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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » On Betfair alone £3.5m has already been wagered on the CON lea
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » On Betfair alone £3.5m has already been wagered on the CON leadership fight
Here is tonight’s chart showing the movement on the Betfair exchange next CON leader market where the total gambled has now topped £3.5m.
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“Millions of people” ffs. How out of touch is she?
Whatever your claimed intent, you said he did not make a pitch for the Conservatives, and are now whining that people read into that that you do not think he made a Conservative pitch.
https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/conservative-leadership-contest-im-an-outsider-and-thats-what-the-tories-need-says-sajid-javid-a4164406.html
No one is that silly, we're not made of money.
Accounts manager at work, had to invoice a firm in Belfast.
“Do we have to charge them VAT? Are they in Eire?”
It would be easy for a deal to be agreed that could be ratified by the EU, Ireland and the UK if the backstop issue was removed from the Withdrawal Agreement and the can was kicked to the end of the Transition Agreement. The backstop doesn't kick in until the end of Transition at the earliest anyway so nothing would change.
However the EU and Ireland are unwilling to compromise on the backstop and apparently are entirely unconcerned about having No Deal imminently because compromise would be worse than No Deal.
I agree.
Having said that I suspect Rory Stewart would poll better with Labour and LD and Green voters than Boris but how many of them would vote for a Stewart led Tory Party? A handful at most
https://youtu.be/8Y414KH0-fg
Then again you're a lefty. Not particularly keen on being in touch with facts are you?
Although given the RSS conference is in Belfast this year, the funny looks the travel agent gave me did run a close second...
So since no deal is better than lets go ahead with that.
The higher rate of tax is paid by millions (4.2 in June 2017, may even have crossed 5 million by now), while the additional rate, which kicks it at £150,000, was paid by just shy of 400k back then.
I don't know if more up to date numbers are out there. Must be.
Anyway, as the debate has focused on the higher rate so far, I'd give the tweet the benefit of the doubt.
https://twitter.com/NickBoles/status/1138515968051810304
In 2016/17 anyone earning over £43,000 was paying higher rate tax at 40%
in 2019/20 you need to earn £50,000 (outside of Scotland) to be paying higher rate tax - an increase from £46350 in 2018/19)..
aligned.
No deal is better then a bad deal. Ireland and the EU are OK with that happening, why shouldn't we be too?
That’s not a reason we should agree to it.
You want to put the UK in a weaker position.
An open border on the Ireland of Ireland is not worth the backstop. Would the Republic agree to be subject to our laws which we could change and they get no representation in passing?
She was going to back Leadsom last time, mind you!
Now, I'm not a great fan of it. But the reality is that the backstop only kicks in under two circumstances:
1. We are not able to agree an FTA with the EU
and
2. We have not implemented a system for tracking shipments away from the border
In the event the EU is not sincere in negotiating an FTA or in implementing a technical solution, then we can take the EU to the Permanent Court of Arbitration. (If they are sincere, then there is no issue, because the backstop will never kick in.) If the PCA rules in our favour, then we are free to walk with no consequences.
Alternatively, we are always free to abrogate the treaty - as the US has done with three treaties in the last 18 months.
If they conclude Rory is best placed to beat Corbyn then many will vote for him.
At the moment it's like Corbyn early in the Lab leadership - nobody thought he had a chance. But what Corbyn showed is that if you can get real momentum (ignore pun!) then things can change and they can change very rapidly.
Rory may still be a long shot but make no mistake - he could win this if he gets momentum.
In a Final vs Boris, members will also mainly be thinking about one thing - winning.
"If Rory Stewart was leader of the Conservatives and Prime Minister, which of the following parties would you vote for"
And
"If Boris Johnson was ditto"
If the Tories are vote whores, then we have to establish which of the two would attract most votes.
I'll tolerate many things, but the idea that johnny foreigner gets to call us a rogue state....
I had such high hopes for johnny foreigner too!
(London simply is and will continue to be the world capital. It's not fair, but we almost can't be "rogue".)
We already know that the majority of the NI electorate would be happy with the backstop.
It just is, or at least it is just becoming.
However, neither this solution nor that which you propose would be acceptable to the party holding the balance of power in the current Parliament and therefore it cannot happen, of course.