Categories
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The great polling divide: CON wins on big broad themes but
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The great polling divide: CON wins on big broad themes but when it gets personal LAB ahead
Ipsos-MORI find the Tories a best party on economy, crime and immigration. See chart pic.twitter.com/5fdpKbm6xr
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
Perhaps they could tell us (and Labour) what it is?
Apparently they were all fighting like cats in a sack when they shoud have been running the country, and building houses for all those immigrants they welcomed with open arms.
The abstract vs personal divide is important. Imagine going on a doorstep and saying "Our party has made bold steps in quantitative easing which are resulting in improved M3 money supply, despite a risk to inflation which we discount." Perfectly true, possibly a jolly good thing, but...
Handy timing..
Was there no YouGov last night?
"I'm impressed with the public's faith in Labour's housing policy!
Perhaps they could tell us (and Labour) what it is?"
For someone whose career is/was in marketing I'm surprised you asked that question.
Guinness would regularly research peoples impressions of Guinness. Everyone had one though invariably less than half had ever tried it. Image always trumps reality
Or how long is the wait in A&E or outpatients, even if "officially" it was only 30 seconds because the receptionist is actually a nurse.
A&E waiting times are rising, are they not?
Though Labour might have mortgaged the family silver to put it back on track at least everyone knows and can see where the money went. The odd aberration like Stafford is neither here nor there because people know that Labour's rescue mission was genuine and necessary. If anything it just reminds people of the massive task they faced.
Puff motion to puff up Eds non poodle status ?
- Con 181
- Lab 187
or c. 27%
dunno how that compares historically or if the combined share correlates with turn-out.
However, as the GE approaches policy and leader ratings will become more relevant than they are now.
But in McBride’s intent and manner, he was acting out the wishes of his master, Balls.
Why are so many intelligent people in the media still taken in by Balls? I’m not sure. But it is clear that Miliband is afraid to get rid of him because of what he knows about the past, and fears the damage he would cause him in the future."
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2428513/The-unstable-ill-suited-PM-Robert-Walpole-1735-says-Anthony-Seldon.html
Just like toffs and millionaires only occupy the Tory front bench. Never mind the 20 on the Labour front bench. The niece of an earl and the son of a baronet attended the same school and had largely similar upbringings but one is seen as ultra posh and the other claims to be "ordinary". Public perception and reality are often miles apart.
How do you define a toff?
Member of Bullingdon club like Boris, Dave, George and David Dimbleby?
Elite public school like Eton/Harrow/Westminster?
Oxbridge?
@TimMontgomerie
Will Alternative for Deutschland get 5%? Forget what's happening in Brighton. That's the political question of the day.
That'a exactly what i wrote last night, only to be ignored by all.
My forcast for AfD: 5.6% - 6.1%
http://youtu.be/5m1jJ6gmo2Y
Stafford provided clear evidence of the consequences of a cultural shift in the NHS away from the basic care for patients. You can argue about the causes of this shift (in my view it partly mirrors an atomisation of society as a whole; partly the increased reliance on contract nurses; partly the academisation of nursing; and partly the trend towards management by target rather than delegating authority to autonomous professionals), but it happened on Labour;s watch.
I'm not one of those people who claims X people died at Stafford (because it is an abuse of statistics to come up with those numbers). However, it clearly indicates that something is very wrong in the NHS and shouldn't be blithely dismissed like you have.
Trying to find a bet I like. Not easy. I think Vettel's likely to scamper off, but Singapore is easy to make a mistake on and end the race *and* it frequently causes many reliability failures. Everything I like the look of has very short odds.
Perversely, I might back Grosjean at 3 for a podium. Mr. Putney very cleverly backed him at 11/1 or suchlike pre-qualifying.
Of course, the safety could be backed, but it's for a short return and whilst one is very likely it's not a certainty.
Really?
No wonder working class people have concluded marriage is not a realistic option for them, with no tax or ‘welfare’ advantages to a marriage certificate."
http://conservativehome.blogs.com/platform/2013/09/kathy-gyngell.html
@jameschappers: @adamboultonSKY accuses new Lab spinner @PatJHennessy of compensating for 'poshness with gratingly blokeish fanaticism for "footie"'. Blimey
The resulting howling from various council executives, hospital bosses, BBC managers and quangocrats would have highlighted how much the public sector had fallen victim to 'producer capture' under the Labour government.
It would also have put Labour in a difficult spot politically - either having to explain why these public sector fat cats deserved such earnings or explain why they had allowed their earnings to reach such excessive levels while they were in government.
The problem is though that the Cameroons see nothing wrong with said groups being paid six figures sums as to them a six figure sum is merely average earnings.
