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    Viceroy_of_OrangeViceroy_of_Orange Posts: 172
    edited June 2019

    Scott_P said:
    Where's HYUFD to tell us what this definitively means about the next GE?
    Lots of Jeremy Hunt on the telly and the Tories surge past Farage's mob.

    Ergo - Hunt is electoral viagra for the Tories, the more he's on telly as PM then the Tories will poll 50% plus soon.
    Delusional, almost everyone is assuming Boris is going to win. I doubt most people could recall one interesting thing Jeremy Hunt has ever said, let alone what his Cabinet position is.
  • Options
    alex.alex. Posts: 4,658

    Scott_P said:
    The return of two party politics.....

    ....gradually.
    What has happened to the Brexit Party? Haven't heard from them for weeks?
  • Options
    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,862
    Sean_F said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Why does this Dunt fella always have "fucking" this and "fucking" that every time he tweets?

    What's the Twitter equivalent of washing your mouth out with carbolic soup? :D

    Some people think it's edgy and satirical to say "fuck."

    Yep, even mild-mannered Sunil is at it now (@10:31).

    We'll be having to prove our ages to sign up to PB soon.
  • Options
    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    edited June 2019

    GIN1138 said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    GIN1138 said:

    blueblue said:

    What a ridiculous overreaction by the media to this non-event - it's so over the top that Tory members are likely to start feeling more sympathy with Boris, not less.

    Indeed.

    From the reaction anyone would think Boris has been carted off in a police van on Thursday night...
    It is the fact that, if he has to act like this, he lacks the self control to suppress the urge to do so at such a critical juncture. Can you imagine any actual leader, past or present, of a major party in this country behaving like this? If so, who?
    He had a row with his partner?
    I suspect he was engaged in embarrasing behaviour if it was made public! To be honest if he was he should admit it and then everyone would move on. His refusal to comment on it just leads to more bad publicity and you cannot be opaque in high office.
    As there is a tape Boris can't deny anything.
    If he says even one factoid that is contradicted by the tape the press will be all over him like hungry wolves. As a result he says nothing at all.

    Which, actually, if this was an actual serious attempt at knifing Boris the existence of the tape would have been kept secret.
  • Options
    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,468

    I think Boris will seriously fuck up Brexit and be forced from office before the end of the year.

    Believe in Brexit, believe in Boris. BE LEAVE.
    "My friends, as I have discovered myself, there are no disasters, only opportunities. And, indeed, opportunities for fresh disasters." :)
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 41,008
    Pulpstar said:

    I think a few things are clear by implication

    i) Boris hasn't hit Carrie. If it emerges he has then his career will be over pdq - I think if he really was a wife beater it'd have emerged by now.
    ii) Boris doesn't trust Carrie with his laptop for whatever (Could be genuine Natsec?) reason. Probably flirtatious emails to other women would be my guess though; and in character for Boris.
    iii) Carrie probably had had a few too many, sounds like she was doing the screaming,shouting, plate and glass throwing etc... - no wonder Boris didn't want to elaborate, throwing your other half under the bus in a barney taped up by your neighbours would have become the story with no good way out.

    You’re showing worrying signs of fascism there James
  • Options
    DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    Pulpstar said:

    Scott_P said:
    Because he doesn't want to fling his squeeze under a bus ?

    This isn't rocket science.
    Because Lynton Crosby told him to say nothing? Because Boris knows the Guardian has a recording that his story will be tested against, but can't be sure what is on it? Because today's headlines are tomorrow's fish and chip wrappers?
  • Options
    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,142
    Pulpstar said:

    I think a few things are clear by implication

    i) Boris hasn't hit Carrie. If it emerges he has then his career will be over pdq - I think if he really was a wife beater it'd have emerged by now.
    ii) Boris doesn't trust Carrie with his laptop for whatever (Could be genuine Natsec?) reason. Probably flirtatious emails to other women would be my guess though; and in character for Boris.
    iii) Carrie probably had had a few too many, sounds like she was doing the screaming,shouting, plate and glass throwing etc... - no wonder Boris didn't want to elaborate, throwing your other half under the bus in a barney taped up by your neighbours would have become the story with no good way out.

    Seems about right.
  • Options
    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,106
    dixiedean said:

    OT. A vital election tomorrow with profound implications for democracy in Turkey. The re-run of the Istanbul mayoralty. Polls suggest the opposition CHP candidate stretching his lead to 8%.
    How Erdogan reacts to this will be crucial. Possibly stormy times ahead if he attempts to rig it / ignore it.

    Very interesting! Will they count tomorrow?
  • Options
    Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    Sean_F said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    GIN1138 said:

    blueblue said:

    What a ridiculous overreaction by the media to this non-event - it's so over the top that Tory members are likely to start feeling more sympathy with Boris, not less.

    Indeed.

    From the reaction anyone would think Boris has been carted off in a police van on Thursday night...
    It is the fact that, if he has to act like this, he lacks the self control to suppress the urge to do so at such a critical juncture. Can you imagine any actual leader, past or present, of a major party in this country behaving like this? If so, who?
    I could easily imagine any of Melbourne, Palmerston, Asquith, Lloyd George, acting in a similar manner.
    Really?

    And actually you only make my point the stronger, because if they did, they did it in such a way that nobody ever found out about it.
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,609

    Sean_F said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Why does this Dunt fella always have "fucking" this and "fucking" that every time he tweets?

    What's the Twitter equivalent of washing your mouth out with carbolic soup? :D

    Some people think it's edgy and satirical to say "fuck."

    Yep, even mild-mannered Sunil is at it now (@10:31).

    We'll be having to prove our ages to sign up to PB soon.
    We'll be adding a quality filter before you can post on PB.

    You have to express your views on Radiohead, AV, and why Die Hard isn't a Christmas film, the last one is easy, there are squillions of reasons why it isn't a Christmas film.
  • Options
    dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 28,032

    Scott_P said:
    Where's HYUFD to tell us what this definitively means about the next GE?
    Dunno. But that sure as ain't a working Tory majority.
  • Options
    glwglw Posts: 9,554

    If, a big if, Boris becomes PM. It is going to be hilarious watching the ERG turn against him when he messes up.

    Not even mess up, I find it quite plausible that Boris would backtrack on much of what he's said about the timetable and negotiations for leaving the EU. I think Boris is a Brexiteer almost entirely due to seeing it as a route to the top job, rather than it being a long held ideological stance.
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,445
    Pulpstar said:

    I think a few things are clear by implication

    i) Boris hasn't hit Carrie. If it emerges he has then his career will be over pdq - I think if he really was a wife beater it'd have emerged by now.
    ii) Boris doesn't trust Carrie with his laptop for whatever (Could be genuine Natsec?) reason. Probably flirtatious emails to other women would be my guess though; and in character for Boris.
    iii) Carrie probably had had a few too many, sounds like she was doing the screaming,shouting, plate and glass throwing etc... - no wonder Boris didn't want to elaborate, throwing your other half under the bus in a barney taped up by your neighbours would have become the story with no good way out.

    To be honest this is all displacement activity.

    What matters is his flagship Brexit policy is pure unicorn flavoured lies.
  • Options
    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,862

    Scott_P said:
    Where's HYUFD to tell us what this definitively means about the next GE?
    Lots of Jeremy Hunt on the telly and the Tories surge past Farage's mob.

