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Just lost the punters vote..
Not if I'm honest that it struck me as a particularly accurate comment. Corbyn does not look like a 'cerebral alternative' to May to anybody who has a functioning cerebrum. He looks like a populist with a big ego and some seriously stupid backers, a number of whom are actually sinister.
Trouble for the Tories is that May doesn't look much better and there is no obvious replacement.
Her leadership is certainly not fashionable...
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2017/sep/25/hammond-raises-further-doubts-about-mays-future-as-tory-leader
I think you're a bit harsh on TM also - she was left a really tough situation by Cam and Osborne... I'd argue their government from 2015 was worse in many ways.
There's still time to match/exceed those governments of course, but those are the obvious low points.
And don't start me on the ludicrous Jeremy Corbyn, whose intolerant Labour party will bankrupt Britain and drive away the wealth creators this country so drsperately needs.
What a mess.
I need convincing that these people (Corbyn, McD, Abbott, Milne, Lansmans etc) actually truly believe in parliamentary democracy if it fails to deliver what they want.
Key to this is how much it's anti-May and how much it's pro-Corbyn.
F1: still entirely possible there'll be lots of rain on both Saturday and Sunday.
I think the comparisons are valid and in many crucial respects those governments were weaker than this one. For a start, they all faced imminent elections against united and potent opposition.
It is possible maybe even probable of course that May will surpass them but we're not there yet.
I have to go. Have a good morning.
IDS was hopeless, but unlike Corbyn never had any prospect of actually being prime minister.
Callaghan - no argument from me.
As for May, she put herself forward to take charge of the 'tough situation', but appears to have little or no idea how to deal with it. And not much time left before the deadline.
Hwyl a pob bendith i gyd.
That political opinion polls sometimes get it wrong - or sometimes only get it right because of the laws of probability - is hardly serious. BUT if the methodology or underlying logic is wrong for that then what of the logic and methodology behind the whole of the advertising industry ?
Even internet predictive advertising is crap - every space here and on Guido is either trying to persuade me to sign up as a pupil at Sedbergh School - I am 57 - or else book a hotel in Besancon. Now, It thinks I need the latter because I booked one yesterday. Like I'm going to need another hotel room AFTER I've booked ???
It was about those who refuse to acknowledge their obligations to their local community/country by claiming "they are citizens of the world"
It was aimed firmly at the tax dodging global super rich who pollute London
A lot of figures mainly Labour have been strong enough in their seats to be able to say "so what ?" That must be good. But as long as we allow what interests the public to be passed off as public interest then we will go on in this direction. Tim Farron's experience is unusual but his supporters haven't always been above casting the first stone.
Appointing Davis, Fox and Johnson was a smart move - as it has allowed them all to see the difficulties of negotiating Brexit firsthand. Fox and Davis have moved significantly on what they used to say as a result and now appear to be backing a further 2 year delay. Both would have been very difficult had they not been placed in Cabinet.
Boris I suspect continues to lie about how easy he thinks it will be for partisan ends.
On Corbyn - I think you're completely wrong, perhaps we could fashion a bet of some sort that comes into effect if Corbyn ever becomes PM?
And Grdon Brown's reaction on being handed a robust economy in 1997?
The voters merely decide which is in most need of repair.
*With Brexit the Tories have lost on the economy too.
Well, it's a point of view I suppose
The problems facing the UK today seem significantly harder for politicians to fix & remain electable.
Or, more accurately, there is no easy way of squaring the expectations of voters with what politicians can actually control & deliver in this global world.
The biggest ones are on pensioners, which the Tories having scrapped the ending of the triple lock and winter fuel allowance have begun to redress and on students where Hammond is set to raise the threshold for fees and likely cut fees for courses with a lower earnings premium and maybe the interest rate too
With ICM, the Tories have gone from 14-16% ahead at the time of the manifesto launch, to 0-2% behind today, so that's reflected in the ratings on issues.
https://twitter.com/Jamin2g/status/912412501677092864
But, if May had been a decent campaigner, I still think she'd have won 350 or so seats.
Any competent strategist would have spotted how the CoN line would have been presented.
'Why don't you batter him?'.
'We're not allowed to do that' said the headmster
'What if I write a note giving you permission?'
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-41394267
Happy to bet in US dollars. Or perhaps you trust gold?
But it applies also to the Gus O'Donnell types.
Its ironic that if they'd been rather less keen to 'maximise global welfare not national welfare' Britain wouldn't have voted Leave.
INSA Poll 21-22 Sep
CDU 34% (actual 33%)
SPD 21% (actual 20.5%)
AfD 13% (actual 12.6%)
FDP 9% (actual 10.7%)
Linke 11% (actual 9.2%)
Grune 8% (actual 8.9%)
Pretty bloody good!
Is this what my kids call a 'meme' ?
Anyway, the point is that his death got my Mum, his sister, to talk about her family. The Halseys came from Hertfordshire to Kentish Town in the 1860s. They had been shepherds, they became railwaymen. Her Grandad was an engine driver and had 18 (!!!) children, the youngest of which was my grandad. It turns out that one of my Mum's uncles also had nine kids, one of which was AH Halsey, who advised Tony Crossland on education:
https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/education/2014/oct/16/ah-halsey
So, basically, comprehensives are all my family's fault!!!
F1: no markets beyond winner up on Ladbrokes yet.
You cannot anticipate for every interpretation, not least because opponents do it beyond any reason, and will find a way to misinterpret no matter how clear you are. This does happen to Corbyn too, if course, it cones down to judging who gas it worse.
It wasn't just May, hubris infected the entire Tory party.
'If you like that sort of thing, he is certainly telegenic
I am some what jealous of his handsomeness. Whether he's any good in office in policy terms too early to say probably, although he did drop electoral reform pretty quick as I recall.'
Given he won a landslide last time not surprising