Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

Options

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » When TMay apologists try to excuse her GE17 humiliation by bra

12346»

Comments

  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,074

    The EU will have a proposal...

    No sign of it at the moment, and it's hard to see how they could come up with something in secret. So I'm not sure they will have a proposal, or at least a coherent one which will answer the Irish problem and be worth us paying for.

    But who knows? Contrary to what the media keep saying, it's the EU, not the UK, which doesn't seem to know what it wants.
    Behind the 'constructive ambiguity' and assuming that Brexit is not fudged the stark choice is what it always was: Brexit or the UK. We can have one but not both.
  • Options
    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820

    The UK knows what it wants. Unfortunately that remains having its cake and eating it. That isn't going to be taken seriously.

    The point still stands, though. If they don't like our dual cake policy, they should propose an alternative. Otherwise they are setting themselves up for an exit fee of €0, a hard Irish border (on their side, not ours), and a catastrophic impact on their exports and tourist industry.
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,987
    Good afternoon, my fellow patriots.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,074

    The UK knows what it wants. Unfortunately that remains having its cake and eating it. That isn't going to be taken seriously.

    The point still stands, though. If they don't like our dual cake policy, they should propose an alternative. Otherwise they are setting themselves up for an exit fee of €0, a hard Irish border (on their side, not ours), and a catastrophic impact on their exports and tourist industry.
    And the UK is setting itself up for oblivion.
  • Options
    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340

    The UK knows what it wants. Unfortunately that remains having its cake and eating it. That isn't going to be taken seriously.

    The point still stands, though. If they don't like our dual cake policy, they should propose an alternative. Otherwise they are setting themselves up for an exit fee of €0, a hard Irish border (on their side, not ours), and a catastrophic impact on their exports and tourist industry.
    I make my 60% assessment of complete car crash for a reason.
  • Options
    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820

    The UK knows what it wants. Unfortunately that remains having its cake and eating it. That isn't going to be taken seriously.

    The point still stands, though. If they don't like our dual cake policy, they should propose an alternative. Otherwise they are setting themselves up for an exit fee of €0, a hard Irish border (on their side, not ours), and a catastrophic impact on their exports and tourist industry.
    And the UK is setting itself up for oblivion.
    Not really. The UK is making constructive proposals. At least it's making proposals, which is a jolly good start.
  • Options

    The UK knows what it wants. Unfortunately that remains having its cake and eating it. That isn't going to be taken seriously.

    The point still stands, though. If they don't like our dual cake policy, they should propose an alternative. Otherwise they are setting themselves up for an exit fee of €0, a hard Irish border (on their side, not ours), and a catastrophic impact on their exports and tourist industry.
    And the UK is setting itself up for oblivion.
    Even the most excessive extrapolations from the Remain side only suggested a slightly slower rate of growth. Claims of oblivion are about as silly as claims we'd lose the City to Frankfurt if we didn't join the single currency. After the immediate recession didn't happen, you would think Remainers would start having a bit more scepticism about this hyperbole. But that's religion for you.
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    And how exactly do you propose that we do that?

    The same way other countries do it
  • Options
    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    Scott_P said:

    And how exactly do you propose that we do that?

    The same way other countries do it
    Which other countries?
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,074

    The UK knows what it wants. Unfortunately that remains having its cake and eating it. That isn't going to be taken seriously.

    The point still stands, though. If they don't like our dual cake policy, they should propose an alternative. Otherwise they are setting themselves up for an exit fee of €0, a hard Irish border (on their side, not ours), and a catastrophic impact on their exports and tourist industry.
    And the UK is setting itself up for oblivion.
    Even the most excessive extrapolations from the Remain side only suggested a slightly slower rate of growth. Claims of oblivion are about as silly as claims we'd lose the City to Frankfurt if we didn't join the single currency. After the immediate recession didn't happen, you would think Remainers would start having a bit more scepticism about this hyperbole. But that's religion for you.
    How do you see the UK holding together in circumstances in which it was a political pariah and universally seen as a bad actor on the world stage?
  • Options
    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    Talking of driving schools, does the Impact School of Motoring still operate in Ealing?
  • Options
    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,703
    edited August 2017

    The UK knows what it wants. Unfortunately that remains having its cake and eating it. That isn't going to be taken seriously.

