than the 17.4 million. A people v parliament election is clearly looming and ordinary people will not appreciate Corbyn preventing a GE having called for one since 2017. The Tory manifesto could contain a clause stating that a re-elected Boris government will revoke today's Remoaners Surrender Act.

    16.1 million people definitely did not want No Deal. I suspect that a maximum of only 5% of the 17.4 million wanted it.
    That's wishful thinking. There's no reason to think a large number of the 17.4 million didn't want it. Whether they fully understood what the possible consequences are is another question.
    There is a clear reason, people told us.

    https://whatukthinks.org/eu/questions/how-should-britain-negotiate-its-future-relationship-with-the-eu-now-we-have-voted-to-leave/

    Back in 2016 after the referendum, about 10% wanted to leave the EU completely and 55% wanted to do a deal with the EU.
    On the subject of No Deal, I agree with Ivan Rogers that the short term issues, while significant are dwarfed by the long term. Well worth the read:

    https://twitter.com/foxinsoxuk/status/1169134905713971206?s=19
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,133
    edited September 2019
    My Resignation


    I am writing to resign my membership of the party with immediate effect

    Yesterday, the party took leave of its senses with Boris’s performance at the dispatch box all bluster and no answers, Jacob Rees Mogg in an act of crass stupidity lounging across the green benches and providing gold dust for a GE campaign to our opponents, not least of which the Sots, who lost no time on capitalising by it headlining the photograph in most Scots papers.

    However, worst of all how on earth can Boris justify withdrawing the whip from 21 dedicated conservatives, most of whom voted for Theresa’s deal while the ERG MP’s, who must carry a large part of the blame for where we are, are lauded and indeed behind this act of wanton revenge . How can our party withdraw the whip from Ken Clarke and send him onto the opposition benches, it is just so unacceptable and sickening.

    In all of this though, we cannot understand how we have allowed the poisonous Dominic Cummings into No 10. He is turning our party into the Nigel Farage tribute act and it is so depressing

    I will not be joining another party but shed a tear for my once great party and only hope I may one day see the One Nation Conservative party again but at my age (76) I will not hold my breath.

    Yours sincerely

  • Foxy said:

    ydoethur said:

    Morning all and quite clear that if the Remoaners pass their Surrender Bill today, Boris has to make clear he will not ask for an extension, law or no law. Lots of safe Tory seats now up for grabs to aspiring anti-EU candidates as we see the party axe those who think their opinions matter more than the 17.4 million. A people v parliament election is clearly looming and ordinary people will not appreciate Corbyn preventing a GE having called for one since 2017. The Tory manifesto could contain a clause stating that a re-elected Boris government will revoke today's Remoaners Surrender Act.

    16.1 million people definitely did not want No Deal. I suspect that a maximum of only 5% of the 17.4 million wanted it.
    That's wishful thinking. There's no reason to think a large number of the 17.4 million didn't want it. Whether they fully understood what the possible consequences are is another question.
    There is a clear reason, people told us.

    https://whatukthinks.org/eu/questions/how-should-britain-negotiate-its-future-relationship-with-the-eu-now-we-have-voted-to-leave/

    Back in 2016 after the referendum, about 10% wanted to leave the EU completely and 55% wanted to do a deal with the EU.
    On the subject of No Deal, I agree with Ivan Rogers that the short term issues, while significant are dwarfed by the long term. Well worth the read:

    https://twitter.com/foxinsoxuk/status/1169134905713971206?s=19
    Bold to claim any one action was Theresa May’s biggest mistake. There’s a veritable smorgasbord to choose from.
  • eristdooferistdoof Posts: 5,065

    kinabalu said:

    You can still lay an election this year at 1.18 this morning.

    And Oct still as short as 1.7. That surprises me slightly. Looks no more than 50/50 to me.
    Corbyns position is support GE once Benn has royal assent
    and what difference does it make ?

    If Corbyn wins he will have tied his own hands . If BoJo wins hell just reverse the decision. If its a hung Parlt theyll just waste the time and go off on conferences and their Christmas holidays. Its a nonsense.
    This is only true, if you believe that a no-deal is acceptable.
  • ab195 said:

    ab195 said:

    Basically, we now nothing until Corbyn speaks later, but he seemed quite supportive of an election last night.

    I remain unconvinced the 21 ex-Tories would support (or fail to oppose) a Corbyn ministry now they know the Bill has passed. Losing the whip is one thing, but you’d presume doing that would start to hit them amongst their friends (I do think being looked down on my their mates will matter).

    It also feels like Swinson is getting what she wanted without the need for Corbyn. That being the case, some sort of agreement over an election seems likely in the next two days.

    However, like everyone on here I’m prone to expecting what I want to happen, and sometimes have a blind spot for the other point of view. I’m guessing it’ll all be clearer after PMQs, once Milne has a chance to brief.

    The bill passing is not enough. At a minimum it needs to be effective in law which requires unambiguous commitments from the executive to comply with it, which is incompatible with the PMs election spin. That tension is what creates the likelihood for Corbyn shortly becoming PM - the rebel alliance have control and wont give it up, will the PM find a way to back down and implement the law?
    But take the numbers a few posts up. Given what we know of Woodcock and co, noting that Hoey and Mann have nailed colours to the mast, and assuming you accept that at least half of the former Tories would never countenance Corbyn (I think higher); there is no way Corbyn makes headway without an election. And he has about 48 hours to decide. After that the Gvt will look more powerful than it is because of prorogation. I think he’ll find a way to support an election.

    But as I say I’m acutely aware I (like the rest of us) am biased by what I’d like to see here so I wouldn’t bet on it (literally - I closed out my October election bet the other night).
    There are no good outcomes (I would like the Tory and Labour parties, or at least one of them, to elect a sensible, co-operative mainstream leader rather than a divisive figure, but its not going to happen for years).

    I expect the likes of Gauke and Hammond have spent very little time thinking of under what scenarios they would back a Corbyn govt in their lifetime so far.

    Over the next couple of days they will inevitably be thinking about, at a time wen they feel betrayed and let down by the disgraceful treatment of the PM and the acquiesence of their former party.

    Rationally they get more of what they want under Corbyn. Emotionally they may want revenge. In terms of honour, being forced out of the party removes their obligations.

    They may have a different answer to Corbyn being PM than people are expecting.
  • Morning all.

    So there was a reason JRM was in the backbenches for so long then?
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 33,478
    ydoethur said:

    DavidL said:

    DavidL said:

    Drutt said:

    Anyway, while there is nothing much happening in the world of politics, we have the fourth Ashes test.

    I'd leave BBC Parliament on. It's going to rain an awful lot for the first three days. 3.5 for the draw seems like good value.
    There is every chance that England will lose the Ashes on the back of 2 no results. Ashes matches in September in England. What were they thinking?
    There was little option because of the World Cup.
    Then we should have waited a year and had them next year. Our weather is just too dodgy after mid August. This series is or should be the apex of the sport, not an after thought.
    The ECB is, one way and another, about as competent as the present 'Government'! There was no real need to have the Ashes series and the World Cup in the same year. And I won't start on the second class rubbish which is The Hundred.
    That's unfair, your Venerable Cheerful Majesty.

    Even Boris Johnson has never come up with something as daft as the Hundred.

    Cummings' exam reforms, that's a trickier call.
    I don't know Dr; county cricket starts at 10.30 because of the well-known fact that it gets dark earlier in the evenings in September. Test cricket doesn't. 11-6+. How much time will be lost to bad light?
    Off-topic Grandson 2 starts his A level course today, inc. History. I'm not, at time of writing sure what period he's focussing on; was talking about mediaeval England. Shall have to make sure he includes Glyndŵr.
  • My Resignation


    I am writing to resign my membership of the party with immediate effect

    Yesterday, the party took leave of its senses with Boris’s performance at the dispatch box all bluster and no answers, Jacob Rees Mogg in an act of crass stupidity lounging across the green benches and providing gold dust for a GE campaign to our opponents, not least of which the Sots, who lost no time on capitalising by it headlining the photograph in most Scots papers.

    However, worst of all how on earth can Boris justify withdrawing the whip from 21 dedicated conservatives, most of whom voted for Theresa’s deal while the ERG MP’s, who must carry a large part of the blame for where we are, are lauded and indeed behind this act of wanton revenge . How can our party withdraw the whip from Ken Clarke and send him onto the opposition benches, it is just so unacceptable and sickening.

    In all of this though, we cannot understand how we have allowed the poisonous Dominic Cummings into No 10. He is turning our party into the Nigel Farage tribute act and it is so depressing

    I will not be joining another party but shed a tear for my once great party and only hope I may one day see the One Nation Conservative party again but at my age (76) I will not hold my breath.

