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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Chris Williamson’s odds to succeed Corbyn move from 100/1 to 3

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  • Options
    Scott_P said:

    May reinstated collective responsibility and vetoed any actions by the leavers.

    QED

    Wah, wah, wah, nasty remainer wouldn't let me do it, wah.

    They should have resigned on the spot if that were true (which of course it isn't)
    They did resign ultimately once Chequers was foisted.

    You think it was Davis's idea to agree to the EU's sequencing rather than May's?
  • Options
    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Scott_P said:

    Boris 1 Theresa 0.......

    (although it should be limited to asking those who actually want to Brexit - Remainers might just distort the numbers!)
    https://twitter.com/PickardJE/status/1037064456314839041
    LOL!

    Sounds desperate given Theresa was a "loser" at the general election and she's lost the only proven "winner" (Boris) from her Cabinet....
    Boris is a loser. Did in his words diddly squat at the FO and flounced off in a pathetic gesture.

    Neither of us know how true this statement is but it must be based on his findings and make no bones about it Boris has angered a large number of his fellow conservative mps
    Boris is a proven, three time election winner (two mayoral contests and on the winning side of the referendum)

    Remind me how many elections Theresa's won? The one and only general election she fought as leader saw her blowing a 25% polling lead in four weeks...

    Against Jeremy Corbyn...
    Boris is not a leader in any sense but more importantly he would lose a large number of his fellow conservatives support if he became the leader including several women who consider him to be grotesque. Indeed some have indicated they would resign from the party if he was leader
  • Options
    Scott_P said:

    May reinstated collective responsibility and vetoed any actions by the leavers.

    QED

    Wah, wah, wah, nasty remainer wouldn't let me do it, wah.

    They should have resigned on the spot if that were true (which of course it isn't)
    Makes you wonder why other Leavers like Gove, Fox, Grayling, Leadsom, and Mordaunt haven't resigned?

    Might be Boris and Davis were talking shite

    https://twitter.com/DavidDavisMP/status/735770073822961664
    https://twitter.com/DavidDavisMP/status/695208361625796608

    https://twitter.com/andyrome64/status/898306913611300866
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,835
    Tories need to do a quick swap between David Davis and Theresa May.

    David Davis plan seems to be the only *workable* plan on the table. Theresa and this fool Robbins have been running around in circles and wasting two months on a plan that's not going to fly.

    Time to stop pissing about and get this done!
  • Options
    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,720

    justin124 said:

    DavidL said:

    .

    Didn't it eat the boy?
    It ate the sheep in the version I read, otherwise he couldn't have run down to the village to give the true alarm that was disbelieved. Eating both would fit the analogy well enough. I still think that in another election campaign Corbyn will lose votes from his starting position rather than gaining them as in the last one.
    That is rather a brave forecast. I very much doubt that Corbyn will receive the big boost he enjoyed in 2017 - if only because he appears to be starting from a much higher level of support. Against that , he is in his element when in campaign mode and it is much more likely to be a case of how far his opponents can limit his advance. Moreover, contrary to what many believe , it is very much the 'norm' for the Opposition to move forward during the formal election campaign period.
    I think he will get more critical attention in the MSM as he will now be seen as a prospective PM and a lot of the people who voted for him last time will also now see him as a genuine contender rather than someone they can vote for to reduce the Tory majority. They will pay more attention and start thinking about the implications of a Corbyn government. During the last campaign contradictions were well hidden that will probably be more apparent. The views of many who voted for Corbyn and Corbyn's own views are as wide apart in reality as say labour right wing to Tory right wing.
    File under 'wishful thinking'.

    I am interested in which organisations you think constitutes the MSM. Does it include the Mail, Express, Sun, Telegraph and Times, all of whom hardly gave Corbyn a free pass in GE2017?
    Broadcasters are still the key for swinging things. It may be wishful thinking but you can't deny that almost everyone was expecting a Tory win. Facing the prospect of Corbyn actually becoming PM will sober up some who voted for him last time.
    I agree we were all expecting a Tory win last time and next time will inevitably be different. But if Corbyn's still LOTO at the next GE (personally, I expect him to have retired by then) he will still be a formidable campaigner.

    One factor will be how radical the next Labour manifesto is. I think last time there were enough attactive policies but not any that 'rocked the boat' too much. If the next manifesto is a long way further left it might have some elements that could trip Labour up. Otherwise, a big swathe of the country will think we've had long enough of ineffective Tory government (imo).
  • Options
    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Scott_P said:

    Boris 1 Theresa 0.......

    (although it should be limited to asking those who actually want to Brexit - Remainers might just distort the numbers!)
    https://twitter.com/PickardJE/status/1037064456314839041
    LOL!

    Sounds desperate given Theresa was a "loser" at the general election and she's lost the only proven "winner" (Boris) from her Cabinet....
    Boris is a loser. Did in his words diddly squat at the FO and flounced off in a pathetic gesture.

    Neither of us know how true this statement is but it must be based on his findings and make no bones about it Boris has angered a large number of his fellow conservative mps
    Boris is a proven, three time election winner (two mayoral contests and on the winning side of the referendum)

    Remind me how many elections Theresa's won? The one and only general election she fought as leader saw her blowing a 25% polling lead in four weeks...

    Against Jeremy Corbyn...
    Well of course Corbyn won :lol:

    https://twitter.com/Sunil_P2/status/876894066478329857
  • Options

    Just to be clear, I didn’t say the Vote Leave mandate was undeliverable. Only that Leavers should get behind a pragmatic negotiated Brexit so we can secure it and move on.

    I agree with Robert Smithson that Brexit is a (long term) process. The Treaty of Rome wasn’t unbuilt in a day.

    Yeah, sorry I should have been clearer.

    Brexit should be a process and not an event, I'm surprised more people don't remind people that when we joined we had seven years of transition.
  • Options
    GIN1138 said:

    Tories need to do a quick swap between David Davis and Theresa May.

    David Davis plan seems to be the only *workable* plan on the table. Theresa and this fool Robbins have been running around in circles and wasting two months on a plan that's not going to fly.

    Time to stop pissing about and get this done!
    You know that is not going to happen
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,835
    edited September 2018

    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Scott_P said:

    Boris 1 Theresa 0.......

    (although it should be limited to asking those who actually want to Brexit - Remainers might just distort the numbers!)
    https://twitter.com/PickardJE/status/1037064456314839041
    LOL!

    Sounds desperate given Theresa was a "loser" at the general election and she's lost the only proven "winner" (Boris) from her Cabinet....
    Boris is a loser. Did in his words diddly squat at the FO and flounced off in a pathetic gesture.

    Neither of us know how true this statement is but it must be based on his findings and make no bones about it Boris has angered a large number of his fellow conservative mps
    Boris is a proven, three time election winner (two mayoral contests and on the winning side of the referendum)

    Remind me how many elections Theresa's won? The one and only general election she fought as leader saw her blowing a 25% polling lead in four weeks...

    Against Jeremy Corbyn...
    Boris is not a leader in any sense but more importantly he would lose a large number of his fellow conservatives support if he became the leader including several women who consider him to be grotesque. Indeed some have indicated they would resign from the party if he was leader
    I'm not advocating Boris as leader (I think it should be Davis) but just pointing out Theresa May and her acolytes bringing up "winners" and "losers" in light of her blowing a 25% poll lead in four weeks probably isn't really a terribly good idea....
  • Options
    justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527

    justin124 said:

    justin124 said:

    DavidL said:

    Didn't it eat the boy?
    It ate the sheep in the version I read, otherwise he couldn't have run down to the village to give the true alarm that was disbelieved. Eating both would fit the analogy well enough. I still think that in another election campaign Corbyn will lose votes from his starting position rather than gaining them as in the last one.
    That is rather a brave forecast. I very much doubt that Corbyn will receive the big boost he enjoyed in 2017 - if only because he appears to be starting from a much higher level of support. Against that , he is in his element when in campaign mode and it is much more likely to be a case of how far his opponents can limit his advance. Moreover, contrary to what many believe , it is very much the 'norm' for the Opposition to move forward during the formal election campaign period.
    I think he will get more critical attention in the MSM as he will now be seen as a prospective PM and a lot of the people who voted for him last time will also now see him as a genuine contender rather than someone they can vote for to reduce the Tory majority. They will pay more attention and start thinking about the implications of a Corbyn government. During the last campaign contradictions were well hidden that will probably be more apparent. The views of many who voted for Corbyn and Corbyn's own views are as wide apart in reality as say labour right wing to Tory right wing.
    File under 'wishful thinking'.

