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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » HealthSec Hancock edges up in the betting for next CON leader

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  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,039
    Hancock and Pidcock could both win ballots of their members.

    They could then go head-to-head at PMQs.

    I'll stop now.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    The DUP believe saying they want something a lot will make it so. That's either stupid or dishonest. They love to talk about how principled they are so I assume honesty forms part if that. Leaving...
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,541
    dixiedean said:

    DougSeal said:

    AndyJS said:

    @Pulpstar - Coventry/Warwickshire accents - absolutely. There are a few.

    Where I used to live in Southam the accent was very flat, much more east Midlands than west. Coventry definitely has its own accent. My wife was born in Princethorpe, a tiny village halfway between Leamington and Roog-be (Rugby). She has no accent as such but her pronunciations of words (pub, grass, etc) are much more northern than southern. And there are specific words you never hear in London.

    It's interesting how much accents change over relatively short distances in that general area.
    Manchester vs Liverpool I always find quite incredible. 20-30 miles in lots of areas results in only slight differences, which usually only locals can really pick upon, between those two cities it is so distinct even those not from the UK can easily spot them.
    Yes, that's always puzzled me too.

    It must be one of the most pronounced (sorry!) differences across a short distance. All the more baffling given the long history of trade and transport between the two cities.
    I always assumed that the unique Scouse accent was due to it being virtually an Irish colony. It even returned an Irish Nationalist MP until (I think) 1919. Manchester has a strong Irish influence too of course but you can still hear the underlying Lancashire.

    I grew up in Reading before moving aged 10 to a village between Canterbury and Whitstable. Trying to iron out my Berkshire infused East Kent estuary into RP at Oxford has left me with a horrible bastard hybrid that means I get mistaken for Australian far more often than I’d like.
    The Scouse of Stevie Gerrard is a relatively recent phenomenon. Even in the sixties it was far more similar to other Lancashire accents. Listen to the young Beatles. Apart from John, they were very working class, but they don't have the d sound for th, nor the k sound pronounced as in "loch".
    My only explanation is that the decline of port traffic and heavy emigration and unemployment led to isolation. Which often breeds stronger accents.
    Interesting. I always did think that Gerrard’s accent was almost exaggerated
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,164
    My guess is that Hancock may have about a half hour of fame....
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    Sajid Javid has drifted quite a long way in the betting. He doesn't seem to have done anything wrong so much as the caravan has moved on. Has he been definitively eclipsed by Jeremy Hunt as the candidate of the self-defining pragmatic middle?
  • mattmatt Posts: 3,789
    edited April 2019
    Nigelb said:

    Arlene 'motes and beams' Foster.
    To a DUPist every negotiation can be won by shouting “no” repeatedly and conceding when further subsides are offered. That’s not an option here so some distance outside their skillset.
  • I just wanted to write to say see you later to everyone. Spending too much time addicted to this site and not enough time getting my work done so requested TSE to temporarily ban me. Will request the ban to be lifted once I've got my work completed. Hopefully it will be before Brexit but that may not be saying much!

    Have fun and good luck everyone. Bye for now.

    Really sorry about that though, while we rarely agree it is important as many views as possible are available to PB. I do understand, as I am sure many will, how addictive PB can become but you are right to prioritise work. As Ben says when you return nothing will have changed or, maybe, everything has

    All the very best
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,318

    Cyclefree said:

    No - how sad. :(

    Never mind: Gardeners' Question Time on soon. :)

    How's the Finger of Doom?
    Not good. Ordered by NHS 111 to go to emergency care centre. That’ll be a fun afternoon......
  • Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039

    Sajid Javid has drifted quite a long way in the betting. He doesn't seem to have done anything wrong so much as the caravan has moved on. Has he been definitively eclipsed by Jeremy Hunt as the candidate of the self-defining pragmatic middle?

    There are suggestions that it might end up being a Hunt/Javid ticket.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,814
    Mr. Meeks, like Burnham, the higher he rose, the more people realised Javid is a lightweight.

    I agree with your suggestion that Hunt is the 'pragmatic middle'. Gove's an interesting potential candidate.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,039

    Sajid Javid has drifted quite a long way in the betting. He doesn't seem to have done anything wrong so much as the caravan has moved on. Has he been definitively eclipsed by Jeremy Hunt as the candidate of the self-defining pragmatic middle?

    "self-defining pragmatic middle"

    unprincipled, self-serving shits
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,814
    Miss Cyclefree, hope your finger is mended soon.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    I just wanted to write to say see you later to everyone. Spending too much time addicted to this site and not enough time getting my work done so requested TSE to temporarily ban me. Will request the ban to be lifted once I've got my work completed. Hopefully it will be before Brexit but that may not be saying much!

