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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » CON up 4 in a fortnight in latest Opinium poll for Observer
More details on tonight’s polling will be published here when available.
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Full observer piece out now
Labour's lead over the Conservatives has been cut to 6%, according to the latest Opinium/Observer poll.
Ed Miliband's party is on 37%, down 1% on two weeks ago, while the Tories are up 4% on 31%.
Ukip remains strong on 16% (-1%) while the Lib Dems are on 7% (-1%).
David Cameron's net approval rating stays at -18% while Ed Miliband's worsens from -19% to -21%.
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2013/nov/02/labour-lead-cut-opinium-observer-poll?CMP=twt_fd
Daily Mail [predictably] claiming it was foreign prisoners wot was doing the rioting and linking it to Grayling banning certain movies.
Union Bod [predictably] on BBC blaming it all on the CUTTTTSSSSSSSSS.
FPT:
Here's the pre-race piece: http://enormo-haddock.blogspot.co.uk/2013/11/abu-dhabi-pre-race.html
Raikkonen's failed a floor flex test and has been disqualified from, er, qualifying. He'll start last or from the pit lane.
Ladbrokes haven't noticed yet. If you reckon Webber or Vettel may suffer a car failure than Mercedes to top score at 9 may be tempting.
However, the two I've gone for are for Hulkenberg (who now starts 5th) to be top 6 at 2.63 and Rosberg to win without Vettel or Webber at 4 (both Ladbrokes).
The qualifying highlights suggested there was a small chance of Hamilton getting a penalty (something broke at the back of his car, causing the spin). That would be ideal, as it would enhance the chances of both bets coming off.
Ed's price freeze might poll well and his personal numbers got a bump from that, and for the Tories good numbers on the economy, but it really same old same old in the headline figure.
Would the Mail explode if they found out that Maidstone has a high number of sex offenders imprisoned there?
I also see Cam and Miliband are pretty much and neck on the leaders` ratings.
So much for a presidential election in 2015.
In space, no-one can hear you apply to the European Court of Human Rights.
Though Owen Farrell's kicking does make me wonder that he might not be able to score in a brothel
The government said they were never authorised, and that it needed to bring "order" to the management of independent businesses.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-latin-america-24790569
Another idea for Red Ed...bloody cinema tickets are far too expensive in this country!
"On the pathological liar IDS"
It's a reputation that has chased him for years. i remember as leader he claimed to be a graduate of Perugia University when it turned out he'd done a couple of weeks on their language course.
As to this latest porky I heard the Liverpudlian McVey(?) say that they were delighted with the ruling immediately after the presenter had said they had resoundingly lost the case. I assumed I'd misunderstood
Maybe he sold his Royal Mail shares and has gone to see Cousin Seth with the proceeds.
Speaking of Royal Mail shares does anyone have views as to how much further they might rise?
I was thinking of taking my profits now, too bad I didn't get all those I applied for.
Instead the government gave my shares to some sovereign wealth fund and so cheated me out of thousands of pounds I deserved for spending two minutes on the internet.
When I woke up, I realised then, I needed a girlfriend.
'INDEPENDENT: IVF - Survival of the unfittest #tomorrowspapertoday #BBCPapers pic.twitter.com/oPIGoAsYWx'
The girl tried to sell me a Manchester United shirt.
I said, "I think you misheard me", I said "I wanted to look like a Count!"
That sounds as likely as a Labour Immigration Minister plotting to make the white vote angry.
Perhaps I should have said 'statutory'. Whatever it has to be obeyed. If a doctor is struck off by the BMA and they practice again they'll be arrested. The BMA isn't the state but their ruling is absolute. If 'State' is the wrong word apologies.
MikeK. Interesting example your 100 leaflets. I'm afraid I have no knowledge which authority if any would be involved. I was particularly referring to TV ads.
Recently I had a VW ad to do for Spain. Set at night the story-told in extreme close up- of a guy and a VW logo which at the end we realize he had been stealing from the front of a car because he thought it so attractive it would make a nice necklace for his girlfriend!
I told them it wouldn't stand a chance of getting through the advertising standards in the UK. They said in Spain the rules were much more lax. Sure enough it was turned down and they had to re think very fast!
Well he was talking about the Human Rights Act which enshrined the ECHR into this country's law.
The justice secretary also said that he could understand why the act was seen as a "villains' charter" by its critics.
In an interview with the Daily Mail, Straw - who introduced the act 10 years ago when he was home secretary - said he would soon be publishing plans to "rebalance" the legislation with new "responsibilities" to obey the law and to be loyal to the country.
