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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » As more Labour MPs call for a referendum on the deal I’m not c

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  • Options
    notmenotme Posts: 3,293
    Cyclefree said:

    If Corbyn himself really wanted to Remain I’m sure he’d find a way to come out for this, regardless of what Labour voters want. But I don’t think he does. So they’re whistling in the wind these MPs.

    Fantastic Derby btw!

    This is the core truth of it. People like Corbyn and Mcdonell are hugely in favour of Brexit. They never wanted us to join in the first place. A capitalist club that inhibits their capacity to control the commanding heights of the economy.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,292
    My god the BBC’s front page guy is still getting grief on twatter...what a toxic platform.
  • Options
    FF43FF43 Posts: 15,785

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    Although Brexit is very definitely a problem, it mostly isn't the EU's problem (unlike Italy which really is s a big threat to the EU). The EU will happily accept the UK as a "vassal". On the assumption that Leave voters also prefer to be a "vassal" of the EU than to go back on their vote, Brexit will go ahead.

    Leave voters will only get a chance to go back on their vote if Leave members of the cabinet decide they are more afraid of the political consequences for them of leading the country to vassal status, than they are of the political consequences of a second referendum.

    If we get to that point, it will be a completely new vote, and "we said Leave and we meant it" won't gain much traction when it means accepting a concrete deal.
    Brexit will only be cancelled if Leave voters urgently change their minds. So far they haven't. The implication is that they prefer to be "vassals" of the EU than to be members of it. They probably think they were vassals already and with Brexit they make a point. It should become clear to anyone paying the slightest attention that we will end up with.a arrangement that is significantly worse than what we had while losing a big say over what happens to us. But, hey.
    The moment when the final text of the withdrawal agreement is revealed will be a big political event that is quite likely to lead to a backlash. The best way for the government to make the political weather would be simultaneously to announce that there will be a referendum. I think they can afford to take a punt on which way public opinion will go, and May will try to rise above the fray.
    If there's a backlash among Leave voters over the settlement, then I agree, we really could see a reversal. But surely that backlash should have started by now? Brexit very obviously isn't going smoothly. I am not hearing Leave voices saying, Brexit really isn't smart, is it?

    There isn't a fray Mrs May is capable of rising above. And certainly not this one.
    At the moment there's a taboo about reversal that can only be broken when one of the people with a hand on the steering wheel says that there's a problem, or when the agreement is there in black and white being dissected by the press. It's amazing how many people still think the negotiations are all posturing.
    I agree with this. Brexit really is dumb. Sadly it's still dumb even if you don't like the EU much and would prefer not to have anything to do with it.
  • Options
    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 42,067
    felix said:

    tlg86 said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    I think complaining about a referendum campaign being divisive is a good working definition of stupidity.

    This detracts from the underlying validity of her point.
    Has Lawson bribed the French to get his residency? If not, I don't get what all the fuss is about.
    Indeed - he has had a home there for many years and is following general advice given by the French authorities. As a Remain voter I'm appalled at the unpleasant tone of these kind of attacks.
    Typical many faced Tory, fill their own pockets , look after themselves and p**s on the public, foolish sheeple who vote them in. How they must laugh at the plebs from their mansions and country houses.
  • Options
    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,128
    felix said:

    tlg86 said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    I think complaining about a referendum campaign being divisive is a good working definition of stupidity.

    This detracts from the underlying validity of her point.
    Has Lawson bribed the French to get his residency? If not, I don't get what all the fuss is about.
    Indeed - he has had a home there for many years and is following general advice given by the French authorities. As a Remain voter I'm appalled at the unpleasant tone of these kind of attacks.
    Its bitterness caused by things not falling apart as they predicted and/or wanted on a range of issues from the economy not being in recession to strawberries filling the shelves in Asda.

    Similar things happen to the fanatics of every defeated political cause.
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    logical_songlogical_song Posts: 9,727
    houndtang said:

    The collapse of Brexit would be the final admission that if voting changed anything they'd abolish it and the greatest national humiliation in British history.

    ... unless of course Brexit was voted down by the British people once they'd seen the final offer.
  • Options
    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,128
    malcolmg said:

    felix said:

    tlg86 said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    I think complaining about a referendum campaign being divisive is a good working definition of stupidity.

    This detracts from the underlying validity of her point.
    Has Lawson bribed the French to get his residency? If not, I don't get what all the fuss is about.
    Indeed - he has had a home there for many years and is following general advice given by the French authorities. As a Remain voter I'm appalled at the unpleasant tone of these kind of attacks.
    Typical many faced Tory, fill their own pockets , look after themselves and p**s on the public, foolish sheeple who vote them in. How they must laugh at the plebs from their mansions and country houses.
    Dear me Malcy you forgot to mention about setting their kids up in top jobs :wink:
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,990
    FF43 said:



    I agree with this. Brexit really is dumb. Sadly it's still dumb even if you don't like the EU much and would prefer not to have anything to do with it.

    It would just get harder and harder to leave as it became more integrated. So if you prefer not to have anything to do with it, leaving now is the best course of action.
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    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,128
    The latest developments in Rinkagate are curious.

    If plod wanted to look either incompetent or suspicious they're going about it right.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-44336859
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    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 42,067

    malcolmg said:

    felix said:

    tlg86 said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    I think complaining about a referendum campaign being divisive is a good working definition of stupidity.

    This detracts from the underlying validity of her point.
    Has Lawson bribed the French to get his residency? If not, I don't get what all the fuss is about.
    Indeed - he has had a home there for many years and is following general advice given by the French authorities. As a Remain voter I'm appalled at the unpleasant tone of these kind of attacks.
    Typical many faced Tory, fill their own pockets , look after themselves and p**s on the public, foolish sheeple who vote them in. How they must laugh at the plebs from their mansions and country houses.
    Dear me Malcy you forgot to mention about setting their kids up in top jobs :wink:
    For sure , I am slipping. They will soon be wanting to put poor kids up chimneys again.
  • Options
    MikeSmithsonMikeSmithson Posts: 7,382

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    Although Brexit is very definitely a problem, it mostly isn't the EU's problem (unlike Italy which really is s a big threat to the EU). The EU will happily accept the UK as a "vassal". On the assumption that Leave voters also prefer to be a "vassal" of the EU than to go back on their vote, Brexit will go ahead.

    Leave voters will only get a chance to go back on their vote if Leave members of the cabinet decide they are more afraid of the political consequences for them of leading the country to vassal status, than they are of the political consequences of a second referendum.

    If we get to that point, it will be a completely new vote, and "we said Leave and we meant it" won't gain much traction when it means accepting a concrete deal.
    Brexit will only be cancelled if Leave voters urgently change their minds. So far they haven't. The implication is that they prefer to be "vassals" of the EU than to be members of it. They probably think they were vassals already and with Brexit they make a point. It should become clear to anyone paying the slightest attention that we will end up with.a arrangement that is significantly worse than what we had while losing a big say over what happens to us. But, hey.
    You can tell Leavers think it’s a shitshow because they’ve all started talking about house prices instead. As if that’s going to restore the reputation of politicians that wallowed in xenophobic lies to cut Britain off from the rest of Europe with younger voters.
    Are you back to 'xenophobic lies' ranting after making yourself look stupid re strawberries ?

    Still if you want xenophobic lies how about this one from a London Remainer MP:

    ' Drug gangs controlled by Eastern European criminals are fuelling the rising tide of violent crime in London, a Labour MP has claimed. '

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-43653291
    And your point?
  • Options
    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,205
    If they are proper Nazis would they not consider it a golden era of German history?
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,292
    tlg86 said:

    If they are proper Nazis would they not consider it a golden era of German history?
    Maybe a bit like the argument proper socialism hasn’t been implemented, maybe they think the nazis didn’t do it properly...
  • Options
    surbysurby Posts: 1,227

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    Although Brexit is very definitely a problem, it mostly isn't the EU's problem (unlike Italy which really is s a big threat to the EU). The EU will happily accept the UK as a "vassal". On the assumption that Leave voters also prefer to be a "vassal" of the EU than to go back on their vote, Brexit will go ahead.

    Leave voters will only get a chance to go back on their vote if Leave members of the cabinet decide they are more afraid of the political consequences for them of leading the country to vassal status, than they are of the political consequences of a second referendum.

    If we get to that point, it will be a completely new vote, and "we said Leave and we meant it" won't gain much traction when it means accepting a concrete deal.
    Brexit will only be cancelled if Leave voters urgently change their minds. So far they haven't. The implication is that they prefer to be "vassals" of the EU than to be members of it. They probably think they were vassals already and with Brexit they make a point. It should become clear to anyone paying the slightest attention that we will end up with.a arrangement that is significantly worse than what we had while losing a big say over what happens to us. But, hey.
    The moment when the final text of the withdrawal agreement is revealed will be a big political event that is quite likely to lead to a backlash. The best way for the government to make the political weather would be simultaneously to announce that there will be a referendum. I think they can afford to take a punt on which way public opinion will go, and May will try to rise above the fray.
    If there's a backlash among Leave voters over the settlement, then I agree, we really could see a reversal. But surely that backlash should have started by now? Brexit very obviously isn't going smoothly. I am not hearing Leave voices saying, Brexit really isn't smart, is it?