    I am interested in which organisations you think constitutes the MSM. Does it include the Mail, Express, Sun, Telegraph and Times, all of whom hardly gave Corbyn a free pass in GE2017?
    Broadcasters are still the key for swinging things. It may be wishful thinking but you can't deny that almost everyone was expecting a Tory win. Facing the prospect of Corbyn actually becoming PM will sober up some who voted for him last time.
    In the last ten days of the 2017 campaign there were quite a few polls which pointed to the serious possibility of a Hung Parliament - particularly in the context of the Tory surge in Scotland which implied underperformance elsewhere in GB. Some of us did point this out at the time.
    True but I'm pretty certain that the vast majority of voters cast their vote on the expectation of a Tory majority.
    Well there were several Tories on here expressing doubts in the closing days of the campaign - David Herdson and Big _G come to mind!
  • Options
    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Scott_P said:

    Boris 1 Theresa 0.......

    (although it should be limited to asking those who actually want to Brexit - Remainers might just distort the numbers!)
    https://twitter.com/PickardJE/status/1037064456314839041
    LOL!

    Sounds desperate given Theresa was a "loser" at the general election and she's lost the only proven "winner" (Boris) from her Cabinet....
    Boris is a loser. Did in his words diddly squat at the FO and flounced off in a pathetic gesture.

    Neither of us know how true this statement is but it must be based on his findings and make no bones about it Boris has angered a large number of his fellow conservative mps
    Boris is a proven, three time election winner (two mayoral contests and on the winning side of the referendum)

    Remind me how many elections Theresa's won? The one and only general election she fought as leader saw her blowing a 25% polling lead in four weeks...

    Against Jeremy Corbyn...
    Boris is not a leader in any sense but more importantly he would lose a large number of his fellow conservatives support if he became the leader including several women who consider him to be grotesque. Indeed some have indicated they would resign from the party if he was leader
    I'm not advocating Boris as leader (I think it should be Davis) but just pointing out Theresa May and her acolytes bringing up "winners" and "losers" in light of her blowing a 25% poll lead in four weeks probably isn't really a terribly good idea....
    You may well be surprised yet with TM yet

    Certainly it is too late to change the leader. You do know how long that takes I assume
  • Options
    The text says he’s getting Shankar Singham from the IEA to write an alternative Brexit plan...
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    You think it was Davis's idea to agree to the EU's sequencing rather than May's?

    Why didn't he resign the day it was announced?
  • Options
    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,720

    Yorkcity said:

    JWisemann said:

    Charles said:

    You are conflating 2 questions:

    (1) in a forced choice (for simplicity) between Corbyn’s Labour and the Tories how do you vote?

    and

    (2) should I, as an activist, work to get a anti-Semite to the position of PM or should I work to offer a decent, healthy alternative to the Tories?

    I’m saddened by you @RochdalePioneers. I think you're a decent honourable man. But you are making the wrong choice and justifying evil
    Christ. Imagine how demented and divorced from reality (even for an inbred upper class twit) you'd have to be to say things like that with a straight face and actually believe them.

    I don't think that the PB Tories realise that by being so absolutely mendaciously and ostentatiously mad like this they are actually more likely to drive the genuine labour right-wingers back into the fold.
    Very true, the PB Tories , are in full hyperbole mode, to discredit every Labour supporter .
    That is not fair. I have written several posts supporting RochdalePioneers and other labour supporters who are genuinely conflicted.

    However, I make no apology for calling out Corbyn and the company he choses, his anti west, anti NATO, anti capitalism, pro Hamas, IRA, and Iran and an apologist for Putin's use of a nerve agent on the streets of Salisbury
    When did Corbyn apologise for Putin's use of nerve agent in Salisbury Big_G?
    He failed to condemn Putin and was widely attacked over it.

    See the recent nerve agent attack was the same nerve agent used on the Skipals according to the OPCW today
    He did not apologise for Putin, rather he called for a measured, considered response (in stark contrast to our Defence Secretary).
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/mar/15/salisbury-attack-conflict-britain-cold-war
    As it happens, the Government has quietly followed Corbyn's recommended approach.

    As for the confirmation that the recent murder was caused by the same agent, who ever doubted it and what's that got to do with Corbyn's response?
    That last comment was just informative and nothing to do with Corbyn obviously
    Only having a bit of fun Big_G! Tbf in your post that sparked my reaction you said Corbyn is "anti west, anti NATO, anti capitalism, pro Hamas, IRA, and Iran and an apologist for Putin's use of a nerve agent on the streets of Salisbury"

    The last point was the only one I could argue against, so I did! :wink:
  • Options
    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    Jonathan said:

    Charles said:

    Roger said:

    Charles said:

    Very very few people get the opportunity to vote for what they want. For a candidate who is perfect. For a party offering a flawless manifesto. For a leader who inspires and becalms. Its all shades of grey. So regardless of the wazzocks surrounding Jeremy Corbyn people wanting a Labour government will still vote Labour. Because the alternative is a Tory government.

    Fed up trapped in insecure tenancies with dodgy landlords. Should they vote Tory because Jeremy Corbyn?
    Working all the hours God sends and still barely able to pay bills. Should they vote Tory because Jeremy Corbyn?
    The decimation of local government, the cuts to the NHS and Adult Social Care, driving the disabled to die in abject poverty - do none of these count because of anti-semitism?

    Of will most voters continue to do as they do - vote on the issues that affect them. And not vote to make themselves continue to suffer just because a Tory tells them they are immoral.

    You are conflating 2 questions:

    (1) in a forced choice (for simplicity) between Corbyn’s Labour and the Tories how do you vote?

    and

    (2) should I, as an activist, work to get a anti-Semite to the position of PM or should I work to offer a decent, healthy alternative to the Tories?

    I’m saddened by you @RochdalePioneers. I think you're a decent honourable man. But you are making the wrong choice and justifying evil
    A somewhat over-inflated use of the word 'evil'! Always worth keeping something in the tank in case Charles Manson should happen to pass by
    I believe Jeremy Corbyn is evil.
    Why?
    For me it was the whole Tunisian grave thing. Up to that point I was going with the idiot/fool thing. I still think he’s a passive anti-Semitist than an active one (to the extent that distinction matters) but he hangs out with active murderers who never recanted.

    The difference with the PIRA is (as far as I know) he only met the leaders of Sinn Fein rather than active PIRA members. A fine distinction, I know, but I think he’s let his hatred for all things American lead him selves into very murky water.
  • Options
    Scott_P said:

    You think it was Davis's idea to agree to the EU's sequencing rather than May's?

    Why didn't he resign the day it was announced?
    Probably because he (rather naively in hindsight) thought he'd be able to influence proceedings from inside Cabinet. That his role meant something.

    After Chequers showed that not to be the case, he quit.
  • Options
    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Scott_P said:

    Boris 1 Theresa 0.......

    (although it should be limited to asking those who actually want to Brexit - Remainers might just distort the numbers!)
    https://twitter.com/PickardJE/status/1037064456314839041
    LOL!

    Sounds desperate given Theresa was a "loser" at the general election and she's lost the only proven "winner" (Boris) from her Cabinet....
    Boris is a loser. Did in his words diddly squat at the FO and flounced off in a pathetic gesture.

    Neither of us know how true this statement is but it must be based on his findings and make no bones about it Boris has angered a large number of his fellow conservative mps
    Boris is a proven, three time election winner (two mayoral contests and on the winning side of the referendum)

    Remind me how many elections Theresa's won? The one and only general election she fought as leader saw her blowing a 25% polling lead in four weeks...

    Against Jeremy Corbyn...
    Boris is not a leader in any sense but more importantly he would lose a large number of his fellow conservatives support if he became the leader including several women who consider him to be grotesque. Indeed some have indicated they would resign from the party if he was leader
    I'm not advocating Boris as leader (I think it should be Davis) but just pointing out Theresa May and her acolytes bringing up "winners" and "losers" in light of her blowing a 25% poll lead in four weeks probably isn't really a terribly good idea....
    https://twitter.com/Sunil_P2/status/876894066478329857
  • Options
    TomsToms Posts: 2,478
    Final random thought before I go off to nurse my wretched cold:

    Trump appears to me to be serially comitting the mistake that is anathema for capitalism.
    He seems to be trying to micromanage the USA.

    The strain must be terrible.
  • Options

    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Scott_P said:

    Boris 1 Theresa 0.......

    (although it should be limited to asking those who actually want to Brexit - Remainers might just distort the numbers!)
    https://twitter.com/PickardJE/status/1037064456314839041
    LOL!

    Sounds desperate given Theresa was a "loser" at the general election and she's lost the only proven "winner" (Boris) from her Cabinet....
    Boris is a loser. Did in his words diddly squat at the FO and flounced off in a pathetic gesture.

    Neither of us know how true this statement is but it must be based on his findings and make no bones about it Boris has angered a large number of his fellow conservative mps
    Boris is a proven, three time election winner (two mayoral contests and on the winning side of the referendum)

    Remind me how many elections Theresa's won? The one and only general election she fought as leader saw her blowing a 25% polling lead in four weeks...

