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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Bad for the Tories – good for the LDs: This week’s Local By-El

24

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  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,122
    ydoethur said:

    Whatever the allegations and whatever their merits, tweets like this do not inspire confidence in the ability of the newly anointed Chief Whip:

    https://twitter.com/CharlieElphicke/status/926564093913391106

    Blimey.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,169

    Sandpit said:

    How can you be suspended for something that’s reported as having been referred to the police, yet not be aware of the nature of the allegation?
    Complaint is raised to the Tory party.

    Tory Party pass it on to the police.

    Police yet to contact Mr Elphicke.
    So someone from the party calls him up, tells him he’s been suspended and to expect a knock on the door from Plod - but won’t say why?
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    RobD said:

    If MPs could avoid being suspended this evening, it would be greatly appreciated.

    Could be worse, you could be writing Sunday morning's thread.
    AV is a good topic regardless of the current crisis. :p
    My piece opens with a line about bikinis.
    Are your bikinis as bright as your suits and shirts?
    Yellow polka dots o presume
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,580
    ydoethur said:

    Whatever the allegations and whatever their merits, tweets like this do not inspire confidence in the ability of the newly anointed Chief Whip:

    https://twitter.com/CharlieElphicke/status/926564093913391106

    That does have a very interesting first response which does show the difficulty if people are indeed innocent

    ElphickeThe party tipped off the press before telling me of my suspension. I am not aware of what the alleged claims are and deny any wrongdoing.

    ReplyHow about stop thinking about yourself and think about the person who has made the allegations as they are the one that is suffering.

    It's interesting as if he has done something wrong then the righteous indignation in the reply will be very warranted, but if he is in fact innocent then he has in essence been told how dare he deny wrongdoing because someone is suffering, when if the allegations aren't substantiated they aren't suffering at all.

    Twitter replies are also definitely not a place where you see many 'This isn't party political' comments. If Hopkins has a twitter account I assume he gets similar lack of benefit of the doubt.

    I see this story says allegations against Elphicke have been referred to police. Not proof, of course, but if they are serious allegations then well done being referred for proper investigation.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,028

    RobD said:

    If MPs could avoid being suspended this evening, it would be greatly appreciated.

    Could be worse, you could be writing Sunday morning's thread.
    AV is a good topic regardless of the current crisis. :p
    My piece opens with a line about bikinis.
    Are your bikinis as bright as your suits and shirts?
    My suits and shirts are very sober.
    What about their owner? :smile:
  • If anything the last 3 years has taught me how glad I am that I never chose to follow my first career goal of working in politics. It's been a crazy few years and only seems to be getting crazier.

    Much more fun watching it all unfold, Sunday is going to be interesting!
  • Looks as if there might be an opportunity arising for Ruth to enter Parliament if she wants it
  • Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    How can you be suspended for something that’s reported as having been referred to the police, yet not be aware of the nature of the allegation?
    Complaint is raised to the Tory party.

    Tory Party pass it on to the police.

    Police yet to contact Mr Elphicke.
    So someone from the party calls him up, tells him he’s been suspended and to expect a knock on the door from Plod - but won’t say why?
    Yup, is possible.

    Is the Chief Whip’s first full day on the job.
  • Beverley_CBeverley_C Posts: 6,256
    edited November 2017
    Charles said:

    RobD said:

    If MPs could avoid being suspended this evening, it would be greatly appreciated.

    Could be worse, you could be writing Sunday morning's thread.
    AV is a good topic regardless of the current crisis. :p
    My piece opens with a line about bikinis.
    Are your bikinis as bright as your suits and shirts?
    Yellow polka dots o presume
    Please no ... I now have the rest of the lyrics running through my mind :flushed:
  • felix said:

    I think we need to get rid of all the bullshit in Westminster, and I say this as a monarchist and lover of all the pomp and ceremony and traditions that that entails.
    Parliament needs to be purely a place for lawmaking and government. Forget the billions needed to refurb the place, our MPs don't deserve it. Give them a purpose built building without the bars and listed architecture, they don't need it. Have a Premier Inn standard accommodation block next to it. Turn Westminster into something for the nation to enjoy and let the politicians get on with what we pay them to do.

    Firstly, being an MP is not an ordinary job. An 'ordinary' job, even at the pay a backbencher gets, does not involve the public pressure and attention that being an MP gets (see recent events), and involves two very different workplaces, often widely distributed: Westminster and the constituency.

    Secondly, it can be argued that MPs do get on and do what we pay them to do. The country works. Yes, it could be better (if only we could agree on what 'better' meant), but neither are we a failure.

    Finally, does any major country have a political system and politicians that work in your eyes?
    +1
    I didn't say our system doesn't work (it does, mostly) although many politicians like to claim that our politics is "broken", and only they and their party can fix it. I just firmly believe that many MPs have bought into the myths and mystery of the place, and the way the building and system is set up, with all the archaic traditions and ceremonies, it enforces that belief that they are special. Give the building to the general public, and give the politicians a modern purpose built parliament without the bars and social locations, they can have a restaurant but shouldn't be drinking if they are working.
    It isn't an ordinary job, I agree, but it also shouldn't be the job it has become., and which they seem to be unable to let go of.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,580
    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    How can you be suspended for something that’s reported as having been referred to the police, yet not be aware of the nature of the allegation?
    Complaint is raised to the Tory party.

