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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Why you should be wary of hypothetical polling

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  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,403
    edited September 2018

    Remember when marathon became snickers, well the Labour party has become the maomentum party, now with added anti-Semitism.

    Dear FU
    I remember when Lab (Tory Lite War Mongering Party) polled 8.6m votes in 2010

    and I remember when Lab (for the many not the few) polled 12.8m in 2017

    Yet you appear to think a return to Rascist Anti Arab Tory Lite war mongering party is the way forward.

    Fortunately your FAKE NEWS cannot stop the fact that Change that is coming

    Love BJO
    You sound like you're losing it big man.
  • Options
    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,095

    Your not in the party Dan

    You voted against Lab. at GE 2017

    Its nothing to do with you
    Only Labour members matter?
    What about potential Labour voters?
    12.9M in 2017 an increase of 4.2mM on 2010

    DH went the opposite way

    DH is irrelevant
    12.9M wasn’t enough though...
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    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,900

    I hope they crow so much that the decent moderate MPs that still make up a good part of the Labour party break away and set up a rival parliamentary group
    Is that all you got left.

    Sad really
    That post has all the vacuousness that I would expect of a Corbyn apologist.

    What is "sad" is that a once great party ( I am not a supporter but can recognise them as such) has been taken over by a bunch of fruitcakes who idolise a man who is clearly not just not very bright but who also shows the ultimate in human stupidity; racist prejudice.
    You would never vote Labour so your views are completely irrelevant.

    Anyway Im off to drink Champagne and prepare for open selection
  • Options
    FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,833
    Mortimer said:

    These polls are telling you something, even if it isn't exactly what the formal results suggest.

    It's always worth remembering that poll responses are not given under oath. Respondents are quite capable of lying or overstating their position for emphasis.

    I understand that when you fill out medical questionnaires, doctors multiply your stated alcohol consumption by two and your stated cigarette consumption by five. Anything that is designed to show a poll respondent in a particular light should similarly be held with tongs and scrutinised carefully.

    I got quite a talking to by our college Nurse on matriculating; apparently being honest on the 'units of alcohol' question wasn't customary, so doubling the true figure gave her cause for concern.....
    Studies based on alcohol consumption diaries do give figures for UK of 40-60% of consumption according to Excise. On a population level the doubling rule is pretty accurate, but not on an individual basis.

    Similarly food diaries under report:

    https://jech.bmj.com/content/54/8/611
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    notme said:

    Remember when marathon became snickers, well the Labour party has become the maomentum party, now with added anti-Semitism.

    Isnt the the snickers rebrand a bit of a legend in marketing circles though? It propelled it to the top chocolate bar increasing sales.
    Possibly...also like snickers, the new momentum party is also full of nuts.
  • Options

    I hope they crow so much that the decent moderate MPs that still make up a good part of the Labour party break away and set up a rival parliamentary group
    Is that all you got left.

    Sad really
    That post has all the vacuousness that I would expect of a Corbyn apologist.

    What is "sad" is that a once great party ( I am not a supporter but can recognise them as such) has been taken over by a bunch of fruitcakes who idolise a man who is clearly not just not very bright but who also shows the ultimate in human stupidity; racist prejudice.
    You would never vote Labour so your views are completely irrelevant.

    Anyway Im off to drink Champagne and prepare for open selection
    Oh go on then, I'll say it: Champagne socialists.
  • Options

    Your not in the party Dan

    You voted against Lab. at GE 2017

    Its nothing to do with you
    He is a political commentator, what's he supposed to talk about?
  • Options
    TOPPING said:

    Remember when marathon became snickers, well the Labour party has become the maomentum party, now with added anti-Semitism.

    Dear FU
    I remember when Lab (Tory Lite War Mongering Party) polled 8.6m votes in 2010

    and I remember when Lab (for the many not the few) polled 12.8m in 2017

    Yet you appear to think a return to Rascist Anti Arab Tory Lite war mongering party is the way forward.

    Fortunately your FAKE NEWS cannot stop the fact that Change that is coming

    Love BJO
    You sound like you're losing it big man.
    BJO is having his moment, bless him, but this is the reverse Neil Kinnock moment, but in this case labour have finally reached the abyss and break up is coming
  • Options

    TOPPING said:

    Remember when marathon became snickers, well the Labour party has become the maomentum party, now with added anti-Semitism.

    Dear FU
    I remember when Lab (Tory Lite War Mongering Party) polled 8.6m votes in 2010

    and I remember when Lab (for the many not the few) polled 12.8m in 2017

    Yet you appear to think a return to Rascist Anti Arab Tory Lite war mongering party is the way forward.

    Fortunately your FAKE NEWS cannot stop the fact that Change that is coming

    Love BJO
    You sound like you're losing it big man.
    BJO is having his moment, bless him, but this is the reverse Neil Kinnock moment, but in this case labour have finally reached the abyss and break up is coming
    Hmm. I'm not so sure. The tribal Labour feeling is so strong.
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,403

    TOPPING said:

    Remember when marathon became snickers, well the Labour party has become the maomentum party, now with added anti-Semitism.

    Dear FU
    I remember when Lab (Tory Lite War Mongering Party) polled 8.6m votes in 2010

    and I remember when Lab (for the many not the few) polled 12.8m in 2017

    Yet you appear to think a return to Rascist Anti Arab Tory Lite war mongering party is the way forward.

    Fortunately your FAKE NEWS cannot stop the fact that Change that is coming

    Love BJO
    You sound like you're losing it big man.
    BJO is having his moment, bless him, but this is the reverse Neil Kinnock moment, but in this case labour have finally reached the abyss and break up is coming
    Doubt it, Big G - not enough good men in the Labour Party doing anything.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,292
    edited September 2018
    When people bang on about austerity here, this is what real austerity looks like...

    Argentina imposes austerity measures in bid to stabilise peso

    Taxes on exports of some grains and other products will rise and "about half" of the nation's government ministries will be abolished.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-45392362
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    TOPPING said:

    Remember when marathon became snickers, well the Labour party has become the maomentum party, now with added anti-Semitism.

    Dear FU
    I remember when Lab (Tory Lite War Mongering Party) polled 8.6m votes in 2010

    and I remember when Lab (for the many not the few) polled 12.8m in 2017

    Yet you appear to think a return to Rascist Anti Arab Tory Lite war mongering party is the way forward.

    Fortunately your FAKE NEWS cannot stop the fact that Change that is coming

    Love BJO
    You sound like you're losing it big man.
    BJO is having his moment, bless him, but this is the reverse Neil Kinnock moment, but in this case labour have finally reached the abyss and break up is coming
    Hmm. I'm not so sure. The tribal Labour feeling is so strong.
    Those who knock on doors for Corbyn are complicit in anti semetism.
  • Options
    Mr. NorthWales, I'll believe it when I see it.