    Against Jeremy Corbyn...
    Boris is not a leader in any sense but more importantly he would lose a large number of his fellow conservatives support if he became the leader including several women who consider him to be grotesque. Indeed some have indicated they would resign from the party if he was leader
    I'm not advocating Boris as leader (I think it should be Davis) but just pointing out Theresa May and her acolytes bringing up "winners" and "losers" in light of her blowing a 25% poll lead in four weeks probably isn't really a terribly good idea....
    You may well be surprised yet with TM yet

    Certainly it is too late to change the leader. You do know how long that takes I assume
    It depends.
  • Options
    brendan16 said:

    'Is one problem with a Canada type deal that Canada is not geographically in Europe? Does all trade, commerce, business occur purely independent from geography? Or is there something fundamental fusing commerce and geography that has been there since the word dot, that is not of but in spite of the hideous EU superstate that came along and we took dislike to?'

    Interestingly last week the Canadian conservatives decided to include a commitment to a free trade deal and freedom of movement - including reciprocal healthcare agreements - for workers and retirees with the UK, Australia and NZ in their 2019 election manifesto. Clearly they don't see distance as a barrier but a common language and culture and shared legal and political systems as being as important.

    I doubt it will go anywhere - although the Canadian Tories have closed on Trudeau's Liberals in the polls - but wouldn't it be nice if Brits had freedom of movement with countries they actually wanted to move to?!

    http://dailyhive.com/vancouver/conservatives-back-free-movement-canada-uk-australia-new-zealand-2018


    Little known fact: after the US, France is Canada's next nearest neighbour.
  • Options
    justin124 said:

    justin124 said:

    justin124 said:

    DavidL said:

    Didn't it eat the boy?
    It ate the sheep in the version I read, otherwise he couldn't have run down to the village to give the true alarm that was disbelieved. Eating both would fit the analogy well enough. I still think that in another election campaign Corbyn will lose votes from his starting position rather than gaining them as in the last one.
    That is rather a brave forecast. I very much doubt that Corbyn will receive the big boost he enjoyed in 2017 - if only because he appears to be starting from a much higher level of support. Against that , he is in his element when in campaign mode and it is much more likely to be a case of how far his opponents can limit his advance. Moreover, contrary to what many believe , it is very much the 'norm' for the Opposition to move forward during the formal election campaign period.
    .

    File under 'wishful thinking'.

    I am interested in which organisations you think constitutes the MSM. Does it include the Mail, Express, Sun, Telegraph and Times, all of whom hardly gave Corbyn a free pass in GE2017?
    Broadcasters are still the key for swinging things. It may be wishful thinking but you can't deny that almost everyone was expecting a Tory win. Facing the prospect of Corbyn actually becoming PM will sober up some who voted for him last time.
    In the last ten days of the 2017 campaign there were quite a few polls which pointed to the serious possibility of a Hung Parliament - particularly in the context of the Tory surge in Scotland which implied underperformance elsewhere in GB. Some of us did point this out at the time.
    True but I'm pretty certain that the vast majority of voters cast their vote on the expectation of a Tory majority.
    Well there were several Tories on here expressing doubts in the closing days of the campaign - David Herdson and Big _G come to mind!
    It was David that allerted me initially but it was my intuition that made me very worried on election night. I knew something was not right
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,835
    edited September 2018

    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Scott_P said:

    Boris 1 Theresa 0.......

    (although it should be limited to asking those who actually want to Brexit - Remainers might just distort the numbers!)
    https://twitter.com/PickardJE/status/1037064456314839041
    LOL!

    Sounds desperate given Theresa was a "loser" at the general election and she's lost the only proven "winner" (Boris) from her Cabinet....
    Boris is a loser. Did in his words diddly squat at the FO and flounced off in a pathetic gesture.

    Neither of us know how true this statement is but it must be based on his findings and make no bones about it Boris has angered a large number of his fellow conservative mps
    Boris is a proven, three time election winner (two mayoral contests and on the winning side of the referendum)

    Remind me how many elections Theresa's won? The one and only general election she fought as leader saw her blowing a 25% polling lead in four weeks...

    Against Jeremy Corbyn...
    Boris is not a leader in any sense but more importantly he would lose a large number of his fellow conservatives support if he became the leader including several women who consider him to be grotesque. Indeed some have indicated they would resign from the party if he was leader
    I'm not advocating Boris as leader (I think it should be Davis) but just pointing out Theresa May and her acolytes bringing up "winners" and "losers" in light of her blowing a 25% poll lead in four weeks probably isn't really a terribly good idea....
    You may well be surprised yet with TM yet

    Certainly it is too late to change the leader. You do know how long that takes I assume
    If the parliamentary party agrees on one candidate it could be done in an afternoon?

    Bottom line, Therea's put all her eggs in Chequers (and it looks DOA) while Davis seems to have a plan that might actually work.

    Lets just stop all the hand wringing and get on with it.
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    Probably because he (rather naively in hindsight) thought he'd be able to influence proceedings from inside Cabinet. That his role meant something.

    So he was quite happy with May vetoing things.

    Got it.
  • Options
    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    justin124 said:

    Charles said:

    Roger said:

    Charles said:

    Very very few people get the opportunity to vote for what they want. For a candidate who is perfect. For a party offering a flawless manifesto. For a leader who inspires and becalms. Its all shades of grey. So regardless of the wazzocks surrounding Jeremy Corbyn people wanting a Labour government will still vote Labour. Because the alternative is a Tory government.

    Fed up trapped in insecure tenancies with dodgy landlords. Should they vote Tory because Jeremy Corbyn?
    Working all the hours God sends and still barely able to pay bills. Should they vote Tory because Jeremy Corbyn?
    The decimation of local government, the cuts to the NHS and Adult Social Care, driving the disabled to die in abject poverty - do none of these count because of anti-semitism?

    Of will most voters continue to do as they do - vote on the issues that affect them. And not vote to make themselves continue to suffer just because a Tory tells them they are immoral.

    You are conflating 2 questions:

    (1) in a forced choice (for simplicity) between Corbyn’s Labour and the Tories how do you vote?

    and

    (2) should I, as an activist, work to get a anti-Semite to the position of PM or should I work to offer a decent, healthy alternative to the Tories?

    I’m saddened by you @RochdalePioneers. I think you're a decent honourable man. But you are making the wrong choice and justifying evil
    A somewhat over-inflated use of the word 'evil'! Always worth keeping something in the tank in case Charles Manson should happen to pass by
    I believe Jeremy Corbyn is evil. That’s not a word I use lightly. Anti-Semitism is also evil.
    I and many others thought Thatcher to be evil. Ditto Blair post- Iraq.
    These a difference between policy decisions which you can vehemently disagree with and hanging out with the murderers of innocent men, women and children.

    (And, before you go there, I do not - and will - equate the unfortunately loss of civilian lives in war with the deliberate targeting of innocents such as at Munich)
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,130

    brendan16 said:

    'Is one problem with a Canada type deal that Canada is not geographically in Europe? Does all trade, commerce, business occur purely independent from geography? Or is there something fundamental fusing commerce and geography that has been there since the word dot, that is not of but in spite of the hideous EU superstate that came along and we took dislike to?'
    Interestingly last week the Canadian conservatives decided to include a commitment to a free trade deal and freedom of movement - including reciprocal healthcare agreements - for workers and retirees with the UK, Australia and NZ in their 2019 election manifesto. Clearly they don't see distance as a barrier but a common language and culture and shared legal and political systems as being as important.

    I doubt it will go anywhere - although the Canadian Tories have closed on Trudeau's Liberals in the polls - but wouldn't it be nice if Brits had freedom of movement with countries they actually wanted to move to?!

    http://dailyhive.com/vancouver/conservatives-back-free-movement-canada-uk-australia-new-zealand-2018


    Little known fact: after the US, France is Canada's next nearest neighbour.

    Not Iceland?
  • Options
    Scott_P said:

    Probably because he (rather naively in hindsight) thought he'd be able to influence proceedings from inside Cabinet. That his role meant something.

    So he was quite happy with May vetoing things.

    Got it.
    Didn't say that. He was probably unhappy with May vetoing things but relunctantly concluded that staying with her doing so was better than walking. People can put up with a lot that they don't like before walking.
  • Options
    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    DavidL said:

    FF43 said:

    I have just discovered there's a outfit called Genghis Khan Airlines based out of Hohhot in Inner Mongolia. And people will complain about Ryanair !

    http://m.atwonline.com/aircraft-orders-deliveries/new-chinese-regional-startup-orders-arj21s

    Probably not an airline to go over your luggage allowance with.
    On that basis, I think it's a toss up (death penalty?) between GKA and Iran Air.
    I’m still intrigued by the difference in penalties between the doer and the recipient under Iranian law
  • Options
    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Scott_P said:

    Boris 1 Theresa 0.......

    (although it should be limited to asking those who actually want to Brexit - Remainers might just distort the numbers!)
    https://twitter.com/PickardJE/status/1037064456314839041
    LOL!