    Tory Party pass it on to the police.

    Police yet to contact Mr Elphicke.
    So someone from the party calls him up, tells him he’s been suspended and to expect a knock on the door from Plod - but won’t say why?
    Afraid of prejudicing the police investigation by being accused of giving him a heads up to prepare a story?
  • If anything the last 3 years has taught me how glad I am that I never chose to follow my first career goal of working in politics. It's been a crazy few years and only seems to be getting crazier.

    Much more fun watching it all unfold, Sunday is going to be interesting!

    Welcome to PB
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,122
    My very cynical dad suggested that what Labour should do is chuck allegations at Tory MPs in marginal seats to bring down the government.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,028
    kle4 said:

    I see this story says allegations against Elphicke have been referred to police. Not proof, of course, but if they are serious allegations then well done being referred for proper investigation.

    That however raises two further questions:

    1) why were they not made to the police directly if they were that serious and

    2) what the hell was the Chief Whip thinking of to tell the press before the MP? That's a truly epic fail of management.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 121,974
    GIN1138 said:

    It's really not out of the question that CON could lose enough MP's over this sex scandal to make losing a no confidence vote a real possibility and force a general election next year?

    On today's Mori, a 2% swing to Labour since June, the Tories would hold Dover where Labour need a 6% swing to take the seat.
    https://twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/status/926564500811276288
    Plus Elphicke looks like he is coming out fighting and will not be resigning so unless he is convicted of a criminal offence and jailed for more than a year there will be no by election.

  • ydoethur said:

    RobD said:

    If MPs could avoid being suspended this evening, it would be greatly appreciated.

    Could be worse, you could be writing Sunday morning's thread.
    AV is a good topic regardless of the current crisis. :p
    My piece opens with a line about bikinis.
    Are your bikinis as bright as your suits and shirts?
    My suits and shirts are very sober.
    What about their owner? :smile:
    I’m a good Muslim boy.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,580

    Blimey....

    Think that may be the word of the weekend.

    Just unbelievable
    I’m beginning to think like yourself that this could lead to a GE.

    The Tories have done the right thing in the circumstances though, re the Elphicke allegation.
    We need a Government of national unity
    Or maybe just a government?

    What is the collective noun for a bunch of misfits?
    Most collective nouns are nonsense anyway, so you may as well say it is parliament of misfits is the collective noun. Yes, Owls have that one, but we can share.
  • Second time today this has happened. The member of the Welsh Cabinet who was suspended sad publicly he hadn't been told what the allegation was.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,028

    ydoethur said:

    RobD said:

    If MPs could avoid being suspended this evening, it would be greatly appreciated.

    Could be worse, you could be writing Sunday morning's thread.
    AV is a good topic regardless of the current crisis. :p
    My piece opens with a line about bikinis.
    Are your bikinis as bright as your suits and shirts?
    My suits and shirts are very sober.
    What about their owner? :smile:
    I’m a good Muslim boy.
    That's what Prince Majed al-Saud said.

    (I am not comparing you to him in any other way, btw!)
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 121,974
    edited November 2017
    Michael Fabricant came out as bisexual on Celebrity First Dates I see, not much of a surprise, not that from the programme it looks like it makes much of a difference anyway.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,580

    felix said:

    I think we need to get rid of all the bullshit in Westminster, and I say this as a monarchist and lover of all the pomp and ceremony and traditions that that entails.
    Parliament needs to be purely a place for lawmaking and government. Forget the billions needed to refurb the place, our MPs don't deserve it. Give them a purpose built building without the bars and listed architecture, they don't need it. Have a Premier Inn standard accommodation block next to it. Turn Westminster into something for the nation to enjoy and let the politicians get on with what we pay them to do.

    Firstly, being an MP is not an ordinary job. An 'ordinary' job, even at the pay a backbencher gets, does not involve the public pressure and attention that being an MP gets (see recent events), and involves two very different workplaces, often widely distributed: Westminster and the constituency.

    Secondly, it can be argued that MPs do get on and do what we pay them to do. The country works. Yes, it could be better (if only we could agree on what 'better' meant), but neither are we a failure.

    Finally, does any major country have a political system and politicians that work in your eyes?
    +1
    I didn't say our system doesn't work (it does, mostly) although many politicians like to claim that our politics is "broken", and only they and their party can fix it. I just firmly believe that many MPs have bought into the myths and mystery of the place, and the way the building and system is set up, with all the archaic traditions and ceremonies, it enforces that belief that they are special. Give the building to the general public, and give the politicians a modern purpose built parliament without the bars and social locations, they can have a restaurant but shouldn't be drinking if they are working.
    It isn't an ordinary job, I agree, but it also shouldn't be the job it has become., and which they seem to be unable to let go of.
    I am deeply skeptical of the idea an old building (it really isn't that old, either) and some arcane procedures someone erodes the moral centre of MPs by making them think they are special and apart from the rest of us. People make the same claims that you get against MPs against councillors, and devolved parliamentarians, ones using old buildings and new ones, and places with other traditions or much less adherence to older procedures. It strikes me as a purported quick fix which would have very little impact.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,028

    Second time today this has happened. The member of the Welsh Cabinet who was suspended sad publicly he hadn't been told what the allegation was.