    Anyway, I must be off. Play nicely, everyone.
  • Options
    1. Willsman sat on the disputes panel reviewing cases of anti-semitism
    2. Willsman bangs the table at the NEC saying Where Is Your Evidence (of anti-semitism)
    3. Willsman may not personally be an anti-semite. But he is a tosser who provides cover to anti-semites
    4. The re-election of Willsman is a disgrace. But its this year's elections. The idea of "thats the party lost forever" is absurd
    5. The re-election of Willsman highlights the growing rift on the loony left. Momentum dropped and disowned him. Lansman and Momentum heavily attacked for selling out out. People quitting Momentum on Facebook in protest. These people won't just shut up even having won. They won the two leadership elections as well and still won't let it lie
    6. "Moderate" core vote appears to be c. 40,000. OK so most members don't vote but even so, its pretty small beer...
  • Options
    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    Remember when marathon became snickers, well the Labour party has become the maomentum party, now with added anti-Semitism.

    Dear FU
    I remember when Lab (Tory Lite War Mongering Party) polled 8.6m votes in 2010

    and I remember when Lab (for the many not the few) polled 12.8m in 2017

    Yet you appear to think a return to Rascist Anti Arab Tory Lite war mongering party is the way forward.

    Fortunately your FAKE NEWS cannot stop the fact that Change that is coming

    Love BJO
    You sound like you're losing it big man.
    BJO is having his moment, bless him, but this is the reverse Neil Kinnock moment, but in this case labour have finally reached the abyss and break up is coming
    Doubt it, Big G - not enough good men in the Labour Party doing anything.
    Now is the time and hopefully it will be led by the good women and men in labour
  • Options

    I hope they crow so much that the decent moderate MPs that still make up a good part of the Labour party break away and set up a rival parliamentary group
    Is that all you got left.

    Sad really
    That post has all the vacuousness that I would expect of a Corbyn apologist.

    What is "sad" is that a once great party ( I am not a supporter but can recognise them as such) has been taken over by a bunch of fruitcakes who idolise a man who is clearly not just not very bright but who also shows the ultimate in human stupidity; racist prejudice.
    You would never vote Labour so your views are completely irrelevant.

    Anyway Im off to drink Champagne and prepare for open selection
    Completely wrong on both counts. If you had a half sensible leader that wasn't a racist, apologist for terrorists, apologist for Putin, advocate of lunatic economic policies I would happily lend Labour my vote. There are plenty of sensible people in the Labour party and they should be giving the electorate a proper choice of leadership instead of a bunch of juvenile dullards who have never grown out of thinking contrarianism is "edgy".
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    felixfelix Posts: 15,125

    Your not in the party Dan

    You voted against Lab. at GE 2017

    Its nothing to do with you
    Only Labour members matter?
    What about potential Labour voters?
    12.9M in 2017 an increase of 4.2mM on 2010

    DH went the opposite way

    DH is irrelevant
    A true democrat values all voters regardless of how they vote. you are condemned by your own statements again and again.
  • Options
    Bit of a typo in the Telegraph, or has May hatched a plan to massively reduce the Commons?

    "The new boundaries for the UK’s parliamentary constituencies will be published shortly, and for the first time, a political decision has been taken to reduce the number of seats from 650 to 50."

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/09/03/corbynites-really-mean-talk-democracy-labour-party/
  • Options
    FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,833

    1. Willsman sat on the disputes panel reviewing cases of anti-semitism
    2. Willsman bangs the table at the NEC saying Where Is Your Evidence (of anti-semitism)
    3. Willsman may not personally be an anti-semite. But he is a tosser who provides cover to anti-semites
    4. The re-election of Willsman is a disgrace. But its this year's elections. The idea of "thats the party lost forever" is absurd
    5. The re-election of Willsman highlights the growing rift on the loony left. Momentum dropped and disowned him. Lansman and Momentum heavily attacked for selling out out. People quitting Momentum on Facebook in protest. These people won't just shut up even having won. They won the two leadership elections as well and still won't let it lie
    6. "Moderate" core vote appears to be c. 40,000. OK so most members don't vote but even so, its pretty small beer...

    The Left slate usually do well on NEC elections, but the swing was against them this time:

    https://twitter.com/220_d_92_20/status/1036642580476452866?s=19

  • Options

    Bit of a typo in the Telegraph, or has May hatched a plan to massively reduce the Commons?

    "The new boundaries for the UK’s parliamentary constituencies will be published shortly, and for the first time, a political decision has been taken to reduce the number of seats from 650 to 50."

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/09/03/corbynites-really-mean-talk-democracy-labour-party/

    haha, typical of its current editing. A once great paper. Another institution that has been reduced to absurdity by the madness known as Brexit
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,941

    Bit of a typo in the Telegraph, or has May hatched a plan to massively reduce the Commons?

    "The new boundaries for the UK’s parliamentary constituencies will be published shortly, and for the first time, a political decision has been taken to reduce the number of seats from 650 to 50."

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/09/03/corbynites-really-mean-talk-democracy-labour-party/

    That’s what happens when you fire all the sub-editors so you can hire a star columnist.

    A star columnist who then republishes his piece on his own website, completely undermining your online business model.
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    RogerRoger Posts: 18,904
    I sense a circling of the wagons. Jeremy is being unfairly traduced by some pretty unpleasant right-wingers with an agenda. Those who were irritated by Jeremy's poor leadership (like myself) are now seeing him as the only show in town.

    The Brexiting Tories are the worst of the worst and the Jewish wannabies on the right of the Labour Party who are lining up with the Telegraph and Guido's mob are making most of us feel pretty sick.

    All in all things are falling well for Jeremy and he doesn't deserve it.
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    FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,833
    Britons not the worst at speaking foreign- shock!

    https://twitter.com/mapsome/status/1035965578043944961?s=19
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    AnneJGPAnneJGP Posts: 2,869
    Foxy said:

    Britons not the worst at speaking foreign- shock!

    https://twitter.com/mapsome/status/1035965578043944961?s=19

    I've never come across any Irish person who can't speak fluent English.
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    Roger said:

    I sense a circling of the wagons. Jeremy is being unfairly traduced by some pretty unpleasant right-wingers with an agenda. Those who were irritated by Jeremy's poor leadership (like myself) are now seeing him as the only show in town.

    The Brexiting Tories are the worst of the worst and the Jewish wannabies on the right of the Labour Party who are lining up with the Telegraph and Guido's mob are making most of us feel pretty sick.

    All in all things are falling well for Jeremy and he doesn't deserve it.

    I think most people are feeling sick, but it is the stench coming from Corbyn and his mob, but of course he is bound to have some fellow travellers
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    stodgestodge Posts: 12,895
    AnneJGP said:

    Foxy said:

    Britons not the worst at speaking foreign- shock!

    https://twitter.com/mapsome/status/1035965578043944961?s=19

    I've never come across any Irish person who can't speak fluent English.
    I've never come across anyone who isn't fluent in gibberish and rubbish.
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    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,920

    Bit of a typo in the Telegraph, or has May hatched a plan to massively reduce the Commons?

