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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Why HealthSec Hancock should be factored in as a potential TMa
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Why HealthSec Hancock should be factored in as a potential TMay successor
Over the weekend I’ve been trying to look through other possible contenders for TMay’s job which might become vacant in a matter of weeks or a few months. Who are the dark horses who might be a good punt at long odds?
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https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-46908205
Though it was a first, and the thereafter had the good sense to enagage in remedial study at Cambridge (MPhil).... though there again it was economics.
It’s not 100% accurate, as he did not receive donations from a climate change denier organisation, but instead from one of its backers:
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/apr/10/energy-climate-change-minister-matthew-hancock-donations-climate-sceptic
In other news, the latest reminder of why we’re leaving the EU. I’m sure Dublin in particular will be extatic at this idea....
https://twitter.com/EU_Commission/status/1085185017309876224
Guys: it says far more about you than anything else. It’s not a pleasant sight.
And it’s worth making sure you “win” before you plan the victory parade
I tipped him at 100/1 last year.
http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2018/05/20/a-100-1-tip-to-be-theresa-mays-successor/
I doubt they will be as effective on their own at resisting this change
So you should not make unjustified accusations.
No-one is going to “win”. But I am worried that those who are pushing us towards a No Deal exit are blithely oblivious of the possible consequences, especially for others less able than them to bear them. I need medecine as do members of my family and the consequences of not having it are potentially serious. So when I feel angry about the frivolous disregard for the possible consequences by some Brexiteers I think that we might have better decision-making if those proposing courses of action actually felt the consequences of their decisions.
Aachen’s significance isn’t that “it has changed many times over the centuries”
It was Charlemagne’s capital - King of the Franks, King of the Lombards, Lord of Germania and Holy Roman Emperor.
The last time France and Germany operated in lockstep
It’s a statement of intent by them
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/newsbeat-46918549
It will be interesting to see how the Visegrad nations and Club Med respond to that.
https://www.thesun.co.uk/motors/8241278/motorists-new-car-pollution-tax/
It was these very clauses being used in this way that Eurosceptics warned about back when the Lisbon Treaty was being discussed. Needless to say the Eurofanatics said it couldn't happen.
You should be ashamed of yourself
Believe you me, I have little time for the Tory MPs who are failing to dutifully support their PM in their reckless support of No Deal and I see no need for such language. They will have to own it and explain themselves to their constituents and the country if there are serious consequences.
Plus, you got forgot old people, and Wales.
We’ve already made it clear we will accept any medicine regulated in the EU, agreements have already been made to keep trucks trucking and planes flying in the event of no deal, so how do we run out?
Notwithstanding that we could source from North America or Asia in the short term if it were necessary.
And if there are shortages now then what the hell does that have to do with Brexit? Indeed perhaps we should therefore be welcoming a no Deal if it means the Government take action to deal with any existing shortages.
Macron's new year bounce continues with approval up to 27%, largely as a result of his meet the mayors campaign
http://www.lefigaro.fr/flash-actu/2019/01/20/97001-20190120FILWWW00007-la-cote-de-popularite-de-macron-remonte.php
Come back on here later today when you’ve calmed down.
The problems are the government has appeared incompetent at times and if it has the potential to affect your/families life quite badly then even only a small chance can be scary.
It could depend on your perception but those who maybe had a remain lean to start with and feel the Brexiteers have been shown to have lied about things since (which is the perception of some) they wouldn't feel very reassured when some people say things will be fine.
Something Leavers said wouldn’t happen either.
I've mixed feelings about Rory Stewart-Rory the tory-because though superficially interesting he looks more boffin than leader. He seems such an unlikely 'Lawrence of Arabia' that I can't help wondering whether he borrowed Bear Gryills' CV at Eton.
But I liked my old job but others don’t have the luxury I have.
This may be because there is stockpiling going on further up the delivery chain, or it may be for some other reason. The point is, even if there are no shortages, supply chains start to break down very quickly, so anybody thinking there will be minimal impact from a no-deal Brexit is indulging in wishful thinking, to say the least.