    There isn't a fray Mrs May is capable of rising above. And certainly not this one.
    At the moment there's a taboo about reversal that can only be broken when one of the people with a hand on the steering wheel says that there's a problem, or when the agreement is there in black and white being dissected by the press. It's amazing how many people still think the negotiations are all posturing.
    I remember when Charles used to intone he knew a man in the ministry who assured him it was all going exceedingly well.
    David Davis ?
  • Options
    MJWMJW Posts: 1,378
    notme said:

    Cyclefree said:

    If Corbyn himself really wanted to Remain I’m sure he’d find a way to come out for this, regardless of what Labour voters want. But I don’t think he does. So they’re whistling in the wind these MPs.

    Fantastic Derby btw!

    This is the core truth of it. People like Corbyn and Mcdonell are hugely in favour of Brexit. They never wanted us to join in the first place. A capitalist club that inhibits their capacity to control the commanding heights of the economy.
    Think this is close to the truth but not quite correct. Neither are devoted to Brexit like the right of the Tory Party is - or Corbyn's mentor Tony Benn. They just don't particularly see the EU issue as important economically or socially - as even many leavers do, and admit leaving will hit the economy, but claim the hit will be wiped out elsewhere by whatever grand Brexit plan they favour. Corbyn differs in that his view of the world is primarily Marxist but it's mutated into something more woolly - what you might call Declarative Socialism - that any problem can be solved by a virtuous socialist government committed to 'doing the right thing'. As such, technical arguments about how various types of Brexit will hit the economy, or tilt political possibilities to the right (the reason most of his MPs in their heart of hearts, even the ones nominally supporting him, think Brexit is a terrible idea) don't interest him. But yeah, as far as he takes an interest in the EU it is to worry that as a club it has an interest in protecting a status quo he wants to break. But it's lack of interest and understanding in the details and potential consequences that make him indifferent, and therefore happy to support Brexit as a political necessity - even as many of his MPs try to warn him that in its current form it will actually make the party's more practical left-wing policies harder to implement - like a spending splurge predicated on a corporation tax hike, much more difficult to implement.
  • Options
    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,205

    tlg86 said:

    If they are proper Nazis would they not consider it a golden era of German history?
    Maybe a bit like the argument proper socialism hasn’t been implemented, maybe they think the nazis didn’t do it properly...
    Perhaps they think Adolf was a decent bloke who just went mad and killed six million Jews.
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,014
    malcolmg said:

    malcolmg said:

    felix said:

    tlg86 said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    I think complaining about a referendum campaign being divisive is a good working definition of stupidity.

    This detracts from the underlying validity of her point.
    Has Lawson bribed the French to get his residency? If not, I don't get what all the fuss is about.
    Indeed - he has had a home there for many years and is following general advice given by the French authorities. As a Remain voter I'm appalled at the unpleasant tone of these kind of attacks.
    Typical many faced Tory, fill their own pockets , look after themselves and p**s on the public, foolish sheeple who vote them in. How they must laugh at the plebs from their mansions and country houses.
    Dear me Malcy you forgot to mention about setting their kids up in top jobs :wink:
    For sure , I am slipping. They will soon be wanting to put poor kids up chimneys again.
    That's character building, that is.
  • Options
    FF43FF43 Posts: 15,785
    edited June 2018
    RobD said:

    FF43 said:



    I agree with this. Brexit really is dumb. Sadly it's still dumb even if you don't like the EU much and would prefer not to have anything to do with it.

    It would just get harder and harder to leave as it became more integrated. So if you prefer not to have anything to do with it, leaving now is the best course of action.
    Maybe and definitely for some people, I guess. It seems like an after the fact justification though. The question, "Should we leave the EU?" is a bit like "should I give up work?" A lot of people hate work and might say, Yes. But what are the alternatives? If you need the money, the question wasn't a helpful one. Your explanation only really kicks in if you have already decided to leave but are considering the timing. More like retirement, I suppose.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,990
    FF43 said:

    RobD said:

    FF43 said:



    I agree with this. Brexit really is dumb. Sadly it's still dumb even if you don't like the EU much and would prefer not to have anything to do with it.

    It would just get harder and harder to leave as it became more integrated. So if you prefer not to have anything to do with it, leaving now is the best course of action.
    Maybe and definitely for some people, I guess. It seems like an after the fact justification though. The question, "Should we leave the EU?" is a bit like "should I give up work?" A lot of people hate work and might say, Yes. But what are the alternatives? If you need the money, the question wasn't a helpful one. Your explanation only really kicks in if you have already decided to leave but are considering the timing. More like retirement, I suppose.
    You make it sound like the world is going to end when the UK leaves. A closer analogy might be you are moving to a different job where the pay may be a tiny bit worse but you don't have to deal with your insufferable old boss.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,152
    edited June 2018

    FPT

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Fine in theory when you are a city state like Singapore and mainly built on financial services, less so when you still have a significant manufacturing and farming industry whose products other countries like the USA are imposing tariffs on.

    Unilateral free trade would work for London not the rest of the country and it was the latter which voted for Brexit while London was happy with free movement of people as well as services and goods

    No its fine for anyone that's ever tried it. New Zealand unilaterally abolished its agriculture tariffs and slashed its subsidies and far from killing its agriculture industry it since boomed.

    Name any nation that has failed after slashing its protectionism. Protectionism simply doesn't work.
    The biggest reason why Trump etc have imposed tariffs is cheap imports of manufactured goods, particularly from Asia and Mexico for example, undermining domestic producers. New Zealand has a strong exporting industry for New Zealand lamb while being too small a country to target for many agricultural exporters elsewhere.

    No cheap imports have led to low inflation and helped us be the wealthiest we've ever been. People who blame China etc are no better than other ignoramuses who blame things on the "others" who are to be blamed for all their ills. It doesn't make them right.
    Cheap imports are fine if you work in services industries and just want cheap products to buy, less fine if you worked in previously relatively well paid manufacturing jobs which have been lost as a result of cheap imports from China.

    You may be right that in future if we are to have a manufacturing industry it will have to be based on a small number of very highly skilled jobs and in areas in which we still do well like aerospace or pharmaceuticals. However for those who worked in mass manufacturing areas in the North and Midlands and South Wales and the rustbelt in the US there are clearly many who are sympathetic to tariffs and protectionism
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    AnneJGPAnneJGP Posts: 2,869
    RoyalBlue said:

    I think complaining about a referendum campaign being divisive is a good working definition of stupidity.

    This detracts from the underlying validity of her point.
    Even if we stayed in the EU, I would never be able to afford the things he can buy.

    Good evening, everybody.
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited June 2018
    Big gap between price of WTI crude and Brent crude, $65.81 and $76.79. Don't think I've seen such a large divergence before.

    https://www.bloomberg.com/energy
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    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,128

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    Although Brexit is very definitely a problem, it mostly isn't the EU's problem (unlike Italy which really is s a big threat to the EU). The EU will happily accept the UK as a "vassal". On the assumption that Leave voters also prefer to be a "vassal" of the EU than to go back on their vote, Brexit will go ahead.

    Leave voters will only get a chance to go back on their vote if Leave members of the cabinet decide they are more afraid of the political consequences for them of leading the country to vassal status, than they are of the political consequences of a second referendum.

    If we get to that point, it will be a completely new vote, and "we said Leave and we meant it" won't gain much traction when it means accepting a concrete deal.
    Brexit will only be cancelled if Leave voters urgently change their minds. So far they haven't. The implication is that they prefer to be "vassals" of the EU than to be members of it. They probably think they were vassals already and with Brexit they make a point. It should become clear to anyone paying the slightest attention that we will end up with.a arrangement that is significantly worse than what we had while losing a big say over what happens to us. But, hey.
    You can tell Leavers think it’s a shitshow because they’ve all started talking about house prices instead. As if that’s going to restore the reputation of politicians that wallowed in xenophobic lies to cut Britain off from the rest of Europe with younger voters.
    Are you back to 'xenophobic lies' ranting after making yourself look stupid re strawberries ?

    Still if you want xenophobic lies how about this one from a London Remainer MP:

    ' Drug gangs controlled by Eastern European criminals are fuelling the rising tide of violent crime in London, a Labour MP has claimed. '

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-43653291
    And your point?
    Some 'xenophobic lies' are overlooked if they come from the right people.