    "The new boundaries for the UK’s parliamentary constituencies will be published shortly, and for the first time, a political decision has been taken to reduce the number of seats from 650 to 50."

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/09/03/corbynites-really-mean-talk-democracy-labour-party/

    50 MP? Rejoice! :D
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    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    @David_Evershed FPT

    C’est magnifique mais ce n’est pas le gare

    Unknown, Worcester College, Oxford
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    Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    Charles said:

    @David_Evershed FPT

    C’est magnifique mais ce n’est pas le gare

    Unknown, Worcester College, Oxford

    La gare, Charles.
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    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    These polls are telling you something, even if it isn't exactly what the formal results suggest.

    It's always worth remembering that poll responses are not given under oath. Respondents are quite capable of lying or overstating their position for emphasis.

    I understand that when you fill out medical questionnaires, doctors multiply your stated alcohol consumption by two and your stated cigarette consumption by five. Anything that is designed to show a poll respondent in a particular light should similarly be held with tongs and scrutinised carefully.

    I got quite a talking to by our college Nurse on matriculating; apparently being honest on the 'units of alcohol' question wasn't customary, so doubling the true figure gave her cause for concern.....
    I thought the only possible answer was 'Sufficient, thank you'.
    I suspect that new undergraduates, without access to the cellar, should have been the least of her concerns!
    Yeah, I have a young relative who was recently at Trinity, Cambridge, and was able to buy some of the wines which the dons didn't want, at very favourable prices. All I can say is that, if those are the wines the dons rejected, one wonders what ones they decided to keep.
    My brother’s employer gives him that perk. He’s got a great gig all round but that bit makes me reeeeaaaly jealous :mrgreen:
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    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,789
    edited September 2018
    AnneJGP said:

    Foxy said:

    Britons not the worst at speaking foreign- shock!

    https://twitter.com/mapsome/status/1035965578043944961?s=19

    I've never come across any Irish person who can't speak fluent English.
    How many of them can speak Irish?

    According to the 2011 census, 1.77 million people in Ireland claimed they could speak Irish, which is 41% of the population. While this looks impressive on paper, it says nothing about the level of Irish people have or if they ever use it. More revealing is the number of people who claim to speak it on a daily basis, only 77,000 people, less than 2% of the population....

    Worst still, there are no people who only speak Irish (monoglots) left, even native Irish speakers are also fluent in English.


    https://whistlinginthewind.org/2015/08/20/why-dont-the-irish-speak-irish/
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    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    Ishmael_Z said:

    Charles said:

    @David_Evershed FPT

    C’est magnifique mais ce n’est pas le gare

    Unknown, Worcester College, Oxford

    La gare, Charles.
    Autocorrect :sweat_smile:
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    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,763

    AnneJGP said:

    Foxy said:

    Britons not the worst at speaking foreign- shock!

    https://twitter.com/mapsome/status/1035965578043944961?s=19

    I've never come across any Irish person who can't speak fluent English.
    How many of them can speak Irish?

    According to the 2011 census, 1.77 million people in Ireland claimed they could speak Irish, which is 41% of the population. While this looks impressive on paper, it says nothing about the level of Irish people have or if they ever use it. More revealing is the number of people who claim to speak it on a daily basis, only 77,000 people, less than 2% of the population....

    Worst still, there are no people who only speak Irish (monoglots) left, even native Irish speakers are also fluent in English.


    https://whistlinginthewind.org/2015/08/20/why-dont-the-irish-speak-irish/
    It's a shame the Irish lanuage has become weaponised by Sinn Fein. Irish needs as much support across the communiuty as it can get if it is to survive.
  • Options
    murali_smurali_s Posts: 3,045

    Your not in the party Dan

    You voted against Lab. at GE 2017

    Its nothing to do with you
    Only Labour members matter?
    What about potential Labour voters?
    12.9M in 2017 an increase of 4.2mM on 2010

    DH went the opposite way

    DH is irrelevant
    We lost in 2010 and we lost in 2017. We have become experts at losing GEs.

    As I keep saying, politics is like football - winning is pretty important.
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    JonathanJonathan Posts: 20,913

    I'm seeing adverts for The Blue Wave.

    Launching soon.

    Tory Momentum?

    Me too, either that or a promotion for haircuts in the weeks leading up to the Tory conference.
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    brendan16brendan16 Posts: 2,315
    edited September 2018
    AnneJGP said:

    Foxy said:

    Britons not the worst at speaking foreign- shock!

    https://twitter.com/mapsome/status/1035965578043944961?s=19

    I've never come across any Irish person who can't speak fluent English.
    Is that 70 per cent of Irish citizens or Irish residents? There are actually more Irish citizens living in the UK than in the Irish republic!

    Hardly anyone in reality speaks Irish Gaelic fluently - they learn it at school but never use it again - and outside some remote parts of Kerry and Connemara it's not spoken at all day to day!
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    Charles said:

    @David_Evershed FPT

    C’est magnifique mais ce n’est pas le gare

    Unknown, Worcester College, Oxford

    Used (mid-70s) to be told of Keble - along with 'Bring A Brick from Keble' parties....
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    Wonder if any well known western politicians will be tuning in?

    Russian state television introduces weekly show in praise of Vladimir Putin
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    AnneJGPAnneJGP Posts: 2,869

    AnneJGP said:

    Foxy said:

    Britons not the worst at speaking foreign- shock!

    https://twitter.com/mapsome/status/1035965578043944961?s=19

    I've never come across any Irish person who can't speak fluent English.
    How many of them can speak Irish?

    According to the 2011 census, 1.77 million people in Ireland claimed they could speak Irish, which is 41% of the population. While this looks impressive on paper, it says nothing about the level of Irish people have or if they ever use it. More revealing is the number of people who claim to speak it on a daily basis, only 77,000 people, less than 2% of the population....

    Worst still, there are no people who only speak Irish (monoglots) left, even native Irish speakers are also fluent in English.


    https://whistlinginthewind.org/2015/08/20/why-dont-the-irish-speak-irish/
    Have they decided how mother-tongue English speakers are going to get on in the EU when the UK leaves & English is no longer anyone's first-choice language?
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    FregglesFreggles Posts: 3,486
    Jonathan said:

    I'm seeing adverts for The Blue Wave.

    Launching soon.

    Tory Momentum?

    Me too, either that or a promotion for haircuts in the weeks leading up to the Tory conference.
    Cheeky yet genius. Steal the hashtag of the US Democratic mid term campaign, so that when it tends it looks like Hard Brexit is the talk of the town.
  • Options
    mattmatt Posts: 3,789

    AnneJGP said:

    Foxy said:

    Britons not the worst at speaking foreign- shock!

    https://twitter.com/mapsome/status/1035965578043944961?s=19

    I've never come across any Irish person who can't speak fluent English.
    How many of them can speak Irish?