    The point still stands, though. If they don't like our dual cake policy, they should propose an alternative. Otherwise they are setting themselves up for an exit fee of €0, a hard Irish border (on their side, not ours), and a catastrophic impact on their exports and tourist industry.
    And the UK is setting itself up for oblivion.
    Even the most excessive extrapolations from the Remain side only suggested a slightly slower rate of growth. Claims of oblivion are about as silly as claims we'd lose the City to Frankfurt if we didn't join the single currency. After the immediate recession didn't happen, you would think Remainers would start having a bit more scepticism about this hyperbole. But that's religion for you.
    How do you see the UK holding together in circumstances in which it was a political pariah and universally seen as a bad actor on the world stage?
    A 4% smaller economy in 2030 (how will we ever know?) makes us a 'political pariah'?
  • Options
    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    I'm taking a refresher driving course, starting on Saturday lunchtime, so London residents can take appropriate evasive action.

    It's with the AA, which come to think of it is not the most reassuring name for a driving school either.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,074
    edited August 2017

    The UK knows what it wants. Unfortunately that remains having its cake and eating it. That isn't going to be taken seriously.

    The point still stands, though. If they don't like our dual cake policy, they should propose an alternative. Otherwise they are setting themselves up for an exit fee of €0, a hard Irish border (on their side, not ours), and a catastrophic impact on their exports and tourist industry.
    And the UK is setting itself up for oblivion.
    Even the most excessive extrapolations from the Remain side only suggested a slightly slower rate of growth. Claims of oblivion are about as silly as claims we'd lose the City to Frankfurt if we didn't join the single currency. After the immediate recession didn't happen, you would think Remainers would start having a bit more scepticism about this hyperbole. But that's religion for you.
    How do you see the UK holding together in circumstances in which it was a political pariah and universally seen as a bad actor on the world stage?
    A 4% smaller economy in 2030 (how will we ever know?) makes us a 'political pariah'?
    If we crashed out of the EU without an exit deal, not settling our accounts, and creating border chaos we would be correctly labelled a bad actor. The civilised would would have no further interest in the UK's continued existence.

    Just think how we would perceive it if this were another country doing the same thing.
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,987
    Mr. Meeks, what's wrong with Antifrank's Assistants?

    Some say FIA stands for Ferrari International Assistance.
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,987
    Mr. Glenn, a negotiation requires two parties to work together. If the EU doesn't do so, that will reflect badly on them.

    If the Czech Republic were leaving the EU, and the EU tried to gouge money out of them and impose EU law on them, that'd be outrageous.
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,308
    What do we need from a customs union with the Customs Union?

    (1) Agreed and simplified procedures that deal with materials coming from third party countries which may have different tariffs on them. Of course, if the starting point that our tariffs match those currently in place in the EU then this becomes simply a matter of replicating the tariffs already paid to come into the UK or the EU. As we get more of our own agreements it may gradually get more complicated.

    (2) A procedure by which VAT is accounted for on imports and exports. If we agree that traders are able to set off the VAT they pay to the exporter to their VAT in their own country we will lose out somewhat (given the trade balance) but by an acceptable amount. The alternative is to have some overall accounting procedure between States. Probably worth a few billions a year to us but is it worth it?

    (3) Anything else? Maybe a method of resolving hypothetical disputes by means of an independent court/tribunal? Not sure how important this would be in practice. Obviously we would want zero tariffs for goods or services generated within the combined customs union but that is a slightly different issue.

    As a starting point it doesn't seem particularly complicated. It may become so over time but right now our systems are 100% aligned so it is just a continuation of that. Maybe I am missing several things but at the moment this isn't looking like the moon landings.
  • Options
    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,703

    The UK knows what it wants. Unfortunately that remains having its cake and eating it. That isn't going to be taken seriously.