    Ergo - Hunt is electoral viagra for the Tories, the more he's on telly as PM then the Tories will poll 50% plus soon.
    Always good to get your unbiased disinterested views TSE :wink:
    You will be delighted by the morning thread, my fair and impartial analysis on the Tory leadership contest.
    Good grief what a teaser! Sleepless night ahead while I wait to find out which way you hope think it's going to go.
  • Options
    The_TaxmanThe_Taxman Posts: 2,979

    Boris isn't very good at detail, not to worry, it's not about anything major

    https://twitter.com/DLidington/status/1142522392633368576

    I thought Boris was supposed to be intellegent? He sounds like a lazy individual who is not a master of his brief. Given he campaigned to Leave with the ramifications for the economy and society. It is poor behaviour to be so badly briefed on his flagship policy.
    Am I alone in feeling that somehow Boris isn't firing on all cylinders? Not only isn't on top of some really basic questions, but there is a kind of malaise about him.

    Does he really want this?
    If he was drinking wine on his own he might have a hangover. It maybe he is a serious boozer behind closed doors. It could also be the fact he has been caught out as not really having an agenda he wants to implement, even his Brexit plan is not nailed down. Politic abores a vaccum and Boris has little to say so scrutiny turns to critism.
  • Options
    marke09marke09 Posts: 926

    Survation.
    @Survation
    5m5 minutes ago

    We also included hypothetical "if Boris, if Hunt" Conservative leader scenarios.
    Current, IF Boris, IF Hunt
    CON 24%, 26%, 23%
    LAB 26%, 26%, 26%
    LD 18%, 21%, 18%
    BREX 20%, 16%, 21%
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,994

    Sean_F said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Why does this Dunt fella always have "fucking" this and "fucking" that every time he tweets?

    What's the Twitter equivalent of washing your mouth out with carbolic soup? :D

    Some people think it's edgy and satirical to say "fuck."

    Yep, even mild-mannered Sunil is at it now (@10:31).

    We'll be having to prove our ages to sign up to PB soon.
    We'll be adding a quality filter before you can post on PB.

    You have to express your views on Radiohead, AV, and why Die Hard isn't a Christmas film, the last one is easy, there are squillions of reasons why it isn't a Christmas film.
    Thankfully the pizza portion of the test has been dropped.
  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787

    Scott_P said:
    Where's HYUFD to tell us what this definitively means about the next GE?
    Lots of Jeremy Hunt on the telly and the Tories surge past Farage's mob.

    Ergo - Hunt is electoral viagra for the Tories, the more he's on telly as PM then the Tories will poll 50% plus soon.
    Always good to get your unbiased disinterested views TSE :wink:
    You will be delighted by the morning thread, my fair and impartial analysis on the Tory leadership contest.
    Indeed and that from a PBer with a Jeremy Hunt for PM 100/1 betting slip stuffed down his string vest and Y front combinations.

    Remarkable.
  • Options
    surbiton19surbiton19 Posts: 1,469

    Scott_P said:
    Where's HYUFD to tell us what this definitively means about the next GE?
    HYUFD only [bullshits] comments on polls when they agree with his meme.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,994
    marke09 said:


    Survation.
    @Survation
    5m5 minutes ago

    We also included hypothetical "if Boris, if Hunt" Conservative leader scenarios.
    Current, IF Boris, IF Hunt
    CON 24%, 26%, 23%
    LAB 26%, 26%, 26%
    LD 18%, 21%, 18%
    BREX 20%, 16%, 21%

    Margin of error...
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,445
    Hoping that Carrie doesn't have a cat that she wants the neighbours to feed whilst she is away this summer...
  • Options
    surbiton19surbiton19 Posts: 1,469
    marke09 said:


    Survation.
    @Survation
    5m5 minutes ago

    We also included hypothetical "if Boris, if Hunt" Conservative leader scenarios.
    Current, IF Boris, IF Hunt
    CON 24%, 26%, 23%
    LAB 26%, 26%, 26%
    LD 18%, 21%, 18%
    BREX 20%, 16%, 21%

    HYUFD will not like this. Only a 2% premium for Boris. I thought 37% would vote Tory if HE was PM.
  • Options
    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,862
    edited June 2019
    dixiedean said:

    Scott_P said:
    Where's HYUFD to tell us what this definitively means about the next GE?
    Dunno. But that sure as ain't a working Tory majority.
    Nope, Parliament would be truly hung, drawn and quartered according to Electoral Calculus:

    Lab 258
    Con 195
    Brx 73
    LD 62
    SNP 40
    PC 3
    Green 1
    NI 18

    Remainer coalition.
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,609

    Hoping that Carrie doesn't have a cat that she wants the neighbours to feed whilst she is away this summer...

    That cat is hoping Boris isn't a pound shop Jeremy Thorpe.
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,609
    JackW said:

    Scott_P said:
    Where's HYUFD to tell us what this definitively means about the next GE?
    Lots of Jeremy Hunt on the telly and the Tories surge past Farage's mob.

    Ergo - Hunt is electoral viagra for the Tories, the more he's on telly as PM then the Tories will poll 50% plus soon.
    Always good to get your unbiased disinterested views TSE :wink:
    You will be delighted by the morning thread, my fair and impartial analysis on the Tory leadership contest.
    Indeed and that from a PBer with a Jeremy Hunt for PM 100/1 betting slip stuffed down his string vest and Y front combinations.

    Remarkable.
    I don't even mention my tips on Hunt at 100/1 and 66/1
  • Options
    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,407

    Scott_P said:
    Where's HYUFD to tell us what this definitively means about the next GE?
    Lots of Jeremy Hunt on the telly and the Tories surge past Farage's mob.

    Ergo - Hunt is electoral viagra for the Tories, the more he's on telly as PM then the Tories will poll 50% plus soon.
    Delusional, almost everyone is assuming Boris is going to win. I doubt most people could recall one interesting thing Jeremy Hunt has ever said, let alone what his Cabinet position is.
    They will do as there are another 15 hustings like todays which Hunt clearly won
  • Options
    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,997
    Ishmael_Z said:

    Sean_F said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    GIN1138 said:

    blueblue said:

    What a ridiculous overreaction by the media to this non-event - it's so over the top that Tory members are likely to start feeling more sympathy with Boris, not less.

    Indeed.

    From the reaction anyone would think Boris has been carted off in a police van on Thursday night...
    It is the fact that, if he has to act like this, he lacks the self control to suppress the urge to do so at such a critical juncture. Can you imagine any actual leader, past or present, of a major party in this country behaving like this? If so, who?
    I could easily imagine any of Melbourne, Palmerston, Asquith, Lloyd George, acting in a similar manner.
    Really?

    And actually you only make my point the stronger, because if they did, they did it in such a way that nobody ever found out about it.
    People were more tolerant of wayward behaviour among politicians in the past.
    Melbourne flagellated young servant girls, Palmerston was a serial lecher, Asquith was a drunk, and Lloyd George any other serial lecher.
  • Options
    anothernickanothernick Posts: 3,578
    edited June 2019
    glw said:

    If, a big if, Boris becomes PM. It is going to be hilarious watching the ERG turn against him when he messes up.

    Not even mess up, I find it quite plausible that Boris would backtrack on much of what he's said about the timetable and negotiations for leaving the EU. I think Boris is a Brexiteer almost entirely due to seeing it as a route to the top job, rather than it being a long held ideological stance.
    Of course he is. Both he and Hunt are vacuous opportunists who believe only in their own personal advancement. Belief and principle are unknown to them.
  • Options
    DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    kle4 said:

    Boris isn't very good at detail, not to worry, it's not about anything major

    https://twitter.com/DLidington/status/1142522392633368576

    I thought Boris was supposed to be intellegent? He sounds like a lazy individual who is not a master of his brief. Given he campaigned to Leave with the ramifications for the economy and society. It is poor behaviour to be so badly briefed on his flagship policy.
    Am I alone in feeling that somehow Boris isn't firing on all cylinders? Not only isn't on top of some really basic questions, but there is a kind of malaise about him.