    According to the 2011 census, 1.77 million people in Ireland claimed they could speak Irish, which is 41% of the population. While this looks impressive on paper, it says nothing about the level of Irish people have or if they ever use it. More revealing is the number of people who claim to speak it on a daily basis, only 77,000 people, less than 2% of the population....

    Worst still, there are no people who only speak Irish (monoglots) left, even native Irish speakers are also fluent in English.


    https://whistlinginthewind.org/2015/08/20/why-dont-the-irish-speak-irish/
    So what.
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    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,763
    AnneJGP said:

    AnneJGP said:

    Foxy said:

    Britons not the worst at speaking foreign- shock!

    https://twitter.com/mapsome/status/1035965578043944961?s=19

    I've never come across any Irish person who can't speak fluent English.
    How many of them can speak Irish?

    According to the 2011 census, 1.77 million people in Ireland claimed they could speak Irish, which is 41% of the population. While this looks impressive on paper, it says nothing about the level of Irish people have or if they ever use it. More revealing is the number of people who claim to speak it on a daily basis, only 77,000 people, less than 2% of the population....

    Worst still, there are no people who only speak Irish (monoglots) left, even native Irish speakers are also fluent in English.


    https://whistlinginthewind.org/2015/08/20/why-dont-the-irish-speak-irish/
    Have they decided how mother-tongue English speakers are going to get on in the EU when the UK leaves & English is no longer anyone's first-choice language?
    English will remain the EUs working language
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    For anti-Corbyn MPs, muddling through is no longer viable

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/sep/03/anti-corbyn-mps-labour-party-split
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    AnneJGPAnneJGP Posts: 2,869

    AnneJGP said:

    AnneJGP said:

    Foxy said:

    Britons not the worst at speaking foreign- shock!

    https://twitter.com/mapsome/status/1035965578043944961?s=19

    I've never come across any Irish person who can't speak fluent English.
    How many of them can speak Irish?

    According to the 2011 census, 1.77 million people in Ireland claimed they could speak Irish, which is 41% of the population. While this looks impressive on paper, it says nothing about the level of Irish people have or if they ever use it. More revealing is the number of people who claim to speak it on a daily basis, only 77,000 people, less than 2% of the population....

    Worst still, there are no people who only speak Irish (monoglots) left, even native Irish speakers are also fluent in English.


    https://whistlinginthewind.org/2015/08/20/why-dont-the-irish-speak-irish/
    Have they decided how mother-tongue English speakers are going to get on in the EU when the UK leaves & English is no longer anyone's first-choice language?
    English will remain the EUs working language
    That's interesting, thank you - I hadn't heard that.
  • Options

    AnneJGP said:

    Foxy said:

    Britons not the worst at speaking foreign- shock!

    https://twitter.com/mapsome/status/1035965578043944961?s=19

    I've never come across any Irish person who can't speak fluent English.
    How many of them can speak Irish?

    According to the 2011 census, 1.77 million people in Ireland claimed they could speak Irish, which is 41% of the population. While this looks impressive on paper, it says nothing about the level of Irish people have or if they ever use it. More revealing is the number of people who claim to speak it on a daily basis, only 77,000 people, less than 2% of the population....

    Worst still, there are no people who only speak Irish (monoglots) left, even native Irish speakers are also fluent in English.


    https://whistlinginthewind.org/2015/08/20/why-dont-the-irish-speak-irish/
    It's a shame the Irish lanuage has become weaponised by Sinn Fein. Irish needs as much support across the communiuty as it can get if it is to survive.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1A6__HssHW8
  • Options
    As everybody was anxious to know...Labour National Policy Forum election results are coming through

    Scotland: 4 Momentum backed elected
    Wales: 4 Momentum
    East Midlands: 3 Momentum 1 Lab First
    West Midlands: 3 Momentum 1 Lab First
    South East: 4 Momentum
    North East: 3 Momentum 1 Lab First
    East: 4 Momentum
  • Options

    As everybody was anxious to know...Labour National Policy Forum election results are coming through

    Scotland: 4 Momentum backed elected
    Wales: 4 Momentum
    East Midlands: 3 Momentum 1 Lab First
    West Midlands: 3 Momentum 1 Lab First
    South East: 4 Momentum
    North East: 3 Momentum 1 Lab First
    East: 4 Momentum

  • Options
    JonathanJonathan Posts: 20,913
    Freggles said:

    Jonathan said:

    I'm seeing adverts for The Blue Wave.

    Launching soon.

    Tory Momentum?

    Me too, either that or a promotion for haircuts in the weeks leading up to the Tory conference.
    Cheeky yet genius. Steal the hashtag of the US Democratic mid term campaign, so that when it tends it looks like Hard Brexit is the talk of the town.
    It is depressing that politics has come to this.
  • Options
    Corbyn would be better than May/Hunt/Johnson. And thats why there wont be a split
  • Options
    Foxy said:

    Britons not the worst at speaking foreign- shock!

    https://twitter.com/mapsome/status/1035965578043944961?s=19

    I find those numbers for the UK very hard to believe.
  • Options
    It’s a bit harsh, but part of me can’t help but feel tickled by Eddie Izzard shooting and missing. Again.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,941
    Conference season this year is going to be popcorntastic!!
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,292
    edited September 2018
    Sandpit said:

    Conference season this year is going to be popcorntastic!!
    I doubt it. Not enough labour MPs with any backbone. They will do what they did during the GE and keep quiet.

    It is just the Tories that love a good public dust up.
  • Options
    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,789
    edited September 2018
    matt said:

    AnneJGP said:

    Foxy said:

    Britons not the worst at speaking foreign- shock!

    https://twitter.com/mapsome/status/1035965578043944961?s=19

    I've never come across any Irish person who can't speak fluent English.
    How many of them can speak Irish?

    According to the 2011 census, 1.77 million people in Ireland claimed they could speak Irish, which is 41% of the population. While this looks impressive on paper, it says nothing about the level of Irish people have or if they ever use it. More revealing is the number of people who claim to speak it on a daily basis, only 77,000 people, less than 2% of the population....

    Worst still, there are no people who only speak Irish (monoglots) left, even native Irish speakers are also fluent in English.


    https://whistlinginthewind.org/2015/08/20/why-dont-the-irish-speak-irish/
    So what.
    Which is the “foreign” language in Ireland?
  • Options
    JonathanJonathan Posts: 20,913

    It’s a bit harsh, but part of me can’t help but feel tickled by Eddie Izzard shooting and missing. Again.

    That's unfair. Anyway, give him a week and one of the JC9 will have to resign and he will back in again.
  • Options
    matt said:

    AnneJGP said:

    Foxy said:

    Britons not the worst at speaking foreign- shock!

    https://twitter.com/mapsome/status/1035965578043944961?s=19

    I've never come across any Irish person who can't speak fluent English.
    How many of them can speak Irish?