    Have fun and good luck everyone. Bye for now.

    To be banned you have to be REALLY NAUGHTY
    Or say something bad about Radiohead....
    Whilst eating a pizza with pineapple on it.
    And watching die hard at Christmas
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,293

    Sajid Javid has drifted quite a long way in the betting. He doesn't seem to have done anything wrong so much as the caravan has moved on. Has he been definitively eclipsed by Jeremy Hunt as the candidate of the self-defining pragmatic middle?

    Keep in mind though the little noted decision by the Conservative Party to send four candidates through to the members ballot rather two.

    That really blows everything open and at this point I'm not sure how anyone could pick a favourite in this contest.
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,536
    GIN1138 said:

    Sajid Javid has drifted quite a long way in the betting. He doesn't seem to have done anything wrong so much as the caravan has moved on. Has he been definitively eclipsed by Jeremy Hunt as the candidate of the self-defining pragmatic middle?

    Keep in mind though the little noted decision by the Conservative Party to send four candidates through to the members ballot rather two.

    That really blows everything open and at this point I'm not sure how anyone could pick a favourite in this contest.
    Is that actually a decision rather than a proposal? If so, buy Boris.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,814
    Mr. Gin, when did that change happen?

    Seems mad to me. You could get a 'winner' with 20% of MPs and just 30% of the members in favour.
  • Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    edited April 2019

    GIN1138 said:

    Sajid Javid has drifted quite a long way in the betting. He doesn't seem to have done anything wrong so much as the caravan has moved on. Has he been definitively eclipsed by Jeremy Hunt as the candidate of the self-defining pragmatic middle?

    Keep in mind though the little noted decision by the Conservative Party to send four candidates through to the members ballot rather two.

    That really blows everything open and at this point I'm not sure how anyone could pick a favourite in this contest.
    Is that actually a decision rather than a proposal? If so, buy Boris.
    No, it was floated in the Sun but I don't think there's any serious momentum behind it. Pun intended.

    https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/8776954/tory-leadership-contest-rule-change-boris-johnson-pm/
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,870

    GIN1138 said:

    Sajid Javid has drifted quite a long way in the betting. He doesn't seem to have done anything wrong so much as the caravan has moved on. Has he been definitively eclipsed by Jeremy Hunt as the candidate of the self-defining pragmatic middle?

    Keep in mind though the little noted decision by the Conservative Party to send four candidates through to the members ballot rather two.

    That really blows everything open and at this point I'm not sure how anyone could pick a favourite in this contest.
    Is that actually a decision rather than a proposal? If so, buy Boris.
    Just a suggestion from Johnny Mercer AIR?
  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786

    Hancock and Pidcock could both win ballots of their members.

    They could then go head-to-head at PMQs.

    I'll stop now.

    Christopher chope versus Emma dent coad for the win
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,237
    Hancock seems a bit lightweight to me. Does he have the heft to be PM of a premier league country like Britain? Not to my mind he doesn't.
  • brokenwheelbrokenwheel Posts: 3,352
    kinabalu said:

    Hancock seems a bit lightweight to me. Does he have the heft to be PM of a premier league country like Britain? Not to my mind he doesn't.

    Do any of them?
  • eekeek Posts: 28,406
    GIN1138 said:

    Arlene could pull the plug on this shit show whenever she wants of course...
    Only be creating a No Deal exit and that’s the one thing theSUP really don’t want
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,237

    Sajid Javid has drifted quite a long way in the betting. He doesn't seem to have done anything wrong so much as the caravan has moved on. Has he been definitively eclipsed by Jeremy Hunt as the candidate of the self-defining pragmatic middle?

    Hunt/Gove dream ticket either order? That would be a wrap surely. Would beat Raab/Truss quite comfortably.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Latest polling averages, Germany:

    CDU/CSU: 29.6%
    Greens: 18.4%
    SPD: 16.4%
    AfD: 12.6%
    FDP: 9.3%
    Linke: 8.6%
    Others: 5.1%

    https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/
  • Looking at the present situation it is clear that Tusk and the EU, when looking down the barrel of no deal, have blinked and hope that by agreeing to a flexible extension they do not have to face the Irish border issue which was causing such panic by Varadkar in yesterday's press conference with Merkel. The problem for the EU is that it goes against everything Macron has said to date

    As far as brexit itself is concerned the dial is moving away from ERG and the DUP and now the parties are in discussion I cannot see this returning to an issue that the ERG have the ability to change. I expect that the present negotiations will be expanded to include the SNP, and the devolved powers and eventually a compromise deal should emerge probably on a similar vein to TM deal or Norway plus v referendum

    I expect history will not be kind to ERG and that they will be seen as the ultimate destroyers of their own project. It would have been all so different if they had backed TM deal on the first vote and we would now be out of the EU on a fair deal

    I expect TM will resist any demands for her to leave office until brexit is much more settled and even then she may not stand down. After all it was the ERG who cemented her Premiership with an ill considered premature attempt to vonc her.