    Does he really want this?
    Well, he did get cold feet last time just because of Gove of all people. But he's worked toward this for bloody ages, I am sure he wants is so very badly. That might be why he is not firing on all cylinders, he knows he is so close now and is slightly wary of cocking up. But he has so much support behind him and top advisers, he may just be waiting for the right moment.
    Boris is being advised by Lynton Crosby who invariably advises those leading in the polls to say nothing -- same with Theresa May in 2017 and Cameron before her. Boris in any case hates being interviewed, as Londoners (or at least London journalists and assembly members) will remember from his time as Mayor.
  • Options
    alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    marke09 said:


    Survation.
    @Survation
    5m5 minutes ago

    We also included hypothetical "if Boris, if Hunt" Conservative leader scenarios.
    Current, IF Boris, IF Hunt
    CON 24%, 26%, 23%
    LAB 26%, 26%, 26%
    LD 18%, 21%, 18%
    BREX 20%, 16%, 21%

    But i thought Johnson was going to get 37% of the vote and 395 seats? Wonder what other "introductory" questions the Telegraph put into their "Boris Launch" poll a few weeks ago?
  • Options
    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,862

    marke09 said:


    Survation.
    @Survation
    5m5 minutes ago

    We also included hypothetical "if Boris, if Hunt" Conservative leader scenarios.
    Current, IF Boris, IF Hunt
    CON 24%, 26%, 23%
    LAB 26%, 26%, 26%
    LD 18%, 21%, 18%
    BREX 20%, 16%, 21%

    HYUFD will not like this. Only a 2% premium for Boris. I thought 37% would vote Tory if HE was PM.
    That was yesterday :wink:
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,445
    glw said:

    If, a big if, Boris becomes PM. It is going to be hilarious watching the ERG turn against him when he messes up.

    Not even mess up, I find it quite plausible that Boris would backtrack on much of what he's said about the timetable and negotiations for leaving the EU. I think Boris is a Brexiteer almost entirely due to seeing it as a route to the top job, rather than it being a long held ideological stance.
    Yep, looks that way. His first briefing from the Cabinet Sec will be one to be a fly on the wall for.

    "Nothing you have said about Brexit in the leadership contest is deliverable or indeed true, Prime Minister" etc etc

    Not that he will get that far.
  • Options
    _Anazina__Anazina_ Posts: 1,810

    marke09 said:


    Survation.
    @Survation
    5m5 minutes ago

    We also included hypothetical "if Boris, if Hunt" Conservative leader scenarios.
    Current, IF Boris, IF Hunt
    CON 24%, 26%, 23%
    LAB 26%, 26%, 26%
    LD 18%, 21%, 18%
    BREX 20%, 16%, 21%

    HYUFD will not like this. Only a 2% premium for Boris. I thought 37% would vote Tory if HE was PM.
    RobD said:

    marke09 said:


    Survation.
    @Survation
    5m5 minutes ago

    We also included hypothetical "if Boris, if Hunt" Conservative leader scenarios.
    Current, IF Boris, IF Hunt
    CON 24%, 26%, 23%
    LAB 26%, 26%, 26%
    LD 18%, 21%, 18%
    BREX 20%, 16%, 21%

    Margin of error...
    The Tories might as well stick with MayDay on those numbers.

    Or perhaps Sir Graham Brady’s time has come?
  • Options
    DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    glw said:

    Boris isn't very good at detail, not to worry, it's not about anything major

    He's either dishonest or he's ignorant, either way it's worrying that someone who was in the cabinet, was Foreign Secretary, and wants to be PM should get the basics of leaving the EU so wrong.
    Par for the course these days. We had a Brexit Secretary who did not know Dover was on the way to France, and a Northern Ireland Secretary who was surprised to learn that nationalists and loyalists vote for different parties. And then there is Boris.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,994

    JackW said:

    Scott_P said:
    Where's HYUFD to tell us what this definitively means about the next GE?
    Lots of Jeremy Hunt on the telly and the Tories surge past Farage's mob.

    Ergo - Hunt is electoral viagra for the Tories, the more he's on telly as PM then the Tories will poll 50% plus soon.
    Always good to get your unbiased disinterested views TSE :wink:
    You will be delighted by the morning thread, my fair and impartial analysis on the Tory leadership contest.
    Indeed and that from a PBer with a Jeremy Hunt for PM 100/1 betting slip stuffed down his string vest and Y front combinations.

    Remarkable.
    I don't even mention my tips on Hunt at 100/1 and 66/1
    Did you mention your legendary, unparalleled modesty?
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,445
    Sean_F said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    Sean_F said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    GIN1138 said:

    blueblue said:

    What a ridiculous overreaction by the media to this non-event - it's so over the top that Tory members are likely to start feeling more sympathy with Boris, not less.

    Indeed.

    From the reaction anyone would think Boris has been carted off in a police van on Thursday night...
    It is the fact that, if he has to act like this, he lacks the self control to suppress the urge to do so at such a critical juncture. Can you imagine any actual leader, past or present, of a major party in this country behaving like this? If so, who?
    I could easily imagine any of Melbourne, Palmerston, Asquith, Lloyd George, acting in a similar manner.
    Really?

    And actually you only make my point the stronger, because if they did, they did it in such a way that nobody ever found out about it.
    People were more tolerant of wayward behaviour among politicians in the past.
    Melbourne flagellated young servant girls, Palmerston was a serial lecher, Asquith was a drunk, and Lloyd George any other serial lecher.
    All before mass media and 24 hour news
  • Options
    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,468
    edited June 2019

    Sean_F said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Why does this Dunt fella always have "fucking" this and "fucking" that every time he tweets?

    What's the Twitter equivalent of washing your mouth out with carbolic soup? :D

    Some people think it's edgy and satirical to say "fuck."

    Yep, even mild-mannered Sunil is at it now (@10:31).

    We'll be having to prove our ages to sign up to PB soon.
    We'll be adding a quality filter before you can post on PB.

    You have to express your views on Radiohead, AV, and why Die Hard isn't a Christmas film, the last one is easy, there are squillions of reasons why it isn't a Christmas film.
    1) I'm not too familiar with Radiohead (more a Depeche Mode fan!)

    2) Would that be the same AV wot was rejected by the UK voters by 68% to 32% in 2011? :lol:

    3) Die Hard most certainly a Christmas film

    * It's set during Christmas, FFS!
    * Bruce Willis's barefoot allegory to Jesus the Weary Traveller
    * Bruce Willis is Santa: He writes "Ho Ho Ho! Now I have a machine gun!" AND he whistles the tune to "Jingle Bells"!
    * It features "Christmas in Hollis" by Run-DMC
    * It features "Let it Snow" by Vaughan Monroe
    * The Limo Driver quips at the end: "If this is their idea of Christmas, I gotta be here for New Year's!"
  • Options
    dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 28,032

    dixiedean said:

    OT. A vital election tomorrow with profound implications for democracy in Turkey. The re-run of the Istanbul mayoralty. Polls suggest the opposition CHP candidate stretching his lead to 8%.
    How Erdogan reacts to this will be crucial. Possibly stormy times ahead if he attempts to rig it / ignore it.