    According to the 2011 census, 1.77 million people in Ireland claimed they could speak Irish, which is 41% of the population. While this looks impressive on paper, it says nothing about the level of Irish people have or if they ever use it. More revealing is the number of people who claim to speak it on a daily basis, only 77,000 people, less than 2% of the population....

    Worst still, there are no people who only speak Irish (monoglots) left, even native Irish speakers are also fluent in English.


    https://whistlinginthewind.org/2015/08/20/why-dont-the-irish-speak-irish/
    So what.
    Irish can hardly be called a native language for them, and english can't really be called a foreign one. AnneJGP seemed to imply that Irish folk speaking English meant they'd learnt a foreign language.
  • Options
    FPT - @EiT. Thanks for the link.

    I’m going to stick my neck out and say Peter Altmaier (the “committed European federalist”, who is “well connected in Brussels” and “unlikely to be much of a reformer”) will win it.
  • Options
    Jonathan said:

    It’s a bit harsh, but part of me can’t help but feel tickled by Eddie Izzard shooting and missing. Again.

    That's unfair. Anyway, give him a week and one of the JC9 will have to resign and he will back in again.
    He loses every election or campaign he fights for. He doesn’t exactly have the common touch, does he?

    But, you have to admire his determination and tenacity.
  • Options
    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,763

    FPT - @EiT. Thanks for the link.

    I’m going to stick my neck out and say Peter Altmaier (the “committed European federalist”, who is “well connected in Brussels” and “unlikely to be much of a reformer”) will win it.

    this is excellent news

    we can kidnap him and subsitiute Matt Lucas then we control the EU
  • Options
    JonathanJonathan Posts: 20,913
    edited September 2018

    Jonathan said:

    It’s a bit harsh, but part of me can’t help but feel tickled by Eddie Izzard shooting and missing. Again.

    That's unfair. Anyway, give him a week and one of the JC9 will have to resign and he will back in again.
    He loses every election or campaign he fights for. He doesn’t exactly have the common touch, does he?

    But, you have to admire his determination and tenacity.
    The only way you can avoid losing is by never trying. Democracy is built on losers.

    But like I say given a few weeks and one of the JC9 will say something and resign and Izzard will be back on the NEC.

    Why anyone would want to be on the NEC is beyond me though.
  • Options
    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    It’s a bit harsh, but part of me can’t help but feel tickled by Eddie Izzard shooting and missing. Again.

    That's unfair. Anyway, give him a week and one of the JC9 will have to resign and he will back in again.
    He loses every election or campaign he fights for. He doesn’t exactly have the common touch, does he?

    But, you have to admire his determination and tenacity.
    The only way you can avoid losing is by never trying. Democracy is built on losers.
    Maybe he needs a bit of feedback.
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,072

    AnneJGP said:

    AnneJGP said:

    Foxy said:

    Britons not the worst at speaking foreign- shock!

    https://twitter.com/mapsome/status/1035965578043944961?s=19

    I've never come across any Irish person who can't speak fluent English.
    How many of them can speak Irish?

    According to the 2011 census, 1.77 million people in Ireland claimed they could speak Irish, which is 41% of the population. While this looks impressive on paper, it says nothing about the level of Irish people have or if they ever use it. More revealing is the number of people who claim to speak it on a daily basis, only 77,000 people, less than 2% of the population....

    Worst still, there are no people who only speak Irish (monoglots) left, even native Irish speakers are also fluent in English.


    https://whistlinginthewind.org/2015/08/20/why-dont-the-irish-speak-irish/
    Have they decided how mother-tongue English speakers are going to get on in the EU when the UK leaves & English is no longer anyone's first-choice language?
    English will remain the EUs working language
    It's like Washington DC: because it's no one's national language (officially) , it's a neutral choice.
  • Options
    JonathanJonathan Posts: 20,913

    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    It’s a bit harsh, but part of me can’t help but feel tickled by Eddie Izzard shooting and missing. Again.

    That's unfair. Anyway, give him a week and one of the JC9 will have to resign and he will back in again.
    He loses every election or campaign he fights for. He doesn’t exactly have the common touch, does he?

    But, you have to admire his determination and tenacity.
    The only way you can avoid losing is by never trying. Democracy is built on losers.
    Maybe he needs a bit of feedback.
    Patience. Look at Farage. That guy lost pretty much everything, until he didn't.
  • Options
    RogerRoger Posts: 18,904
    edited September 2018
    murali_s said:

    Your not in the party Dan

    You voted against Lab. at GE 2017

    Its nothing to do with you
    Only Labour members matter?
    What about potential Labour voters?
    12.9M in 2017 an increase of 4.2mM on 2010

    DH went the opposite way

    DH is irrelevant
    We lost in 2010 and we lost in 2017. We have become experts at losing GEs.

    As I keep saying, politics is like football - winning is pretty important.
    At the moment I'd rate stopping the other side as more important than getting a majority. Who in their right mind would want Boris Rees-Mogg or Corbyn to have decent majorities? Any one of them and we'd all be screwed.
  • Options
    JonathanJonathan Posts: 20,913
    rcs1000 said:

    AnneJGP said:

    AnneJGP said:

    Foxy said:

    Britons not the worst at speaking foreign- shock!

    https://twitter.com/mapsome/status/1035965578043944961?s=19

    I've never come across any Irish person who can't speak fluent English.
    How many of them can speak Irish?

    According to the 2011 census, 1.77 million people in Ireland claimed they could speak Irish, which is 41% of the population. While this looks impressive on paper, it says nothing about the level of Irish people have or if they ever use it. More revealing is the number of people who claim to speak it on a daily basis, only 77,000 people, less than 2% of the population....

    Worst still, there are no people who only speak Irish (monoglots) left, even native Irish speakers are also fluent in English.


    https://whistlinginthewind.org/2015/08/20/why-dont-the-irish-speak-irish/
    Have they decided how mother-tongue English speakers are going to get on in the EU when the UK leaves & English is no longer anyone's first-choice language?
    English will remain the EUs working language
    It's like Washington DC: because it's no one's national language (officially) , it's a neutral choice.
    English is a bad language for international business. Too much nuance. It's also missing a grammatical structure to distinguishing asking questions to gain information and questioning something because you think it's shite. Most people defensively assume the latter.
  • Options
    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Corbyn would be better than May/Hunt/Johnson. And thats why there wont be a split
    An evil anti-Semite and his fellow travellers better than Hunt or May?

    You may not agree with them but they are fundamentally doing what they think is right for the country.

    You need to take a long hard look in the mirror my friend.
  • Options

    FPT - @EiT. Thanks for the link.