    Yours sincerely

    As always, my sympathies to anyone who feels abandoned by their party. While not one of life’s joiners, I recognise the wrench it must be for you.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,733
    I wonder who in PMQs will ask for an update on the negotiations. They don't seem to have progressed to the "tea or coffee?" point yet:

    https://twitter.com/RCorbettMEP/status/1168887696846204930?s=19
  • kinabalu said:

    Corbyns position is support GE once Benn has royal assent

    Indeed, but things could get well messy. Nov looks too long and Oct too short to me. But not so much that my wallet is coming out. It stays right where it is - up in the attic under (as I recall) a pile of old school reports.
    Sounds like it is a similar place my beloved Scottish lady wife keeps her purse !!!!!!
  • eekeek Posts: 28,406
    ydoethur said:

    Morning all and quite clear that if the Remoaners pass their Surrender Bill today, Boris has to make clear he will not ask for an extension, law or no law. Lots of safe Tory seats now up for grabs to aspiring anti-EU candidates as we see the party axe those who think their opinions matter more than the 17.4 million. A people v parliament election is clearly looming and ordinary people will not appreciate Corbyn preventing a GE having called for one since 2017. The Tory manifesto could contain a clause stating that a re-elected Boris government will revoke today's Remoaners Surrender Act.

    16.1 million people definitely did not want No Deal. I suspect that a maximum of only 5% of the 17.4 million wanted it.
    That's wishful thinking. There's no reason to think a large number of the 17.4 million didn't want it. Whether they fully understood what the possible consequences are is another question.
    Given that a No Deal Brexit is BXP policy we can probably say at least 15% of the population (say 5million) are happy with / don't understand what a No Deal Brexit will mean.
  • Well done, @Big_G_NorthWales .
  • My Resignation


    I am writing to resign my membership of the party with immediate effect

    Yesterday, the party took leave of its senses with Boris’s performance at the dispatch box all bluster and no answers, Jacob Rees Mogg in an act of crass stupidity lounging across the green benches and providing gold dust for a GE campaign to our opponents, not least of which the Sots, who lost no time on capitalising by it headlining the photograph in most Scots papers.

    However, worst of all how on earth can Boris justify withdrawing the whip from 21 dedicated conservatives, most of whom voted for Theresa’s deal while the ERG MP’s, who must carry a large part of the blame for where we are, are lauded and indeed behind this act of wanton revenge . How can our party withdraw the whip from Ken Clarke and send him onto the opposition benches, it is just so unacceptable and sickening.

    In all of this though, we cannot understand how we have allowed the poisonous Dominic Cummings into No 10. He is turning our party into the Nigel Farage tribute act and it is so depressing

    I will not be joining another party but shed a tear for my once great party and only hope I may one day see the One Nation Conservative party again but at my age (76) I will not hold my breath.

    Yours sincerely

    As always, my sympathies to anyone who feels abandoned by their party. While not one of life’s joiners, I recognise the wrench it must be for you.
    Thank you Alastair.

    As you know I have tried to give Boris a chance but yesterday blew that away

    I shall comment further later on
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 13,677
    Foxy said:

    I wonder who in PMQs will ask for an update on the negotiations. They don't seem to have progressed to the "tea or coffee?" point yet:

    https://twitter.com/RCorbettMEP/status/1168887696846204930?s=19

    How many of his 30 days has Boris got left?
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,617

    kinabalu said:

    You can still lay an election this year at 1.18 this morning.

    And Oct still as short as 1.7. That surprises me slightly. Looks no more than 50/50 to me.
    Corbyns position is support GE once Benn has royal assent
    Which it won't get, because the Lord's will block it:

    https://order-order.com/2019/09/04/revealed-lords-plan-block-remainer-legislation/

    Then what?
  • ab195ab195 Posts: 477

    ab195 said:

    ab195 said:

    Basically, we now nothing until Corbyn speaks later, but he seemed quite supportive of an election last night.

    I remain unconvinced the 21 ex-Tories would support (or fail to oppose) a Corbyn ministry now they know the Bill has passed. Losing the whip is one thing, but you’d presume doing that would start to hit them amongst their friends (I do think being looked down on my their mates will matter).

    It also feels like Swinson is getting what she wanted without the need for Corbyn. That being the case, some sort of agreement over an election seems likely in the next two days.

    However, like everyone on here I’m prone to expecting what I want to happen, and sometimes have a blind spot for the other point of view. I’m guessing it’ll all be clearer after PMQs, once Milne has a chance to brief.

    The bill passing is not enough. At a minimum it needs to be effective in law which requires unambiguous commitments from the executive to comply with it, which is incompatible with the PMs election spin. That tension is what creates the likelihood for Corbyn shortly becoming PM - the rebel alliance have control and wont give it up, will the PM find a way to back down and implement the law?
    But take the numbers a few posts up

    But as I say I’m acutely aware I (like the rest of us) am biased by what I’d like to see here so I wouldn’t bet on it (literally - I closed out my October election bet the other night).
    There are no good outcomes (I would like the Tory and Labour parties, or at least one of them, to elect a sensible, co-operative mainstream leader rather than a divisive figure, but its not going to happen for years).

    I expect the likes of Gauke and Hammond have spent very little time thinking of under what scenarios they would back a Corbyn govt in their lifetime so far.

    Over the next couple of days they will inevitably be thinking about, at a time wen they feel betrayed and let down by the disgraceful treatment of the PM and the acquiesence of their former party.

    Rationally they get more of what they want under Corbyn. Emotionally they may want revenge. In terms of honour, being forced out of the party removes their obligations.

    They may have a different answer to Corbyn being PM than people are expecting.
    Fair point. But it would take almost all of them, and look at Rory Stewart’s comments this morning for example.
  • kinabalu said:
    I'm not his biggest fan but I think way too much is being made of this. He's a tall guy and was trying to listen to the loudspeaker behind him.

    Not that it will do any good of course because it makes a lovely photo.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,362
    kinabalu said:
    Mogg is the bellend of bellends
  • Well done, @Big_G_NorthWales .

    Thank you and it is very hard
  • eekeek Posts: 28,406

    kinabalu said:
    A cynical person might think this govt wants no responsibility for delivering Brexit so is self sabotaging in order to hand the torch over to the opposition to sort out the mess. This allows the PM and his merry elites to cry treason and blame everyone else but themselves.
    Yep - it's why you want Boris to remain in charge as the figurehead but utterly unable to control events. Especially as the events are of his own making.
  • kinabalu said:

    You can still lay an election this year at 1.18 this morning.

    And Oct still as short as 1.7. That surprises me slightly. Looks no more than 50/50 to me.
    Corbyns position is support GE once Benn has royal assent
    and what difference does it make ?

    If Corbyn wins he will have tied his own hands . If BoJo wins hell just reverse the decision. If its a hung Parlt theyll just waste the time and go off on conferences and their Christmas holidays. Its a nonsense.
    Well it is odds on the next parliament is hung so the idea it is easy to reverse is not true in the majority of cases.

    (Not everyone will agree, but I also think Boris actually wants an extension, imposed on him by parliament, and win a majority to give him 3 months negotiating with the EU, without having to negotiate with parliament at the same time. That scenario could produce a realistic Brexit outcome he would be happy to own.)
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633

    kinabalu said:

    You can still lay an election this year at 1.18 this morning.

    And Oct still as short as 1.7. That surprises me slightly. Looks no more than 50/50 to me.
    Corbyns position is support GE once Benn has royal assent
    Which it won't get, because the Lord's will block it:

    https://order-order.com/2019/09/04/revealed-lords-plan-block-remainer-legislation/

    Then what?
    GE or no deal on the 31st Dec.
  • My Resignation


    I am writing to resign my membership of the party with immediate effect

    Yesterday, the party took leave of its senses with Boris’s performance at the dispatch box all bluster and no answers, Jacob Rees Mogg in an act of crass stupidity lounging across the green benches and providing gold dust for a GE campaign to our opponents, not least of which the Sots, who lost no time on capitalising by it headlining the photograph in most Scots papers.

    However, worst of all how on earth can Boris justify withdrawing the whip from 21 dedicated conservatives, most of whom voted for Theresa’s deal while the ERG MP’s, who must carry a large part of the blame for where we are, are lauded and indeed behind this act of wanton revenge . How can our party withdraw the whip from Ken Clarke and send him onto the opposition benches, it is just so unacceptable and sickening.

    In all of this though, we cannot understand how we have allowed the poisonous Dominic Cummings into No 10. He is turning our party into the Nigel Farage tribute act and it is so depressing

    I will not be joining another party but shed a tear for my once great party and only hope I may one day see the One Nation Conservative party again but at my age (76) I will not hold my breath.

    Yours sincerely

    How many times have you resigned now?

    You said you had a few weeks ago when Richard Nabavi and David Herdson did.

    Maybe we'll see a third resignation in mid October when it looks like No Deal is imminent following the EU council meeting.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,733
    Dura_Ace said:

    Foxy said:

    I wonder who in PMQs will ask for an update on the negotiations. They don't seem to have progressed to the "tea or coffee?" point yet:

    https://twitter.com/RCorbettMEP/status/1168887696846204930?s=19

    How many of his 30 days has Boris got left?
    Be reasonable! he has a new puppy to play with. He cannot find the time to meet with foreigners...
  • ydoethur said:

    Morning all and quite clear that if the Remoaners pass their Surrender Bill today, Boris has to make clear he will not ask for an extension, law or no law. Lots of safe Tory seats now up for grabs to aspiring anti-EU candidates as we see the party axe those who think their opinions matter more than the 17.4 million. A people v parliament election is clearly looming and ordinary people will not appreciate Corbyn preventing a GE having called for one since 2017. The Tory manifesto could contain a clause stating that a re-elected Boris government will revoke today's Remoaners Surrender Act.