When it comes to things like medicines such reporting is highly irresponsible, even though it might help with swaying opinions and certainly sells newspapers.
It’s a big day for the PM today, unless she has a rabbit up her sleeve that can move 130 MPs to change their mind on her deal, the no-deal preparations have got to clearly step up a gear or two. There’s now less than ten weeks to go until we leave the EU, and the uncertainty is going to cause more disruption that would otherwise be the case due to the lack of time to implement the plans.
Yes, as a last resort we’d be moving medicines on military transport planes if that was what was required. I expect such plans are already well advanced and ready to go at very short notice.
Thats the world we have made Mr Eagles and anyone protesting was told to shut up.
ETA: Hancock's chances probably depend on avoiding the drugs shortage discussed on this thread.
Manipulation and trolling are your raison d’etre. Thankfully, most people are wise to it now so simply ignore you.
On topic, I’m not backing Hancock. I don’t see the leadership characteristics than others seem to feel might be there and I’m not tempted even at these odds.
He’s a competent first lieutenant, but nothing more.
And those cheering for it now won’t be grateful.
The thing about this unedifying spectacle, especially since Theresa May seems to be the worlds greatest political zombie, is the simple banality of all the Tory offerings:
Johnson: Rogue and liar, also lazy and cant keep his trousers on- so obviously current favourite (in a party that previously chose Jeffrey Archer for... well, anything at all really)
Javid: bland and untainted with any opinions, faintly technocrat, otherwise deeply dull
Rudd: better than May, in the same way that Cleethorpes is better than Grimsby.
Hunt: The worlds greatest spoonerism, enough bodies at health to make things tricky
Raab: reminds you of the Maths teacher who thought he was "damn hard" but failed to keep order, even with a blackboard rubber, hard to tell apart from Gavin Williamson except by the extra vowel.
Davis: keeps being found on the streets in his pyjamas and needs to be taken home.
Liddington: a robotic garden gnome
Esther McVey: "the ego has landed", widely thought to keep winged monkeys
Williamson: you could walk in his deepest thoughts, and not get your feet wet.
Rees-Mogg: the face of Conservative future.
The list goes on and on and they are all pretty much dreadful.
Which was nowt to do with Brexit scares.
There was an interesting discussion about the medicine shortage on R5 last week. It has apparently been an increasing problem for a decade. It is not Brexit related but caused by pharmaceutical companies moving supply to countries willing to pay more for certain drugs than the NHS does. It isa real problem for pharmacists who are suddenly finding certain drugs much more expensive to source than the NHS reimbursement.
Just another example of a global market where western countries no longer call the shots.
I get monumentally bored posting I voted Brexit and wanted a soft Brexit and would happily vote for Mrs Ms deal. In your madcap world where everyone is Nigel Farages evil twin there is no room for understanding others positions. But there you go.
Now you openly say the same.
Somewhere between the Wetherspoons spirit, a mass desire to simply get Brexit over with and the mirage of a wronged country fighting for survival, there might lie the key to why no-dealism is suddenly proving more popular than some people would like to imagine. A no-deal exit would confirm that politics has entered the realms of the darkly surreal, and that 23 June 2016 was only the start.
That’s not a bad transport fleet, although as you say they’re not all just sitting at Brize on standby. I’m sure Uncle Sam Donald’s got a few C-5s and a lot of C17s he could loan us in a real emergency, and there’s plenty of idle civvy 747Fs around - maybe even some airworthy ones.
Hmm, got to say, I'm not convinced by Hancock. Lightweight.
Of course, the Conservatives aren't brimming with heavyweights.
People don't want to go there. There are still jobs here for those who won't. And companies don't want to lose their best people - the ones who have that choice of refusing.
But I suspect there'd be another one along almost immediately - and business wouldn't notice the disruption.
https://twitter.com/tseofpb/status/1087263042495234048?s=21
The business portfolio is pretty redundant. We’ve never had anyone in the brief who has any worthwhile experience or done anything worthwhile.
Therefore, Brexit is worth voting for so that the “elite” get a taste of their own medicine.
It’s simple nihilism.