    Very interesting! Will they count tomorrow?
    They usually do. The election results show being pulled off TV at 9pm last time was the signal AKP had lost.
    Interestingly the opposition candidate has been in place as Mayor for the past 3 months. So, he has the advantage of recent incumbency. And of turning up to meet with ordinary voters too.
  • Options
    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Charles said:

    Andrew said:

    HYUFD said:


    Trump did too, did not stop him


    Trump has countless millions inherited from daddy he used to tie them into confidentiality agreements. The tabloids published his one with Ivana years ago iirc.
    I hope you mean Ivanka! 😆
    Ivanka is the First Daughter. Ivana is Ivanka's mother, and Donald's ex-wife (or one of them).
    I realise... I always get them the wrong way round!
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,609
    RobD said:

    JackW said:

    Scott_P said:
    Where's HYUFD to tell us what this definitively means about the next GE?
    Lots of Jeremy Hunt on the telly and the Tories surge past Farage's mob.

    Ergo - Hunt is electoral viagra for the Tories, the more he's on telly as PM then the Tories will poll 50% plus soon.
    Always good to get your unbiased disinterested views TSE :wink:
    You will be delighted by the morning thread, my fair and impartial analysis on the Tory leadership contest.
    Indeed and that from a PBer with a Jeremy Hunt for PM 100/1 betting slip stuffed down his string vest and Y front combinations.

    Remarkable.
    I don't even mention my tips on Hunt at 100/1 and 66/1
    Did you mention your legendary, unparalleled modesty?
    Maybe.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,002
    Boris story unraveling already. Actually feel sorry for Carrie, almost unbelievably.
  • Options
    kjohnwkjohnw Posts: 1,456

    marke09 said:


    Survation.
    @Survation
    5m5 minutes ago

    We also included hypothetical "if Boris, if Hunt" Conservative leader scenarios.
    Current, IF Boris, IF Hunt
    CON 24%, 26%, 23%
    LAB 26%, 26%, 26%
    LD 18%, 21%, 18%
    BREX 20%, 16%, 21%

    HYUFD will not like this. Only a 2% premium for Boris. I thought 37% would vote Tory if HE was PM.
    That was yesterday :wink:
    Boris Johnson’s girlfriend has said they have been stitched up by left wing neighbours, so what has Boris actually done wrong ? This is just plain silly
  • Options
    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    glw said:

    Boris isn't very good at detail, not to worry, it's not about anything major

    He's either dishonest or he's ignorant, either way it's worrying that someone who was in the cabinet, was Foreign Secretary, and wants to be PM should get the basics of leaving the EU so wrong.
    Mutually exclusive?
  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787

    JackW said:

    Scott_P said:
    Where's HYUFD to tell us what this definitively means about the next GE?
    Lots of Jeremy Hunt on the telly and the Tories surge past Farage's mob.

    Ergo - Hunt is electoral viagra for the Tories, the more he's on telly as PM then the Tories will poll 50% plus soon.
    Always good to get your unbiased disinterested views TSE :wink:
    You will be delighted by the morning thread, my fair and impartial analysis on the Tory leadership contest.
    Indeed and that from a PBer with a Jeremy Hunt for PM 100/1 betting slip stuffed down his string vest and Y front combinations.

    Remarkable.
    I don't even mention my tips on Hunt at 100/1 and 66/1
    Your reticence, demur and unassuming behaviour has always been one of your great strengths matched only by your having the fashion sense of a combination of Denis Skinner and Ann Widdecombe.
  • Options
    Ave_itAve_it Posts: 2,411
    Hunt has won.

    Then after the next GE Layla becomes PM once she has sorted my computer cable out 👿
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,061

    Sean_F said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Why does this Dunt fella always have "fucking" this and "fucking" that every time he tweets?

    What's the Twitter equivalent of washing your mouth out with carbolic soup? :D

    Some people think it's edgy and satirical to say "fuck."

    Yep, even mild-mannered Sunil is at it now (@10:31).

    We'll be having to prove our ages to sign up to PB soon.
    We'll be adding a quality filter before you can post on PB.

    You have to express your views on Radiohead, AV, and why Die Hard isn't a Christmas film, the last one is easy, there are squillions of reasons why it isn't a Christmas film.
    1) I'm not too familiar with Radiohead (more a Depeche Mode fan!)

    2) Would that be the same AV wot was rejected by the UK voters by 68% to 32% in 2011? :lol:

    3) Die Hard most certainly a Christmas film

    * It's set during Christmas, FFS!
    * Bruce Willis's barefoot allegory to Jesus the Weary Traveller
    * Bruce Willis is Santa: He writes "Ho Ho Ho! Now I have a machine gun!" AND he whistles the tune to "Jingle Bells"!
    * It features "Christmas in Hollis" by Run-DMC
    * It features "Let it Snow" by Vaughan Williams
    * The Limo Driver quips at the end: "If this is their idea of Christmas, I gotta be here for New Year's!"
    Argh - merely being set in a particular time or mentioning an event does not make a film of a particular genre. Is Jack Reacher 2 basically the same as Halloween and Boo 2: A Madea Halloween, because it too takes place on Halloween?

    Is it a Christmas movie is not the same question as 'Is it set at Christmas?' Is Iron Man 3 a Christmas Movie?

    If 5 minutes of find and replace with Microsoft Word could eliminate Christmas and not affect the plot in the slightest, it ain't a 'Christmas movie'. Christmas is the setting, not the theme, and any setting would have worked.

    But TSE is just trolling us. Good night.
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,445

    Hoping that Carrie doesn't have a cat that she wants the neighbours to feed whilst she is away this summer...

    That cat is hoping Boris isn't a pound shop Jeremy Thorpe.
    :lol:
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,994
    JackW said:

    JackW said:

    Scott_P said:
    Where's HYUFD to tell us what this definitively means about the next GE?
    Lots of Jeremy Hunt on the telly and the Tories surge past Farage's mob.

    Ergo - Hunt is electoral viagra for the Tories, the more he's on telly as PM then the Tories will poll 50% plus soon.
    Always good to get your unbiased disinterested views TSE :wink:
    You will be delighted by the morning thread, my fair and impartial analysis on the Tory leadership contest.
    Indeed and that from a PBer with a Jeremy Hunt for PM 100/1 betting slip stuffed down his string vest and Y front combinations.

    Remarkable.
    I don't even mention my tips on Hunt at 100/1 and 66/1
    Your reticence, demur and unassuming behaviour has always been one of your great strengths matched only by your having the fashion sense of a combination of Denis Skinner and Ann Widdecombe.
    Fashion critics have described his style as “unique”. :)
  • Options
    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,407
    Boris has looked deflated for a while. As I said this morning he shows signs that he knows he is near being PM but at the same time knows he cannot fulfil his unicorn promises and could be the shortest time served PM in history

    Indeed after the last 24 hours I am not wholly convinced he will still be in the race by the 22nd July, having self combusted in the meantime
  • Options
    Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981

    Sean_F said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Why does this Dunt fella always have "fucking" this and "fucking" that every time he tweets?

    What's the Twitter equivalent of washing your mouth out with carbolic soup? :D

    Some people think it's edgy and satirical to say "fuck."

    Yep, even mild-mannered Sunil is at it now (@10:31).

    We'll be having to prove our ages to sign up to PB soon.
    We'll be adding a quality filter before you can post on PB.

    You have to express your views on Radiohead, AV, and why Die Hard isn't a Christmas film, the last one is easy, there are squillions of reasons why it isn't a Christmas film.
    1) I'm not too familiar with Radiohead (more a Depeche Mode fan!)