    I’m going to stick my neck out and say Peter Altmaier (the “committed European federalist”, who is “well connected in Brussels” and “unlikely to be much of a reformer”) will win it.

    this is excellent news

    we can kidnap him and subsitiute Matt Lucas then we control the EU
    If there was a prospect of us controlling the EU, for instance by helping to elect the ACR candidate to EU Commission President to reform it and institute mechanisms to return powers to the member states, then we’d have stayed.

    But, it will be a Franco-German stitch up (along with the President of the ECB) as per usual.
  • Options
    JonathanJonathan Posts: 20,913
    Charles said:

    Corbyn would be better than May/Hunt/Johnson. And thats why there wont be a split
    An evil anti-Semite and his fellow travellers better than Hunt or May?

    You may not agree with them but they are fundamentally doing what they think is right for the country.
    That is not enough. All tyrants through history did what they thought was the right.

  • Options
    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    It’s a bit harsh, but part of me can’t help but feel tickled by Eddie Izzard shooting and missing. Again.

    That's unfair. Anyway, give him a week and one of the JC9 will have to resign and he will back in again.
    He loses every election or campaign he fights for. He doesn’t exactly have the common touch, does he?

    But, you have to admire his determination and tenacity.
    The only way you can avoid losing is by never trying. Democracy is built on losers.

    But like I say given a few weeks and one of the JC9 will say something and resign and Izzard will be back on the NEC.

    Why anyone would want to be on the NEC is beyond me though.
    Eddie Izzard is the Spurs of British democracy

    Discuss.
  • Options
    Jonathan said:

    rcs1000 said:

    AnneJGP said:

    AnneJGP said:

    Foxy said:

    Britons not the worst at speaking foreign- shock!

    https://twitter.com/mapsome/status/1035965578043944961?s=19

    I've never come across any Irish person who can't speak fluent English.
    How many of them can speak Irish?

    According to the 2011 census, 1.77 million people in Ireland claimed they could speak Irish, which is 41% of the population. While this looks impressive on paper, it says nothing about the level of Irish people have or if they ever use it. More revealing is the number of people who claim to speak it on a daily basis, only 77,000 people, less than 2% of the population....

    Worst still, there are no people who only speak Irish (monoglots) left, even native Irish speakers are also fluent in English.


    https://whistlinginthewind.org/2015/08/20/why-dont-the-irish-speak-irish/
    Have they decided how mother-tongue English speakers are going to get on in the EU when the UK leaves & English is no longer anyone's first-choice language?
    English will remain the EUs working language
    It's like Washington DC: because it's no one's national language (officially) , it's a neutral choice.
    English is a bad language for international business. Too much nuance. It's also missing a grammatical structure to distinguishing asking questions to gain information and questioning something because you think it's shite. Most people defensively assume the latter.
    I’m not sure international business has got the memo about English being bad for it, nor English law which many insist their contracts are written in.
  • Options
    Are there many examples of elected members of a particular party asking MPs from another party to vote against MPs from their own party?

    https://twitter.com/Carlaw4Eastwood/status/1036594499840090115
  • Options
    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    rcs1000 said:

    AnneJGP said:

    AnneJGP said:

    Foxy said:

    Britons not the worst at speaking foreign- shock!

    https://twitter.com/mapsome/status/1035965578043944961?s=19

    I've never come across any Irish person who can't speak fluent English.
    How many of them can speak Irish?

    According to the 2011 census, 1.77 million people in Ireland claimed they could speak Irish, which is 41% of the population. While this looks impressive on paper, it says nothing about the level of Irish people have or if they ever use it. More revealing is the number of people who claim to speak it on a daily basis, only 77,000 people, less than 2% of the population....

    Worst still, there are no people who only speak Irish (monoglots) left, even native Irish speakers are also fluent in English.


    https://whistlinginthewind.org/2015/08/20/why-dont-the-irish-speak-irish/
    Have they decided how mother-tongue English speakers are going to get on in the EU when the UK leaves & English is no longer anyone's first-choice language?
    English will remain the EUs working language
    It's like Washington DC: because it's no one's national language (officially) , it's a neutral choice.
    Malta?

    You need to wear more suntan lotion
  • Options
    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    It’s a bit harsh, but part of me can’t help but feel tickled by Eddie Izzard shooting and missing. Again.

    That's unfair. Anyway, give him a week and one of the JC9 will have to resign and he will back in again.
    He loses every election or campaign he fights for. He doesn’t exactly have the common touch, does he?

    But, you have to admire his determination and tenacity.
    The only way you can avoid losing is by never trying. Democracy is built on losers.
    Maybe he needs a bit of feedback.
    Patience. Look at Farage. That guy lost pretty much everything, until he didn't.
    He had an impressive record in EU elections, and was starting to make an impact in local ones post 2012.
  • Options
    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    Jonathan said:

    Charles said:

    Corbyn would be better than May/Hunt/Johnson. And thats why there wont be a split
    An evil anti-Semite and his fellow travellers better than Hunt or May?

    You may not agree with them but they are fundamentally doing what they think is right for the country.
    That is not enough. All tyrants through history did what they thought was the right.

    They are fundamentally decent people who are trying to improve the lot of the ordinary people of the U.K. within the framework of parliamentary democracy. They are not racist. They don’t hang out with murderers.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,168
    Hypothetical polling is not perfect but nor should it be dismissed. Hypothetical polling told us for example that John Major would be competitive against Kinnock in 1990 or that Cameron would be the Tories best bet against Brown in 2005 or that Ed Miliband would be a weaker opponent for the Tories than David Miliband in 2010, all of which proved correct.

    Maybe, the reason TSE is not so keen on hypothetical polling at the moment is it does not favour his preferred candidates to be next Tory leader
  • Options

    Corbyn would be better than May/Hunt/Johnson. And thats why there wont be a split
    You sound like a GOP apologist saying "at least Trump isn't Hillary"
  • Options
    Charles said:

    Jonathan said:

    Charles said:

    Corbyn would be better than May/Hunt/Johnson. And thats why there wont be a split
    An evil anti-Semite and his fellow travellers better than Hunt or May?

    You may not agree with them but they are fundamentally doing what they think is right for the country.
    That is not enough. All tyrants through history did what they thought was the right.

    They are fundamentally decent people who are trying to improve the lot of the ordinary people of the U.K. within the framework of parliamentary democracy. They are not racist. They don’t hang out with murderers.
    I think this is calling cutting off one’s face to spite one’s nose.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,168

    As everybody was anxious to know...Labour National Policy Forum election results are coming through

    Scotland: 4 Momentum backed elected
    Wales: 4 Momentum
    East Midlands: 3 Momentum 1 Lab First
    West Midlands: 3 Momentum 1 Lab First
    South East: 4 Momentum
    North East: 3 Momentum 1 Lab First
    East: 4 Momentum

    Big gains for Momentum as they also launch a bid to deselect Enfield North MP Joan Ryan

    https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/friends-of-israel-mp-targeted-for-deselection-by-corbyn-loyalists-a3926331.html

  • Options
    Anyone else looked up the derivation of the term "diddly squat" ?

