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Here were the Next Prime Minister odds immediately after Theresa May took over in July 2016. pic.twitter.com/BXALM3ZKv0
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https://twitter.com/alcxt/status/1136266830807523330
Suppose Miliband had won, and was so-so. More EU integration happens. And the split happens further down the line, when leaving is even more difficult. That situation would've been worse (although, I grant, the PM at the time is unlikely to have been quite so poor as May).
Boris £52.35
Gove £31.64
Javid £5.81
Corbyn £1
Hammond £0
Osborne £0
So you'd be £31.64 ahead of the game by now.
https://twitter.com/tompeck/status/1136283742404861953
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/jun/05/change-uk-name-splitters-splitting-up
"the party that was supposed to be Britain’s answer to Emmanuel Macron’s Renaissance (formerly known as En Marche!)"
No. Renaissance is his European list (together with MoDem). His national party is still called La Republique En Marche.
"Or mock the fact that the new party is now called – and I’m not even remotely kidding, Continuity Change UK"
No it isn't. You've taken a throwaway line in the FT report too literally.
"James Felton is a TV and radio comedy writer"
For some value of the word "comedy", I guess.
However, sensible, rational, and beneficial, European political and economic integration may seem to a centre right voter in Richmond, or the Stockbroker Belt, it doesn't seem sensible, rational, or beneficial, to centre-right voters elsewhere.
His old outfit, UKIP, effectively declined slowly before imploding.
And if/when the EU issue is resolved, BP might come to a natural end of life.
Or a far right (actually far right, not the sort of right-of-centre politics often described as far right, which has diluted the term dramatically) party might arise. That's a genuine possibility, and a concerning one.
We already have the far left squatting on Labour's front bench, with the likes of Watson doing a better job of keeping sane Labour MPs marching under Corbyn's banner than he is of ousting the Communist himself.
Bold !
I know there have been grand coalitions before in Denmark but has there been one recently? The two blocs, the red and the blue, seem to have stabilised in the past few years.
Helle Thorning-Schmidt's coalition after 2011 was the Social Democrats, SF and Radikale but now there's a Green-ish tinge with Alternativen and Enhedslisten. Can Fredricksen hold this group together or will Radikale split off back to the centre-right?
It may be she won't need all the parties to govern if the Social Democrats win more than 50 seats and the red bloc is well over 100 - I think the most likely outcome is a three-party Government with the other two staying out and providing support where needed.
They are The Brexit Party not someone pretending to be a Brexit supporting party
The big drawback is that he is not female (becoming a symbolic must for a Labour leader asap) but his gender is hardly his fault - and in fact in these days of fluidity may not be set in stone. Perhaps something could be arranged.
Is there something about needing to get this started before the new MEPs take their seats?
His backstory from his school days, his behaviour to others in his own party and his deplorable poster all tells us what he is. The fact that 32% of the population is gullible enough, or right wing enough, to support him is sad, but it does not surprise me. Britain is no more immune to extremism than anywhere else.
TGOHF said:
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High taxes and a flatline economy don't help. Plus the once feted education system is going down the pan.
Scotland needs 10-15 years of a party of enterprise in Holyrood to drive the economy and get the schools back on track.
LOL , what higher taxes pray tell, you Tories like the fibbing.
Oh! You mean a different revolt of the regions against London
Only just seen this.....
https://twitter.com/owenjbennett/status/1135941142455955456
I would remind you, in case you missed it, that prior to the EU elections the coverage of the rallies were something that I found disconcerting (indeed, despite having some sympathy with the kick up the arse sentiment that was outweighed by dislike of the 'lock her up' chanting).
What actions or policies does the party (well, business, it not being registered as a party is another murky doing that displeased me) have, or has done, that make it fascist?
I keep seeing a candidate will need 17 MPs in the first round, and 33 in each subsequent round to progress. Correct me if I am wrong, but there are 314 Tory MPs. Doesn't that make 16 and 32? Just curious.
Come to think of it, I might have to vote LibDem anyway. This is not an agreeable prospect.
Perhaps better to avoid stereotyping generally, and to discuss issues than castigate people (particularly based on their demography, which is sheer bigotry).
Hunt +6
Mordaunt / McVey +5
Gove +4
Raab / Javid +3
Johnson +1.5
Hancock +1
Stewart -2
Patel -5
Baker, Leadsom -8
Although his vote might be denoted by a cock and balls.....
Can't recall where though.
Ireland South third seat went to Mick Wallace (Indy4Change)
The 4th to Greens Grace O'Sullivan
The post Brexit seat is for Deirdre Clune (Fine Gael).
https://twitter.com/fiona96fmnews/status/1136291212573515777
All told, Ed is a very viable proposition. An idea whose time has gone - and come.
Hunt +10
McVey +10
Javid +7
Gove +6.5
Boris +6
Raab +4.5
Baker +4
Patel, Hancock and others not listed -2
Leadsom -5
Stewart -5
.. the shape of which I'm quite pleased with. I'd like to flog off some McVey if I can find any punters willing to take it off my hands at a reasonable price.
Here is the article about war time generation being more Remainery.
https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2019/03/21/not-all-the-over-65s-are-in-favour-of-brexit-britains-wartime-generation-are-almost-as-pro-eu-as-millennials/
Brought a lump to my throat . And out of nowhere he mentions his worries about Brexit .
That clip should shame all those who question the patriotism of those who wanted to stay in the EU .
Edit. No idea why my iPad is double quoting. At least it's better than those >>>>
Many of his policy ideas were sound enough to be nicked by others and the core of his economic analysis - 'predator capitalism' vs 'value added enterprise' - was acute and went beyond soundbite.
Top geez in many ways.
Why the hell is Steve Bray sticking his bloody signs up when the only person campaigning for remain within the Tory leadership is being interviewed ?
As bad as that Brexit woman interrupting David Davies !
Some absolubte arseholes on both sides ><
https://twitter.com/DMiliband/status/1136264741611925504