    That's a shambles, just having read about it.

    That said nobody is going to miss Carl Sargeant.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,121
  • Scott_P said:
    The interesting part of that article is the revelation that the conservative who prepared the dossier allegedly works for Lord Mandelson
  • kle4 said:

    felix said:

    I think we need to get rid of all the bullshit in Westminster, and I say this as a monarchist and lover of all the pomp and ceremony and traditions that that entails.
    Parliament needs to be purely a place for lawmaking and government. Forget the billions needed to refurb the place, our MPs don't deserve it. Give them a purpose built building without the bars and listed architecture, they don't need it. Have a Premier Inn standard accommodation block next to it. Turn Westminster into something for the nation to enjoy and let the politicians get on with what we pay them to do.

    Firstly, being an MP is not an ordinary job. An 'ordinary' job, even at the pay a backbencher gets, does not involve the public pressure and attention that being an MP gets (see recent events), and involves two very different workplaces, often widely distributed: Westminster and the constituency.

    Secondly, it can be argued that MPs do get on and do what we pay them to do. The country works. Yes, it could be better (if only we could agree on what 'better' meant), but neither are we a failure.

    Finally, does any major country have a political system and politicians that work in your eyes?
    +1
    I didn't say our system doesn't work (it does, mostly) although many politicians like to claim that our politics is "broken", and only they and their party can fix it. I just firmly believe that many MPs have bought into the myths and mystery of the place, and the way the building and system is set up, with all the archaic traditions and ceremonies, it enforces that belief that they are special. Give the building to the general public, and give the politicians a modern purpose built parliament without the bars and social locations, they can have a restaurant but shouldn't be drinking if they are working.
    It isn't an ordinary job, I agree, but it also shouldn't be the job it has become., and which they seem to be unable to let go of.
    I am deeply skeptical of the idea an old building (it really isn't that old, either) and some arcane procedures someone erodes the moral centre of MPs by making them think they are special and apart from the rest of us. People make the same claims that you get against MPs against councillors, and devolved parliamentarians, ones using old buildings and new ones, and places with other traditions or much less adherence to older procedures. It strikes me as a purported quick fix which would have very little impact.
    Look, it's my rant and I'm sticking to it ok?
  • PongPong Posts: 4,693

    kle4 said:

    felix said:

    I think we need to get rid of all the bullshit in Westminster, and I say this as a monarchist and lover of all the pomp and ceremony and traditions that that entails.
    Parliament needs to be purely a place for lawmaking and government. Forget the billions needed to refurb the place, our MPs don't deserve it. Give them a purpose built building without the bars and listed architecture, they don't need it. Have a Premier Inn standard accommodation block next to it. Turn Westminster into something for the nation to enjoy and let the politicians get on with what we pay them to do.

    Firstly, being an MP is not an ordinary job. An 'ordinary' job, even at the pay a backbencher gets, does not involve the public pressure and attention that being an MP gets (see recent events), and involves two very different workplaces, often widely distributed: Westminster and the constituency.

    Secondly, it can be argued that MPs do get on and do what we pay them to do. The country works. Yes, it could be better (if only we could agree on what 'better' meant), but neither are we a failure.

    Finally, does any major country have a political system and politicians that work in your eyes?
    +1
    I didn't say our system doesn't work (it does, mostly) although many politicians like to claim that our politics is "broken", and only they and their party can fix it. I just firmly believe that many MPs have bought into the myths and mystery of the place, and the way the building and system is set up, with all the archaic traditions and ceremonies, it enforces that belief that they are special. Give the building to the general public, and give the politicians a modern purpose built parliament without the bars and social locations, they can have a restaurant but shouldn't be drinking if they are working.
    It isn't an ordinary job, I agree, but it also shouldn't be the job it has become., and which they seem to be unable to let go of.
    I am deeply skeptical of the idea an old building (it really isn't that old, either) and some arcane procedures someone erodes the moral centre of MPs by making them think they are special and apart from the rest of us. People make the same claims that you get against MPs against councillors, and devolved parliamentarians, ones using old buildings and new ones, and places with other traditions or much less adherence to older procedures. It strikes me as a purported quick fix which would have very little impact.
    Look, it's my rant and I'm sticking to it ok?
    lol
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,580
    HYUFD said:

    GIN1138 said:

    It's really not out of the question that CON could lose enough MP's over this sex scandal to make losing a no confidence vote a real possibility and force a general election next year?

