The Boris plan of refusing almost all media invitations meant that last night was the first time anybody had seen him facing scrutiny since TMay announced that she was going. But the nature of the programme with the BBC feeling it had to bring in questions from studios all over the country meant that the tine spent with the overwhelming betting favourite was very limited.
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Well, aside from educating Boris, Rory, Jeremy and Michael.
The question is not the verdict of the newspapers above, or even what did we, the pb massive, make of it. What matters for betting purposes (and the trivial matters of running the country and exiting the EU) is what 300 Conservative MPs think.
Was there a performance so bad as to make a candidate's round 2 voters change their minds? Probably not. Or one so good as to attract converts? Almost certainly not.
No change.
Except I do wonder if now-homeless Raab voters might have been given cause to doubt Boris's resolve on Brexit.
So, 3 more rounds of voting. Should do it papal election style, morning, afternoon and evening votes and knock if off in a day.
This is the timetable for the next three ballots (taken from ConHome).
Wednesday June 19
15.00 – 17.00: Third ballot.
18.00 approx: Announcement of result.
Thursday June 20
10.00 – 12.00: Fourth ballot.
13.00 approx: Announcement of result.
15.30 – 17.30: Fifth ballot.
18.00 approx: Announcement of result.
The 1922 Committee tomorrow afternoon will double its efficiency and count 313 votes in half the time! Shame on cynics for suggesting it is all a charade timed to go out live at the start of the hated BBC's 6 o'clock (or 1 o'clock) News.
Boris was on the defensive (and didn’t defend particularly well), and didn’t demonstrate the commanding performance one might expect from someone so widely seen as a shoo-in. And last night he was among friends.
"Since 1994 he has worked as Director of Development running the fundraising for five UK universities - for the London School of Economics from 1994 to 1996, for Cambridge University from 1996 to 1999, for Oxford University from 1999 to 2005, and for the University of York from 2005 to April 2007."
I am sure OGH will be interested to learn that raising such enormous donations is easy. In fact, so easy that it can be described as "Oxford has done nothing".
I don't know the details of this case, but I imagine it involved a huge amount of hard work over a number of years.
I thought that Rory Stewart looked very odd perched on the edge of his seat but I don't think his overall performance was too bad - though I was doing the ironing so not looking up that often. He probably seemed more awkward to people who were looking at the screen throughout rather than those of us who had the show on as background noise. To my mind Gove was the worst performer - he seemed to be pleading his record rather than debating the issues.
Anyway, as a Lib Dem the one I'd least want to be facing in a GE (based on last night) would probably be Javid.
F1: French markets mostly up. Bit sleepy though, so unless Ferrari drivers are decent for topping first practice (or it's forecast to be wet, in which case I might throw pennies at backmarkers) I'm not going to be betting just yet.
Thomas Spotty-Undergrad didn't ring up Stephen Billionaire and say "Can we have £150 million?"
Most of the work of a Director of Development involves securing very large donations from philanthropic individuals.
It is very hard work to persuade wealthy businessmen to offload their cash.
There are plenty of other universities, institutions, museums, galleries & charities all in the queue.
https://www.theguardian.com/education/2019/jun/19/cambridge-slips-to-lowest-ever-place-in-world-university-table
While the UK overall, as part of the Brexit dividend, is on the slide.
He buckled under the most gentle pressure. The tax cuts for higher earners are now merely an “ambition” about which we need to “have a debate”. On Heathrow he restated his “grave concerns” about expansion while effectively conceding he would let it go ahead anyway. He got bounced into conceding an inquiry into Conservative islamophobia that he clearly doesn’t want, which will give new legs to the stories about his various previous remarks. Having tried to make 31 October a red line, he was pushed into conceding himself at least a little wriggle room (now Raab is gone, Brexit is back on the slippery slope). And he had no answer to Hunt’s putative sheep farmer whom a no deal exit would put out of work.
And he can only have been under scrutiny for ten minutes out of the hour!
The members thinking Johnson will provide the strength and resolve that Mrs May apparently lacked surely cannot believe that we saw any of that last night? Mrs May would at least have sat there repeating the same inane phrase until the show got to the end. Boris wobbled and ducked and weaved and began to crumble. And has yet to face the opposition parties and an unfriendly parliament.
As the number of candidates decreases, so does the number of interested parties sticking their noses in during the count.
(That is assuming the 22 Committee has a sane counting process.)
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-48685584
Aside from the UK universities, there are just two EU universities in the top fifty.
The European institutions in the top 50 are numerous UK universities (Oxford, Cambridge, Edinburgh, Manchester, Bristol, KCL, UCL, IC, and LSE) and two Swiss universities (Zurich, Lausanne).
Paris & Delft are the only EU representatives, and Delft is at 50 (aside from the soon-to-leave UK).
What the table probably shows is the increasing importance of China -- there are many more Chinese universities in the table than I was expecting. I doubt if Brexit has anything to do with it.
It cannot be that the league tables are wrong. We do win more than our share of Nobel Prizes, for instance, so we must be doing something right.
There may be soft power or influence to be taken into account. Many foreign leaders have studied here, and presumably we take some lasting benefit from that.
