politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Gove’s cocaine admission dominate just four of the front pages

As an ex-newspaperman Michael Gove must know how the media’s attention can easily forget a story and even though it is just 2 days before the MP vote only four national papers are making his admission of taking cocaine their big story.
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1. - Rory Stewart - The surname says it all ....
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Group Two - In Order Of Least Worst For The Nation :
2. Jeremy Hunt - Dull, worthy and vaguely competent
3. Michael Gove - A complete sh*t but vaguely competent
4. Matt Hancock - Completely vague and vaguely competent
5. Sajid Javid - Not entirely vague and not entirely incompetent
Group Three - Ranking In Order Of Rank Incredulity Of Their Rankness :
6. Mark Harper - The cab rank awaits.
7. Andrea Leadsom - Ranks as a mother but no rebirth of the nation
8. Dominic Rabb - Requires proroguing to Dover for re-education and re-ranking
9. Ester McVey - A rank disaster but with added delusions as a Thatcher successor
Group Four - Special Grouping For MIA Candidates
10. Boris Johnson - The Donald Trump went To Eton candidate.
https://twitter.com/jolyonmaugham/status/1138317259817046016?s=21
Or Jeremy Corbyn,* who is identical except he has not yet held high office so he has only made a complete shambles of lots of low-level appointments that wouldn't have taxed a fairly bright fourteen year old.
That would be a truly dreadful choice.
*Be honest, you were expecting a different name, weren't you?
Some of them are extremely shit.
And one is f***ing epically shit.
The liberal vs the dullard vs the Saj
When Hancock comes on the telly I just feel sorry for him.
Gove is usually off his head and married to Lady Macbeth.
Leadsom is truly dire.
Raab, if only he was half as good as he thinks he is.
Boris cares about Boris only.
The others , meh.
And as I understand it, it wasn't one 'mistake' but a series of them. At least that's what he appears to be saying.
Boris as PM .... what could possibly go wrong ?!?!?!?!?!?
Do the Tories really want to go down the same road?
Now far be it for me to read the mind of our esteemed and benevolent host but I have this strange feeling .... Oh er Missus .... that young Michael Smithson Esq, celebrated denizen of Bedfordshire, will not be unhappy with BoJo as Prime Minister.
Boris - Those headlines - The gift that will keep on coming .... Er .... I mean giving.
Given the choice of Boris vs Jezza, no way am I voting for either.
Which rather blunted her otherwise sensible comments on the misuse of NDAs.
And raised the question of what basis she had for that assertion.
This was the agreement (which came to light when Raab sued the Mail on Sunday)
https://www.buzzfeed.com/alexwickham/dominic-raab-confidentiality-agreement-female-colleague
According to publicly available court documents, Raab’s confidentiality clause was agreed back in August 2007 — before he became an MP — when he was working as chief of staff to David Davis.
The documents said both Raab and Davis entered into a "compromise agreement" with a woman who also worked in Davis’s office.
The agreement brought to an end both the woman’s employment with Davis, and a claim she had made at an employment tribunal, according to a letter from Raab’s solicitor that is quoted in the court documents.
In 2011, Raab’s solicitor wrote to the woman warning that if she breached the terms of the agreement she would “be required to repay the sum [she was] paid in consideration for the confidentiality obligations”. She made clear she had no intention of breaching the agreement.
In 2012, Raab won an apology from the Mail on Sunday after it published “unfounded” allegations about his behaviour....
Put simply in the present situation enough Tories, MP's and membership, are willing to bet the house on Boris in the hope that name recognition and his Trump-lite personality will outweigh his huge baggage.
They'll go all in with this high stakes poker game knowing that if Boris blows it then the general election in a few months will be a massacre for the Conservatives as Hunt said at his launch yesterday.
They tend to like Ruth but what surprised me last night was how much they all liked Rory. It lends to support to the theory that he is the Tory non Tories like, much, much more so than Boris. A party looking to win elections and lengthen its reach, as opposed to ideological purity, would do well to reflect on that. But I don't suppose that they will.