    On today's Mori, a 2% swing to Labour since June, the Tories would hold Dover where Labour need a 6% swing to take the seat.
    https://twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/status/926564500811276288
    Plus Elphicke looks like he is coming out fighting and will not be resigning so unless he is convicted of a criminal offence and jailed for more than a year there will be no by election.

    Probably, although on the first point generally you expect oppositions to win by-elections don't you? You don't expect the same kind of result as a GE with minor variation, so one of that size majority I could see going. No matter how many times anyone says this issue is not party political, in such a scenario giving the government a kicking will be a popular option for all sorts of reasons.
  • ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    RobD said:

    If MPs could avoid being suspended this evening, it would be greatly appreciated.

    Could be worse, you could be writing Sunday morning's thread.
    AV is a good topic regardless of the current crisis. :p
    My piece opens with a line about bikinis.
    Are your bikinis as bright as your suits and shirts?
    My suits and shirts are very sober.
    What about their owner? :smile:
    I’m a good Muslim boy.
    That's what Prince Majed al-Saud said.

    (I am not comparing you to him in any other way, btw!)
    I’m a very good Muslim if you ignore my constant gambling and occasional fornication, oh and ignore the fact that I don’t pray except twice a year.
  • brendan16brendan16 Posts: 2,315
    edited November 2017
    HYUFD said:

    Scott_P said:

    felix said:

    The whole point of the past few months has been to demonstrate that the country is divided down the middle and we have a polarisation of two extremes holding all of the seats. We may need it but a government of national unity is not very likely.

    https://twitter.com/faisalislam/status/926529983056695297
    You can still have access to the single market with a FTA and end free movement and replace it with a points system, you are just not members of the single market.
    Exactly - much of the world has 'access' to the EU single market but that isn't the same as membership of it and they don't have FOM to secure that access.

    The question should be membership of - not access to - the single market. As the former requires FOM and therefore not having control over EU immigration but the latter does not.
  • Scott_P said:
    The interesting part of that article is the revelation that the conservative who prepared the dossier allegedly works for Lord Mandelson
    There’s no allegedly about it. He works for Mandy.

    However Joe denies being the author of the dossier.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,580
    Scott_P said:
    Never mind that -are the doctors in that top story well known? I just wonder why Dr Mosley gets his name in larger type than Dr Bailey. Sexism!
  • Scott_P said:
    The interesting part of that article is the revelation that the conservative who prepared the dossier allegedly works for Lord Mandelson
    There’s no allegedly about it. He works for Mandy.

    However Joe denies being the author of the dossier.
    I think allegedly is the word that is going to be most used over the coming weeks
  • YellowSubmarineYellowSubmarine Posts: 2,740
    edited November 2017
    Deleted
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,580
    edited November 2017

    Scott_P said:
    The interesting part of that article is the revelation that the conservative who prepared the dossier allegedly works for Lord Mandelson
    There’s no allegedly about it. He works for Mandy.

    However Joe denies being the author of the dossier.
    I think allegedly is the word that is going to be most used over the coming weeks
    People need to be careful, as depending on context that doesn't save you. Nor does adding an innocent face after all.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,347
    edited November 2017
    I think the bbc impartial police need to have a word with the bbc news team.

    Current bbc top two headlines...

    Tory MP Charlie....suspended

    MP Hopkins denies...
  • Scott_P said:
    The interesting part of that article is the revelation that the conservative who prepared the dossier allegedly works for Lord Mandelson
    There’s no allegedly about it. He works for Mandy.

    However Joe denies being the author of the dossier.
    I think allegedly is the word that is going to be most used over the coming weeks
    No innocent faces!
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,580
    Thank goodness no scandal like this is erupting in the Catalonian parliament, that's the last thing they need right now.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 77,769
    Chris Evans trololol

  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,028
    edited November 2017
    kle4 said:

    Thank goodness no scandal like this is erupting in the Catalonian parliament, that's the last thing they need right now.

    If it erupted in the Spanish parliament, on the other hand...

    (PS shouldn't that be 'Catalan?')
  • htt9htt9 Posts: 9
    You have to see the funny side:

    WOMAN: Ooh, my ickle handie-wandies are so cooooold!
    MAN: Poor thing! I've got somewhere you can stick them!
    WOMAN: Mrs May! He told me he had somewhere I could stick my hands!
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 121,974
    brendan16 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Scott_P said:

    felix said:

    The whole point of the past few months has been to demonstrate that the country is divided down the middle and we have a polarisation of two extremes holding all of the seats. We may need it but a government of national unity is not very likely.

    https://twitter.com/faisalislam/status/926529983056695297
    You can still have access to the single market with a FTA and end free movement and replace it with a points system, you are just not members of the single market.
    Exactly - much of the world has 'access' to the EU single market but that isn't the same as membership of it and they don't have FOM to secure that access.