    2) Would that be the same AV wot was rejected by the UK voters by 68% to 32% in 2011? :lol:

    3) Die Hard most certainly a Christmas film

    * It's set during Christmas, FFS!
    * Bruce Willis's barefoot allegory to Jesus the Weary Traveller
    * Bruce Willis is Santa: He writes "Ho Ho Ho! Now I have a machine gun!" AND he whistles the tune to "Jingle Bells"!
    * It features "Christmas in Hollis" by Run-DMC
    * It features "Let it Snow" by Vaughan Monroe
    * The Limo Driver quips at the end: "If this is their idea of Christmas, I gotta be here for New Year's!"
    And it was shot on location on SANTA Monica Boulevard. If that's not conclusive what is?
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,994
    kle4 said:

    Sean_F said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Why does this Dunt fella always have "fucking" this and "fucking" that every time he tweets?

    What's the Twitter equivalent of washing your mouth out with carbolic soup? :D

    Some people think it's edgy and satirical to say "fuck."

    Yep, even mild-mannered Sunil is at it now (@10:31).

    We'll be having to prove our ages to sign up to PB soon.
    We'll be adding a quality filter before you can post on PB.

    You have to express your views on Radiohead, AV, and why Die Hard isn't a Christmas film, the last one is easy, there are squillions of reasons why it isn't a Christmas film.
    1) I'm not too familiar with Radiohead (more a Depeche Mode fan!)

    2) Would that be the same AV wot was rejected by the UK voters by 68% to 32% in 2011? :lol:

    3) Die Hard most certainly a Christmas film

    * It's set during Christmas, FFS!
    * Bruce Willis's barefoot allegory to Jesus the Weary Traveller
    * Bruce Willis is Santa: He writes "Ho Ho Ho! Now I have a machine gun!" AND he whistles the tune to "Jingle Bells"!
    * It features "Christmas in Hollis" by Run-DMC
    * It features "Let it Snow" by Vaughan Williams
    * The Limo Driver quips at the end: "If this is their idea of Christmas, I gotta be here for New Year's!"
    Argh - merely being set in a particular time or mentioning an event does not make a film of a particular genre. Is Jack Reacher 2 basically the same as Halloween and Boo 2: A Madea Halloween, because it too takes place on Halloween?

    Is it a Christmas movie is not the same question as 'Is it set at Christmas?' Is Iron Man 3 a Christmas Movie?

    If 5 minutes of find and replace with Microsoft Word could eliminate Christmas and not affect the plot in the slightest, it ain't a 'Christmas movie'. Christmas is the setting, not the theme, and any setting would have worked.

    But TSE is just trolling us. Good night.
    Isn’t the theme family reunions? That’s very Christmassy.
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,061

    Boris has looked deflated for a while. As I said this morning he shows signs that he knows he is near being PM but at the same time knows he cannot fulfil his unicorn promises and could be the shortest time served PM in history

    Indeed after the last 24 hours I am not wholly convinced he will still be in the race by the 22nd July, having self combusted in the meantime

    The short PM, sure, but as for the other thing, you really think something so serious he will pull out will happen? Come on.
  • Options
    surbiton19surbiton19 Posts: 1,469
    Pulpstar said:

    I think a few things are clear by implication

    i) Boris hasn't hit Carrie. If it emerges he has then his career will be over pdq - I think if he really was a wife beater it'd have emerged by now.
    ii) Boris doesn't trust Carrie with his laptop for whatever (Could be genuine Natsec?) reason. Probably flirtatious emails to other women would be my guess though; and in character for Boris.
    iii) Carrie probably had had a few too many, sounds like she was doing the screaming,shouting, plate and glass throwing etc... - no wonder Boris didn't want to elaborate, throwing your other half under the bus in a barney taped up by your neighbours would have become the story with no good way out.

    It's good to know that our potential Prime Minister is not a wife [ partner ] beater !
  • Options
    noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 20,871

    Scott_P said:
    Another adult in the room speaks.

    There is going to be hell to pay when the membership find out they are buying pure snake oil.
    Are there any leavers on here who think the above can be delivered (without EU agreement)?
    If you dont think they can be delivered, do you approve of the lying to less informed voters to keep them onside?
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,061
    RobD said:

    kle4 said:

    Sean_F said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Why does this Dunt fella always have "fucking" this and "fucking" that every time he tweets?

    What's the Twitter equivalent of washing your mouth out with carbolic soup? :D

    Some people think it's edgy and satirical to say "fuck."

    Yep, even mild-mannered Sunil is at it now (@10:31).

    We'll be having to prove our ages to sign up to PB soon.
    We'll be adding a quality filter before you can post on PB.

    You have to express your views on Radiohead, AV, and why Die Hard isn't a Christmas film, the last one is easy, there are squillions of reasons why it isn't a Christmas film.
    1) I'm not too familiar with Radiohead (more a Depeche Mode fan!)

    2) Would that be the same AV wot was rejected by the UK voters by 68% to 32% in 2011? :lol:

    3) Die Hard most certainly a Christmas film

    * It's set during Christmas, FFS!
    * Bruce Willis's barefoot allegory to Jesus the Weary Traveller
    * Bruce Willis is Santa: He writes "Ho Ho Ho! Now I have a machine gun!" AND he whistles the tune to "Jingle Bells"!
    * It features "Christmas in Hollis" by Run-DMC
    * It features "Let it Snow" by Vaughan Williams
    * The Limo Driver quips at the end: "If this is their idea of Christmas, I gotta be here for New Year's!"
    Argh - merely being set in a particular time or mentioning an event does not make a film of a particular genre. Is Jack Reacher 2 basically the same as Halloween and Boo 2: A Madea Halloween, because it too takes place on Halloween?

    Is it a Christmas movie is not the same question as 'Is it set at Christmas?' Is Iron Man 3 a Christmas Movie?

    If 5 minutes of find and replace with Microsoft Word could eliminate Christmas and not affect the plot in the slightest, it ain't a 'Christmas movie'. Christmas is the setting, not the theme, and any setting would have worked.

    But TSE is just trolling us. Good night.
    Isn’t the theme family reunions? That’s very Christmassy.
    It can be, but it's tissue paper thin and hardly inherent to the film. Thanksgiving would work just as well, possibly even more so, though the imagery and soundtrack would not be as easy.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,994
    kle4 said:

    RobD said:

    kle4 said:

    Sean_F said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Why does this Dunt fella always have "fucking" this and "fucking" that every time he tweets?

    What's the Twitter equivalent of washing your mouth out with carbolic soup? :D

    Some people think it's edgy and satirical to say "fuck."

    Yep, even mild-mannered Sunil is at it now (@10:31).

    We'll be having to prove our ages to sign up to PB soon.
    We'll be adding a quality filter before you can post on PB.

    You have to express your views on Radiohead, AV, and why Die Hard isn't a Christmas film, the last one is easy, there are squillions of reasons why it isn't a Christmas film.
    1) I'm not too familiar with Radiohead (more a Depeche Mode fan!)

    2) Would that be the same AV wot was rejected by the UK voters by 68% to 32% in 2011? :lol:

    3) Die Hard most certainly a Christmas film

    * It's set during Christmas, FFS!
    * Bruce Willis's barefoot allegory to Jesus the Weary Traveller
    * Bruce Willis is Santa: He writes "Ho Ho Ho! Now I have a machine gun!" AND he whistles the tune to "Jingle Bells"!
    * It features "Christmas in Hollis" by Run-DMC
    * It features "Let it Snow" by Vaughan Williams
    * The Limo Driver quips at the end: "If this is their idea of Christmas, I gotta be here for New Year's!"
    Argh - merely being set in a particular time or mentioning an event does not make a film of a particular genre. Is Jack Reacher 2 basically the same as Halloween and Boo 2: A Madea Halloween, because it too takes place on Halloween?

    Is it a Christmas movie is not the same question as 'Is it set at Christmas?' Is Iron Man 3 a Christmas Movie?

