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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » BoJo back on top of the ConHome preferred next leader ratings
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » BoJo back on top of the ConHome preferred next leader ratings
Former Mayor of London and former foreign secretary, Boris Johnson, who quit the cabinet last month over the Chequers deal, has seen a remarkable upsurge in his fortunes in the monthly ConservativeHome survey of preferred next leader survey. He’s now on 29% up from the 8% of a month ago.
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On which:
"Remainers have to hope there is a crisis" in order to try to reverse Brexit, Grant pointed out.
He said that this was a "high-risk strategy", because many perceive it as "scaremongering."
Pressure for a second vote "will come with renewed force after summer," predicted Menon, because it will be the last chance for 'Remain' supporters, before the EU and the UK try to reach a deal and the UK parliament votes to ratify it.
According to the Sky TV poll, 78 percent of Britons think that the government is doing a bad job on Brexit, and 42 percent - against 31 percent - think that Brexit will be bad for them.
Grant insisted however that public opinion's "shift towards regret [was] very small."
He noted that Remain led by a few percentage points in recent polls, the trend was similar ahead of the June 2016. And while some Leave voters may turn to Remain, the opposite was also true, especially due to a perception that the EU is "bullying the British".
https://euobserver.com/uk-referendum/142503
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The Trump administration plans to propose slapping a 25-percent tariff on $200 billion of imported Chinese goods after initially setting them at 10 percent, in a bid to pressure Beijing into making trade concessions, a source familiar with the plan said on Tuesday.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-trade-china/trump-to-propose-25-percent-tariff-on-200-bln-of-chinese-imports-source-idUSKBN1KM3B3?feedType=RSS&feedName=topNews&utm_medium=Social&utm_source=twitter&__twitter_impression=true&__twitter_impression=true
I think he has a white balance issue.
"Jeremy Corbyn apologises for hosting 2010 Holocaust event"
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-45027582
His comment is also funny: "Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn has apologised for appearing on platforms with people whose views he "completely rejects".
He probably means he's stood on platforms with some Blairite wannabe-Tory war criminals once.
A lot of lucky people in Mexico yesterday: a plane crashed on take-off, and it appears as though everyone has survived.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-latin-america-45027112
Next we'll have Jezza at the Wailing Wall, Theresa May on the next series of "Love Island" with Trump and Vince Cable at the opening of an envelope.
Javid will continue to fall and Hunt will never register. After May, Tory members are never going to take a chance on a Remainer who now says that they will implement Brexit after all.
Would be worth seeing the utter meltdown on this site of Boris did make it - I think it would be enough to get me back from Australia just for the show...
https://www.pprune.org/rumours-news/611718-aeromexico-crash.html
The fact that his senior civil servants kept champagne on ice ready for his departure - and more to the point at least one of them was happy to make this fact known - is also telling.
If Boris is unthinkable as PM, then what about Corbyn? A passive anti-Semite who seems to hate everything about Britain; a man who offers no workable answers and has an utter tin ear to criticism. Someone who celebrated the people who brought Venezuela to its knees, and who feted the IRA even as they were trying (and sometimes succeeding) in killing his fellow MPs?
Yet he might well become PM. Such are the depths Brexit has reduced us to.
If Boris does fall, JRM will be there to pick up the torch. Careful what you wish for!
Assume universality and a payment of £100pw for adults and £50pw for children, this works out around £280bn per year.
This would require scrapping of the following:
Personal allowances for income tax
Minimum wage
State pension
Tax credits
Child benefit
Unemployment benefit
And the big one:
***HOUSING BENEFIT***
And yet still come up £100bn short.
For anyone not disabled this would be their only benefit and would remove a number of existing protections. From a Labour Party point of view it would also result in a large number of redundancies in the bureaucracies, possibly several hundred thousand in total as whole departments like DWP could be wound up.
There would also be a lot of questions to answer about immigration and eligibility. UBI would certainly not work if 500m EU citizens were entitled to it, if workers here could claim for dependents living abroad, how it works for Brits living abroad (especially with regard to pensions) etc.
On the news last night there was an excerpt from a statement from Jeremy Hunt. It was quite nice having a Foreign Secretary who isn't a bloody oaf.
(Having said that, Hodges is a bit of a talking head, which means he's probably written several conflicting views at the same time.)
https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-usa-election-facebook/facebook-says-it-uncovered-new-meddling-before-2018-us-elections-idUKKBN1KL2FH
The McD dead cat has failed.
I'm pleased to say that Mrs J now seems more disgusted with her than I am. I get the impression that Chakrabarti's time at Liberty was not about preserving and promoting concepts of liberty and freedom, but about progressing her own little career.
She has been exposed as a fraud.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-45023594
Boris should be a little shorter, maybe 25/1, as the odds of the MPs messing up their selection and sending him to the members against a hardcore remainer like Morgan or Rudd.
When it comes to retaining marginals neither Boris or JRM is the guy. Both of them play well in very safe Tory seats in the south of England but dreadfully in the marginals in the north and Scotland.
As an example there are 13 tory mps in Scotland, a party led by either Boris or JRM would lose every single seat.
That is Brexit Britain...
Another genius Brexit dividend...
I'll get my coat.
Boris, Jezza or Cable. If these are the best we can do then we are truly circling the plughole.
Boris's time as FS was not much short of a disaster for both the country and for his own ambition. I find his rise in this poll perplexing.
Like a number of charities, Liberty changed over time from standing up to those in real need across the world to criticising Western governments.
Chakrabati showed her true colours by writing the whitewash report for Labour, in what clearly smells like an exchange for a Peerage.
Here's what I got from Lightroom on the picture as taken from here - note the hands behind Boris in the original are very red. I certainly think the hue for the red channel has been changed by whoever originally posted the picture (Not this site obvs). Note also the pink-red flecks in the wood behind Boris
Here's a quick edit to make Boris appear less pink !
https://twitter.com/Pulpstar/status/1024543896494370816
Edit - also with passports increasingly reliant on technology I think this may well become more or less redundant before long anyway.
This is yet another non story, we are drowning in them these days.
No need to be petty about it for the sake just to slow down foreigners disproportionately , but that’s the drift in the numbers.
Plus, with his record of leaking, he comes across as a terrible snitch who can't keep a secret. Not PM material.