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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The commentators blaming TMay for the Windrush affair are righ
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The commentators blaming TMay for the Windrush affair are right – she not ARudd but should be carrying the can
The Windrush scandal is Theresa May’s creation, borne of an innate inability to equate ‘immigrant’ with ‘person’. It’s a hefty accusation, I know, but it makes sense of almost everything she’s done since 2010. Lying about a cat; Go Home vans; subsuming Ukip; EU citizens as cards.
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That is my impartial view and nothing to do with me tipping Rudd as next out of the cabinet at 33/1
Long before Brexit the Home Office couldn’t organise a pregnancy on a council estate.
I think it likely she'll survive this year, but not see the next election. This is just one more significant weak spot.
Replacing her means another leader taking the inevitable hit from the deal leaving the EU. I suspect the PCP will want to hold on until next year before changing their leader.
May has also confirmed the government will ensure no one from the Windrush generation will be deported which all bar the most militant BNP or UKIP voter will agree with
Gauke must go!
That said, I agree Rudd must go. And Mordaunt must replace her.
The Tories were elected to bring down immigration and the Brexit vote reminded them that the country was serious about it.
If anyone thought there wouldn’t be intended and unintended consequences as a result they hadn’t been paying attention.
That said I would win £610 if Gauke goes, so I won’t complain.
It speaks to a mentality.
Even the EU are taking the piss/trolling us.
https://twitter.com/eucopresident/status/985866424248913920?s=21
On today's menu:
https://twitter.com/jeremycorbyn/status/986150704174784512
She’s 6/1 next out now.
A little less piss-taking and a little more thinking would go down well.
Given what I know now, would I change my vote? Probably, but not because I think leaving was wrong, just that the government charged with completing the task aren't competent to fulfill that task. .
Much as I'd be happy to see Rudd and May go for being responsible for implementing this policy the British people really need to be honest with themselves about what they want most. Do they want to be reasonable and nice to people who have become part of their local community, or do they want to cut the numbers down as far as possible?
There is no massive reservoir of undesirable immigrants that everyone can feel good about kicking out of the country in order to square the circle.
We know the kind of people who govern us. And we should vote accordingly.
Severin Carrell@severincarrell
BREAKING: @GOVUK applies to @UKSupremeCourt to challenge Scottish and Welsh #Brexit bills
Allegedly the relevant Bill went through with little or no debate. The relevant ministers were, of course T May and, as Minister for Immigration, J. Brokenshire
Given the complexities in dealing with immigration now and in the near future, it might be sensible to actually spin off that section with a Cabinet level minister too, maybe to replace the DExEU department when that winds down?
It’s worth remembering that, after Jack Straw, Labour got through five Home Secretaries in nine years between 2001 and 2010.
What bastards.
Brexit voters appear to be those people psychologically disposed blame others. First it was the EU and foreigners, now's it's their own leaders and Remainers.
Maybe sometimes we should stop being so miserable and take a step back. TM's proving a bloody good PM.
Post about the soaring pound anyone? No? Thought not.https://news.sky.com/story/pound-climbs-to-highest-level-since-brexit-vote-11334489
Home, Treasury, Foreign and Defence aren't.
Health possibly.
Philip Sim@BBCPhilipSim
UK government confirms the Scottish and Welsh Brexit bills are being referred to the Supreme Court. Attorney General Jeremy Wright says legislation "risks creating serious legal uncertainty for individuals and businesses as we leave the EU"
Philip Sim@BBCPhilipSim
UKgov seeking ruling in Supreme Court as to whether devolved Brexit bills are "constitutional and properly within devolved legislative powers"
Philip Sim@BBCPhilipSim
Holyrood PO Ken Macintosh has argued Scottish Brexit bill isn't within @ScotParl's competence because it makes provision for exercise of powers parliament doesn't yet hold. However Lord Advocate James Wolffe contends that it is "carefully framed" not to cut across EU law
"Latest estimates show that average weekly earnings for employees in Great Britain in real terms (that is, adjusted for price inflation) increased by 0.2% excluding bonuses, and by 0.1% including bonuses, compared with a year earlier."
https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemployeetypes/bulletins/uklabourmarket/april2018
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-43794707
Good news all round I say?
https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemployeetypes/bulletins/uklabourmarket/april2018
And does anyone know whay an interest rate rise is so widely predicted in May ? CPI and HPI are both nowhere neat their peaks during the last eight years, the economy and wages growth are only crawling along and sterling has significantly risen during the last year.
At the moment, I'm pretty content with Brexit.
In my day job I’ve had contact with BEIS, Treasury, Brexit, and International Trade.
Only BEIS and their Secretary of State seem clued up, the Treasury are a bit scared, they know what happens with a WTO/Hard Brexit, but at least aren’t in denial like Fox and Davis.
It might be that he and his department look good compared to the other two.
However, the idea TM is under threat is just wishful thinking especially after yesterdays 7 hour marathon in the HOC. She is in as strong a position as she has been and is going nowhere.
What happens for GE 2022 is another matter and I would expect a new leader is probable and likely to be female
Two thirds of new jobs full time.
Cheers all round...
A country which has had 241 consecutive months of trade deficit does not benefit from making its exports more expensive and its imported consumer tat cheaper.
Again, a great article by Free Movement posted yesterday (apols can’t remember who by) on it all.
Approx 6 years ago when an employer of mine went bust.
I discovered a 2 year gap in my NI contributions due to the fact that my employer had not paid the contributions.
Fortunately I had pay slips and P60's showing that deductions had been made and got my contributions credited.
If it hadn't have been that I was trying to sign on, I would never have known about it.
If I had had NI gaps from an employer of 15-20 years ago, I would have been stuffed.
We've been told repeatedly that the fall in sterling since 23rd June 2016 is bad? Now it's rising that's bad too?
In the end I suspect its a case of swings and roundabouts - You'll always have winner and losers whether the pound is up or down...
The Guardian have a poor record of their reporting of these stories, and there don’t seem to be any other independent sources at the moment.
And yes you have winners and losers to every economic change.
Britain's problem is that we have far, far more people who benefit from cheaper imported consumer tat and cheaper foreign holidays than those who benefit from cheaper exports.
All funded by the magic money trees and flogging off the UK's assets.
Do you think this can go on for ever ?
I'm shocked
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/painkiller-pills-turned-gay-says-12372721
It is part of the new normal, the post-referendum world we live in where pandering to xenophobia is something that wins elections. Many of those that claim to deplore the consequences have played a major part in creating that world.
Of course heads should roll over this. And of course heads won't roll because when it comes down to it Conservatives simply don't care enough about it.
What has been wrong is not taking steps - legislative and administrative - to regularise the position of those who were already here lawfully.
I think a politician with autism would be OK as Secretary for Defence or even as COE but not as PM. I agree a new leader is probable. And it won't be Moggsy (though I sincerely hope it is!)
The PB brains trust was much help when I feared being lumbered with a bill for a few £k that I didn't have.
It's the HO's obsession with headline figures that drives this policy madness in going after soft targets and not the more difficult ones.
From my friends in Scotland, the impression I get is that the day to day running of the place is being seriously neglected, by a government who are only interested in constitutional games rather than health, education and policing.