    16.1 million people definitely did not want No Deal. I suspect that a maximum of only 5% of the 17.4 million wanted it.
    That's wishful thinking. There's no reason to think a large number of the 17.4 million didn't want it. Whether they fully understood what the possible consequences are is another question.
    There is a clear reason, people told us.

    https://whatukthinks.org/eu/questions/how-should-britain-negotiate-its-future-relationship-with-the-eu-now-we-have-voted-to-leave/

    Back in 2016 after the referendum, about 10% wanted to leave the EU completely and 55% wanted to do a deal with the EU.
    I wanted to do a deal with the EU.

    I also want to win the lottery. A deal agreeable to all parties has proven to be a unicorn.
  • ByronicByronic Posts: 3,578
    malcolmg said:

    kinabalu said:
    Mogg is the bellend of bellends
    I defended JRM yesterday. And, to be fair, he is doubled up uncomfortably in other images - clearly trying to listen to the audio speakers in the woodwork.

    However some photos show his lolling head nowhere near the bench. He was, apparently, just loafing. Dick.
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,534

    Chris said:

    I think either he will accept the bill in return for GE Oct 15 or if consent is required threaten no consent without GE, against Corbyns No GE without bill

    Doesn't our whole constitution depend on the monarch always assenting to bills passed by Parliament?

    Given the protests already seen over prorogation what will we see if assent is withheld?
    Not assent, consent. If a bill affects the royal prerogative it requires royal consent to reach the end of the parliamentary process which must be proposed by a minister. Assent is rubber stamping something that's passed all 3 readings etc
    This blog post by Robert Craig concludes that, unlike the Cooper-Letwin bill, the Benn bill does require Queen's Consent:
    https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/brexit/2019/09/02/proponents-of-the-new-bill-to-stop-no-deal-face-a-significant-dilemma-over-queens-consent/
    Its a moot point, if the PM refuses to get royal consent and the Queen allows this, parliament will install a new PM, who will do it.
    Yes, I think that the Corbyn caretaker option will then kick in - it's moved from the "Impossible!" category to the "Hmm, I dunno" category already, and the Government refusing to allow a majority in both Houses to carry a Bill would IMO kick it over the line.
  • My Resignation


    I am writing to resign my membership of the party with immediate effect

    Yesterday, the party took leave of its senses with Boris’s performance at the dispatch box all bluster and no answers, Jacob Rees Mogg in an act of crass stupidity lounging across the green benches and providing gold dust for a GE campaign to our opponents, not least of which the Sots, who lost no time on capitalising by it headlining the photograph in most Scots papers.

    However, worst of all how on earth can Boris justify withdrawing the whip from 21 dedicated conservatives, most of whom voted for Theresa’s deal while the ERG MP’s, who must carry a large part of the blame for where we are, are lauded and indeed behind this act of wanton revenge . How can our party withdraw the whip from Ken Clarke and send him onto the opposition benches, it is just so unacceptable and sickening.

    In all of this though, we cannot understand how we have allowed the poisonous Dominic Cummings into No 10. He is turning our party into the Nigel Farage tribute act and it is so depressing

    I will not be joining another party but shed a tear for my once great party and only hope I may one day see the One Nation Conservative party again but at my age (76) I will not hold my breath.

    Yours sincerely

    As always, my sympathies to anyone who feels abandoned by their party. While not one of life’s joiners, I recognise the wrench it must be for you.
    Thank you Alastair.

    As you know I have tried to give Boris a chance but yesterday blew that away

    I shall comment further later on
    Pb.com waits on tenterhooks.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,406
    edited September 2019

    kinabalu said:
    I'm not his biggest fan but I think way too much is being made of this. He's a tall guy and was trying to listen to the loudspeaker behind him.

    Not that it will do any good of course because it makes a lovely photo.
    There is no speaker behind his head, they are in the middle of the seats behind the round "roses". You can see where they are in the seat behind him.
  • I am Ken.
  • ByronicByronic Posts: 3,578

    My Resignation


    I am writing to resign my membership of the party with immediate effect

    Yesterday, the party took leave of its senses with Boris’s performance at the dispatch box all bluster and no answers, Jacob Rees Mogg in an act of crass stupidity lounging across the green benches and providing gold dust for a GE campaign to our opponents, not least of which the Sots, who lost no time on capitalising by it headlining the photograph in most Scots papers.

    However, worst of all how on earth can Boris justify withdrawing the whip from 21 dedicated conservatives, most of whom voted for Theresa’s deal while the ERG MP’s, who must carry a large part of the blame for where we are, are lauded and indeed behind this act of wanton revenge . How can our party withdraw the whip from Ken Clarke and send him onto the opposition benches, it is just so unacceptable and sickening.

    In all of this though, we cannot understand how we have allowed the poisonous Dominic Cummings into No 10. He is turning our party into the Nigel Farage tribute act and it is so depressing

    I will not be joining another party but shed a tear for my once great party and only hope I may one day see the One Nation Conservative party again but at my age (76) I will not hold my breath.

    Yours sincerely

    As always, my sympathies to anyone who feels abandoned by their party. While not one of life’s joiners, I recognise the wrench it must be for you.
    Thank you Alastair.

    As you know I have tried to give Boris a chance but yesterday blew that away

    I shall comment further later on
    Good luck, Big G. Sorry I called you “a moron” yesterday. Heightened emotions etc.
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,534
    Byronic said:



    Arrogant, lazy, casual, frivolous, complacent ...

    You're sure these adjectives apply most to Clarke among the people we have on view?
  • That’s a very good article indeed and should be required reading, no matter what your worldview.
    Agreed.

    Interesting he offers EEA as a possible compromise if Boris's current strategy doesn't work.
    Well that’s clearly not going to fly with the headbangers until they’ve had buckets of cold sick poured over them by the electorate, and maybe not even then. A bit like those Labour MPs who have just proposed Theresa May’s deal, the likelihood is that Leavers will realise too late their best option.
    Quite possibly.

    I'm trying to be optimistic.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,238

    My Resignation


    I am writing to resign my membership of the party with immediate effect

    Yesterday, the party took leave of its senses with Boris’s performance at the dispatch box all bluster and no answers, Jacob Rees Mogg in an act of crass stupidity lounging across the green benches and providing gold dust for a GE campaign to our opponents, not least of which the Sots, who lost no time on capitalising by it headlining the photograph in most Scots papers.

    However, worst of all how on earth can Boris justify withdrawing the whip from 21 dedicated conservatives, most of whom voted for Theresa’s deal while the ERG MP’s, who must carry a large part of the blame for where we are, are lauded and indeed behind this act of wanton revenge . How can our party withdraw the whip from Ken Clarke and send him onto the opposition benches, it is just so unacceptable and sickening.

    In all of this though, we cannot understand how we have allowed the poisonous Dominic Cummings into No 10. He is turning our party into the Nigel Farage tribute act and it is so depressing

    I will not be joining another party but shed a tear for my once great party and only hope I may one day see the One Nation Conservative party again but at my age (76) I will not hold my breath.

    Yours sincerely

    How many times have you resigned now?

    You said you had a few weeks ago when Richard Nabavi and David Herdson did.

    Maybe we'll see a third resignation in mid October when it looks like No Deal is imminent following the EU council meeting.
    Simply and uncharitably incorrect.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,406
    Byronic said:

    malcolmg said:

    kinabalu said:
    Mogg is the bellend of bellends
    I defended JRM yesterday. And, to be fair, he is doubled up uncomfortably in other images - clearly trying to listen to the audio speakers in the woodwork.

    However some photos show his lolling head nowhere near the bench. He was, apparently, just loafing. Dick.
    Yep - there is no speaker at the end of a row - look for the "roses"
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,675
    Have we seen Boris’ deal proposal yet?
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,413

    kinabalu said:

    You can still lay an election this year at 1.18 this morning.

    And Oct still as short as 1.7. That surprises me slightly. Looks no more than 50/50 to me.
    Corbyns position is support GE once Benn has royal assent
    and what difference does it make ?

    If Corbyn wins he will have tied his own hands . If BoJo wins hell just reverse the decision. If its a hung Parlt theyll just waste the time and go off on conferences and their Christmas holidays. Its a nonsense.
    Well it is odds on the next parliament is hung so the idea it is easy to reverse is not true in the majority of cases.

    (Not everyone will agree, but I also think Boris actually wants an extension, imposed on him by parliament, and win a majority to give him 3 months negotiating with the EU, without having to negotiate with parliament at the same time. That scenario could produce a realistic Brexit outcome he would be happy to own.)
    a hung Parliament will solve nothing and has a sell by date of 31st Jan 2020, Then what ?
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,733
    Byronic said:

    malcolmg said:

    kinabalu said:
    Mogg is the bellend of bellends
    I defended JRM yesterday. And, to be fair, he is doubled up uncomfortably in other images - clearly trying to listen to the audio speakers in the woodwork.

    However some photos show his lolling head nowhere near the bench. He was, apparently, just loafing. Dick.
    The speakers are behind the grills, not at the end of the benches, but visible about 3 feet from where his head is.