    I am as relaxed over brexit as I have been in a long time as no deal seems to be disappearing and the HOC realises they have to come together to resolve this. I accept that TM should have been more collegiate before now but we cannot change that. We must look forward now to a brighter future, either closely aligned with the EU or even as a member
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,246
    Cyclefree said:

    Cyclefree said:

    No - how sad. :(

    Never mind: Gardeners' Question Time on soon. :)

    How's the Finger of Doom?
    Not good. Ordered by NHS 111 to go to emergency care centre. That’ll be a fun afternoon......
    Don't hang around if the infection hasn't started to clear up.
    Good luck.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,237

    I just wanted to write to say see you later to everyone. Spending too much time addicted to this site and not enough time getting my work done so requested TSE to temporarily ban me. Will request the ban to be lifted once I've got my work completed. Hopefully it will be before Brexit but that may not be saying much!

    Have fun and good luck everyone. Bye for now.

    Very strange priorities.
    😊
  • StreeterStreeter Posts: 684

    I just wanted to write to say see you later to everyone. Spending too much time addicted to this site and not enough time getting my work done so requested TSE to temporarily ban me. Will request the ban to be lifted once I've got my work completed. Hopefully it will be before Brexit but that may not be saying much!

    Have fun and good luck everyone. Bye for now.

    Another Leaver leaves the crease, having failed to trouble the scorers.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    "Piers Morgan: why, as a former Remainer, I’d now back Leave"

    https://www.spectator.co.uk/2019/04/piers-morgan-why-as-a-former-remainer-id-now-back-leave/
  • GIN1138 said:

    Sajid Javid has drifted quite a long way in the betting. He doesn't seem to have done anything wrong so much as the caravan has moved on. Has he been definitively eclipsed by Jeremy Hunt as the candidate of the self-defining pragmatic middle?

    Keep in mind though the little noted decision by the Conservative Party to send four candidates through to the members ballot rather two.

    That really blows everything open and at this point I'm not sure how anyone could pick a favourite in this contest.
    Is that actually a decision rather than a proposal? If so, buy Boris.
    I have not had it confirmed, even that it is being discussed
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,814
    Mr. Streeter, a rather graceless remark.
  • Mr. Streeter, a rather graceless remark.

    Yes - very unnecessary
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,237
    AndyJS said:

    "Piers Morgan: why, as a former Remainer, I’d now back Leave"

    https://www.spectator.co.uk/2019/04/piers-morgan-why-as-a-former-remainer-id-now-back-leave/

    I generally find that if I do the opposite of Piers Morgan, then I will be doing the right thing.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,237
    AndyJS said:

    "Piers Morgan: why, as a former Remainer, I’d now back Leave"

    https://www.spectator.co.uk/2019/04/piers-morgan-why-as-a-former-remainer-id-now-back-leave/

    Oh god is he running for Tory leader too. This is getting ridiculous.
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981

    Mr. Streeter, a rather graceless remark.

    +1; especially as this is, I suspect, a phoenix poster who has himself failed to make a satisfactory impression under a previous incarnation.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,821
    kinabalu said:

    AndyJS said:

    "Piers Morgan: why, as a former Remainer, I’d now back Leave"

    https://www.spectator.co.uk/2019/04/piers-morgan-why-as-a-former-remainer-id-now-back-leave/

    Oh god is he running for Tory leader too. This is getting ridiculous.
    LOL!
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,720
    rcs1000 said:

    AndyJS said:

    "Piers Morgan: why, as a former Remainer, I’d now back Leave"

    https://www.spectator.co.uk/2019/04/piers-morgan-why-as-a-former-remainer-id-now-back-leave/

    I generally find that if I do the opposite of Piers Morgan, then I will be doing the right thing.
    Is that your way of coming out as an ex-Leaver?
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    Nigelb said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Cyclefree said:

    No - how sad. :(

    Never mind: Gardeners' Question Time on soon. :)

    How's the Finger of Doom?
    Not good. Ordered by NHS 111 to go to emergency care centre. That’ll be a fun afternoon......
    Don't hang around if the infection hasn't started to clear up.
    Good luck.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Albert_Alexander_(police_officer)

    Awful warning of potential effects of rose scratches when not treated with sufficient doses of antibiotics.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,814
    Incidentally, the rumour that the burst pipe was caused to flood the Commons in order to make the chamber suitable for your new enormo-haddock overlords is completely untrue.