    The point still stands, though. If they don't like our dual cake policy, they should propose an alternative. Otherwise they are setting themselves up for an exit fee of €0, a hard Irish border (on their side, not ours), and a catastrophic impact on their exports and tourist industry.
    And the UK is setting itself up for oblivion.
    Even the most excessive extrapolations from the Remain side only suggested a slightly slower rate of growth. Claims of oblivion are about as silly as claims we'd lose the City to Frankfurt if we didn't join the single currency. After the immediate recession didn't happen, you would think Remainers would start having a bit more scepticism about this hyperbole. But that's religion for you.
    How do you see the UK holding together in circumstances in which it was a political pariah and universally seen as a bad actor on the world stage?
    A 4% smaller economy in 2030 (how will we ever know?) makes us a 'political pariah'?
    If we crashed out of the EU without an exit deal, not settling our accounts, and creating border chaos
    How if it wasn't the UK that hadn't been able to reach agreement - and the EU27 had not?

    Would they then be 'political pariahs'. What is the EU's proposal on Customs etc?

    While May has to get any agreement through the HoC, the EU's path to ratifying an agreement is far from straight forward.....
  • Options
    CD13CD13 Posts: 6,351
    edited August 2017
    Forget Brexit for a moment. One of the pleasures of retirement is that your can check up at your leisure interesting developments in arcane areas of science.

    I often wondered why male brains became male when in the brain, testosterone is converted to oestrogens via an aromatase enzyme. Very puzzling and ironic, but recent research may clarify this.

    "The report in Cell, a Cell Press publication, reveals how early estrogen eposure "masculinizes" the brain circuitry, predisposing boys to be boys as it were. That early event is specifically critical in producing male mice that will pick fights with other males and that dutifully mark their territories with urine." (It's in mice as you would expect, but Man Utd supporters should look away).

    Why not females too?

    "But if estrogen, the female hormone, establishes male behavior patterns, why don't girls act like boys? Shah explains that the ovaries normally don't pump out any hormone that early in life, but males do see a surge in testosterone at a young age, at least some of which gets converted by aromatase to estrogen.

    The findings indicate that adult gonadal hormones are not the entire story when it comes to determining masculine versus feminine behavior, Shah said. "Rather than the gonadal hormones telling the adult brain what do to, the brain interprets signals based on its prior history," he said. Thus, female mice exposed to estrogen as pups respond to estrogen as adults by switching on the aggressive and territorial behaviors typically observed in males."

    Yes, I do go out occasionally.

    You're welcome.

  • Options
    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,850

    The UK knows what it wants. Unfortunately that remains having its cake and eating it. That isn't going to be taken seriously.

    The point still stands, though. If they don't like our dual cake policy, they should propose an alternative. Otherwise they are setting themselves up for an exit fee of €0, a hard Irish border (on their side, not ours), and a catastrophic impact on their exports and tourist industry.
    And the UK is setting itself up for oblivion.
    Even the most excessive extrapolations from the Remain side only suggested a slightly slower rate of growth. Claims of oblivion are about as silly as claims we'd lose the City to Frankfurt if we didn't join the single currency. After the immediate recession didn't happen, you would think Remainers would start having a bit more scepticism about this hyperbole. But that's religion for you.
    How do you see the UK holding together in circumstances in which it was a political pariah and universally seen as a bad actor on the world stage?
    A 4% smaller economy in 2030 (how will we ever know?) makes us a 'political pariah'?
    If we crashed out of the EU without an exit deal, not settling our accounts, and creating border chaos we would be correctly labelled a bad actor. The civilised would would have no further interest in the UK's continued existence.

    Just think how we would perceive it if this were another country doing the same thing.
    Seceding from the EU is entirely in accordance with the EU's own rules. There is therefore no question of the UK being a bad actor.

  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,987
    Mr. CD13, reminds me slightly of when, at university, I learnt that a cluster of four nuclei (prefrontal, I think) in gay men were smaller than in straight men, more similar to those of straight women.

