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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Frontrunners Sanders and Warren get the edge in the latest Dem
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Frontrunners Sanders and Warren get the edge in the latest Democratic WH2020 nominationdebate
The second round of Democratic nomination debates has once again been split into two because there are so many candidates still in the race who met the organisers qualification rules.
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https://twitter.com/TSEofPB/status/1156446087131123712
https://twitter.com/TSEofPB/status/1156451627710263296
https://twitter.com/Nigel_Farage/status/1155950439247990784
More likely 42%
No difference 22%
Less likely 6%
Don’t know 30%
(YouGov, 2721 GB adults, 29 Jul 2019)
It has emerged that Dominic Cummings, the Vote Leave svengali, gave a speech in 2017 indicting the Conservatives did not care about poorer people or the NHS. “That is what most people in the country have thought about the Tory party for decades. I know a lot of Tory MPs and I am sad to say the public is basically correct.”
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/jul/31/wednesday-briefing-voters-right-that-tories-dont-care-cummings
No, because if you had your sights on his head, you'd miss everything vital.
“No-deal Brexit: What is direct rule?”
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-49163906
Good Friday Agreement binned, a hard border and Direct Rule. How far does this have to go before Westminster realises it’s in a hole and needs to stop digging?
Don’t worry, HYUFD’s English-American bloc will come riding to the rescue
https://www.bristolpost.co.uk/news/bristol-news/vegan-banner-extinction-rebellion-m32-3151125
Only one way to sort this out - fight
https://twitter.com/itrecks/status/1155172884358279168?s=21
Men were more likely to support TBP than women. Is it possible that Boris’s attacks to the throat of TBP is part of the reason why support amongst men has risen so sharply?
https://twitter.com/Mendelpol/status/1156187055220830209
They were very impressive on pace in Germany, far more than I expected. My early Verstappen tips shouldn't've come off, and only did so because of Ferrari reliability failures.
Anyway, odds are pretty much 10 across the board (think Vettel's 9 for the win).
One of the criticisms of Labour over antisemitism is that it too easily lifts suspensions. Well, the Conservative Party has just elected Boris after the spilt wine/get off my laptop row with Carrie Symonds that led to the police being called, restored the whip to Charlie Elphicke (back in the news just before this poll, as has been charged with sexual assault) and the other one, and has announced it cannot be bothered to investigate Mark Field for manhandling the woman in red.
Are these the actions of a party that takes violence against women seriously? Female voters might have their doubts, for the same sort of reasons Jewish voters question Labour's commitment.
Biden
Buttigieg
Harris
Sanders
Warren
Booker
O'Rourke
Klobuchar
Castro
Yang
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_Democratic_Party_presidential_debates_and_forums
Unless it rains, which is possible, it's likely Mercedes' race to lose.
One thing that seems the case is that the Mercedes' upgrades don't appear to have done much.
Got to say I thought Ferrari would be far less competitive on a slow circuit (and Hungary's only medium pace).
Also didn't Theresa May essentially lose her majority because she had a women problem? Sure I saw that research quoted on this site at some point...
Also, there was a lag in women catching up with men back in April, so the same could happen again.
* looks around anxiously *
Don't suppose there's any chance that this idiot has considered the possibility that the membership of the EU market, and the ability to source materials and expertise from that market, might have knock on benefits for those seeking to export 'outside the EU'?
Although, also from memory, the Conservatives had a particular problem with younger women, women over 65 voted Conservative to a greater degree than men over 65.
The use of "However" is unnecessary. The results are hardly compromised because more men than women currently support the Tories, especially when turnout amongst men tends to be higher at GEs.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016_United_States_presidential_election
The link to Guido provides to the LDs is he was a candidate for them in a council in 2005, and prior to that a Labour candidate. It doesnt show him as a current activist although of course that is possible.
Also, while Biden is obviously at the conservative end of the party, that's rather less true of Harris. Note that, only this week, she co-sponsored a draft green bill with AOC:
https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/455193-harris-aoc-unveil-first-step-of-green-new-deal
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/jul/30/leo-varadkar-uk-ireland-boris-johnson
https://www.independent.ie/business/brexit/boom-to-bust-hard-brexit-will-push-us-to-brink-of-recession-and-cost-100000-jobs-38361520.html
However some rustbelt Sanders voters like Biden and vice versa, agreed
Also the Tories won with women the last time they won a majority.
https://www.britishelectionstudy.com/bes-findings/women-men-and-the-2017-general-election-by-jane-green-and-chris-prosser/#.XUFIibrTXDs
If they vote extremely tactically remain can get a majority, if they vote a bit more tactically than historically it would be a parliament which is hung on both party and remain/leave lines, if they vote with similar levels of tactical voting it could be a small tory majority, although probably still no majority (but a perceived mandate) for a no deal.
I think the middle option is most likely, although of course timing and events can change things dramatically from the current situation.
As I recall, he lived, but he was not a happy bunny when the rescuers found him.
https://www.express.co.uk/celebrity-news/1159239/How-did-Paula-Williamson-die-Charles-Bronson-wife-cause-of-death-news-latest-updates
Brexiteers are prepared to destroy the Union and the economy to deliver their narrow Brexit vision.
Only degenerates, Nats, and Russian trolls want that.
The SNP is still below 2015 levels even after Brexit anyway
https://twitter.com/glasgowalbum/status/1156280010921189377?s=21
Perhaps "United Empire of England and Wales" will be better. Or even "United British Empire of England and Wales." On second thoughts, who needs the Welsh?
"United British Empire of England."
The YouGov poll seized on so avidly by the Boris Brigade isn't much different to the poll at the weekend with only small moves within MoE.
Again, supporters of the Prime Minister will quote polls like this ad infinitum and ad nauseam but OTOH we have Com Res and Opinium which show very different numbers and much smaller Conservative leads. YouGov reflects the kind of political honeymoon Boris's supporters are claiming he is having but other polls show a different response.
Which is correct? Who knows but unfortunately the diversity provides ample ammunition for the protagonists on either side.
https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2017/06/13/how-britain-voted-2017-general-election
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/may/17/quim-torra-sworn-in-catalan-president-xenophobia-claims
Boris seems to have set about with purpose leaving the EU. He has set out his position mainly removal of Backstop and put the ball in EU 27 court. He has backed this up with the fact that backstop will not pass Parliament despite 3 attempts. The EU are looking silly now because they are insisting on something that cannot be delivered - even if they did agree it with May, In the meantime preparations are going ahead for no deal. Whilst ultimately I do not agree with no deal and I thought deal with time limit to backstop and alternative arrangements in political agreement will do, I can’t disagree with the progress and determination, and observe this is just as likely to achieve a deal whilst preparing for the worst. This all puts momentum back into Brexit and out of Brexit Party - their strength a few months ago in an election that didn’t matter is now irrelevant. I’d criticise their other policies if they had any.