    As we know, the enormo-haddock can breathe both air and water.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,313
    GIN1138 said:

    Sajid Javid has drifted quite a long way in the betting. He doesn't seem to have done anything wrong so much as the caravan has moved on. Has he been definitively eclipsed by Jeremy Hunt as the candidate of the self-defining pragmatic middle?

    Keep in mind though the little noted decision by the Conservative Party to send four candidates through to the members ballot rather two.

    That really blows everything open and at this point I'm not sure how anyone could pick a favourite in this contest.
    Interesting, I missed that, when was that decided?
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,313
    rcs1000 said:

    AndyJS said:

    "Piers Morgan: why, as a former Remainer, I’d now back Leave"

    https://www.spectator.co.uk/2019/04/piers-morgan-why-as-a-former-remainer-id-now-back-leave/

    I generally find that if I do the opposite of Piers Morgan, then I will be doing the right thing.
    Perhaps he is self aware and realises this is the best way he can boost Remain
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,217

    rcs1000 said:

    AndyJS said:

    "Piers Morgan: why, as a former Remainer, I’d now back Leave"

    https://www.spectator.co.uk/2019/04/piers-morgan-why-as-a-former-remainer-id-now-back-leave/

    I generally find that if I do the opposite of Piers Morgan, then I will be doing the right thing.
    Perhaps he is self aware and realises this is the best way he can boost Remain
    He's playing the character "Piers Morgan" for tax purposes.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,383
    Most SOPN's have now been published.

    By my reckoning, 200 Conservatives, 12 Labour, 8 Lib Dems have been returned unopposed, or are mathematically guaranteed election.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,313

    Mr. Streeter, a rather graceless remark.

    Yes - very unnecessary
    harsh, but...
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 33,478

    Mr. Streeter, a rather graceless remark.

    Yes - very unnecessary
    One should always consider one's opponents contributions to the debate. You might, as they say ,'larn summat'!
  • rural_voterrural_voter Posts: 2,038

    kinabalu said:

    Hancock seems a bit lightweight to me. Does he have the heft to be PM of a premier league country like Britain? Not to my mind he doesn't.

    Do any of them?
    No but

    Ken Clarke who does is 78
    Michael Heseltine who does is 86
    Chris Patten who does has had poor health
    and two of these elder statesmen are in the Lords!!

    In the age range 40-60, a Labour team of Emily Thornberry and Jess Phillips would appear to offer the country more than any of the Tory teams on offer. There aren't quite any leaders in the HoC on a par with Wilson, Williams, Castle, Jenkins or Foot (all five were in the cabinet at the same time, I think).
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 33,478
    Nigelb said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Cyclefree said:

    No - how sad. :(

    Never mind: Gardeners' Question Time on soon. :)

    How's the Finger of Doom?
    Not good. Ordered by NHS 111 to go to emergency care centre. That’ll be a fun afternoon......
    Don't hang around if the infection hasn't started to clear up.
    Good luck.
    Absolutely right. Hope it all goes well.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Sean_F said:

    Most SOPN's have now been published.

    By my reckoning, 200 Conservatives, 12 Labour, 8 Lib Dems have been returned unopposed, or are mathematically guaranteed election.

    200 Tories sounds like more than usual, although I haven't checked.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,814
    Mr. Pulpstar, I have to say, Kelly's defence was staggering in its brazenness, though I can't help but admire the surreal, Pythonesque quality.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,870
    Streeter said:

    I just wanted to write to say see you later to everyone. Spending too much time addicted to this site and not enough time getting my work done so requested TSE to temporarily ban me. Will request the ban to be lifted once I've got my work completed. Hopefully it will be before Brexit but that may not be saying much!

    Have fun and good luck everyone. Bye for now.

    Another Leaver leaves the crease, having failed to trouble the scorers.
    We should wish him good luck. And hope he'll be back for the people's vote discussion.
  • GIN1138 said:

    Sajid Javid has drifted quite a long way in the betting. He doesn't seem to have done anything wrong so much as the caravan has moved on. Has he been definitively eclipsed by Jeremy Hunt as the candidate of the self-defining pragmatic middle?

    Keep in mind though the little noted decision by the Conservative Party to send four candidates through to the members ballot rather two.