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2008/dec/08/human-rights-act-straw
What tax rebate will a business which already pays the 'living wage' get ?
Another idea which falls apart in seconds.
IDS was right that the court upheld the government's (as amended) position going forwards. The government wasn't the only one who appealed and the government won the appeal against their policy.
As for Ms Reilly he's right that she thought she was too good to work for Poundland. We're supposed to care that she was working for a museum for free as that's what she wanted ... well if she wants to do that and not claim Jobseekers Allowance then fair enough. However she was claiming JSA and the government was very entitled to say if she wants JSA she actually has to go to work and not go to a museum. Where's the girl too good for Poundland working now? A Supermarket. The policy worked.
Nobody should be so conceited to believe they can live off the State, not try and work and have no risk of their "ambitions" being "stopped" by pesky requirements like actually having to work.
Good on IDS.
You'd have thought they would act. But they're sleepwalking into oblivion with a smile on their faces.
What people think various jobs are paid, and what they should be paid (good news for Nurses, not so good for MPs):
https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/z0tqjdr1cj/YG-Archive-salaries-results-311013.pdf
Grangemouth Scottish sub-sample - Unite got it wrong:
http://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/q9z5vq6rk6/YG-Archive-Grangemouth-Plant-results-011113-Scottish-sample.pdf
IDS never lost a General Election as Tory leader!
"You'd have thought they would act. But they're sleepwalking into oblivion with a smile on their faces."
I don't think it's a smile I think it's constipation
The General Medical Council is our licensing body. It is a self regarding self replicating oligarchy that is similtaneously Ineffective in protecting patients and oppressively coercive to doctors. Either that or a fine upstanding body that for altruistic reasons ensures that British doctors practise to the highest standards in yhe world, and is beloved by patients and profession.
One or the other, of the above statements, may in part be close to my view.
There have been 96 deaths, many suicides, by doctors under investigation in the last decade. In 2011 about 3% of Doctors investigated were suspended from the register; the rest are in a tormented limbo. I would not use it as an example of successful state regulation myself.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/general-medical-council-to-investigate-culture-of-fear-after-doctor-suicides-8849308.html
e.g. I'm earning about £100K, my wife is paid £8 per hour as a part time carer (10-15 hours per week).
What would be a 'living wage' for my wife?
"There have been 96 deaths, many suicides, by doctors under investigation in the last decade. In 2011 about 3% of Doctors investigated were suspended from the register; the rest are in a tormented limbo."
In that case a perfect template for journalists. What wouldn't the public give for a body that would put the likes of Littlejohn in tormented limbo.
You seem to have a belief that business can increase earnings without any effect.
Let me explain:
1) Business increases earnings
2) Business costs increase
3) Business has to raise prices
4) Customers have to pay more
Now tim are you willing to pay more for British produced goods and services so that the low paid can have a pay rise ?
Are you willing to reduce your standard of living so that the low paid can increase their's ?
I am and do try to buy British produced goods and services. I can afford to do so and the consequent psychic satisfaction this gives me outweighs the standard of living reduction. This is a voluntary form of wealth redistribution which I find acceptable.
But if other people don't do likewise then the only effect will be fewer people employed.
"Are you sure the term used was "graduated" and not "studied at"?"
Both terminological inexactitudes as it happens
http://tpuc.org/forum/viewtopic.php?p=339953
or
http://www.bbc.co.uk/pressoffice/pressreleases/stories/2002/12_december/19/newsnight_ids_cv.shtml
I've told my grand kids not to write a letter to Santa Claus this year, send instead to E Miliband, Primrose Hill
http://blogs.ft.com/westminster/2010/08/ed-balls-unconvinced-by-ed-milibands-living-wage-maths/
Our problem is that we're a high cost, high tax and high regulation country competing against people who are as intelligent and educated as we are and willing to work harder for less money and under fewer restrictions.
Effectively we're trying to walk up and endless escalator which is going down.
The consequence are that most of us are going to get poorer and socioeconomic mobility is going to fall.
And so we see and endless gimmicks involving prices and taxes as politicians try to give the impression that they care.
.@janemerrick23 even Ed Balls thinks this policy doesn't add up. He said it means more borrowing http://blogs.ft.com/westminster/2010/08/ed-balls-unconvinced-by-ed-milibands-living-wage-maths/ …
What if it is not Littlejohn staring at the bottle of pills, what if it is a cub reporter being hung out to dry?
Pharisees are condemned by their own words, which show their true fellings for their fellow humans.