    Given embyros start off female, that makes sense, and explains the greater number of gay people who are male. I do wonder how homosexuality in women comes about, given that.
  • Options
    AllanAllan Posts: 262

    The UK knows what it wants. Unfortunately that remains having its cake and eating it. That isn't going to be taken seriously.

    The point still stands, though. If they don't like our dual cake policy, they should propose an alternative. Otherwise they are setting themselves up for an exit fee of €0, a hard Irish border (on their side, not ours), and a catastrophic impact on their exports and tourist industry.
    And the UK is setting itself up for oblivion.
    Even the most excessive extrapolations from the Remain side only suggested a slightly slower rate of growth. Claims of oblivion are about as silly as claims we'd lose the City to Frankfurt if we didn't join the single currency. After the immediate recession didn't happen, you would think Remainers would start having a bit more scepticism about this hyperbole. But that's religion for you.
    How do you see the UK holding together in circumstances in which it was a political pariah and universally seen as a bad actor on the world stage?
    Well it would depend upon whether we had the plague of locusts and the death of the first born as well.
  • Options
    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,703
    Interesting way to look at 'value added' by a University Education....

    https://www.economist.com/blogs/graphicdetail/2017/08/daily-chart-5?fsrc=scn/tw/te/bl/ed/

  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @jameschappers: Message to @conservatives: your efforts to get my friends to tell me to call off the dogs and "take a holiday" are futile #thedemocrats

    They don't like it up 'em...
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,987
    There's nothing I like more, as someone not brimming with wealth, than having work interrupted by some fool knocking on the door, begging for money.

    It should be legal to use churglars as trebuchet ammunition.
  • Options
    Scott_P said:

    @jameschappers: Message to @conservatives: your efforts to get my friends to tell me to call off the dogs and "take a holiday" are futile #thedemocrats

    They don't like it up 'em...

    I'm sure they're shaking in their little space boots.
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,308
    Allan said:

    The UK knows what it wants. Unfortunately that remains having its cake and eating it. That isn't going to be taken seriously.

    The point still stands, though. If they don't like our dual cake policy, they should propose an alternative. Otherwise they are setting themselves up for an exit fee of €0, a hard Irish border (on their side, not ours), and a catastrophic impact on their exports and tourist industry.
    And the UK is setting itself up for oblivion.
    Even the most excessive extrapolations from the Remain side only suggested a slightly slower rate of growth. Claims of oblivion are about as silly as claims we'd lose the City to Frankfurt if we didn't join the single currency. After the immediate recession didn't happen, you would think Remainers would start having a bit more scepticism about this hyperbole. But that's religion for you.
    How do you see the UK holding together in circumstances in which it was a political pariah and universally seen as a bad actor on the world stage?
    Well it would depend upon whether we had the plague of locusts and the death of the first born as well.
    Don't forget the frogs. Its a bad one (except in France where they will no doubt eat them).
  • Options
    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,190

    Interesting way to look at 'value added' by a University Education....

    https://www.economist.com/blogs/graphicdetail/2017/08/daily-chart-5?fsrc=scn/tw/te/bl/ed/

    Not least because Oxford comes out better than Cambridge.
  • Options
    welshowlwelshowl Posts: 4,460
    edited August 2017

    The UK knows what it wants. Unfortunately that remains having its cake and eating it. That isn't going to be taken seriously.

    The point still stands, though. If they don't like our dual cake policy, they should propose an alternative. Otherwise they are setting themselves up for an exit fee of €0, a hard Irish border (on their side, not ours), and a catastrophic impact on their exports and tourist industry.
    And the UK is setting itself up for oblivion.
    Even the most excessive extrapolations from the Remain side only suggested a slightly slower rate of growth. Claims of oblivion are about as silly as claims we'd lose the City to Frankfurt if we didn't join the single currency. After the immediate recession didn't happen, you would think Remainers would start having a bit more scepticism about this hyperbole. But that's religion for you.
    How do you see the UK holding together in circumstances in which it was a political pariah and universally seen as a bad actor on the world stage?
    A 4% smaller economy in 2030 (how will we ever know?) makes us a 'political pariah'?
    If we crashed out of the EU without an exit deal, not settling our accounts, and creating border chaos we would be correctly labelled a bad actor. The civilised would would have no further interest in the UK's continued existence.