    That really blows everything open and at this point I'm not sure how anyone could pick a favourite in this contest.
    Interesting, I missed that, when was that decided?
    Just a rumour in the Sun, certainly not being discussed
  • RoyalBlueRoyalBlue Posts: 3,223
    Sean_F said:

    Most SOPN's have now been published.

    By my reckoning, 200 Conservatives, 12 Labour, 8 Lib Dems have been returned unopposed, or are mathematically guaranteed election.

    200 down, 4800 to go...
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    Nigelb said:
    Unless we think that credible no deal threats will force mps to back WA + whatever jez wants
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,536
    Cyclefree said:

    Cyclefree said:

    No - how sad. :(

    Never mind: Gardeners' Question Time on soon. :)

    How's the Finger of Doom?
    Not good. Ordered by NHS 111 to go to emergency care centre. That’ll be a fun afternoon......
    Ugh - concur with others to get it done speedily. But take a large book for the wait.
  • Nigelb said:
    That’s how you sell revoke to the country.

    It will annoy the French.

    Landslide victory for Remain/Revoke in an upcoming referendum.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,313
    Pulpstar said:

    rcs1000 said:

    AndyJS said:

    "Piers Morgan: why, as a former Remainer, I’d now back Leave"

    https://www.spectator.co.uk/2019/04/piers-morgan-why-as-a-former-remainer-id-now-back-leave/

    I generally find that if I do the opposite of Piers Morgan, then I will be doing the right thing.
    Perhaps he is self aware and realises this is the best way he can boost Remain
    He's playing the character "Piers Morgan" for tax purposes.
    :) Agent: "Do you think you could play the part of an odious twat for several years, and call yourself Piers Morgan if it pays well?"

    Piers: "how well"

    Agent: " a lot"

    Piers: "OK then, but do I have to be an even more loathed character and supreme twat than Boris Johnson or Jeremy Corbyn?"

    Agent: "Only if you feel you must"
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,383
    RoyalBlue said:

    Sean_F said:

    Most SOPN's have now been published.

    By my reckoning, 200 Conservatives, 12 Labour, 8 Lib Dems have been returned unopposed, or are mathematically guaranteed election.

    200 down, 4800 to go...
    Anything can happen in one month, but having lots of candidates returned unopposed is usually a reasonable sign.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,814
    Mr. Eagles, whilst I know you're being at least somewhat silly, that would actually be sensible for someone trying to sell that angle.

    "Do you want to Remain? Or do you agree with the French?"
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,617
    Cyclefree said:

    Cyclefree said:

    No - how sad. :(

    Never mind: Gardeners' Question Time on soon. :)

    How's the Finger of Doom?
    Not good. Ordered by NHS 111 to go to emergency care centre. That’ll be a fun afternoon......
    Sorry, didn't respond as I was doing music festival stuff - but as others have said, get it sorted pronto. Those long thread headers are going to be a bugger to type one-fingered otherwise!
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,313

    GIN1138 said:

    Sajid Javid has drifted quite a long way in the betting. He doesn't seem to have done anything wrong so much as the caravan has moved on. Has he been definitively eclipsed by Jeremy Hunt as the candidate of the self-defining pragmatic middle?

    Keep in mind though the little noted decision by the Conservative Party to send four candidates through to the members ballot rather two.

    That really blows everything open and at this point I'm not sure how anyone could pick a favourite in this contest.
    Interesting, I missed that, when was that decided?
    Just a rumour in the Sun, certainly not being discussed
    I think you are member, as am I, do you think we might have been told? Well I guess maybe not. More likely it is more shit on the pages of the Sun than you generally find in a navvy's privy.
  • Mr. Eagles, whilst I know you're being at least somewhat silly, that would actually be sensible for someone trying to sell that angle.

    "Do you want to Remain? Or do you agree with the French?"

    I knew some people who worked for Stronger In.

    Back in 2015 I told them that’s the strategy they should use.
  • The_TaxmanThe_Taxman Posts: 2,979
    Just reading the thread header about Matt Hancock.

    I don't know what it is about him but he comes across as very sly and I would not feel comfortable trusting him (politically speaking). Mind you at least he looks his age unlike the defence Secretary who looks and sounds like he is a teenager. Tory boys!

    O/T I see in the media another company run by a Brexiteer is showing their confidence in the UK by closing down some of the businesses they lead. This time it is the intellectual titan Tim Martin who is presiding over job losses as the number of pubs he runs diminishes.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,313

    Mr. Eagles, whilst I know you're being at least somewhat silly, that would actually be sensible for someone trying to sell that angle.