    That northern working class hero is just being a dick.
  • Dura_Ace said:


    You'll be cheering on the new geriatric Top Gun film then.

    It will be absolute garbage. There is no way Maverick could still be a Captain at his age anyway as the USN has a ruthless "up or out" policy that we would do well to emulate.
    I'll be skipping the sex scenes with Kelly McGillis this time.

    Not that I want to be unkind or anything.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,406
    Jonathan said:

    Have we seen Boris’ deal proposal yet?

    Find a blank sheet of paper.
  • Nigelb said:

    My Resignation


    I am writing to resign my membership of the party with immediate effect

    Yesterday, the party took leave of its senses with Boris’s performance at the dispatch box all bluster and no answers, Jacob Rees Mogg in an act of crass stupidity lounging across the green benches and providing gold dust for a GE campaign to our opponents, not least of which the Sots, who lost no time on capitalising by it headlining the photograph in most Scots papers.

    However, worst of all how on earth can Boris justify withdrawing the whip from 21 dedicated conservatives, most of whom voted for Theresa’s deal while the ERG MP’s, who must carry a large part of the blame for where we are, are lauded and indeed behind this act of wanton revenge . How can our party withdraw the whip from Ken Clarke and send him onto the opposition benches, it is just so unacceptable and sickening.

    In all of this though, we cannot understand how we have allowed the poisonous Dominic Cummings into No 10. He is turning our party into the Nigel Farage tribute act and it is so depressing

    I will not be joining another party but shed a tear for my once great party and only hope I may one day see the One Nation Conservative party again but at my age (76) I will not hold my breath.

    Yours sincerely

    How many times have you resigned now?

    You said you had a few weeks ago when Richard Nabavi and David Herdson did.

    Maybe we'll see a third resignation in mid October when it looks like No Deal is imminent following the EU council meeting.
    Simply and uncharitably incorrect.
    Nope. Do you want me to dig out the posts?
  • ByronicByronic Posts: 3,578

    Byronic said:



    Arrogant, lazy, casual, frivolous, complacent ...

    You're sure these adjectives apply most to Clarke among the people we have on view?
    They apply to far too many British politicians. David Cameron, for one. And we are all suffering the consequences. But yes, they certainly apply to Ken, too, especially in the pomp of his Maastricht-era europhilia.
  • malcolmg said:

    kinabalu said:
    Mogg is the bellend of bellends
    Morning Malc. He is indeed. It sickens me and is a huge gift to the SNP

    I expect the SNP will whitewash Scotland in any upcoming GE and I would vote for them myself if I was still in Scotland, as they do put Scots first and have great pride in their Nation, understandably so

    However, the comments on my families facebook and Whats app group are far from complimentary about the SNP running of Scotland and do indicate that an Independence campaign is by no means certain to win Independence

    Anyway have a great day
  • kinabalu said:
    I'm not his biggest fan but I think way too much is being made of this. He's a tall guy and was trying to listen to the loudspeaker behind him.

    Not that it will do any good of course because it makes a lovely photo.
    If Ed Miliband eating a burger inefficiently damaged his election chances (and it probably did), then this photo will do likewise for Bluekip.
  • Dura_Ace said:

    Foxy said:

    I wonder who in PMQs will ask for an update on the negotiations. They don't seem to have progressed to the "tea or coffee?" point yet:

    https://twitter.com/RCorbettMEP/status/1168887696846204930?s=19

    How many of his 30 days has Boris got left?
    It is clear that he and Cummy have no intention of negotiating. They want a crash out to throw some red meat to the headbanging entryists in the Tory Party that put this incompetent oaf in power
  • eek said:

    kinabalu said:
    I'm not his biggest fan but I think way too much is being made of this. He's a tall guy and was trying to listen to the loudspeaker behind him.

    Not that it will do any good of course because it makes a lovely photo.
    There is no speaker behind his head, they are in the middle of the seats behind the round "roses". You can see where they are in the seat behind him.
    I know where they are. Being on the same level as the speaker makes it much easier to hear them.

    The real criticism of Mogg yesterday should be for his condescension and arrogance in playing the constitutional improper and convention flouting cards, which royally wound MPs up.

    Not this.
  • malcolmg said:

    kinabalu said:
    Mogg is the bellend of bellends
    On that Malcolm, we can agree. He is showing absolute contempt, not just for his parliamentary colleagues, but everyone in the country too. Who in their right mind thought this odious individual appropriate to be an MP let alone hold high office?
  • Byronic said:

    My Resignation


    I am writing to resign my membership of the party with immediate effect

    Yesterday, the party took leave of its senses with Boris’s performance at the dispatch box all bluster and no answers, Jacob Rees Mogg in an act of crass stupidity lounging across the green benches and providing gold dust for a GE campaign to our opponents, not least of which the Sots, who lost no time on capitalising by it headlining the photograph in most Scots papers.

    However, worst of all how on earth can Boris justify withdrawing the whip from 21 dedicated conservatives, most of whom voted for Theresa’s deal while the ERG MP’s, who must carry a large part of the blame for where we are, are lauded and indeed behind this act of wanton revenge . How can our party withdraw the whip from Ken Clarke and send him onto the opposition benches, it is just so unacceptable and sickening.

    In all of this though, we cannot understand how we have allowed the poisonous Dominic Cummings into No 10. He is turning our party into the Nigel Farage tribute act and it is so depressing

    I will not be joining another party but shed a tear for my once great party and only hope I may one day see the One Nation Conservative party again but at my age (76) I will not hold my breath.

    Yours sincerely

    As always, my sympathies to anyone who feels abandoned by their party. While not one of life’s joiners, I recognise the wrench it must be for you.
    Thank you Alastair.

    As you know I have tried to give Boris a chance but yesterday blew that away

    I shall comment further later on
    Good luck, Big G. Sorry I called you “a moron” yesterday. Heightened emotions etc.
    I know and thank you for your apology.

    We all need to be careful in our expressions on 'heightened emotions' as you say. All the best
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,617
    Scenario:

    Boris has the Lords blocking Benn's Surrender Law in his back pocket. He can go into the prorogation period. He can come out of it still with My Deal or No Deal as the options. And no election until after 31st October.

    Instead, Boris has offered Corbyn a chance to put the decision to the people before the end of October - with a general election. But with No Deal still an option (as it would be anyway, because if he gets a majority, he repeals Benn.*)

    Pop quiz: what do you do, Jeremy?

    *subject to the caveat of the Remainer Lords then playing silly buggers trying to keep Benn alive.
  • kinabalu said:

    You can still lay an election this year at 1.18 this morning.

    And Oct still as short as 1.7. That surprises me slightly. Looks no more than 50/50 to me.
    Corbyns position is support GE once Benn has royal assent
    and what difference does it make ?

    If Corbyn wins he will have tied his own hands . If BoJo wins hell just reverse the decision. If its a hung Parlt theyll just waste the time and go off on conferences and their Christmas holidays. Its a nonsense.
    Well it is odds on the next parliament is hung so the idea it is easy to reverse is not true in the majority of cases.

    (Not everyone will agree, but I also think Boris actually wants an extension, imposed on him by parliament, and win a majority to give him 3 months negotiating with the EU, without having to negotiate with parliament at the same time. That scenario could produce a realistic Brexit outcome he would be happy to own.)
    a hung Parliament will solve nothing and has a sell by date of 31st Jan 2020, Then what ?
    Another election! With hindsight the country should have 1) voted to remain 2) once it voted to leave give Theresa May her increased majority to deliver Brexit, and have negotiating power vs the EU. The voters got it wrong twice in a row. Whilst we (rightly) blame the politicians and have negligible control over elections as individuals, collectively the electorate has created significant problems for the politicians.
  • ByronicByronic Posts: 3,578

    eek said:

    kinabalu said:
    I'm not his biggest fan but I think way too much is being made of this. He's a tall guy and was trying to listen to the loudspeaker behind him.

    Not that it will do any good of course because it makes a lovely photo.
    There is no speaker behind his head, they are in the middle of the seats behind the round "roses". You can see where they are in the seat behind him.
    I know where they are. Being on the same level as the speaker makes it much easier to hear them.

    The real criticism of Mogg yesterday should be for his condescension and arrogance in playing the constitutional improper and convention flouting cards, which royally wound MPs up.

    Not this.
    That is a pretty good explanation. And he did seem very awkward when he was creased up, trying to listen. So maybe he went for the reclining option instead.

    However he arrogantly disregarded, or didn’t care, how this would look on TV. So he’s still something of a dick.
  • My Resignation


    I am writing to resign my membership of the party with immediate effect

    Yesterday, the party took leave of its senses with Boris’s performance at the dispatch box all bluster and no answers, Jacob Rees Mogg in an act of crass stupidity lounging across the green benches and providing gold dust for a GE campaign to our opponents, not least of which the Sots, who lost no time on capitalising by it headlining the photograph in most Scots papers.

    However, worst of all how on earth can Boris justify withdrawing the whip from 21 dedicated conservatives, most of whom voted for Theresa’s deal while the ERG MP’s, who must carry a large part of the blame for where we are, are lauded and indeed behind this act of wanton revenge . How can our party withdraw the whip from Ken Clarke and send him onto the opposition benches, it is just so unacceptable and sickening.