"The great polling divide: CON wins on big broad themes but when it gets personal LAB ahead"
Translation: Tories are radioactive !
http://enormo-haddock.blogspot.co.uk/2013/09/singapore-pre-race.html
Personally, I suspect we will see AfD just below 4% today, as the FDP has been very effective at saying to potential AfD voters "Psst, we are eurosceptic too... Don't risk wasting your vote and leaving us both below 5%."
@tnewtondunn: @PickardJE apart from the one to the MoS for their splash this morning?
5pm our time.
An odd choice of word – best suited to describe McBride’s behaviour one would have thought. However, when it comes to smears against enemies and colleagues alike, Mr Campbell, appears somewhat reluctant to comment. - I wonder why.
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2013/sep/21/damian-mcbride-labour-alastair-campbell-miliband
He did not wish to comment on tax reduction but wanted to raise the minimum wage but did not say how that would increase the competitiveness of the UK. He prevaricated on the EU.
Nothing was said on reducing the cost of Council Tax and Business Rates, nothing on controlling energy costs and eliminating the Green Energy Tax (now ~10% of energy bills but rising to >20%), nothing on reducing food costs, nothing on controlling housing costs.
His acknowledgement of lack of skills in the UK by allowing the immigration of skilled workers was marred by the obligation to create one UK based apprentice. He is so far removed from reality that he does not realise that many UK children are so ill-educated compared to those who might immigrate that they are not suitable for apprenticeships. Of course he does not want the control of education to be taken away from failing Labour councils.
There was nothing on increasing the competitiveness of the UK and raising exports - so where will the jobs come from?
They all affect people.
Perhaps we could call the economy question indirect, but not crime and not immigration. Certainly when you consider unemployment and housing directly affect onyl a certain percentage of people.
By Matthew d’Ancona" I congratulate my colleague Patrick Hennessy, Political Editor of this newspaper for nine years, on his appointment as Miliband’s deputy director of communications. If actions speak louder than words, the Labour leader has indicated that he values integrity and intellect above plots and arm-twisting by recruiting this brilliant journalist.) "
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/ed-miliband/10324721/Its-Ed-Ryanair-Miliband-v-David-Business-Class-Cameron.html.
I would imagine Michael O`leary does not see it this way.
Hence why rich luvvies are ok.
ITV 6.35 Crossroads 7.00 Emmerdale Farm 7.30 Film: The Pink Panther Strikes Again 9.30 TV Eye 10.00 News At Ten 10.30 The Sweeney
Reminiscent of Labour right now
Cameron tried really hard to say "me too". I think quite a lot of people believe him but they are a lot less sure about his party. The tory outriders and columnists make it clear they have reservations about "socialised medicine" and the viability of the funding given to the NHS, especially after Brown's largesse. This creates a mood music which makes people wonder if the NHS is safe in tory hands, whatever Cameron says or his government actually does.
The current debates with new stories almost every day about the incompetence and sometimes callous disregard for patient care in the NHS should make people think more carefully about this but the polling is clear. They are not going to. The tories really need to talk about something else.
The obvious line to me is that the NHS can only be funded by a successful economy. If you want a strong NHS you need a strong economy. And we all know Labour can't provide that. Focus on the strength and explain why it allows them to protect the NHS in a way that Labour ultimately would not be able to.
Morning @labourpress, remember, no more unattributable briefings or Ed says he is going to fire you.
The fatcats control the organisation and ensure that they are the ones to gain from it.
Clearly neither the Cameroons or you think there's anything wrong with tha but I'm sure action could be taken if you wanted to - 100% income tax rates above a certain level of earnings for example.
Their repeated promise of 3 million new homes before each election failed by a factor of 10. if memory recalls.
It is slowly eroding away though every time they get into government and they make a complete pigs ear of it. Best thing for the Tories long term would be for Labour to get in again next time when there really isn't any money left.
http://labour-uncut.co.uk/2013/09/21/exclusive-uncut-poll-over-1-in-4-2010-lab-voters-have-been-lost-here’s-what-can-be-done-to-win-them-back/
Does this mean Labour's current polling is built on more fickle voters or has more potential upside?
And who makes the decisions at the BBC ? The ordinary employees ? The licensepayers ? No, a self perpetuating and self rewarding oligarchy of executives and middle managers. Fatcats whose principle concern is the wellbeing of fatcats.
So looking at it as 'how much would the BBC have to pay to get Wayne Rooney' is the wrong way round. The correct question is 'how much would the BBC executives and middle managers get paid in the private sector'.
What the private sector does with its money is its business, if organisations within it are mismanaged then they go out of business.
Though to be fair much of the private sector has also fallen victim to 'producer capture'. A comparison between changes in share prices, executive earnings and employee earnings since 2000 shows that the executive class has effectively stolen both the fruits of the shareholders investment and the fruits of the employees labour.