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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Newport West – the first electoral test for the TIGers?
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Newport West – the first electoral test for the TIGers?
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Maybe they should try to raise the money to hold an open primary to choose a candidate for the by-election? (Edit: This idea brought to you thanks to Chris Leslie's comments about it not being democratic for political party members to choose a leader - this implies that a larger electorate should choose the leader/candidates, and consequently a system of primaries)
A centralist is going to be hard to fight, a Momentum backed candidate with an embarrassing twitter feed on the other hand
https://www.southwalesargus.co.uk/news/17387647.ruth-jones-picked-as-labours-mp-candidate-for-the-third-time/
So do Labour go for that date and risk their defeat being the story of the night, or go earlier (April 11th?) and hope no-one notices among all the Brexit news?
But I wouldn't be surprised if they commission some private polling in the constituency just to test the water.
Maybe they could recruit Rhys aka P Xain from Goldie Lookin Chain as their candidate... he's ex-Labour. https://www.southwalesargus.co.uk/news/14705799.goldie-lookin-chains-rhys-hutchings-quits-newports-labour-group/
FPT:
For the Lib Dems, as so often, May's locals are going to be crucial. If they do well (and as they'll be fighting seats last fought on General Election day 2015, they could hardly do worse), it'll put them in a much better position to negotiate with TIG.
A comment made by TM today at PMQ's seems to have been missed in all the noise but she clearly said it is a deal or no brexit.
I would not be at all surprised if the deal falls she will surprise everyone and call a referendum and in one act, defenestrate ERG, and check mate Corbyn
The political climate is highly charged but I do believe these last few days has seen the end of Corbyn becoming PM and if so, he has all been worthwhile
Both main parties seriously in the danger zone now.
Something more like the British European Peoples party would be better!
I am more with the independents anyway than the Tories at the moment. I definitely don't like Corbyn. I can see NO Deal Brexit happening under the Tories and the damage it will do to the economy gathering pace.
...But the truth is that we live in remarkable and fast changing times. The two main parties are both zombified and poisoned. The moment is primed for something to truly shake up the way this country does politics. This could be it.
https://twitter.com/IanDunt/status/1098258121775112193
Hitler was nice to his secretaries. And a vegetarian. That doesn't mean those are bad things just because a bad man approved of them. Stalin helped Kaganovic[sp] improve his literacy. Doesn't mean reading and writing fluently is evil.
The new party may well be a good thing, but The Bad People Being Angry isn't an argument in favour of that.
Far better to discuss policies and ideas than focusing on personal responses.
Come to think of it, it's just as well they don't call themselves New Independent Group.
I think you and Freggles are right - the Tiggers won't stand. They don't have a party, and I think they'll take setting one up quite slowly. But it depends on the polls and the pressure from the public.
https://goo.gl/images/Z6jDST
"But the most wonderful thing about Tiggers
Is I'm the only one...."
And remember, Tiggers bounce!
"First of all, the hon. Gentleman knows there are two ways in which it is possible to ensure that we do not see no deal. One is to stay in the European Union, which is not what the referendum result said, and the other is to agree a deal. What I am working on at the moment is taking the view of this House of Commons about the concerns on the backstop in the deal and working with Brussels to resolve that issue, such that this House will be able to agree a deal."
This is in the context of the question of how to avoid a no deal, where she later challenges Corbyn to say which of the two options is his policy. But she also says later that no deal is made more likely by Labour's opposition to the deal, so I don't think she said what you think she said.
Dunno, you have been a proper mardy bum today, which gives us all great hope.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=umEkJxFsn58
It is the first time I have heard her actually say an option is to stay in the European Union
She also has the benefit of having been in place since January.
Given that, a speedy dropping of the writ might be in order.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Newport_West_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_1980s
Available colours:
Pink
Grey
Black
Brown
This may be instructive about your Tigger - from Wiki:
Tigger "is very confident and has quite an ego, he often thinks of himself as being handsome, and some of his other comments suggest he has a high opinion of himself. Tigger is always filled with great energy and optimism, and though always well-meaning, he can also be mischievous, and his actions have sometimes led to chaos and trouble for himself and his friends. Also, he often undertakes tasks with gusto, only to later realize they were not as easy as he had originally imagined."
More prophetic than you knew?
Although you do get some tigers that are just black and white. Not sure if that's a rare mutation, as per black panthers.
If Spain is ready to block UK visa-less access to Schengen over Gibraltar, what's their price for agreeing to an extension of A50 going to be? It seems to me that an extension to A50 is going to be essential to have enough Parliamentary time to legislate for either of May's WA or a no-deal exit. I have a feeling Remain/Revoke may just have become the only possible end-game. ¡Gracias señores!
Grrrrreat!
I am not persuaded by this.
What we do know is that Williams are late to the party, Renault need to fix a dodgy rear wing and that most cars are pretty reliable.
I assume then, that the constituency chairs will be selecting the conservative candidates for these seats fairly quickly
If a majority of those three are happy in the Tory party then so am I.
Plus I’m prepared to fight the good fight and slay the ERG dragon.
Now if we can get a by in metropolitan London borough or a university city TIG might get the win there...
And what do Tiggers do? Stand, lose with all the above results? To my mind they'd be better off backing one of the candidates coupon fashion.
I get tumescent at the prospect of privatisation.
Their other problem is the SDP had some "names" outside Parliament to stand, and it's not yet clear who those are for the TIGers (Goldie Lookin' Chain are from Newport - has anyone checked out their position on the issues?)
I agree that they do need to meet an electoral test in order not to fizzle, but query whether they will in fact be ready for Newport - because I'd drop the writ pretty sharpish if I were Labour.
Shamima Begum will not be allowed here, says Bangladesh.
Minister of foreign affairs insists 19-year-old does not have dual citizenship
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2019/feb/20/rights-of-shamima-begums-son-not-affected-says-javid?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other
Owen Jones
Aaron Bastaini et al...
Which, I think we can all get behind.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2019-02-11/u-k-will-see-a-recession-in-next-12-months-says-ucl-professor-mazzucato-video
Plenty of time to do all that they're not even a political party yet.
Success in such by elections would also boost the party's claim for reasonable campaign coverage by the Broadcasters - and potential inclusion in Debates etc.However, the original 7 Labour MPs who defected on Monday appeared to indicate they had no intention of recontesting their seats next time.
Years of abuse from the fans of a country that has never won the Webb Ellis trophy has worn me down.
They used to get all sensitive when we sang ‘Land not quite of my fathers’ during the Graham Henry era.
It makes no sense.