    Sounds desperate given Theresa was a "loser" at the general election and she's lost the only proven "winner" (Boris) from her Cabinet....
    Boris is a loser. Did in his words diddly squat at the FO and flounced off in a pathetic gesture.

    Neither of us know how true this statement is but it must be based on his findings and make no bones about it Boris has angered a large number of his fellow conservative mps
    Boris is a proven, three time election winner (two mayoral contests and on the winning side of the referendum)

    Remind me how many elections Theresa's won? The one and only general election she fought as leader saw her blowing a 25% polling lead in four weeks...

    Against Jeremy Corbyn...
    Boris is not a leader in any sense but more importantly he would lose a large number of his fellow conservatives support if he became the leader including several women who consider him to be grotesque. Indeed some have indicated they would resign from the party if he was leader
    I'm not advocating Boris as leader (I think it should be Davis) but just pointing out Theresa May and her acolytes bringing up "winners" and "losers" in light of her blowing a 25% poll lead in four weeks probably isn't really a terribly good idea....
    You may well be surprised yet with TM yet

    Certainly it is too late to change the leader. You do know how long that takes I assume
    If the parliamentary party agrees on one candidate it could be done in an afternoon?

    Bottom line, Therea's put all her eggs in Chequers (and it looks DOA) while David seems to have a plan that might actually work.

    Lets just stop all the hand wringing and get on with it.
    That will not happen and the membership would be incandescent with anger

    Also neither Boris or Davis would have a chance of uniting the party
  • Options
    NemtynakhtNemtynakht Posts: 2,311

    justin124 said:

    DavidL said:

    I think many voters sympathetic to Labour haven't paid a great deal of attention and start with the presumption that the leader of a major British party can't really be an extremist nut job. Labour is a powerful brand.They are also skeptical about claims of racism given that they are bandied about freely these days with rules that change daily and which nobody really understands. There is also the "boy who cried wolf" syndrome. I will remind everyone that the wolf did indeed arrive and eat the flock.

    Didn't it eat the boy?
    It ate the sheep in the version I read, otherwise he couldn't have run down to the village to give the true alarm that was disbelieved. Eating both would fit the analogy well enough. I still think that in another election campaign Corbyn will lose votes from his starting position rather than gaining them as in the last one.
    That is rather a brave forecast. I very much doubt that Corbyn will receive the big boost he enjoyed in 2017 - if only because he appears to be starting from a much higher level of support. Against that , he is in his element when in campaign mode and it is much more likely to be a case of how far his opponents can limit his advance. Moreover, contrary to what many believe , it is very much the 'norm' for the Opposition to move forward during the formal election campaign period.
    I think he will get more critical attention in the MSM as he will now be seen as a prospective PM and a lot of the people who voted for him last time will also now see him as a genuine contender rather than someone they can vote for to reduce the Tory majority. They will pay more attention and start thinking about the implications of a Corbyn government. During the last campaign contradictions were well hidden that will probably be more apparent. The views of many who voted for Corbyn and Corbyn's own views are as wide apart in reality as say labour right wing to Tory right wing.
    File under 'wishful thinking'.

    I am interested in which organisations you think constitutes the MSM. Does it include the Mail, Express, Sun, Telegraph and Times, all of whom hardly gave Corbyn a free pass in GE2017?
    Media in this country = BBC. Most people get their news from the BBC news or website. The BBC did not really give Corbyn a hard time, and in fact gave lot of positive press as he performed better than the low expectations
  • Options

    brendan16 said:

    'Is one problem with a Canada type deal that Canada is not geographically in Europe? Does all trade, commerce, business occur purely independent from geography? Or is there something fundamental fusing commerce and geography that has been there since the word dot, that is not of but in spite of the hideous EU superstate that came along and we took dislike to?'
    Interestingly last week the Canadian conservatives decided to include a commitment to a free trade deal and freedom of movement - including reciprocal healthcare agreements - for workers and retirees with the UK, Australia and NZ in their 2019 election manifesto. Clearly they don't see distance as a barrier but a common language and culture and shared legal and political systems as being as important.

    I doubt it will go anywhere - although the Canadian Tories have closed on Trudeau's Liberals in the polls - but wouldn't it be nice if Brits had freedom of movement with countries they actually wanted to move to?!

    http://dailyhive.com/vancouver/conservatives-back-free-movement-canada-uk-australia-new-zealand-2018
    Little known fact: after the US, France is Canada's next nearest neighbour.

    Not Iceland?

    Not Iceland, not Greenland, not Russia. France.


    Well, a couple of islands just off the east coast of Canada that are technically part of France.

    Night night.
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    relunctantly concluded that staying with her doing so was better than walking.

    Wah, wah, wah, nasty remainer wouldn't let me do it, wah.

    Yes, you have proved the point. Again.
  • Options
    justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527
    edited September 2018
    Charles said:

    justin124 said:

    Charles said:

    Roger said:

    Charles said:

    Very very few people get the opportunity to vote for what they want. For a candidate who is perfect. For a party offering a flawless manifesto. For a leader who inspires and becalms. Its all shades of grey. So regardless of the wazzocks surrounding Jeremy Corbyn people wanting a Labour government will still vote Labour. Because the alternative is a Tory government.

    Fed up trapped in insecure tenancies with dodgy landlords. Should they vote Tory because Jeremy Corbyn?
    Working all the hours God sends and still barely able to pay bills. Should they vote Tory because Jeremy Corbyn?
    The decimation of local government, the cuts to the NHS and Adult Social Care, driving the disabled to die in abject poverty - do none of these count because of anti-semitism?

    Of will most voters continue to do as they do - vote on the issues that affect them. And not vote to make themselves continue to suffer just because a Tory tells them they are immoral.

    You are conflating 2 questions:

    (1) in a forced choice (for simplicity) between Corbyn’s Labour and the Tories how do you vote?

    and

    (2) should I, as an activist, work to get a anti-Semite to the position of PM or should I work to offer a decent, healthy alternative to the Tories?

    I’m saddened by you @RochdalePioneers. I think you're a decent honourable man. But you are making the wrong choice and justifying evil
    A somewhat over-inflated use of the word 'evil'! Always worth keeping something in the tank in case Charles Manson should happen to pass by
    I believe Jeremy Corbyn is evil. That’s not a word I use lightly. Anti-Semitism is also evil.
    I and many others thought Thatcher to be evil. Ditto Blair post- Iraq.
    These a difference between policy decisions which you can vehemently disagree with and hanging out with the murderers of innocent men, women and children.

    (And, before you go there, I do not - and will - equate the unfortunately loss of civilian lives in war with the deliberate targeting of innocents such as at Munich)
    Not for one moment do I believe that Corbyn approved of what happened in Munich in 1972 - and I believe he has said so.
    Moreover, there was no declaration of war by Blair in 2003 - many view it as a massive terrorist operation ordered by a pair of criminals.
  • Options
    Scott_P said:

    relunctantly concluded that staying with her doing so was better than walking.

    Wah, wah, wah, nasty remainer wouldn't let me do it, wah.

    Yes, you have proved the point. Again.
    Yes May is a remainer. That's not news.
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,525
    edited September 2018

    Scott_P said:

    relunctantly concluded that staying with her doing so was better than walking.

    Wah, wah, wah, nasty remainer wouldn't let me do it, wah.

    Yes, you have proved the point. Again.
    Yes May is a remainer. That's not news.
    Yet you ignore all the fantasy bullpoop David Davis was spouting.
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,130

    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Scott_P said:

    Boris 1 Theresa 0.......

    (although it should be limited to asking those who actually want to Brexit - Remainers might just distort the numbers!)
    https://twitter.com/PickardJE/status/1037064456314839041
    LOL!

    Sounds desperate given Theresa was a "loser" at the general election and she's lost the only proven "winner" (Boris) from her Cabinet....
    Boris is a loser. Did in his words diddly squat at the FO and flounced off in a pathetic gesture.

    Neither of us know how true this statement is but it must be based on his findings and make no bones about it Boris has angered a large number of his fellow conservative mps
    Boris is a proven, three time election winner (two mayoral contests and on the winning side of the referendum)

    Remind me how many elections Theresa's won? The one and only general election she fought as leader saw her blowing a 25% polling lead in four weeks...

    Against Jeremy Corbyn...
    Boris is not a leader in any sense but more importantly he would lose a large number of his fellow conservatives support if he became the leader including several women who consider him to be grotesque. Indeed some have indicated they would resign from the party if he was leader
    I'm not advocating Boris as leader (I think it should be Davis) but just pointing out Theresa May and her acolytes bringing up "winners" and "losers" in light of her blowing a 25% poll lead in four weeks probably isn't really a terribly good idea....
    You may well be surprised yet with TM yet

    Certainly it is too late to change the leader. You do know how long that takes I assume
    If he says he take the job for a couple of years only? Those who want Brexit + those who don't want Boris - that pretty much gets you to a coronation.....
  • Options
    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,720

    justin124 said:

    DavidL said:

    I think many voters sympathetic to Labour haven't paid a great deal of attention and start with the presumption that the leader of a major British party can't really be an extremist nut job. Labour is a powerful brand.They are also skeptical about claims of racism given that they are bandied about freely these days with rules that change daily and which nobody really understands. There is also the "boy who cried wolf" syndrome. I will remind everyone that the wolf did indeed arrive and eat the flock.