On the rise of China, SeanT saw this years ago, and warned against George Osborne cutting British research.
You couldn't make it up!
https://order-order.com/2019/06/19/abdullah-bristol-wants-know-panel-agree-words-consequences/
We are told that we have to be in the EU, because the big power blocks in the future will be the EU, the US and China.
So, at face value, what that list tells you is what a shitty job the EU is doing in promoting European research and training in the EU universities.
The list isn't telling you that it is the fault of George Osborne or Brexit.
Once the UK leaves, the EU will have TWO universities in the top 50. There is no
way that is anything other than a very poor result for the EU in research and training.
The man is a blithering nincompoop.
Both Bozza and Rory showed they weren't PM material. Gove was too solipsistic (which is saying something in the company) which leaves Hunt or The Saj.
Hunt for me.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/jun/19/disappointing-and-deluded-imam-lambasts-tory-hopefuls-on-islamophobia
Which means November (or any general election) will be fun...
Universities in Europe have grown up to be quite different in each country, where as the Universities in the US are working under a broadly similar system. As such the variety of different types of unis in the EU means that it is unlikely that a large proportion appear in the top-n in any kind of metric used for an international league table. I don't know the details of this top 50, but I think it likely that it uses metrics which benefit an Anglo type of Uni system.
Just as an example, in the UK the expectation is that all students get a bachelor degree in 3 years. If you don't work much then you get a crap degree. In the German system the best bachelor students pass everything in 3 or 3.5 years depending on the degree programme, but average students require longer to meet the required standard. Weak students if determined enough can take 8 or 10 years to graduate, but many just give up after a few years. The standard of Bachelor-Projects that I see here at a not-so-strong Berlin Uni are better than many Master Projects I saw at a top 10 UK Uni. I'm not trying to claim that one is better than the other, but it is easy to see that if a metric used to assess unis internationally is "proportion of students who graduate within four years of registering" then the University of Plymouth will come out massively better than Heidelberg Uni.
All added to the farce.
Given there’s barely 13 votes between all of those in the number two position virtually anything could happen. So 100/1 is value, particularly since he came across pleasantly human last night.
That might have cheered us all up this morning?
his resignation is getting close to trumping all those of Lord Falconer
Immediately after Mr Radcliffe explained the damage Boris’s comments did to the effort to free his wife.
I will probably never go “all in” on Boris, except perhaps in the final 24-48 hours, because I’m never going to be 100% confident he won’t blow up or pull out.
All these University tables are Bollocks. The hilarious thing in this table is that metrics are quoted to 1 dp, so this is Precision Bollocks.
I was merely contesting the claimed fact that impending Brexit has caused the UK universities to fall down the Precision Bollocks Table.
I think the main point I made is true -- the main players in university education are the US, the UK and China (for a number of reasons, including historical). The EU is punching well below weight here.
Emily Maitliss doesn't have the professional ability to differentiate her demeanour between being presented with a live living Tory and a steaming turd. Her one and only setting is "How could any sentient being EVER vote Tory?".
The whole spectrum...
Because there was a time when the best US and UK students aspired to go to Germany !!
https://en.simplemobility.org/
Frankly, as the foreign secretary for the first 15 months of the process, I wish this clown could be prosecuted for the damage he has already done to the economy.
1) The Tories and Nigel sign a deal and a full on campaign of tactical voting is organised - the Tories won't win a majority
or 2) Nigel stands candidates against the Tories and the party is toast as their split is vote and their members don't know who and how to canvass...
But if he doesn't call an election he needs to some how leave the EU and it's highly unlikely he will have a majority government as soon as he reveals his real plan...
And if you want thrills trying to get on to a motorway is something you will enjoy everytime you attempt to (acceleration is not a strong point)...
This is what the next cabinet looks like. God help us.
To be fair though, can't blame you for mocking, none came over very well, even Stewart, who other than last night, by most standards is a class act.
I loved that little car. Fantastic acceleration from the lights; you can totally ignore speed signs and cameras (it never gets up there) and cheaper than public transport.
Only problem is that where we live the roads are jam-packed full of HGVs and other heavy vehicles; roadworks everywhere; and huge Volvos, Beamers and Mercs. Every journey scared the shit it of me.
Alternatively, going 60mph on a country road feels very fast in such a small car!
But he was up again at the crack of dawn on the Today programme. Plugging his message.
I’m not sure how much further he can go and, in many ways, it might be better not to be PM for the inevitable Brexit car crash. But he has done himself a load of good by his campaign and if MPs and voters don’t want to hear honesty, well, more fools them.
It’s mot a high bar, admittedly, but I think he’s the best thing that’s come out of the Tory party for a long time.
The Scons, SLDs and SLabbers are just making life too easy for us. Their problem is that over the decades recruitment has dried up. Must be all that negativity putting young people off.
He is a square peg in a round cesspit.
If Rory then backs Gove with some of Javid's supporters also rumoured to be going to the Environment Secretary that could be enough to put Gove in the last 2 with Boris in the final round of MPs voting, ahead of Hunt
There are easier (and more profitable) ways to change the world nowadays.