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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Suddenly Tory cabinet indiscipline moves to the top of the political agenda
Is Tory discipline on the verge of breaking down? https://t.co/ELqftPoehk
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[and yes, history fans, I know that's apocryphal at best]
https://twitter.com/davemacladd/status/1011636382786314240
Or, for that matter, the politics of Clodius and Milo.
Edited extra bit: misspelt Clodius.
Still - three lions on the shirt, cricket etc to distract from it - thank god.
When the same is done to Sanders it is the end of civility and the collapse of civilisation.
Her next test is the EU Summit this week. Will she be able to show real progress or will the EU be distracted by immigration, Italy, the current weakness of Merkel and the increasingly fragile democratic structures in eastern Europe? I think she will find it hard to get much attention but people are getting impatient.
US politics has always been partisan, but I can't remember it being as starkly divided as it is now.
However only five day's ago the US ambassador to the UK was telling us that we should buck our ideas up and stop being so "defeatist" about Brexit so maybe the US embassy itself has got problems to sort out?
Boris Johnson attack on Airbus and his cowardice on Heathrow calls for him to be sacked.
I am very disillusioned at present and hope that someone will step up to the plate quickly. Sajid Javid has my vote, the sooner the better in my opinion
and then there's Deustche Banks own little derivative problem
Looks like I’ll be working in Germany next year.
Thank you Leavers.
Has something displeased TSE?
I think its an issue no matter who put what on expenses at the BoE.
Was surprised that a fire chief in
London had no training in evacuating high rise buildings.
https://news.sky.com/story/grenfell-tower-fire-chief-had-no-training-on-cladding-fires-11416679
Well Trump is the most divisive President in my memory, and his discourse is not greatly different from that of the troll Milo Yiannopoulos we were discussing a couple of threads back.
If you accept the role of Trump's spokesperson (which remember is not that of a civil servant, but a political appointment), as the New Yorker put it, someone who has decided to make it her public role to extend, with a blizzard of falsehoods, the words of a pathological liar... should not be enormously surprised if they become fair game for the same public criticism.
As I said, not my choice of action, but I cannot condemn it.
We’re taking back control of our profits and moving them to Germany.
The context of this is me wondering about a decentralized prediction market system called Augur, which for obscure crypto-economic reasons has limitations on how much "open interest" you can have in the system at any one time.
if £29 trn go tits up, there wont be a Germany.
It also means there will be a deal.
Of course, that will be blamed on Brexit by the usual suspects but it actually has virtually nothing to do with it.
Retailers are suffering from high rents, high overheads and changing consumer patterns to buying online (John Lewis, M&S, House of Fraser, Toys R Us and Poundworld, to name but a few) and the housing market has largely seized up due to colossal transactional costs, and the tax changes, together with too few new builds/first time buyers whilst there are some online estate agents that are starting to make serious dents in the traditional high street offerings.
move your profits to a country whose government could collapse at any moment, which arguably is on the brink of a recession, is about to enter a full on trade war with the USA and where a radical right government of CSU and AfD is atm the most likely outcome.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_Italian_general_election#2018
You told us to prepare for a Hard Brexit, we did.
wrt your comment on Ireland, you make my point for me, we will end up with a softish Brexit , so the sudden parade of scare mongering in the last fortnight achieves nothing
as Lenin might have put it we have a lot of useless idiots
Even David Davis has seen the light.
However for your purposes it sounds like you might be concerned by the total "open interest" during a game. I reckon that (measured by stakes, not liability, which could be an additional problem for you if your model is peer-to-peer) would exceed 5% of the market cap of big firms during the World Cup Final, say.
Basically, I think that they are saying that if the City is prevented from continuing or rolling over the services it currently provides to the EU the consequences would be catastrophic for everybody. The BoE is clearly right about that but the EU have some hard decisions to make about passporting etc to avoid the problem.
I told you nothing of the sort, Ive always said we'd have a softish exit and things would go on much as before.
those telling yu about the hard brexit were your fellow remainers and UKIP ultras.
Nigel Farage has a bridge he's like to sell you
I want to go out and pick my fresh fruit and veg for myself on a Saturday.
That option is now closed to me since my local greengrocer closed (for those reasons) and went wholly online, now meaning I have to work out what I need by Weds so I have a chance of booking a delivery slot on a Saturday before they all go, for items I cannot individually pick.
Invariably I don't bother, and just go to Sainsbury’s instead.
Another thing that will be proven to be totally unfounded.
To counter this they have a restriction that's supposed to stop you putting more money into the system than the total value of all the REP that have been issued (plus a safety margin). So I'm wondering how much of a restriction that is in practice.
this time last year PBers were telling me I was nuts for saying Merkel was in the shit. Now it's the status quo. The mood in Germany is currently unpredictable and the CDU and SPD are losing ground, look at the trend, then consider that the AfD is consistently underreported in the polls.
Eastern Germany is currently the laboratory for new politics in the Federal Republic and all bets are off with both Die Linke and AfD being viewed as potential partners in state government.
The BoE have just found an effective way of highlighting the consequences.
But since he was smashed by Dave in the leadership contest he did everything based on opposing Dave.
Davis is a hypocrite. Portrays himself as a great civil libertarian but is opposed to same sex marriage and supports creating a giant DNA database.
She fought for remain in the campaign? Nope. Not how Cameron probably appreciated it. She came out for leave? Nope. Not how leavers probably appreciated it. She was the fudge PM even before she became the fudge PM. She could never ride this raft for ever, now she has chosen to let the ERG replace her.
When the Brexiteer PM is installed, probably Gove and sometime soon now, the first thing they will do is say “we are where we are, let’s take a pragmatic approach sorting this mess out” and instantly everything will just calm down, and move much more smoothly, though a little more slowly, towards the deal.
This isn’t about to happen? Or you read it here first.
This is a problem (not dissimilar to finance) where technical solutions in building construction are beyond the understanding of those regulating the system on a general enforcement basis.
'Former minister Ed Vaizey told BBC Radio 4's Today programme Ms Truss had achieved her goal of getting noticed with her "full frontal..." '
yes yes, Angies' never been stronger
alternatively Brussels sponsored academic earns his shilling