    Its not a new occurence either - the xenophobic lie of "the locals aren't willing to do the work" has been repeated for years.
  • Options
    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,007

    tlg86 said:

    tlg86 said:

    FPT:

    tlg86 said:

    Big win for the bookies in The Derby.

    Have you changed your user pic for today's topic or was it always a class 37 (and where's it passing through?)
    I've had that for a bit now. It's in the bay platform 6 at Woking in between measurement train duties.
    Cheers. That would explain why I didn't recognise where it was!

    Is there any significance to the picture?
    Not really, I just know how popular trains are on here!
    And what a great choice. I love the Class 37s - if I was to buy a diesel locomotive (*), it would either be a class 37 or a 58. Both great locos.

    If I was to have a steam loco, I'd buy the hulk of 9F 92219 or 92245 (heck, why not both?) , restore it as a Franco-Crosti and paint it in North Staffs Madder Lake just to give the rivet counters heart attacks ...

    (*) Which I won't. Not only would Mrs J frown, but my neighbours wouldn't like it - especially as it would take over not only my garden, but the next two along as well!

    (There was a gent in Nottinghamshire who had an ex-Barry steam locomotive in his front garden...)

    And now everyone who is not a utter railway nut has just disappeared ...
    For me it would have to be the Class 55 Deltics. They used to run past the playing fields of my school on the East Coast Line and you could always tell when it was a Deltic coming by the sound long before you saw it.
  • Options
    brendan16brendan16 Posts: 2,315
    felix said:

    tlg86 said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    I think complaining about a referendum campaign being divisive is a good working definition of stupidity.

    This detracts from the underlying validity of her point.
    Has Lawson bribed the French to get his residency? If not, I don't get what all the fuss is about.
    Indeed - he has had a home there for many years and is following general advice given by the French authorities. As a Remain voter I'm appalled at the unpleasant tone of these kind of attacks.
    Those of course criticising Lawson miss the point. The French government and only them should have the right to determine who can live permanently in France and claim entitlements there and the same applies to Britain - not the EU.

    I expect Lawson pays rather a lot in taxes as he is a wealthy man. And if he uses the French healthcare system the UK will pick up the costs. So I expect France gets a good deal from him living there as he will never need to claim welfare or be a burden on the state.

    Quality not quantity.

  • Options
    JonathanJonathan Posts: 20,906
    brendan16 said:

    felix said:

    tlg86 said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    I think complaining about a referendum campaign being divisive is a good working definition of stupidity.

    This detracts from the underlying validity of her point.
    Has Lawson bribed the French to get his residency? If not, I don't get what all the fuss is about.
    Indeed - he has had a home there for many years and is following general advice given by the French authorities. As a Remain voter I'm appalled at the unpleasant tone of these kind of attacks.
    Those of course criticising Lawson miss the point. The French government and only them should have the right to determine who can live permanently in France and claim entitlements there and the same applies to Britain - not the EU.

    I expect Lawson pays rather a lot in taxes as he is a wealthy man. And if he uses the French healthcare system the UK will pick up the costs. So I expect France gets a good deal from him living there as he will never need to claim welfare or be a burden on the state.

    Quality not quantity.

    It’s a touch hypocritical to enjoy the benefits of living in the EU whilst campaigning to deny them to the folks back home.
  • Options
    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,128
    AnneJGP said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    I think complaining about a referendum campaign being divisive is a good working definition of stupidity.

    This detracts from the underlying validity of her point.
    Even if we stayed in the EU, I would never be able to afford the things he can buy.

    Good evening, everybody.
    Its a millionaire retirees problem.

    Meanwhile in Sarah Wollaston's constituency average house prices are 14 times average earnings.

    That's a lot bigger problem for a lot more people.
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    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    I agree - that’s an awful tweet. She’s proved herself to be a deeply unpleasant human being
  • Options
    ElliotElliot Posts: 1,516
    Jonathan said:

    brendan16 said:

    felix said:

    tlg86 said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    I think complaining about a referendum campaign being divisive is a good working definition of stupidity.

    This detracts from the underlying validity of her point.
    Has Lawson bribed the French to get his residency? If not, I don't get what all the fuss is about.
    Indeed - he has had a home there for many years and is following general advice given by the French authorities. As a Remain voter I'm appalled at the unpleasant tone of these kind of attacks.
    Those of course criticising Lawson miss the point. The French government and only them should have the right to determine who can live permanently in France and claim entitlements there and the same applies to Britain - not the EU.

    I expect Lawson pays rather a lot in taxes as he is a wealthy man. And if he uses the French healthcare system the UK will pick up the costs. So I expect France gets a good deal from him living there as he will never need to claim welfare or be a burden on the state.

    Quality not quantity.

    It’s a touch hypocritical to enjoy the benefits of living in the EU whilst campaigning to deny them to the folks back home.
    So a retiree that has worked all her life should not support state pensions being contribution based? After all she would be enjoying the benefit of a pension while supporting denying them to others. If you want a left wing example, you could have someone on a low income supporting higher taxes on the rich.
  • Options
    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,205
    Jonathan said:

    brendan16 said:

    felix said:

    tlg86 said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    I think complaining about a referendum campaign being divisive is a good working definition of stupidity.

    This detracts from the underlying validity of her point.
    Has Lawson bribed the French to get his residency? If not, I don't get what all the fuss is about.
    Indeed - he has had a home there for many years and is following general advice given by the French authorities. As a Remain voter I'm appalled at the unpleasant tone of these kind of attacks.
    Those of course criticising Lawson miss the point. The French government and only them should have the right to determine who can live permanently in France and claim entitlements there and the same applies to Britain - not the EU.

    I expect Lawson pays rather a lot in taxes as he is a wealthy man. And if he uses the French healthcare system the UK will pick up the costs. So I expect France gets a good deal from him living there as he will never need to claim welfare or be a burden on the state.

    Quality not quantity.

    It’s a touch hypocritical to enjoy the benefits of living in the EU whilst campaigning to deny them to the folks back home.
    What benefit is Lawson getting that others in this country cannot also experience?
  • Options
    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,128
    Jonathan said:

    brendan16 said:

    felix said:

    tlg86 said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    I think complaining about a referendum campaign being divisive is a good working definition of stupidity.

    This detracts from the underlying validity of her point.
    Has Lawson bribed the French to get his residency? If not, I don't get what all the fuss is about.
    Indeed - he has had a home there for many years and is following general advice given by the French authorities. As a Remain voter I'm appalled at the unpleasant tone of these kind of attacks.
    Those of course criticising Lawson miss the point. The French government and only them should have the right to determine who can live permanently in France and claim entitlements there and the same applies to Britain - not the EU.

    I expect Lawson pays rather a lot in taxes as he is a wealthy man. And if he uses the French healthcare system the UK will pick up the costs. So I expect France gets a good deal from him living there as he will never need to claim welfare or be a burden on the state.

    Quality not quantity.

    It’s a touch hypocritical to enjoy the benefits of living in the EU whilst campaigning to deny them to the folks back home.
    How is he having extra rights ?

    He'll be treated in the same way as other British citizens who want to reside in France.

    If the French government are happy to have him or other people then they will be allowed to live there, if not then its au revoir to Lawson and any others.
  • Options
    FF43FF43 Posts: 15,785
    edited June 2018
    RobD said:

    FF43 said:

    RobD said:

    FF43 said:



    I agree with this. Brexit really is dumb. Sadly it's still dumb even if you don't like the EU much and would prefer not to have anything to do with it.

    It would just get harder and harder to leave as it became more integrated. So if you prefer not to have anything to do with it, leaving now is the best course of action.
    Maybe and definitely for some people, I guess. It seems like an after the fact justification though. The question, "Should we leave the EU?" is a bit like "should I give up work?" A lot of people hate work and might say, Yes. But what are the alternatives? If you need the money, the question wasn't a helpful one. Your explanation only really kicks in if you have already decided to leave but are considering the timing. More like retirement, I suppose.
    You make it sound like the world is going to end when the UK leaves. A closer analogy might be you are moving to a different job where the pay may be a tiny bit worse but you don't have to deal with your insufferable old boss.
    I didn't say anything about the world ending. The analogy creaks a bit, but the point is there is no other job or boss. That was a false impression from the Leave.side. There is this boss and this job or there is no boss and no job. If the first is intolerable, you are stuck. Hence the mess.
  • Options
    ElliotElliot Posts: 1,516

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    Although Brexit is very definitely a problem, it mostly isn't the EU's problem (unlike Italy which really is s a big threat to the EU). The EU will happily accept the UK as a "vassal". On the assumption that Leave voters also prefer to be a "vassal" of the EU than to go back on their vote, Brexit will go ahead.

    Leave voters will only get a chance to go back on their vote if Leave members of the cabinet decide they are more afraid of the political consequences for them of leading the country to vassal status, than they are of the political consequences of a second referendum.