    If 5 minutes of find and replace with Microsoft Word could eliminate Christmas and not affect the plot in the slightest, it ain't a 'Christmas movie'. Christmas is the setting, not the theme, and any setting would have worked.

    But TSE is just trolling us. Good night.
    Isn’t the theme family reunions? That’s very Christmassy.
    It can be, but it's tissue paper thin and hardly inherent to the film. Thanksgiving would work just as well, possibly even more so, though the imagery and soundtrack would not be as easy.
    Paper thin? Name one bigger theme in the movie. :p
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,609
    There's more snow in Empire Strikes Back than Die Hard.

    Die Hard was also released in July, definitely not at Christmas.
  • Options
    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,468
    kle4 said:

    RobD said:

    kle4 said:

    Sean_F said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Why does this Dunt fella always have "fucking" this and "fucking" that every time he tweets?

    What's the Twitter equivalent of washing your mouth out with carbolic soup? :D

    Some people think it's edgy and satirical to say "fuck."

    Yep, even mild-mannered Sunil is at it now (@10:31).

    We'll be having to prove our ages to sign up to PB soon.
    We'll be adding a quality filter before you can post on PB.

    You have to express your views on Radiohead, AV, and why Die Hard isn't a Christmas film, the last one is easy, there are squillions of reasons why it isn't a Christmas film.
    1) I'm not too familiar with Radiohead (more a Depeche Mode fan!)

    2) Would that be the same AV wot was rejected by the UK voters by 68% to 32% in 2011? :lol:

    3) Die Hard most certainly a Christmas film

    * It's set during Christmas, FFS!
    * Bruce Willis's barefoot allegory to Jesus the Weary Traveller
    * Bruce Willis is Santa: He writes "Ho Ho Ho! Now I have a machine gun!" AND he whistles the tune to "Jingle Bells"!
    * It features "Christmas in Hollis" by Run-DMC
    * It features "Let it Snow" by Vaughan Williams
    * The Limo Driver quips at the end: "If this is their idea of Christmas, I gotta be here for New Year's!"
    Argh - merely being set in a particular time or mentioning an event does not make a film of a particular genre. Is Jack Reacher 2 basically the same as Halloween and Boo 2: A Madea Halloween, because it too takes place on Halloween?

    Is it a Christmas movie is not the same question as 'Is it set at Christmas?' Is Iron Man 3 a Christmas Movie?

    If 5 minutes of find and replace with Microsoft Word could eliminate Christmas and not affect the plot in the slightest, it ain't a 'Christmas movie'. Christmas is the setting, not the theme, and any setting would have worked.

    But TSE is just trolling us. Good night.
    Isn’t the theme family reunions? That’s very Christmassy.
    It can be, but it's tissue paper thin and hardly inherent to the film. Thanksgiving would work just as well, possibly even more so, though the imagery and soundtrack would not be as easy.
    "Planes, Trains and Automobiles" is most definitely a Thanksgiving movie. It's, um, set during Thanksgiving!
  • Options
    RecidivistRecidivist Posts: 4,679
    HYUFD said:

    Sean_F said:

    I don't doubt that Boris will be a better vote-getter than Hunt. OTOH, Hunt is a better person.

    May is a moral, good person, that did not enable her to win a general election though did it
    Corbyn is also a moral good person. So the two positives cancelled each other out.

  • Options
    anothernickanothernick Posts: 3,578

    Boris has looked deflated for a while. As I said this morning he shows signs that he knows he is near being PM but at the same time knows he cannot fulfil his unicorn promises and could be the shortest time served PM in history

    Indeed after the last 24 hours I am not wholly convinced he will still be in the race by the 22nd July, having self combusted in the meantime

    I sincerely hope you are right.

    FWIW I think Brexit will be over if Bojo loses.
  • Options
    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,407
    kle4 said:

    Boris has looked deflated for a while. As I said this morning he shows signs that he knows he is near being PM but at the same time knows he cannot fulfil his unicorn promises and could be the shortest time served PM in history

    Indeed after the last 24 hours I am not wholly convinced he will still be in the race by the 22nd July, having self combusted in the meantime

    The short PM, sure, but as for the other thing, you really think something so serious he will pull out will happen? Come on.
    I am not suggesting something serious will come out, I just think he could crash in the polls over the next 15, yes 15, televised hustings and lose his mojo completely
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,445

    Boris has looked deflated for a while. As I said this morning he shows signs that he knows he is near being PM but at the same time knows he cannot fulfil his unicorn promises and could be the shortest time served PM in history

    Indeed after the last 24 hours I am not wholly convinced he will still be in the race by the 22nd July, having self combusted in the meantime

    There is something wrong. That's my hunch.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,994

    There's more snow in Empire Strikes Back than Die Hard.

    Die Hard was also released in July, definitely not at Christmas.

    The early ones are the best.
  • Options
    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,468
    kle4 said:

    Sean_F said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Why does this Dunt fella always have "fucking" this and "fucking" that every time he tweets?

    What's the Twitter equivalent of washing your mouth out with carbolic soup? :D

    Some people think it's edgy and satirical to say "fuck."

    Yep, even mild-mannered Sunil is at it now (@10:31).

    We'll be having to prove our ages to sign up to PB soon.
    We'll be adding a quality filter before you can post on PB.

    You have to express your views on Radiohead, AV, and why Die Hard isn't a Christmas film, the last one is easy, there are squillions of reasons why it isn't a Christmas film.
    1) I'm not too familiar with Radiohead (more a Depeche Mode fan!)

    2) Would that be the same AV wot was rejected by the UK voters by 68% to 32% in 2011? :lol:

    3) Die Hard most certainly a Christmas film

    * It's set during Christmas, FFS!
    * Bruce Willis's barefoot allegory to Jesus the Weary Traveller
    * Bruce Willis is Santa: He writes "Ho Ho Ho! Now I have a machine gun!" AND he whistles the tune to "Jingle Bells"!
    * It features "Christmas in Hollis" by Run-DMC
    * It features "Let it Snow" by Vaughan Williams
    * The Limo Driver quips at the end: "If this is their idea of Christmas, I gotta be here for New Year's!"
    Argh - merely being set in a particular time or mentioning an event does not make a film of a particular genre. Is Jack Reacher 2 basically the same as Halloween and Boo 2: A Madea Halloween, because it too takes place on Halloween?

    Is it a Christmas movie is not the same question as 'Is it set at Christmas?' Is Iron Man 3 a Christmas Movie?

    If 5 minutes of find and replace with Microsoft Word could eliminate Christmas and not affect the plot in the slightest, it ain't a 'Christmas movie'. Christmas is the setting, not the theme, and any setting would have worked.

    But TSE is just trolling us. Good night.
    The 3 rules of a Christmas movie:

    1. The action has to take place at Christmas.
    2. Christmas has to be used as a plot device.
    3. Christmas has to be referenced throughout the screenplay.


  • Options
    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,407

    Boris has looked deflated for a while. As I said this morning he shows signs that he knows he is near being PM but at the same time knows he cannot fulfil his unicorn promises and could be the shortest time served PM in history

    Indeed after the last 24 hours I am not wholly convinced he will still be in the race by the 22nd July, having self combusted in the meantime

    I sincerely hope you are right.

    FWIW I think Brexit will be over if Bojo loses.
    Probably
  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    RobD said:

    JackW said:

    JackW said:

    Scott_P said:
    Where's HYUFD to tell us what this definitively means about the next GE?
    Lots of Jeremy Hunt on the telly and the Tories surge past Farage's mob.