    Just think how we would perceive it if this were another country doing the same thing.
    So let's say Malaysia got into a spat with its trading partners in ASEAN, and what we saw from this distance was all very Byzantine from our point of view about arcane procedures we know little about, and then it came down to it that they couldn't agree and Malaysia left without a "deal".

    I really wouldn't give a fig frankly either way, let alone start thinking anyone was a "pariah".

  • Options
    CD13CD13 Posts: 6,351
    Mr D,

    "Given embyros start off female, that makes sense, and explains the greater number of gay people who are male. I do wonder how homosexuality in women comes about, given that."

    As a heterosexual male, I wonder why far more women don't become lesbians.

    .
  • Options
    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,703
    tlg86 said:

    Interesting way to look at 'value added' by a University Education....

    https://www.economist.com/blogs/graphicdetail/2017/08/daily-chart-5?fsrc=scn/tw/te/bl/ed/

    Not least because Oxford comes out better than Cambridge.
    I thought we'd spare Mrs May's Biggest Fan's blushes.......where did the Duke of Cambridge go?
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929

    I'm taking a refresher driving course, starting on Saturday lunchtime, so London residents can take appropriate evasive action.

    It's with the AA, which come to think of it is not the most reassuring name for a driving school either.

    Best of luck, I'm sure you'll be fine - just need the out of action "rust" to wear off.
  • Options
    chrisoxonchrisoxon Posts: 204
    Scott_P said:

    @jameschappers: Message to @conservatives: your efforts to get my friends to tell me to call off the dogs and "take a holiday" are futile #thedemocrats

    They don't like it up 'em...

    OPTION 1: A former spad and well respected journalist decides on a whim to burn all of his professional bridges, he's a lobbyist what does he need government contacts for anyway? There is a massive conspiracy amongst media and politicians alike to smear his reputation as they're terrified that he can pull off a Macron even though his constant commentary on Twitter is increasingly juvenile, and he's pulling a Romney, writing off more than half of the electorate.

    OPTION 2: He's having some mental health problems and could use some support.

    I know which one I'm putting money on, is anyone running a book?
  • Options
    ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133

    There's nothing I like more, as someone not brimming with wealth, than having work interrupted by some fool knocking on the door, begging for money.

    It should be legal to use churglars as trebuchet ammunition.

    I had one at work yesterday from the RSPCA. When I threw her out she asked if we had no animal lovers. I told them that if we did, they would donate to real animal charities.
  • Options
    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,035
    chrisoxon said:

    Scott_P said:

    @jameschappers: Message to @conservatives: your efforts to get my friends to tell me to call off the dogs and "take a holiday" are futile #thedemocrats

    They don't like it up 'em...

    OPTION 1: A former spad and well respected journalist decides on a whim to burn all of his professional bridges, he's a lobbyist what does he need government contacts for anyway? There is a massive conspiracy amongst media and politicians alike to smear his reputation as they're terrified that he can pull off a Macron even though his constant commentary on Twitter is increasingly juvenile, and he's pulling a Romney, writing off more than half of the electorate.

    OPTION 2: He's having some mental health problems and could use some support.

    I know which one I'm putting money on, is anyone running a book?
    OPTION 3: He's playing some other game, and getting talked about can be like gold dust. It's a slow period during the summer recess, so everyone welcomes a novel story. People are bored.

    After all, few of us had heard of him before all of this ...
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    chrisoxon said:

    I know which one I'm putting money on, is anyone running a book?

    OPTION 3: Brexit is a clusterfuck. Someone who was on the inside and knows where the bodies are buried is prepared to spill the beans. Those who have hitched their wagon to the impending disaster rely on keeping the public in the dark long enough for them to find someone else to blame. And they are bricking it.
  • Options

    The Government welcomes the clear commitment made in the European Council’s negotiating guidelines and the European Commission’s directives to work with us on “ exible and imaginative” solutions to achieve this.