    If we get to that point, it will be a completely new vote, and "we said Leave and we meant it" won't gain much traction when it means accepting a concrete deal.
    Brexit will only be cancelled if Leave voters urgently change their minds. So far they haven't. The implication is that they prefer to be "vassals" of the EU than to be members of it. They probably think they were vassals already and with Brexit they make a point. It should become clear to anyone paying the slightest attention that we will end up with.a arrangement that is significantly worse than what we had while losing a big say over what happens to us. But, hey.
    You can tell Leavers think it’s a shitshow because they’ve all started talking about house prices instead. As if that’s going to restore the reputation of politicians that wallowed in xenophobic lies to cut Britain off from the rest of Europe with younger voters.
    Are you back to 'xenophobic lies' ranting after making yourself look stupid re strawberries ?

    Still if you want xenophobic lies how about this one from a London Remainer MP:

    ' Drug gangs controlled by Eastern European criminals are fuelling the rising tide of violent crime in London, a Labour MP has claimed. '

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-43653291
    That isn't racism. It is accurate.
  • Options
    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    Although Brexit is very definitely a problem, it mostly isn't the EU's problem (unlike Italy which really is s a big threat to the EU). The EU will happily accept the UK as a "vassal". On the assumption that Leave voters also prefer to be a "vassal" of the EU than to go back on their vote, Brexit will go ahead.

    Leave voters will only get a chance toal consequences of a second referendum.

    If we get to that point, it will be a completely new vote, and "we said Leave and we meant it" won't gain much traction when it means accepting a concrete deal.
    Brexit will only be cancelled if Leave voters urgently change their minds. So far they haven't. The implication is that they prefer to be "vassals" of the EU than to be members of it. They probably think they were vassals already and with Brexit they make a point. It should become clear to anyone paying the slightest attention that we will end up with.a arrangement that is significantly worse than what we had while losing a big say over what happens to us. But, hey.
    The moment when the final text of the withdrawal agreement is revealed will be a big political event that is quite likely to lead to a backlash. The best way for the government to make the political weather would be simultaneously to announce that there will be a referendum. I think they can afford to take a punt on which way public opinion will go, and May will try to rise above the fray.
    If there's a backlash among Leave voters over the settlement, then I agree, we really could see a reversal. But surely that backlash should have started by now? Brexit very obviously isn't going smoothly. I am not hearing Leave voices saying, Brexit really isn't smart, is it?

    There isn't a fray Mrs May is capable of rising above. And certainly not this one.
    At the moment there's a taboo about reversal that can only be broken when one of the people with a hand on the steering wheel says that there's a problem, or when the agreement is there in black and white being dissected by the press. It's amazing how many people still think the negotiations are all posturing.
    I remember when Charles used to intone he knew a man in the ministry who assured him it was all going exceedingly well.
    A false memory - or not me.

    The only direct feedback of that nature was the French reaction to Cameron’s renegotiation.

    I have said that I expect (or hope) there are serious discussions going on behind the scenes and a lot of the noise is for show / to sell papers.
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,572
    His papa should have come to Yorkshire.

    https://twitter.com/PeterSweden7/status/1002286412597809153
  • Options
    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,128
    Who's Peter Sweden ???

    Do you follow more twatterers than Scott does ?
  • Options
    nielhnielh Posts: 1,307
    Charles said:

    I agree - that’s an awful tweet. She’s proved herself to be a deeply unpleasant human being
    Unlike many people, Lord Lawson is unlikely to be in a position where he has to worry about irritating paperwork related issues and any monetary consequences they may have.

  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,572

    Who's Peter Sweden ???

    Do you follow more twatterers than Scott does ?
    He's one of Europe's Alt-Rightists.

    I don't follow him someone I do follow retweeted that with a lot of sarcasm.

    https://twitter.com/BarristerSecret/status/1002918348081025026
  • Options
    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,128
    Elliot said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    Although Brexit is very definitely a problem, it mostly isn't the EU's problem (unlike Italy which really is s a big threat to the EU). The EU will happily accept the UK as a "vassal". On the assumption that Leave voters also prefer to be a "vassal" of the EU than to go back on their vote, Brexit will go ahead.

    Leave voters will only get a chance to go back on their vote if Leave members of the cabinet decide they are more afraid of the political consequences for them of leading the country to vassal status, than they are of the political consequences of a second referendum.

    If we get to that point, it will be a completely new vote, and "we said Leave and we meant it" won't gain much traction when it means accepting a concrete deal.
    Brexit will only be cancelled if Leave voters urgently change their minds. So far they haven't. The implication is that they prefer to be "vassals" of the EU than to be members of it. They probably think they were vassals already and with Brexit they make a point. It should become clear to anyone paying the slightest attention that we will end up with.a arrangement that is significantly worse than what we had while losing a big say over what happens to us. But, hey.
    You can tell Leavers think it’s a shitshow because they’ve all started talking about house prices instead. As if that’s going to restore the reputation of politicians that wallowed in xenophobic lies to cut Britain off from the rest of Europe with younger voters.
    Are you back to 'xenophobic lies' ranting after making yourself look stupid re strawberries ?

    Still if you want xenophobic lies how about this one from a London Remainer MP:

    ' Drug gangs controlled by Eastern European criminals are fuelling the rising tide of violent crime in London, a Labour MP has claimed. '

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-43653291
    That isn't racism. It is accurate.
    Its a 'xenophobic lie' in the manner of that idiotic term.

    Of course if Eastern European criminals are behind the rise of London's violent crime then the unlimited migration from Eastern Europe which David Lammy supports is a fundamental feature to it.
  • Options
    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,128

    Who's Peter Sweden ???

    Do you follow more twatterers than Scott does ?
    He's one of Europe's Alt-Rightists.

    I don't follow him someone I do follow retweeted that with a lot of sarcasm.

    https://twitter.com/BarristerSecret/status/1002918348081025026
    Does anyone you know follow Plato ?

    I'd be fun to know what got her the big red card.
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,572

    Who's Peter Sweden ???

    Do you follow more twatterers than Scott does ?
    He's one of Europe's Alt-Rightists.

    I don't follow him someone I do follow retweeted that with a lot of sarcasm.

    https://twitter.com/BarristerSecret/status/1002918348081025026
    Does anyone you know follow Plato ?

    I'd be fun to know what got her the big red card.
    I did notice it was around the time a lot of Russian troll accounts got purged.
  • Options
    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,007
    FF43 said:

    RobD said:

    FF43 said:

    RobD said:

    FF43 said:



    I agree with this. Brexit really is dumb. Sadly it's still dumb even if you don't like the EU much and would prefer not to have anything to do with it.

    It would just get harder and harder to leave as it became more integrated. So if you prefer not to have anything to do with it, leaving now is the best course of action.
    Maybe and definitely for some people, I guess. It seems like an after the fact justification though. The question, "Should we leave the EU?" is a bit like "should I give up work?" A lot of people hate work and might say, Yes. But what are the alternatives? If you need the money, the question wasn't a helpful one. Your explanation only really kicks in if you have already decided to leave but are considering the timing. More like retirement, I suppose.
    You make it sound like the world is going to end when the UK leaves. A closer analogy might be you are moving to a different job where the pay may be a tiny bit worse but you don't have to deal with your insufferable old boss.
    I didn't say anything about the world ending. The analogy creaks a bit, but the point is there is no other job or boss. That was a false impression from the Leave.side. There is this boss and this job or there is no boss and no job. If the first is intolerable, you are stuck. Hence the mess.
    Actually it is just like starting your own business. You become your own boss as far as your business is concerned. I have no idea but wonder if more self employed (I mean the real ones not those using the state as a crutch in a non profitable business) were in favour of Brexit?
  • Options
    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,007

    Who's Peter Sweden ???

    Do you follow more twatterers than Scott does ?
    He's one of Europe's Alt-Rightists.

    I don't follow him someone I do follow retweeted that with a lot of sarcasm.

    https://twitter.com/BarristerSecret/status/1002918348081025026
    Thanks. I was wondering which end of the spectrum he was posting from. Are we a totalitarian Right wing state or a totalitarian Left wing state?
  • Options
    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,128

    Who's Peter Sweden ???

    Do you follow more twatterers than Scott does ?
    He's one of Europe's Alt-Rightists.

    I don't follow him someone I do follow retweeted that with a lot of sarcasm.

    https://twitter.com/BarristerSecret/status/1002918348081025026
    Does anyone you know follow Plato ?

    I'd be fun to know what got her the big red card.
    I did notice it was around the time a lot of Russian troll accounts got purged.
    But Plato was a real person - was she some sort of deep lying Russian agent ?
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,572

    Who's Peter Sweden ???

    Do you follow more twatterers than Scott does ?
    He's one of Europe's Alt-Rightists.