    Didn't it eat the boy?
    It ate the sheep in the version I read, otherwise he couldn't have run down to the village to give the true alarm that was disbelieved. Eating both would fit the analogy well enough. I still think that in another election campaign Corbyn will lose votes from his starting position rather than gaining them as in the last one.
    That is rather a brave forecast. I very much doubt that Corbyn will receive the big boost he enjoyed in 2017 - if only because he appears to be starting from a much higher level of support. Against that , he is in his element when in campaign mode and it is much more likely to be a case of how far his opponents can limit his advance. Moreover, contrary to what many believe , it is very much the 'norm' for the Opposition to move forward during the formal election campaign period.
    I think he will get more critical attention in the MSM as he will now be seen as a prospective PM and a lot of the people who voted for him last time will also now see him as a genuine contender rather than someone they can vote for to reduce the Tory majority. They will pay more attention and start thinking about the implications of a Corbyn government. During the last campaign contradictions were well hidden that will probably be more apparent. The views of many who voted for Corbyn and Corbyn's own views are as wide apart in reality as say labour right wing to Tory right wing.
    File under 'wishful thinking'.

    I am interested in which organisations you think constitutes the MSM. Does it include the Mail, Express, Sun, Telegraph and Times, all of whom hardly gave Corbyn a free pass in GE2017?
    Media in this country = BBC. Most people get their news from the BBC news or website. The BBC did not really give Corbyn a hard time, and in fact gave lot of positive press as he performed better than the low expectations
    So what makes you or @NorthofStoke think it will be different next time?
  • Options
    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,359
    edited September 2018



    Not Iceland?

    Saint Pierre et Miquelon are two French islands off the coast of Newfoundland
  • Options
    I think there are far more important issues than protecting multi millonaire footballers and their clubs
  • Options
    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,720
    edited September 2018

    Pah! Can I please have a Brexit exemption on the basis I've never wanted to leave? :smile:
  • Options
    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Scott_P said:

    Boris 1 Theresa 0.......

    (although it should be limited to asking those who actually want to Brexit - Remainers might just distort the numbers!)
    https://twitter.com/PickardJE/status/1037064456314839041
    LOL!

    Sounds desperate given Theresa was a "loser" at the general election and she's lost the only proven "winner" (Boris) from her Cabinet....
    Boris is a loser. Did in his words diddly squat at the FO and flounced off in a pathetic gesture.

    Neither of us know how true this statement is but it must be based on his findings and make no bones about it Boris has angered a large number of his fellow conservative mps
    Boris is a proven, three time election winner (two mayoral contests and on the winning side of the referendum)

    Remind me how many elections Theresa's won? The one and only general election she fought as leader saw her blowing a 25% polling lead in four weeks...

    Against Jeremy Corbyn...
    Boris is not a leader in any sense but more importantly he would lose a large number of his fellow conservatives support if he became the leader including several women who consider him to be grotesque. Indeed some have indicated they would resign from the party if he was leader
    I'm not advocating Boris as leader (I think it should be Davis) but just pointing out Theresa May and her acolytes bringing up "winners" and "losers" in light of her blowing a 25% poll lead in four weeks probably isn't really a terribly good idea....
    It was her 25% lead. The Tories were ahead by low single figures when Cameron resigned.

    But Boris would be a rotten leader because he's nothing more than hot air. Spouting off at conference or writing for the Telegraph is easy enough for him but it's a different thing actually running a government. Running London may well have been beyond him and one of his principle roles there was as a cheerleader for the city, which is something he was well suited to.
  • Options

    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Scott_P said:

    Boris 1 Theresa 0.......

    (although it should be limited to asking those who actually want to Brexit - Remainers might just distort the numbers!)
    https://twitter.com/PickardJE/status/1037064456314839041
    LOL!

    Sounds desperate given Theresa was a "loser" at the general election and she's lost the only proven "winner" (Boris) from her Cabinet....
    Boris is a loser. Did in his words diddly squat at the FO and flounced off in a pathetic gesture.

    Neither of us know how true this statement is but it must be based on his findings and make no bones about it Boris has angered a large number of his fellow conservative mps
    Boris is a proven, three time election winner (two mayoral contests and on the winning side of the referendum)

    Remind me how many elections Theresa's won? The one and only general election she fought as leader saw her blowing a 25% polling lead in four weeks...

    Against Jeremy Corbyn...
    Boris is not a leader in any sense but more importantly he would lose a large number of his fellow conservatives support if he became the leader including several women who consider him to be grotesque. Indeed some have indicated they would resign from the party if he was leader
    I'm not advocating Boris as leader (I think it should be Davis) but just pointing out Theresa May and her acolytes bringing up "winners" and "losers" in light of her blowing a 25% poll lead in four weeks probably isn't really a terribly good idea....
    You may well be surprised yet with TM yet

    Certainly it is too late to change the leader. You do know how long that takes I assume
    If he says he take the job for a couple of years only? Those who want Brexit + those who don't want Boris - that pretty much gets you to a coronation.....
    Not a chance
  • Options
    brendan16brendan16 Posts: 2,315
    edited September 2018



    Not Iceland?

    Saint Pierre et Miquelon are two French islands off the coast of Newfoundland
    Yes - it's a French overseas collective territory. Part of what was called New France.

    It only has about 5000 residents though.

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Saint_Pierre_and_Miquelon
  • Options

    justin124 said:

    DavidL said:

    I think many voters sympathetic to Labour haven't paid a great deal of attention and start with the presumption that the leader of a major British party can't really be an extremist nut job. Labour is a powerful brand.They are also skeptical about claims of racism given that they are bandied about freely these days with rules that change daily and which nobody really understands. There is also the "boy who cried wolf" syndrome. I will remind everyone that the wolf did indeed arrive and eat the flock.

    Didn't it eat the boy?
    It ate the sheep in the version I read, otherwise he couldn't have run down to the village to give the true alarm that was disbelieved. Eating both would fit the analogy well enough. I still think that in another election campaign Corbyn will lose votes from his starting position rather than gaining them as in the last one.
    That is rather a brave forecast. I very much doubt that Corbyn will receive the big boost he enjoyed in 2017 - if only because he appears to be starting from a much higher level of support. Against that , he is in his element when in campaign mode and it is much more likely to be a case of how far his opponents can limit his advance. Moreover, contrary to what many believe , it is very much the 'norm' for the Opposition to move forward during the formal election campaign period.
    I think he will get more critical attention in the MSM as he will now be seen as a prospective PM and a lot of the people who voted for him last time will also now see him as a genuine contender rather than someone they can vote for to reduce the Tory majority. They will pay more attention and start thinking about the implications of a Corbyn government. During the last campaign contradictions were well hidden that will probably be more apparent. The views of many who voted for Corbyn and Corbyn's own views are as wide apart in reality as say labour right wing to Tory right wing.
    File under 'wishful thinking'.

    I am interested in which organisations you think constitutes the MSM. Does it include the Mail, Express, Sun, Telegraph and Times, all of whom hardly gave Corbyn a free pass in GE2017?
    Media in this country = BBC. Most people get their news from the BBC news or website. The BBC did not really give Corbyn a hard time, and in fact gave lot of positive press as he performed better than the low expectations
    So what makes you or @NorthofStoke think it will be different next time?
    I think even you know it will be different next time by some distance
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    Yes May is a remainer. That's not news.

    That the Brexiteers can only deliver when assisted by Russian bots and racist posters...
  • Options
    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    justin124 said:

    Charles said:

    justin124 said:

    Charles said:

    Roger said:

    Charles said:

    Very very few people get the opportunity to vote for what they want. For a candidate who is perfect. For a party offering a flawless manifesto. For a leader who inspires and becalms. Its all shades of grey. So regardless of the wazzocks surrounding Jeremy Corbyn people wanting a Labour government will still vote Labour. Because the alternative is a Tory government.

    Fed up trapped in insecure tenancies with dodgy landlords. Should they vote Tory because Jeremy Corbyn?
    Working all the hours God sends and still barely able to pay bills. Should they vote Tory because Jeremy Corbyn?
    The decimation of local government, the cuts to the NHS and Adult Social Care, driving the disabled to die in abject poverty - do none of these count because of anti-semitism?

    Of will most voters continue to do as they do - vote on the issues that affect them. And not vote to make themselves continue to suffer just because a Tory tells them they are immoral.

