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  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,274
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,402
    philiph said:


    So the EU aren't really negotiating, just presenting the internally agreed position for us to accept as a fait accompli.

    That will work well.

    Excuse me if in future I take any protestations from them about lack of progress with contempt and reply with 'negotiation is not presentation of you position and implementation'

    If we want continuity, and we almost certainly do want it, it will be on EU terms. They own the system.

    The most to the point summary I have read recently is in this piece in Bloomberg today: Britain Must Accept the Hard Truth About Brexit. -The interim deal it desperately needs is one it won't like.

    There's no point in seeking a transitional deal that will be almost as contentious and complicated as the final one. To be done quickly, it has to be simple. More than that, it also has to put the U.K. in a plainly disadvantageous position.

    [...]

    The greatest need of all is to prepare the U.K. for disappointment. Even on the view that Brexit might ultimately succeed, what's required in the interim is an agreement that, from Britain's point of view, is worse than the deal the country already has. This arrangement should be seen as a holding action involving short-term political and economic costs -- justified because it avoids the outright disaster of a so-called cliff-edge Brexit.


    That's not a very sellable proposition to a public that has bought into Brexit giving back control. At the same time the "interim" arrangement and maintaining continuity are all that matter to us in these negotiations.
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    tlg86 said:
    First Thursday in September, to save you the 5 minutes it has taken me to find.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 64,103
    edited August 2017

    viewcode said:

    Sooner or later it would be better if a neutral friend took Davies aside and quietly explained his position.

    Personally, I think it would be better if someone took Davies aside and fired him on the spot. In fact none of the Three Brexiteers seems to be any good at anything they do.

    What, in 12 months, have Fox, Boris and Davies accomplished? Anything of note?
    As a matter of interest just who do you think should be negotiating and how would their position be any different, unless of course they will accept the £100 billion exit bill.

    The EU is the one playing a dangerous game as any unreasonable exit bill will not be paid as the public would be in uproar.

    It can only be a short time away from the various countries in the EU's trade organisations coming together with the UK trade bodies to knock the politicians heads together.

    It has already started today with a joint statement to this effect from the German and UK trade bodies
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,682
    FF43 said:

    philiph said:


    So the EU aren't really negotiating, just presenting the internally agreed position for us to accept as a fait accompli.

    That will work well.

    Excuse me if in future I take any protestations from them about lack of progress with contempt and reply with 'negotiation is not presentation of you position and implementation'

    If we want continuity, and we almost certainly do want it, it will be on EU terms. They own the system.

    The most to the point summary I have read recently is in this piece in Bloomberg today: Britain Must Accept the Hard Truth About Brexit. -The interim deal it desperately needs is one it won't like.

    There's no point in seeking a transitional deal that will be almost as contentious and complicated as the final one. To be done quickly, it has to be simple. More than that, it also has to put the U.K. in a plainly disadvantageous position.

    [...]

    The greatest need of all is to prepare the U.K. for disappointment. Even on the view that Brexit might ultimately succeed, what's required in the interim is an agreement that, from Britain's point of view, is worse than the deal the country already has. This arrangement should be seen as a holding action involving short-term political and economic costs -- justified because it avoids the outright disaster of a so-called cliff-edge Brexit.


    That's not a very sellable proposition to a public that has bought into Brexit giving back control. At the same time the "interim" arrangement and maintaining continuity are all that matter to us in these negotiations.
    No we don't want continuity, that is the whole point ardent Remainers don't understand, we want to end free movement in the short term and regain sovereignty in the long term. If we wanted continuity we would never have voted to Leave the EU in the first place
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    philiph said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    Taking every word from the European side as gospel, are we? :)
    Of course he is, remember the golden rule:

    EU = good

    UK = bad

    The same childish rubbish day after day, and I am afraid OGH sets the tone.
    David Allen Green did a good thread on this. For better or worse there is very little flexibility in the EU position, we really have to decide if it works for us or whether we prefer to have WTO Brexit.

    https://twitter.com/davidallengreen/status/901886935735705600
    I'm not sure the fact they have documents in various places necessarily means they are not flexible.
    If you read the thread, their position papers are agreed by all members, by several different organs of the EU. Not fixed, but not easily changed without extensive consultation. The length of that probably exceeds the span of time available. So unless an issue really is a deal breaker, then it is not worth arguing over.

    In practice, it will be take it or leave it, and with WTO Brexit as default, that is where the probable outcome lies.
    So the EU aren't really negotiating, just presenting the internally agreed position for us to accept as a fait accompli.

    That will work well.

    Excuse me if in future I take any protestations from them about lack of progress with contempt and reply with 'negotiation is not presentation of you position and implementation'
    That is about right. From the EU perspective the negotions are about implementation rather than objectives.
  • philiphphiliph Posts: 4,704
    FF43 said:

    philiph said:


    So the EU aren't really negotiating, just presenting the internally agreed position for us to accept as a fait accompli.

    That will work well.

    Excuse me if in future I take any protestations from them about lack of progress with contempt and reply with 'negotiation is not presentation of you position and implementation'

    If we want continuity, and we almost certainly do want it, it will be on EU terms. They own the system.

    The most to the point summary I have read recently is in this piece in Bloomberg today: Britain Must Accept the Hard Truth About Brexit. -The interim deal it desperately needs is one it won't like.

    There's no point in seeking a transitional deal that will be almost as contentious and complicated as the final one. To be done quickly, it has to be simple. More than that, it also has to put the U.K. in a plainly disadvantageous position.

    [...]

    The greatest need of all is to prepare the U.K. for disappointment. Even on the view that Brexit might ultimately succeed, what's required in the interim is an agreement that, from Britain's point of view, is worse than the deal the country already has. This arrangement should be seen as a holding action involving short-term political and economic costs -- justified because it avoids the outright disaster of a so-called cliff-edge Brexit.


    That's not a very sellable proposition to a public that has bought into Brexit giving back control. At the same time the "interim" arrangement and maintaining continuity are all that matter to us in these negotiations.
    It is a view.

    It will be fun times when we get to know the results (if there are any) of the negotiations.

    Challenges lies ahead, and I know you will disagree, but opportunities too.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,402

    FF43 said:

    RobD said:

    Taking every word from the European side as gospel, are we? :)
    Of course he is, remember the golden rule:

    EU = good

    UK = bad

    The same childish rubbish day after day, and I am afraid OGH sets the tone.
    David Allen Green did a good thread on this. For better or worse there is very little flexibility in the EU position, we really have to decide if it works for us or whether we prefer to have WTO Brexit.

    https://twitter.com/davidallengreen/status/901886935735705600
    The fudge won't be in the outcomes. The fudge is that this is a negotiation at all. It's more a sorting out of things, at least from the EU's point of view. What happens to the aspidistra, type of thing. We think it's important a deal is seen to be made.
    The piece by Leonid Bershidsky I posted below concurs with your long-standing view:

    It will last as long as it takes the U.K. and the EU to agree on a new trade deal; otherwise, a transition is pointless. But the U.K. cannot dictate the pace of the negotiations, and the EU isn't interested in dictating it as long as the transition period preserves current arrangements. The EU, after all, didn't initiate Brexit; it's happy for the U.K. to stay on current terms, and if it loses its vote, too, that'll only be a bonus.
    It will be interesting to see how this pans out. I don't think the EU can stall indefinitely assuming the UK keeps pushing for further separation, but they should be able to spin it out if they play it competently. And they have the means to make the interim period uncomfortable for the UK if they choose.
  • philiphphiliph Posts: 4,704

    philiph said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    Taking every word from the European side as gospel, are we? :)
    Of course he is, remember the golden rule:

    EU = good

    UK = bad

    The same childish rubbish day after day, and I am afraid OGH sets the tone.
    David Allen Green did a good thread on this. For better or worse there is very little flexibility in the EU position, we really have to decide if it works for us or whether we prefer to have WTO Brexit.

    https://twitter.com/davidallengreen/status/901886935735705600
    I'm not sure the fact they have documents in various places necessarily means they are not flexible.
    If you read the thread, their position papers are agreed by all members, by several different organs of the EU. Not fixed, but not easily changed without extensive consultation. The length of that probably exceeds the span of time available. So unless an issue really is a deal breaker, then it is not worth arguing over.

    In practice, it will be take it or leave it, and with WTO Brexit as default, that is where the probable outcome lies.
    So the EU aren't really negotiating, just presenting the internally agreed position for us to accept as a fait accompli.

    That will work well.