    Flexible, but not that flexible:

    The Government has made clear that the answer to avoiding a hard border between Northern Ireland and Ireland cannot be to impose a new customs border between Northern Ireland and Great Britain.

    This in a paper that spends most of its time suggesting that the EU-UK boundary can easily be seamless. If they believe their own rhetoric, putting that boundary in the Irish sea will not do anyone any harm.
    Except that the UK is a single country. That would be like putting the boundary between Liverpool and Manchester, albeit that is something some might suggest is a good idea.
    I don't understand this either. If anyone insists on a hard border it will piss off the Irish. If it's not us doing the insisting I don't see how it's our fault. It surely means Ireland is a UK ally in that we and it want the same?
  • Options
    Scott_P said:

    chrisoxon said:

    I know which one I'm putting money on, is anyone running a book?

    OPTION 3: Brexit is a clusterfuck. Someone who was on the inside and knows where the bodies are buried is prepared to spill the beans. Those who have hitched their wagon to the impending disaster rely on keeping the public in the dark long enough for them to find someone else to blame. And they are bricking it.
    Just how high are you expecting this new dynamic Democrats party to surge in the opinion polls, led by the highly talented Chappers?
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,987
    Mr. Quidder, it aggravates me. I don't want to be disturbed at home by someone seeking money by guilt-tripping me (I have a pet hatred of that tactic).

    It's especially grating in current circumstances.
  • Options
    TOPPING said:

    HYUFD said:

    Scott_P said:

    I would have more time for discussion with someone that hasn't been implacably opposed to the Conservatives ever since the referendum result.

    I am not implacably opposed to conservatives, or even the Conservatives.

    I am implacably opposed to the Brexiteers, whatever badge they hide behind.
    So you are implacably opposed to 52% of the British population then?
    Far Kinell.

    I am implacably opposed to the starry-eyed romantics who voted Labour. Are differences of political opinion still allowed in the UK today?
    Farr Kinnell are a law firm, aren't they?
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    If anyone insists on a hard border it will piss off the Irish. If it's not us doing the insisting

    It is us doing the insisting. Without Brexit, which we are insisting upon, there is no requirement for any change
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    Just how high are you expecting this new dynamic Democrats party to surge in the opinion polls, led by the highly talented Chappers?

    I don't care.
  • Options

    Allan said:

    Scott_P said:

    I would have more time for discussion with someone that hasn't been implacably opposed to the Conservatives ever since the referendum result.

    I am not implacably opposed to conservatives, or even the Conservatives.

    I am implacably opposed to the Brexiteers, whatever badge they hide behind.
    Theresa May supported Remain. But she accepted the voice of the people and that makes you implacably opposed. There is simply no point in trying to reconcile the Remainer die-hards. You won't be happy with anything except resubmitting to Brussels so you will twist every event to damn those who won't do that.
    Remainer die-hards. The new group of people where we can "hear the sound of flapping white coats"?
    Flapping white coats still belong on the Leave side, which can be conveniently divided into the following five groups: the deranged; the malign; the self-deceiving; the thick as mince; and the misled.

    Unfortunately we would need four dimensions for the appropriate Venn diagram.
    The other day you were insisting you didn't despise Leave voters.
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    edited August 2017
    @RupertMyers: No, but some voted for £350m a week for the NHS, to halt a fictitious Turkish accession, and because of your dreadf… https://twitter.com/i/web/status/897472561394716672
  • Options
    chrisoxonchrisoxon Posts: 204

    chrisoxon said:

    Scott_P said:

    @jameschappers: Message to @conservatives: your efforts to get my friends to tell me to call off the dogs and "take a holiday" are futile #thedemocrats

    They don't like it up 'em...

    OPTION 1: A former spad and well respected journalist decides on a whim to burn all of his professional bridges, he's a lobbyist what does he need government contacts for anyway? There is a massive conspiracy amongst media and politicians alike to smear his reputation as they're terrified that he can pull off a Macron even though his constant commentary on Twitter is increasingly juvenile, and he's pulling a Romney, writing off more than half of the electorate.