    In all of this though, we cannot understand how we have allowed the poisonous Dominic Cummings into No 10. He is turning our party into the Nigel Farage tribute act and it is so depressing

    I will not be joining another party but shed a tear for my once great party and only hope I may one day see the One Nation Conservative party again but at my age (76) I will not hold my breath.

    Yours sincerely

    How many times have you resigned now?

    You said you had a few weeks ago when Richard Nabavi and David Herdson did.

    Maybe we'll see a third resignation in mid October when it looks like No Deal is imminent following the EU council meeting.
    Your post is just unnecessary and takes no account of the emotion on this.

    You do seem to enjoy being unpleasant, sadly
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,534

    kle4 said:

    ‪Maverick genius Dominic Cumming has reunited the Labour Party and split the Conservative Party. In a month. That’s one hell of an achievement‬

    He's united the Conservative Party.

    I think you will find 100% of Conservative MPs voted with the whip tonight. The party is united.
    They were Tory MPs at the time of the vote, so no, 100% of Tory MPs did not vote with the whip. Some didn't and have now been punished. Whether that is a good or bad thing - I say it is a good thing because the divisions are clearer now - the party was demonstrably not united until after the vote.
    That is my point.

    The party was not united before the vote. It is now.

    It's an extreme tactic but Boris has united the party.
    Not really. I've seen this stuff on the left - it's like peeling an onion. They purge one layer of rebels, and a few weeks later discover that the next layer isn't quite ideologically correct either. Amber Rudd, for example, clearly has a somewhat ambiguous position.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,238
    ydoethur said:

    Morning all and quite clear that if the Remoaners pass their Surrender Bill today, Boris has to make clear he will not ask for an extension, law or no law. Lots of safe Tory seats now up for grabs to aspiring anti-EU candidates as we see the party axe those who think their opinions matter more than the 17.4 million. A people v parliament election is clearly looming and ordinary people will not appreciate Corbyn preventing a GE having called for one since 2017. The Tory manifesto could contain a clause stating that a re-elected Boris government will revoke today's Remoaners Surrender Act.

    16.1 million people definitely did not want No Deal. I suspect that a maximum of only 5% of the 17.4 million wanted it.
    That's wishful thinking. There's no reason to think a large number of the 17.4 million didn't want it. Whether they fully understood what the possible consequences are is another question.
    Though it only requires a small proportion of the 17.4 million finding it unacceptable to produce a majority of the electorate against No Deal.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,413

    kinabalu said:

    You can still lay an election this year at 1.18 this morning.

    And Oct still as short as 1.7. That surprises me slightly. Looks no more than 50/50 to me.
    Corbyns position is support GE once Benn has royal assent
    and what difference does it make ?

    If Corbyn wins he will have tied his own hands . If BoJo wins hell just reverse the decision. If its a hung Parlt theyll just waste the time and go off on conferences and their Christmas holidays. Its a nonsense.
    Well it is odds on the next parliament is hung so the idea it is easy to reverse is not true in the majority of cases.

    (Not everyone will agree, but I also think Boris actually wants an extension, imposed on him by parliament, and win a majority to give him 3 months negotiating with the EU, without having to negotiate with parliament at the same time. That scenario could produce a realistic Brexit outcome he would be happy to own.)
    a hung Parliament will solve nothing and has a sell by date of 31st Jan 2020, Then what ?
    Another election! With hindsight the country should have 1) voted to remain 2) once it voted to leave give Theresa May her increased majority to deliver Brexit, and have negotiating power vs the EU. The voters got it wrong twice in a row. Whilst we (rightly) blame the politicians and have negligible control over elections as individuals, collectively the electorate has created significant problems for the politicians.
    Jesus if youre at the voters got it wrong level youve lost the plot and are heading in to Brecht territory.

    The voters voted as they saw it, the politicans have fked it up.

    youve gone from None of the above to Just do what were told.
  • Byronic said:

    Byronic said:



    Arrogant, lazy, casual, frivolous, complacent ...

    You're sure these adjectives apply most to Clarke among the people we have on view?
    They apply to far too many British politicians. David Cameron, for one. And we are all suffering the consequences. But yes, they certainly apply to Ken, too, especially in the pomp of his Maastricht-era europhilia.
    If you think Ken Clarke was ever lazy you clearly know nothing about him. Laid back perhaps, but lazy definitely not. Besides @NickPalmer, which adjectives should we use for Corbyn? Lazy, thick, inept, bombastic, inarticulate...the list goes on and on! Why oh why does the Labour Party not have a half decent leader at this crucial time?
  • Scenario:

    Boris has the Lords blocking Benn's Surrender Law in his back pocket. He can go into the prorogation period. He can come out of it still with My Deal or No Deal as the options. And no election until after 31st October.

    Instead, Boris has offered Corbyn a chance to put the decision to the people before the end of October - with a general election. But with No Deal still an option (as it would be anyway, because if he gets a majority, he repeals Benn.*)

    Pop quiz: what do you do, Jeremy?

    *subject to the caveat of the Remainer Lords then playing silly buggers trying to keep Benn alive.

    He doesn't need the Lords to repeal Benn. A Commons vote to leave without a deal or with one (possible in a majority Parliament with hardcore Tory Remainers purged) plus 2 days of Lords debate will suffice.
  • YBarddCwscYBarddCwsc Posts: 7,172
    Nigelb said:

    ydoethur said:

    Morning all and quite clear that if the Remoaners pass their Surrender Bill today, Boris has to make clear he will not ask for an extension, law or no law. Lots of safe Tory seats now up for grabs to aspiring anti-EU candidates as we see the party axe those who think their opinions matter more than the 17.4 million. A people v parliament election is clearly looming and ordinary people will not appreciate Corbyn preventing a GE having called for one since 2017. The Tory manifesto could contain a clause stating that a re-elected Boris government will revoke today's Remoaners Surrender Act.

    16.1 million people definitely did not want No Deal. I suspect that a maximum of only 5% of the 17.4 million wanted it.
    That's wishful thinking. There's no reason to think a large number of the 17.4 million didn't want it. Whether they fully understood what the possible consequences are is another question.
    Though it only requires a small proportion of the 17.4 million finding it unacceptable to produce a majority of the electorate against No Deal.
    There is a majority against No Deal, because there is a majority against everything.
  • ByronicByronic Posts: 3,578

    kle4 said:

    ‪Maverick genius Dominic Cumming has reunited the Labour Party and split the Conservative Party. In a month. That’s one hell of an achievement‬

    He's united the Conservative Party.

    I think you will find 100% of Conservative MPs voted with the whip tonight. The party is united.
    They were Tory MPs at the time of the vote, so no, 100% of Tory MPs did not vote with the whip. Some didn't and have now been punished. Whether that is a good or bad thing - I say it is a good thing because the divisions are clearer now - the party was demonstrably not united until after the vote.
    That is my point.

    The party was not united before the vote. It is now.

    It's an extreme tactic but Boris has united the party.
    Not really. I've seen this stuff on the left - it's like peeling an onion. They purge one layer of rebels, and a few weeks later discover that the next layer isn't quite ideologically correct either. Amber Rudd, for example, clearly has a somewhat ambiguous position.

    Yes that’s true. However I do not think it impossible the Tory party can reunite after Brexit (whatever becomes of it). Indeed it’s quite likely. The Tory party as a brand is too big and too solid. The BXP won’t replace them.

    Until Brexit is done or dumped tho, I cannot see any prospect of unity.
  • chloechloe Posts: 308
    Morning. If Boris is so confident of a snap election victory why does he not accept the A50 extension? After he has won the election on a no deal ticket he can no deal on 31 January.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,362

    malcolmg said:

    kinabalu said:
    Mogg is the bellend of bellends
    Morning Malc. He is indeed. It sickens me and is a huge gift to the SNP

    I expect the SNP will whitewash Scotland in any upcoming GE and I would vote for them myself if I was still in Scotland, as they do put Scots first and have great pride in their Nation, understandably so

    However, the comments on my families facebook and Whats app group are far from complimentary about the SNP running of Scotland and do indicate that an Independence campaign is by no means certain to win Independence

    Anyway have a great day
    Same to you G, hard to understand what more the SNP can do to improve Scotland with limited resources. Far too many people think they have powers when in fact they have very limited scope in most area as powers are retained. People obviously easily forget the past under Labour and Tories , they would soon know how well SNP have done if we got either back in power. Luckily there is little to zero chance of that for a long time unless we are independent and have real Scottish parties other than the SNP. Hard to believe that not one Scottish Tory MP voted for last night's amendment, they should be ashamed.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,733

    Dura_Ace said:

    Foxy said:

    I wonder who in PMQs will ask for an update on the negotiations. They don't seem to have progressed to the "tea or coffee?" point yet:

    https://twitter.com/RCorbettMEP/status/1168887696846204930?s=19

    How many of his 30 days has Boris got left?
    It is clear that he and Cummy have no intention of negotiating. They want a crash out to throw some red meat to the headbanging entryists in the Tory Party that put this incompetent oaf in power
    There are no negotiations. Anyone believing that No Deal is just a negotiating position is deluded. It is policy. That is the point of the proroguation.