    Excuse me if in future I take any protestations from them about lack of progress with contempt and reply with 'negotiation is not presentation of you position and implementation'
    That is about right. From the EU perspective the negotions are about implementation rather than objectives.
    So they aren't negotiations as all. That makes it hard for our team to engage and show any progress.
  • philiphphiliph Posts: 4,704
    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    RobD said:

    Taking every word from the European side as gospel, are we? :)
    Of course he is, remember the golden rule:

    EU = good

    UK = bad

    The same childish rubbish day after day, and I am afraid OGH sets the tone.
    David Allen Green did a good thread on this. For better or worse there is very little flexibility in the EU position, we really have to decide if it works for us or whether we prefer to have WTO Brexit.

    https://twitter.com/davidallengreen/status/901886935735705600
    The fudge won't be in the outcomes. The fudge is that this is a negotiation at all. It's more a sorting out of things, at least from the EU's point of view. What happens to the aspidistra, type of thing. We think it's important a deal is seen to be made.
    The piece by Leonid Bershidsky I posted below concurs with your long-standing view:

    It will last as long as it takes the U.K. and the EU to agree on a new trade deal; otherwise, a transition is pointless. But the U.K. cannot dictate the pace of the negotiations, and the EU isn't interested in dictating it as long as the transition period preserves current arrangements. The EU, after all, didn't initiate Brexit; it's happy for the U.K. to stay on current terms, and if it loses its vote, too, that'll only be a bonus.
    It will be interesting to see how this pans out. I don't think the EU can stall indefinitely assuming the UK keeps pushing for further separation, but they should be able to spin it out if they play it competently. And they have the means to make the interim period uncomfortable for the UK if they choose.
    Disappointing to think that making the interim 'uncomfortable' could be an objective, goal or intention of EU.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,846
    edited August 2017
    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    RobD said:

    Taking every word from the European side as gospel, are we? :)
    Of course he is, remember the golden rule:

    EU = good

    UK = bad

    The same childish rubbish day after day, and I am afraid OGH sets the tone.
    David Allen Green did a good thread on this. For better or worse there is very little flexibility in the EU position, we really have to decide if it works for us or whether we prefer to have WTO Brexit.

    https://twitter.com/davidallengreen/status/901886935735705600
    The fudge won't be in the outcomes. The fudge is that this is a negotiation at all. It's more a sorting out of things, at least from the EU's point of view. What happens to the aspidistra, type of thing. We think it's important a deal is seen to be made.
    The piece by Leonid Bershidsky I posted below concurs with your long-standing view:

    It will last as long as it takes the U.K. and the EU to agree on a new trade deal; otherwise, a transition is pointless. But the U.K. cannot dictate the pace of the negotiations, and the EU isn't interested in dictating it as long as the transition period preserves current arrangements. The EU, after all, didn't initiate Brexit; it's happy for the U.K. to stay on current terms, and if it loses its vote, too, that'll only be a bonus.
    It will be interesting to see how this pans out. I don't think the EU can stall indefinitely assuming the UK keeps pushing for further separation, but they should be able to spin it out if they play it competently. And they have the means to make the interim period uncomfortable for the UK if they choose.
    Going by the comments in City AM, the Article 50 period itself will start to get uncomfortable for the UK very quickly.

    I think the government were sanguine about conceding on Barnier's initial sequencing because they still held onto the view that nothing would happen until after the German elections anyway. Once the German elections have been and gone, and the UK's position is weaker than it was before we started, then panic will really set in.

    Brexit's Black Wednesday moment could come before Christmas.
  • Beverley_CBeverley_C Posts: 6,256

    viewcode said:

    Sooner or later it would be better if a neutral friend took Davies aside and quietly explained his position.

    Personally, I think it would be better if someone took Davies aside and fired him on the spot. In fact none of the Three Brexiteers seems to be any good at anything they do.

    What, in 12 months, have Fox, Boris and Davies accomplished? Anything of note?
    As a matter of interest just who do you think should be negotiating and how would their position be any different, unless of course they will accept the £100 billion exit bill.
    I have no idea who should be negotiating except that the current lot do not seem to be doing any negotiating anyway. We could achieve the same results as we have now by replacing them with cardboard cut-outs. In Boris's case the cardboard cut-out might be better because at least it would not go around the world making gaffes and blunders.

    The EU is the one playing a dangerous game as any unreasonable exit bill will not be paid as the public would be in uproar.

    Nobody is going to be a winner. That is what is so bl**dy stupid about the whole thing, but as Mike header shows, stupidity and wilful self-damage seems to be OK with a lot of people.

    It can only be a short time away from the various countries in the EU's trade organisations coming together with the UK trade bodies to knock the politicians heads together.

    It has already started today with a joint statement to this effect from the German and UK trade bodies

    Let us hope so because the current mess is descending into a shambles
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,402
    philiph said:

    So they aren't negotiations as all. That makes it hard for our team to engage and show any progress.

    Our lot need it to be seen as a negotiated deal, that the arrangement is special to us, even if it was the only thing they were prepared to do, that any jurisdiction must be "indirect", that payments are for access and not for exiting, and so on. There is a real risk IMO of the EU messing this up through a lack of tact and euphemism. Otherwise I am optimistic for a deal - "better than nothing but worse than what we have already" is a big negotiating space. It should be possible to come up with something that works for both parties.

  • FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    RobD said:

    Taking every word from the European side as gospel, are we? :)
    Of course he is, remember the golden rule:

    EU = good

    UK = bad

    The same childish rubbish day after day, and I am afraid OGH sets the tone.
    David Allen Green did a good thread on this. For better or worse there is very little flexibility in the EU position, we really have to decide if it works for us or whether we prefer to have WTO Brexit.

    https://twitter.com/davidallengreen/status/901886935735705600
    The fudge won't be in the outcomes. The fudge is that this is a negotiation at all. It's more a sorting out of things, at least from the EU's point of view. What happens to the aspidistra, type of thing. We think it's important a deal is seen to be made.
    The piece by Leonid Bershidsky I posted below concurs with your long-standing view:

    It will last as long as it takes the U.K. and the EU to agree on a new trade deal; otherwise, a transition is pointless. But the U.K. cannot dictate the pace of the negotiations, and the EU isn't interested in dictating it as long as the transition period preserves current arrangements. The EU, after all, didn't initiate Brexit; it's happy for the U.K. to stay on current terms, and if it loses its vote, too, that'll only be a bonus.
    It will be interesting to see how this pans out. I don't think the EU can stall indefinitely assuming the UK keeps pushing for further separation, but they should be able to spin it out if they play it competently. And they have the means to make the interim period uncomfortable for the UK if they choose.
    Going by the comments in City AM, the Article 50 period itself will start to get uncomfortable for the UK very quickly.

    I think the government were sanguine about conceding on Barnier's initial sequencing because they still held onto the view that nothing would happen until after the German elections anyway. Once the German elections have been and gone, and the UK's position is weaker than it was before we started, then panic will really set in.

    Brexit's Black Wednesday moment could come before Christmas.
    To be honest your posts are so predictable, selective, and frankly boring I do not understand why you persist other than that the EU is clearly an all consuming obsession for you that affects your ability to see both sides of an argument.
  • FF43 said:

    philiph said:

    So they aren't negotiations as all. That makes it hard for our team to engage and show any progress.

    Our lot need it to be seen as a negotiated deal, that the arrangement is special to us, even if it was the only thing they were prepared to do, that any jurisdiction must be "indirect", that payments are for access and not for exiting, and so on. There is a real risk IMO of the EU messing this up through a lack of tact and euphemism. Otherwise I am optimistic for a deal - "better than nothing but worse than what we have already" is a big negotiating space. It should be possible to come up with something that works for both parties.

    Well said and broadly my view
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,402
    edited August 2017
    HYUFD said:

    FF43 said:

    philiph said:


    So the EU aren't really negotiating, just presenting the internally agreed position for us to accept as a fait accompli.

    That will work well.

    Excuse me if in future I take any protestations from them about lack of progress with contempt and reply with 'negotiation is not presentation of you position and implementation'

    If we want continuity, and we almost certainly do want it, it will be on EU terms. They own the system.

    The most to the point summary I have read recently is in this piece in Bloomberg today: Britain Must Accept the Hard Truth About Brexit. -The interim deal it desperately needs is one it won't like.

    There's no point in seeking a transitional deal that will be almost as contentious and complicated as the final one. To be done quickly, it has to be simple. More than that, it also has to put the U.K. in a plainly disadvantageous position.

    [...]

    The greatest need of all is to prepare the U.K. for disappointment. Even on the view that Brexit might ultimately succeed, what's required in the interim is an agreement that, from Britain's point of view, is worse than the deal the country already has. This arrangement should be seen as a holding action involving short-term political and economic costs -- justified because it avoids the outright disaster of a so-called cliff-edge Brexit.


    That's not a very sellable proposition to a public that has bought into Brexit giving back control. At the same time the "interim" arrangement and maintaining continuity are all that matter to us in these negotiations.
    No we don't want continuity, that is the whole point ardent Remainers don't understand, we want to end free movement in the short term and regain sovereignty in the long term. If we wanted continuity we would never have voted to Leave the EU in the first place
    The government has not done a single thing since the referendum to prepare people, the country and systems for the dislocation and for the real personal sacrifices they will face to "regain sovereignty", which is really just making a different set of choices from what one half of the country wants. While a smallish minority of people might be OK with "what it takes", most haven't shown any particular rush to the barricades. I take that to mean people aren't that desperate to throw everything away.

  • What, in 12 months, have Fox, Boris and Davies accomplished? Anything of note?

    As a matter of interest just who do you think should be negotiating and how would their position be any different, unless of course they will accept the £100 billion exit bill.

    I have no idea who should be negotiating except that the current lot do not seem to be doing any negotiating anyway. We could achieve the same results as we have now by replacing them with cardboard cut-outs. In Boris's case the cardboard cut-out might be better because at least it would not go around the world making gaffes and blunders.

    The EU is the one playing a dangerous game as any unreasonable exit bill will not be paid as the public would be in uproar.

    Nobody is going to be a winner. That is what is so bl**dy stupid about the whole thing, but as Mike header shows, stupidity and wilful self-damage seems to be OK with a lot of people.

    It can only be a short time away from the various countries in the EU's trade organisations coming together with the UK trade bodies to knock the politicians heads together.

    It has already started today with a joint statement to this effect from the German and UK trade bodies

    Let us hope so because the current mess is descending into a shambles

    Thanks for your replies Beverley which I do accept are understandable.

    However, the problem is that a vote has taken place to leave and the big issues are the cost of leaving (the public will not accept much), control of free movement which the majority demand, and the idea that EU citizens in the UK somehow will be subject to an external Court (ECJ) is absolutely a non starter.