    Perhaps Boris knew without looking it up.
  • Options

    Foxy said:

    Britons not the worst at speaking foreign- shock!

    https://twitter.com/mapsome/status/1035965578043944961?s=19

    I find those numbers for the UK very hard to believe.
    Me too. I expect that many people who did a gcse in a foreign language claimed they can speak it. I did four foreign language GCSEs but never studied them further. I wouldn't say I can speak any of those without admitting the severe limitations of my knowledge.
  • Options
    StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092
    HYUFD said:

    Hypothetical polling is not perfect but nor should it be dismissed. Hypothetical polling told us for example that John Major would be competitive against Kinnock in 1990 or that Cameron would be the Tories best bet against Brown in 2005 or that Ed Miliband would be a weaker opponent for the Tories than David Miliband in 2010, all of which proved correct.

    Maybe, the reason TSE is not so keen on hypothetical polling at the moment is it does not favour his preferred candidates to be next Tory leader

    How did the last two prove correct? Are you an interdimensional traveller?
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,168
    edited September 2018

    HYUFD said:

    Hypothetical polling is not perfect but nor should it be dismissed. Hypothetical polling told us for example that John Major would be competitive against Kinnock in 1990 or that Cameron would be the Tories best bet against Brown in 2005 or that Ed Miliband would be a weaker opponent for the Tories than David Miliband in 2010, all of which proved correct.

    Maybe, the reason TSE is not so keen on hypothetical polling at the moment is it does not favour his preferred candidates to be next Tory leader

    How did the last two prove correct? Are you an interdimensional traveller?
    Cameron won the most seats for the Tories in 2010 and gained the most seats for the party in decades and then won a majority in 2015, Ed Miliband got Labour's worst result in 28 years in 2015 as the Tories won an overall majority
  • Options
    StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Hypothetical polling is not perfect but nor should it be dismissed. Hypothetical polling told us for example that John Major would be competitive against Kinnock in 1990 or that Cameron would be the Tories best bet against Brown in 2005 or that Ed Miliband would be a weaker opponent for the Tories than David Miliband in 2010, all of which proved correct.

    Maybe, the reason TSE is not so keen on hypothetical polling at the moment is it does not favour his preferred candidates to be next Tory leader

    How did the last two prove correct? Are you an interdimensional traveller?
    Cameron won the most seats for the Tories in 2010 and gained the most seats for the party in decades and then won a majority in 2015, Ed Miliband got Labour's worst result in 28 years in 2015 as the Tories won an overall majority
    Okay, and where's the evidence that other Tories or David Miliband would have done worse/better?
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,168
    edited September 2018

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Hypothetical polling is not perfect but nor should it be dismissed. Hypothetical polling told us for example that John Major would be competitive against Kinnock in 1990 or that Cameron would be the Tories best bet against Brown in 2005 or that Ed Miliband would be a weaker opponent for the Tories than David Miliband in 2010, all of which proved correct.

    Maybe, the reason TSE is not so keen on hypothetical polling at the moment is it does not favour his preferred candidates to be next Tory leader

    How did the last two prove correct? Are you an interdimensional traveller?
    Cameron won the most seats for the Tories in 2010 and gained the most seats for the party in decades and then won a majority in 2015, Ed Miliband got Labour's worst result in 28 years in 2015 as the Tories won an overall majority
    Okay, and where's the evidence that other Tories or David Miliband would have done worse/better?
    As other Tories did worse in 2005 and 2001 (when Ken Clarke did best in hypothetical polls).

    As for David Miliband he may not have won in 2010 or 2015 but he would almost certainly have done better than Gordon Brown and Ed Miliband, Blair favoured him as his heir for a reason
  • Options
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Hypothetical polling is not perfect but nor should it be dismissed. Hypothetical polling told us for example that John Major would be competitive against Kinnock in 1990 or that Cameron would be the Tories best bet against Brown in 2005 or that Ed Miliband would be a weaker opponent for the Tories than David Miliband in 2010, all of which proved correct.

    Maybe, the reason TSE is not so keen on hypothetical polling at the moment is it does not favour his preferred candidates to be next Tory leader

    How did the last two prove correct? Are you an interdimensional traveller?
    Cameron won the most seats for the Tories in 2010 and gained the most seats for the party in decades and then won a majority in 2015, Ed Miliband got Labour's worst result in 28 years in 2015 as the Tories won an overall majority
    Do you have a citation for hypothetical polls comparing Davis and Cameron with Brown?
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,168
    edited September 2018

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Hypothetical polling is not perfect but nor should it be dismissed. Hypothetical polling told us for example that John Major would be competitive against Kinnock in 1990 or that Cameron would be the Tories best bet against Brown in 2005 or that Ed Miliband would be a weaker opponent for the Tories than David Miliband in 2010, all of which proved correct.

    Maybe, the reason TSE is not so keen on hypothetical polling at the moment is it does not favour his preferred candidates to be next Tory leader

    How did the last two prove correct? Are you an interdimensional traveller?
    Cameron won the most seats for the Tories in 2010 and gained the most seats for the party in decades and then won a majority in 2015, Ed Miliband got Labour's worst result in 28 years in 2015 as the Tories won an overall majority
    Do you have a citation for hypothetical polls comparing Davis and Cameron with Brown?
    I will have a look in the archives but I remember there was a Mori poll in 2005 which had the Tories on 36% under Cameron and Clarke v Brown, 33% under Davis and 32% under Fox as I had a vote in the leadership election at the time
  • Options

    Corbyn would be better than May/Hunt/Johnson. And thats why there wont be a split
    You've got a good quota of English irony there!
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,072
    Charles said:

    rcs1000 said:

    AnneJGP said:

    AnneJGP said:

    Foxy said:

    Britons not the worst at speaking foreign- shock!

    https://twitter.com/mapsome/status/1035965578043944961?s=19

    I've never come across any Irish person who can't speak fluent English.
    How many of them can speak Irish?

    According to the 2011 census, 1.77 million people in Ireland claimed they could speak Irish, which is 41% of the population. While this looks impressive on paper, it says nothing about the level of Irish people have or if they ever use it. More revealing is the number of people who claim to speak it on a daily basis, only 77,000 people, less than 2% of the population....

    Worst still, there are no people who only speak Irish (monoglots) left, even native Irish speakers are also fluent in English.


    https://whistlinginthewind.org/2015/08/20/why-dont-the-irish-speak-irish/
    Have they decided how mother-tongue English speakers are going to get on in the EU when the UK leaves & English is no longer anyone's first-choice language?
    English will remain the EUs working language
    It's like Washington DC: because it's no one's national language (officially) , it's a neutral choice.
    Malta?