Ideally PB wants a leader over who attracts speculation immediately about how long they will last.
I dont think my MP has backed anyone but has said Boris is way more popular on the doorstep, which is a clear indication and presumably a factor for plenty of the non declared.
That counts for a lot with the GBP.
In the US Biden does best in the hypotheticals as he has broadest appeal
je ne sais quoiNo I have no idea what it is either.But he appeals amongst the politically less engaged. And appeals to women too.
As a politically engaged, heterosexual man I can't see where it comes from either. But it is there in fact, in the polling and his mistresses.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=8EvFQLhqWPQ
https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1138347578020511744
I guess you can take only so much reality in one go. Stewart is the candidate for after the reality hits and people are totally done with Brexit.
As a Remainer, I also think his way of looking at Brexit (as a situation where we have to pick the best of limited options and not one where we can create an ideal outcome regardless of what the EU wants) is broadly right and the approach of most leadership candidates (that we can get a better outcome if we just push harder and believe more in it) is broadly wrong. But don't underestimate how much non-Brexit factors drive his support from the people who he appeals to. I'm no fan of May's Deal. But I think someone who, for want of a better phrase, works in the real world will make better decisions on a whole range of things than someone who thinks admitting there are limits on what we can have is treachery.
He'll be a disaster, but I have no fail until everything falls, that something anything, not maybe it the tory party itself can be rebuilt from the ashes for the centre right.
Which means that 20% was invested in the UK.
So proportionally more was invested in the UK than the rest of the EU.
Its always best to check the details.
Only Larry the cat ....
The politically very engaged are us, voting even in the police commissioner elections... we are atypical.
Brexit has normalized behaviour that previously would have been seen as unnaceptable. It’s not necessarily made new xenophobes but given those who were already there a stamp of approval.
Heard a few derisive comments about the Conservative leadership contenders - the drug taking and tax cuts promises are doubted.
Good to see Johnson's 'fuck business' policy is already bearing fruit.
A few years of high investment is followed by a few years of reduced investment as the best investment opportunities are taken up.
Given that property costs are high and workforce availability is currently low Britain should be be a less enticing place for investment than other European countries where the opposite applies.
Conclusions: (1) everyone is fed up of Brexit, and aren’t sure if it’s ever going to happen (2) immigration hasn’t gone away as a concern, both were still concerned at the volume and worried that would never be tackled now (3) both felt very sorry for Theresa May who they felt had done her best and (4) none of them had a clue about any of the new contenders, except recognising Boris; “is he still going?”
Make of that what you will.
Matt Hancock is very clear that No Deal is off the table on the basis that Parliament won't allow it. This in truth must mean that plan B (or C or D but anyway, the final position), must be to Remain because there is nowhere else to go for an end game expedient. Hence his faux insistence that his plan A cannot fail. Not good enough.
I wouldn’t ever vote Tory and they wouldn’t but he does get some grudging respect and is seen as sane and quite sensible . He also has a very interesting life story and many have been following him on social media .
The thing I like about him is he’s actually putting himself out there and taking a big risk with his campaign . He may well be another who gets removed by the no deal death cult .
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/0da1c3fe-86e0-11e9-80a7-7034275c0a1b
I'm assuming she's a Ruthie loyalist so might well be backing The Iron Saj ?
See also Hammond, saying No Deal was unacceptable. That being so, the Deal has failed repeatedly, the only option becomes Remain. Has he overtly backed Remain? Of course not.
MPs have recently been fantastic at deciding what they're against but rather less splendid at deciding what they're for, with a majority against every option.
Maybe things will be different this time, but in 2016 everyone got a bit of a boost going into the ballots. Yet you can make a small arb combining all the 80+ brackets, and quite a big one if you go to 90+. Keep in mind he's on 69 declared now.
And wasn't Jolyon Maugham one of the fuckwits who thought that New Forest council were sending Brexit leaflets with postal votes ?