    The question should be membership of - not access to - the single market. As the former requires FOM and therefore not having control over EU immigration but the latter does not.
    Exactly, it is misleading and sounds like we cannot export anything to the EU/EEA ever again if we end free movement.
  • Will the last public figure out the door please remember to turn the lights off...
  • ArtistArtist Posts: 1,892
    Would May really have rocked the boat as much to have removed a prominent leaver like Leadsom? And was she even going to have a reshuffle? It all seems unlikely to me.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,121
    I noticed then he did that terrible show on a Friday night he always seemed to be whipping it out on air... :open_mouth:
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,580
    ydoethur said:

    kle4 said:

    Thank goodness no scandal like this is erupting in the Catalonian parliament, that's the last thing they need right now.

    If it erupted in the Spanish parliament, on the other hand...

    (PS shouldn't that be 'Catalan?')
    *shurgs* lord knows. We report on things happening in the German Bundestag for instance, but I don't see reference to the Cortes Generales in relation to Spain much, so reference in English usage is probably all over the place on these things.
  • Artist said:

    Would May really have rocked the boat as much to have removed a prominent leaver like Leadsom? And was she even going to have a reshuffle? It all seems unlikely to me.

    +1
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 77,769
    On Elphicke, we have yet to hear what the allegations are - but at this point I'd say he has a fair claim for constructive dismissal should the timeline be as he has tweeted.
    Tipping off the press about an allegation before being notified of it yrself is either piss poor, or the whips want him gone quickly.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 121,974
    edited November 2017
    kle4 said:

    HYUFD said:

    GIN1138 said:

    It's really not out of the question that CON could lose enough MP's over this sex scandal to make losing a no confidence vote a real possibility and force a general election next year?

    On today's Mori, a 2% swing to Labour since June, the Tories would hold Dover where Labour need a 6% swing to take the seat.
    https://twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/status/926564500811276288
    Plus Elphicke looks like he is coming out fighting and will not be resigning so unless he is convicted of a criminal offence and jailed for more than a year there will be no by election.

    Probably, although on the first point generally you expect oppositions to win by-elections don't you? You don't expect the same kind of result as a GE with minor variation, so one of that size majority I could see going. No matter how many times anyone says this issue is not party political, in such a scenario giving the government a kicking will be a popular option for all sorts of reasons.
    Often but not always and Corbyn does not currently have the poll lead Blair or Kinnock had when they were winning Tory seats in by elections or even Ed Miliband had in 2012 when Labour won Corby.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,028
    And I imagine the Sun can see no irony whatsoever in that front page!

    Gives a whole new meaning to the expression 'newsflash'...
  • Every public figure who has ever woken up with a hangover must be wondering if something is going to come back and bite them.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,580
    Pulpstar said:

    On Elphicke, we have yet to hear what the allegations are - but at this point I'd say he has a fair claim for constructive dismissal should the timeline be as he has tweeted.
    Tipping off the press about an allegation before being notified of it yrself is either piss poor, or the whips want him gone quickly.

    Or that they a placing avoiding an accusation of any hint of a cover up or failure to take accusations seriously above anything else. Tipping the press off before him would be a dick move, although I can see the logic of suspending without explaining the allegation if the police are about to get involved first.
  • htt9htt9 Posts: 9
    edited November 2017
    Artist said:

    Would May really have rocked the boat as much to have removed a prominent leaver like Leadsom? And was she even going to have a reshuffle? It all seems unlikely to me.

    Me too. I think for one of several possible reasons Leadsom told May to sack Fallon and May couldn't refuse. If May had refused, Leadsom would then have resigned and accused May of softness on sexual harassment and it would have been curtains for May.

    But what will happen to May if the Sunday papers bring down Johnson?
  • GIN1138 said:

    I noticed then he did that terrible show on a Friday night he always seemed to be whipping it out on air... :open_mouth:
    Back in the day, had the misfortune to be in the same venues as mr Evans when he was on a bender a few times. His behaviour, not big and not clever.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,121
    How many times has TSE voted for Mollie in Strictly I wonder? :D
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,121

    GIN1138 said:

    I noticed then he did that terrible show on a Friday night he always seemed to be whipping it out on air... :open_mouth:
    Back in the day, had the misfortune to be in the same venues as mr Evans when he was on a bender a few times. His behaviour, not big and not clever.
    There were shocking rumors about his behavior in the 90's...
  • OchEyeOchEye Posts: 1,469

    Scott_P said:
    The interesting part of that article is the revelation that the conservative who prepared the dossier allegedly works for Lord Mandelson
    There’s no allegedly about it. He works for Mandy.

    However Joe denies being the author of the dossier.
    Just out of curiosity, is Portland Communications involved in all this? Will Tony Blair be welcomed back to save us all......
  • Pulpstar said:

    On Elphicke, we have yet to hear what the allegations are - but at this point I'd say he has a fair claim for constructive dismissal should the timeline be as he has tweeted.
    Tipping off the press about an allegation before being notified of it yrself is either piss poor, or the whips want him gone quickly.

    If that's the case, then we really are fecked. The tossers are fighting amongst themselves, when they should be running the country.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @ZoraSuleman: Eight members of the House of Cards crew accuse Kevin Spacey of sexual harassment
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,580
    htt9 said:

    Artist said:

    Would May really have rocked the boat as much to have removed a prominent leaver like Leadsom? And was she even going to have a reshuffle? It all seems unlikely to me.