    OPTION 2: He's having some mental health problems and could use some support.

    I know which one I'm putting money on, is anyone running a book?
    OPTION 3: He's playing some other game, and getting talked about can be like gold dust. It's a slow period during the summer recess, so everyone welcomes a novel story. People are bored.

    After all, few of us had heard of him before all of this ...
    That still requires the conspiracy between the media and politicians. He might get a spot on HIGNFY out of this - I'm not convinced that many would lower themselves to mental health smears to prevent that....
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,987
    Mr. P, the decision to leave was a democratic one. A decision by the EU to be dickish would be made by bureaucratic oafs.

    This does highlight how a situation that should be easy to resolve isn't, because we're not talking to Dublin but Brussels.
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    This does highlight how a situation that should be easy to resolve isn't

    Why do you imagine it should be easy to resolve?

    That's the Brexit mantra; "It's easy"

    Except it's not.
  • Options
    SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 20,631

    TOPPING said:

    HYUFD said:

    Scott_P said:

    I would have more time for discussion with someone that hasn't been implacably opposed to the Conservatives ever since the referendum result.

    I am not implacably opposed to conservatives, or even the Conservatives.

    I am implacably opposed to the Brexiteers, whatever badge they hide behind.
    So you are implacably opposed to 52% of the British population then?
    Far Kinell.

    I am implacably opposed to the starry-eyed romantics who voted Labour. Are differences of political opinion still allowed in the UK today?
    Farr Kinnell are a law firm, aren't they?
    Paul Cannell used to play for Newcastle.
  • Options
    chrisoxonchrisoxon Posts: 204
    Scott_P said:

    chrisoxon said:

    I know which one I'm putting money on, is anyone running a book?

    OPTION 3: Brexit is a clusterfuck. Someone who was on the inside and knows where the bodies are buried is prepared to spill the beans. Those who have hitched their wagon to the impending disaster rely on keeping the public in the dark long enough for them to find someone else to blame. And they are bricking it.
    Sure... and this white knight has decided that ad hominem attacks on Twitter are the best way of blowing the whistle. Do you think anyone would have listened to Snowdon or Assange if they spent all day on Twitter insulting people?
  • Options
    welshowlwelshowl Posts: 4,460
    edited August 2017

    The Government welcomes the clear commitment made in the European Council’s negotiating guidelines and the European Commission’s directives to work with us on “ exible and imaginative” solutions to achieve this.

    Flexible, but not that flexible:

    The Government has made clear that the answer to avoiding a hard border between Northern Ireland and Ireland cannot be to impose a new customs border between Northern Ireland and Great Britain.

    This in a paper that spends most of its time suggesting that the EU-UK boundary can easily be seamless. If they believe their own rhetoric, putting that boundary in the Irish sea will not do anyone any harm.
    Except that the UK is a single country. That would be like putting the boundary between Liverpool and Manchester, albeit that is something some might suggest is a good idea.
    I don't understand this either. If anyone insists on a hard border it will piss off the Irish. If it's not us doing the insisting I don't see how it's our fault. It surely means Ireland is a UK ally in that we and it want the same?
    Well the Irish would say it's us that put the border there by voting for Brexit. To which I suppose we could say, well they put it there first by voting the way they did in 1918 which made partition or civil war the options - to which doubtless many in Ireland would disagree. And so on.


    The difficulty really comes for them I guess if we decided unilaterally to put zero tariffs or limits anything from the EU, in which case any customs posts are on their side of the line, purely at the behest of the EU. We can always informalise any scrutiny between NI and GB if we wanted as an emergency fall back (as has happened with people going backwards and forwards - all those Special Branch looking types on the gate as you go through, not checking passports no siree, just "looking") as there are only limited exit points between NI and GB, effectively two ports and three aiports only.
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    chrisoxon said:

    Do you think anyone would have listened to Snowdon or Assange if they spent all day on Twitter insulting people?