    I don't follow him someone I do follow retweeted that with a lot of sarcasm.

    https://twitter.com/BarristerSecret/status/1002918348081025026
    Thanks. I was wondering which end of the spectrum he was posting from. Are we a totalitarian Right wing state or a totalitarian Left wing state?
    He thinks we’re a totalitarian Muslim left wing state.

    He’s a former Holocaust denier who now says Hitler/Nazis were lefties so that’s why he now believes the Holocaust happened.
  • Options
    surbysurby Posts: 1,227
    brendan16 said:

    felix said:

    tlg86 said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    I think complaining about a referendum campaign being divisive is a good working definition of stupidity.

    This detracts from the underlying validity of her point.
    Has Lawson bribed the French to get his residency? If not, I don't get what all the fuss is about.
    Indeed - he has had a home there for many years and is following general advice given by the French authorities. As a Remain voter I'm appalled at the unpleasant tone of these kind of attacks.
    Those of course criticising Lawson miss the point. The French government and only them should have the right to determine who can live permanently in France and claim entitlements there and the same applies to Britain - not the EU.

    I expect Lawson pays rather a lot in taxes as he is a wealthy man. And if he uses the French healthcare system the UK will pick up the costs. So I expect France gets a good deal from him living there as he will never need to claim welfare or be a burden on the state.

    Quality not quantity.

    Who will pay the healthcare costs of Brits in the Costa del Sol after Brexit ?
  • Options
    DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300

    Who's Peter Sweden ???

    Do you follow more twatterers than Scott does ?
    He's one of Europe's Alt-Rightists.

    I don't follow him someone I do follow retweeted that with a lot of sarcasm.

    https://twitter.com/BarristerSecret/status/1002918348081025026
    Does anyone you know follow Plato ?

    I'd be fun to know what got her the big red card.
    I did notice it was around the time a lot of Russian troll accounts got purged.
    But Plato was a real person - was she some sort of deep lying Russian agent ?
    I did occasionally wonder if Plato were actually two people but then part of the appeal of the internet is no-one knows you're a Russian troll dog. Did she ever attend a pb meeting?
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,063

    Who's Peter Sweden ???

    Do you follow more twatterers than Scott does ?
    He's one of Europe's Alt-Rightists.

    I don't follow him someone I do follow retweeted that with a lot of sarcasm.

    https://twitter.com/BarristerSecret/status/1002918348081025026
    Does anyone you know follow Plato ?

    I'd be fun to know what got her the big red card.
    I did notice it was around the time a lot of Russian troll accounts got purged.
    But Plato was a real person - was she some sort of deep lying Russian agent ?
    I did occasionally wonder if Plato were actually two people but then part of the appeal of the internet is no-one knows you're a Russian troll dog. Did she ever attend a pb meeting?
    I never met her, but I believe she did attend various meet ups.
  • Options
    JonathanJonathan Posts: 20,906
    rcs1000 said:

    Who's Peter Sweden ???

    Do you follow more twatterers than Scott does ?
    He's one of Europe's Alt-Rightists.

    I don't follow him someone I do follow retweeted that with a lot of sarcasm.

    https://twitter.com/BarristerSecret/status/1002918348081025026
    Does anyone you know follow Plato ?

    I'd be fun to know what got her the big red card.
    I did notice it was around the time a lot of Russian troll accounts got purged.
    But Plato was a real person - was she some sort of deep lying Russian agent ?
    I did occasionally wonder if Plato were actually two people but then part of the appeal of the internet is no-one knows you're a Russian troll dog. Did she ever attend a pb meeting?
    I never met her, but I believe she did attend various meet ups.
    I met her, or an actor playing her.

  • Options
    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,128

    Who's Peter Sweden ???

    Do you follow more twatterers than Scott does ?
    He's one of Europe's Alt-Rightists.

    I don't follow him someone I do follow retweeted that with a lot of sarcasm.

    https://twitter.com/BarristerSecret/status/1002918348081025026
    Does anyone you know follow Plato ?

    I'd be fun to know what got her the big red card.
    I did notice it was around the time a lot of Russian troll accounts got purged.
    But Plato was a real person - was she some sort of deep lying Russian agent ?
    I did occasionally wonder if Plato were actually two people but then part of the appeal of the internet is no-one knows you're a Russian troll dog. Did she ever attend a pb meeting?
    I think she did, IIRC some photos were posted a few years ago.

    But then people could claim to be someone they're not at a PB meeting.
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,063

    tlg86 said:

    If they are proper Nazis would they not consider it a golden era of German history?
    Maybe a bit like the argument proper socialism hasn’t been implemented, maybe they think the nazis didn’t do it properly...
    Well, they did have the slogan "für die vielen, nicht für die Juden"
  • Options
    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,895

    Who's Peter Sweden ???

    Do you follow more twatterers than Scott does ?
    He's one of Europe's Alt-Rightists.

    I don't follow him someone I do follow retweeted that with a lot of sarcasm.

    https://twitter.com/BarristerSecret/status/1002918348081025026
    Does anyone you know follow Plato ?

    I'd be fun to know what got her the big red card.
    I did notice it was around the time a lot of Russian troll accounts got purged.
    But Plato was a real person - was she some sort of deep lying Russian agent ?
    I did occasionally wonder if Plato were actually two people but then part of the appeal of the internet is no-one knows you're a Russian troll dog. Did she ever attend a pb meeting?
    This is her at Bongos Bingo on Thursday

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IG5CaF7PZdc
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,063
    AndyJS said:

    Big gap between price of WTI crude and Brent crude, $65.81 and $76.79. Don't think I've seen such a large divergence before.

    https://www.bloomberg.com/energy

    My next video is on oil, and will (among other things) address that issue.
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,063
    brendan16 said:

    felix said:

    tlg86 said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    I think complaining about a referendum campaign being divisive is a good working definition of stupidity.

    This detracts from the underlying validity of her point.
    Has Lawson bribed the French to get his residency? If not, I don't get what all the fuss is about.
    Indeed - he has had a home there for many years and is following general advice given by the French authorities. As a Remain voter I'm appalled at the unpleasant tone of these kind of attacks.
    Those of course criticising Lawson miss the point. The French government and only them should have the right to determine who can live permanently in France and claim entitlements there and the same applies to Britain - not the EU.

    I expect Lawson pays rather a lot in taxes as he is a wealthy man. And if he uses the French healthcare system the UK will pick up the costs. So I expect France gets a good deal from him living there as he will never need to claim welfare or be a burden on the state.

    Quality not quantity.

    Is he a particularly wealthy man? I'm sure he's done OK for himself, but I doubt he's worth that much.
  • Options
    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    rcs1000 said:

    brendan16 said:

    felix said:

    tlg86 said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    I think complaining about a referendum campaign being divisive is a good working definition of stupidity.

    This detracts from the underlying validity of her point.
    Has Lawson bribed the French to get his residency? If not, I don't get what all the fuss is about.
    Indeed - he has had a home there for many years and is following general advice given by the French authorities. As a Remain voter I'm appalled at the unpleasant tone of these kind of attacks.
    Those of course criticising Lawson miss the point. The French government and only them should have the right to determine who can live permanently in France and claim entitlements there and the same applies to Britain - not the EU.

    I expect Lawson pays rather a lot in taxes as he is a wealthy man. And if he uses the French healthcare system the UK will pick up the costs. So I expect France gets a good deal from him living there as he will never need to claim welfare or be a burden on the state.

    Quality not quantity.

    Is he a particularly wealthy man? I'm sure he's done OK for himself, but I doubt he's worth that much.
    Define wealthy.

    He's no Richard Branson but I'm sure he's well above average as far as wealth and thus taxation is concerned. All MPs are.
  • Options
    FF43FF43 Posts: 15,785

    FF43 said:

    RobD said:

    FF43 said:

    RobD said:

    FF43 said:



    I agree with this. Brexit really is dumb. Sadly it's still dumb even if you don't like the EU much and would prefer not to have anything to do with it.

    It would just get harder and harder to leave as it became more integrated. So if you prefer not to have anything to do with it, leaving now is the best course of action.
    Maybe and definitely for some people, I guess. It seems like an after the fact justification though. The question, "Should we leave the EU?" is a bit like "should I give up work?" A lot of people hate work and might say, Yes. But what are the alternatives? If you need the money, the question wasn't a helpful one. Your explanation only really kicks in if you have already decided to leave but are considering the timing. More like retirement, I suppose.
    You make it sound like the world is going to end when the UK leaves. A closer analogy might be you are moving to a different job where the pay may be a tiny bit worse but you don't have to deal with your insufferable old boss.
    I didn't say anything about the world ending. The analogy creaks a bit, but the point is there is no other job or boss. That was a false impression from the Leave.side. There is this boss and this job or there is no boss and no job. If the first is intolerable, you are stuck. Hence the mess.
    Actually it is just like starting your own business. You become your own boss as far as your business is concerned. I have no idea but wonder if more self employed (I mean the real ones not those using the state as a crutch in a non profitable business) were in favour of Brexit?
    Possibly but not many people would prefer to run their own business rather than have a job and if you don't like working in a job, most of the time you won't want to run your business, which is a lot harder work. Even though I think the EU is a good thing and I also enjoy working, I do think you should be prepared to pack it in if you're not happy. But there are implications and it's stupid not to consider them.
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,063

    rcs1000 said:

    brendan16 said:

    felix said:

    tlg86 said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    I think complaining about a referendum campaign being divisive is a good working definition of stupidity.