    Me too. I think for one of several possible reasons Leadsom told May to sack Fallon and May couldn't refuse. If May had refused, Leadsom would then have resigned and accused May of softness on sexual harassment and it would have been curtains for May.

    But what will happen to May if the Sunday papers bring down Johnson?
    Depends if any Labour big fish are also brought down - so long as it seems like no party owns this scandal more than anything else, the government can handle having to swap people in and out, even big figures.
  • The media journalist are even beginning to look exhausted at trying to keep up on the constant stream of accusations and denials.

    I am not normally sorry for them but it must be overloading some news rooms
  • Scott_P said:

    @ZoraSuleman: Eight members of the House of Cards crew accuse Kevin Spacey of sexual harassment

    Rog will be along again in a mo to defend him...
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 77,769
    https://twitter.com/BBCPropaganda/status/926573676912398342

    Does this tweet count as a hate crime against people of lower socio-economic class ?
  • OchEye said:

    Scott_P said:
    The interesting part of that article is the revelation that the conservative who prepared the dossier allegedly works for Lord Mandelson
    There’s no allegedly about it. He works for Mandy.

    However Joe denies being the author of the dossier.
    Just out of curiosity, is Portland Communications involved in all this? Will Tony Blair be welcomed back to save us all......
    I wouldn't go that far
  • Scott_P said:

    @ZoraSuleman: Eight members of the House of Cards crew accuse Kevin Spacey of sexual harassment

    Rog will be along again in a mo to defend him...
    You beat me to it!
  • GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    I noticed then he did that terrible show on a Friday night he always seemed to be whipping it out on air... :open_mouth:
    Back in the day, had the misfortune to be in the same venues as mr Evans when he was on a bender a few times. His behaviour, not big and not clever.
    There were shocking rumors about his behavior in the 90's...
    That is when I encountered him....well then and when he ran that furniture shop in Camden market.
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    Pulpstar said:

    On Elphicke, we have yet to hear what the allegations are - but at this point I'd say he has a fair claim for constructive dismissal should the timeline be as he has tweeted.
    Tipping off the press about an allegation before being notified of it yrself is either piss poor, or the whips want him gone quickly.

    If that's the case, then we really are fecked. The tossers are fighting amongst themselves, when they should be running the country.
    It has been going on 18 months if you had been paying attention :)
  • Pulpstar said:

    On Elphicke, we have yet to hear what the allegations are - but at this point I'd say he has a fair claim for constructive dismissal should the timeline be as he has tweeted.
    Tipping off the press about an allegation before being notified of it yrself is either piss poor, or the whips want him gone quickly.

    If that's the case, then we really are fecked. The tossers are fighting amongst themselves, when they should be running the country.
    It has been going on 18 months if you had been paying attention :)
    You kind of expect the Tories to be at it at a low level permanently, but grassing up one of your own to the press before you tell him he's on the naughty step is a bit much....
  • Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    How can you be suspended for something that’s reported as having been referred to the police, yet not be aware of the nature of the allegation?
    Complaint is raised to the Tory party.

    Tory Party pass it on to the police.

    Police yet to contact Mr Elphicke.
    So someone from the party calls him up, tells him he’s been suspended and to expect a knock on the door from Plod - but won’t say why?
    Yup, is possible.

    Is the Chief Whip’s first full day on the job.
    Yes, top decision to move the Chief Whip in the middle of a personnel crisis.
  • Chris_AChris_A Posts: 1,237
    Any rumours of what the Sundays might have up their sleeves?
  • htt9htt9 Posts: 9
    Does the chief whip usually have the authority to withdraw the whip? I thought that was up to the leader.
  • GIN1138 said:

    How many times has TSE voted for Mollie in Strictly I wonder? :D

    I’m not keen on Mollie, I’ve not voted for her.

    I’m on Team Susan, Jonnie, Debbie, and Gemma.
  • htt9 said:

    Does the chief whip usually have the authority to withdraw the whip? I thought that was up to the leader.

    Must have been approved by TM
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    edited November 2017
    kle4 said:

    Scott_P said:
    Never mind that -are the doctors in that top story well known? I just wonder why Dr Mosley gets his name in larger type than Dr Bailey. Sexism!
    In the diet world Dr Moseley is. He invented the 5:2 diet, though his 800 calorie for eight weeks diet is so good at curing Diabetes T2, that Diabetes UK are running a formal trial on it.


  • anothernickanothernick Posts: 3,591
    The stories in the Mail and Telegraph are much more serious for the government IMO. If cabinet ministers are using the allegations to settle political scores this will poison relationships at the top of government even further and will hasten the day - not far off now I think - when the whole edifice collapses.

    Whom the gods would destroy they first make mad.

  • Chris_A said:

    Any rumours of what the Sundays might have up their sleeves?

    I doubt they will want to reveal anything and would expect lot of embargoed copy
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,347
    edited November 2017
    You would hope for something so serious they would do more than leave a voice message or a WhatsApp.
  • The stories in the Mail and Telegraph are much more serious for the government IMO. If cabinet ministers are using the allegations to settle political scores this will poison relationships at the top of government even further and will hasten the day - not far off now I think - when the whole edifice collapses.