    Have you looked at Assange's Twitter feed?
  • Options

    NEW THREAD

  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,987
    Mr. P, because neither of the two countries involved want a hard border. It's the confederate body that wants to gum things up.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,074
    Scott_P said:

    This does highlight how a situation that should be easy to resolve isn't

    Why do you imagine it should be easy to resolve?

    That's the Brexit mantra; "It's easy"

    Except it's not.
    What he means is that a smaller neighbour that should be a pushover isn't, because we're not talking to Dublin but Brussels.
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,308
    DavidL said:

    What do we need from a customs union with the Customs Union?

    (1) Agreed and simplified procedures that deal with materials coming from third party countries which may have different tariffs on them. Of course, if the starting point that our tariffs match those currently in place in the EU then this becomes simply a matter of replicating the tariffs already paid to come into the UK or the EU. As we get more of our own agreements it may gradually get more complicated.

    (2) A procedure by which VAT is accounted for on imports and exports. If we agree that traders are able to set off the VAT they pay to the exporter to their VAT in their own country we will lose out somewhat (given the trade balance) but by an acceptable amount. The alternative is to have some overall accounting procedure between States. Probably worth a few billions a year to us but is it worth it?

    (3) Anything else? Maybe a method of resolving hypothetical disputes by means of an independent court/tribunal? Not sure how important this would be in practice. Obviously we would want zero tariffs for goods or services generated within the combined customs union but that is a slightly different issue.

    As a starting point it doesn't seem particularly complicated. It may become so over time but right now our systems are 100% aligned so it is just a continuation of that. Maybe I am missing several things but at the moment this isn't looking like the moon landings.

    So no takers on the reasons this is going to be incredibly difficult?
  • Options
    FF43FF43 Posts: 15,723
    Scott_P said:

    FF43 said:

    we will leave THE "Customs Union" and seamlessly move to A customs union.

    We will seamlessly move to a A customs union, that doesn't exist, that is being drawn up on the back of a fag packet, that requires 27 other states to agree, and that can be implemented in months by the same team that will take 4 years to repair 1 clock...

    Delusional...
    Assuming an EU non membership extension until 2022, a customs treaty where the UK agrees to apply the EU's common external tariff and product regulation on non agricultural good, should be perfectly doable. The Turkish treaty that dates back to the 1960s isn't a complicated document. If they agree this direction with Barnier by the end of this year, the UK can then start to sound out third countries on replicating existing EU arrangements. The bilateral agreements can't be identical with the multilateral ones because you wouldn't be able to aggregate EU content to meet local content thresholds to qualify for preferential tariffs. So goods would attract tariffs that were previously duty free, even though the arrangement was ostensibly identical to the EU one. Also the arbitration methods would need changing. The other country may also insist on alterations to the arrangement to its advantage.

    What is delusional is to expect to negotiate these kinds of arrangements when you are not prepared to say what you want and when you publish position papers that don't present any serious positions
  • Options
    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,035
    chrisoxon said:

    chrisoxon said:

    Scott_P said:

    @jameschappers: Message to @conservatives: your efforts to get my friends to tell me to call off the dogs and "take a holiday" are futile #thedemocrats

    They don't like it up 'em...

    OPTION 1: A former spad and well respected journalist decides on a whim to burn all of his professional bridges, he's a lobbyist what does he need government contacts for anyway? There is a massive conspiracy amongst media and politicians alike to smear his reputation as they're terrified that he can pull off a Macron even though his constant commentary on Twitter is increasingly juvenile, and he's pulling a Romney, writing off more than half of the electorate.

    OPTION 2: He's having some mental health problems and could use some support.

    I know which one I'm putting money on, is anyone running a book?
    OPTION 3: He's playing some other game, and getting talked about can be like gold dust. It's a slow period during the summer recess, so everyone welcomes a novel story. People are bored.

    After all, few of us had heard of him before all of this ...
    That still requires the conspiracy between the media and politicians. He might get a spot on HIGNFY out of this - I'm not convinced that many would lower themselves to mental health smears to prevent that....
    We're talking about the same sort of people who made a joke out of 'mistakenly' saying 'Jeremy *unt'. It's the silly season, and everyone wants a story.
This discussion has been closed.