    You are conflating 2 questions:

    (1) in a forced choice (for simplicity) between Corbyn’s Labour and the Tories how do you vote?

    and

    (2) should I, as an activist, work to get a anti-Semite to the position of PM or should I work to offer a decent, healthy alternative to the Tories?

    I’m saddened by you @RochdalePioneers. I think you're a decent honourable man. But you are making the wrong choice and justifying evil
    A somewhat over-inflated use of the word 'evil'! Always worth keeping something in the tank in case Charles Manson should happen to pass by
    I believe Jeremy Corbyn is evil. That’s not a word I use lightly. Anti-Semitism is also evil.
    I and many others thought Thatcher to be evil. Ditto Blair post- Iraq.
    These a difference between policy decisions which you can vehemently disagree with and hanging out with the murderers of innocent men, women and children.

    (And, before you go there, I do not - and will - equate the unfortunately loss of civilian lives in war with the deliberate targeting of innocents such as at Munich)
    Not for one moment do I believe that Corbyn approved of what happened in Munich in 1972 - and I believe he has said so.
    Moreover, there was no declaration of war by Blair in 2003 - many view it as a massive terrorist operation ordered by a pair of criminals.
    But he associates who thecthe peoplecwho planned, organised and executed similar moves. And honours those responsible for Munich.

    I’m sorry but that is just wrong.
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,835
    edited September 2018

    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Scott_P said:

    Boris 1 Theresa 0.......

    (although it should be limited to asking those who actually want to Brexit - Remainers might just distort the numbers!)
    https://twitter.com/PickardJE/status/1037064456314839041
    LOL!

    Sounds desperate given Theresa was a "loser" at the general election and she's lost the only proven "winner" (Boris) from her Cabinet....
    Boris is a loser. Did in his words diddly squat at the FO and flounced off in a pathetic gesture.

    Neither of us know how true this statement is but it must be based on his findings and make no bones about it Boris has angered a large number of his fellow conservative mps
    Boris is a proven, three time election winner (two mayoral contests and on the winning side of the referendum)

    Remind me how many elections Theresa's won? The one and only general election she fought as leader saw her blowing a 25% polling lead in four weeks...

    Against Jeremy Corbyn...
    Boris is not a leader in any sense but more importantly he would lose a large number of his fellow conservatives support if he became the leader including several women who consider him to be grotesque. Indeed some have indicated they would resign from the party if he was leader
    I'm not advocating Boris as leader (I think it should be Davis) but just pointing out Theresa May and her acolytes bringing up "winners" and "losers" in light of her blowing a 25% poll lead in four weeks probably isn't really a terribly good idea....
    It was her 25% lead. The Tories were ahead by low single figures when Cameron resigned.

    Yeah.... But then again she did also blow Cameron's majority (as TSE is fond of telling us)
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,130
    edited September 2018


    Not Iceland, not Greenland, not Russia. France.

    Well, a couple of islands just off the east coast of Canada that are technically part of France.

    Night night.

    I worry about those little French bits of France dotted around. I still worry they are a springbord from which the French plan to conquer the world.....

    Perhaps I should share my concerns with Donald Trump?
  • Options
    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,720

    justin124 said:

    DavidL said:

    Didn't it eat the boy?
    It ate the sheep in the version I read, otherwise he couldn't have run down to the village to give the true alarm that was disbelieved. Eating both would fit the analogy well enough. I still think that in another election campaign Corbyn will lose votes from his starting position rather than gaining them as in the last one.
    That is rather a brave forecast. I very much doubt that Corbyn will receive the big boost he enjoyed in 2017 - if only because he appears to be starting from a much higher level of support. Against that , he is in his element when in campaign mode and it is much more likely to be a case of how far his opponents can limit his advance. Moreover, contrary to what many believe , it is very much the 'norm' for the Opposition to move forward during the formal election campaign period.
    I think he will get more critical attention in the MSM as he will now be seen as a prospective PM and a lot of the people who voted for him last time will also now see him as a genuine contender rather than someone they can vote for to reduce the Tory majority. They will pay more attention and start thinking about the implications of a Corbyn government. During the last campaign contradictions were well hidden that will probably be more apparent. The views of many who voted for Corbyn and Corbyn's own views are as wide apart in reality as say labour right wing to Tory right wing.
    File under 'wishful thinking'.

    I am interested in which organisations you think constitutes the MSM. Does it include the Mail, Express, Sun, Telegraph and Times, all of whom hardly gave Corbyn a free pass in GE2017?
    Media in this country = BBC. Most people get their news from the BBC news or website. The BBC did not really give Corbyn a hard time, and in fact gave lot of positive press as he performed better than the low expectations
    So what makes you or @NorthofStoke think it will be different next time?
    I think even you know it will be different next time by some distance
    I really don't think that. I genuinely think the UK broadcasters do their utmost to be politically neutral. They don't get it right every time but I think they do ok. That often means we all feel that leaders and policies of parties we are opposed to get let off the hook and not scrutinised enough. I can't see it being any different next time.
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,031
    Scott_P said:

    Boris 1 Theresa 0.......

    (although it should be limited to asking those who actually want to Brexit - Remainers might just distort the numbers!)
    https://twitter.com/PickardJE/status/1037064456314839041
    I think there are a number of Conservative MPs who worry about No Deal Brexit, but want to be seen as ideologically pure. This gives them license to rebel.
  • Options
    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,720


    Not Iceland, not Greenland, not Russia. France.

    Well, a couple of islands just off the east coast of Canada that are technically part of France.

    Night night.

    I worry about those little French bits of France dotted around. I still worry they are a springbord from which the French plan to conquer the world.....

    Perhaps I should share my concerns with Donald Trump?
    Feck no! Don't tell the Donald that the French have outposts in his backyard - he'll want to build un autre mur.
  • Options
    Pulpstar said:

    Would anyone be able to make a sensible guess as to how much money would have been wagered on Williamson to bring his odds in to 33-1?

    Wondering how much money Mr W will be losing in return for this thread header.

    £20 from the right account would do it.
    85p from Henry Manson might do it.
  • Options
    PolruanPolruan Posts: 2,083

    justin124 said:

    DavidL said:

    I think many voters sympathetic to Labour haven't paid a great deal of attention and start with the presumption that the leader of a major British party can't really be an extremist nut job. Labour is a powerful brand.They are also skeptical about claims of racism given that they are bandied about freely these days with rules that change daily and which nobody really understands. There is also the "boy who cried wolf" syndrome. I will remind everyone that the wolf did indeed arrive and eat the flock.

    Didn't it eat the boy?
    It ate the sheep in the version I read.
    T.
    I think he will get more critical attention in the MSM as he will now be seen as a prospective PM and a lot of the people who voted for him last time will also now see him as a genuine contender rather than someone they can vote for to reduce the Tory majority. They will pay more attention and start thinking about the implications of a Corbyn government. During the last campaign contradictions were well hidden that will probably be more apparent. The views of many who voted for Corbyn and Corbyn's own views are as wide apart in reality as say labour right wing to Tory right wing.
    File under 'wishful thinking'.

    I am interested in which organisations you think constitutes the MSM. Does it include the Mail, Express, Sun, Telegraph and Times, all of whom hardly gave Corbyn a free pass in GE2017?
    Media in this country = BBC. Most people get their news from the BBC news or website. The BBC did not really give Corbyn a hard time, and in fact gave lot of positive press as he performed better than the low expectations
    So what makes you or @NorthofStoke think it will be different next time?
    I think even you know it will be different next time by some distance
    I don’t see how it can be. In 2017, it seemed that many of the attacks on Corbyn were discounted on the basis that they were pretty similar to what the right-wing press had said about Miliband in 2015 - despite the fact that they were (in some cases) a good bit more accurate when applied to Corbyn. Basically hysteria fatigue set in. Why would that differ next time? The BBC approach is to report the arguments and lines that are running in the print media, and they will faithfully report the latest furore as Michael Fallon’s successor turns out to describe why Corbyn is a threat to the very way of life of all decent hardworking Britons... and nobody will take much notice.
  • Options
    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 18,898
    It's terrible of me to say so, but from the really odd pose it appears to be:

    "Are you free, Mr Davis?"
    "I'M FREE, MR CITY AM!"

    Seriously. Look at the photograph. That is the campest pose a senior politician has ever committed to posterity.
  • Options
    justin124 said:

    Charles said:

    justin124 said:

    Charles said:

    Roger said:

    Charles said:

    Very very few people get the opportunity to vote for what they want. For a candidate who is perfect. For a party offering a flawless manifesto. For a leader who inspires and becalms. Its all shades of grey. So regardless of the wazzocks surrounding Jeremy Corbyn people wanting a Labour government will still vote Labour. Because the alternative is a Tory government.

    Fed up trapped in insecure tenancies with dodgy landlords. Should they vote Tory because Jeremy Corbyn?
    Working all the hours God sends and still barely able to pay bills. Should they vote Tory because Jeremy Corbyn?
    The decimation of local government, the cuts to the NHS and Adult Social Care, driving the disabled to die in abject poverty - do none of these count because of anti-semitism?