    Labour took a decision yesterday that is incoherent and according to 5 live this morning has not gone down well with some of their MP's and a large number of their supporters.

    I often get accused of being a Brexiteer (opposite of Remoaner) both words being equally offensive, when I voted remain but now want to leave as it was a democratic decision. The arrogance shown by the EU is only making it more likely that many, indeed the majority, are sooner or later going to tell the EU to get lost, no matter what the cost.

    That is my fear and the EU have as much a responsibility to step up to the plate as has the UK

    We are leaving, I cannot see any way that we could now say we are staying in the single market and customs union.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,682

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    RobD said:

    Taking every word from the European side as gospel, are we? :)
    Of course he is, remember the golden rule:

    EU = good

    UK = bad

    The same childish rubbish day after day, and I am afraid OGH sets the tone.
    David Allen Green did a good thread on this. For better or worse there is very little flexibility in the EU position, we really have to decide if it works for us or whether we prefer to have WTO Brexit.

    https://twitter.com/davidallengreen/status/901886935735705600
    The fudge won't be in the outcomes. The fudge is that this is a negotiation at all. It's more a sorting out of things, at least from the EU's point of view. What happens to the aspidistra, type of thing. We think it's important a deal is seen to be made.
    The piece by Leonid Bershidsky I posted below concurs with your long-standing view:

    It will last as long as it takes the U.K. and the EU to agree on a new trade deal; otherwise, a transition is pointless. But the U.K. cannot dictate the pace of the negotiations, and the EU isn't interested in dictating it as long as the transition period preserves current arrangements. The EU, after all, didn't initiate Brexit; it's happy for the U.K. to stay on current terms, and if it loses its vote, too, that'll only be a bonus.
    It will be interesting to see how this pans out. I don't think the EU can stall indefinitely assuming the UK keeps pushing for further separation, but they should be able to spin it out if they play it competently. And they have the means to make the interim period uncomfortable for the UK if they choose.
    Going by the comments in City AM, the Article 50 period itself will start to get uncomfortable for the UK very quickly.

    I think the government were sanguine about conceding on Barnier's initial sequencing because they still held onto the view that nothing would happen until after the German elections anyway. Once the German elections have been and gone, and the UK's position is weaker than it was before we started, then panic will really set in.

    Brexit's Black Wednesday moment could come before Christmas.
    This being the same German elections where the Eurosceptic AfD are on 9/10% in the latest polls, in 3rd place and more than double the 4.7% they got in 2013 while the CDU are down at least 2.5% and the SPD at least 3.7% relative to last time?
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_German_federal_election,_2017
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,682
    FF43 said:

    HYUFD said:

    FF43 said:

    philiph said:


    So the EU aren't really negotiating, just presenting the internally agreed position for us to accept as a fait accompli.

    That will work well.

    Excuse me if in future I take any protestations from them about lack of progress with contempt and reply with 'negotiation is not presentation of you position and implementation'

    If we want continuity, and we almost certainly do want it, it will be on EU terms. They own the system.

    The most to the point summary I have read recently is in this piece in Bloomberg today: Britain Must Accept the Hard Truth About Brexit. -The interim deal it desperately needs is one it won't like.

    There's no point in seeking a transitional deal that will be almost as contentious and complicated as the final one. To be done quickly, it has to be simple. More than that, it also has to put the U.K. in a plainly disadvantageous position.

    [...]

    The greatest need of all is to prepare the U.K. for disappointment. Even on the view that Brexit might ultimately succeed, of a so-called cliff-edge Brexit.


    That's not a very sellable proposition to a public that has bought into Brexit giving back control. At the same time the "interim" arrangement and maintaining continuity are all that matter to us in these negotiations.
    No we don't want continuity, that is the whole point ardent Remainers don't understand, we want to end free movement in the short term and regain sovereignty in the long term. If we wanted continuity we would never have voted to Leave the EU in the first place
    The government has not done a single thing since the referendum to prepare people, the country and systems for the dislocation and for the real personal sacrifices they will face to "regain sovereignty", which is really just making a different set of choices from what one half of the country wants. While a smallish minority of people might be OK with "what it takes", most haven't shown any particular rush to the barricades. I take that to mean people aren't that desperate to throw everything away.
    17 million people voted to Leave the EU, more than voted for Blair in 1997 or Cameron in 2015 or indeed for anything in British history, that is not a 'smallish minority' by any definition. Though I would agree it is likely once we do leave a Leaver, either Davis or more likely Boris in my view, will succeed Remainer May to be the first PM of post-Brexit UK
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,806
    Why doesn't DD tell MB that we'll only consider the money once the rest of the deal is agreed?
    i) If it's a good deal for us we'd obviously be happy to talk turkey.
    ii) If not then we embrace WTO and they can go whistle.
    So (i) is win-win, and (ii) is lose-lose. Simples.

    Perhaps he has put this to them, which might explain why he appears sanguine.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,846
    HYUFD said:

    FF43 said:

    The government has not done a single thing since the referendum to prepare people, the country and systems for the dislocation and for the real personal sacrifices they will face to "regain sovereignty", which is really just making a different set of choices from what one half of the country wants. While a smallish minority of people might be OK with "what it takes", most haven't shown any particular rush to the barricades. I take that to mean people aren't that desperate to throw everything away.

    17 million people voted to Leave the EU, more than voted for Blair in 1997 or Cameron in 2015 or indeed for anything in British history, that is not a 'smallish minority' by any definition. Though I would agree it is likely once we do leave a Leaver, either Davis or more likely Boris in my view, will succeed Remainer May to be the first PM of post-Brexit UK
    In getting the wrong end of the stick you have made FF43's point perfectly. How many of the 17 million are OK with "what it takes"?
  • geoffw said:

    Why doesn't DD tell MB that we'll only consider the money once the rest of the deal is agreed?
    i) If it's a good deal for us we'd obviously be happy to talk turkey.
    ii) If not then we embrace WTO and they can go whistle.
    So (i) is win-win, and (ii) is lose-lose. Simples.

    Perhaps he has put this to them, which might explain why he appears sanguine.

    I think this is his intention this week.

    Sooner or later European Business is going to get involved banging heads together. 250 billion of EU trade is a huge amount of employment in EU states and these business's, their shareholders, and financiers are not going to sit on the sidelines much longer.

    Interesting that Jacob Rees Mogg seems to be increasing his support daily for PM as he becomes a cult figure. Just imagine Jacob Rees Morgan v Corbyn at PMQ's.

    It would be box office
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,806
    edited August 2017
    JRM is box office all by himself.

    .. and edited for the metric tonne!
  • HYUFD said:

    FF43 said:

    The government has not done a single thing since the referendum to prepare people, the country and systems for the dislocation and for the real personal sacrifices they will face to "regain sovereignty", which is really just making a different set of choices from what one half of the country wants. While a smallish minority of people might be OK with "what it takes", most haven't shown any particular rush to the barricades. I take that to mean people aren't that desperate to throw everything away.

    17 million people voted to Leave the EU, more than voted for Blair in 1997 or Cameron in 2015 or indeed for anything in British history, that is not a 'smallish minority' by any definition. Though I would agree it is likely once we do leave a Leaver, either Davis or more likely Boris in my view, will succeed Remainer May to be the first PM of post-Brexit UK
    In getting the wrong end of the stick you have made FF43's point perfectly. How many of the 17 million are OK with "what it takes"?
    If the EU seek 100 billion exit bill, ECJ jurisdiction over EU citizens living in the UK, and unrestricted free movement into the UK that 17 million may well increase
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,682

    HYUFD said:

    FF43 said:

    The government has not done a single thing since the referendum to prepare people, the country and systems for the dislocation and for the real personal sacrifices they will face to "regain sovereignty", which is really just making a different set of choices from what one half of the country wants. While a smallish minority of people might be OK with "what it takes", most haven't shown any particular rush to the barricades. I take that to mean people aren't that desperate to throw everything away.

    17 million people voted to Leave the EU, more than voted for Blair in 1997 or Cameron in 2015 or indeed for anything in British history, that is not a 'smallish minority' by any definition. Though I would agree it is likely once we do leave a Leaver, either Davis or more likely Boris in my view, will succeed Remainer May to be the first PM of post-Brexit UK
    In getting the wrong end of the stick you have made FF43's point perfectly. How many of the 17 million are OK with "what it takes"?
    What it takes to end free movement and reclaim lawmaking powers from Brussels and reduce payments to the EU you mean? The vast majority want all of that which is what they voted for
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,682

    geoffw said:

    Why doesn't DD tell MB that we'll only consider the money once the rest of the deal is agreed?
    i) If it's a good deal for us we'd obviously be happy to talk turkey.
    ii) If not then we embrace WTO and they can go whistle.
    So (i) is win-win, and (ii) is lose-lose. Simples.

    Perhaps he has put this to them, which might explain why he appears sanguine.

    I think this is his intention this week.

    Sooner or later European Business is going to get involved banging heads together. 250 billion of EU trade is a huge amount of employment in EU states and these business's, their shareholders, and financiers are not going to sit on the sidelines much longer.

    Interesting that Jacob Rees Mogg seems to be increasing his support daily for PM as he becomes a cult figure. Just imagine Jacob Rees Morgan v Corbyn at PMQ's.