    Ergo - Hunt is electoral viagra for the Tories, the more he's on telly as PM then the Tories will poll 50% plus soon.
    Always good to get your unbiased disinterested views TSE :wink:
    You will be delighted by the morning thread, my fair and impartial analysis on the Tory leadership contest.
    Indeed and that from a PBer with a Jeremy Hunt for PM 100/1 betting slip stuffed down his string vest and Y front combinations.

    Remarkable.
    I don't even mention my tips on Hunt at 100/1 and 66/1
    Your reticence, demur and unassuming behaviour has always been one of your great strengths matched only by your having the fashion sense of a combination of Denis Skinner and Ann Widdecombe.
    Fashion critics have described his style as “unique”. :)
    And who would dispute that statement?

    And on that point of rare unity on PB I must away to my bed chamber for a few hours of rest and calm before the shock and awe of TSE's morning thread overwhelms us all.

    Good Night PBers .... "Mrs JackW , careful of that glass of wine near the sofa ..... Oh fu*k ..... :angry::rage::angry::rage:
  • Options

    Boris has looked deflated for a while. As I said this morning he shows signs that he knows he is near being PM but at the same time knows he cannot fulfil his unicorn promises and could be the shortest time served PM in history

    Indeed after the last 24 hours I am not wholly convinced he will still be in the race by the 22nd July, having self combusted in the meantime

    I sincerely hope you are right.

    FWIW I think Brexit will be over if Bojo loses.
    Brexit won't be over, but the Tory Party will be.
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,501
    Boris back out to 1.2, his odds having come in again this afternoon.
  • Options
    RecidivistRecidivist Posts: 4,679
    _Anazina_ said:

    marke09 said:


    Survation.
    @Survation
    5m5 minutes ago

    We also included hypothetical "if Boris, if Hunt" Conservative leader scenarios.
    Current, IF Boris, IF Hunt
    CON 24%, 26%, 23%
    LAB 26%, 26%, 26%
    LD 18%, 21%, 18%
    BREX 20%, 16%, 21%

    HYUFD will not like this. Only a 2% premium for Boris. I thought 37% would vote Tory if HE was PM.
    RobD said:

    marke09 said:


    Survation.
    @Survation
    5m5 minutes ago

    We also included hypothetical "if Boris, if Hunt" Conservative leader scenarios.
    Current, IF Boris, IF Hunt
    CON 24%, 26%, 23%
    LAB 26%, 26%, 26%
    LD 18%, 21%, 18%
    BREX 20%, 16%, 21%

    Margin of error...
    The Tories might as well stick with MayDay on those numbers.

    Or perhaps Sir Graham Brady’s time has come?
    That really should be a plan.
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,501
    alex. said:

    marke09 said:


    Survation.
    @Survation
    5m5 minutes ago

    We also included hypothetical "if Boris, if Hunt" Conservative leader scenarios.
    Current, IF Boris, IF Hunt
    CON 24%, 26%, 23%
    LAB 26%, 26%, 26%
    LD 18%, 21%, 18%
    BREX 20%, 16%, 21%

    But i thought Johnson was going to get 37% of the vote and 395 seats? Wonder what other "introductory" questions the Telegraph put into their "Boris Launch" poll a few weeks ago?
    A slight additional net swing from Tory to LibDem with Boris. Boris does better against the BXP, but that’s mostly a question of stemming Tory losses in the first place.
  • Options
    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,468

    There's more snow in Empire Strikes Back than Die Hard.

    Die Hard was also released in July, definitely not at Christmas.

    The 3 rules of a Christmas movie:

    1. The action has to take place at Christmas.
    2. Christmas has to be used as a plot device.
    3. Christmas has to be referenced throughout the screenplay.

    And who gives a fuck about release date?
    Schindler's List was released in 1993, but is clearly a World War 2 movie.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,175

    kle4 said:

    Boris has looked deflated for a while. As I said this morning he shows signs that he knows he is near being PM but at the same time knows he cannot fulfil his unicorn promises and could be the shortest time served PM in history

    Indeed after the last 24 hours I am not wholly convinced he will still be in the race by the 22nd July, having self combusted in the meantime

    The short PM, sure, but as for the other thing, you really think something so serious he will pull out will happen? Come on.
    I am not suggesting something serious will come out, I just think he could crash in the polls over the next 15, yes 15, televised hustings and lose his mojo completely
    Boris looked fine to me and unlike Hunt was clear that No Deal must be on the table and indeed may be the only way to get a Deal
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,445
    Is Pearson working a 24 hour day bashing out this Boris bilge?

    "Bash Boris Remainer Attack Team (BRAT)"

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/06/22/boris-johnson-has-faults-one-can-deliver-brexit/
  • Options
    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,407

    Boris has looked deflated for a while. As I said this morning he shows signs that he knows he is near being PM but at the same time knows he cannot fulfil his unicorn promises and could be the shortest time served PM in history

    Indeed after the last 24 hours I am not wholly convinced he will still be in the race by the 22nd July, having self combusted in the meantime

    I sincerely hope you are right.

    FWIW I think Brexit will be over if Bojo loses.
    Brexit won't be over, but the Tory Party will be.
    You may think so but others have different views.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,175

    HYUFD said:

    Sean_F said:

    I don't doubt that Boris will be a better vote-getter than Hunt. OTOH, Hunt is a better person.

    May is a moral, good person, that did not enable her to win a general election though did it
    Corbyn is also a moral good person. So the two positives cancelled each other out.

    What 'moral good person' hangs around with terrorists?
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 41,008
    Good interview by Douglas Carswell with Andrew Doyle. Dougie looks a lot better now he’s an ex MP

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WCMCrv8YGt8
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,609
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Sean_F said:

    I don't doubt that Boris will be a better vote-getter than Hunt. OTOH, Hunt is a better person.

    May is a moral, good person, that did not enable her to win a general election though did it
    Corbyn is also a moral good person. So the two positives cancelled each other out.

    What 'moral good person' hangs around with terrorists?
    The Queen.

    She's met the IRA's former Chief of Staff.
  • Options
    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,407
    HYUFD said:

    kle4 said:

    Boris has looked deflated for a while. As I said this morning he shows signs that he knows he is near being PM but at the same time knows he cannot fulfil his unicorn promises and could be the shortest time served PM in history

    Indeed after the last 24 hours I am not wholly convinced he will still be in the race by the 22nd July, having self combusted in the meantime

    The short PM, sure, but as for the other thing, you really think something so serious he will pull out will happen? Come on.
    I am not suggesting something serious will come out, I just think he could crash in the polls over the next 15, yes 15, televised hustings and lose his mojo completely
    Boris looked fine to me and unlike Hunt was clear that No Deal must be on the table and indeed may be the only way to get a Deal
    Of course he looks fine to you. You are besotted with him and even in denial over tonights polling that shows he is far from winning 395 seats, even a majority
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,175

    marke09 said:


    Survation.
    @Survation
    5m5 minutes ago

    We also included hypothetical "if Boris, if Hunt" Conservative leader scenarios.
    Current, IF Boris, IF Hunt
    CON 24%, 26%, 23%
    LAB 26%, 26%, 26%
    LD 18%, 21%, 18%
    BREX 20%, 16%, 21%

    HYUFD will not like this. Only a 2% premium for Boris. I thought 37% would vote Tory if HE was PM.
    So Boris still increases the Tory voteshare by 2% to be tied with Labour while Hunt cuts the Tories voteshare by 1% and is 3% behind Labour.