    "Do you want to Remain? Or do you agree with the French?"

    I knew some people who worked for Stronger In.

    Back in 2015 I told them that’s the strategy they should use.
    Do you think that would work even better than saying that Piers Morgan now backs Leave?
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    AndyJS said:

    "Piers Morgan: why, as a former Remainer, I’d now back Leave"

    https://www.spectator.co.uk/2019/04/piers-morgan-why-as-a-former-remainer-id-now-back-leave/

    Lord Ashcroft is trying to recruit him and Julia Hartley-Brewer for The Brexit Party
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,313
    isam said:

    AndyJS said:

    "Piers Morgan: why, as a former Remainer, I’d now back Leave"

    https://www.spectator.co.uk/2019/04/piers-morgan-why-as-a-former-remainer-id-now-back-leave/

    Lord Ashcroft is trying to recruit him and Julia Hartley-Brewer for The Brexit Party
    Lord Ashcroft in favour of Remain then is he?
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 4,502
    Whatever people think of Nicola Sturgeon she has always made clear EU citizens are welcome in Scotland . And has made every effort to make them feel part of the community and she wants them to stay . Again today we see that in her letter to EU Citizens.

    My admiration for NS continues to grow. As opposed to May and her disgraceful queue jumper comments aimed at EU nationals , probably not that shocking when you realize she employs none other than the vile DM journalist of Enemies of the People and other assorted despicable stories as part of her team .



  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    isam said:

    AndyJS said:

    "Piers Morgan: why, as a former Remainer, I’d now back Leave"

    https://www.spectator.co.uk/2019/04/piers-morgan-why-as-a-former-remainer-id-now-back-leave/

    Lord Ashcroft is trying to recruit him and Julia Hartley-Brewer for The Brexit Party
    Lord Ashcroft in favour of Remain then is he?
    Maybe they could follow in the foorsteps of the hated no hopers Boris Johnson, Nigel Farage and Donald Trump
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340

    Sajid Javid has drifted quite a long way in the betting. He doesn't seem to have done anything wrong so much as the caravan has moved on. Has he been definitively eclipsed by Jeremy Hunt as the candidate of the self-defining pragmatic middle?

    "self-defining pragmatic middle"

    unprincipled, self-serving shits
    I see Google Translate has added Meeks to its languages.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,814
    Mr. Eagles, I wonder who was advising them that the 'Little Englander' line was a smart one to take...
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    Mr. Eagles, I wonder who was advising them that the 'Little Englander' line was a smart one to take...

    It was "Nigel Farage's Little England " wasn't it? Associating Leave w Nige was bound to be a corking strategy, would have been 60-40 without it
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,313
    isam said:

    isam said:

    AndyJS said:

    "Piers Morgan: why, as a former Remainer, I’d now back Leave"

    https://www.spectator.co.uk/2019/04/piers-morgan-why-as-a-former-remainer-id-now-back-leave/

    Lord Ashcroft is trying to recruit him and Julia Hartley-Brewer for The Brexit Party
    Lord Ashcroft in favour of Remain then is he?
    Maybe they could follow in the foorsteps of the hated no hopers Boris Johnson, Nigel Farage and Donald Trump
    Is this like one of those HIGNFY spot the odd one out rounds? I'm guessing it is Nigel Farage, because Nigel Farage owns a pussy and the other two like to....
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,814
    F1: Leclerc car problem explained. Sounds a bit like a very unlucky one-off: https://twitter.com/adamcooperF1/status/1114187433023811586
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,814
    Mr. Isam, it was. And had Farage been identified more with Leave (or the official campaign) I agree with you it would've significantly harmed Leave's chances.

    But it remains eminently stupid language for Cameron to have used, and adding Farage's name to it doesn't change that.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,821
    Is that Ian Dunt's wishful thinking, or is there something more specific?
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,773
    https://twitter.com/SkyNewsBreak/status/1114198838259142656

    The tories need to get their version of the story out and quickly.
  • MikeSmithsonMikeSmithson Posts: 7,382

    isam said:

    AndyJS said:

    "Piers Morgan: why, as a former Remainer, I’d now back Leave"

    https://www.spectator.co.uk/2019/04/piers-morgan-why-as-a-former-remainer-id-now-back-leave/

    Lord Ashcroft is trying to recruit him and Julia Hartley-Brewer for The Brexit Party
    Lord Ashcroft in favour of Remain then is he?
    Ahh. Julia Hartley-Brewer the Poundland Katie Hopkins
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,870
    Labour saying government hasn't offered any changes in two days of talks.