    This detracts from the underlying validity of her point.
    Has Lawson bribed the French to get his residency? If not, I don't get what all the fuss is about.
    Indeed - he has had a home there for many years and is following general advice given by the French authorities. As a Remain voter I'm appalled at the unpleasant tone of these kind of attacks.
    Those of course criticising Lawson miss the point. The French government and only them should have the right to determine who can live permanently in France and claim entitlements there and the same applies to Britain - not the EU.

    I expect Lawson pays rather a lot in taxes as he is a wealthy man. And if he uses the French healthcare system the UK will pick up the costs. So I expect France gets a good deal from him living there as he will never need to claim welfare or be a burden on the state.

    Quality not quantity.

    Is he a particularly wealthy man? I'm sure he's done OK for himself, but I doubt he's worth that much.
    Define wealthy.

    He's no Richard Branson but I'm sure he's well above average as far as wealth and thus taxation is concerned. All MPs are.
    Somebody wealthy is somebody that's done five times as well as me. It therefore shifts with my net asset value.
  • Options
    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,895
    On Topic Corbyn is far too sensible to fall for the enemies of the people route suggested by the 18 right wing Liberal Elite MPs
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,152
    edited June 2018
    rcs1000 said:

    brendan16 said:

    felix said:

    tlg86 said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    I think complaining about a referendum campaign being divisive is a good working definition of stupidity.

    This detracts from the underlying validity of her point.
    Has Lawson bribed the French to get his residency? If not, I don't get what all the fuss is about.
    Indeed - he has had a home there for many years and is following general advice given by the French authorities. As a Remain voter I'm appalled at the unpleasant tone of these kind of attacks.
    Those of course criticising Lawson miss the point. The French government and only them should have the right to determine who can live permanently in France and claim entitlements there and the same applies to Britain - not the EU.

    I expect Lawson pays rather a lot in taxes as he is a wealthy man. And if he uses the French healthcare system the UK will pick up the costs. So I expect France gets a good deal from him living there as he will never need to claim welfare or be a burden on the state.

    Quality not quantity.

    Is he a particularly wealthy man? I'm sure he's done OK for himself, but I doubt he's worth that much.
    A few years ago he was going out with a divorcee worth £122 million.

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/femail/article-2113965/Nigel-Lawson-enjoys-80th-birthday-girlfriend-decade-younger-daughter-Nigella.html

    His daughter Nigella is worth £15 million and was worth about £110 million when she was married to Charles Saatchi

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/tvshowbiz/article-510913/I-wont-leaving-children-penny-says-Nigella-Lawson.html
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @PolhomeEditor: But only if they buy 3,000 Labour Live tickets in return. https://twitter.com/bbcnormans/status/1002965299593871363
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,152
    Scott_P said:
    Gove as PM would be one of the few ways to guarantee no deal with the EU and a Corbyn majority at the next general election
  • Options
    tpfkartpfkar Posts: 1,548
    Scott_P said:
    So how exactly is Michael Gove supposed to sell a deal to parliament without a majority? Has he a clever solution for the Northern Ireland border conundrum in his back pocket. He may have that ideological enthusiasm for Brexit that Theresa May has never convinced on - but surely he'd be stuck with all the same constraints.

    Unless he felt like another snap General Election might help things.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,132
    tpfkar said:

    So how exactly is Michael Gove supposed to sell a deal to parliament without a majority? Has he a clever solution for the Northern Ireland border conundrum in his back pocket. He may have that ideological enthusiasm for Brexit that Theresa May has never convinced on - but surely he'd be stuck with all the same constraints.

    Unless he felt like another snap General Election might help things.

    Apparently his plan is to breach EU rules by signing trade deals. No doubt Liam Fox has a stack of them just waiting for a PM with the guts to sign...
  • Options
    surbysurby Posts: 1,227

    tpfkar said:

    So how exactly is Michael Gove supposed to sell a deal to parliament without a majority? Has he a clever solution for the Northern Ireland border conundrum in his back pocket. He may have that ideological enthusiasm for Brexit that Theresa May has never convinced on - but surely he'd be stuck with all the same constraints.

    Unless he felt like another snap General Election might help things.

    Apparently his plan is to breach EU rules by signing trade deals. No doubt Liam Fox has a stack of them just waiting for a PM with the guts to sign...
    Surely that will be against the law as we signed to be in the EU unless we will now renege on existing and legally binding treaties even if some Britons we do not like them!
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    No Deal is Better than a Bad Deal DOOMSDAY !!!
  • Options
    surbysurby Posts: 1,227

    rcs1000 said:

    brendan16 said:

    felix said:

    tlg86 said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    I think complaining about a referendum campaign being divisive is a good working definition of stupidity.

    This detracts from the underlying validity of her point.
    Has Lawson bribed the French to get his residency? If not, I don't get what all the fuss is about.
    Indeed - he has had a home there for many years and is following general advice given by the French authorities. As a Remain voter I'm appalled at the unpleasant tone of these kind of attacks.
    Those of course criticising Lawson miss the point. The French government and only them should have the right to determine who can live permanently in France and claim entitlements there and the same applies to Britain - not the EU.

    I expect Lawson pays rather a lot in taxes as he is a wealthy man. And if he uses the French healthcare system the UK will pick up the costs. So I expect France gets a good deal from him living there as he will never need to claim welfare or be a burden on the state.

    Quality not quantity.

    Is he a particularly wealthy man? I'm sure he's done OK for himself, but I doubt he's worth that much.
    Define wealthy.

    He's no Richard Branson but I'm sure he's well above average as far as wealth and thus taxation is concerned. All MPs are.
    I don't know about Lawson's wealth - he's certainly more than just comfortable but I do not think an average MP is that rich. We don't pay them well in this country.

    I am also sure in the last 40 years their average pay increase has been well below average earnings growth.
  • Options
    surbysurby Posts: 1,227
    Scott_P said:
    It's all the EU's fault. They are not giving to us what we believed they ought to have. After all, we are so important!
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Brexit will be brilliant.

    Brexit will be OK.

    Never said Brexit would be brilliant.

    Brexit will not be as bad as the Black death.


    DOOMSDAY !!!
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,572
    edited June 2018
    Like I said the other day within days of a no deal Brexit, Leavers will be either forced to recant their Brexit beliefs or be thrown into the sea with concrete shoes.
  • Options
    surbysurby Posts: 1,227

    Who's Peter Sweden ???

    Do you follow more twatterers than Scott does ?
    He's one of Europe's Alt-Rightists.

    I don't follow him someone I do follow retweeted that with a lot of sarcasm.

    https://twitter.com/BarristerSecret/status/1002918348081025026
    Does anyone you know follow Plato ?

    I'd be fun to know what got her the big red card.
    I did notice it was around the time a lot of Russian troll accounts got purged.
    But Plato was a real person - was she some sort of deep lying Russian agent ?
    I did occasionally wonder if Plato were actually two people but then part of the appeal of the internet is no-one knows you're a Russian troll dog. Did she ever attend a pb meeting?
    She certainly attached her own photo in one of her posts.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,152
    surby said:

    rcs1000 said:

    brendan16 said:

    felix said:

    tlg86 said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    I think complaining about a referendum campaign being divisive is a good working definition of stupidity.

    This detracts from the underlying validity of her point.
    Has Lawson bribed the French to get his residency? If not, I don't get what all the fuss is about.
    Indeed - he has had a home there for many years and is following general advice given by the French authorities. As a Remain voter I'm appalled at the unpleasant tone of these kind of attacks.
    Those of course criticising Lawson miss the point. The French government and only them should have the right to determine who can live permanently in France and claim entitlements there and the same applies to Britain - not the EU.

    I expect Lawson pays rather a lot in taxes as he is a wealthy man. And if he uses the French healthcare system the UK will pick up the costs. So I expect France gets a good deal from him living there as he will never need to claim welfare or be a burden on the state.

    Quality not quantity.

    Is he a particularly wealthy man? I'm sure he's done OK for himself, but I doubt he's worth that much.
    Define wealthy.

    He's no Richard Branson but I'm sure he's well above average as far as wealth and thus taxation is concerned. All MPs are.
    I don't know about Lawson's wealth - he's certainly more than just comfortable but I do not think an average MP is that rich. We don't pay them well in this country.