    Whom the gods would destroy they first make mad.

    I think that it is those papers following their own agenda

    Seems more serious accusations involving Fallon are muted and Leadsom not involved
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,580

    You would hope for something so serious they would do more than leave a voice message or a WhatsApp.
    Again, in fairness, what if they could not get hold of him? Sit on the allegation until they can? That may not be the case, given they apparently tipped off the press first, but it is possible they had little choice but to move so harshly.
  • Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    How can you be suspended for something that’s reported as having been referred to the police, yet not be aware of the nature of the allegation?
    Complaint is raised to the Tory party.

    Tory Party pass it on to the police.

    Police yet to contact Mr Elphicke.
    So someone from the party calls him up, tells him he’s been suspended and to expect a knock on the door from Plod - but won’t say why?
    Yup, is possible.

    Is the Chief Whip’s first full day on the job.
    Yes, top decision to move the Chief Whip in the middle of a personnel crisis.
    Mrs May’s not very good is she ?
  • Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    How can you be suspended for something that’s reported as having been referred to the police, yet not be aware of the nature of the allegation?
    Complaint is raised to the Tory party.

    Tory Party pass it on to the police.

    Police yet to contact Mr Elphicke.
    So someone from the party calls him up, tells him he’s been suspended and to expect a knock on the door from Plod - but won’t say why?
    Yup, is possible.

    Is the Chief Whip’s first full day on the job.
    Yes, top decision to move the Chief Whip in the middle of a personnel crisis.
    Mrs May’s not very good is she ?
    Agreed but maybe she is the one person who can rise above the fray. Who else is there
  • kle4 said:

    You would hope for something so serious they would do more than leave a voice message or a WhatsApp.
    Again, in fairness, what if they could not get hold of him? Sit on the allegation until they can? That may not be the case, given they apparently tipped off the press first, but it is possible they had little choice but to move so harshly.
    I wouldn’t be phoning his family, his agent, the local party, his friends, etc...get somebody to get to him in person and say emergency...
  • htt9htt9 Posts: 9
    edited November 2017
    Chris_A said:

    Any rumours of what the Sundays might have up their sleeves?

    Mophead.

    I'll just say he is in a weaker position than some because he's got less of a reputation. It is a matter of public record that he has been a liar at work (he got sacked for it twice), a serial adulterer, and a man who discussed with his pal Darius a plan to get the crap kicked out of a journalist (the tape is on Youtube). That doesn't mean any other allegation about him is true of course, but...
  • Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    How can you be suspended for something that’s reported as having been referred to the police, yet not be aware of the nature of the allegation?
    Complaint is raised to the Tory party.

    Tory Party pass it on to the police.

    Police yet to contact Mr Elphicke.
    So someone from the party calls him up, tells him he’s been suspended and to expect a knock on the door from Plod - but won’t say why?
    Yup, is possible.

    Is the Chief Whip’s first full day on the job.
    Yes, top decision to move the Chief Whip in the middle of a personnel crisis.
    Mrs May’s not very good is she ?
    Agreed but maybe she is the one person who can rise above the fray. Who else is there
    Chasing through that field of wheat is a killer....
  • Brexitter
    -------------

    New words by Sunil, original music by Marc Almond & Dave Ball.

    Friday morning going slow
    I'm watching the election show
    Lots of Ladbrokes slips on the floor
    Memories of the night before
    Out knocking up and having fun
    Now I've stopped reading The Sun
    Waiting for the results to show
    But why I voted no one knows

    Voting, polling
    Blogging, trolling
    And now I'm all alone
    In Brexit Land
    My only home

    I think it's time to write a thread
    To vent the bemusement in my head
    Spent my money on online bookies
    Got nowt here but all the cookies
    Clean my suit and my rosette
    Election promises to forget
    Start campaigning all over again
    Kid myself I'm having fun

    Voting, polling
    Blogging, trolling
    And now I'm all alone
    In Brexit Land
    My only home

    Looking out from my worldview
    I've really nothing else to do
    Seems like I have started fretting
    Let's read Political Betting
    Forget The Mirror and The Times
    The battle bus with such great lines
    Look around and I can see
    A thousand punters just like me

    Voting, polling
    Blogging, trolling
    And now I'm all alone
    In Brexit Land
    My only home

    Voting, polling
    Blogging, trolling
    And now I'm all alone
    In Brexit Land
    My only home

    (I'm waiting for Brexit
    Or am I wasting time)


  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,347
    edited November 2017
    htt9 said:

    Chris_A said:

    Any rumours of what the Sundays might have up their sleeves?

    Mophead.

    I'll just say he is in a weaker position than some because he's got less of a reputation. It is a matter of public record that he has been a liar at work (he got sacked for it twice), a serial adulterer, and a man who discussed with his pal Darius a plan to get the crap kicked out of a journalist (the tape is on Youtube). That doesn't mean any other allegation about him is true of course, but...
    Perhaps all the ladies bonking boris has bedded have done so consenually?
  • Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    How can you be suspended for something that’s reported as having been referred to the police, yet not be aware of the nature of the allegation?
    Complaint is raised to the Tory party.