    No surprise. May only went into the talks so she didn't have to change.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    edited April 2019

    Mr. Isam, it was. And had Farage been identified more with Leave (or the official campaign) I agree with you it would've significantly harmed Leave's chances.

    But it remains eminently stupid language for Cameron to have used, and adding Farage's name to it doesn't change that.

    That was Vote Leaves thinking apparently, Farage would have a ceiling of 35-40%; people who were going to vote Leave anyway, and they needed a more mainstream figure to get 50%+0.1
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    I wonder what interesting things Julian Assange will have to say to the rozzers when he emerges and is duly arrested. There must be a lot of people queuing up to have a chat with him about his activities of one sort or another.
  • FregglesFreggles Posts: 3,486
    Good afternoon. I see that the long predicted Brexit Betrayal Backlash™ by the 52% failed to emerge in Newport West. Oh well, never mind.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,580
    nico67 said:

    Whatever people think of Nicola Sturgeon she has always made clear EU citizens are welcome in Scotland . And has made every effort to make them feel part of the community and she wants them to stay . Again today we see that in her letter to EU Citizens.

    My admiration for NS continues to grow. As opposed to May and her disgraceful queue jumper comments aimed at EU nationals , probably not that shocking when you realize she employs none other than the vile DM journalist of Enemies of the People and other assorted despicable stories as part of her team .



    It was a terrible and unforgivable error not to make the offer of permanent settlement to all existing EU citizens in the UK the day after she became leader. There is literally no reasonable explanation as to why she would not. The old chestnut of wanting reciprocation from the EU is simply code for saying she was willing to use EU citizens as a bargaining chip.

    Just one of a huge number of terrible decisions she has made.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,870

    https://twitter.com/SkyNewsBreak/status/1114198838259142656

    The tories need to get their version of the story out and quickly.

    If they haven't offered any changes, that is their version. What else can they say?

    Had May offered any change, she would have lost some of her Cabinet.
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340

    Is that Ian Dunt's wishful thinking, or is there something more specific?
    It's a thread not just a single tweet. This gives a flavour of the problem:

    https://twitter.com/benglaze/status/1114197633063694337
    https://twitter.com/REWearmouth/status/1114197856192045057

  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    edited April 2019

    https://twitter.com/SkyNewsBreak/status/1114198838259142656

    The tories need to get their version of the story out and quickly.

    Yes, because for one thing I thought it accepted by now the her 'deal, the WA, cannot be changed.

    It only ever looked like a blaming exercise. What could the government possibly offer Labour that would get them on board, when for most of them their policy is referendum (and thereafter remain)? Corbyn might be amenable but there's only so much wiggle room he would have, and not much for May either.

    If its about not changing the PD that seems pretty dumb of May and her team, given people seem to agree it doesn't mean much
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,772
    kle4 said:

    https://twitter.com/SkyNewsBreak/status/1114198838259142656

    The tories need to get their version of the story out and quickly.

    Yes, because for one thing I thought it accepted by now the her 'deal, the WA, cannot be changed.

    It only ever looked like a blaming exercise. What could the government possibly offer Labour that would get them on board, when for most of them their policy is referendum (and thereafter remain)? Corbyn might be amenable but there's only so much wiggle room he would have, and not much for May either.
    https://twitter.com/ollybarratt/status/1114197866606669824
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,821

    It's a thread not just a single tweet. This gives a flavour of the problem:

    Thanks
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,426

    Hancock and Pidcock could both win ballots of their members.

    They could then go head-to-head at PMQs.

    I'll stop now.

    Whenever the PM or LOTO asked a question there would always be a cock up.

    That would at least be familiar to those of us who have lived through the last three years.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,039

    Sajid Javid has drifted quite a long way in the betting. He doesn't seem to have done anything wrong so much as the caravan has moved on. Has he been definitively eclipsed by Jeremy Hunt as the candidate of the self-defining pragmatic middle?

    "self-defining pragmatic middle"

    unprincipled, self-serving shits
    I see Google Translate has added Meeks to its languages.
    You're too subtle for me Alastair!
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,426

    I wonder what interesting things Julian Assange will have to say to the rozzers when he emerges and is duly arrested. There must be a lot of people queuing up to have a chat with him about his activities of one sort or another.

    What will they arrest him for? Haven't the Swedes dropped their request for extradition due to the statute of limitations expiring?

    Can he actually only be arrested for jumping bail?
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,131
    Dadge said:

    Good afternoon

    Good afternoon.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,131

    brendan16 said:

    Anorak said:

    The big issue with betting on this market, is that there are rumours that a plan may be hatched to put FOUR candidates to the membership.