    The only question is whether Bozo can survive long enough as PM to deliver it. I think he probably can, but will be remembered as Britains own General Francisco Solano Lopez.



  • kinabalu said:

    You can still lay an election this year at 1.18 this morning.

    And Oct still as short as 1.7. That surprises me slightly. Looks no more than 50/50 to me.
    Corbyns position is support GE once Benn has royal assent
    and what difference does it make ?

    If Corbyn wins he will have tied his own hands . If BoJo wins hell just reverse the decision. If its a hung Parlt theyll just waste the time and go off on conferences and their Christmas holidays. Its a nonsense.
    Well it is odds on the next parliament is hung so the idea it is easy to reverse is not true in the majority of cases.

    (Not everyone will agree, but I also think Boris actually wants an extension, imposed on him by parliament, and win a majority to give him 3 months negotiating with the EU, without having to negotiate with parliament at the same time. That scenario could produce a realistic Brexit outcome he would be happy to own.)
    a hung Parliament will solve nothing and has a sell by date of 31st Jan 2020, Then what ?
    Another election! With hindsight the country should have 1) voted to remain 2) once it voted to leave give Theresa May her increased majority to deliver Brexit, and have negotiating power vs the EU. The voters got it wrong twice in a row. Whilst we (rightly) blame the politicians and have negligible control over elections as individuals, collectively the electorate has created significant problems for the politicians.
    Jesus if youre at the voters got it wrong level youve lost the plot and are heading in to Brecht territory.

    The voters voted as they saw it, the politicans have fked it up.

    youve gone from None of the above to Just do what were told.
    I do wish you would learn to use punctuation. It is difficult enough to understand your point of view without further complicating it.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    edited September 2019
    My rough guess on those numbers,
    Labour loses all seats bar Edinburgh South
    Lib Dems pick up Fife NE (obviously)
    Cons lose their 3 Lib Dem mass switch seats from 2017 plus at least 5 more?
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,413

    kinabalu said:

    You can still lay an election this year at 1.18 this morning.

    And Oct still as short as 1.7. That surprises me slightly. Looks no more than 50/50 to me.
    Corbyns position is support GE once Benn has royal assent
    and what difference does it make ?

    If Corbyn wins he will have tied his own hands . If BoJo wins hell just reverse the decision. If its a hung Parlt theyll just waste the time and go off on conferences and their Christmas holidays. Its a nonsense.
    Well it is odds on the next parliament is hung so the idea it is easy to reverse is not true in the majority of cases.

    (Not everyone will agree, but I also think Boris actually wants an extension, imposed on him by parliament, and win a majority to give him 3 months negotiating with the EU, without having to negotiate with parliament at the same time. That scenario could produce a realistic Brexit outcome he would be happy to own.)
    a hung Parliament will solve nothing and has a sell by date of 31st Jan 2020, Then what ?
    Another election! With hindsight the country should have 1) voted to remain 2) once it voted to leave give Theresa May her increased majority to deliver Brexit, and have negotiating power vs the EU. The voters got it wrong twice in a row. Whilst we (rightly) blame the politicians and have negligible control over elections as individuals, collectively the electorate has created significant problems for the politicians.
    Jesus if youre at the voters got it wrong level youve lost the plot and are heading in to Brecht territory.

    The voters voted as they saw it, the politicans have fked it up.

    youve gone from None of the above to Just do what were told.
    I do wish you would learn to use punctuation. It is difficult enough to understand your point of view without further complicating it.
    Ive ( told ! you enough times,, grammar is for rule takers ;;;;.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,733

    Scenario:

    Boris has the Lords blocking Benn's Surrender Law in his back pocket. He can go into the prorogation period. He can come out of it still with My Deal or No Deal as the options. And no election until after 31st October.

    Instead, Boris has offered Corbyn a chance to put the decision to the people before the end of October - with a general election. But with No Deal still an option (as it would be anyway, because if he gets a majority, he repeals Benn.*)

    Pop quiz: what do you do, Jeremy?

    *subject to the caveat of the Remainer Lords then playing silly buggers trying to keep Benn alive.

    Upon proroguation aren't all bills underway in the Lords automatically passed?
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Foxy said:

    Be reasonable! he has a new puppy to play with. He cannot find the time to meet with foreigners...


  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    Alistair said:

    My rough guess on those numbers,
    Labour loses all seats bar Edinburgh South
    Lib Dems pick up Fife NE (obviously)
    Cons lose their 3 Lib Dem mass switch seats from 2017 plus at least 5 more?
    Swing is LD to SNP on those numbers, Fife stays SNP on uns
    Cons hold Berwickshire, Dunfriesshire and Aberdeenshire West
    Lab back to unicycle territory
  • DadgeDadge Posts: 2,052

    malcolmg said:

    kinabalu said:
    Mogg is the bellend of bellends
    Morning Malc. He is indeed. It sickens me and is a huge gift to the SNP

    I expect the SNP will whitewash Scotland in any upcoming GE and I would vote for them myself if I was still in Scotland, as they do put Scots first and have great pride in their Nation, understandably so

    However, the comments on my families facebook and Whats app group are far from complimentary about the SNP running of Scotland and do indicate that an Independence campaign is by no means certain to win Independence

    Anyway have a great day
    Nationalists who vote against independence because they don't like the SNP are not displaying a great deal of intelligence...
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981

    kinabalu said:
    I'm not his biggest fan but I think way too much is being made of this. He's a tall guy and was trying to listen to the loudspeaker behind him.

    Not that it will do any good of course because it makes a lovely photo.
    Dole didn't actually mean to fall off that stage...
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,992
    edited September 2019
    Dura_Ace said:

    It will be absolute garbage. There is no way Maverick could still be a Captain at his age anyway as the USN has a ruthless "up or out" policy that we would do well to emulate.

    Listening to the radio reports this morning sounds like you (and @CaptainBuzzkill ) are going to have to dust off your aviators.

  • kle4 said:

    ‪Maverick genius Dominic Cumming has reunited the Labour Party and split the Conservative Party. In a month. That’s one hell of an achievement‬

    He's united the Conservative Party.

    I think you will find 100% of Conservative MPs voted with the whip tonight. The party is united.
    They were Tory MPs at the time of the vote, so no, 100% of Tory MPs did not vote with the whip. Some didn't and have now been punished. Whether that is a good or bad thing - I say it is a good thing because the divisions are clearer now - the party was demonstrably not united until after the vote.
    That is my point.

    The party was not united before the vote. It is now.

    It's an extreme tactic but Boris has united the party.
    Not really. I've seen this stuff on the left - it's like peeling an onion. They purge one layer of rebels, and a few weeks later discover that the next layer isn't quite ideologically correct either. Amber Rudd, for example, clearly has a somewhat ambiguous position.
    Amber Rudd respected the three line whip just as in the 90s even Cash, Redwood and IDS voted for Maastricht when it was a confidence motion.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,238

    Nigelb said:

    My Resignation


    I am writing to resign my membership of the party with immediate effect

    Yesterday, the party took leave of its senses with Boris’s performance at the dispatch box all bluster and no answers, Jacob Rees Mogg in an act of crass stupidity lounging across the green benches and providing gold dust for a GE campaign to our opponents, not least of which the Sots, who lost no time on capitalising by it headlining the photograph in most Scots papers.

    However, worst of all how on earth can Boris justify withdrawing the whip from 21 dedicated conservatives, most of whom voted for Theresa’s deal while the ERG MP’s, who must carry a large part of the blame for where we are, are lauded and indeed behind this act of wanton revenge . How can our party withdraw the whip from Ken Clarke and send him onto the opposition benches, it is just so unacceptable and sickening.

    In all of this though, we cannot understand how we have allowed the poisonous Dominic Cummings into No 10. He is turning our party into the Nigel Farage tribute act and it is so depressing

    I will not be joining another party but shed a tear for my once great party and only hope I may one day see the One Nation Conservative party again but at my age (76) I will not hold my breath.

    Yours sincerely

    How many times have you resigned now?

    You said you had a few weeks ago when Richard Nabavi and David Herdson did.

    Maybe we'll see a third resignation in mid October when it looks like No Deal is imminent following the EU council meeting.
    Simply and uncharitably incorrect.
    Nope. Do you want me to dig out the posts?
    Give it a try - and you will realise that Big_G has announced his intention to resign several times, but not pulled the eject button until now.

    All of that is pretty well irrelevant when set against the way the current leadership has driven loyal and committed members of decades standing to abandon the party.
  • malcolmg said:

    malcolmg said:

    kinabalu said:
    Mogg is the bellend of bellends
    Morning Malc. He is indeed. It sickens me and is a huge gift to the SNP

    I expect the SNP will whitewash Scotland in any upcoming GE and I would vote for them myself if I was still in Scotland, as they do put Scots first and have great pride in their Nation, understandably so

    However, the comments on my families facebook and Whats app group are far from complimentary about the SNP running of Scotland and do indicate that an Independence campaign is by no means certain to win Independence

    Anyway have a great day
    Same to you G, hard to understand what more the SNP can do to improve Scotland with limited resources. Far too many people think they have powers when in fact they have very limited scope in most area as powers are retained. People obviously easily forget the past under Labour and Tories , they would soon know how well SNP have done if we got either back in power. Luckily there is little to zero chance of that for a long time unless we are independent and have real Scottish parties other than the SNP. Hard to believe that not one Scottish Tory MP voted for last night's amendment, they should be ashamed.
    As you know Malc, the time comes when a single party dominating the government over years (SNP) and here in Wales (labour) sees the shine eventually coming off and disenchantment sets in.