    It would be box office
    First public poll of next Tory leader including JRM had JRM joint second with Davidson behind Boris

    Boris 16%
    Davidson and JRM 6%
    Hammond and Davis 5%

    http://www.bmgresearch.co.uk/independentbmg-poll-close-half-public-want-theresa-may-quit-2022/
  • geoffw said:

    Why doesn't DD tell MB that we'll only consider the money once the rest of the deal is agreed?
    i) If it's a good deal for us we'd obviously be happy to talk turkey.
    ii) If not then we embrace WTO and they can go whistle.
    So (i) is win-win, and (ii) is lose-lose. Simples.

    Perhaps he has put this to them, which might explain why he appears sanguine.

    Because no deal is more damaging for the U.K. than it is for the EU.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,402
    HYUFD said:



    17 million people voted to Leave the EU, more than voted for Blair in 1997 or Cameron in 2015 or indeed for anything in British history, that is not a 'smallish minority' by any definition. Though I would agree it is likely once we do leave a Leaver, either Davis or more likely Boris in my view, will succeed Remainer May to be the first PM of post-Brexit UK

    We will leave the EU. That boat sailed in June last year. The more interesting question, and one you can 't easily bet on because the outcomes are going to be messy, long drawn out and very possibly inconclusive, is what does Leave the EU actually mean? One thing it means, I suspect, is that we will be more beholden to the EU outside of it than we were members, we will certainly have less influence internationally and while we might have more nominal control, we will also have less say over what actually happens.
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,806

    geoffw said:

    Why doesn't DD tell MB that we'll only consider the money once the rest of the deal is agreed?
    i) If it's a good deal for us we'd obviously be happy to talk turkey.
    ii) If not then we embrace WTO and they can go whistle.
    So (i) is win-win, and (ii) is lose-lose. Simples.

    Perhaps he has put this to them, which might explain why he appears sanguine.

    Because no deal is more damaging for the U.K. than it is for the EU.
    I beg to differ.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,682
    Japan does not feature in the top 7 destinations for UK exports, a deal with them would be useful but if they want to deal with the EU first we can survive that
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_the_United_Kingdom
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,806
    ABCD goldfish
  • TomsToms Posts: 2,478
    edited August 2017
    Just like testing for the effect of drugs this political polling strikes me as shaded. For instance were the pollees also asked whether they thought Brexit would actually result in their or a family member in losing a job.
  • HYUFD said:

    Japan does not feature in the top 7 destinations for UK exports, a deal with them would be useful but if they want to deal with the EU first we can survive that
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_the_United_Kingdom
    You need to look at the Japanese FDI figures and the UK turnover of Japanese owned companies
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    HYUFD said:

    geoffw said:

    Why doesn't DD tell MB that we'll only consider the money once the rest of the deal is agreed?
    i) If it's a good deal for us we'd obviously be happy to talk turkey.
    ii) If not then we embrace WTO and they can go whistle.
    So (i) is win-win, and (ii) is lose-lose. Simples.

    Perhaps he has put this to them, which might explain why he appears sanguine.

    I think this is his intention this week.

    Sooner or later European Business is going to get involved banging heads together. 250 billion of EU trade is a huge amount of employment in EU states and these business's, their shareholders, and financiers are not going to sit on the sidelines much longer.

    Interesting that Jacob Rees Mogg seems to be increasing his support daily for PM as he becomes a cult figure. Just imagine Jacob Rees Morgan v Corbyn at PMQ's.

    It would be box office
    First public poll of next Tory leader including JRM had JRM joint second with Davidson behind Boris

    Boris 16%
    Davidson and JRM 6%
    Hammond and Davis 5%

    http://www.bmgresearch.co.uk/independentbmg-poll-close-half-public-want-theresa-may-quit-2022/
    Rec'd today:

    Dear Ishmael,

    Jacob has what it takes to become the next leader of the Conservative party. But today, we need to show him that if he decides to run he has your support.

    You can show your support with a FREE "I'm Ready for Rees-Mogg" poster.

    This is a great way to help spread the word and show Jacob that you're ready.

    CLICK HERE TO ORDER YOUR FREE POSTER
    We have limited stock, so be sure to order yours right away!

    Thank you for your continued support.

    Sincerely,

    Sam
    Co-founder, Ready for Rees-Mogg
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,846
    FF43 said:

    One thing it means, I suspect, is that we will be more beholden to the EU outside of it than we were members, we will certainly have less influence internationally and while we might have more nominal control, we will also have less say over what actually happens.

    One element which I believe you are ignoring is the political reaction to the growing realisation that this is likely to be the outcome. Even the most obtuse Leaver will get it at some point, and those who are closest to the front line, i.e. those in government and parliament, will be the first to do so. If they have an ounce of patriotism they will realise that this is not the path they should take their country down, no matter how humiliating a reversal may be.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,682
    FF43 said:

    HYUFD said:



    17 million people voted to Leave the EU, more than voted for Blair in 1997 or Cameron in 2015 or indeed for anything in British history, that is not a 'smallish minority' by any definition. Though I would agree it is likely once we do leave a Leaver, either Davis or more likely Boris in my view, will succeed Remainer May to be the first PM of post-Brexit UK

    We will leave the EU. That boat sailed in June last year. The more interesting question, and one you can 't easily bet on because the outcomes are going to be messy, long drawn out and very possibly inconclusive, is what does Leave the EU actually mean? One thing it means, I suspect, is that we will be more beholden to the EU outside of it than we were members, we will certainly have less influence internationally and while we might have more nominal control, we will also have less say over what actually happens.
    What it means in the shortterm is we leave the EU and EEA fully for a decade most likely, probably with no FTA apart from maybe a few bilateral agreements but control over Freedom of Movement. In the long term we may rejoin the EEA and EFTA (which we were members of before the EEC) but we will not rejoin the EU and I doubt longer term being an independent nation will have a negative position on our international position indeed it may indeed strengthen it
  • The article is perfectly sensible and headlined in a way the pro EU FT hope to fit their agenda. Japan only confirms it cannot negotiate a trade deal until we are out of the EU which is common knowledge
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,849
    geoffw said:

    geoffw said:

    Why doesn't DD tell MB that we'll only consider the money once the rest of the deal is agreed?
    i) If it's a good deal for us we'd obviously be happy to talk turkey.
    ii) If not then we embrace WTO and they can go whistle.
    So (i) is win-win, and (ii) is lose-lose. Simples.

    Perhaps he has put this to them, which might explain why he appears sanguine.

    Because no deal is more damaging for the U.K. than it is for the EU.
    I beg to differ.
    On what basis? How is no deal more damaging for the EU?
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,846

    The article is perfectly sensible and headlined in a way the pro EU FT hope to fit their agenda. Japan only confirms it cannot negotiate a trade deal until we are out of the EU which is common knowledge
    Japan published a detailed paper last year in response to Brexit. They are not at all exciting by the 'opportunities' it presents.

    http://www.mofa.go.jp/files/000185466.pdf
  • murali_smurali_s Posts: 3,067
    HYUFD said:

    Japan does not feature in the top 7 destinations for UK exports, a deal with them would be useful but if they want to deal with the EU first we can survive that
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_the_United_Kingdom
    Desperate spinning brother!

    Brexit = a calamity
    Brexiteers = thickos
  • FF43 said:

    One thing it means, I suspect, is that we will be more beholden to the EU outside of it than we were members, we will certainly have less influence internationally and while we might have more nominal control, we will also have less say over what actually happens.

    One element which I believe you are ignoring is the political reaction to the growing realisation that this is likely to be the outcome. Even the most obtuse Leaver will get it at some point, and those who are closest to the front line, i.e. those in government and parliament, will be the first to do so. If they have an ounce of patriotism they will realise that this is not the path they should take their country down, no matter how humiliating a reversal may be.
    How dare you quote patriotism as being in the EU is the only way to show it. You really are sad
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,806

    geoffw said:

    geoffw said:

    Why doesn't DD tell MB that we'll only consider the money once the rest of the deal is agreed?
    i) If it's a good deal for us we'd obviously be happy to talk turkey.
    ii) If not then we embrace WTO and they can go whistle.
    So (i) is win-win, and (ii) is lose-lose. Simples.

    Perhaps he has put this to them, which might explain why he appears sanguine.

    Because no deal is more damaging for the U.K. than it is for the EU.
    I beg to differ.
    On what basis? How is no deal more damaging for the EU?
    The money for starters.
  • murali_smurali_s Posts: 3,067
    edited August 2017

    FF43 said:

    One thing it means, I suspect, is that we will be more beholden to the EU outside of it than we were members, we will certainly have less influence internationally and while we might have more nominal control, we will also have less say over what actually happens.

    One element which I believe you are ignoring is the political reaction to the growing realisation that this is likely to be the outcome. Even the most obtuse Leaver will get it at some point, and those who are closest to the front line, i.e. those in government and parliament, will be the first to do so. If they have an ounce of patriotism they will realise that this is not the path they should take their country down, no matter how humiliating a reversal may be.
    How dare you quote patriotism as being in the EU is the only way to show it. You really are sad
    My dear friend, true patriotism is knowing and more importantly wanting what is best for your country.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,682

    HYUFD said:

    Japan does not feature in the top 7 destinations for UK exports, a deal with them would be useful but if they want to deal with the EU first we can survive that
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_the_United_Kingdom
    You need to look at the Japanese FDI figures and the UK turnover of Japanese owned companies
    I believe Nissan and Toyota have already committed to the UK post Brexit
    https://www.ft.com/content/eabd6152-9c29-11e6-8324-be63473ce146
    https://www.ft.com/content/1afaf414-b81f-11e5-b151-8e15c9a029fb
  • murali_s said:

    HYUFD said:

    Japan does not feature in the top 7 destinations for UK exports, a deal with them would be useful but if they want to deal with the EU first we can survive that
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_the_United_Kingdom
    Desperate spinning brother!