    Of will most voters continue to do as they do - vote on the issues that affect them. And not vote to make themselves continue to suffer just because a Tory tells them they are immoral.

    You are conflating 2 questions:

    (1) in a forced choice (for simplicity) between Corbyn’s Labour and the Tories how do you vote?

    and

    (2) should I, as an activist, work to get a anti-Semite to the position of PM or should I work to offer a decent, healthy alternative to the Tories?

    I’m saddened by you @RochdalePioneers. I think you're a decent honourable man. But you are making the wrong choice and justifying evil
    A somewhat over-inflated use of the word 'evil'! Always worth keeping something in the tank in case Charles Manson should happen to pass by
    I believe Jeremy Corbyn is evil. That’s not a word I use lightly. Anti-Semitism is also evil.
    I and many others thought Thatcher to be evil. Ditto Blair post- Iraq.
    These a difference between policy decisions which you can vehemently disagree with and hanging out with the murderers of innocent men, women and children.

    (And, before you go there, I do not - and will - equate the unfortunately loss of civilian lives in war with the deliberate targeting of innocents such as at Munich)
    Not for one moment do I believe that Corbyn approved of what happened in Munich in 1972 - and I believe he has said so.
    Moreover, there was no declaration of war by Blair in 2003 - many view it as a massive terrorist operation ordered by a pair of criminals.
    You do not need to declare war when enforcing UN resolutions.
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    Tiger Woods confirmed as wild card in US Ryder Cup team by Jim Furyk
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    viewcode said:



    It's terrible of me to say so, but from the really odd pose it appears to be:

    "Are you free, Mr Davis?"
    "I'M FREE, MR CITY AM!"

    Seriously. Look at the photograph. That is the campest pose a senior politician has ever committed to posterity.
    "Oooh! You don't 'alf sound common!"
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    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 18,898
    justin124 said:

    Moreover, there was no declaration of war by Blair in 2003 - many view it as a massive terrorist operation ordered by a pair of criminals.

    Doesn't matter: this isn't the US. The orders were legal and Parliament debated and approved the war.

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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    You have to wonder if anyone thought of this with BoZo

    https://twitter.com/alfonslopeztena/status/1037085806777847808
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    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,720
    Right - early night for me. Much as I hate to tear myself away just as Davis is set to announce the solution to Brexit. :wink:

    Happy debating comrades!

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    In other news today, I briefly invaded Scotland :)

    From a temporary basis in Carlisle, I acquired Carstairs junction to Haymarket, and Edinburgh to Tweedbank (the latter line reopened in 2015).
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    22 wickets on first day of Lancashire Vs Somerset....what were they playing on? A ploughed field?
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    Right - early night for me. Much as I hate to tear myself away just as Davis is set to announce the solution to Brexit. :wink:

    Happy debating comrades!

    Good night Ben

    A very good idea

    Have a pleasant nights rest everyone

    Good night folks
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    Back to the thread header. Another night out for Williamson:

    https://twitter.com/DerbyChrisW/status/1037088611190169602
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    edited September 2018

    Back to the thread header. Another night out for Williamson:

    twitter.com/DerbyChrisW/status/1037088611190169602

    I remember when we were told all this talk of mandatory reselection was nonsense scare mongering....it's going to happen isn't it. Bye bye all moderate MPs.
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    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Scott_P said:

    Boris 1 Theresa 0.......

    (although it should be limited to asking those who actually want to Brexit - Remainers might just distort the numbers!)
    https://twitter.com/PickardJE/status/1037064456314839041
    LOL!

    Sounds desperate given Theresa was a "loser" at the general election and she's lost the only proven "winner" (Boris) from her Cabinet....
    Boris is a loser. Did in his words diddly squat at the FO and flounced off in a pathetic gesture.

    Neither of us know how true this statement is but it must be based on his findings and make no bones about it Boris has angered a large number of his fellow conservative mps
    Boris is a proven, three time election winner (two mayoral contests and on the winning side of the referendum)

    Remind me how many elections Theresa's won? The one and only general election she fought as leader saw her blowing a 25% polling lead in four weeks...

    Against Jeremy Corbyn...
    Boris is not a leader in any sense but more importantly he would lose a large number of his fellow conservatives support if he became the leader including several women who consider him to be grotesque. Indeed some have indicated they would resign from the party if he was leader
    I'm not advocating Boris as leader (I think it should be Davis) but just pointing out Theresa May and her acolytes bringing up "winners" and "losers" in light of her blowing a 25% poll lead in four weeks probably isn't really a terribly good idea....
    It was her 25% lead. The Tories were ahead by low single figures when Cameron resigned.

    Yeah.... But then again she did also blow Cameron's majority (as TSE is fond of telling us)
    So how come Corbyn ain't PM then?
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    Back to the thread header. Another night out for Williamson:

    twitter.com/DerbyChrisW/status/1037088611190169602

    Speaking of the thread header, Williamson's odds aren't even visible in the blow-up of the Twitter graphic :lol:
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    glwglw Posts: 9,549

    I remember when we were told all this talk of mandatory reselection was nonsense scare mongering....it's going to happen isn't it. Bye bye all moderate MPs.

    It looks like it. Yet I've no doubt there will be Labour supporters on here still claiming that it's not as bad as it looks. The moderates are way past the time they should have struck.

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    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,835

    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Scott_P said:

    Boris 1 Theresa 0.......

    (although it should be limited to asking those who actually want to Brexit - Remainers might just distort the numbers!)
    https://twitter.com/PickardJE/status/1037064456314839041
    LOL!

    Sounds desperate given Theresa was a "loser" at the general election and she's lost the only proven "winner" (Boris) from her Cabinet....
    Boris is a loser. Did in his words diddly squat at the FO and flounced off in a pathetic gesture.

    Neither of us know how true this statement is but it must be based on his findings and make no bones about it Boris has angered a large number of his fellow conservative mps
    Boris is a proven, three time election winner (two mayoral contests and on the winning side of the referendum)

    Remind me how many elections Theresa's won? The one and only general election she fought as leader saw her blowing a 25% polling lead in four weeks...

    Against Jeremy Corbyn...
    Boris is not a leader in any sense but more importantly he would lose a large number of his fellow conservatives support if he became the leader including several women who consider him to be grotesque. Indeed some have indicated they would resign from the party if he was leader
    I'm not advocating Boris as leader (I think it should be Davis) but just pointing out Theresa May and her acolytes bringing up "winners" and "losers" in light of her blowing a 25% poll lead in four weeks probably isn't really a terribly good idea....
    It was her 25% lead. The Tories were ahead by low single figures when Cameron resigned.

    Yeah.... But then again she did also blow Cameron's majority (as TSE is fond of telling us)
    So how come Corbyn ain't PM then?
    Cause she cobbled something together with DUP.

    But her general election was a disaster from start to finish as we all know...
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    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,081
    It’s almost like they want Corbyn to be PM...
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    Back to the thread header. Another night out for Williamson:

    twitter.com/DerbyChrisW/status/1037088611190169602

    I remember when we were told all this talk of mandatory reselection was nonsense scare mongering....it's going to happen isn't it. Bye bye all moderate MPs.
    To be honest, some of it is going to happen anyway, since they will need a process to handle 650 constituencies falling to 600 if May pushes ahead on that.

    Perhaps there is already such a mechanism with the party, I don't know.

    But as I said yesterday, if they deselect too many, then an independent Labour grouping could be sitting in the Commons quite shortly. Nothing left to lose.
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    edited September 2018
    AndyJS said:
    It really is quite impressive how quickly he has managed to piss off pretty much everybody. Perhaps he needs to be caught having an affair, the French always seem to like that in a leader.
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    AndyJS said:
    It really is quite impressive how quickly he has managed to piss off pretty much everybody.
    Is it?

    He's President of France. Plus he's actually facing down strikers etc - that takes some cajones in France.
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    Pulpstar said:

    Would anyone be able to make a sensible guess as to how much money would have been wagered on Williamson to bring his odds in to 33-1?

    Wondering how much money Mr W will be losing in return for this thread header.

    £20 from the right account would do it.
    It was £7.50
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    In other news today, I briefly invaded Scotland :)

    From a temporary basis in Carlisle, I acquired Carstairs junction to Haymarket, and Edinburgh to Tweedbank (the latter line reopened in 2015).

    I once made the mistake of following the cycle path signs in Leith near the Scottish government buildings and was almost thrown from my bicycle by the old rails remaining on the cobbled street thereabouts.

    I've only been as far as Stow on the Tweedbank line.

    Have you been on the new class 385? All the other commuters I've spoken to are not impressed at all with the seats or the lack of proper tables.
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    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,276
    edited September 2018

    It’s almost like they want Corbyn to be PM...
    Seems No. 10 are worried they don't have the votes for it.