    I am also sure in the last 40 years their average pay increase has been well below average earnings growth.
    An MP is certainly paid well above average but not even the PM is in the top 1% of earners, the richest MPs either tended to make their money before entering politics like Hammond or inherited it like Goldsmith
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,897
    Scott_P said:
    I noticed The Sun pretty much pulled the plug on Theresa in their editorial today...
  • Options
    surbysurby Posts: 1,227
    Scott_P said:
    No. We will also be dependent on those countries providing aid to us.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,993

    Like I said the other day within days of a no deal Brexit, Leavers will be either forced to recant their Brexit beliefs or be thrown into the sea with concrete shoes.

    Are they guilty if if they float ?
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,152
    edited June 2018
    GIN1138 said:

    Scott_P said:
    I noticed The Sun pretty much pulled the plug on Theresa in their editorial today...
    So what, the Sun has no votewinning EU dealmaking genius in its backpocket either and won't touch Corbyn with a bargepole
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,572
    Pulpstar said:

    Like I said the other day within days of a no deal Brexit, Leavers will be either forced to recant their Brexit beliefs or be thrown into the sea with concrete shoes.

    Are they guilty if if they float ?
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1BxFlmb6S6E
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,152
    Scott_P said:
    Going to WTO terms would be difficult but it is not going to be the Blitz and in any case Parliament will push for a deal of some sort regardless
  • Options
    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    surby said:

    rcs1000 said:

    brendan16 said:

    felix said:

    tlg86 said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    I think complaining about a referendum campaign being divisive is a good working definition of stupidity.

    This detracts from the underlying validity of her point.
    Has Lawson bribed the French to get his residency? If not, I don't get what all the fuss is about.
    Indeed - he has had a home there for many years and is following general advice given by the French authorities. As a Remain voter I'm appalled at the unpleasant tone of these kind of attacks.
    Those of course criticising Lawson miss the point. The French government and only them should have the right to determine who can live permanently in France and claim entitlements there and the same applies to Britain - not the EU.

    I expect Lawson pays rather a lot in taxes as he is a wealthy man. And if he uses the French healthcare system the UK will pick up the costs. So I expect France gets a good deal from him living there as he will never need to claim welfare or be a burden on the state.

    Quality not quantity.

    Is he a particularly wealthy man? I'm sure he's done OK for himself, but I doubt he's worth that much.
    Define wealthy.

    He's no Richard Branson but I'm sure he's well above average as far as wealth and thus taxation is concerned. All MPs are.
    I don't know about Lawson's wealth - he's certainly more than just comfortable but I do not think an average MP is that rich. We don't pay them well in this country.

    I am also sure in the last 40 years their average pay increase has been well below average earnings growth.
    Don't pay them well?

    Average UK income: £27,271
    MP's basic income: £77,379

    A backbench MP let alone a minister earns more than £50k above the average UK income or roughly 3x the average UK income. If we paid our MPs a median UK salary they'd be taking a dramatic pay cut.
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,063

    surby said:

    rcs1000 said:

    brendan16 said:

    felix said:

    tlg86 said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    I think complaining about a referendum campaign being divisive is a good working definition of stupidity.

    This detracts from the underlying validity of her point.
    Has Lawson bribed the French to get his residency? If not, I don't get what all the fuss is about.
    Indeed - he has had a home there for many years and is following general advice given by the French authorities. As a Remain voter I'm appalled at the unpleasant tone of these kind of attacks.
    Those of course criticising Lawson miss the point. The French government and only them should have the right to determine who can live permanently in France and claim entitlements there and the same applies to Britain - not the EU.

    I expect Lawson pays rather a lot in taxes as he is a wealthy man. And if he uses the French healthcare system the UK will pick up the costs. So I expect France gets a good deal from him living there as he will never need to claim welfare or be a burden on the state.

    Quality not quantity.

    Is he a particularly wealthy man? I'm sure he's done OK for himself, but I doubt he's worth that much.
    Define wealthy.

    He's no Richard Branson but I'm sure he's well above average as far as wealth and thus taxation is concerned. All MPs are.
    I don't know about Lawson's wealth - he's certainly more than just comfortable but I do not think an average MP is that rich. We don't pay them well in this country.

    I am also sure in the last 40 years their average pay increase has been well below average earnings growth.
    Don't pay them well?

    Average UK income: £27,271
    MP's basic income: £77,379

    A backbench MP let alone a minister earns more than £50k above the average UK income or roughly 3x the average UK income. If we paid our MPs a median UK salary they'd be taking a dramatic pay cut.
    One would hope, though, that our MPs were of above median ability.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,993
    surby said:

    rcs1000 said:

    brendan16 said:

    felix said:

    tlg86 said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    I think complaining about a referendum campaign being divisive is a good working definition of stupidity.

    This detracts from the underlying validity of her point.
    Has Lawson bribed the French to get his residency? If not, I don't get what all the fuss is about.
    Indeed - he has had a home there for many years and is following general advice given by the French authorities. As a Remain voter I'm appalled at the unpleasant tone of these kind of attacks.
    Those of course criticising Lawson miss the point. The French government and only them should have the right to determine who can live permanently in France and claim entitlements there and the same applies to Britain - not the EU.

    I expect Lawson pays rather a lot in taxes as he is a wealthy man. And if he uses the French healthcare system the UK will pick up the costs. So I expect France gets a good deal from him living there as he will never need to claim welfare or be a burden on the state.

    Quality not quantity.

    Is he a particularly wealthy man? I'm sure he's done OK for himself, but I doubt he's worth that much.
    Define wealthy.

    He's no Richard Branson but I'm sure he's well above average as far as wealth and thus taxation is concerned. All MPs are.
    I don't know about Lawson's wealth - he's certainly more than just comfortable but I do not think an average MP is that rich. We don't pay them well in this country.

    I am also sure in the last 40 years their average pay increase has been well below average earnings growth.
    Completely wrong, and an opinion that could only originate from London

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/10173107/MPs-pay-rise-how-politicians-pay-has-risen-quicker-than-the-workers.html
  • Options
    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,956
    rcs1000 said:

    surby said:

    rcs1000 said:

    brendan16 said:

    felix said:

    tlg86 said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    I think complaining about a referendum campaign being divisive is a good working definition of stupidity.

    This detracts from the underlying validity of her point.
    Has Lawson bribed the French to get his residency? If not, I don't get what all the fuss is about.
    Indeed - he has had a home there for many years and is following general advice given by the French authorities. As a Remain voter I'm appalled at the unpleasant tone of these kind of attacks.
    Those of course criticising Lawson miss the point. The French government and only them should have the right to determine who can live permanently in France and claim entitlements there and the same applies to Britain - not the EU.

    I expect Lawson pays rather a lot in taxes as he is a wealthy man. And if he uses the French healthcare system the UK will pick up the costs. So I expect France gets a good deal from him living there as he will never need to claim welfare or be a burden on the state.

    Quality not quantity.

    Is he a particularly wealthy man? I'm sure he's done OK for himself, but I doubt he's worth that much.
    Define wealthy.

    He's no Richard Branson but I'm sure he's well above average as far as wealth and thus taxation is concerned. All MPs are.
    I don't know about Lawson's wealth - he's certainly more than just comfortable but I do not think an average MP is that rich. We don't pay them well in this country.

    I am also sure in the last 40 years their average pay increase has been well below average earnings growth.
    Don't pay them well?

    Average UK income: £27,271
    MP's basic income: £77,379

    A backbench MP let alone a minister earns more than £50k above the average UK income or roughly 3x the average UK income. If we paid our MPs a median UK salary they'd be taking a dramatic pay cut.
    One would hope, though, that our MPs were of above median ability.
    +1
  • Options
    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    rcs1000 said:

    surby said:

    rcs1000 said:

    brendan16 said:

    felix said:

    tlg86 said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    I think complaining about a referendum campaign being divisive is a good working definition of stupidity.

    This detracts from the underlying validity of her point.
    Has Lawson bribed the French to get his residency? If not, I don't get what all the fuss is about.
    Indeed - he has had a home there for many years and is following general advice given by the French authorities. As a Remain voter I'm appalled at the unpleasant tone of these kind of attacks.
    Those of course criticising Lawson miss the point. The French government and only them should have the right to determine who can live permanently in France and claim entitlements there and the same applies to Britain - not the EU.

    I expect Lawson pays rather a lot in taxes as he is a wealthy man. And if he uses the French healthcare system the UK will pick up the costs. So I expect France gets a good deal from him living there as he will never need to claim welfare or be a burden on the state.

    Quality not quantity.

    Is he a particularly wealthy man? I'm sure he's done OK for himself, but I doubt he's worth that much.
    Define wealthy.

    He's no Richard Branson but I'm sure he's well above average as far as wealth and thus taxation is concerned. All MPs are.
    I don't know about Lawson's wealth - he's certainly more than just comfortable but I do not think an average MP is that rich. We don't pay them well in this country.

