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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Johnson’s first net approval ratings are 33 points lower than
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Johnson’s first net approval ratings are 33 points lower than TMay when she entered Number 10 in 2016
As well as the voting intention surveys this weekend we have had the first approval ratings from Opinium on Johnson in polling carried out since he entered Number 10. A total of 28% said they approved of the way he was handling his job compared with 31% saying the disapproved. This gives a net figure of minus three.
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Oh - and BTW - it's "vassal" with an "a" not an "e".
I can do nit-picking too. And I hate bad spelling. But hey it might be the typing.
Anyway, time to have a nice evening.
Laters
Please have a glass of wine, relax and think of your gardening that gives you so much pleasure (as indeed our garden does for my dear wife) and continue to provide us with your interesting knowledge and views
But with things so volatile at the moment and Labour in as bad a mess as the Tories, it may be that being less awful than the alternative will be good enough.
More to the point, how many non-corbynites will just return to the fold to prevent a Tory victory like last time? My best is most of those who say how much labour is not the party they joined will vote for it next time just the same.
On topic: I think there are two important points to be made here. One is that Johnson's leadership rating are inevitably tarnished by the hangover of May's appalling ratings towards the end of her time in office, and the spillover onto the Tory brand. The second is that I think Johnson would probably do quite well out of an election campaign where he was front and centre, providing he played it more or less straight and cut out most of his usual histrionics.
Johnson fools some of the people all the time. Question is whether that's enough to keep him in power.
It is obvious that neither of the main parties benefit by letting this continue without a resolution of some form
Remember 1992.
https://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2019/07/the-new-boris-machine-owes-very-little-to-westminster/amp/?__twitter_impression=true
1. Visas for visits to the UK for them means visas for us to visit EU countries.
2. You can’t end automatic entry without a hard border in Northern Ireland.
- Boris, 2004
https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1155554899809247232?s=21
Interestingly I seem to be in a minority on this, with the general view being that Johnson is such a known quantity by now that he can only become less popular. I'd argue the opposite: his detractors have maxed out by now (in other words, everyone who's going to hate him already does), but there are huge swathes of crucial voters all across the country who think they hate him, but haven't actually seen much of him yet. If he can keep the focus on good common sense policies that will actually benefit ordinary people (and he's made an excellent start by talking about bus services and infrastructure spending, rather than tax cuts for high earners) then he has plenty of room to surprise on the upside.
As Edmund Burke stated-
"Because half a dozen grasshoppers under a fern make the field ring with their importunate chink, whilst thousands of great cattle, reposed beneath the shadow of the British oak, chew the cud and are silent, pray do not imagine that those who make the noise are the only inhabitants of the field."
If it happens, the consequences not only for UK politicians but leaders in the EU could be very serious indeed.
And Junckers plus Barnier legacy will be trashed
A) Remarkably precise for an estimate, and
b) Provides absolutely no evidence or justification for such a bold claim, other than he has successfully campaigned in a number of referendums. Which is hardly a comparable situation.
That negative exposure (if the media /commentators have any resonance with the public) is likely to have the effect of depressing his ratings early on. At the moment people will be responding according to the low expectations they have been fed. This will offer him the chance to improve ratings if he avoids failure, controversy and stupidity.
It is always easier to exceed low expectations than meet high expectations.
I suspect and hope it will be many years before there's another leadership election though.
Visas for tourism would be an absurd situation to be in. Treating EU citizens the same as we treat Australian, Kiwi, Canadian and American citizens would be perfectly reasonable.
She needs lots of time in the news cycle
I will forego the glass of wine as I am trying to lose weight. And I have a busy and difficult work day tomorrow so want to have a clear head. My son is cooking a lovely chicken soup he has made his own: chicken with leeks and prunes and I will have that later after watering the garden. Lots of lovely pink nerines planted today. I hope they will flower.
Incidentally from memory as a Poker player 55% is roughly the same odds pre-flop of Pocket 6's holding up against someone with an Ace and a King. I like to bet high and get a heads-up bet whenever I have low pockets and I can tell you I've zero confidence once there's a caller it can definitely go either way.
IMNSHO if the EU continues to insist upon the backstop it will under our new leadership hurt the EU more than it hurts us, which wasn't the case under May. Which is why they should drop it.
I have lost over 15 kgs since april but discovered that a glass of red wine is actually good for you, in moderation of course
The chicken soup sounds very appealing
Americans need approval to enter to move here, but they can get a visa waiver if they're coming for a holiday etc - that is a sane solution for Europeans too, anything else is insane.
Nonetheless, there has been a clear media spin to project what has happened as a real change of Government and to be fair a lot of those who prospered in the Cameron and May periods are gone and a lot of the new Cabinet aren't again well known.
Interesting to see the old familiar "I voted Remain but the vote must be honoured and we must leave" argument coming out for an airing. If a turkey knew what voting for Christmas meant it would probably want to annul its vote. I voted LEAVE but I didn't vote to inflict catastrophic economic damage on myself or the country by crashing out without a WA so perhaps the turkey has a point.
I'm fine with you not liking or disagreeing with my headers. Why don't you write one yourself and see if it is accepted.
I have rarely in my life been fawned over.
Still, someone who likes Edmund Burke, one of my great political heroes, is not all bad. It's a very good quote.
Have a lovely evening.
Juncker' legacy is that of a man who was forced to resign after it was found the security services were rigging elections in his favour and whose tax deals would disgrace the Virgin Islands. He also reduced the credibility of the Commission to zero and left us a series of videos of drunkenness in public that even Yeltsin would blush at.
It's hard to see how he tops that legacy, so I'm not bothered about that.
What No Deal does represent is a failure of salesmanship, but that's May's fault, not theirs.
In terms of style they read well to me. The hardest bit I find is keeping it down to a reasonable length.
1) No Deal holds no fear to the United Kingdom. It is sufficiently large and advanced to cope with No Deal, even with less than one hundred days to prepare
2) No Deal holds enormous fear to the EU, despite the fact that it is seven times larger than us and did most of its No Deal preparation earlier this year.
I hope I do not need to use sarcasm or other rude technique to point out the problems with that logic.
Burke is an arch tory - it's no surprise you like him.
I did write a thread header - I posted it on the last thread. I wish you could keep your drivel to the comments part - but they're probably too long.
No deal is idiotic and will damage us, but also the EU and will cause massive disruption and ill will
Each side is playing a dangerous game and I just hope somewhere a deal comes forward to mitigate some of the damage