    Brexit = a calamity
    Brexiteers = thickos
    You may well think Brexit is a calamity but insulting many million of ordinary people as 'thickos' says more about you than it does of them.
  • HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Japan does not feature in the top 7 destinations for UK exports, a deal with them would be useful but if they want to deal with the EU first we can survive that
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_the_United_Kingdom
    You need to look at the Japanese FDI figures and the UK turnover of Japanese owned companies
    I believe Nissan and Toyota have already committed to the UK post Brexit
    https://www.ft.com/content/eabd6152-9c29-11e6-8324-be63473ce146
    https://www.ft.com/content/1afaf414-b81f-11e5-b151-8e15c9a029fb
    Nissan and Toyota aren't the only Japanese companies/investors in the U.K.

    Yet no one knows what those assurances are.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,402

    The article is perfectly sensible and headlined in a way the pro EU FT hope to fit their agenda. Japan only confirms it cannot negotiate a trade deal until we are out of the EU which is common knowledge
    The key point, though, is that Japan and others will only consider a trade arrangement with the UK in the context of their own prior arrangement with the EU and the UK's arrangement with the EU. This means that being in the EU customs area and general system is beneficial to our arrangements with third countries, rather than the impediment it is claimed to be by our government.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,682
    murali_s said:

    HYUFD said:

    Japan does not feature in the top 7 destinations for UK exports, a deal with them would be useful but if they want to deal with the EU first we can survive that
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_the_United_Kingdom
    Desperate spinning brother!

    Brexit = a calamity
    Brexiteers = thickos
    Yes I know, same old broken record
  • murali_s said:

    FF43 said:

    One thing it means, I suspect, is that we will be more beholden to the EU outside of it than we were members, we will certainly have less influence internationally and while we might have more nominal control, we will also have less say over what actually happens.

    One element which I believe you are ignoring is the political reaction to the growing realisation that this is likely to be the outcome. Even the most obtuse Leaver will get it at some point, and those who are closest to the front line, i.e. those in government and parliament, will be the first to do so. If they have an ounce of patriotism they will realise that this is not the path they should take their country down, no matter how humiliating a reversal may be.
    How dare you quote patriotism as being in the EU is the only way to show it. You really are sad
    My dear friend, true patriotism is knowing and more importantly wanting what is best for your country.
    And how do you know what is best for our Country.

    The Country has voted to leave and only time will tell whether it is right or wrong. Leavers and Remainers, no doubt, both see themselves as patriots
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,682

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Japan does not feature in the top 7 destinations for UK exports, a deal with them would be useful but if they want to deal with the EU first we can survive that
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_the_United_Kingdom
    You need to look at the Japanese FDI figures and the UK turnover of Japanese owned companies
    I believe Nissan and Toyota have already committed to the UK post Brexit
    https://www.ft.com/content/eabd6152-9c29-11e6-8324-be63473ce146
    https://www.ft.com/content/1afaf414-b81f-11e5-b151-8e15c9a029fb
    Nissan and Toyota aren't the only Japanese companies/investors in the U.K.

    Yet no one knows what those assurances are.
    They are probably the most significant in terms of jobs
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,682
    edited August 2017

    murali_s said:

    FF43 said:

    One thing it means, I suspect, is that we will be more beholden to the EU outside of it than we were members, we will certainly have less influence internationally and while we might have more nominal control, we will also have less say over what actually happens.

    One element which I believe you are ignoring is the political reaction to the growing realisation that this is likely to be the outcome. Even the most obtuse Leaver will get it at some point, and those who are closest to the front line, i.e. those in government and parliament, will be the first to do so. If they have an ounce of patriotism they will realise that this is not the path they should take their country down, no matter how humiliating a reversal may be.
    How dare you quote patriotism as being in the EU is the only way to show it. You really are sad
    My dear friend, true patriotism is knowing and more importantly wanting what is best for your country.
    And how do you know what is best for our Country.

    The Country has voted to leave and only time will tell whether it is right or wrong. Leavers and Remainers, no doubt, both see themselves as patriots
    The ironic thing is both myself and BigG voted Remain, it seems we are having to defend Brexit in the complete absence of Leavers here tonight, rather amusing
  • murali_smurali_s Posts: 3,067

    murali_s said:

    HYUFD said:

    Japan does not feature in the top 7 destinations for UK exports, a deal with them would be useful but if they want to deal with the EU first we can survive that
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_the_United_Kingdom
    Desperate spinning brother!

    Brexit = a calamity
    Brexiteers = thickos
    You may well think Brexit is a calamity but insulting many million of ordinary people as 'thickos' says more about you than it does of them.
    Tongue in cheek brother!

    Isn't there a decent correlation between the propensity to vote Leave and educational attainment? I could be wrong though.

    Anyway, the key issue of the referendum was "there are too many f*ckng foreigners in this country. That fact alone drive millions to vote Leave.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,849
    geoffw said:

    geoffw said:

    geoffw said:

    Why doesn't DD tell MB that we'll only consider the money once the rest of the deal is agreed?
    i) If it's a good deal for us we'd obviously be happy to talk turkey.
    ii) If not then we embrace WTO and they can go whistle.
    So (i) is win-win, and (ii) is lose-lose. Simples.

    Perhaps he has put this to them, which might explain why he appears sanguine.

    Because no deal is more damaging for the U.K. than it is for the EU.
    I beg to differ.
    On what basis? How is no deal more damaging for the EU?
    The money for starters.
    Given the net UK EU contribution is <0.1% of the EU GDP, I think they'd find a way to cover it somehow.
  • AllanAllan Posts: 262
    murali_s said:

    HYUFD said:

    Japan does not feature in the top 7 destinations for UK exports, a deal with them would be useful but if they want to deal with the EU first we can survive that
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_the_United_Kingdom
    Desperate spinning brother!

    Brexit = a calamity
    Brexiteers = thickos
    I thought I read on here that labelling Remain or Leave people with insults was banned?
    Asking for a friend.
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,806
    Winners and whiners.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,402

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Japan does not feature in the top 7 destinations for UK exports, a deal with them would be useful but if they want to deal with the EU first we can survive that
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_the_United_Kingdom
    You need to look at the Japanese FDI figures and the UK turnover of Japanese owned companies
    I believe Nissan and Toyota have already committed to the UK post Brexit
    https://www.ft.com/content/eabd6152-9c29-11e6-8324-be63473ce146
    https://www.ft.com/content/1afaf414-b81f-11e5-b151-8e15c9a029fb
    Nissan and Toyota aren't the only Japanese companies/investors in the U.K.

    Yet no one knows what those assurances are.
    Toyota was quite explicit. Brexit will come with a cost, the size of which is uncertain. They will ensure profitability by squeezing the wage bill and other input costs. They don't have a lot of choice. Unlike Nissan/Renault they don't have a number of alternative car plants on the EU mainland to switch production to.
  • AllanAllan Posts: 262
    On that FT Article

    Andrew Neil ✔ @afneil
    Japanese officials "signalled" becomes UK "dashed" in headline. Yet not one official on the record quote.
  • AllanAllan Posts: 262
    edited August 2017

    geoffw said:

    geoffw said:

    geoffw said:

    Why doesn't DD tell MB that we'll only consider the money once the rest of the deal is agreed?
    i) If it's a good deal for us we'd obviously be happy to talk turkey.
    ii) If not then we embrace WTO and they can go whistle.
    So (i) is win-win, and (ii) is lose-lose. Simples.

    Perhaps he has put this to them, which might explain why he appears sanguine.

    Because no deal is more damaging for the U.K. than it is for the EU.
    I beg to differ.
    On what basis? How is no deal more damaging for the EU?
    The money for starters.
    Given the net UK EU contribution is
    :-) :-) :-) So why should the Commission be getting so upset with us leaving?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,682
    edited August 2017
    murali_s said:

    murali_s said:

    HYUFD said:

    Japan does not feature in the top 7 destinations for UK exports, a deal with them would be useful but if they want to deal with the EU first we can survive that
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_the_United_Kingdom
    Desperate spinning brother!

    Brexit = a calamity
    Brexiteers = thickos
    You may well think Brexit is a calamity but insulting many million of ordinary people as 'thickos' says more about you than it does of them.
    Tongue in cheek brother!

    Isn't there a decent correlation between the propensity to vote Leave and educational attainment? I could be wrong though.

    Anyway, the key issue of the referendum was "there are too many f*ckng foreigners in this country. That fact alone drive millions to vote Leave.
    While only around 10% of over 50s went to university or did A Levels around 40% of under 30s did so that distorts the figures on educational attainment when older voters were the most likely to vote Leave
  • PongPong Posts: 4,693
    edited August 2017
    I've been mulling over the weird GE17 campaign.

    What strikes me most about it - in hindsight - is how untargeted all of the campaigns were.

    IIRC, on the final day of campaigning both Farron and May were in Solihull of all places. Labour's targeting in Scotland was abysmal.

    It was as if the national campaigns had little idea of where seats were competitive.

    There were a few constituencies where each of the parties did a brilliant job of identifying & getting out their vote, but in general, Con, Lab & LD (+SNP) campaigns were really amateur.
  • murali_s said:

    murali_s said:

    HYUFD said:

    Japan does not feature in the top 7 destinations for UK exports, a deal with them would be useful but if they want to deal with the EU first we can survive that
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_the_United_Kingdom
    Desperate spinning brother!

    Brexit = a calamity
    Brexiteers = thickos
    You may well think Brexit is a calamity but insulting many million of ordinary people as 'thickos' says more about you than it does of them.
    Tongue in cheek brother!