    You need to wear more suntan lotion
    Maltese is technically their official language. Despite almost no one speaking it.
  • Options
    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    "Europe Elects
    @EuropeElects
    18m18 minutes ago
    Italy, SWG poll:
    LEGA-ENF: 32% (+2)
    M5S-EFDD: 28% (-2)
    PD-S&D: 17%
    FI-EPP: 7% (-2)
    FdI-*: 4%
    Field work: 29/08/18 – 3/09/18
    Sample size: 1,500"
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,168
    edited September 2018

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Hypothetical polling is not perfect but nor should it be dismissed. Hypothetical polling told us for example that John Major would be competitive against Kinnock in 1990 or that Cameron would be the Tories best bet against Brown in 2005 or that Ed Miliband would be a weaker opponent for the Tories than David Miliband in 2010, all of which proved correct.

    Maybe, the reason TSE is not so keen on hypothetical polling at the moment is it does not favour his preferred candidates to be next Tory leader

    How did the last two prove correct? Are you an interdimensional traveller?
    Cameron won the most seats for the Tories in 2010 and gained the most seats for the party in decades and then won a majority in 2015, Ed Miliband got Labour's worst result in 28 years in 2015 as the Tories won an overall majority
    Do you have a citation for hypothetical polls comparing Davis and Cameron with Brown?
    After much trawling found the link here

    Tories on 36% under Cameron, 33% under Davis and 31% under Fox

    https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/conservative-party-leadership-poll
  • Options
    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    edited September 2018
    London: 3 Momentum, 1 Lab First
    North West: 4 Momentum
    Local government: 4 Lab First
    International: 1...I don't know...
    Youth Rep Scotland: Momentum
    Youth Rep London: Momentum
    Youth Rep: North West: Momentum
    Youth Rep North East: Momentum
    Youth Rep Yorkshire: Momentum
    Youth Rep East Midlands: Momentum

    As everybody was anxious to know...Labour National Policy Forum election results are coming through

    Scotland: 4 Momentum backed elected
    Wales: 4 Momentum
    East Midlands: 3 Momentum 1 Lab First
    West Midlands: 3 Momentum 1 Lab First
    South East: 4 Momentum
    North East: 3 Momentum 1 Lab First
    East: 4 Momentum

  • Options
    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    rcs1000 said:

    Charles said:

    rcs1000 said:

    AnneJGP said:

    AnneJGP said:

    Foxy said:

    Britons not the worst at speaking foreign- shock!

    https://twitter.com/mapsome/status/1035965578043944961?s=19

    I've never come across any Irish person who can't speak fluent English.
    How many of them can speak Irish?

    According to the 2011 census, 1.77 million people in Ireland claimed they could speak Irish, which is 41% of the population. While this looks impressive on paper, it says nothing about the level of Irish people have or if they ever use it. More revealing is the number of people who claim to speak it on a daily basis, only 77,000 people, less than 2% of the population....

    Worst still, there are no people who only speak Irish (monoglots) left, even native Irish speakers are also fluent in English.


    https://whistlinginthewind.org/2015/08/20/why-dont-the-irish-speak-irish/
    Have they decided how mother-tongue English speakers are going to get on in the EU when the UK leaves & English is no longer anyone's first-choice language?
    English will remain the EUs working language
    It's like Washington DC: because it's no one's national language (officially) , it's a neutral choice.
    Malta?

    You need to wear more suntan lotion
    Maltese is technically their official language. Despite almost no one speaking it.
    Maltese and English...
  • Options
    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    London: 3 Momentum, 1 Lab First
    North West: 4 Momentum
    Local government: 4 Lab First
    International: 1...I don't know...
    Youth Rep Scotland: Momentum
    Youth Rep London: Momentum
    Youth Rep: North West: Momentum
    Youth Rep North East: Momentum
    Youth Rep Yorkshire: Momentum
    Youth Rep East Midlands: Momentum



    As everybody was anxious to know...Labour National Policy Forum election results are coming through

    Scotland: 4 Momentum backed elected
    Wales: 4 Momentum
    East Midlands: 3 Momentum 1 Lab First
    West Midlands: 3 Momentum 1 Lab First
    South East: 4 Momentum
    North East: 3 Momentum 1 Lab First
    East: 4 Momentum

    Momentum have...umm... rapid forward motion with no signs of slowing?
  • Options
    Charles said:

    London: 3 Momentum, 1 Lab First
    North West: 4 Momentum
    Local government: 4 Lab First
    International: 1...I don't know...
    Youth Rep Scotland: Momentum
    Youth Rep London: Momentum
    Youth Rep: North West: Momentum
    Youth Rep North East: Momentum
    Youth Rep Yorkshire: Momentum
    Youth Rep East Midlands: Momentum



    As everybody was anxious to know...Labour National Policy Forum election results are coming through

    Scotland: 4 Momentum backed elected
    Wales: 4 Momentum
    East Midlands: 3 Momentum 1 Lab First
    West Midlands: 3 Momentum 1 Lab First
    South East: 4 Momentum
    North East: 3 Momentum 1 Lab First
    East: 4 Momentum

    Momentum have...umm... rapid forward motion with no signs of slowing?
    "A great party, rotten from within, was defeated from without"
  • Options

    London: 3 Momentum, 1 Lab First
    North West: 4 Momentum
    Local government: 4 Lab First
    International: 1...I don't know...
    Youth Rep Scotland: Momentum
    Youth Rep London: Momentum
    Youth Rep: North West: Momentum
    Youth Rep North East: Momentum
    Youth Rep Yorkshire: Momentum
    Youth Rep East Midlands: Momentum



    As everybody was anxious to know...Labour National Policy Forum election results are coming through

    Scotland: 4 Momentum backed elected
    Wales: 4 Momentum
    East Midlands: 3 Momentum 1 Lab First
    West Midlands: 3 Momentum 1 Lab First
    South East: 4 Momentum
    North East: 3 Momentum 1 Lab First
    East: 4 Momentum

    Looks like Labour will have to try to infiltrate the Momentum Party.
  • Options
    TomsToms Posts: 2,478
    AnneJGP said:

    These polls are telling you something, even if it isn't exactly what the formal results suggest.

    It's always worth remembering that poll responses are not given under oath. Respondents are quite capable of lying or overstating their position for emphasis.

    I understand that when you fill out medical questionnaires, doctors multiply your stated alcohol consumption by two and your stated cigarette consumption by five. Anything that is designed to show a poll respondent in a particular light should similarly be held with tongs and scrutinised carefully.

    What do they do with a "Don't smoke, don't drink" response?

    Although mine isn't quite that - I do drink, regularly: one glass of Tio Pepe every Christmas. Or New Year's eve, if I happen to miss out at Christmas.

    Good afternoon, everyone.
    With respect affection you sound a bit like a Barbara Pym character.
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,144
    "even with the most generous interpretation, Corbyn has been exposed as intellectually unequipped to understand antisemitism, let alone combat it effectively."

    He doesn't deserve that most generous interpretation.

    Nasty piece of work.
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