    I expect labour to continue to decline in Wales as they have been in power so long, and with our NHS and Education on it's knees the resentment is tangible
  • kle4 said:

    ‪Maverick genius Dominic Cumming has reunited the Labour Party and split the Conservative Party. In a month. That’s one hell of an achievement‬

    He's united the Conservative Party.

    I think you will find 100% of Conservative MPs voted with the whip tonight. The party is united.
    They were Tory MPs at the time of the vote, so no, 100% of Tory MPs did not vote with the whip. Some didn't and have now been punished. Whether that is a good or bad thing - I say it is a good thing because the divisions are clearer now - the party was demonstrably not united until after the vote.
    That is my point.

    The party was not united before the vote. It is now.

    It's an extreme tactic but Boris has united the party.
    Not really. I've seen this stuff on the left - it's like peeling an onion. They purge one layer of rebels, and a few weeks later discover that the next layer isn't quite ideologically correct either. Amber Rudd, for example, clearly has a somewhat ambiguous position.
    “Rebels” aren’t the issue - it’s the ideological absolutists who are the problem - in any party.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,293
    Cowardly Corbyn still hiding behind the sofa? :D
  • ByronicByronic Posts: 3,578
    Scott_P said:
    Oddly, the Times seems to believe that TMay had her own “Westminster majority”. She didn’t. She lost it.
  • rkrkrkrkrkrk Posts: 8,298

    rkrkrk said:

    I don't understand those who think we can get a referendum without a GE, I don't see where the numbers in parliament are for that.

    Lab 247 - x
    Ind 36 - y
    SNP 35
    LD 15
    Ind Group For Change 5
    PC 4
    Greens 1
    Speaker 1
    z
    = 309 - x - y + z

    Con 289 - z
    DUP 10
    x
    y
    = 299 + x + y - z

    Not a slam-dunk but it might pass. z could be quite big if it promises to get Brexit over with one way or another.

    X > 25 (https://news.sky.com/story/labour-mps-warn-jeremy-corbyn-against-supporting-a-second-brexit-referendum-11684197)
    And Y > 0.
    That means Z needs to be at least 20. Seems a stretch.
  • NEW THREAD

  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,468
    I’m not sure if condolences is the right word but I offer them anyway @Big_G_NorthWales
  • Nigelb said:

    My Resignation


    I am writing to resign my membership of the party with immediate effect

    Yesterday, the party took leave of its senses with Boris’s performance at the dispatch box all bluster and no answers, Jacob Rees Mogg in an act of crass stupidity lounging across the green benches and providing gold dust for a GE campaign to our opponents, not least of which the Sots, who lost no time on capitalising by it headlining the photograph in most Scots papers.

    However, worst of all how on earth can Boris justify withdrawing the whip from 21 dedicated conservatives, most of whom voted for Theresa’s deal while the ERG MP’s, who must carry a large part of the blame for where we are, are lauded and indeed behind this act of wanton revenge . How can our party withdraw the whip from Ken Clarke and send him onto the opposition benches, it is just so unacceptable and sickening.

    In all of this though, we cannot understand how we have allowed the poisonous Dominic Cummings into No 10. He is turning our party into the Nigel Farage tribute act and it is so depressing

    I will not be joining another party but shed a tear for my once great party and only hope I may one day see the One Nation Conservative party again but at my age (76) I will not hold my breath.

    Yours sincerely

    How many times have you resigned now?

    You said you had a few weeks ago when Richard Nabavi and David Herdson did.

    Maybe we'll see a third resignation in mid October when it looks like No Deal is imminent following the EU council meeting.
    Simply and uncharitably incorrect.
    The Casino Royale's of this world are the typically unpleasant "face" of the Conservative Party now. It is Conservative in name only. The Brexit Party Lite, or Bluekip it is, certainly for the time being, until the entryists and fuckwits have sucked the lifeblood out of it and gone home to their war comics and secret dungeon porn
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,176

    kle4 said:

    ‪Maverick genius Dominic Cumming has reunited the Labour Party and split the Conservative Party. In a month. That’s one hell of an achievement‬

    He's united the Conservative Party.

    I think you will find 100% of Conservative MPs voted with the whip tonight. The party is united.
    They were Tory MPs at the time of the vote, so no, 100% of Tory MPs did not vote with the whip. Some didn't and have now been punished. Whether that is a good or bad thing - I say it is a good thing because the divisions are clearer now - the party was demonstrably not united until after the vote.
    That is my point.

    The party was not united before the vote. It is now.

    It's an extreme tactic but Boris has united the party.
    Not really. I've seen this stuff on the left - it's like peeling an onion. They purge one layer of rebels, and a few weeks later discover that the next layer isn't quite ideologically correct either. Amber Rudd, for example, clearly has a somewhat ambiguous position.
    “Rebels” aren’t the issue - it’s the ideological absolutists who are the problem - in any party.
    Do you think John Major's behaviour over the ERM falls into that bracket?
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,413

    kle4 said:

    ‪Maverick genius Dominic Cumming has reunited the Labour Party and split the Conservative Party. In a month. That’s one hell of an achievement‬

    He's united the Conservative Party.

    I think you will find 100% of Conservative MPs voted with the whip tonight. The party is united.
    They were Tory MPs at the time of the vote, so no, 100% of Tory MPs did not vote with the whip. Some didn't and have now been punished. Whether that is a good or bad thing - I say it is a good thing because the divisions are clearer now - the party was demonstrably not united until after the vote.
    That is my point.

    The party was not united before the vote. It is now.

    It's an extreme tactic but Boris has united the party.
    Not really. I've seen this stuff on the left - it's like peeling an onion. They purge one layer of rebels, and a few weeks later discover that the next layer isn't quite ideologically correct either. Amber Rudd, for example, clearly has a somewhat ambiguous position.
    “Rebels” aren’t the issue - it’s the ideological absolutists who are the problem - in any party.
    quite
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,617

    kle4 said:

    ‪Maverick genius Dominic Cumming has reunited the Labour Party and split the Conservative Party. In a month. That’s one hell of an achievement‬

    He's united the Conservative Party.

    I think you will find 100% of Conservative MPs voted with the whip tonight. The party is united.
    They were Tory MPs at the time of the vote, so no, 100% of Tory MPs did not vote with the whip. Some didn't and have now been punished. Whether that is a good or bad thing - I say it is a good thing because the divisions are clearer now - the party was demonstrably not united until after the vote.
    That is my point.

    The party was not united before the vote. It is now.

    It's an extreme tactic but Boris has united the party.
    Not really. I've seen this stuff on the left - it's like peeling an onion. They purge one layer of rebels, and a few weeks later discover that the next layer isn't quite ideologically correct either. Amber Rudd, for example, clearly has a somewhat ambiguous position.
    I think peeling off those who supported Benn would do the trick.

    Outside of Europe, there really hasn't been much by way of falling out in the Tory Party over direction. Look at the voting record of those who have left the Conservative Party for the LibDems. How many LibDem activists are going to feel comfortable putting in the hard yards to keep those guys in their team?
  • Dadge said:

    malcolmg said:

    kinabalu said:
    Mogg is the bellend of bellends
    Morning Malc. He is indeed. It sickens me and is a huge gift to the SNP

    I expect the SNP will whitewash Scotland in any upcoming GE and I would vote for them myself if I was still in Scotland, as they do put Scots first and have great pride in their Nation, understandably so

    However, the comments on my families facebook and Whats app group are far from complimentary about the SNP running of Scotland and do indicate that an Independence campaign is by no means certain to win Independence

    Anyway have a great day
    Nationalists who vote against independence because they don't like the SNP are not displaying a great deal of intelligence...
    You would be surprised how many SNP supporters will not back Independence. We have several dedicated SNP supporters in our family but reject Independence

    In Scotland the SNP are the party of government but of course that can be counter productive as they get all the blame as things go wrong, which they do
  • kinabalu said:

    You can still lay an election this year at 1.18 this morning.

    And Oct still as short as 1.7. That surprises me slightly. Looks no more than 50/50 to me.
    Corbyns position is support GE once Benn has royal assent
    and what difference does it make ?

    If Corbyn wins he will have tied his own hands . If BoJo wins hell just reverse the decision. If its a hung Parlt theyll just waste the time and go off on conferences and their Christmas holidays. Its a nonsense.
    Well it is odds on the next parliament is hung so the idea it is easy to reverse is not true in the majority of cases.