    Isn't there a decent correlation between the propensity to vote Leave and educational attainment? I could be wrong though.

    Anyway, the key issue of the referendum was "there are too many f*ckng foreigners in this country. That fact alone drive millions to vote Leave.
    I absolutely reject the reference to foreigners as perceived by UKIP. The immigrants working in this Country enrich all of us and are very necessary for the economy. However, controlling immigration is essential to ensure we are not flooded with cheap labour pressing down on wages of ordinary workers.

    The remain side do seem to think they are more intellectual and in some cases, sadly, superior to those who have not obtained academic degrees but when I ran my business those I took on straight from UNI were hopeless and I achieved the best results from my employees who showed a good general level of education but more importantly common sense and drive.

    The debate needs to rid itself of the Brexiteer and Remoaner sneers and see that both sides have good arguments and it is a very difficult decision to implement.

    However, I just do not see staying in as an answer
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,682
    Clash of the Titans.

    Katie Hopkins and Jolyon Maugham in Twitter clash
    https://twitter.com/JolyonMaugham/status/902271112792477697
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,849
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    GIN1138 said:

    surbiton said:

    GIN1138 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Given some of those Labour Leave voters may feel they have already lost a job to an EU migrant though it depends how the question is phrased

    Remember when Mike used to tell us nobody cared about the EU? ;)
    Remember when the PB Tories were looking forward towards a 150+ majority
    Yeah but who knew Theresa could come out with an even worse campaign than Cameron managed in 2010? ;)
    Cameron's Tories had net gains of 96 seats at GE2010. Somewhat better than TMay on June 8th
    Cameron won 306 seats in 2010, 12 fewer than the 318 May won in 2017. Cameron's 2015 campaign was far more effective than his 2010 campaign
    Straw-clutching
    HYUFD said:

    GIN1138 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Given some of those Labour Leave voters may feel they have already lost a job to an EU migrant though it depends how the question is phrased

    Remember when Mike used to tell us nobody cared about the EU? ;)
    EU/Brexit + immigration is the biggest issue today
    WRONG AGAIN.

    Biggest issue is the NHS

    https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/nhs-and-brexit-remain-biggest-issues-facing-country
    Not wrong actually, 41% say the EU/Brexit is a concern and 28% immigration, giving a combined 69%, 18% more than the 50% who say the NHS is a concern.
    You might just as well say the Economy/Education/Defence/Housing is the biggest concern at 88%!
  • OchEyeOchEye Posts: 1,469

    geoffw said:

    Why doesn't DD tell MB that we'll only consider the money once the rest of the deal is agreed?
    i) If it's a good deal for us we'd obviously be happy to talk turkey.
    ii) If not then we embrace WTO and they can go whistle.
    So (i) is win-win, and (ii) is lose-lose. Simples.

    Perhaps he has put this to them, which might explain why he appears sanguine.

    I think this is his intention this week.

    Sooner or later European Business is going to get involved banging heads together. 250 billion of EU trade is a huge amount of employment in EU states and these business's, their shareholders, and financiers are not going to sit on the sidelines much longer.

    Interesting that Jacob Rees Mogg seems to be increasing his support daily for PM as he becomes a cult figure. Just imagine Jacob Rees Morgan v Corbyn at PMQ's.

    It would be box office
    Corbyn would adjust his attack. For example, repeatedly asking the Mogg whether his nanny has given permission to do whatever. (JRH took his nanny when he was electioneering in Fife). It would be like shooting apples in a barrel.
  • stodgestodge Posts: 14,056
    HYUFD said:


    The ironic thing is both myself and BigG voted Remain, it seems we are having to defend Brexit in the complete absence of Leavers here tonight, rather amusing

    No, all you two are doing is defending the Conservative Party as you always do.

    The Conservative party isn't the party of LEAVE and doesn't speak for all LEAVE voters.

  • murali_smurali_s Posts: 3,067
    geoffw said:

    Winners and whiners.

    No-one is winning here brother. The country is losing and as a patriot I feel sad about that.

    The country is on the verge on jumping straight out the window on the 30th floor of the block. We can all say we can only learn by experience. The tragedy is that we will all be dead.

    Goodnight.
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,806
    Meanwhile Edinburgh Council is literally blowing up their council taxpayers' hard-earned.
  • OchEye said:

    geoffw said:

    Why doesn't DD tell MB that we'll only consider the money once the rest of the deal is agreed?
    i) If it's a good deal for us we'd obviously be happy to talk turkey.
    ii) If not then we embrace WTO and they can go whistle.
    So (i) is win-win, and (ii) is lose-lose. Simples.

    Perhaps he has put this to them, which might explain why he appears sanguine.

    I think this is his intention this week.

    Sooner or later European Business is going to get involved banging heads together. 250 billion of EU trade is a huge amount of employment in EU states and these business's, their shareholders, and financiers are not going to sit on the sidelines much longer.

    Interesting that Jacob Rees Mogg seems to be increasing his support daily for PM as he becomes a cult figure. Just imagine Jacob Rees Morgan v Corbyn at PMQ's.

    It would be box office
    Corbyn would adjust his attack. For example, repeatedly asking the Mogg whether his nanny has given permission to do whatever. (JRH took his nanny when he was electioneering in Fife). It would be like shooting apples in a barrel.
    You may think that but he is becoming a cult figure as had Corbyn.

    Also I think Jacob would return fire very well - he has plenty to attack in Corbyn
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 64,103
    edited August 2017
    stodge said:

    HYUFD said:


    The ironic thing is both myself and BigG voted Remain, it seems we are having to defend Brexit in the complete absence of Leavers here tonight, rather amusing

    No, all you two are doing is defending the Conservative Party as you always do.

    The Conservative party isn't the party of LEAVE and doesn't speak for all LEAVE voters.

    Maybe but it is the only party carrying out the leave process
  • murali_s said:

    geoffw said:

    Winners and whiners.

    No-one is winning here brother. The country is losing and as a patriot I feel sad about that.

    The country is on the verge on jumping straight out the window on the 30th floor of the block. We can all say we can only learn by experience. The tragedy is that we will all be dead.

    Goodnight.
    I plan on still being alive in two years time.
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    OchEye said:

    geoffw said:

    Why doesn't DD tell MB that we'll only consider the money once the rest of the deal is agreed?
    i) If it's a good deal for us we'd obviously be happy to talk turkey.
    ii) If not then we embrace WTO and they can go whistle.
    So (i) is win-win, and (ii) is lose-lose. Simples.

    Perhaps he has put this to them, which might explain why he appears sanguine.

    I think this is his intention this week.

    Sooner or later European Business is going to get involved banging heads together. 250 billion of EU trade is a huge amount of employment in EU states and these business's, their shareholders, and financiers are not going to sit on the sidelines much longer.

    Interesting that Jacob Rees Mogg seems to be increasing his support daily for PM as he becomes a cult figure. Just imagine Jacob Rees Morgan v Corbyn at PMQ's.

    It would be box office
    Corbyn would adjust his attack. For example, repeatedly asking the Mogg whether his nanny has given permission to do whatever. (JRH took his nanny when he was electioneering in Fife). It would be like shooting apples in a barrel.
    If you are explaining your gags in brackets, you are losing, and so would Corbyn be if he couldn't do better than that. Fish in a barrel btw.
  • murali_s said:

    HYUFD said:

    Japan does not feature in the top 7 destinations for UK exports, a deal with them would be useful but if they want to deal with the EU first we can survive that
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_the_United_Kingdom
    Desperate spinning brother!

    Brexit = a calamity
    Brexiteers = thickos
    Desperate spinning from murali!
  • stodgestodge Posts: 14,056


    stodge said:

    HYUFD said:


    The ironic thing is both myself and BigG voted Remain, it seems we are having to defend Brexit in the complete absence of Leavers here tonight, rather amusing

    No, all you two are doing is defending the Conservative Party as you always do.

    The Conservative party isn't the party of LEAVE and doesn't speak for all LEAVE voters.

    Maybe but it is the only party carrying out the leave process
    Through its own choice and volition it has excluded large parts of political society from the process. Instead of trying to create a united and coherent national view of what LEAVE means, the Conservatives have resorted to in-fighting, negative briefing and playing their usual trick of acting like ferrets in a sack.

    They even wasted everyone's time, effort and £25 million holding a pointless vanity project to try to enhance the authority of the Blessed Theresa but that blew up in their face and we now have to hand over our future to them.

    I wouldn't trust May, Davis, Johnson and Fox as far as somebody else could throw them.

  • viewcode said:

    David Allen Green did a good thread on this. For better or worse there is very little flexibility in the EU position, we really have to decide if it works for us or whether we prefer to have WTO Brexit.

    https://twitter.com/davidallengreen/status/901886935735705600

    I put it more succinctly months ago.

    When They've Worked Out What The Deal Is They Will Let Us Know.

    The government are going for WTO Brexit. It is the only goal that fits their current behaviour.
    As Columbo would say, "There's just one more thing..." The government isn't making any practical preparations for such an outcome which should tell you that even if their political behaviour points in that direction, that cannot be the real goal.
    https://twitter.com/Fight4UK/status/736322308743258112
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    Ishmael_Z said:

    OchEye said:

    geoffw said:

    Why doesn't DD tell MB that we'll only consider the money once the rest of the deal is agreed?
    i) If it's a good deal for us we'd obviously be happy to talk turkey.
    ii) If not then we embrace WTO and they can go whistle.
    So (i) is win-win, and (ii) is lose-lose. Simples.

    Perhaps he has put this to them, which might explain why he appears sanguine.