    That on a supposedly bad poll for Boris!
  • Options
    dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 28,032

    dixiedean said:

    Scott_P said:
    Where's HYUFD to tell us what this definitively means about the next GE?
    Dunno. But that sure as ain't a working Tory majority.
    Nope, Parliament would be truly hung, drawn and quartered according to Electoral Calculus:

    Lab 258
    Con 195
    Brx 73
    LD 62
    SNP 40
    PC 3
    Green 1
    NI 18

    Remainer coalition.
    The hypothetical with Boris in charge stems TBP. But doesn't change the fundamentals.
    Lab 267
    Con 248
    LD. 66
    SNP. 38
    TBP. 9
    Green. 1
    PC. 3
    NI. 18

    FWIW. Doesn't look like an early election would be very appealing for BJ.
  • Options
    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,407
    HYUFD said:

    marke09 said:


    Survation.
    @Survation
    5m5 minutes ago

    We also included hypothetical "if Boris, if Hunt" Conservative leader scenarios.
    Current, IF Boris, IF Hunt
    CON 24%, 26%, 23%
    LAB 26%, 26%, 26%
    LD 18%, 21%, 18%
    BREX 20%, 16%, 21%

    HYUFD will not like this. Only a 2% premium for Boris. I thought 37% would vote Tory if HE was PM.
    So Boris still increases the Tory voteshare by 2% to be tied with Labour while Hunt cuts the Tories voteshare by 1% and is 3% behind Labour.

    That on a supposedly bad poll for Boris!
    Where is your 395 seats
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,445
    isam said:

    Good interview by Douglas Carswell with Andrew Doyle. Dougie looks a lot better now he’s an ex MP

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WCMCrv8YGt8

    :lol:

    Reminds me of a novel I read last year in which a character is doing a doctorate on the increasing fascism of cake.
  • Options
    anothernickanothernick Posts: 3,578

    HYUFD said:

    Sean_F said:

    I don't doubt that Boris will be a better vote-getter than Hunt. OTOH, Hunt is a better person.

    May is a moral, good person, that did not enable her to win a general election though did it
    Corbyn is also a moral good person. So the two positives cancelled each other out.

    And Boris is a disgusting immoral cad. This will be damaging. Ed M never got over the fratricide factor and Boris' reputation as mysoginistic womaniser will prove similarly difficult to shift.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,175
    So much like Rory Stewart Hunt is popular with Labour and LD voters who will never vote Tory while Boris is still the strong favourite of 2017 Tories to be PM who actually might vote Tory
  • Options
    Ave_itAve_it Posts: 2,411
    Really don't like all this f*cling swearing on here I am moving to Guido instead goodbye
  • Options
    RogerRoger Posts: 18,906
    HYUFD said:

    kle4 said:

    Boris has looked deflated for a while. As I said this morning he shows signs that he knows he is near being PM but at the same time knows he cannot fulfil his unicorn promises and could be the shortest time served PM in history

    Indeed after the last 24 hours I am not wholly convinced he will still be in the race by the 22nd July, having self combusted in the meantime

    The short PM, sure, but as for the other thing, you really think something so serious he will pull out will happen? Come on.
    I am not suggesting something serious will come out, I just think he could crash in the polls over the next 15, yes 15, televised hustings and lose his mojo completely
    Boris looked fine to me and unlike Hunt was clear that No Deal must be on the table and indeed may be the only way to get a Deal
    In Bed With Boris. Not a great place to be by all accounts
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,609
    HYUFD said:

    So much like Rory Stewart Hunt is popular with Labour and LD voters who will never vote Tory while Boris is still the strong favourite of 2017 Tories to be PM who actually might vote Tory
    How did David Cameron first take the Tories into government and then win the Tories a majority?

    He won over voters who didn't vote Tory previously.
  • Options
    OblitusSumMeOblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143
    HYUFD said:

    So much like Rory Stewart Hunt is popular with Labour and LD voters who will never vote Tory while Boris is still the strong favourite of 2017 Tories to be PM who actually might vote Tory
    The change between the two polls was larger for Conservative voters, though. Perhaps the lead for Johnson will not last?
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,609
    Ave_it said:

    Really don't like all this f*cling swearing on here I am moving to Guido instead goodbye

    Luton Town!
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,154
    Ave_it said:

    Really don't like all this f*cling swearing on here I am moving to Guido instead goodbye

    Snowflake....!
  • Options
    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195

    HYUFD said:

    Sean_F said:

    I don't doubt that Boris will be a better vote-getter than Hunt. OTOH, Hunt is a better person.

    May is a moral, good person, that did not enable her to win a general election though did it
    Corbyn is also a moral good person. So the two positives cancelled each other out.

    He hides it well
  • Options
    edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,151
    edited June 2019
    dixiedean said:


    The hypothetical with Boris in charge stems TBP. But doesn't change the fundamentals.
    Lab 267
    Con 248
    LD. 66
    SNP. 38
    TBP. 9
    Green. 1
    PC. 3
    NI. 18

    FWIW. Doesn't look like an early election would be very appealing for BJ.

    This might not be so bad given the other options. Lab-Lib-SNP government which might not be entirely stable, Con still overwhelmingly dominant as opposition, Boris could probably stay on as leader.

    He'd then personally in charge of the Leave side in the re-referendum. If Leave wins the Labour side still have to deal with the entire shit sandwich and the Tories can get back in next time, with Brexit done and Labour's fault. If Remain wins Boris is established as the leader of the betrayed and defeated leaver tribe, who will be riled up to vote, but the voters won't be up for a *third* EU referendum, so he can win the next election and go back to actually governing.
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,924

    Is Pearson working a 24 hour day bashing out this Boris bilge?

    "Bash Boris Remainer Attack Team (BRAT)"

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/06/22/boris-johnson-has-faults-one-can-deliver-brexit/

    Here's an oldie but goodie:

    #VapidBilge

    :D
  • Options
    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,407
    HYUFD said:

    So much like Rory Stewart Hunt is popular with Labour and LD voters who will never vote Tory while Boris is still the strong favourite of 2017 Tories to be PM who actually might vote Tory
    You are beginning to whistle in the wind. Even the 2017 voters have lost him 10% in just two days.

    Another 15 hustings like today could have very serious consequences for his leadership
  • Options
    OblitusSumMeOblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143
    HYUFD said:

    marke09 said:


    Survation.
    @Survation
    5m5 minutes ago

    We also included hypothetical "if Boris, if Hunt" Conservative leader scenarios.
    Current, IF Boris, IF Hunt
    CON 24%, 26%, 23%
    LAB 26%, 26%, 26%
    LD 18%, 21%, 18%
    BREX 20%, 16%, 21%

    HYUFD will not like this. Only a 2% premium for Boris. I thought 37% would vote Tory if HE was PM.
    So Boris still increases the Tory voteshare by 2% to be tied with Labour while Hunt cuts the Tories voteshare by 1% and is 3% behind Labour.

    That on a supposedly bad poll for Boris!
    The Con-Lib Dem swing is not great though is it?
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,175

    Pulpstar said:

    UK, YouGov poll:

    Wales independence referendum

    Pro independence: 41% (+8)
    Against independence: 59% (-8)

    This excludes 29% (+2) undecided.

    Fieldwork: 10-15 May 2019
    Sample size: 1,133

    A interesting question for pollsters is, if Scotland has left, would you support Wales becoming independent or would you wish to stay in the Union with England?

    Once Scotland has gone, then Wales will go within the next decade.
    Wales was united with England for centuries before Scotland joined the Union and voted Leave by exactly the same margin as the UK as a whole.

    Note even on that Yougov poll Welsh voters reject independence by a big 18% margin
  • Options
    Ave_itAve_it Posts: 2,411

    Ave_it said:

    Really don't like all this f*cling swearing on here I am moving to Guido instead goodbye

    Luton Town!
    😊
This discussion has been closed.