    As Philip Cowley is fond of pointing out - once backbenchers have rebelled once they get a taste for it.

    But yes, they do seem to want Jezza in Downing Street.
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    AndyJS said:
    It really is quite impressive how quickly he has managed to piss off pretty much everybody.
    Is it?

    He's President of France. Plus he's actually facing down strikers etc - that takes some cajones in France.
    Don't get me wrong I think he general direction of travel is clearly what France needs, but all that stuff like with the kid that called him by his nickname was a total PR disaster.
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    In other news today, I briefly invaded Scotland :)

    From a temporary basis in Carlisle, I acquired Carstairs junction to Haymarket, and Edinburgh to Tweedbank (the latter line reopened in 2015).

    I once made the mistake of following the cycle path signs in Leith near the Scottish government buildings and was almost thrown from my bicycle by the old rails remaining on the cobbled street thereabouts.

    I've only been as far as Stow on the Tweedbank line.

    Have you been on the new class 385? All the other commuters I've spoken to are not impressed at all with the seats or the lack of proper tables.
    I didn't see any 385s at Waverley today, only 380s and older units - and was gobsmacked to see a 365 leave platform 12 - I used to ride those regularly between King's Cross and Cambridge when I worked there in the mid-2000s.
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    glw said:

    I remember when we were told all this talk of mandatory reselection was nonsense scare mongering....it's going to happen isn't it. Bye bye all moderate MPs.

    It looks like it. Yet I've no doubt there will be Labour supporters on here still claiming that it's not as bad as it looks. The moderates are way past the time they should have struck.

    They did strike. Something like 80% of them struck with a no confidence vote. Their strike failed though and like Obi Wan only made him stronger.
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    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Scott_P said:

    Boris 1 Theresa 0.......

    (although it should be limited to asking those who actually want to Brexit - Remainers might just distort the numbers!)
    https://twitter.com/PickardJE/status/1037064456314839041
    LOL!

    Sounds desperate given Theresa was a "loser" at the general election and she's lost the only proven "winner" (Boris) from her Cabinet....
    Boris is a loser. Did in his words diddly squat at the FO and flounced off in a pathetic gesture.

    Neither of us know how true this statement is but it must be based on his findings and make no bones about it Boris has angered a large number of his fellow conservative mps
    Boris is a proven, three time election winner (two mayoral contests and on the winning side of the referendum)

    Remind me how many elections Theresa's won? The one and only general election she fought as leader saw her blowing a 25% polling lead in four weeks...

    Against Jeremy Corbyn...
    Boris is not a leader in any sense but more importantly he would lose a large number of his fellow conservatives support if he became the leader including several women who consider him to be grotesque. Indeed some have indicated they would resign from the party if he was leader
    I'm not advocating Boris as leader (I think it should be Davis) but just pointing out Theresa May and her acolytes bringing up "winners" and "losers" in light of her blowing a 25% poll lead in four weeks probably isn't really a terribly good idea....
    It was her 25% lead. The Tories were ahead by low single figures when Cameron resigned.

    Yeah.... But then again she did also blow Cameron's majority (as TSE is fond of telling us)
    So how come Corbyn ain't PM then?
    Cause she cobbled something together with DUP.

    But her general election was a disaster from start to finish as we all know...
    Of course - that's why she won fewer MPs and fewer votes than Corbyn.
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    edited September 2018
    SeanT...I think it is nailed on that labour will propose legalising cannabis, same as free uni was. The only unknown is if they go for the faux medical approach many US states started with or go the whole hog.
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    AndyJS said:
    It really is quite impressive how quickly he has managed to piss off pretty much everybody.
    Is it?

    He's President of France. Plus he's actually facing down strikers etc - that takes some cajones in France.
    Don't get me wrong I think he general direction of travel is clearly what France needs, but all that stuff like with the kid that called him by his nickname was a total PR disaster.
    Doubt that's what is affecting his ratings. French Presidents are notorious for becoming unpopular quickly, especially any that try to make tough decisions.
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    It’s almost like they want Corbyn to be PM...
    Seems No. 10 are worried they don't have the votes for it.

    As Philip Cowley is fond of pointing out - once backbenchers have rebelled once they get a taste for it.

    But yes, they do seem to want Jezza in Downing Street.
    Are the SNP and Labour really going to vote against it?
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    AndyJS said:
    It really is quite impressive how quickly he has managed to piss off pretty much everybody.
    Is it?

    He's President of France. Plus he's actually facing down strikers etc - that takes some cajones in France.
    Don't get me wrong I think he general direction of travel is clearly what France needs, but all that stuff like with the kid that called him by his nickname was a total PR disaster.
    Doubt that's what is affecting his ratings. French Presidents are notorious for becoming unpopular quickly, especially any that try to make tough decisions.
    Of course the labour reforms are deeply unpopular, but his image of an out of touch up his own arse individual really can't help when you are trying to tell people we are going to end this culture of cushy jobs that you can't be sacked from.
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    It’s almost like they want Corbyn to be PM...
    Seems No. 10 are worried they don't have the votes for it.

    As Philip Cowley is fond of pointing out - once backbenchers have rebelled once they get a taste for it.

    But yes, they do seem to want Jezza in Downing Street.
    Are the SNP and Labour really going to vote against it?
    Labour might find a way, as they want to be the ones promising to do it in their next manifesto.
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    The new Labour party...now with added nuts.
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    Scott_P said:

    twitter.com/AllieHBNews/status/1037098384778244097

    Sounds like Justin is a big fan of the jezza vision.
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    glwglw Posts: 9,549

    glw said:

    I remember when we were told all this talk of mandatory reselection was nonsense scare mongering....it's going to happen isn't it. Bye bye all moderate MPs.

    It looks like it. Yet I've no doubt there will be Labour supporters on here still claiming that it's not as bad as it looks. The moderates are way past the time they should have struck.

    They did strike. Something like 80% of them struck with a no confidence vote. Their strike failed though and like Obi Wan only made him stronger.
    Yes, but what I meant was "succeed" not "fail". Labour just doesn't seem to be as good at the dark arts of politics as the Tories are.
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    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    edited September 2018
    Charles said:

    Jonathan said:

    Charles said:

    Roger said:

    Charles said:

    Very very few people get the opportunity to vote for what they want. For a candidate who is perfect. For a party offering a flawless manifesto. For a leader who inspires and becalms. Its all shades of grey. So regardless of the wazzocks surrounding Jeremy Corbyn people wanting a Labour government will still vote Labour. Because the alternative is a Tory government.

    Fed up trapped in insecure tenancies with dodgy landlords. Should they vote Tory because Jeremy Corbyn?
    Working all the hours God sends and still barely able to pay bills. Should they vote Tory because Jeremy Corbyn?
    The decimation of local government, the cuts to the NHS and Adult Social Care, driving the disabled to die in abject poverty - do none of these count because of anti-semitism?

    Of will most voters continue to do as they do - vote on the issues that affect them. And not vote to make themselves continue to suffer just because a Tory tells them they are immoral.

    You are conflating 2 questions:

    (1) in a forced choice (for simplicity) between Corbyn’s Labour and the Tories how do you vote?

    and

    (2) should I, as an activist, work to get a anti-Semite to the position of PM or should I work to offer a decent, healthy alternative to the Tories?

    I’m saddened by you @RochdalePioneers. I think you're a decent honourable man. But you are making the wrong choice and justifying evil
    A somewhat over-inflated use of the word 'evil'! Always worth keeping something in the tank in case Charles Manson should happen to pass by
    I believe Jeremy Corbyn is evil.
    Why?
    For me it was the whole Tunisian grave thing. Up to that point I was going with the idiot/fool thing. I still think he’s a passive anti-Semitist than an active one (to the extent that distinction matters) but he hangs out with active murderers who never recanted.

    The difference with the PIRA is (as far as I know) he only met the leaders of Sinn Fein rather than active PIRA members. A fine distinction, I know, but I think he’s let his hatred for all things American lead him selves into very murky water.
    Unfortunately it's not true that he met only 'Sinn Fein' members. The people he invited in to parliament, just two weeks after MPs saw their colleagues and wives murdered and maimed by the IRA in Brighton, were two convicted IRA terrorists (Linda Quigley and Gerard McLoughlin). It was a deliberate, and utterly vile, act by Corbyn. For that alone, leave aside anything else, he should be reviled by any decent person - and of course there's plenty else, such as his contempt of the victims of the Munich murders.
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    It’s almost like they want Corbyn to be PM...
    Seems No. 10 are worried they don't have the votes for it.

    As Philip Cowley is fond of pointing out - once backbenchers have rebelled once they get a taste for it.

    But yes, they do seem to want Jezza in Downing Street.
    Are the SNP and Labour really going to vote against it?
    Labour might find a way, as they want to be the ones promising to do it in their next manifesto.
    It'll be a bit hard to run a manifesto on doing this after voting against it. Would be very easy for the Tories to rebut.
This discussion has been closed.