    (Not everyone will agree, but I also think Boris actually wants an extension, imposed on him by parliament, and win a majority to give him 3 months negotiating with the EU, without having to negotiate with parliament at the same time. That scenario could produce a realistic Brexit outcome he would be happy to own.)
    a hung Parliament will solve nothing and has a sell by date of 31st Jan 2020, Then what ?
    Another election! With hindsight the country should have 1) voted to remain 2) once it voted to leave give Theresa May her increased majority to deliver Brexit, and have negotiating power vs the EU. The voters got it wrong twice in a row. Whilst we (rightly) blame the politicians and have negligible control over elections as individuals, collectively the electorate has created significant problems for the politicians.
    Jesus if youre at the voters got it wrong level youve lost the plot and are heading in to Brecht territory.

    The voters voted as they saw it, the politicans have fked it up.

    youve gone from None of the above to Just do what were told.
    Voting to leave, then removing the mandate of the PM to negotiate with Brussels by reducing her majority has caused immense problems for the country.

    Yes individual voters voted as they saw fit and with good intent, but collectively those decisions damaged the country, if we were going to vote Brexit, we should have backed the government to negotiate it for us.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,176
    NEW THREAD
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,293
    Scott_P said:
    Cowardly Corbyn!
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,362

    malcolmg said:

    malcolmg said:

    kinabalu said:
    Mogg is the bellend of bellends
    Morning Malc. He is indeed. It sickens me and is a huge gift to the SNP

    I expect the SNP will whitewash Scotland in any upcoming GE and I would vote for them myself if I was still in Scotland, as they do put Scots first and have great pride in their Nation, understandably so

    However, the comments on my families facebook and Whats app group are far from complimentary about the SNP running of Scotland and do indicate that an Independence campaign is by no means certain to win Independence

    Anyway have a great day
    Same to you G, hard to understand what more the SNP can do to improve Scotland with limited resources. Far too many people think they have powers when in fact they have very limited scope in most area as powers are retained. People obviously easily forget the past under Labour and Tories , they would soon know how well SNP have done if we got either back in power. Luckily there is little to zero chance of that for a long time unless we are independent and have real Scottish parties other than the SNP. Hard to believe that not one Scottish Tory MP voted for last night's amendment, they should be ashamed.
    As you know Malc, the time comes when a single party dominating the government over years (SNP) and here in Wales (labour) sees the shine eventually coming off and disenchantment sets in.

    I expect labour to continue to decline in Wales as they have been in power so long, and with our NHS and Education on it's knees the resentment is tangible
    Labour have done the same to Wales as they did in Scotland previously. Scotland under SNP on the other hand is looking better and hard to see any change of government in the long term, 12 years and more popular than ever is a good record.
  • kle4 said:

    ‪Maverick genius Dominic Cumming has reunited the Labour Party and split the Conservative Party. In a month. That’s one hell of an achievement‬

    He's united the Conservative Party.

    I think you will find 100% of Conservative MPs voted with the whip tonight. The party is united.
    They were Tory MPs at the time of the vote, so no, 100% of Tory MPs did not vote with the whip. Some didn't and have now been punished. Whether that is a good or bad thing - I say it is a good thing because the divisions are clearer now - the party was demonstrably not united until after the vote.
    That is my point.

    The party was not united before the vote. It is now.

    It's an extreme tactic but Boris has united the party.
    Not really. I've seen this stuff on the left - it's like peeling an onion. They purge one layer of rebels, and a few weeks later discover that the next layer isn't quite ideologically correct either. Amber Rudd, for example, clearly has a somewhat ambiguous position.
    Indeed. There are quite a few moderates left. I suspect they are biding their time until the inevitable meltdown of the most incompetent fool to ever hold office comes to its totally inevitable conclusion. Their time may come when the clown on the opposite bench competes for worst ever PM for a short while.
  • Nigelb said:

    Nigelb said:

    My Resignation


    I am writing to resign my membership of the party with immediate effect

    Yesterday, the party took leave of its senses with Boris’s performance at the dispatch box all bluster and no answers, Jacob Rees Mogg in an act of crass stupidity lounging across the green benches and providing gold dust for a GE campaign to our opponents, not least of which the Sots, who lost no time on capitalising by it headlining the photograph in most Scots papers.

    However, worst of all how on earth can Boris justify withdrawing the whip from 21 dedicated conservatives, most of whom voted for Theresa’s deal while the ERG MP’s, who must carry a large part of the blame for where we are, are lauded and indeed behind this act of wanton revenge . How can our party withdraw the whip from Ken Clarke and send him onto the opposition benches, it is just so unacceptable and sickening.

    In all of this though, we cannot understand how we have allowed the poisonous Dominic Cummings into No 10. He is turning our party into the Nigel Farage tribute act and it is so depressing

    I will not be joining another party but shed a tear for my once great party and only hope I may one day see the One Nation Conservative party again but at my age (76) I will not hold my breath.

    Yours sincerely

    How many times have you resigned now?

    You said you had a few weeks ago when Richard Nabavi and David Herdson did.

    Maybe we'll see a third resignation in mid October when it looks like No Deal is imminent following the EU council meeting.
    Simply and uncharitably incorrect.
    Nope. Do you want me to dig out the posts?
    Give it a try - and you will realise that Big_G has announced his intention to resign several times, but not pulled the eject button until now.

    All of that is pretty well irrelevant when set against the way the current leadership has driven loyal and committed members of decades standing to abandon the party.
    He isn't a loyal and committed member of decades standing - you've got that wrong as well.

    He's a fair weather friend and a massive attention seeker.
  • Byronic said:

    malcolmg said:

    kinabalu said:
    Mogg is the bellend of bellends
    I defended JRM yesterday. And, to be fair, he is doubled up uncomfortably in other images - clearly trying to listen to the audio speakers in the woodwork.

    However some photos show his lolling head nowhere near the bench. He was, apparently, just loafing. Dick.
    This is a man who is accustomed to projecting a public image but who is unaccustomed to being on view.

    It's a photo that will define him.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,992
    @BigG "MP's"?? Shocking use of apostrophe.
  • My Resignation


    I am writing to resign my membership of the party with immediate effect

    Yesterday, the party took leave of its senses with Boris’s performance at the dispatch box all bluster and no answers, Jacob Rees Mogg in an act of crass stupidity lounging across the green benches and providing gold dust for a GE campaign to our opponents, not least of which the Sots, who lost no time on capitalising by it headlining the photograph in most Scots papers.

    However, worst of all how on earth can Boris justify withdrawing the whip from 21 dedicated conservatives, most of whom voted for Theresa’s deal while the ERG MP’s, who must carry a large part of the blame for where we are, are lauded and indeed behind this act of wanton revenge . How can our party withdraw the whip from Ken Clarke and send him onto the opposition benches, it is just so unacceptable and sickening.

    In all of this though, we cannot understand how we have allowed the poisonous Dominic Cummings into No 10. He is turning our party into the Nigel Farage tribute act and it is so depressing

    I will not be joining another party but shed a tear for my once great party and only hope I may one day see the One Nation Conservative party again but at my age (76) I will not hold my breath.

    Yours sincerely

    How many times have you resigned now?

    You said you had a few weeks ago when Richard Nabavi and David Herdson did.

    Maybe we'll see a third resignation in mid October when it looks like No Deal is imminent following the EU council meeting.
    Your post is just unnecessary and takes no account of the emotion on this.

    You do seem to enjoy being unpleasant, sadly
    No, your emotion is a charade (you've betrayed the party many times) and you are a needy attention seeker.

    I call you out on it because you are a needy attention seeker who offers almost no value to this site. You think being polite about that is enough.

    It isn't. I have no respect for you.
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,300
    Starmer:

    Starmer says by email there is a General Election.

    https://twitter.com/bbclaurak/status/1169147170039259136
  • Nigelb said:

    My Resignation


    I am writing to resign my membership of the party with immediate effect

    Yesterday, the party took leave of its senses with Boris’s performance at the dispatch box all bluster and no answers, Jacob Rees Mogg in an act of crass stupidity lounging across the green benches and providing gold dust for a GE campaign to our opponents, not least of which the Sots, who lost no time on capitalising by it headlining the photograph in most Scots papers.

    However, worst of all how on earth can Boris justify withdrawing the whip from 21 dedicated conservatives, most of whom voted for Theresa’s deal while the ERG MP’s, who must carry a large part of the blame for where we are, are lauded and indeed behind this act of wanton revenge . How can our party withdraw the whip from Ken Clarke and send him onto the opposition benches, it is just so unacceptable and sickening.

    In all of this though, we cannot understand how we have allowed the poisonous Dominic Cummings into No 10. He is turning our party into the Nigel Farage tribute act and it is so depressing

    I will not be joining another party but shed a tear for my once great party and only hope I may one day see the One Nation Conservative party again but at my age (76) I will not hold my breath.

    Yours sincerely

    How many times have you resigned now?

    You said you had a few weeks ago when Richard Nabavi and David Herdson did.

    Maybe we'll see a third resignation in mid October when it looks like No Deal is imminent following the EU council meeting.
    Simply and uncharitably incorrect.
    The Casino Royale's of this world are the typically unpleasant "face" of the Conservative Party now. It is Conservative in name only. The Brexit Party Lite, or Bluekip it is, certainly for the time being, until the entryists and fuckwits have sucked the lifeblood out of it and gone home to their war comics and secret dungeon porn
    I think you are misunderstanding Casino Royale who as far as I can tell is just deeply upset about what is happening to Party and Country.
This discussion has been closed.