A complete lie according to the girl he chose for yesterday's character assassination.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-2482111/RICHARD-LITTLEJOHN-Ah-Pesto-Meet-poverty-poster-girls.html
Our guests tomorrow are Lord Ian Blair, @davidschneider, @OwenJones84, interfaith leader Kiran Bali & academic Phil Scraton #bbcsml
Retweeted by Owen Jones
Hard pressed to spot any lefties there in a religious prog....
Your concern for the low paid stretches only as far as your keyboard.
Fascinating though that you think nobody earning the 'living wage' should be entitled to any benefits or housing costs.
You do realise that the London 'living wage' is under £18k before deductions ?
Can we guess whom said this about the living wage?
He also questioned whether Mili-E had done his maths. “It seems to me that there would be a substantial extra cost either to the exchequer or to business,” he pointed out.
http://blogs.ft.com/westminster/2010/08/ed-balls-unconvinced-by-ed-milibands-living-wage-maths
Say it! Say you love Jesus!
"Jesus loves you."
A nice gesture in church.
A horrific thing to hear in a Mexican prison.
Look on the bright side Norwich fans, you were able to count all the Man City goals on the fingers of just one hand, it's only embarrassing when you have to use two hands.
But a GMC like tortured limbo affects the innocent, and unknown, much more severely than the guilty.
Vexatious complaints designed to inflict misery are a staple of the GMC. Most get thrown out after investigation, but those investigations are a tormented limbo.
The GMC itself recognises that it is ineffective in supporting those being investigated by a quasi-inquisitorial panel, and that this has led to suicide. Read my link below.
Yet you think this a suitable model for an investigator.
I think that we are unlikely to find common ground here.
Maybe they got their whiff whaff bats back or a new block of chalk for the pool table?
Why on earth should Littlejohn be regulated to the same standard as advertising? He writes opinion pieces for a newspaper. He doesn't write news, and he doesn't try to sell anything. He shares his opinions. Are you really saying that published opinions should fall under statutory regulation? If you are, you're a damned fool.
"A nice gesture in church.
A horrific thing to hear in a Mexican prison."
Made me smile.
info@getbritainout.org
Strong stuff!
Mr. Ajob, it's worth considering the interesting theory that the minimum wage has helped to create a significant problem of high youth unemployment. If you legislate to make everyone have a higher wage then either many people will have no wage at all, or you create more inflation.
It's in danger of becoming like the donatives the army enjoyed in imperial Rome.
In the real world, businesses have to remain competitive and wages are related to levels of productivity.
And the easiest way to do that is simply not taxing them in the first place...rather than a crazy system of taking money, then asking people to apply for "tax credits" to have some of it back.
"Are you really saying that published opinions should fall under statutory regulation?"
What's the difference? How can it be acceptable to erroniously say someone is a benefit scrounger in an opinion piece if it isn't in a news article? The effect on the person having their reputation traduced is the same.
I've told you before, that's only parts of Norfolk.
Miliband makes his big offer on the living wage (via @janemerrick23). Blue collar Tories and Lib Dems will be asking why they weren't first.
Big offer? He's got to persuade Balls first and get him to eat his words.
I would have thought Tories and Lib Dems would feel stronger here with the direct benefits of raising the personal allowance already and of course Labour abolishing 10% tax band as their counterpoints....
47% in this poll, one of the highest ever.
My then girlfriend left me for a guy from Norfolk. She said he was better at foreplay.
To be fair, I can't compete, he has 7 fingers on each hand.
Answer: The wedding was held in Norfolk
IF they have lots of money to pay for lawyers.
Your uncle is your brother
You all shag one another
The Norwich family
Say you have a family with 5 children living on benefits, in a big house paid for by Housing Benefit. Say they have had all or most of the children since becoming unemployed. There is no suggestion they are claiming something they shouldn't.
I can call them benefit scroungers, that is just my opinion.
However, if I accuse them of claiming something they are not entitled to by law - well that would be libellous if it isn't true.
Fact and opinion. Different things.
There's a lawyer not five doors from here who specialises in threatening libel actions. Used them a couple of times myself.
Threatening? Heck, even I can threaten libel actions.
Good luck finding one that will carry it all the way through on a no-win-no-fee basis.
But if you think that coffee shops should pay their workers more that's fine by me.
The result will mean fewer customers and many coffee shops closing but I've never seen the attraction to them in any case.
I dare say it would mean those hand carwashes closing down as well.
And loads of other low skilled service workers adding to the unemployment total.
Unless that is people are prepared to pay more for British produced goods and services.
And that's the point when PB lefties lose their interest in helping the low paid.