    Tory Party pass it on to the police.

    Police yet to contact Mr Elphicke.
    So someone from the party calls him up, tells him he’s been suspended and to expect a knock on the door from Plod - but won’t say why?
    Yup, is possible.

    Is the Chief Whip’s first full day on the job.
    Yes, top decision to move the Chief Whip in the middle of a personnel crisis.
    Mrs May’s not very good is she ?
    Agreed but maybe she is the one person who can rise above the fray. Who else is there
    I can think of six others who could do a better job than her.
  • YorkcityYorkcity Posts: 4,382

    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    How can you be suspended for something that’s reported as having been referred to the police, yet not be aware of the nature of the allegation?
    Complaint is raised to the Tory party.

    Tory Party pass it on to the police.

    Police yet to contact Mr Elphicke.
    So someone from the party calls him up, tells him he’s been suspended and to expect a knock on the door from Plod - but won’t say why?
    Yup, is possible.

    Is the Chief Whip’s first full day on the job.
    Yes, top decision to move the Chief Whip in the middle of a personnel crisis.
    Mrs May’s not very good is she ?
    She seems stable in comparison to many currently in her government.
  • htt9htt9 Posts: 9

    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    How can you be suspended for something that’s reported as having been referred to the police, yet not be aware of the nature of the allegation?
    Complaint is raised to the Tory party.

    Tory Party pass it on to the police.

    Police yet to contact Mr Elphicke.
    So someone from the party calls him up, tells him he’s been suspended and to expect a knock on the door from Plod - but won’t say why?
    Yup, is possible.

    Is the Chief Whip’s first full day on the job.
    Yes, top decision to move the Chief Whip in the middle of a personnel crisis.
    Mrs May’s not very good is she ?
    Agreed but maybe she is the one person who can rise above the fray. Who else is there
    Line them all up and the one who stands out as different, and possibly even above it, is Moggers.
  • Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    How can you be suspended for something that’s reported as having been referred to the police, yet not be aware of the nature of the allegation?
    Complaint is raised to the Tory party.

    Tory Party pass it on to the police.

    Police yet to contact Mr Elphicke.
    So someone from the party calls him up, tells him he’s been suspended and to expect a knock on the door from Plod - but won’t say why?
    Yup, is possible.

    Is the Chief Whip’s first full day on the job.
    Yes, top decision to move the Chief Whip in the middle of a personnel crisis.
    Mrs May’s not very good is she ?
    Agreed but maybe she is the one person who can rise above the fray. Who else is there
    I can think of six others who could do a better job than her.
    Realistically who
  • YorkcityYorkcity Posts: 4,382

    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    How can you be suspended for something that’s reported as having been referred to the police, yet not be aware of the nature of the allegation?
    Complaint is raised to the Tory party.

    Tory Party pass it on to the police.

    Police yet to contact Mr Elphicke.
    So someone from the party calls him up, tells him he’s been suspended and to expect a knock on the door from Plod - but won’t say why?
    Yup, is possible.

    Is the Chief Whip’s first full day on the job.
    Yes, top decision to move the Chief Whip in the middle of a personnel crisis.
    Mrs May’s not very good is she ?
    Agreed but maybe she is the one person who can rise above the fray. Who else is there
    Chasing through that field of wheat is a killer....
    Seems quite endearing in the current climate.
  • brendan16brendan16 Posts: 2,315
    Pulpstar said:

    On Elphicke, we have yet to hear what the allegations are - but at this point I'd say he has a fair claim for constructive dismissal should the timeline be as he has tweeted.
    Tipping off the press about an allegation before being notified of it yrself is either piss poor, or the whips want him gone quickly.

    He hasn't been dismissed from his job as an MP though - is there legal redress for having your party whip withdrawn?
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,068
    The Conservative Party is just like a sick dog that has to be put down. We can't be governed by people who hate each other so much that they can't work with each other.
  • Sean_F said:

    The Conservative Party is just like a sick dog that has to be put down. We can't be governed by people who hate each other so much that they can't work with each other.

    Brown and Blair
  • Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    How can you be suspended for something that’s reported as having been referred to the police, yet not be aware of the nature of the allegation?
    Complaint is raised to the Tory party.

    Tory Party pass it on to the police.

    Police yet to contact Mr Elphicke.
    So someone from the party calls him up, tells him he’s been suspended and to expect a knock on the door from Plod - but won’t say why?
    Yup, is possible.

    Is the Chief Whip’s first full day on the job.
    Yes, top decision to move the Chief Whip in the middle of a personnel crisis.
    Mrs May’s not very good is she ?
    Agreed but maybe she is the one person who can rise above the fray. Who else is there
    I can think of six others who could do a better job than her.
    Realistically who
    Gove, Hunt, Uncork the Gauke, Cameron, Osborne, and Davidson.
This discussion has been closed.