    I think this is his intention this week.

    Sooner or later European Business is going to get involved banging heads together. 250 billion of EU trade is a huge amount of employment in EU states and these business's, their shareholders, and financiers are not going to sit on the sidelines much longer.

    Interesting that Jacob Rees Mogg seems to be increasing his support daily for PM as he becomes a cult figure. Just imagine Jacob Rees Morgan v Corbyn at PMQ's.

    It would be box office
    Corbyn would adjust his attack. For example, repeatedly asking the Mogg whether his nanny has given permission to do whatever. (JRH took his nanny when he was electioneering in Fife). It would be like shooting apples in a barrel.
    If you are explaining your gags in brackets, you are losing, and so would Corbyn be if he couldn't do better than that. Fish in a barrel btw.
    Shooting apples in a barrel would be easier than shooting fish. Fish dodge and you have to allow for refraction at the water/air interface.
  • stodge said:


    stodge said:

    HYUFD said:


    The ironic thing is both myself and BigG voted Remain, it seems we are having to defend Brexit in the complete absence of Leavers here tonight, rather amusing

    No, all you two are doing is defending the Conservative Party as you always do.

    The Conservative party isn't the party of LEAVE and doesn't speak for all LEAVE voters.

    Maybe but it is the only party carrying out the leave process
    Through its own choice and volition it has excluded large parts of political society from the process. Instead of trying to create a united and coherent national view of what LEAVE means, the Conservatives have resorted to in-fighting, negative briefing and playing their usual trick of acting like ferrets in a sack.

    They even wasted everyone's time, effort and £25 million holding a pointless vanity project to try to enhance the authority of the Blessed Theresa but that blew up in their face and we now have to hand over our future to them.

    I wouldn't trust May, Davis, Johnson and Fox as far as somebody else could throw them.

    So who would you trust
  • philiphphiliph Posts: 4,704

    Ishmael_Z said:

    OchEye said:

    geoffw said:

    Why doesn't DD tell MB that we'll only consider the money once the rest of the deal is agreed?
    i) If it's a good deal for us we'd obviously be happy to talk turkey.
    ii) If not then we embrace WTO and they can go whistle.
    So (i) is win-win, and (ii) is lose-lose. Simples.

    Perhaps he has put this to them, which might explain why he appears sanguine.

    I think this is his intention this week.

    Sooner or later European Business is going to get involved banging heads together. 250 billion of EU trade is a huge amount of employment in EU states and these business's, their shareholders, and financiers are not going to sit on the sidelines much longer.

    Interesting that Jacob Rees Mogg seems to be increasing his support daily for PM as he becomes a cult figure. Just imagine Jacob Rees Morgan v Corbyn at PMQ's.

    It would be box office
    Corbyn would adjust his attack. For example, repeatedly asking the Mogg whether his nanny has given permission to do whatever. (JRH took his nanny when he was electioneering in Fife). It would be like shooting apples in a barrel.
    If you are explaining your gags in brackets, you are losing, and so would Corbyn be if he couldn't do better than that. Fish in a barrel btw.
    Shooting apples in a barrel would be easier than shooting fish. Fish dodge and you have to allow for refraction at the water/air interface.
    I didn't think a barrel of fish had any water in it.
  • philiph said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    OchEye said:

    geoffw said:

    Why doesn't DD tell MB that we'll only consider the money once the rest of the deal is agreed?
    i) If it's a good deal for us we'd obviously be happy to talk turkey.
    ii) If not then we embrace WTO and they can go whistle.
    So (i) is win-win, and (ii) is lose-lose. Simples.

    Perhaps he has put this to them, which might explain why he appears sanguine.

    I think this is his intention this week.

    Sooner or later European Business is going to get involved banging heads together. 250 billion of EU trade is a huge amount of employment in EU states and these business's, their shareholders, and financiers are not going to sit on the sidelines much longer.

    Interesting that Jacob Rees Mogg seems to be increasing his support daily for PM as he becomes a cult figure. Just imagine Jacob Rees Morgan v Corbyn at PMQ's.

    It would be box office
    Corbyn would adjust his attack. For example, repeatedly asking the Mogg whether his nanny has given permission to do whatever. (JRH took his nanny when he was electioneering in Fife). It would be like shooting apples in a barrel.
    If you are explaining your gags in brackets, you are losing, and so would Corbyn be if he couldn't do better than that. Fish in a barrel btw.
    Shooting apples in a barrel would be easier than shooting fish. Fish dodge and you have to allow for refraction at the water/air interface.
    I didn't think a barrel of fish had any water in it.
    Usually ice
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,682
    edited August 2017
    stodge said:


    stodge said:

    HYUFD said:


    The ironic thing is both myself and BigG voted Remain, it seems we are having to defend Brexit in the complete absence of Leavers here tonight, rather amusing

    No, all you two are doing is defending the Conservative Party as you always do.

    The Conservative party isn't the party of LEAVE and doesn't speak for all LEAVE voters.

    Maybe but it is the only party carrying out the leave process
    Through its own choice and volition it has excluded large parts of political society from the process. Instead of trying to create a united and coherent national view of what LEAVE means, the Conservatives have resorted to in-fighting, negative briefing and playing their usual trick of acting like ferrets in a sack.

    They even wasted everyone's time, effort and £25 million holding a pointless vanity project to try to enhance the authority of the Blessed Theresa but that blew up in their face and we now have to hand over our future to them.

    I wouldn't trust May, Davis, Johnson and Fox as far as somebody else could throw them.

    There cannot be a coherent national view of what Leave means because Remainers want Leave to mean basically almost exactly the same as the EU, ie full single market and customs union membership, while Leavers want to see clear returns of sovereignty, an end to free movement and reductions of payments to the EU, which means departure from the single market and customs union, at least in the short term. Given Leave won it will inevitably ultimately be a Brexit more suited to what Leavers want even if Remainers may not be happy with that.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    Pong said:

    It looks to me like the 31% of Con leavers answering "No I would not" are the voters who will deliver a majority Labour government at the next election.

    Labour need to relentlessly pound the tories for "making the country poorer"

    If Labour were to seriously want to run on an economic platform which might appeal to Conservative voters, they would first need to ditch Corbyn and McDonell, and then apologise in the most grovelling fashion for ever being naive and cynical enough for putting them (and Diane Abbott, FFS!) forward as the core of a potential government.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,682

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    GIN1138 said:

    surbiton said:

    GIN1138 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Given some of those Labour Leave voters may feel they have already lost a job to an EU migrant though it depends how the question is phrased

    Remember when Mike used to tell us nobody cared about the EU? ;)
    Remember when the PB Tories were looking forward towards a 150+ majority
    Yeah but who knew Theresa could come out with an even worse campaign than Cameron managed in 2010? ;)
    Cameron's Tories had net gains of 96 seats at GE2010. Somewhat better than TMay on June 8th
    Cameron won 306 seats in 2010, 12 fewer than the 318 May won in 2017. Cameron's 2015 campaign was far more effective than his 2010 campaign
    Straw-clutching
    HYUFD said:

    GIN1138 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Given some of those Labour Leave voters may feel they have already lost a job to an EU migrant though it depends how the question is phrased

    Remember when Mike used to tell us nobody cared about the EU? ;)
    EU/Brexit + immigration is the biggest issue today
    WRONG AGAIN.

    Biggest issue is the NHS

    https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/nhs-and-brexit-remain-biggest-issues-facing-country
    Not wrong actually, 41% say the EU/Brexit is a concern and 28% immigration, giving a combined 69%, 18% more than the 50% who say the NHS is a concern.
    You might just as well say the Economy/Education/Defence/Housing is the biggest concern at 88%!
    None are as interconnected as Brexit and immigration
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,682
    edited August 2017
    Hopefully will be resolved peacefully or the Japanese can intercept it(though would resolve the FTA with Japan issue)
  • That could be very serious. Two years ago we went on a cruise from Vancouver to Beijing via Northern Japan, Vladivostok, South Korea, and China and the remarkable feature was just how close these Countries are relatively speaking. Also as we sailed from Vladivostok along the North Korean coast it felt strangely cold and uninviting
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    philiph said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    OchEye said:

    geoffw said:

    Why doesn't DD tell MB that we'll only consider the money once the rest of the deal is agreed?
    i) If it's a good deal for us we'd obviously be happy to talk turkey.
    ii) If not then we embrace WTO and they can go whistle.
    So (i) is win-win, and (ii) is lose-lose. Simples.

    Perhaps he has put this to them, which might explain why he appears sanguine.

    I think this is his intention this week.

    Sooner or later European Business is going to get involved banging heads together. 250 billion of EU trade is a huge amount of employment in EU states and these business's, their shareholders, and financiers are not going to sit on the sidelines much longer.

    Interesting that Jacob Rees Mogg seems to be increasing his support daily for PM as he becomes a cult figure. Just imagine Jacob Rees Morgan v Corbyn at PMQ's.

    It would be box office
    Corbyn would adjust his attack. For example, repeatedly asking the Mogg whether his nanny has given permission to do whatever. (JRH took his nanny when he was electioneering in Fife). It would be like shooting apples in a barrel.
    If you are explaining your gags in brackets, you are losing, and so would Corbyn be if he couldn't do better than that. Fish in a barrel btw.
    Shooting apples in a barrel would be easier than shooting fish. Fish dodge and you have to allow for refraction at the water/air interface.
    I didn't think a barrel of fish had any water in it.
    What would be the point of shooting dead fish?
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    viewcode said:

    I don't think any goal fits their current behavior.