    I am also sure in the last 40 years their average pay increase has been well below average earnings growth.
    Don't pay them well?

    Average UK income: £27,271
    MP's basic income: £77,379

    A backbench MP let alone a minister earns more than £50k above the average UK income or roughly 3x the average UK income. If we paid our MPs a median UK salary they'd be taking a dramatic pay cut.
    One would hope, though, that our MPs were of above median ability.
    Perhaps, do we have any evidence for that?
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    HYUFD said:

    Going to WTO terms would be difficult but it is not going to be the Blitz

    True.

    The Blitz only destroyed half of our car factories...
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    edited June 2018
    Meanwhile, Trump's lawyers have apparently claimed that he is Judge Dredd...

    https://twitter.com/nytimes/status/1002980030731964416

    I AM THE LAW !!!
  • Options
    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Oh and for my figures I apologise but I used the mean average and not the median average income. The median average is considerably lower at around £22,400 - so the MPs salary is 3.5x the median salary.

    In fact a backbencher let alone a minister is in the top 5 percentile for income in this country.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,152
    Scott_P said:

    HYUFD said:

    Going to WTO terms would be difficult but it is not going to be the Blitz

    True.

    The Blitz only destroyed half of our car factories...
    And killed over 40,000 and destroyed over 100, 000 homes
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,993

    rcs1000 said:

    surby said:

    rcs1000 said:

    brendan16 said:

    felix said:

    tlg86 said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    I think complaining about a referendum campaign being divisive is a good working definition of stupidity.

    This detracts from the underlying validity of her point.
    Has Lawson bribed the French to get his residency? If not, I don't get what all the fuss is about.
    Indeed - he has had a home there for many years and is following general advice given by the French authorities. As a Remain voter I'm appalled at the unpleasant tone of these kind of attacks.
    Those of course criticising Lawson miss the point. The French government and only them should have the right to determine who can live permanently in France and claim entitlements there and the same applies to Britain - not the EU.

    I expect Lawson pays rather a lot in taxes as he is a wealthy man. And if he uses the French healthcare system the UK will pick up the costs. So I expect France gets a good deal from him living there as he will never need to claim welfare or be a burden on the state.

    Quality not quantity.

    Is he a particularly wealthy man? I'm sure he's done OK for himself, but I doubt he's worth that much.
    Define wealthy.

    He's no Richard Branson but I'm sure he's well above average as far as wealth and thus taxation is concerned. All MPs are.
    I don't know about Lawson's wealth - he's certainly more than just comfortable but I do not think an average MP is that rich. We don't pay them well in this country.

    I am also sure in the last 40 years their average pay increase has been well below average earnings growth.
    Don't pay them well?

    Average UK income: £27,271
    MP's basic income: £77,379

    A backbench MP let alone a minister earns more than £50k above the average UK income or roughly 3x the average UK income. If we paid our MPs a median UK salary they'd be taking a dramatic pay cut.
    One would hope, though, that our MPs were of above median ability.
    Perhaps, do we have any evidence for that?
    Most have an above median ability to blow their own trumpet & avoid answering a question.

    In fairness the current cabinet is genuinely way above median - Hunt, Javid, Hammond, May - all are very intelligent individuals. OTOH the red team...
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,152
    rcs1000 said:

    surby said:

    rcs1000 said:

    brendan16 said:

    felix said:

    tlg86 said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    I think complaining about a referendum campaign being divisive is a good working definition of stupidity.

    This detracts from the underlying validity of her point.
    Has Lawson bribed the French to get his residency? If not, I don't get what all the fuss is about.
    Indeed - he has had a home there for many years and is following general advice given by the French authorities. As a Remain voter I'm appalled at the unpleasant tone of these kind of attacks.
    Those of course criticising Lawson miss the point. The French government and only them should have the right to determine who can live permanently in France and claim entitlements there and the same applies to Britain - not the EU.

    I expect Lawson pays rather a lot in taxes as he is a wealthy man. And if he uses the French healthcare system the UK will pick up the costs. So I expect France gets a good deal from him living there as he will never need to claim welfare or be a burden on the state.

    Quality not quantity.

    Is he a particularly wealthy man? I'm sure he's done OK for himself, but I doubt he's worth that much.
    Define wealthy.

    He's no Richard Branson but I'm sure he's well above average as far as wealth and thus taxation is concerned. All MPs are.
    I don't know about Lawson's wealth - he's certainly more than just comfortable but I do not think an average MP is that rich. We don't pay them well in this country.

    I am also sure in the last 40 years their average pay increase has been well below average earnings growth.
    Don't pay them well?

    Average UK income: £27,271
    MP's basic income: £77,379

    A backbench MP let alone a minister earns more than £50k above the average UK income or roughly 3x the average UK income. If we paid our MPs a median UK salary they'd be taking a dramatic pay cut.
    One would hope, though, that our MPs were of above median ability.
    You would hope that but of course the only criteria to be an MP is to get enough nominations, pay a deposit and then get most votes in your constituency.

    In the early 1980s a few left-wing Labour MPs like Dave Nellist only took a 'workers wage' equivalent to the average salary
  • Options
    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    Although Brexit is very definitely a problem, it mostly isn't the EU's problem (unlike Italy which really is s a big threat to the EU). The EU will happily accept the UK as a "vassal". On the assumption that Leave voters also prefer to be a "vassal" of the EU than to go back on their vote, Brexit will go ahead.

    Leave voters will only get a chance to go back on their vote if Leave members of the cabinet decide they are more afraid of the political consequences for them of leading the country to vassal status, than they are of the political consequences of a second referendum.

    If we get to that point, it will be a completely new vote, and "we said Leave and we meant it" won't gain much traction when it means accepting a concrete deal.
    Brexit will only be cancelled if Leave voters urgently change their minds. So far they haven't. The implication is that they prefer to be "vassals" of the EU than to be members of it. They probably think they were vassals already and with Brexit they make a point. It should become clear to anyone paying the slightest attention that we will end up with.a arrangement that is significantly worse than what we had while losing a big say over what happens to us. But, hey.
    You can tell Leavers think it’s a shitshow because they’ve all started talking about house prices instead. As if that’s going to restore the reputation of politicians that wallowed in xenophobic lies to cut Britain off from the rest of Europe with younger voters.
    Are you back to 'xenophobic lies' ranting after making yourself look stupid re strawberries ?

    Still if you want xenophobic lies how about this one from a London Remainer MP:

    ' Drug gangs controlled by Eastern European criminals are fuelling the rising tide of violent crime in London, a Labour MP has claimed. '

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-43653291
    The man who thinks that the solution to being lost in the woods is slitting your wrists opines.

    This generation’s “and the dead went unburied” narrative has been written and Leaver Conservatives are oblivious.
  • Options
    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,128

    surby said:

    rcs1000 said:

    brendan16 said:

    felix said:

    tlg86 said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    I think complaining about a referendum campaign being divisive is a good working definition of stupidity.

    This detracts from the underlying validity of her point.
    Has Lawson bribed the French to get his residency? If not, I don't get what all the fuss is about.
    Indeed - he has had a home there for many years and is following general advice given by the French authorities. As a Remain voter I'm appalled at the unpleasant tone of these kind of attacks.
    Those of course criticising Lawson miss the point. The French government and only them should have the right to determine who can live permanently in France and claim entitlements there and the same applies to Britain - not the EU.

    I expect Lawson pays rather a lot in taxes as he is a wealthy man. And if he uses the French healthcare system the UK will pick up the costs. So I expect France gets a good deal from him living there as he will never need to claim welfare or be a burden on the state.

    Quality not quantity.

    Is he a particularly wealthy man? I'm sure he's done OK for himself, but I doubt he's worth that much.
    Define wealthy.

    He's no Richard Branson but I'm sure he's well above average as far as wealth and thus taxation is concerned. All MPs are.
    I don't know about Lawson's wealth - he's certainly more than just comfortable but I do not think an average MP is that rich. We don't pay them well in this country.

    I am also sure in the last 40 years their average pay increase has been well below average earnings growth.
    Don't pay them well?

    Average UK income: £27,271
    MP's basic income: £77,379

    A backbench MP let alone a minister earns more than £50k above the average UK income or roughly 3x the average UK income. If we paid our MPs a median UK salary they'd be taking a dramatic pay cut.
    I expect the best opportunities for politicians to earn the big money comes after they have left front line politics and start taking up directorships etc.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,152

    Oh and for my figures I apologise but I used the mean average and not the median average income. The median average is considerably lower at around £22,400 - so the MPs salary is 3.5x the median salary.

    In fact a backbencher let alone a minister is in the top 5 percentile for income in this country.

    Though that median figure of £22 500 includes part time workers as well as full time workers and being an MP should be a full time job
This discussion has been closed.