    That changes the betting dynamics considerably I think.

    Surely Boris would be one of the four and then would win a landslide with members?

    that worked so well for labour when Jezza was one of the four...

    It's dangerous. Pandering to the small membership doesn't make for broad support in the country,
    Also, if the Tories retain the approach where MPs can no-confidence the leader who then cannot re-stand it might be a short-lived victory for Boris.
    Pretty sure Boris will have thought that one through.
    Boris is probably the most hated man in Europe at the moment. He would be an even more divisive leader than Jeremy Corbyn.
    What, more than Piers Morgan? A man hated by all and sundry in all corners of the world. A man adorning dart boards from Vladivostok to Johannesburg.
    You have something in common with Sarah Palin - as Piers recent interview with her was a little awkward. He isn’t really though as he says things many people agree with but are too afraid to say.

    Worth remembering though with Piers is that the more you get offended by him, the more ratings he gets and the more GMB pays him! He thrives professionally and monetarily on controversy.

    A professional contrarian. A bit like Jeremy Corbyn, but with brains.
    Piers Morgan. The reason why Jeremy Clarkson is going to Heaven when he dies.
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    ydoethur said:

    I wonder what interesting things Julian Assange will have to say to the rozzers when he emerges and is duly arrested. There must be a lot of people queuing up to have a chat with him about his activities of one sort or another.

    What will they arrest him for? Haven't the Swedes dropped their request for extradition due to the statute of limitations expiring?

    Can he actually only be arrested for jumping bail?
    I believe this explainer in the Guardian is accurate, so far as we can tell:

    https://www.theguardian.com/media/2019/apr/05/why-is-wikileaks-founder-julian-assange-in-london-ecuadorian-embassy

  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,469

    Is that Ian Dunt's wishful thinking, or is there something more specific?
    It's a thread not just a single tweet. This gives a flavour of the problem:

    https://twitter.com/benglaze/status/1114197633063694337
    https://twitter.com/REWearmouth/status/1114197856192045057

    FFS. It's never ending.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,131

    I just wanted to write to say see you later to everyone. Spending too much time addicted to this site and not enough time getting my work done so requested TSE to temporarily ban me. Will request the ban to be lifted once I've got my work completed. Hopefully it will be before Brexit but that may not be saying much!

    Have fun and good luck everyone. Bye for now.

    Good luck. Hope the work gets done OK
  • GIN1138 said:

    Sajid Javid has drifted quite a long way in the betting. He doesn't seem to have done anything wrong so much as the caravan has moved on. Has he been definitively eclipsed by Jeremy Hunt as the candidate of the self-defining pragmatic middle?

    Keep in mind though the little noted decision by the Conservative Party to send four candidates through to the members ballot rather two.

    That really blows everything open and at this point I'm not sure how anyone could pick a favourite in this contest.
    Interesting, I missed that, when was that decided?
    Just a rumour in the Sun, certainly not being discussed
    I think you are member, as am I, do you think we might have been told? Well I guess maybe not. More likely it is more shit on the pages of the Sun than you generally find in a navvy's privy.
    Yes I am a member and I would expect any change in the rules would be circulated to the members

    Just another non story
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,676

    GIN1138 said:

    Sajid Javid has drifted quite a long way in the betting. He doesn't seem to have done anything wrong so much as the caravan has moved on. Has he been definitively eclipsed by Jeremy Hunt as the candidate of the self-defining pragmatic middle?

    Keep in mind though the little noted decision by the Conservative Party to send four candidates through to the members ballot rather two.

    That really blows everything open and at this point I'm not sure how anyone could pick a favourite in this contest.
    Interesting, I missed that, when was that decided?
    Just a rumour in the Sun, certainly not being discussed
    I bought the Sun today
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,426

    ydoethur said:

    I wonder what interesting things Julian Assange will have to say to the rozzers when he emerges and is duly arrested. There must be a lot of people queuing up to have a chat with him about his activities of one sort or another.

    What will they arrest him for? Haven't the Swedes dropped their request for extradition due to the statute of limitations expiring?

    Can he actually only be arrested for jumping bail?
    I believe this explainer in the Guardian is accurate, so far as we can tell:

    https://www.theguardian.com/media/2019/apr/05/why-is-wikileaks-founder-julian-assange-in-london-ecuadorian-embassy

    Interesting, thanks. Especially that last paragraph.

    There would be a certain irony if having used fake fears of extradition to the US to hide from allegations of sexual misconduct, he managed to prolong matters to the extent that a change of political scenery in Washington made those fears into a reality.

    Karma's a bitch.
This discussion has been closed.