    When a close relative was dying, I was thrashing about trying to work out timetables and the doctor had to take me aside and point out gently that this person was dying, dying quickly, and that there was nothing to do. I used to know a divorce lawyer and she told me about the point where you have to tell them that they can't stay married to somebody who doesn't want to be married to them. The UK Government has not yet hit these points and is oscillating between begging ("deep and special relationship") and anger ("stubborn and unreasonable"). Sooner or later it would be better if a neutral friend took Davies aside and quietly explained his position.

    The same person might then usefully take Michel Barrnier, and the EU27 prime ministers, aside, and point out that without a comprehensive trade deal, the UK has precisely zero incentive, and of course no legal liability, to pay a single euro as an exit fee.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @SkyNewsEditor: #BREAKING Japanese media says the missile fired by #NorthKorea has now passed over Japan. Question is...where is it due to land?!
  • Scott_P said:

    @SkyNewsEditor: #BREAKING Japanese media says the missile fired by #NorthKorea has now passed over Japan. Question is...where is it due to land?!

    Guam is not far away is it
  • Y0kelY0kel Posts: 2,307
    North Korea has just launched another one of its many many missiles, passing over Japan just before 10pm UK time.

    Kim hates being out of the news.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,849

    Pong said:

    It looks to me like the 31% of Con leavers answering "No I would not" are the voters who will deliver a majority Labour government at the next election.

    Labour need to relentlessly pound the tories for "making the country poorer"

    If Labour were to seriously want to run on an economic platform which might appeal to Conservative voters, they would first need to ditch Corbyn and McDonell, and then apologise in the most grovelling fashion for ever being naive and cynical enough for putting them (and Diane Abbott, FFS!) forward as the core of a potential government.
    I'm not so sure... There are of course many voters (Conservative and otherwise) who cannot stand Corbyn, but there will also be many don't have that strong view and who will be open to persuasion by a combination of attractive Labour policies and the Tories' poor recent record in government.

    You might well say that the Labour promises are illusionary or that the Tories are not doing too badly given the circumstances but I think that there's a strong possibility Labour can win (and take votes from the Tories) without ditching Corbyn.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,849

    philiph said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    OchEye said:

    geoffw said:

    Why doesn't DD tell MB that we'll only consider the money once the rest of the deal is agreed?
    i) If it's a good deal for us we'd obviously be happy to talk turkey.
    ii) If not then we embrace WTO and they can go whistle.
    So (i) is win-win, and (ii) is lose-lose. Simples.

    Perhaps he has put this to them, which might explain why he appears sanguine.

    I think this is his intention this week.

    Sooner or later European Business is going to get involved banging heads together. 250 billion of EU trade is a huge amount of employment in EU states and these business's, their shareholders, and financiers are not going to sit on the sidelines much longer.

    Interesting that Jacob Rees Mogg seems to be increasing his support daily for PM as he becomes a cult figure. Just imagine Jacob Rees Morgan v Corbyn at PMQ's.

    It would be box office
    Corbyn would adjust his attack. For example, repeatedly asking the Mogg whether his nanny has given permission to do whatever. (JRH took his nanny when he was electioneering in Fife). It would be like shooting apples in a barrel.
    If you are explaining your gags in brackets, you are losing, and so would Corbyn be if he couldn't do better than that. Fish in a barrel btw.
    Shooting apples in a barrel would be easier than shooting fish. Fish dodge and you have to allow for refraction at the water/air interface.
    I didn't think a barrel of fish had any water in it.
    Usually ice
    In which case, there'd be no point in shooting them.
  • Pong said:

    It looks to me like the 31% of Con leavers answering "No I would not" are the voters who will deliver a majority Labour government at the next election.

    Labour need to relentlessly pound the tories for "making the country poorer"

    If Labour were to seriously want to run on an economic platform which might appeal to Conservative voters, they would first need to ditch Corbyn and McDonell, and then apologise in the most grovelling fashion for ever being naive and cynical enough for putting them (and Diane Abbott, FFS!) forward as the core of a potential government.
    I'm not so sure... There are of course many voters (Conservative and otherwise) who cannot stand Corbyn, but there will also be many don't have that strong view and who will be open to persuasion by a combination of attractive Labour policies and the Tories' poor recent record in government.

    You might well say that the Labour promises are illusionary or that the Tories are not doing too badly given the circumstances but I think that there's a strong possibility Labour can win (and take votes from the Tories) without ditching Corbyn.
    It may be a possibility but equally in these strange times PM Jacob Rees Mogg could materialize !!!!!!!!!
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,682

    Pong said:

    It looks to me like the 31% of Con leavers answering "No I would not" are the voters who will deliver a majority Labour government at the next election.

    Labour need to relentlessly pound the tories for "making the country poorer"

    If Labour were to seriously want to run on an economic platform which might appeal to Conservative voters, they would first need to ditch Corbyn and McDonell, and then apologise in the most grovelling fashion for ever being naive and cynical enough for putting them (and Diane Abbott, FFS!) forward as the core of a potential government.
    I'm not so sure... There are of course many voters (Conservative and otherwise) who cannot stand Corbyn, but there will also be many don't have that strong view and who will be open to persuasion by a combination of attractive Labour policies and the Tories' poor recent record in government.

    You might well say that the Labour promises are illusionary or that the Tories are not doing too badly given the circumstances but I think that there's a strong possibility Labour can win (and take votes from the Tories) without ditching Corbyn.
    42% still voted against Labour when Corbyn was leading them, more than have ever voted for the Tories since 1992 when 41% voted against Kinnock
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    philiph said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    OchEye said:

    geoffw said:

    Why doesn't DD tell MB that we'll only consider the money once the rest of the deal is agreed?
    i) If it's a good deal for us we'd obviously be happy to talk turkey.
    ii) If not then we embrace WTO and they can go whistle.
    So (i) is win-win, and (ii) is lose-lose. Simples.

    Perhaps he has put this to them, which might explain why he appears sanguine.

    I think this is his intention this week.

    Sooner or later European Business is going to get involved banging heads together. 250 billion of EU trade is a huge amount of employment in EU states and these business's, their shareholders, and financiers are not going to sit on the sidelines much longer.

    Interesting that Jacob Rees Mogg seems to be increasing his support daily for PM as he becomes a cult figure. Just imagine Jacob Rees Morgan v Corbyn at PMQ's.

    It would be box office
    Corbyn would adjust his attack. For example, repeatedly asking the Mogg whether his nanny has given permission to do whatever. (JRH took his nanny when he was electioneering in Fife). It would be like shooting apples in a barrel.
    If you are explaining your gags in brackets, you are losing, and so would Corbyn be if he couldn't do better than that. Fish in a barrel btw.
    Shooting apples in a barrel would be easier than shooting fish. Fish dodge and you have to allow for refraction at the water/air interface.
    I didn't think a barrel of fish had any water in it.
    What would be the point of shooting dead fish?
    Though apparently the shockwave of a bullet hitting a barrel would kill fish even without a direct hit...

    http://www.discovery.com/tv-shows/mythbusters/mythbusters-database/shooting-killing-fish-barrel/
  • philiphphiliph Posts: 4,704

    philiph said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    OchEye said:

    geoffw said:

    Why doesn't DD tell MB that we'll only consider the money once the rest of the deal is agreed?
    i) If it's a good deal for us we'd obviously be happy to talk turkey.
    ii) If not then we embrace WTO and they can go whistle.
    So (i) is win-win, and (ii) is lose-lose. Simples.

    Perhaps he has put this to them, which might explain why he appears sanguine.

    I think this is his intention this week.

    Sooner or later European Business is going to get involved banging heads together. 250 billion of EU trade is a huge amount of employment in EU states and these business's, their shareholders, and financiers are not going to sit on the sidelines much longer.

    Interesting that Jacob Rees Mogg seems to be increasing his support daily for PM as he becomes a cult figure. Just imagine Jacob Rees Morgan v Corbyn at PMQ's.

    It would be box office
    Corbyn would adjust his attack. For example, repeatedly asking the Mogg whether his nanny has given permission to do whatever. (JRH took his nanny when he was electioneering in Fife). It would be like shooting apples in a barrel.
    If you are explaining your gags in brackets, you are losing, and so would Corbyn be if he couldn't do better than that. Fish in a barrel btw.
    Shooting apples in a barrel would be easier than shooting fish. Fish dodge and you have to allow for refraction at the water/air interface.
    I didn't think a barrel of fish had any water in it.
    What would be the point of shooting dead fish?
    None, other than in a metaphorical phrase designed to convey the message that something is so easy you can't fail.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,849

    Pong said:

    It looks to me like the 31% of Con leavers answering "No I would not" are the voters who will deliver a majority Labour government at the next election.

    Labour need to relentlessly pound the tories for "making the country poorer"

    If Labour were to seriously want to run on an economic platform which might appeal to Conservative voters, they would first need to ditch Corbyn and McDonell, and then apologise in the most grovelling fashion for ever being naive and cynical enough for putting them (and Diane Abbott, FFS!) forward as the core of a potential government.
    I'm not so sure... There are of course many voters (Conservative and otherwise) who cannot stand Corbyn, but there will also be many don't have that strong view and who will be open to persuasion by a combination of attractive Labour policies and the Tories' poor recent record in government.

    You might well say that the Labour promises are illusionary or that the Tories are not doing too badly given the circumstances but I think that there's a strong possibility Labour can win (and take votes from the Tories) without ditching Corbyn.
    It may be a possibility but equally in these strange times PM Jacob Rees Mogg could materialize !!!!!!!!!
    Yes, but only ahead of a GE... not afterwards imo.
This discussion has been closed.